Tearsheet

Kohl's (KSS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $22.79 | Market Cap: $2.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Broadline Retail

Kohl's (KSS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $22.79
Market Cap: $2.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Broadline Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 37%, Dividend Yield is 15%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 32%, FCF Yield is 51%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -80%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 704%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38%
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 189%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.0%
3   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25%
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 37%, Dividend Yield is 15%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 32%, FCF Yield is 51%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -80%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 704%
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 189%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.0%
7 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KSS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The public company Kohl's (KSS) experienced a significant positive movement in its stock price during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to early December 2025. This upward trend, which saw the stock rise by around 53.7% within the context of recent positive performance, can be attributed to several key factors.

1. Stronger-than-Expected Q3 2025 Earnings. Kohl's reported a surprise profit for its third quarter of 2025, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.10, significantly exceeding the forecasted loss of $0.18. Additionally, revenue of $3.4 billion surpassed expectations, leading to a substantial pre-market stock increase of 32.49% and a 43% gain on November 25, 2025.

2. Appointment of a Permanent CEO. The official appointment of Michael Bender as the permanent Chief Executive Officer after serving as interim CEO since May 1, 2025, boosted investor confidence. This move was perceived as providing a clear direction for the company's turnaround strategy and operational improvements.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KSS Return-17%24%-46%24%-46%82%-32%
Peers Return-1%103%1%13%9%23%208%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KSS Win Rate58%50%33%50%33%60% 
Peers Win Rate47%58%35%45%48%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KSS Max Drawdown-77%-5%-49%-27%-47%-56% 
Peers Max Drawdown-42%-5%-24%-16%-11%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HD, TJX, DDS, M, BGO. See KSS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKSSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-71.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven254.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-77.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven342.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven311 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-46.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven85.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-68.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven215.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2324 days1480 days

Compare to HD, TJX, DDS, M, BGO


In The Past

Kohl's's stock fell -71.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/24/2022. A -71.8% loss requires a 254.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Kohl's (KSS)

Better Bets than Kohl's (KSS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KSS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
KSS_7312025_Short_Squeeze07312025KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
129.7%129.7%-1.0%
KSS_1312025_Short_Squeeze01312025KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-16.5%93.8%-52.9%
KSS_7312024_Short_Squeeze07312024KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-35.4%-45.4%-69.5%
KSS_1312024_Short_Squeeze01312024KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-12.3%-42.3%-45.4%
KSS_2282023_Short_Squeeze02282023KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-0.6%9.0%-34.4%
KSS_7312022_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG07312022KSSKohl'sDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.8%5.9%-34.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
KSS_7312025_Short_Squeeze07312025KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
129.7%129.7%-1.0%
KSS_1312025_Short_Squeeze01312025KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-16.5%93.8%-52.9%
KSS_7312024_Short_Squeeze07312024KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-35.4%-45.4%-69.5%
KSS_1312024_Short_Squeeze01312024KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-12.3%-42.3%-45.4%
KSS_2282023_Short_Squeeze02282023KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-0.6%9.0%-34.4%
KSS_7312022_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG07312022KSSKohl'sDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.8%5.9%-34.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Kohl's

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KSSHDTJXDDSMBGOMedian
NameKohl's Home Dep.TJX Comp.Dillard'sMacy's Bialgo C. 
Mkt Price22.97357.91150.06684.9622.46-150.06
Mkt Cap2.6355.0167.310.76.1-10.7
Rev LTM15,886165,05457,9256,58622,702-22,702
Op Inc LTM52121,6016,476716849-849
FCF LTM48014,2304,041771603-771
FCF 3Y Avg54315,7594,358749406-749
CFO LTM90717,8725,9358581,396-1,396
CFO 3Y Avg1,05019,1286,1458621,383-1,383

Growth & Margins

KSSHDTJXDDSMBGOMedian
NameKohl's Home Dep.TJX Comp.Dillard'sMacy's Bialgo C. 
Rev Chg LTM-7.2%8.5%4.1%-2.4%-3.4%--2.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-5.6%2.2%5.3%-1.7%-4.5%--1.7%
Rev Chg Q-5.0%4.9%6.9%1.4%-1.9%-1.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.2%1.3%1.6%0.3%-0.4%-0.3%
Op Mgn LTM3.3%13.1%11.2%10.9%3.7%-10.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.7%14.0%10.7%12.5%4.6%-10.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.0%-0.2%0.2%-0.1%-0.1%--0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM5.7%10.8%10.2%13.0%6.1%-10.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.2%12.2%11.2%12.7%5.9%-11.2%
FCF/Rev LTM3.0%8.6%7.0%11.7%2.7%-7.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.2%10.1%8.0%11.1%1.7%-8.0%

Valuation

KSSHDTJXDDSMBGOMedian
NameKohl's Home Dep.TJX Comp.Dillard'sMacy's Bialgo C. 
Mkt Cap2.6355.0167.310.76.1-10.7
P/S0.12.22.41.00.1-1.0
P/EBIT1.716.820.68.84.2-8.8
P/E4.624.927.711.36.4-11.3
P/CFO1.020.423.27.62.3-7.6
Total Yield36.5%6.5%4.9%15.2%21.8%-15.2%
Dividend Yield14.6%2.5%1.3%6.3%6.2%-6.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg31.9%4.7%3.7%12.3%10.6%-10.6%
D/E7.20.20.10.11.7-0.2
Net D/E7.00.20.1-0.11.5-0.2

Returns

KSSHDTJXDDSMBGOMedian
NameKohl's Home Dep.TJX Comp.Dillard'sMacy's Bialgo C. 
1M Rtn40.1%-5.4%7.2%13.8%12.6%-12.6%
3M Rtn44.9%-12.2%7.9%22.4%39.5%-22.4%
6M Rtn188.5%-2.7%17.9%71.6%101.4%-71.6%
12M Rtn61.4%-15.1%21.8%64.3%43.3%-43.3%
3Y Rtn-7.4%17.0%95.1%126.0%9.0%-17.0%
1M Excs Rtn40.1%-5.4%7.2%13.8%12.7%-12.7%
3M Excs Rtn34.5%-18.4%1.4%14.6%26.3%-14.6%
6M Excs Rtn173.8%-17.5%3.2%56.9%86.7%-56.9%
12M Excs Rtn50.9%-28.6%7.3%50.4%31.9%-31.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-79.5%-51.7%22.7%50.0%-62.3%--51.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Women's4,2814,6544,9273,7965,302
Men's3,4553,6793,8672,7533,827
Accessories (including Sephora)2,8132,2792,1001,6382,217
Home2,5332,7913,3443,3813,249
Children's2,0602,1762,4352,0822,460
Footwear1,4441,5821,7981,3811,830
Other revenue  9629241,089
Total16,58617,16119,43315,95519,974


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity27,806,482
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-5.1%
Average Daily Volume4,168,250
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.67
Basic Shares Quantity112,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares24.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025904202510-Q 8/2/2025
4302025606202510-Q 5/3/2025
1312025320202510-K 2/1/2025
103120241205202410-Q 11/2/2024
7312024905202410-Q 8/3/2024
4302024606202410-Q 5/4/2024
1312024321202410-K 2/3/2024
103120231130202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023831202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023601202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023316202310-K 1/28/2023
103120221201202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022901202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022602202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022317202210-K 1/29/2022
103120211202202110-Q 10/30/2021