Kohl's (KSS)
Market Price (12/25/2025): $21.46 | Market Cap: $2.4 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Broadline Retail
Kohl's (KSS)
Market Price (12/25/2025): $21.46Market Cap: $2.4 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Broadline Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 4.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.9%, FCF Yield is 34% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -75% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 275% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 170% | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.6% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 157% | ||
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 24% | ||
| Key risksKSS key risks include [1] worsening financial distress driven by sharply declining sales and strained liquidity, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 4.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.9%, FCF Yield is 34% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -75% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 275% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 170% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.6% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 157% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 24% |
| Key risksKSS key risks include [1] worsening financial distress driven by sharply declining sales and strained liquidity, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Kohl's reported stronger-than-expected Third Quarter Fiscal 2025 financial results. The company's diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.07 and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.10 surpassed analyst expectations, leading to a 32.49% stock jump in pre-market trading on November 25, 2025. Additionally, gross margin increased by 51 basis points, and Kohl's raised its full-year 2025 financial outlook despite a decrease in net sales and comparable sales.2. Michael J. Bender was appointed as the permanent CEO of Kohl's. Effective November 24, 2025, Bender, who had been serving as interim CEO since May 1, 2025, and as a board member since 2019, took the helm permanently. This leadership confirmation may have instilled greater investor confidence.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 26.8% change in KSS stock from 9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 36.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 9242025 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 17.03 | 21.60 | 26.85% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 15886.00 | 15751.00 | -0.85% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.31% | 1.23% | -5.93% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.17 | 12.47 | 36.00% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 112.00 | 112.00 | 0.00% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 26.85% |
Market Drivers
9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KSS | 26.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.4% | 40.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | 2.3% | 46.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 169.8% change in KSS stock from 6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 69.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 6252025 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.01 | 21.60 | 169.80% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 16072.00 | 15751.00 | -2.00% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 0.75% | 1.23% | 63.60% |
| P/E Multiple | 7.34 | 12.47 | 69.79% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 111.00 | 112.00 | -0.90% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 169.78% |
Market Drivers
6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KSS | 169.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.0% | 25.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | 15.3% | 34.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 56.4% change in KSS stock from 12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 100.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12242024 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 13.81 | 21.60 | 56.39% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 16780.00 | 15751.00 | -6.13% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.47% | 1.23% | -16.33% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.21 | 12.47 | 100.91% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 111.00 | 112.00 | -0.90% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 56.38% |
Market Drivers
12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KSS | 56.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.8% | 40.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | 5.3% | 45.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 8.6% change in KSS stock from 12/25/2022 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 193.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12252022 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 19.88 | 21.60 | 8.63% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 18578.00 | 15751.00 | -15.22% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.98% | 1.23% | -58.62% |
| P/E Multiple | 4.24 | 12.47 | 193.91% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 118.00 | 112.00 | 5.08% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 8.35% |
Market Drivers
12/25/2023 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KSS | -10.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.9% | 36.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | 38.7% | 39.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KSS Return | -17% | 24% | -46% | 24% | -46% | 59% | -41% |
| Peers Return | 3% | 96% | -1% | 15% | 8% | 23% | 205% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 115% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KSS Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 65% | 43% | 57% | 55% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KSS Max Drawdown | -77% | -5% | -49% | -27% | -47% | -56% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -52% | -8% | -33% | -22% | -13% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TGT, M, TJX, ROST, DDS. See KSS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | KSS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -71.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 254.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -77.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 342.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 311 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -46.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -68.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 215.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2,324 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
Kohl's's stock fell -71.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/24/2022. A -71.8% loss requires a 254.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Like Target, but with a stronger emphasis on apparel and home goods, known for frequent sales and 'Kohl's Cash'.
- A more modern and value-focused JCPenney, often found in suburban strip malls rather than traditional enclosed malls.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Kohl's (KSS) primarily offers a range of physical products across various categories:
- Apparel: Includes clothing for women, men, and children, covering a wide array of styles and occasions.
- Footwear: Consists of shoes, boots, and sandals for the entire family, spanning athletic, casual, and formal wear.
- Accessories: Encompasses jewelry, handbags, scarves, hats, and other items designed to complement outfits.
- Home Goods: Features items like bedding, bath products, kitchenware, small appliances, and decorative home accents.
- Beauty and Fragrances: Offers cosmetics, skincare products, and perfumes from various brands.
- Toys: Provides a selection of playthings for children, including educational and entertainment items.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Kohl's (symbol: KSS) primarily sells directly to individual consumers through its department stores and e-commerce platform, making it a B2C (Business-to-Consumer) company. Therefore, it does not have major corporate customers.
Based on its product offerings and marketing strategies, Kohl's serves the following categories of individual customers:
- Value-Conscious Shoppers: These customers are highly motivated by promotions, sales events, and loyalty programs like Kohl's Cash. They actively seek discounts and aim to maximize their savings on apparel, home goods, and other merchandise. This segment often comprises middle-income individuals and families looking for quality products at affordable prices.
- Family & Home Shoppers: This category includes individuals, often parents or heads of households, who shop for a broad range of products for their entire family and home. They purchase children's clothing, men's and women's apparel, home decor, kitchenware, and small appliances, appreciating Kohl's diverse selection and the convenience of a one-stop shopping experience for household needs.
- Everyday & Casual Apparel Shoppers: These customers frequent Kohl's for their daily wardrobe needs, focusing on comfortable, practical, and accessible fashion. They seek out casual wear, activewear, and basic apparel for themselves and their families, appreciating Kohl's regular sales and assortment of brands that cater to an everyday, active lifestyle.
AI Analysis | Feedback
null
AI Analysis | Feedback
Michael Bender Interim Chief Executive Officer Michael Bender was appointed Interim CEO of Kohl's in May 2025. He has also served as an Independent Chairman since May 2024 until May 2025 and as a Director since July 2019. Prior to his current role, Bender was appointed interim CEO after the firing of Ashley Buchanan. Jill Timm Chief Financial Officer Jill Timm is the Chief Financial Officer for Kohl's, a position she assumed in November 2019. She is responsible for financial planning and analysis, investor relations, financial reporting, accounting operations, tax, treasury, and corporate strategy. Timm joined Kohl's in 1999 and has held various progressive leadership roles within the finance department, including Executive Vice President of Finance. Before joining Kohl's, she was a senior auditor at Arthur Andersen LLP. Timm has nearly 30 years of experience in finance and corporate leadership. She also serves as an independent director on the Molson Coors Beverage Company Board of Directors, a position she was nominated for in December 2023. Nick Jones Chief Merchandising and Digital Officer Nick Jones was named Kohl's Chief Merchandising and Digital Officer, effective March 2023, reporting directly to CEO Tom Kingsbury at the time of his appointment. He is responsible for the company's overall merchandise strategy and all merchandising functions, including buying, digital and omnichannel merchandising, product design and development, and product portfolio strategy. Jones brings over 25 years of merchandising, brand, retail, and leadership experience. Most recently, he served as CEO of Joules Group, a British lifestyle brand. Before that, he spent nearly ten years at ASDA/Walmart UK, where he managed the George brand and served as chief merchant for ASDA/Walmart UK. He also held various business and merchandise leadership positions during his 15 years at Marks & Spencer. Steven Dee Chief Technology Officer Steven Dee was appointed Chief Technology Officer of Kohl's, effective August 25, 2025, reporting directly to interim CEO Michael Bender. In this role, he leads all technology and information platforms that support Kohl's omnichannel operations and broader business strategy. Dee has over 25 years of experience in driving large-scale digital transformation and operational excellence across leading consumer brands. Prior to Kohl's, he was the Global Chief Information and Technology Officer at Rodan + Fields. He also held senior technology leadership roles at Nike, where he oversaw global sales and digital commerce platforms, and served as CIO/CTO at Hayneedle and J.Crew. He began his career at Accenture, spending 12 years leading major retail and consumer goods clients through enterprise transformation. Christie Raymond Chief Marketing Officer Christie Raymond serves as the Chief Marketing Officer for Kohl's. She is responsible for the company's marketing efforts.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to Kohl's (KSS) business:- Declining Sales and Financial Distress: Kohl's is experiencing significant financial strain, marked by a substantial decline in net sales and comparable sales. In fiscal 2024, net sales fell 7.2% to $15.4 billion, and comparable sales decreased by 6.5%. The company's operating income also contracted to $433 million from $717 million in 2023. This trend of shrinking revenue is projected to continue, with forecasts for net sales to decrease by 5% to 6% and comparable sales by 4% to 5% for fiscal year 2025. This declining revenue contributes to heightened leverage, with the adjusted debt-to-EBITDAR ratio climbing to nearly 4x in 2024. Additionally, cash reserves of $134 million at the end of Q4 2024 were insufficient to cover near-term obligations, leading to reliance on operational cash flow and cost-cutting measures.
- Intense Competition and Changing Consumer Preferences: Kohl's operates in a highly competitive retail landscape, facing pressure from discount retailers, e-commerce giants, and specialty stores. The company has struggled to adapt to evolving consumer preferences and shopping habits, which have contributed to declining foot traffic and transactions in its traditional retail model. Consumers are exhibiting more discretion in their spending, particularly lower to middle-income customers, and are shifting spending priorities. Despite efforts to attract younger shoppers and expand into categories like beauty with partnerships such as Sephora, these initiatives have not fully offset declines in the legacy business.
- Vendor Payment Issues and Supply Chain Stability: Kohl's faces a crisis of trust and potential disruptions in its supply chain due to vendor payment issues. In August 2025, an apparel supplier, PSK Collective, filed a federal lawsuit alleging Kohl's refused to pay $8 million in invoices. This indicates a broader risk of vendors demanding payment upon delivery or prepayment, which could lead to higher procurement costs, supply chain disruptions, and reputational damage for Kohl's, further straining its already fragile liquidity.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The emergence and rapid growth of ultra-fast fashion and hyper-value e-commerce retailers, such as Shein and Temu, which offer extremely low prices and rapid trend cycles through direct-from-manufacturer models, challenging traditional retail's value proposition and speed to market.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Kohl's (symbol: KSS) operates primarily within the United States, and its main product and service categories include apparel, footwear, home products, and beauty products. The addressable market sizes for these categories in the U.S. are as follows:
- Apparel: The United States apparel market reached an estimated value of nearly USD 353.20 billion in 2024. This market is projected to grow to approximately USD 447.73 billion by 2034, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.40% during the forecast period of 2025-2034. Other estimates indicate the U.S. apparel market size was $353 billion in 2021 and is projected to be $365.70 billion in 2025.
- Footwear: The U.S. footwear market size was approximately USD 97.72 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach around USD 141.89 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 3.80% from 2025-2034. Other reports show the market at USD 94.7 billion in 2024, expected to reach USD 119.0 billion by 2033, and USD 95.1 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 125.7 billion by 2032.
- Home Products (Home Decor): The U.S. home decor market generated an estimated revenue of USD 237.87 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 392.56 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 8.9% from 2025-2030. Another source indicates the market size was approximately USD 180.62 billion in 2024, projected to grow to about USD 283.19 billion by 2034.
- Beauty Products: The U.S. beauty and personal care products market size was estimated at USD 102.73 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach USD 155.44 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 7.1% from 2025-2030. A more focused segment, the United States cosmetics market, was valued at USD 20.3 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach USD 26.7 billion by 2033.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Kohl's (KSS) is focusing on several strategic initiatives to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years. These initiatives aim to expand its market reach, enhance its product offerings, and improve the overall customer experience. Here are 3-5 expected drivers of Kohl's future revenue growth:- Expansion of the Sephora Partnership: Kohl's aims to grow its Sephora beauty business to $2 billion by 2025, expanding its presence to more than 850 stores. This partnership is a significant catalyst for attracting new customers and enhancing the overall shopping experience.
- Opening of New, Smaller-Format Stores: The company plans to open over 100 new, smaller-format Kohl's stores in the next four years. This strategy allows Kohl's to penetrate previously untapped markets and increase its physical footprint.
- Growth of the Digital Business and Omnichannel Capabilities: Kohl's is committed to expanding its digital business, with a goal of reaching $8 billion, by enhancing Kohls.com and rolling out self-serve omnichannel features like buy online, pick up in store, and self-serve returns. These efforts are designed to improve discovery, shopability, and convenience for customers.
- Strategic Focus on Key Product Categories: Kohl's is emphasizing growth in specific product categories, including home goods, gifting, and impulse purchases, and is enhancing its trend merchandise, particularly in junior and women's apparel. The company is investing in new vendor relationships and expanded assortments to boost sales in these areas.
- Enhancement of Customer Experience and Simplification of Value Strategies: Improving the overall customer experience and streamlining its value propositions, such as Kohl's Cash, are key priorities. These initiatives aim to attract and retain customers by offering a more engaging and less confusing shopping journey, ultimately driving increased traffic and conversion.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Kohl's suspended its share repurchase program in the second quarter of 2020 due to COVID-19.
- In 2021, Kohl's repurchased approximately $1.3 billion of stock, expanding from an initial plan of $300 million to $2 billion for the year.
- Kohl's buyback yield for fiscal years ending January 2021 to 2025 averaged 7.5%, with a peak of 19.0% in January 2023.
Inbound Investments
- In January 2022, Kohl's confirmed receiving takeover proposals, including offers of $64 per share from Acacia Research (backed by Starboard Value) and "at least $65 per share" from Sycamore Partners.
- Kohl's entered exclusive talks with Franchise Group for a potential acquisition at an estimated $8 billion, or $60 per share, which was to be partly funded through Kohl's real estate portfolio.
- Activist investors, including Macellum Capital and Engine Capital, publicly pressured Kohl's to consider a sale of the business.
Capital Expenditures
- Kohl's decreased its planned capital expenditures by approximately $500 million in 2020 in response to COVID-19, with actual capital expenditures for the year at $137 million.
- Capital expenditures were $570 million in 2021, $783 million in 2022, $551 million in 2023, and $460 million in 2024.
- For fiscal year 2025, capital expenditures are projected to be in the range of $400 million to $425 million, with a focus on the Sephora rollout, Impulse Q line expansion, and enhancements to e-commerce fulfillment centers.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to KSS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.3% | 5.3% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.7% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.8% | 1.8% | -1.6% |
| 07312025 | KSS | Kohl's | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 101.9% | 101.9% | -1.0% |
| 01312025 | KSS | Kohl's | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -16.5% | 70.4% | -52.9% |
| 07312024 | KSS | Kohl's | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -35.4% | -45.4% | -69.5% |
| 01312024 | KSS | Kohl's | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -12.3% | -42.3% | -45.4% |
| 02282023 | KSS | Kohl's | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -0.6% | 9.0% | -34.4% |
| 07312022 | KSS | Kohl's | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.8% | 5.9% | -34.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Kohl's
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 126.91 |
| Mkt Cap | 26.8 |
| Rev LTM | 22,370 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,766 |
| FCF LTM | 1,391 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,302 |
| CFO LTM | 2,171 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,992 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -1.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 26.8 |
| P/S | 1.0 |
| P/EBIT | 10.7 |
| P/E | 14.7 |
| P/CFO | 8.9 |
| Total Yield | 10.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 9.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 17.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 52.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 34.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 43.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 6.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 12.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 38.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 20.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -36.8% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Women's | 4,281 | 4,654 | 4,927 | 3,796 | 5,302 |
| Men's | 3,455 | 3,679 | 3,867 | 2,753 | 3,827 |
| Accessories (including Sephora) | 2,813 | 2,279 | 2,100 | 1,638 | 2,217 |
| Home | 2,533 | 2,791 | 3,344 | 3,381 | 3,249 |
| Children's | 2,060 | 2,176 | 2,435 | 2,082 | 2,460 |
| Footwear | 1,444 | 1,582 | 1,798 | 1,381 | 1,830 |
| Other revenue | 937 | 962 | 924 | 1,089 | |
| Total | 16,586 | 18,098 | 19,433 | 15,955 | 19,974 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $21.60 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 2.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/19/1992 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -12.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $19.11 | $12.69 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 13.0% | 70.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 102.4% | 98.9% |
| Downside Capture | 259.49 | 251.39 |
| Upside Capture | 321.21 | 261.92 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 41.1% | 40.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 4.93 | 3.73 | 3.23 | 2.83 | 2.03 | 1.80 |
| Up Beta | 5.90 | 5.65 | 6.32 | 0.98 | 2.06 | 1.81 |
| Down Beta | -0.82 | 2.55 | 2.52 | 2.20 | 1.13 | 1.22 |
| Up Capture | 1184% | 701% | 479% | 982% | 829% | 1094% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 26 | 39 | 74 | 142 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 22 | 34 | 69 | 121 | 351 |
| Down Capture | 292% | 219% | 162% | 211% | 152% | 111% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 20 | 29 | 57 | 127 | 396 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of KSS With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KSS | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 62.4% | 8.3% | 19.2% | 71.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | -10.4% |
| Annualized Volatility | 98.3% | 24.3% | 19.5% | 19.3% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.91 | 0.27 | 0.78 | 2.69 | 0.36 | 0.18 | -0.12 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 45.6% | 40.4% | -0.9% | 14.4% | 34.2% | 17.5% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of KSS With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KSS | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -5.6% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 32.6% |
| Annualized Volatility | 68.1% | 23.8% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.7% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.20 | 0.37 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.51 | 0.17 | 0.59 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 42.9% | 39.8% | 3.4% | 12.8% | 33.8% | 15.8% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of KSS With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KSS | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -2.3% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 69.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 62.7% | 22.0% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.23 | 0.55 | 0.70 | 0.83 | 0.31 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 46.1% | 42.1% | -1.4% | 17.8% | 38.9% | 13.7% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/25/2025 | 42.5% | 46.8% | |
| 8/27/2025 | 24.0% | 21.5% | 24.0% |
| 5/29/2025 | -0.7% | 0.4% | 5.6% |
| 3/11/2025 | -24.1% | -29.0% | -48.0% |
| 11/26/2024 | -17.0% | -16.8% | -16.3% |
| 8/28/2024 | 0.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% |
| 5/30/2024 | -22.9% | -17.6% | -13.7% |
| 3/12/2024 | -6.7% | -7.9% | -12.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| # Negative | 12 | 14 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 7.3% | 11.5% | 12.1% |
| Median Negative | -8.1% | -8.0% | -15.8% |
| Max Positive | 42.5% | 46.8% | 49.1% |
| Max Negative | -24.1% | -29.0% | -60.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | 12032025 | 10-Q 11/1/2025 |
| 7312025 | 9042025 | 10-Q 8/2/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6062025 | 10-Q 5/3/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3202025 | 10-K 2/1/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12052024 | 10-Q 11/2/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9052024 | 10-Q 8/3/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6062024 | 10-Q 5/4/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3212024 | 10-K 2/3/2024 |
| 10312023 | 11302023 | 10-Q 10/28/2023 |
| 7312023 | 8312023 | 10-Q 7/29/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6012023 | 10-Q 4/29/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3162023 | 10-K 1/28/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12012022 | 10-Q 10/29/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9012022 | 10-Q 7/30/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6022022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3172022 | 10-K 1/29/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.