Core & Main (CNM)
Market Price (10/5/2026): $41.34 | Market Cap: $-Sector: Industrials | Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors
Core & Main (CNM)
Market Price (10/5/2026): $41.34Market Cap: $-Sector: IndustrialsIndustry: Trading Companies & Distributors
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -37% | Key risksCNM key risks include [1] high sensitivity to cyclical construction markets, Show more. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -37% |
| Key risksCNM key risks include [1] high sensitivity to cyclical construction markets, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Updated on 10/1/2026
Core & Main (CNM) stock has lost about 15% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Weakness in underlying organic demand overshadowed fiscal Q2 2026 results. Core & Main announced its fiscal Q2 2026 results (for the quarter ended August 2, 2026) on September 9, 2026. Despite reporting a 2.5% increase in net sales to $2,145 million, beating analyst estimates, investor focus shifted to underlying organic growth concerns. The company's six-month revenue growth of only 1.3% was largely attributed to acquisitions, and sales in the storm drainage segment declined due to lower volume, suggesting softness in core business areas.
2. Modest gross margin performance and reaffirmed outlook failed to provide new catalysts. The gross profit margin for fiscal Q2 2026 slightly declined to 26.7% from 26.8% in the prior year. Furthermore, while Core & Main reaffirmed its full-year fiscal 2026 outlook for net sales of $7,800 million to $7,900 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $950 million to $980 million, this was perceived by the market as offering "little new fuel" for growth. This sentiment contributed to a stock decline of as much as 6.2% on the day of the earnings release.
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Core & Main (CNM) stock has lost about 15% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Weakness in underlying organic demand overshadowed fiscal Q2 2026 results. Core & Main announced its fiscal Q2 2026 results (for the quarter ended August 2, 2026) on September 9, 2026. Despite reporting a 2.5% increase in net sales to $2,145 million, beating analyst estimates, investor focus shifted to underlying organic growth concerns. The company's six-month revenue growth of only 1.3% was largely attributed to acquisitions, and sales in the storm drainage segment declined due to lower volume, suggesting softness in core business areas.
2. Modest gross margin performance and reaffirmed outlook failed to provide new catalysts. The gross profit margin for fiscal Q2 2026 slightly declined to 26.7% from 26.8% in the prior year. Furthermore, while Core & Main reaffirmed its full-year fiscal 2026 outlook for net sales of $7,800 million to $7,900 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $950 million to $980 million, this was perceived by the market as offering "little new fuel" for growth. This sentiment contributed to a stock decline of as much as 6.2% on the day of the earnings release.
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Updated on 10/1/2026
Core & Main (CNM) stock has lost about 15% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Weakness in underlying organic demand overshadowed fiscal Q2 2026 results. Core & Main announced its fiscal Q2 2026 results (for the quarter ended August 2, 2026) on September 9, 2026. Despite reporting a 2.5% increase in net sales to $2,145 million, beating analyst estimates, investor focus shifted to underlying organic growth concerns. The company's six-month revenue growth of only 1.3% was largely attributed to acquisitions, and sales in the storm drainage segment declined due to lower volume, suggesting softness in core business areas.
2. Modest gross margin performance and reaffirmed outlook failed to provide new catalysts. The gross profit margin for fiscal Q2 2026 slightly declined to 26.7% from 26.8% in the prior year. Furthermore, while Core & Main reaffirmed its full-year fiscal 2026 outlook for net sales of $7,800 million to $7,900 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $950 million to $980 million, this was perceived by the market as offering "little new fuel" for growth. This sentiment contributed to a stock decline of as much as 6.2% on the day of the earnings release.
3. Broader macroeconomic headwinds pressured valuations in rate-sensitive sectors. Core & Main's stock decline was exacerbated by wider macroeconomic trends. Rising Treasury yields, with the 10-year yield nearing multi-decade highs of 5.1% to 5.16%, exerted pressure on valuations across rate-sensitive sectors, including industrial distribution companies. Additionally, surging oil prices, with Brent crude above $105, contributed to a broader pullback in the industrials sector, impacting cyclical and infrastructure-linked names.
4. Analyst downgrades and price target cuts impacted investor sentiment. Following the fiscal Q2 2026 earnings report, several financial analysts revised their outlooks for Core & Main. For instance, Citi cut its price target to $46 from $53 on September 11, 2026, and Deutsche Bank lowered its target to $55 from $62 on September 10, 2026. Zacks Research also downgraded Core & Main to a 'Strong Sell' rating in September 2026, contributing to negative investor sentiment and reinforcing the stock's downward trend.
Show less
Core & Main (CNM) stock has lost about 15% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Weakness in underlying organic demand overshadowed fiscal Q2 2026 results. Core & Main announced its fiscal Q2 2026 results (for the quarter ended August 2, 2026) on September 9, 2026. Despite reporting a 2.5% increase in net sales to $2,145 million, beating analyst estimates, investor focus shifted to underlying organic growth concerns. The company's six-month revenue growth of only 1.3% was largely attributed to acquisitions, and sales in the storm drainage segment declined due to lower volume, suggesting softness in core business areas.
2. Modest gross margin performance and reaffirmed outlook failed to provide new catalysts. The gross profit margin for fiscal Q2 2026 slightly declined to 26.7% from 26.8% in the prior year. Furthermore, while Core & Main reaffirmed its full-year fiscal 2026 outlook for net sales of $7,800 million to $7,900 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $950 million to $980 million, this was perceived by the market as offering "little new fuel" for growth. This sentiment contributed to a stock decline of as much as 6.2% on the day of the earnings release.
3. Broader macroeconomic headwinds pressured valuations in rate-sensitive sectors. Core & Main's stock decline was exacerbated by wider macroeconomic trends. Rising Treasury yields, with the 10-year yield nearing multi-decade highs of 5.1% to 5.16%, exerted pressure on valuations across rate-sensitive sectors, including industrial distribution companies. Additionally, surging oil prices, with Brent crude above $105, contributed to a broader pullback in the industrials sector, impacting cyclical and infrastructure-linked names.
4. Analyst downgrades and price target cuts impacted investor sentiment. Following the fiscal Q2 2026 earnings report, several financial analysts revised their outlooks for Core & Main. For instance, Citi cut its price target to $46 from $53 on September 11, 2026, and Deutsche Bank lowered its target to $55 from $62 on September 10, 2026. Zacks Research also downgraded Core & Main to a 'Strong Sell' rating in September 2026, contributing to negative investor sentiment and reinforcing the stock's downward trend.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
6/30/2026 to 10/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CNM | -14.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.1% | 47.2% |
| Sector (XLI) | -8.2% | 50.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 10/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CNM | -16.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 18.6% | 42.7% |
| Sector (XLI) | 5.3% | 53.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 10/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CNM | -23.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.5% | 44.9% |
| Sector (XLI) | 11.2% | 61.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
9/30/2023 to 10/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CNM | 43.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 86.2% | 44.5% |
| Sector (XLI) | 74.3% | 53.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CNM Return | 28% | -36% | 109% | 26% | 2% | -20% | 75% |
| Peers Return | 37% | -17% | 47% | 15% | 2% | -3% | 90% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 104% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CNM Win Rate | 67% | 25% | 83% | 58% | 58% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 35% | 60% | 51% | 52% | 49% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 44% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CNM Max Drawdown | - | -39% | -15% | -39% | -34% | -31% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -19% | -33% | -21% | -21% | -26% | -28% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FERG, MWA, SITE, WSO, AIT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/2/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CNM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.8% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 20.3% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 24 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -10.6% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 11.9% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 21 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -33.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.8% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 479 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Core & Main's stock fell -16.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 20.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
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| Event | CNM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -33.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.8% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 479 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Core & Main's stock fell -16.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 20.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Core & Main (CNM)
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Core & Main (CNM) is a leading distributor of essential infrastructure products and services across the United States. The company specializes in providing critical components for water, wastewater, storm drainage, and fire protection systems, playing a vital role in maintaining and developing essential infrastructure.
Its comprehensive product portfolio includes pipes, valves, hydrants, and fittings crucial for water delivery and wastewater management. Core & Main also offers an extensive range of storm drainage solutions, such as corrugated piping systems and retention basins, alongside fire protection products like pipes, sprinkler heads, and complete fire suppression systems, complemented by fabrication services. Additionally, the company provides advanced meter products, including smart meters, installation, and software services.
Core & Main primarily serves a diverse customer base, including municipalities, private water companies, and professional contractors. These products and services are essential for projects within the municipal, non-residential, and residential sectors, supporting the maintenance, repair, replacement, and new construction of vital water and fire protection infrastructure nationwide.
```AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Core & Main (CNM):
- It's like the Home Depot or Lowe's for municipal water, wastewater, and fire infrastructure.
- Think of it as Grainger, but focused exclusively on the pipes, valves, and components for city water, wastewater, and fire protection.
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- Water & Wastewater Infrastructure Products: Includes a wide range of pipes, valves, hydrants, and fittings essential for water distribution and wastewater management systems.
- Storm Drainage Products: Offers systems like corrugated piping, retention basins, inline drains, manholes, and geosynthetics for managing stormwater runoff.
- Fire Protection Products & Services: Provides fire protection pipes, sprinkler heads, fire suppression systems, and related accessories, along with fabrication services.
- Meter Products & Services: Supplies smart meter products, offering installation and software services for efficient utility management.
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Core & Main (CNM) primarily sells to other companies and organizations rather than individuals. Based on the company description, its major customers fall into the following categories:
- Municipalities: These are local government entities responsible for public water, wastewater, storm drainage, and fire protection infrastructure.
- Private Water Companies: These are privately owned businesses that provide water and wastewater services.
- Professional Contractors: These include contractors involved in municipal, non-residential, and residential construction projects that require water, wastewater, storm drainage, and fire protection systems.
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Here is the management team for Core & Main:
Mark Witkowski, Chief Executive Officer
Mark Witkowski was appointed Chief Executive Officer of Core & Main in March 2025. Prior to this role, he served as the company's Chief Financial Officer starting in February 2016. Mr. Witkowski joined Core & Main in 2007 and was previously vice president of finance. He has been instrumental in Core & Main's mergers and acquisition strategy and led the company through its initial public offering in 2021. He has a proven track record of creating value in private equity environments and publicly traded corporations. Earlier in his career, Mr. Witkowski was a senior manager with PricewaterhouseCoopers.
Robyn Bradbury, Chief Financial Officer
Robyn Bradbury was named Chief Financial Officer of Core & Main in March 2025. She joined the company in 2009 and previously held the position of Senior Vice President of Finance and Investor Relations. Ms. Bradbury was pivotal in establishing Core & Main's investor relations function and led the team through the company's successful initial public offering (IPO) in 2021.
Brad Cowles, President
Brad Cowles serves as President of Core & Main, overseeing various areas including waterworks, storm drainage, geosynthetics, and meter product lines. He joined HD Supply in 2005, which included Core & Main's predecessor, HD Supply Waterworks. Mr. Cowles played a key role in the carve-out of the HD Supply Waterworks division to become Core & Main in 2017, partnering with a private equity firm. During his time at HD Supply, he led the information technology integration of more than 30 acquired companies and a divestiture carve-out from The Home Depot under private equity ownership.
Laura Schneider, Chief Human Resources Officer
Laura Schneider is the Chief Human Resources Officer for Core & Main. She joined the company in 2011 as senior director of human resources and was promoted to Chief Human Resources Officer in January 2018. With over 30 years of experience in organizational development and talent management, Ms. Schneider previously spent more than two decades with Anheuser-Busch InBev, where she held roles of increasing responsibility in human resources.
Jeff Giles, Executive Vice President, Corporate Development
Jeff Giles is the Executive Vice President, Corporate Development at Core & Main, a role he assumed in March 2018. He leads the company's strategy and inorganic growth initiatives, including all aspects of mergers and acquisitions. Mr. Giles has been instrumental in expanding Core & Main's offerings and played a key role in the company's successful IPO in July 2021. He has led or participated in over 60 acquisitions during his career. Prior to Core & Main, he was the Director of Corporate Development for Barry-Wehmiller Group and, before that, served as Vice President and Director of Business Development at Bertram Capital, a private equity firm.
Mark Witkowski was appointed Chief Executive Officer of Core & Main in March 2025. Prior to this role, he served as the company's Chief Financial Officer starting in February 2016. Mr. Witkowski joined Core & Main in 2007 and was previously vice president of finance. He has been instrumental in Core & Main's mergers and acquisition strategy and led the company through its initial public offering in 2021. He has a proven track record of creating value in private equity environments and publicly traded corporations. Earlier in his career, Mr. Witkowski was a senior manager with PricewaterhouseCoopers.
Robyn Bradbury, Chief Financial Officer
Robyn Bradbury was named Chief Financial Officer of Core & Main in March 2025. She joined the company in 2009 and previously held the position of Senior Vice President of Finance and Investor Relations. Ms. Bradbury was pivotal in establishing Core & Main's investor relations function and led the team through the company's successful initial public offering (IPO) in 2021.
Brad Cowles, President
Brad Cowles serves as President of Core & Main, overseeing various areas including waterworks, storm drainage, geosynthetics, and meter product lines. He joined HD Supply in 2005, which included Core & Main's predecessor, HD Supply Waterworks. Mr. Cowles played a key role in the carve-out of the HD Supply Waterworks division to become Core & Main in 2017, partnering with a private equity firm. During his time at HD Supply, he led the information technology integration of more than 30 acquired companies and a divestiture carve-out from The Home Depot under private equity ownership.
Laura Schneider, Chief Human Resources Officer
Laura Schneider is the Chief Human Resources Officer for Core & Main. She joined the company in 2011 as senior director of human resources and was promoted to Chief Human Resources Officer in January 2018. With over 30 years of experience in organizational development and talent management, Ms. Schneider previously spent more than two decades with Anheuser-Busch InBev, where she held roles of increasing responsibility in human resources.
Jeff Giles, Executive Vice President, Corporate Development
Jeff Giles is the Executive Vice President, Corporate Development at Core & Main, a role he assumed in March 2018. He leads the company's strategy and inorganic growth initiatives, including all aspects of mergers and acquisitions. Mr. Giles has been instrumental in expanding Core & Main's offerings and played a key role in the company's successful IPO in July 2021. He has led or participated in over 60 acquisitions during his career. Prior to Core & Main, he was the Director of Corporate Development for Barry-Wehmiller Group and, before that, served as Vice President and Director of Business Development at Bertram Capital, a private equity firm.
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The key risks to Core & Main's business include its significant exposure to municipal spending and the broader construction market, sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations, and potential supply chain disruptions and commodity price volatility.
The most significant risk stems from Core & Main's heavy reliance on municipal infrastructure spending and the overall health of the construction market. Approximately 42% of the company's fiscal year 2024 sales were linked to the municipality market. Consequently, any uncertainty in U.S. government budgets, reduced federal funding, or broader economic downturns that impact municipal, non-residential, and residential construction can directly and negatively affect the demand for its products and services.
A second key risk is the company's sensitivity to interest rates, particularly concerning the housing market. Sustained high interest rates could considerably reduce demand for Core & Main's water and fire protection products, as the company relies heavily on the housing market. Additionally, Core & Main is exposed to interest rate risk due due to its variable-rate debt, meaning unfavorable interest rate movements could lead to increased interest expenses.
Finally, Core & Main faces risks related to its supply chain and commodity price fluctuations. The company depends on a global supply chain to source its products, making it vulnerable to disruptions that could impede its ability to meet customer demand. Furthermore, while Core & Main has benefited from rising commodity prices in the past, a reversal with falling commodity prices could negate these profit boosts.
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Core & Main's main products and services operate within addressable markets primarily in the United States. The company focuses on distributing water, wastewater, storm drainage, and fire protection products and related services.
The estimated total addressable market for Core & Main's core products, which include water, wastewater, storm drainage, and fire protection end markets, is approximately $40 billion in the United States. This figure encompasses the various products and services Core & Main provides to municipalities, private water companies, and professional contractors.
Within its offerings, the U.S. fire protection system market, a component of Core & Main's business, was valued at an estimated $25.94 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $32.26 billion by 2030. For North America, the fire protection system market is expected to grow from $30.53 billion in 2025 to $42.95 billion by 2030.
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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Core & Main (CNM) over the next 2-3 years:
- Aging Water Infrastructure & Municipal Investments: Core & Main is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing need to repair, replace, and upgrade aging water, wastewater, and storm drainage infrastructure across the United States. This demand is further bolstered by government stimulus programs, such as the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA), which provide funding for these essential projects.
- Strategic Acquisitions & Geographic Expansion: The company has a stated strategy of expanding its geographic footprint and market penetration through both organic growth and the acquisition of smaller regional distributors. Recent acquisitions, such as Canada Waterworks, and the opening of new locations demonstrate this ongoing initiative to increase its total addressable market and enhance its service offerings.
- Growth in Storm Drainage & Climate Adaptation Solutions: Demand for storm drainage products and solutions is rapidly emerging as a significant contributor to revenue growth. This is driven by climate change, urbanization, and the increasing need for flood control and stormwater management systems, leading towns and municipalities to invest in upgrading and expanding their drainage infrastructure.
- Expansion in Non-Residential & Emerging Industrial Markets: Beyond municipal work, Core & Main expects growth from non-residential construction projects, including highways, streets, and institutional developments. Additionally, emerging industrial markets, such as the buildout of AI data centers, are expected to drive demand for the company's products.
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Share Repurchases
- Core & Main increased its total share repurchase authorization to $1 billion as of December 8, 2025.
- As of December 8, 2025, the company had repurchased approximately $316 million of its Class A common stock under the program.
- Approximately $684 million remained available for future share repurchases as of December 8, 2025.
Share Issuance
- Core & Main issued and sold 34,883,721 shares of its Class A common stock at an initial public offer price of $20.00 per share during its Initial Public Offering on July 27, 2021.
- On August 20, 2021, an additional 5,232,558 shares of Class A common stock were issued due to the full exercise of the underwriters' option.
Inbound Investments
- Tribune Investment Group acquired 335,000 shares of Core & Main, valued at approximately $18.03 million, in Q3 (likely 2025, based on article date).
Outbound Investments
- Core & Main has a strategy to expand its geographic footprint, add key talent, or add new product lines through mergers and acquisitions.
- The company completed 9 acquisitions in 2024 and 8 acquisitions in 2023.
- Recent acquisitions include Pioneer Supply (January 2026), Canada Waterworks (September 2025), Eastern Supply (February 2024), Foster Supply, and J.W. D'Angelo Co. (August 2023).
Capital Expenditures
- In Q3 fiscal year 2025, $8 million was directed towards capital expenditures.
- Capital allocation priorities include organic growth and operational initiatives.
- The company plans to continue expanding into new markets and enhancing operational efficiencies, which typically involve capital expenditures.
Peer Outperformance in Trading Companies & Distributors
CNM has outperformed 56% of its 18 Trading Companies & Distributors peers over 5Y. Trading Companies & Distributors ranks 5th of 23 industries in Industrials by median 5Y return.
Share of Trading Companies & Distributors constituents that CNM has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
26%
of 19 industry peers · -21.3% return
3Y
56%
of 18 industry peers · 38.7% return
5Y
56%
of 18 industry peers · 52.5% return
No Trading Companies & Distributors peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten CNM by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Industrials sector, ranked by 5Y. Trading Companies & Distributors is CNM's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Construction & Engineering | 31 | 9.9% | 133.1% | 195.8% | CDNL 2264% · STRL 2206% · FIX 2205% |
| Marine Transportation | 5 | 88.0% | 70.6% | 178.4% | HOS 39847% · MATX 195% · KEX 178% |
| Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment | 13 | 3.5% | 54.9% | 103.6% | CAT 379% · ALSN 253% · WAB 231% |
| Aerospace & Defense | 54 | -12.8% | 64.8% | 71.1% | ATI 1031% · FTAI 826% · HWM 631% |
| Trading Companies & Distributors ← | 19 | 5.0% | 37.3% | 52.1% | DXPE 518% · AIT 284% · WCC 224% |
| Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components | 72 | 14.5% | 52.3% | 50.2% | CRS 1129% · PSIX 1065% · EROC 627% |
| Rail Transportation | 7 | 20.0% | 62.7% | 48.3% | FSTR 138% · RAIL 64% · CSX 61% |
| Cargo Ground Transportation | 16 | 37.3% | 5.9% | 34.2% | XPO 287% · R 220% · CVLG 155% |
| Electrical Components & Equipment | 39 | 7.3% | 67.1% | 31.8% | POWL 2405% · BE 1469% · VRT 996% |
| Diversified Support Services | 33 | 9.3% | 33.6% | 30.2% | LIME 3065% · TH 369% · CXW 274% |
| Building Products | 33 | -14.9% | 3.0% | 17.7% | LMB 624% · GFF 356% · PPIH 269% |
| Industrial Conglomerates | 17 | 9.6% | 6.0% | -0.5% | RCMT 614% · CSW 133% · CSL 73% |
| Agricultural & Farm Machinery | 17 | 11.6% | 4.0% | -4.5% | BLBD 175% · DE 117% · GENC 59% |
| Environmental & Facilities Services | 30 | -18.6% | 21.1% | -8.2% | CECO 924% · ADUR 438% · NVRI 314% |
| Passenger Ground Transportation | 3 | -29.5% | 50.8% | -9.1% | UBER 49% · CAR -9% · LYFT -71% |
| Research & Consulting Services | 13 | -12.4% | -28.6% | -15.8% | HURN 221% · CRAI 72% · GRNQ 37% |
| Security & Alarm Services | 9 | -38.7% | 37.8% | -20.5% | CIX 156% · MG 110% · NL 70% |
| Office Services & Supplies | 9 | 13.5% | 18.9% | -28.5% | PBI 181% · TILE 123% · HNI 47% |
| Data Processing & Outsourced Services | 6 | -36.4% | -16.5% | -28.6% | EXLS 43% · BR 4% · G -25% |
| Passenger Airlines | 11 | 13.1% | 21.1% | -35.8% | LTM 2944% · UAL 121% · DAL 95% |
| Air Freight & Logistics | 12 | -32.1% | -21.8% | -37.2% | CHRW 103% · FDX 79% · EXPD 77% |
| Human Resource & Employment Services | 22 | 1.7% | -17.6% | -40.0% | BBSI 63% · ADP 41% · HQI 4% |
| Airport Services | 3 | -76.8% | -78.7% | -71.2% | JOBY -35% · ASLE -71% · UP -100% |
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 156.40 |
| Mkt Cap | 11.4 |
| Rev LTM | 4,967 |
| Op Inc LTM | 549 |
| FCF LTM | 461 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 424 |
| CFO LTM | 484 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 449 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.5% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 24.1% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 5.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 9.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 11.4 |
| P/S | 1.6 |
| P/Op Inc | 15.7 |
| P/EBIT | 15.7 |
| P/E | 24.0 |
| P/CFO | 15.6 |
| Total Yield | 7.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $41.35 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 7.7 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/23/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -30.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $43.65 | $49.27 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -5.3% | -16.1% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 28.1% | 32.9% |
| Downside Capture | 177.35 | 148.15 |
| Upside Capture | 104.39 | 94.96 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 49.8% | 45.1% |
CNM Betas & Captures as of 9/30/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.99 | 1.24 | 1.32 | 1.12 | 1.14 | 1.12 |
| Up Beta | -2.53 | 1.22 | 1.13 | 0.79 | 0.89 | 1.17 |
| Down Beta | 0.02 | 0.15 | 0.66 | 0.80 | 1.20 | 0.94 |
| Up Capture | 137% | 111% | 112% | 88% | 92% | 133% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 6 | 16 | 27 | 66 | 132 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 18 | 28 | 58 | 116 | 388 |
| Down Capture | 170% | 184% | 199% | 171% | 129% | 105% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 16 | 26 | 37 | 60 | 120 | 328 |
| Stock -ve Days | 13 | 24 | 36 | 68 | 136 | 361 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CNM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNM | -21.5% | 32.8% | -0.70 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 11.5% | 17.3% | 0.46 | 61.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.2% | 13.0% | 0.88 | 45.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 6.8% | 29.6% | 0.22 | 15.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 44.9% | 20.8% | 1.67 | -20.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.5% | 13.6% | -0.15 | 26.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -28.9% | 44.3% | -0.64 | 16.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CNM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNM | 8.9% | 38.5% | 0.32 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 12.6% | 17.6% | 0.55 | 53.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.1% | 17.2% | 0.58 | 48.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.4% | 18.9% | 0.79 | 5.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.3% | 19.6% | 0.41 | 2.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 0.7% | 18.8% | -0.07 | 36.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 14.6% | 52.2% | 0.45 | 19.1% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CNM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNM | 5.7% | 39.5% | 0.38 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.2% | 20.0% | 0.58 | 51.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 47.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.5% | 16.4% | 0.57 | 6.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 18.1% | 0.37 | 3.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.2% | 20.7% | 0.16 | 34.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 64.1% | 66.2% | 1.04 | 17.9% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 9/18/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 9/9/2026 | -5.6% | -6.8% | |
| 6/10/2026 | -6.1% | -9.3% | -12.9% |
| 3/24/2026 | 4.5% | -1.4% | 1.1% |
| 12/9/2025 | 2.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% |
| 9/9/2025 | -25.4% | -25.3% | -23.6% |
| 6/10/2025 | -2.1% | -5.6% | 3.8% |
| 3/25/2025 | -0.2% | -2.7% | 1.6% |
| 12/3/2024 | 15.5% | 11.5% | 6.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 8 | 12 |
| # Negative | 8 | 13 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 3.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% |
| Median Negative | -6.4% | -6.0% | -6.6% |
| Max Positive | 15.5% | 12.7% | 18.4% |
| Max Negative | -25.4% | -25.3% | -23.6% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 9/9/2026 | -5.6% | -6.8% | |
| 6/10/2026 | -6.1% | -9.3% | -12.9% |
| 3/24/2026 | 4.5% | -1.4% | 1.1% |
| 12/9/2025 | 2.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% |
| 9/9/2025 | -25.4% | -25.3% | -23.6% |
| 6/10/2025 | -2.1% | -5.6% | 3.8% |
| 3/25/2025 | -0.2% | -2.7% | 1.6% |
| 12/3/2024 | 15.5% | 11.5% | 6.3% |
| 9/4/2024 | -15.8% | -18.5% | -6.5% |
| 6/4/2024 | -14.5% | -14.7% | -12.8% |
| 3/19/2024 | 7.5% | 12.7% | 8.0% |
| 12/5/2023 | 1.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% |
| 9/6/2023 | -6.6% | -4.3% | -4.6% |
| 6/6/2023 | 3.4% | 3.8% | 11.8% |
| 3/28/2023 | 3.5% | 8.3% | 18.4% |
| 12/13/2022 | 1.6% | -7.0% | 4.2% |
| 9/13/2022 | 2.5% | -2.7% | -6.8% |
| 6/14/2022 | 3.1% | 0.9% | -2.0% |
| 3/30/2022 | 1.4% | -0.2% | 1.0% |
| 12/7/2021 | 9.3% | 1.1% | 2.6% |
| 9/14/2021 | 0.9% | -6.0% | -5.0% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 8 | 12 |
| # Negative | 8 | 13 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 3.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% |
| Median Negative | -6.4% | -6.0% | -6.6% |
| Max Positive | 15.5% | 12.7% | 18.4% |
| Max Negative | -25.4% | -25.3% | -23.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 07/31/2026 | 09/09/2026 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2026 | 06/10/2026 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2026 | 03/24/2026 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 09/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 03/25/2025 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/03/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 09/04/2024 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/04/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 03/19/2024 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 09/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/13/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 07/31/2026 | 09/09/2026 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2026 | 06/10/2026 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2026 | 03/24/2026 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 09/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 03/25/2025 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/03/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 09/04/2024 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/04/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 03/19/2024 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 09/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/13/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 09/13/2022 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2022 | 06/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2022 | 03/30/2022 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2021 | 12/07/2021 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2021 | 09/14/2021 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2021 | 07/26/2021 | 424B4 |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 10/4/2026Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 9/9/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Net Sales | Reported | 7.80 Bil | 7.85 Bil | 7.90 Bil | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 7.85 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Net Sales Growth | Reported | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 2.5% for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | Reported | 950.00 Mil | 965.00 Mil | 980.00 Mil | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 965.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin | Reported | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 12.3% for 2026 | |
| 2026 Operating Cash Flow of Adjusted EBITDA | Reported | 0.6 | 0.65 | 0.7 | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.65 for 2026 | |
Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 6/10/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Operating Cash Flow | Reported | 0.6 | 0.65 | 0.7 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.65 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Net sales | Reported | 7.80 Bil | 7.85 Bil | 7.90 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 7.85 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Net sales growth | Reported | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 2.5% for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | Reported | 950.00 Mil | 965.00 Mil | 980.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 965.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin | Reported | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 12.3% for 2026 | |
Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/24/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Operating Cash Flow | Reported | 0.6 | 0.65 | 0.7 | ||||
| 2026 Revenue | Reported | 7.80 Bil | 7.85 Bil | 7.90 Bil | 2.6% | Higher New | Actual: 7.65 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Revenue Growth | Reported | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 0 | Same New | Actual: 2.5% for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | Reported | 950.00 Mil | 965.00 Mil | 980.00 Mil | 3.8% | Higher New | Actual: 930.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin | Reported | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 0.2% | Higher New | Actual: 12.15% for 2025 | |
Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 12/9/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Operating Cash Flow | Reported | 550.00 Mil | 580.00 Mil | 610.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 580.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Revenue | Reported | 7.60 Bil | 7.65 Bil | 7.70 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 7.65 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Revenue Growth | Reported | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 2.5% for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | Reported | 920.00 Mil | 930.00 Mil | 940.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 930.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA Margin | Reported | 12.1% | 12.15% | 12.2% | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 12.15% for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 8/5/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hope, James D | Direct | Buy | 7082026 | 46.01 | 2,067 | 95,111 | 543,195 | Form | |
| 2 | Bradbury, Robyn L | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 4212026 | 52.54 | 5,000 | 262,724 | 656,810 | Form |
| 3 | Hope, James D | Direct | Buy | 4092026 | 50.70 | 1,972 | 99,971 | 351,773 | Form | |
| 4 | Witkowski, Mark R | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 8202025 | 64.08 | 100,000 | 6,408,210 | 2,297,151 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hope, James D | Direct | Buy | 7082026 | 46.01 | 2,067 | 95,111 | 543,195 | Form | |
| 2 | Bradbury, Robyn L | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 4212026 | 52.54 | 5,000 | 262,724 | 656,810 | Form |
| 3 | Hope, James D | Direct | Buy | 4092026 | 50.70 | 1,972 | 99,971 | 351,773 | Form | |
| 4 | Witkowski, Mark R | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 8202025 | 64.08 | 100,000 | 6,408,210 | 2,297,151 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Oct 5, 202613F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)
Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camrose Capital Investment Partners LLP | $112.0 Mil | 14.7% | 10 | ADD +30.5% | 13F |
| CDAM (UK) Ltd | $62.4 Mil | 13.8% | 11 | Hold | 13F |
| Forest Avenue Capital Management LP | $89.3 Mil | 5.6% | 25 | Hold | 13F |
| ACK Asset Management LLC | $44.5 Mil | 5.5% | 20 | Hold | 13F |
| Goodnow Investment Group, LLC | $37.2 Mil | 4.1% | 29 | Hold | 13F |
| Spruce House Investment Management LLC | $106.2 Mil | 3.8% | 11 | Hold | 13F |
| Fernbridge Capital Management LP | $57.9 Mil | 3.7% | 17 | TRIM -24.2% | 13F |
| Dendur Capital LP | $44.4 Mil | 3.3% | 21 | Hold | 13F |
| Two Creeks Capital Management, LP | $20.0 Mil | 2.1% | 21 | New | 13F |
| Trigran Investments, Inc. | $7.9 Mil | 1.9% | 33 | ADD +88.2% | 13F |
| Hill City Capital, LP | $42.9 Mil | 1.5% | 23 | ADD +8.9% | 13F |
| GCM Grosvenor Holdings, LLC | $6.9 Mil | 0.8% | 22 | TRIM -26.9% | 13F |
| Local Pensions Partnership Investment Ltd | $19.9 Mil | 0.4% | 32 | TRIM -25.8% | 13F |
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | As Of | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D1 Capital Partners L.P. | $137.6 Mil | 1.3% | 42 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| XN LP | $36.3 Mil | 1.0% | 26 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Anomaly Capital Management, LP | $36.1 Mil | 1.3% | 32 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Bayberry Capital Partners LP | $13.4 Mil | 4.3% | 24 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| GCM Grosvenor Holdings, LLC | $6.9 Mil | 0.8% | 22 | TRIM -26.9% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| Local Pensions Partnership Investment Ltd | $19.9 Mil | 0.4% | 32 | TRIM -25.8% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| Fernbridge Capital Management LP | $57.9 Mil | 3.7% | 17 | TRIM -24.2% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camrose Capital Investment Partners LLP | $112.0 Mil | 14.7% | 10 | ADD +30.5% | 13F |
| Spruce House Investment Management LLC | $106.2 Mil | 3.8% | 11 | Hold | 13F |
| Forest Avenue Capital Management LP | $89.3 Mil | 5.6% | 25 | Hold | 13F |
| CDAM (UK) Ltd | $62.4 Mil | 13.8% | 11 | Hold | 13F |
| Fernbridge Capital Management LP | $57.9 Mil | 3.7% | 17 | TRIM -24.2% | 13F |
| ACK Asset Management LLC | $44.5 Mil | 5.5% | 20 | Hold | 13F |
| Dendur Capital LP | $44.4 Mil | 3.3% | 21 | Hold | 13F |
| Hill City Capital, LP | $42.9 Mil | 1.5% | 23 | ADD +8.9% | 13F |
| Goodnow Investment Group, LLC | $37.2 Mil | 4.1% | 29 | Hold | 13F |
| Two Creeks Capital Management, LP | $20.0 Mil | 2.1% | 21 | New | 13F |
| Local Pensions Partnership Investment Ltd | $19.9 Mil | 0.4% | 32 | TRIM -25.8% | 13F |
| Trigran Investments, Inc. | $7.9 Mil | 1.9% | 33 | ADD +88.2% | 13F |
| GCM Grosvenor Holdings, LLC | $6.9 Mil | 0.8% | 22 | TRIM -26.9% | 13F |
Industry Resources
| Industrials Resources |
| IndustryWeek |
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| Aviation Week |
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External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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