Tearsheet

Fastenal (FAST)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $41.99 | Market Cap: $48.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors

Fastenal (FAST)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $41.99
Market Cap: $48.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FAST Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for the -16.6% movement in Fastenal (FAST) stock from approximately late August 2025 to early December 2025: 1. Fastenal's Third-Quarter 2025 Earnings Missed Expectations.

Fastenal reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 13, 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) of $0.29, narrowly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.30 per share. Similarly, net sales for the quarter reached $2.13 billion, falling just shy of analysts' consensus estimates of $2.14 billion. This shortfall in earnings and sales served as a primary catalyst for the stock's significant downturn. 2. A Soft Manufacturing Environment Continued to Impact Performance.

The company cited a "soft manufacturing environment" and "weak industrial production trends" as ongoing challenges that affected its results. This persistent softness in the manufacturing sector contributed to slower sales growth and concerns about future demand for Fastenal's products.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FAST Return37%34%-24%41%14%15%155%
Peers Return25%37%4%35%22%17%241%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FAST Win Rate50%75%33%75%58%80% 
Peers Win Rate58%67%47%58%62%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FAST Max Drawdown-23%-9%-30%-2%-4%-1% 
Peers Max Drawdown-45%-6%-22%-9%-9%-12% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JCI, GWW, AIT, MSM, URI. See FAST Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFASTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-31.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven430 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-27.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven38.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven46 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-23.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven30.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven101 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-52.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven112.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven409 days1480 days

Compare to JCI, GWW, AIT, MSM, URI


In The Past

Fastenal's stock fell -31.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/29/2021. A -31.9% loss requires a 46.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Fastenal (FAST)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FAST. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
FAST_5312019_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%05312019FASTFastenalQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
17.6%38.5%-6.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
FAST_5312019_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%05312019FASTFastenalQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
17.6%38.5%-6.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Fastenal

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FASTJCIGWWAITMSMURIMedian
NameFastenal Johnson .W.W. Gra.Applied .MSC Indu.United R. 
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Growth & Margins

FASTJCIGWWAITMSMURIMedian
NameFastenal Johnson .W.W. Gra.Applied .MSC Indu.United R. 
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Valuation

FASTJCIGWWAITMSMURIMedian
NameFastenal Johnson .W.W. Gra.Applied .MSC Indu.United R. 
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Returns

FASTJCIGWWAITMSMURIMedian
NameFastenal Johnson .W.W. Gra.Applied .MSC Indu.United R. 
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Fasteners2,3802,3732,0021,6891,824
Safety supplies1,5581,4521,2741,440955
Tools624586511463528
Janitorial supplies617558493553416
Hydraulics & pneumatics492454385333363
Material handling411398337288315
Cutting tools389349301265304
Electrical supplies338307258232251
Welding supplies301272228198224
Other235230222186155
Total7,3476,9816,0115,6475,334


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity27,692,749
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120255.4%
Average Daily Volume6,600,282
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.20
Basic Shares Quantity1,147,900,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251016202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025717202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025416202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024206202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241016202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024717202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024416202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023206202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231017202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023718202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023418202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022207202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221018202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022718202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022418202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021207202210-K 12/31/2021