Tearsheet

Fastenal (FAST)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $41.855 | Market Cap: $48.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors

Fastenal (FAST)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $41.855
Market Cap: $48.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -6.2%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 35x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 47x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
  Key risks
FAST key risks include [1] intense competitive pricing pressure from industrial rivals and Amazon Business, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -6.2%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 35x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 47x
5 Key risks
FAST key risks include [1] intense competitive pricing pressure from industrial rivals and Amazon Business, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FAST Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Fastenal (FAST) experienced a notable stock decline of approximately 15.2% between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025. This movement can be attributed to several key factors during this period.

1. Q3 2025 Earnings Miss on EPS: Fastenal reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings on October 13, 2025, with an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.29, falling slightly short of the expected $0.30. This represented a 3.33% negative surprise and contributed to cautious investor sentiment, resulting in a pre-market stock decline of 0.9% immediately following the announcement. While revenue met expectations at $2.13 billion, the EPS miss was a key point for the stock's performance.

2. Sluggish Industrial Economy and Macroeconomic Concerns: Management commentary during the Q3 2025 earnings call highlighted a "sluggish industrial environment," with the Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) averaging around 48.6 in the quarter, indicating contraction. This broader economic weakness in the industrial sector, despite Fastenal's efforts in market share gains, likely weighed on investor outlook for the company's future performance.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FAST Return37%34%-24%41%14%20%167%
Peers Return19%35%11%28%7%17%188%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FAST Win Rate50%75%33%75%58%75% 
Peers Win Rate55%62%48%55%57%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FAST Max Drawdown-23%-9%-30%-2%-4%-1% 
Peers Max Drawdown-50%-7%-15%-9%-14%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GWW, MSM, WCC, AIT, GPC. See FAST Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFASTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-31.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven430 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-27.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven38.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven46 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-23.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven30.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven101 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-52.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven112.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven409 days1,480 days

Compare to JCI, GWW, AIT, MSM, URI


In The Past

Fastenal's stock fell -31.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/29/2021. A -31.9% loss requires a 46.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Fastenal (FAST)

Better Bets than Fastenal (FAST)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FAST. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
FAST_5312019_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%05312019FASTFastenalQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
17.6%38.5%-6.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
FAST_5312019_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%05312019FASTFastenalQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
17.6%38.5%-6.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Fastenal

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FASTGWWMSMWCCAITGPCMedian
NameFastenal W.W. Gra.MSC Indu.WESCO In.Applied .Genuine . 
Mkt Price41.871,020.0586.10250.39256.73128.06189.22
Mkt Cap48.148.84.812.29.717.815.0
Rev LTM7,99817,7503,77022,9424,66424,06112,874
Op Inc LTM1,6162,4943131,2115141,4151,313
FCF LTM9651,232241250455134353
FCF 3Y Avg1,0691,510386596407631613
CFO LTM1,2102,048334330484666575
CFO 3Y Avg1,2792,0414816904341,140915

Growth & Margins

FASTGWWMSMWCCAITGPCMedian
NameFastenal W.W. Gra.MSC Indu.WESCO In.Applied .Genuine . 
Rev Chg LTM6.9%4.8%-1.3%5.3%4.0%3.3%4.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.5%6.3%0.9%3.6%5.5%4.1%4.8%
Rev Chg Q11.7%6.1%2.7%12.9%9.2%4.9%7.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.9%1.5%0.7%3.2%2.2%1.2%1.9%
Op Mgn LTM20.2%14.1%8.3%5.3%11.0%5.9%9.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg20.4%14.9%10.4%5.8%11.0%6.7%10.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%-1.2%-0.2%-0.1%0.1%0.1%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM15.1%11.5%8.9%1.4%10.4%2.8%9.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg16.9%12.0%12.4%3.1%9.6%4.9%10.8%
FCF/Rev LTM12.1%6.9%6.4%1.1%9.8%0.6%6.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg14.2%8.9%9.9%2.7%9.0%2.7%8.9%

Valuation

FASTGWWMSMWCCAITGPCMedian
NameFastenal W.W. Gra.MSC Indu.WESCO In.Applied .Genuine . 
Mkt Cap48.148.84.812.29.717.815.0
P/S7.02.61.40.42.10.81.7
P/EBIT34.718.117.98.518.416.118.0
P/E45.926.325.815.924.523.825.2
P/CFO46.522.215.431.220.429.025.6
Total Yield3.9%4.3%3.9%7.1%4.4%7.1%4.4%
Dividend Yield1.7%0.5%0.0%0.8%0.4%2.9%0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.7%3.5%7.4%7.4%5.1%3.2%4.3%
D/E0.00.10.10.60.10.30.1
Net D/E0.00.00.10.60.00.30.1

Returns

FASTGWWMSMWCCAITGPCMedian
NameFastenal W.W. Gra.MSC Indu.WESCO In.Applied .Genuine . 
1M Rtn5.5%10.5%0.4%1.2%6.7%2.0%3.7%
3M Rtn-10.7%2.5%-4.7%17.0%-0.9%-7.3%-2.8%
6M Rtn1.9%-1.7%6.9%42.2%13.9%9.4%8.2%
12M Rtn10.1%-8.1%10.4%35.8%1.7%11.6%10.3%
3Y Rtn88.6%87.6%18.1%114.1%112.7%-21.1%88.1%
1M Excs Rtn4.7%9.7%-0.3%0.5%6.0%1.2%3.0%
3M Excs Rtn-12.2%0.4%-7.7%15.3%-3.5%-7.8%-5.6%
6M Excs Rtn-10.5%-14.1%-5.5%29.8%1.5%-3.0%-4.2%
12M Excs Rtn-2.1%-21.0%-3.3%21.4%-12.4%-2.0%-2.7%
3Y Excs Rtn6.3%8.2%-53.6%38.7%35.9%-91.8%7.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Fasteners2,3802,3732,0021,6891,824
Safety supplies1,5581,4521,2741,440955
Tools624586511463528
Janitorial supplies617558493553416
Hydraulics & pneumatics492454385333363
Material handling411398337288315
Cutting tools389349301265304
Electrical supplies338307258232251
Welding supplies301272228198224
Other235230222186155
Total7,3476,9816,0115,6475,334


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity29,427,595
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520256.3%
Average Daily Volume6,758,443
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.35
Basic Shares Quantity1,147,900,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/14/20251.0%1.6%-2.0%
7/14/20254.2%6.4%11.1%
4/11/20256.4%7.6%6.3%
1/17/20251.8%1.0%0.6%
10/11/20249.8%10.9%19.7%
7/12/20242.0%7.3%4.0%
4/11/2024-6.5%-8.4%-9.0%
1/18/20247.2%8.6%11.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131517
# Negative1197
Median Positive3.1%5.0%9.6%
Median Negative-1.6%-4.6%-5.6%
Max Positive9.8%10.9%21.1%
Max Negative-6.5%-8.4%-9.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251016202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025717202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025416202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024206202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241016202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024717202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024416202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023206202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231017202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023718202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023418202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022207202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221018202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022718202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022418202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021207202210-K 12/31/2021