Tearsheet

Watsco (WSO)


Market Price (12/24/2025): $345.86 | Market Cap: $13.1 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors

Watsco (WSO)


Market Price (12/24/2025): $345.86
Market Cap: $13.1 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -59%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -33%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 1.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.3%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
  Key risks
WSO key risks include [1] navigating the complex, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electrification of Everything, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Heat Pump Technology, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electrification of Everything, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Heat Pump Technology, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -59%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -33%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 1.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.3%
5 Key risks
WSO key risks include [1] navigating the complex, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

WSO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points explaining the stock movement for Watsco (WSO) by -13.3% in the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to today:

1. Watsco missed third-quarter 2025 earnings and revenue estimates. The company reported earnings of $3.98 per share, falling short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.21, and revenues of $2.07 billion, missing the consensus estimate of $2.17 billion. This dual miss on both top and bottom lines led to a "decidedly negative" market reaction and a "clear downward trend" in the stock, including a decline of over 11% in the month leading up to the October 29, 2025, announcement.

2. Deteriorating HVAC market conditions contributed to the decline. On October 15, 2025, William Blair downgraded Watsco from Outperform to Market Perform, specifically citing "deteriorating HVAC market conditions," particularly in the southern United States.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -11.9% change in WSO stock from 9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a -10.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
923202512232025Change
Stock Price ($)392.25345.76-11.85%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)7507.537414.49-1.24%
Net Income Margin (%)7.08%7.04%-0.55%
P/E Multiple27.9125.07-10.17%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)37.8337.86-0.09%
Cumulative Contribution-11.85%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
WSO-11.9% 
Market (SPY)3.7%42.9%
Sector (XLI)2.6%60.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -18.6% change in WSO stock from 6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a -17.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
624202512232025Change
Stock Price ($)424.90345.76-18.63%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)7584.417414.49-2.24%
Net Income Margin (%)6.98%7.04%0.89%
P/E Multiple30.3025.07-17.26%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)37.7537.86-0.29%
Cumulative Contribution-18.63%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
WSO-18.6% 
Market (SPY)13.7%38.3%
Sector (XLI)8.7%59.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The -27.3% change in WSO stock from 12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a -26.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1223202412232025Change
Stock Price ($)475.37345.76-27.27%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)7467.557414.49-0.71%
Net Income Margin (%)6.99%7.04%0.73%
P/E Multiple34.2025.07-26.68%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)37.5537.86-0.82%
Cumulative Contribution-27.27%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
WSO-27.3% 
Market (SPY)16.7%44.8%
Sector (XLI)19.1%56.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 48.4% change in WSO stock from 12/24/2022 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 64.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1224202212232025Change
Stock Price ($)232.93345.7648.44%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)7204.997414.492.91%
Net Income Margin (%)7.53%7.04%-6.46%
P/E Multiple15.2225.0764.70%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)35.4537.86-6.80%
Cumulative Contribution47.75%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/24/2023 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
WSO-14.6% 
Market (SPY)48.4%48.0%
Sector (XLI)42.3%59.5%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
WSO Return31%42%-18%77%13%-25%130%
Peers Return�����25%�
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WSO Win Rate50%58%25%67%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate����65%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WSO Max Drawdown-22%-0%-26%0%-11%-30% 
Peers Max Drawdown�����-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FERG, CARR, TT, LII, FIX. See WSO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/23/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventWSOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-28.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven225 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-24.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven107 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-30.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven44.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven570 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-50.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven102.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,057 days1,480 days

Compare to PH, GWW, RS, WHR, HDSN

In The Past

Watsco's stock fell -28.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/15/2021. A -28.2% loss requires a 39.2% gain to breakeven.

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About Watsco (WSO)

Watsco, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, distributes air conditioning, heating, refrigeration equipment, and related parts and supplies. The company distributes equipment comprising residential ducted and ductless air conditioners, such as gas, electric, and oil furnaces; commercial air conditioning and heating equipment systems; and other specialized equipment. It also offers parts, including replacement compressors, evaporator coils, motors, and other component parts; and supplies, such as thermostats, insulation materials, refrigerants, ductworks, grills, registers, sheet metals, tools, copper tubing, concrete pads, tapes, adhesives, and other ancillary supplies, as well as plumbing and bathroom remodeling supplies. The company serves contractors and dealers that service the replacement and new construction markets for residential and light commercial central air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration systems. As of December 31, 2021, it operated from 671 locations in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and Puerto Rico, as well as exports its products to Latin America and the Caribbean Basin. Watsco, Inc. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Watsco (WSO):

  • Think of Watsco as the Home Depot for HVAC/R contractors.
  • It's like Sysco, but for heating, ventilation, and air conditioning equipment and parts.
  • It's the Grainger of the HVAC/R industry.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • HVAC Equipment: Watsco distributes a wide range of residential and commercial heating, ventilation, and air conditioning systems.
  • Refrigeration Products: The company provides various commercial refrigeration equipment and related components.
  • HVAC/R Parts & Supplies: Watsco offers an extensive inventory of parts, supplies, and accessories essential for HVAC/R system installation, maintenance, and repair.
  • Logistics and Contractor Support: Watsco provides value-added services such as inventory management, technical training, and delivery solutions for HVAC/R contractors.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Watsco (WSO) operates as the largest distributor of air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration (HVAC/R) equipment and supplies in the United States and Canada.

The company sells primarily to other companies (B2B). Its major customers are the professional businesses that purchase HVAC/R equipment and parts for installation, maintenance, and repair services. These customer categories include:

  • HVAC/R Contractors: Companies specializing in the installation, service, and repair of heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration systems for residential and commercial properties.
  • Independent Dealers: Small to medium-sized businesses that purchase equipment and supplies to sell and install for their end-user clients.
  • Service Technicians and Installation Companies: Professionals and firms focused on the technical aspects of installing and maintaining HVAC/R units.

Watsco's customer base is highly fragmented, consisting of tens of thousands of individual contractors, dealers, and service companies across North America. Due to this extensive and diverse customer base, no single customer accounts for a material portion (typically 10% or more) of Watsco's total revenues. Therefore, there are no specific public or private customer companies that need to be listed by name or symbol as "major customers" in the context of typical financial disclosure requirements.

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  • Carrier Global Corporation (CARR)
  • Trane Technologies plc (TT)
  • Johnson Controls International plc (JCI)
  • Daikin Industries, Ltd. (DKILY)

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Albert H. Nahmad, Chief Executive Officer

Mr. Albert H. Nahmad has served as the Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Watsco since 1972. Born in Panama, he emigrated to the United States to study engineering at the University of New Mexico and Purdue University. He previously worked for W.R. Grace, a chemical and packaging conglomerate, and the accounting firm Arthur Young & Co. In 1973, Mr. Nahmad acquired a controlling interest in Watsco, then a small publicly traded manufacturing company. He has been instrumental in growing Watsco through an acquisitive strategy, completing 58 acquisitions of HVAC distribution businesses and expanding its market capitalization from $22 million in 1989 to $7.3 billion by the end of 2023.

Ana M. Menendez, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer

Ms. Ana M. Menendez has served as Watsco's Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer since 2003. She joined the company in 1998, having previously held roles as Vice President and Treasurer of Watsco (1998-2003) and Assistant Secretary (1999). Before joining Watsco, she served as Chief Financial Officer and Secretary of Ezcony Interamerica Inc. from 1997 to 1998. Ms. Menendez is a Certified Public Accountant, holding a BBA from Florida International University and an MBA from the University of Miami. She has also served as the Chairman of the Miami branch of the Federal Reserve Bank.

Aaron (A.J.) Nahmad, President

Mr. Aaron J. (A.J.) Nahmad has been the President of Watsco since 2016 and a director since 2011. He joined the company in 2005 and served as Director of Global Business Development and Vice President of Strategy & Innovation. A.J. Nahmad, son of CEO Albert H. Nahmad, is noted for fostering innovation and leading the development of advanced technology platforms within the company. He holds a B.A. from the University of Pennsylvania and an M.B.A. from New York University's Leonard N. Stern School of Business.

Barry S. Logan, Executive Vice President & Secretary

Mr. Barry S. Logan has served as Watsco's Executive Vice President & Secretary since 2019 and joined the company in 1992. He previously held the position of Chief Financial Officer from 1997 to 2003. His earlier roles at Watsco include Treasurer (1996-1998) and Controller (1992-1996). Mr. Logan is a Certified Public Accountant and has been an integral participant in the company's business development initiatives and strategic activities, serving as Watsco's fourth corporate employee. He is also the principal contact for engagement with shareholders.

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Key Risks to Watsco (WSO) Business

Watsco (WSO), a leading distributor of heating, air conditioning, and refrigeration (HVAC/R) products, faces several key risks, with the most significant revolving around regulatory changes, supply chain dependencies, and market demand fluctuations.

  1. Regulatory Shift and A2L Refrigerant Transition: A primary and complex operational risk for Watsco is the ongoing regulatory-driven transition to A2L refrigerant systems. This shift has led to a substantial inventory build-up and has temporarily impacted sales and earnings expectations. The CEO has even referred to 2025 as "the noisiest year in HVAC ever" due to this transition, which affects approximately 55% of Watsco's historical product sales. The company's ability to navigate this change effectively is critical.
  2. Supplier Concentration and Supply Chain Risks: Watsco exhibits significant reliance on a concentrated group of suppliers. In 2023, the top ten suppliers accounted for 86% of its total purchases, with Carrier alone comprising 65% and Rheem 8%. In 2022, the top ten suppliers represented 84% of purchases, including 60% from Carrier and 8% from Rheem. This concentration creates a vulnerability to potential supply chain disruptions, changes in supplier relationships, or adverse terms from these key partners.
  3. Softer Market Conditions and Weak Demand: The company is susceptible to broader economic and political conditions, which can lead to softer market demand. Evidence of this includes flat same-store sales over the last two years, declining earnings per share (EPS) despite revenue growth, and revenue misses in recent quarters. Factors such as general economic conditions, consumer spending, new housing starts, and capital spending in the commercial construction market directly influence demand for Watsco's products.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Watsco Inc. operates as the largest distributor of air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration (HVAC/R) equipment and related parts and supplies in North America. The company's primary addressable market is the distribution of these products across the United States, Canada, Mexico, Puerto Rico, and parts of Latin America and the Caribbean. The addressable market sizes for Watsco's main products and services are as follows:
  • North America HVAC Distribution Market: The market size for HVAC distribution in North America was estimated at approximately USD 65.93 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 69.12 billion in 2025. This market is expected to grow at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.2% from 2025 to 2030, reaching an estimated USD 93.50 billion by 2030. Watsco is noted as a leading distributor in the highly fragmented USD 50 billion North American HVAC/R distribution market.
  • United States HVAC Market (overall, including services and manufacturing, with distribution being a significant component): The U.S. HVAC market was valued at USD 31.26 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach USD 38.45 billion by 2030, demonstrating a CAGR of 7.87%. Another estimate for the U.S. HVAC market size in 2024 was USD 31.20 billion, projected to grow to USD 53.80 billion by 2034 with a 5.60% CAGR. The U.S. HVAC systems market was valued at USD 52.36 billion in 2023 and is predicted to grow to USD 79.85 billion by 2030 at a CAGR of 5.7%. The HVAC distribution industry specifically in the U.S. is expected to grow at a CAGR of 6.3% from 2025 to 2030.
  • United States Refrigeration Equipment Wholesaling Market: The market size for refrigeration equipment wholesaling in the United States is approximately USD 10.5 billion in 2025.
  • United States Commercial Refrigeration Equipment Market: This market generated a revenue of USD 11,635.3 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 16,681.0 million by 2033, with a CAGR of 4% from 2025 to 2033. Another projection indicates growth from USD 8.3 billion in 2025 to approximately USD 12.2 billion by 2035.
  • United States Industrial Refrigeration Systems Market: The market size was USD 5.95 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach around USD 7.18 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 1.9% between 2024 and 2033.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Watsco (WSO) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several strategic initiatives and market dynamics:

  1. Transition to Next-Generation A2L Refrigerant Products and High-Efficiency Systems: A significant industry-wide regulatory-driven product transition to A2L refrigerants and higher-efficiency HVAC systems is expected to stabilize the market in 2026. This shift, which impacts approximately 55% of Watsco's historical product sales, is anticipated to drive a richer product mix, thereby enhancing both sales and long-term profitability.
  2. Digital Transformation and Technology Investments: Watsco is continuously investing in innovation and technology to strengthen its competitive position. This includes expanding e-commerce penetration, which already accounts for 34% of sales, and growing its digital selling platform for contractors, OnCallAir, which saw a 19% increase in gross merchandise value to $1.7 billion over the past year. The company is also developing new technology to capture more sales from institutional customers and leveraging AI and digital tools to improve operational efficiency and customer experience.
  3. Strategic Acquisitions and Market Expansion: Watsco employs a "buy-and-build" strategy, having partnered with over 70 independent distributors and acquired 11 companies since 2019. With a strong balance sheet and no debt, the company has the capacity to pursue further acquisitions and co-invest with OEM partners, expanding its market presence and scale.
  4. Growth in Non-Equipment, Parts & Supplies, and Commercial/Institutional Segments: Watsco is strategically focused on expanding sales in higher-margin non-equipment categories, parts and supplies, and targeting large institutional customers. The company has already seen growth in non-equipment and commercial refrigeration products, and these segments offer opportunities for diversified revenue growth.
  5. Sustained Pricing Power and Gross Margin Expansion: Watsco has demonstrated its ability to implement double-digit pricing gains on new products, supported by OEM pricing actions and its proprietary pricing technology platform, Pricefx. The company aims to achieve long-term gross margins exceeding 30%, which is expected to be a key contributor to revenue growth through enhanced profitability and potential market share gains.

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Share Repurchases

  • Watsco has an ongoing stock repurchase program. The dollar amount of shares repurchased varies quarterly, with recent examples including $36.83 million in December 2024 and $1.64 million in September 2024.
  • Historically, the company has utilized share repurchases to enhance shareholder value and capitalize on perceived undervalued stock prices.

Share Issuance

  • In the first quarter of 2024, Watsco raised $282 million by selling 712,000 shares of common stock through its At-The-Market (ATM) program.
  • The total number of shares outstanding for Watsco increased by 2.68% in 2024 compared to 2023, and by 2.37% in 2023 compared to 2022, indicating ongoing share issuance.

Outbound Investments

  • Over the last five years, Watsco has acquired nine distribution businesses, representing an investment of approximately $350 million.
  • Since August 2019, Watsco has acquired eight businesses that collectively generate about $1 billion in annual sales.
  • In 2025 alone, Watsco completed three acquisitions (Southern Ice Equipment Distributors, Lashley & Associates, and Hawkins HVAC Distributors), adding 10 new locations and approximately $47 million in annualized sales.

Capital Expenditures

  • Watsco's net capital expenditures were approximately $29.8 million in 2024 and $34.2 million in 2023.
  • The company actively invests in enhancing its technology advantage in the HVAC/R distribution industry, including AI-driven initiatives.
  • Significant capital and inventory investments are also being made for the ongoing regulatory transition to new A2L refrigerant products in HVAC systems.

Better Bets than Watsco (WSO)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to WSO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.7%17.7%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.3%6.3%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
6.3%6.3%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Watsco

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WSOFERGCARRTTLIIFIXMedian
NameWatsco Ferguson.Carrier .Trane Te.Lennox I.Comfort . 
Mkt Price345.76227.3053.34393.74494.55965.37369.75
Mkt Cap13.144.645.387.617.434.139.3
Rev LTM7,41431,15922,05821,0515,3458,32314,687
Op Inc LTM7342,7892,2323,9561,0621,1121,672
FCF LTM5171,6471,1272,533534799963
FCF 3Y Avg5401,7651,4812,4315436771,079
CFO LTM5491,9931,6052,9366849281,267
CFO 3Y Avg5732,1451,9222,7777227791,351

Growth & Margins

WSOFERGCARRTTLIIFIXMedian
NameWatsco Ferguson.Carrier .Trane Te.Lennox I.Comfort . 
Rev Chg LTM-0.7%4.9%1.9%8.6%3.8%27.7%4.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.0%1.6%3.3%10.8%5.2%29.0%4.3%
Rev Chg Q-4.3%5.1%-6.8%5.5%-4.8%35.2%0.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.2%1.3%-1.8%1.5%-1.3%8.3%0.0%
Op Mgn LTM9.9%9.0%10.1%18.8%19.9%13.4%11.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.2%8.9%10.0%17.4%18.3%10.3%10.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%0.2%-0.8%0.4%0.3%1.2%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM7.4%6.4%7.3%13.9%12.8%11.2%9.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.7%7.1%9.6%14.4%14.0%11.9%10.8%
FCF/Rev LTM7.0%5.3%5.1%12.0%10.0%9.6%8.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.3%5.9%7.5%12.6%10.5%10.3%8.9%

Valuation

WSOFERGCARRTTLIIFIXMedian
NameWatsco Ferguson.Carrier .Trane Te.Lennox I.Comfort . 
Mkt Cap13.144.645.387.617.434.139.3
P/S1.81.42.14.23.24.12.7
P/EBIT17.816.515.422.416.331.917.2
P/E25.122.811.429.920.640.723.9
P/CFO23.922.428.229.925.436.726.8
Total Yield7.5%4.4%10.4%4.3%5.3%2.6%4.9%
Dividend Yield3.5%0.0%1.6%0.9%0.5%0.2%0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.4%-2.9%3.4%3.0%5.4%3.4%
D/E0.00.10.30.10.10.00.1
Net D/E-0.00.10.20.00.1-0.00.1

Returns

WSOFERGCARRTTLIIFIXMedian
NameWatsco Ferguson.Carrier .Trane Te.Lennox I.Comfort . 
1M Rtn2.7%-4.1%1.8%-3.8%6.3%8.0%2.2%
3M Rtn-11.9%-2.3%-10.4%-2.6%-6.8%20.1%-4.7%
6M Rtn-18.6%4.1%-25.9%-7.8%-12.7%88.3%-10.2%
12M Rtn-27.3%30.4%-21.7%5.3%-20.2%122.7%-7.4%
3Y Rtn48.4%-32.5%140.0%110.2%726.6%110.2%
1M Excs Rtn-1.9%-8.7%-2.9%-8.4%1.7%3.3%-2.4%
3M Excs Rtn-14.8%-3.3%-13.3%-6.4%-9.4%18.0%-7.9%
6M Excs Rtn-30.6%-9.4%-39.3%-20.9%-25.5%77.0%-23.2%
12M Excs Rtn-44.7%14.6%-36.7%-12.3%-37.3%104.8%-24.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-32.8%--46.1%60.1%27.9%662.8%27.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration (HVAC) equipment5,0264,9474,3333,4883,244
Other air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration (HVAC) products1,9672,0371,7581,4151,336
Commercial refrigeration products291291188152191
Total7,2847,2746,2805,0554,770


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$345.76 
Market Cap ($ Bil)13.1 
First Trading Date06/07/1984 
Distance from 52W High-33.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$351.65$419.89
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-1.7%-17.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility32.5%33.0%
Downside Capture190.15122.62
Upside Capture97.4672.80
Correlation (SPY)41.9%44.8%
WSO Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.951.081.101.080.760.98
Up Beta0.610.260.620.610.650.81
Down Beta0.830.900.981.160.630.84
Up Capture71%65%66%57%52%133%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days8203265118402
Down Capture122%180%172%168%113%105%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days12223161131349

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of WSO With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 WSOSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-27.3%20.4%18.8%72.9%9.0%3.7%-11.4%
Annualized Volatility32.9%18.8%19.5%19.2%15.3%17.2%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio-0.930.850.762.720.360.05-0.14
Correlation With Other Assets 56.2%44.8%7.4%15.9%45.7%20.5%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of WSO With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 WSOSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return12.1%13.8%14.8%18.9%11.8%4.7%35.5%
Annualized Volatility29.6%17.2%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.9%
Sharpe Ratio0.420.640.700.980.510.160.62
Correlation With Other Assets 63.2%56.3%9.5%11.2%50.5%21.8%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of WSO With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 WSOSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return14.7%13.5%14.8%15.1%6.8%5.4%69.1%
Annualized Volatility27.3%19.9%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.540.600.710.850.310.230.90
Correlation With Other Assets 54.8%52.0%6.0%13.5%42.9%13.3%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,187,300
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520254.1%
Average Daily Volume420,557
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.58
Basic Shares Quantity37,860,987
Short % of Basic Shares8.4%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/20252.8%-0.0%-3.6%
7/30/2025-4.8%-7.9%-12.1%
2/18/20259.7%3.6%5.3%
10/23/2024-3.8%-2.3%10.0%
7/30/2024-4.5%-8.4%-6.3%
4/24/20246.5%8.3%16.8%
2/13/2024-6.4%-7.9%-1.9%
10/19/2023-3.9%-7.5%4.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive11811
# Negative111411
Median Positive2.8%7.1%10.0%
Median Negative-3.4%-3.1%-3.8%
Max Positive16.6%18.9%22.0%
Max Negative-6.4%-8.4%-13.7%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021