AAR (AIR)


Market Price (10/21/2026): $99.8 | Market Cap: $4.0 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

AAR (AIR)


Market Price (10/21/2026): $99.8
Market Cap: $4.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%

Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -34%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 44%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Defense Services. Themes include Aviation MRO, Aviation Supply Chain & Logistics, and Defense & Government Aviation Support.

Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -5.1%

Key risks
AIR key risks include [1] a significant dependence on a concentrated customer base and [2] operational vulnerabilities from supply chain disruptions and equipment failures.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -34%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 44%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Defense Services. Themes include Aviation MRO, Aviation Supply Chain & Logistics, and Defense & Government Aviation Support.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -5.1%
5 Key risks
AIR key risks include [1] a significant dependence on a concentrated customer base and [2] operational vulnerabilities from supply chain disruptions and equipment failures.

AIR in ETFs

Weight = AIR's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IWM0.13%
IJR0.23%
VB0.05%
ARKX0.93%
SLYG0.49%
MISL0.46%
+17 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 10/1/2026

AAR (AIR) stock has lost about 30% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Market reaction to the significant, debt-financed MRO Holdings acquisition.

On September 28, 2026, AAR announced a definitive agreement to acquire a 65% controlling interest in MRO Holdings for approximately $4 billion. This transaction includes an equity value of roughly $1.8 billion and the repayment of approximately $1.3 billion of MRO Holdings' existing borrowings. This substantial increase in leverage and the strategic shift prompted investor concerns regarding the reshaping of AAR's balance sheet and future cash generation, leading to a notable sell-off.

2. Investor apprehension regarding integration risks and valuation post-acquisition.

The acquisition of MRO Holdings, while projected to increase pro forma revenue by approximately 30% and improve adjusted EBITDA margin from 12% to 16% before synergies, introduced uncertainty related to integration risks and the long-term justification of the new earnings base. The market's shift in focus to these potential challenges, rather than solely on the announced financial benefits, contributed to the stock's decline.

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Updated on 10/1/2026

AAR (AIR) stock has lost about 30% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Market reaction to the significant, debt-financed MRO Holdings acquisition.

On September 28, 2026, AAR announced a definitive agreement to acquire a 65% controlling interest in MRO Holdings for approximately $4 billion. This transaction includes an equity value of roughly $1.8 billion and the repayment of approximately $1.3 billion of MRO Holdings' existing borrowings. This substantial increase in leverage and the strategic shift prompted investor concerns regarding the reshaping of AAR's balance sheet and future cash generation, leading to a notable sell-off.

2. Investor apprehension regarding integration risks and valuation post-acquisition.

The acquisition of MRO Holdings, while projected to increase pro forma revenue by approximately 30% and improve adjusted EBITDA margin from 12% to 16% before synergies, introduced uncertainty related to integration risks and the long-term justification of the new earnings base. The market's shift in focus to these potential challenges, rather than solely on the announced financial benefits, contributed to the stock's decline.

3. GAAP Earnings Per Share missed analyst estimates for fiscal Q1 2027.

Although AAR reported strong fiscal Q1 2027 results (ended August 31, 2026) with adjusted diluted EPS of $1.49, the GAAP diluted EPS was reported at $1.00. This GAAP EPS figure missed analyst estimates, which were around $1.32 to $1.38, by approximately 17%. This miss in a key fundamental metric, despite robust adjusted performance and revenue growth of 24% to $918 million, likely contributed to negative investor sentiment.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -30.2% change in AIR stock from 6/30/2026 to 10/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -37.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)630202610202026Change
Stock Price ($)142.9399.80-30.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,1343,48611.2%
Net Income Margin (%)5.5%5.5%1.7%
P/E Multiple32.820.4-37.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3940-0.8%
Cumulative Contribution-30.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2026 to 10/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AIR-30.2% 
Market (SPY)3.0%31.7%
Sector (XLI)-9.9%51.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -8.8% change in AIR stock from 3/31/2026 to 10/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -18.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)331202610202026Change
Stock Price ($)109.4699.80-8.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,1343,48611.2%
Net Income Margin (%)5.5%5.5%1.7%
P/E Multiple25.220.4-18.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3940-0.8%
Cumulative Contribution-8.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 10/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AIR-8.8% 
Market (SPY)18.6%38.3%
Sector (XLI)3.4%62.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 11.3% change in AIR stock from 9/30/2025 to 10/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 448.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)930202510202026Change
Stock Price ($)89.6799.8011.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,8583,48622.0%
Net Income Margin (%)1.0%5.5%448.7%
P/E Multiple110.820.4-81.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3640-9.8%
Cumulative Contribution11.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 10/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AIR11.3% 
Market (SPY)16.4%47.2%
Sector (XLI)9.1%67.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 67.6% change in AIR stock from 9/30/2023 to 10/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 73.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)930202310202026Change
Stock Price ($)59.5399.8067.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,0943,48666.5%
Net Income Margin (%)3.2%5.5%73.6%
P/E Multiple30.920.4-33.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3540-12.4%
Cumulative Contribution67.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2023 to 10/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AIR67.6% 
Market (SPY)86.1%49.0%
Sector (XLI)71.1%62.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
AIR Return8%15%39%-2%35%19%172%
Peers Return14%17%20%44%52%5%270%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%104%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AIR Win Rate42%58%58%50%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate55%53%55%60%62%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AIR Max Drawdown-29%-33%-14%-24%-33%-37% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-20%-19%-14%-21%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: HEI, CW, RTX, HWM, HXL. See AIR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/20/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventAIRS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-24.5%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.4%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven56 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-21.1%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.7%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven338 days18 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-12.3%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven14.0%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven22 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-79.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven379.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven714 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-26.0%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven35.2%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven361 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-29.7%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven42.3%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven87 days62 days

Compare to HEI, CW, RTX, HWM, HXL

In The Past

AAR's stock fell -24.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 32.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventAIRS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-24.5%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.4%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven56 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-21.1%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.7%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven338 days18 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-79.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven379.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven714 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-26.0%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven35.2%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven361 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-29.7%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven42.3%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven87 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-31.8%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven46.6%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven340 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-51.6%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven106.5%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven770 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-38.3%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven62.0%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven148 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-73.1%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven271.7%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven2940 days1085 days

Compare to HEI, CW, RTX, HWM, HXL

In The Past

AAR's stock fell -24.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 32.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About AAR (AIR)

AAR Corp. (AIR) is a global provider of essential products and services primarily to the commercial aviation, government, and defense markets. The company operates through two main segments: Aviation Services and Expeditionary Services, addressing critical needs in aircraft maintenance, logistics, and specialized support for mobile operations worldwide.

Through its Aviation Services segment, AAR is a significant player in the aftermarket aviation industry. It offers a comprehensive range of services including maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) for aircraft, engines, and components, alongside inventory management, distribution of new and repaired parts, and extensive supply chain logistics programs. This segment serves a broad customer base including domestic and foreign passenger and cargo airlines, regional carriers, aircraft leasing companies, original equipment manufacturers, and various military customers globally.

AAR's Expeditionary Services segment focuses on providing specialized products and support for the movement of equipment and personnel, primarily to the U.S. and foreign governments, as well as non-governmental organizations. Key offerings here include the design, manufacturing, and repair of specialized transportation pallets, containers, and shelters, in addition to composite materials for aircraft. The segment also provides engineering and system integration services for critical command and control systems.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are a couple of brief analogies for AAR Corp.:

  • Like AutoZone for airplanes, offering parts, repairs, and maintenance services for commercial and military aircraft.
  • The W.W. Grainger of the aviation industry, providing a vast catalog of parts and comprehensive maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services globally.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Aftermarket Aviation Support: Provides comprehensive support and services for aviation components and systems.
  • Inventory Management & Distribution: Offers services for managing, distributing, and providing supply chain logistics for aviation parts and components.
  • Maintenance, Repair, & Overhaul (MRO) Services: Performs inspection, maintenance, repair, and overhaul for aircraft airframes, engines, and various components like landing gears, wheels, and brakes.
  • Aviation Parts Sales & Leasing: Sells and leases new, overhauled, and repaired engine and airframe parts and components.
  • Expeditionary Logistics & Support: Offers products and services that facilitate the movement of equipment and personnel for governments and non-governmental organizations.
  • Specialized Manufacturing: Designs, manufactures, and repairs transportation pallets, containers, shelters, and composite materials for aircraft.
  • Engineering & System Integration Services: Provides engineering, design, and system integration, including for command and control systems.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Major Customers of AAR Corp. (AIR)

AAR Corp. serves a diverse range of customers primarily within the commercial aviation, government, and defense markets. These customers are predominantly other companies, governmental entities, and organizations rather than individuals. While specific named companies are not listed in the provided background, the major categories of customers include:

  • Airlines: This includes domestic and foreign passenger airlines, domestic and foreign cargo airlines, and regional and commuter airlines.
  • Governments and Military: Major customers in this category include the U.S. Department of Defense, other U.S. and foreign governments, and domestic and foreign military customers.
  • Other Aviation Industry Entities: This broad category encompasses business and general aviation operators, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), aircraft leasing companies, and aftermarket aviation support companies.
  • Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs): AAR also supports NGOs with products and services, particularly within its Expeditionary Services segment.

AI Analysis | Feedback

AAR Corp. is an aftermarket provider that sells and leases new, overhauled, and repaired engine and airframe parts and components. To acquire new parts, AAR must purchase them from the original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) or their authorized distributors. Therefore, the major suppliers to AAR are the primary manufacturers of aircraft engines, airframes, and major components.

Major suppliers include:

  • General Electric (symbol: GE) (for GE Aerospace products)
  • Raytheon Technologies Corporation (symbol: RTX) (for Pratt & Whitney engines and Collins Aerospace components)
  • Honeywell International Inc. (symbol: HON)
  • Safran S.A.
  • The Boeing Company (symbol: BA)
  • Airbus SE (symbol: EADSY)

AI Analysis | Feedback

AAR Corp. (NYSE: AIR) has a dedicated management team leading its global operations in commercial aviation, government, and defense markets.

John M. Holmes - Chairman, President and CEO

John M. Holmes is the Chairman, President, and CEO of AAR Corp. He joined AAR in 2001 and has held various leadership positions before becoming President in 2017, CEO in 2018, and Chairman in 2023. Holmes has been instrumental in growing the company through multiple acquisitions, including Airinmar®, Premier Aviation, Trax, Triumph Group's Product Support business, Aerostrat, ADI American Distributors, and HAECO Americas. Under his leadership, AAR also launched a Digital Services organization. Prior to joining AAR, Holmes worked in investment banking and private equity.

Dylan Wolin - Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Dylan Wolin was appointed Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of AAR Corp., effective February 23, 2026. In this role, he oversees finance, accounting, tax, treasury, investor relations, and corporate development. Wolin previously worked at AAR from 2017 to 2024, leading strategy, corporate development, treasury, and investor relations, where he played a key role in the company's portfolio repositioning and acquisitions like Trax and Triumph Product Support. He rejoined AAR from Federal Signal Corporation, where he served as President of several specialty vehicle businesses from 2024 to 2026. Earlier in his career, Wolin held roles in corporate development at Boeing and investment banking at Deutsche Bank.

Christopher A. Jessup - Senior Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer

Christopher A. Jessup has served as Senior Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer at AAR Corp. since July 2017. He previously held the role of Chief Commercial Officer for AAR's Aviation Services segment starting in 2015. Jessup joined AAR in 2008 through the acquisition of Avborne Heavy Maintenance, Inc., where he had held senior sales and operational roles. His background also includes positions at International Aviation Management Group and ABX Air, Inc. (d.b.a Airborne Express).

Jessica A. Garascia - Senior Vice President, General Counsel, Chief Administrative Officer, and Secretary

Jessica A. Garascia holds the titles of Senior Vice President, General Counsel, Chief Administrative Officer, and Secretary at AAR Corp. She is a key member of the leadership team, reporting directly to the CEO.

Rahul S. Ghai - Senior Vice President and Chief Digital and Technology Officer

Rahul S. Ghai is the Senior Vice President and Chief Digital and Technology Officer at AAR Corp. He joined AAR in 2019 and is responsible for overseeing the Digital Technology & Analytics group, leading the company's digital transformation through technological initiatives. Ghai brings over two decades of experience in technology, having previously served as a managing director of digital technology at United Airlines and also worked at Deloitte Consulting and Sterling Commerce.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to AAR Corp.'s business:
  1. The cyclical nature of the commercial aviation industry poses a significant risk to AAR Corp.'s operations. The company's performance is highly sensitive to overall economic conditions, which can be negatively impacted by economic downturns, geopolitical instability, high fuel prices, and evolving environmental regulations. Such factors can lead to reduced demand for aviation products and services, affecting AAR's revenue and profitability.
  2. AAR Corp. faces substantial operational risks stemming from supply chain disruptions and increasing operational cost pressures. The company's ability to meet contractual obligations and maintain profitability relies heavily on its network of key suppliers and subcontractors. Disruptions in the aerospace industry's supply chain, coupled with potential labor shortages and rising labor costs, could adversely impact AAR's operations and financial results.
  3. Compliance and regulatory risks are critical for AAR Corp., particularly due to its involvement with U.S. and foreign governments. Non-compliance with various regulations, including export controls and anti-corruption laws, could lead to severe penalties, damage to its reputation, or the loss of important government contracts.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The increasing adoption and technological advancement of additive manufacturing (3D printing) for aerospace components poses an emerging threat. As 3D printing technology matures, it could enable the on-demand production of spare parts closer to the point of need, potentially reducing the reliance on traditional inventory management, parts distribution, and overhaul services that form a significant portion of AAR's Aviation Services segment. This could disrupt AAR's existing supply chain model and demand for new, overhauled, and repaired parts.

AI Analysis | Feedback

AAR Corp. (NYSE: AIR) operates in several addressable markets within the commercial aviation, government, and defense sectors globally. Based on its main products and services, the key addressable markets are:

Commercial Aviation Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul (MRO) Services

The global commercial aircraft MRO services market was valued at approximately USD 110.7 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 146.9 billion by 2032, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 3.3% from 2024 to 2032. Another estimate places the global aircraft MRO market at over USD 80 billion annually, with projections to reach USD 120 billion by 2030. In North America, the MRO demand is expected to grow from USD 28 billion to USD 34 billion by 2035.

Aircraft Aftermarket Parts

The global commercial aircraft aftermarket parts market size reached USD 44.3 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 72.3 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.3% during 2025-2033. Other sources indicate the global aircraft aftermarket was valued at USD 33.81 billion in 2024, poised to grow to USD 52.45 billion by 2033. North America is a significant region in this market, holding a 38.1% share and a value of USD 18.8 billion in 2024.

Defense Logistics

The global defense logistics market size was estimated at USD 169.58 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 242.44 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 6.7% from 2025 to 2030. North America held the highest market share of 35.0% in the global defense logistics market in 2023. The U.S. market for defense logistics alone is estimated to reach USD 52.95 billion in 2026.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for AAR Corp. (AIR) over the next 2-3 years:
  1. Expansion of New Parts Distribution Business: AAR Corp. is experiencing robust growth in its Parts Supply segment, particularly in new parts distribution. The company is actively capturing market share through its exclusive distribution model and enhancing its production-facing distribution channels. This strategy has consistently delivered strong organic sales growth, exemplified by a 32% increase in new parts distribution in Q2 FY2026.
  2. Increased Demand for Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul (MRO) Services: The commercial aviation industry is seeing a sustained rise in aircraft utilization, leading to a surge in demand for MRO services. A significant factor contributing to this demand is the ongoing shortfall in new aircraft deliveries from major manufacturers, compelling airlines to extend the operational life of their existing, aging fleets, thus necessitating more maintenance work. AAR is capitalizing on this trend by expanding its airframe MRO facilities in Oklahoma City and Miami, which are projected to boost its overall MRO capacity by 15% and add approximately $60 million to annual sales.
  3. Strategic Acquisitions: AAR has actively pursued and completed strategic acquisitions to accelerate its growth objectives, expand its service offerings, and enhance market reach. Recent acquisitions, such as ADI in Parts Supply and HAECO Americas in Repair & Engineering, along with Aerostrat to bolster Trax software capabilities, are expected to contribute to future revenue growth by adding new capabilities, capacity, and creating synergies across business segments.
  4. Continued Growth in Government and Defense Sales: AAR consistently demonstrates strong performance in its sales to government customers. This segment has shown significant increases, with sales to government clients rising 23% in Q2 FY2026 and 15% in Q1 FY2026. This sustained growth in government and defense contracts is expected to remain a reliable driver of revenue.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • AAR's Board of Directors authorized a renewal of its stock repurchase program for up to $150 million of common shares on December 21, 2021.
  • This stock repurchase authorization has no expiration date.
  • Returning capital to shareholders is a stated priority for AAR's capital allocation.

Share Issuance

  • AAR announced an underwritten registered public offering of 3,000,000 shares of its common stock on September 30, 2025.
  • The company also intended to grant the underwriters an option to purchase up to an additional 450,000 shares.
  • The average diluted share count increased from 35.2 million shares in Q2 FY2025 to 38.1 million shares in Q2 FY2026, primarily due to an equity offering completed during the quarter.

Outbound Investments

  • AAR acquired ADI, a distributor of components and assemblies, for $138 million, strengthening its new parts distribution capabilities.
  • The company acquired HAECO Americas, a provider of airframe heavy maintenance, for $77 million, expanding its heavy maintenance footprint.
  • AAR announced an agreement to purchase Aircraft Reconfig Technologies, an aircraft interiors engineering company, for $35 million, expected to close in Q4 FY2026.

Capital Expenditures

  • Purchases of property, plant, and equipment (capex) were $7.4 million in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, representing a 10.84% decrease year-over-year.
  • AAR prioritizes organic investment in its business as part of its capital allocation strategy.

Better Bets vs. AAR (AIR)

Peer Outperformance in Aerospace & Defense

AIR has outperformed 78% of its 51 Aerospace & Defense peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it is ATRO. Aerospace & Defense ranks 4th of 23 industries in Industrials by median 5Y return.
Share of Aerospace & Defense constituents that AIR has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
78%
of 68 industry peers · 18.8% return
3Y
53%
of 58 industry peers · 71.7% return
5Y
78%
of 51 industry peers · 195.5% return
Aerospace & Defense peers with revenue growth within 4pp of AIR's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
AIR AAR 18.6% 20.4x 18.8%71.7%195.5% —
ATRO Astronics 15.0% 32.5x 24.0%295.8%341.4% +146pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Industrials sector, ranked by 5Y. Aerospace & Defense is AIR's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Construction & Engineering 30 -2.5%112.7%156.5% STRL 1708% · FIX 1636% · AGX 751%
Marine Transportation 5 57.6%46.0%119.9% MATX 204% · KEX 144%
Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment 13 -3.4%56.6%79.2% CAT 287% · ALSN 234% · WAB 213%
Aerospace & Defense ← 52 -13.0%56.3%58.9% ATI 1008% · FTAI 739% · HWM 594%
Trading Companies & Distributors 19 7.7%38.5%49.3% DXPE 419% · AIT 249% · URI 196%
Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components 72 7.7%56.3%40.4% CRS 1082% · MLI 418% · SYM 300%
Diversified Support Services 33 14.3%32.6%32.2% CXW 229% · OPLN 148% · CACI 115%
Rail Transportation 7 29.2%45.4%29.5% CSX 49% · UNP 41% · NSC 29%
Building Products 33 -11.1%10.1%23.0% GFF 335% · TT 178% · JCI 123%
Cargo Ground Transportation 16 31.6%5.2%22.4% XPO 269% · R 206% · ARCB 56%
Electrical Components & Equipment 37 -12.5%73.5%9.4% POWL 1987% · BE 965% · VRT 772%
Industrial Conglomerates 17 11.1%4.3%-8.0% CSW 120% · DD 67% · CSL 65%
Agricultural & Farm Machinery 16 3.1%-3.3%-12.6% DE 96% · TTC 13% · AGCO -7%
Data Processing & Outsourced Services 6 -24.3%-3.7%-20.1% EXLS 65% · BR 9% · G -18%
Office Services & Supplies 9 18.3%20.0%-27.7% PBI 188% · TILE 139% · HNI 39%
Security & Alarm Services 9 -57.8%14.7%-29.8% BCO 85%
Research & Consulting Services 13 -1.3%-17.9%-30.2% HURN 268% · FCN 5% · BAH 2%
Environmental & Facilities Services 29 -33.0%27.0%-32.7% GEO 239% · CLH 183% · RSG 91%
Passenger Ground Transportation 3 -26.4%60.5%-32.7% UBER 50% · CAR -33% · LYFT -65%
Passenger Airlines 11 -2.0%12.6%-38.0% LTM 3147% · UAL 113% · DAL 98%
Air Freight & Logistics 12 -28.8%-23.0%-39.7% FDX 78% · EXPD 77% · CHRW 61%
Human Resource & Employment Services 22 11.4%-15.0%-44.4% ADP 54% · PAYX 8% · FA 3%
Airport Services 4 -73.3%-68.4%-83.5% JOBY -49%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are limited to companies above $2B market cap.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AIRHEICWRTXHWMHXLMedian
NameAAR Heico Curtiss-.RTX Howmet A.Hexcel  
Mkt Price99.80305.27497.65192.69211.4791.33202.08
Mkt Cap4.042.618.4260.384.66.930.5
Rev LTM3,4865,1773,65493,5009,1171,9784,415
Op Inc LTM2781,24569010,4852,490228967
FCF LTM1351,03062510,9851,791256828
FCF 3Y Avg387905267,2081,260202658
CFO LTM1991,11172114,2062,221332916
CFO 3Y Avg8485759710,3851,622281727

Growth & Margins

AIRHEICWRTXHWMHXLMedian
NameAAR Heico Curtiss-.RTX Howmet A.Hexcel  
Rev Chg LTM22.0%20.7%10.5%11.8%18.1%5.4%15.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg18.6%25.8%10.3%10.0%13.8%5.1%12.0%
Rev Chg Q24.1%23.1%5.4%14.5%24.1%8.0%18.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.4%5.4%1.3%3.5%5.7%2.0%4.4%
Op Inc Chg LTM38.6%29.8%15.3%26.0%32.7%67.8%31.3%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg29.1%29.0%14.8%56.7%32.5%11.9%29.0%
Op Mgn LTM8.0%24.0%18.9%11.2%27.3%11.5%15.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg7.0%22.5%18.2%8.3%24.0%10.1%14.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%0.5%0.4%0.3%0.6%2.0%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM5.7%21.5%19.7%15.2%24.4%16.8%18.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg2.6%19.1%17.9%12.5%20.0%14.8%16.3%
FCF/Rev LTM3.9%19.9%17.1%11.7%19.6%12.9%15.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.1%17.6%15.8%8.6%15.5%10.6%13.0%

Valuation

AIRHEICWRTXHWMHXLMedian
NameAAR Heico Curtiss-.RTX Howmet A.Hexcel  
Mkt Cap4.042.618.4260.384.66.930.5
P/S1.18.25.02.89.33.54.3
P/Op Inc14.234.326.624.834.030.428.5
P/EBIT12.234.125.122.334.530.327.7
P/E20.450.334.033.645.245.039.5
P/CFO19.838.425.518.338.120.823.1
Total Yield4.9%2.1%3.1%4.4%2.4%3.0%3.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.1%0.1%1.4%0.2%0.8%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.0%1.9%3.0%3.9%2.0%3.5%2.5%
D/E0.20.10.10.10.10.10.1
Net D/E0.20.10.00.10.00.10.1

Returns

AIRHEICWRTXHWMHXLMedian
NameAAR Heico Curtiss-.RTX Howmet A.Hexcel  
1M Rtn-11.5%2.4%-12.4%-0.7%-7.9%3.6%-4.3%
3M Rtn-29.4%-10.3%-31.0%-0.2%-24.2%-15.8%-20.0%
6M Rtn-14.4%10.6%-30.8%3.7%-14.6%5.1%-5.3%
12M Rtn18.8%-2.4%-11.2%21.7%10.1%45.6%14.4%
3Y Rtn71.7%93.4%148.7%182.0%390.8%44.9%121.1%
1M Excs Rtn-12.8%2.1%-11.0%0.5%-5.6%6.4%-2.6%
3M Excs Rtn-23.9%-11.1%-34.2%-2.9%-26.8%-16.3%-20.1%
6M Excs Rtn-22.8%2.2%-39.2%-4.7%-23.0%-3.3%-13.7%
12M Excs Rtn5.3%-15.4%-23.6%8.9%-3.2%34.1%1.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-5.1%8.5%66.4%102.5%303.6%-35.1%37.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Parts Supply1,5201,119976838732
Repair, Engineering, and Software1,1541,021769  
Government Solutions506497453  
Legacy Commercial Programs241255219  
Inter-segment Sales-113-112-97-99-108
Expeditionary Services   9274
Integrated Solutions   547597
Repair & Engineering   613525
Total3,3082,7802,3191,9911,820


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Parts Supply1861571109475
Repair, Engineering, and Software858448  
Government Solutions573525  
Legacy Commercial Programs097  
Corporate and other-50-99-60-33-28
Expeditionary Services   89
Integrated Solutions   3021
Repair & Engineering   3529
Total278185129134107


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Repair, Engineering, and Software1,5981,328   
Parts Supply1,100819733  
Government Solutions283253   
Legacy Commercial Programs250274   
Corporate and other125171 149132
Corporate and discontinued operations  181  
Expeditionary Services  796775
Integrated Solutions  542  
Repair & Engineering  1,235  
Aviation Services   1,6171,367
Total3,3562,8452,7701,8331,574


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$99.80 
Market Cap ($ Bil)4.0 
First Trading Date07/19/1984 
Distance from 52W High-35.1% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$119.96$118.31
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA-16.8%-15.6%
 3M1YR
Volatility45.3%44.3%
Downside Capture210.20186.79
Upside Capture42.21177.47
Correlation (S&P 500)26.8%47.9%
AIR Betas & Captures as of 9/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.781.081.481.511.651.26
Up Beta3.362.281.142.091.871.28
Down Beta-0.971.390.03-0.250.911.06
Up Capture-59%-37%104%151%264%235%
Bmk +ve Days6162766132424
Stock +ve Days10193162129393
Down Capture340%256%275%195%147%108%
Bmk -ve Days16263760120328
Stock -ve Days12233364123357

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AIR
AIR20.3%44.3%0.54-
Sector ETF (XLI)10.9%17.2%0.4366.9%
Equity (SPY)16.8%12.7%0.9347.1%
Gold (GLD)-2.9%29.3%-0.1025.5%
Commodities (DBC)52.5%20.7%1.93-24.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.1%13.8%0.1129.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-23.7%43.6%-0.5018.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AIR
AIR24.6%36.6%0.68-
Sector ETF (XLI)12.4%17.6%0.5463.8%
Equity (SPY)13.6%17.1%0.6151.4%
Gold (GLD)18.1%18.9%0.7715.5%
Commodities (DBC)9.7%19.5%0.3812.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.4%18.9%-0.0337.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)7.7%51.7%0.3321.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AIR
AIR12.7%45.6%0.43-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.1%20.0%0.5764.5%
Equity (SPY)15.3%17.9%0.7252.7%
Gold (GLD)12.1%16.4%0.608.3%
Commodities (DBC)8.2%18.1%0.3723.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.2%20.7%0.2147.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)62.9%66.2%1.0316.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2.0 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 915202623.5%
Average Daily Volume0.8 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.5 days
Basic Shares Quantity39.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares5.0%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 10/7/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
9/28/2026-7.2%-11.2% 
7/21/2026-9.8%-0.4%-1.6%
3/24/20269.9%1.5%4.0%
1/6/20262.1%9.2%19.5%
9/23/20254.2%14.4%3.8%
7/16/202513.6%6.1%3.0%
3/27/2025-16.4%-21.6%-21.7%
1/7/20258.6%12.6%9.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121014
# Negative12149
Median Positive3.6%5.2%5.4%
Median Negative-6.5%-4.4%-9.9%
Max Positive13.6%14.4%19.5%
Max Negative-16.4%-21.6%-21.7%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
9/28/2026-7.2%-11.2% 
7/21/2026-9.8%-0.4%-1.6%
3/24/20269.9%1.5%4.0%
1/6/20262.1%9.2%19.5%
9/23/20254.2%14.4%3.8%
7/16/202513.6%6.1%3.0%
3/27/2025-16.4%-21.6%-21.7%
1/7/20258.6%12.6%9.0%
9/23/2024-4.5%-5.4%-10.8%
7/18/2024-12.1%-9.6%-13.9%
3/21/2024-5.9%-6.3%3.6%
12/21/2023-10.2%-11.9%-18.6%
9/26/20232.5%-1.0%-2.7%
7/18/2023-1.8%-2.3%-1.6%
3/21/20235.0%4.4%3.5%
12/20/2022-4.6%-3.4%6.7%
9/22/2022-7.1%-5.9%12.3%
7/21/2022-3.3%-3.1%5.2%
3/22/20227.5%2.8%5.5%
12/21/20212.4%5.2%7.2%
9/23/2021-1.0%-2.4%5.2%
7/20/20213.0%-0.9%-9.9%
3/23/20211.9%5.1%-0.4%
12/17/20201.6%2.5%8.1%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121014
# Negative12149
Median Positive3.6%5.2%5.4%
Median Negative-6.5%-4.4%-9.9%
Max Positive13.6%14.4%19.5%
Max Negative-16.4%-21.6%-21.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
08/31/202609/29/202610-Q
05/31/202607/22/202610-K
02/28/202603/25/202610-Q
11/30/202501/07/202610-Q
08/31/202509/23/202510-Q
05/31/202507/22/202510-K
02/28/202503/28/202510-Q
11/30/202401/08/202510-Q
08/31/202409/24/202410-Q
05/31/202407/19/202410-K
02/29/202403/21/202410-Q
11/30/202312/21/202310-Q
08/31/202309/26/202310-Q
05/31/202307/18/202310-K
02/28/202303/21/202310-Q
11/30/202212/20/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
08/31/202609/29/202610-Q
05/31/202607/22/202610-K
02/28/202603/25/202610-Q
11/30/202501/07/202610-Q
08/31/202509/23/202510-Q
05/31/202507/22/202510-K
02/28/202503/28/202510-Q
11/30/202401/08/202510-Q
08/31/202409/24/202410-Q
05/31/202407/19/202410-K
02/29/202403/21/202410-Q
11/30/202312/21/202310-Q
08/31/202309/26/202310-Q
05/31/202307/18/202310-K
02/28/202303/21/202310-Q
11/30/202212/20/202210-Q
08/31/202209/22/202210-Q
05/31/202207/21/202210-K
02/28/202203/22/202210-Q
11/30/202112/21/202110-Q
08/31/202109/23/202110-Q
05/31/202107/21/202110-K
02/28/202103/23/202110-Q
11/30/202012/18/202010-Q
08/31/202009/24/202010-Q
05/31/202007/21/202010-K
02/29/202003/25/202010-Q
11/30/201912/20/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 10/3/2026

Latest: Q1 2027 Earnings Reported 9/28/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2027 Sales growth (ex. LCP)Reported14.0%15.0%16.0% -7.0%Lower NewGuidance: 22.0% for Q1 2027
Q2 2027 Adjusted EBITDA margin (ex. LCP)Reported13.0%13.2%13.4% 0.7%Higher NewGuidance: 12.5% for Q1 2027
2027 Sales growth (ex. LCP)Reported      


Prior: Q4 2026 Earnings Reported 7/21/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2027 Sales growth (ex. LCP)Reported21.0%22.0%23.0%   
Q1 2027 Adjusted EBITDA margin (ex. LCP)Reported12.25%12.5%12.75%   
2027 Sales growth (ex. LCP)Reported      

Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 3/24/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2026 Total sales growthReported19.0%20.0%21.0% -1.0%LoweredGuidance: 21.0% for Q3 2026
Q4 2026 Organic sales growthReported6.0%7.0%8.0% -2.5%LoweredGuidance: 9.5% for Q3 2026
Q4 2026 Adjusted operating marginReported10.2%10.35%10.5% 0.4%RaisedGuidance: 9.95% for Q3 2026
2026 Total sales growthReported 19.0%  2.0%RaisedGuidance: 17.0% for 2026
2026 Organic sales growthReported 12.0%  1.0%RaisedGuidance: 11.0% for 2026

Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 1/6/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q3 2026 Total sales growthReported20.0%21.0%22.0%   
Q3 2026 Organic sales growthReported8.0%9.5%11.0%   
Q3 2026 Adjusted operating marginReported9.8%9.95%10.1%   
2026 Total sales growthReported 17.0%    
2026 Organic sales growthReported 11.0%    

Insider Activity

Updated 9/1/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Holmes, John McClain IiiChairman, President & CEODirectSell3302026107.6026,1752,816,53225,293,803Form
2Garascia, Jessica ASenior VP, GC, CAO & SecretaryDirectSell3302026112.206,284705,0693,316,313Form
3Holmes, John McClain IiiChairman, President & CEODirectSell3302026112.4160,0006,744,81026,424,367Form
4Nolen, Billy DirectSell3272026111.001,562  Form
5Holmes, John McClain IiiChairman, President & CEODirectSell2032026108.4410,0001,084,36325,706,343Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Holmes, John McClain IiiChairman, President & CEODirectSell3302026107.6026,1752,816,53225,293,803Form
2Garascia, Jessica ASenior VP, GC, CAO & SecretaryDirectSell3302026112.206,284705,0693,316,313Form
3Holmes, John McClain IiiChairman, President & CEODirectSell3302026112.4160,0006,744,81026,424,367Form
4Nolen, Billy DirectSell3272026111.001,562  Form
5Holmes, John McClain IiiChairman, President & CEODirectSell2032026108.4410,0001,084,36325,706,343Form
6Pachapa, EricVP-CAO & ControllerDirectSell1232026105.944,983527,8822,159,549Form
7Holmes, John McClain IiiChairman, President & CEODirectSell113202697.5030,0002,925,03023,113,977Form
8Jessup, Christopher ASenior Vice President-CCODirectSell112202697.0523,6212,292,3926,382,763Form
9Holmes, John McClain IiiChairman, President & CEODirectSell106202684.1223,0771,941,30419,942,511Form
10Holmes, John McClain IiiChairman, President & CEODirectSell1106202583.5038,4623,211,61521,722,034Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Oct 21, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Broad Bay Capital Management, LP$89.6 Mil9.2%24ADD +23.2%13F
Ophir Asset Management Pty Ltd$59.1 Mil6.9%34Hold13F
Bayberry Capital Partners LP$12.0 Mil4.0%28New13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Bayberry Capital Partners LP$12.0 Mil4.0%28New13F
Broad Bay Capital Management, LP$89.6 Mil9.2%24ADD +23.2%13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Broad Bay Capital Management, LP$89.6 Mil9.2%24ADD +23.2%13F
Ophir Asset Management Pty Ltd$59.1 Mil6.9%34Hold13F
Bayberry Capital Partners LP$12.0 Mil4.0%28New13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 10/20/2026