RTX (RTX)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $177.43 | Market Cap: $238.3 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense
RTX (RTX)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $177.43Market Cap: $238.3 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Aerospace & Defense
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 8.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.7 Bil | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.7%, Dist 3Y High is -2.7% | Key risksRTX key risks include [1] the significant multi-billion dollar financial and operational disruption caused by the Pratt & Whitney GTF engine's powdered metal defect. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Cybersecurity, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 8.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.7 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Cybersecurity, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.7%, Dist 3Y High is -2.7% |
| Key risksRTX key risks include [1] the significant multi-billion dollar financial and operational disruption caused by the Pratt & Whitney GTF engine's powdered metal defect. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
RTX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for RTX's stock movement by 12.2% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Exceptional Third-Quarter 2025 Financial Performance: RTX reported robust third-quarter 2025 results on October 21, 2025, with sales increasing by 12% year-over-year and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) rising by 17%. The company surpassed Wall Street's expectations for both revenue and adjusted EPS. All three of its business segments—Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon—contributed to double-digit sales growth.
2. Elevated Full-Year 2025 Outlook: Following its strong Q3 performance, RTX raised its full-year 2025 outlook for adjusted sales and adjusted EPS, signaling management's confidence in continued operational strength and robust demand.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RTX Return | -16% | 23% | 20% | -14% | 41% | 58% | 137% |
| Peers Return | -13% | 16% | 18% | 24% | 10% | 30% | 110% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RTX Win Rate | 42% | 67% | 58% | 42% | 58% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 48% | 60% | 55% | 58% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RTX Max Drawdown | -50% | -8% | -4% | -30% | 0% | -1% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -42% | -6% | -17% | -12% | -14% | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LMT, NOC, BA, GD, GE. See RTX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RTX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -33.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 217 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -52.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 109.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 662 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -28.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 126 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -54.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 118.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 689 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to GE, BA, HON, LHX, APEX
In The Past
RTX's stock fell -33.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/18/2023. A -33.7% loss requires a 50.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| RTX Earnings Notes | |||
| Day 6 of Gains Streak for RTX Stock with 14% Return (vs. 57% YTD) [10/23/2025] | Notification | ||
| Day 5 of Gains Streak for RTX Stock with 13% Return (vs. 56% YTD) [10/22/2025] | Notification | ||
| Why RTX Stock Jumped 40%? | |||
| Now Is Not The Time To Buy RTX Stock | Buy or Fear | ||
| ATI or RTX: Which Stock Has More Upside? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| RTX Stock Surged 40%, Here's Why | |||
| How Low Can RTX Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| How Does RTX Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | Peer Comparison | ||
| Better Bet Than RTX Stock: Pay Less Than RTX To Get More From MU, CDE | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| RTX Stock On Fire: Up 14% With 6-Day Winning Streak | October 24th, 2025 | ||
| RTX Stock Rockets 13% With 5-Day Winning Streak | October 23rd, 2025 | ||
| RTX vs ATI: Which Stock Could Rally? | October 22nd, 2025 | ||
| How Will RTX Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings? | October 17th, 2025 | ||
| A Decade of Rewards: RTX Stock Returns $57 Bil to Investors | October 10th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RTX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.6% | 5.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% |
| 06302020 | RTX | RTX | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.8% | 42.2% | -14.4% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.6% | 5.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% |
| 06302020 | RTX | RTX | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.8% | 42.2% | -14.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for RTX
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 314.30 |
| Mkt Cap | 133.5 |
| Rev LTM | 62,429 |
| Op Inc LTM | 5,662 |
| FCF LTM | 4,660 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 4,471 |
| CFO LTM | 6,040 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 5,618 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 9.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 133.5 |
| P/S | 2.1 |
| P/EBIT | 18.0 |
| P/E | 24.7 |
| P/CFO | 21.8 |
| Total Yield | 4.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 18.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 24.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 28.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 6.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 15.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -41.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raytheon | 26,350 | ||||
| Collins Aerospace | 26,253 | 18,449 | 19,288 | 26,028 | |
| Pratt & Whitney | 18,296 | 18,150 | 16,799 | 20,902 | |
| Acquisition accounting adjustments | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Corporate expenses and other unallocated items | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Financial accounting standards (FAS)/cost accounting standards (CAS) operating adjustment | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Eliminations and other | -1,979 | -2,930 | -1,965 | -1,581 | |
| Raytheon Intelligence & Space | 15,180 | 11,069 | |||
| Raytheon Missiles & Defense | 15,539 | 11,396 | |||
| Total | 68,920 | 64,388 | 56,587 | 45,349 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collins Aerospace | 3,825 | 1,759 | 1,466 | 4,508 | |
| Raytheon | 2,379 | ||||
| Financial accounting standards (FAS)/cost accounting standards (CAS) operating adjustment | 1,127 | 1,796 | 1,106 | ||
| Eliminations and other | -42 | -133 | -107 | -140 | |
| Corporate expenses and other unallocated items | -275 | -552 | -590 | -367 | |
| Pratt & Whitney | -1,455 | 454 | -564 | 1,801 | |
| Acquisition accounting adjustments | -1,998 | -2,203 | -5,100 | -888 | |
| Raytheon Intelligence & Space | 1,833 | 1,020 | |||
| Raytheon Missiles & Defense | 2,004 | 880 | |||
| Total | 3,561 | 4,958 | -1,889 | 4,914 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collins Aerospace | 72,085 | 70,404 | 67,564 | 68,701 | 74,049 |
| Raytheon | 44,929 | 45,666 | |||
| Pratt & Whitney | 40,723 | 36,205 | 33,414 | 32,780 | 31,170 |
| Corporate, eliminations and other | 4,132 | 6,589 | 10,115 | 9,762 | 2,573 |
| Raytheon Intelligence & Space | 21,545 | 21,573 | |||
| Raytheon Missiles & Defense | 28,766 | 29,337 | |||
| Assets related to discontinued operations | 31,823 | ||||
| Total | 161,869 | 158,864 | 161,404 | 162,153 | 139,615 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/21/2025 | 7.7% | 11.5% | 8.7% |
| 7/22/2025 | -1.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| 4/22/2025 | -9.8% | -1.0% | 8.8% |
| 1/28/2025 | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| 10/22/2024 | -0.3% | -0.4% | -5.0% |
| 7/25/2024 | 8.2% | 12.1% | 13.2% |
| 4/23/2024 | -0.2% | 0.9% | 4.4% |
| 1/23/2024 | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 13 | 16 |
| # Negative | 13 | 11 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 2.6% | 3.9% | 7.4% |
| Median Negative | -1.6% | -3.0% | -5.4% |
| Max Positive | 8.2% | 12.1% | 25.5% |
| Max Negative | -10.2% | -9.4% | -11.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10212025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7222025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4222025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2032025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10222024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7252024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4232024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2052024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10242023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7252023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4252023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2072023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10252022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7262022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4262022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2112022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Atkinson Tracy A | 10282025 | Sell | 178.91 | 2,800 | 500,948 | 729,953 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |