RTX (RTX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $171.19 | Market Cap: $229.9 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense
RTX (RTX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $171.19Market Cap: $229.9 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Aerospace & Defense
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Cybersecurity, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Cybersecurity, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
RTX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining why RTX stock moved by 6.6% in a recent period for which information is available:
1. Strong Fourth Quarter 2023 Earnings Beat.
RTX reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.29 for the fourth quarter of 2023, surpassing analyst consensus estimates of $1.25. Additionally, the company's revenue reached $19.9 billion for the quarter, exceeding the expected $19.72 billion.
2. Positive 2024 Financial Outlook.
The company provided an optimistic financial outlook for the full fiscal year 2024, projecting adjusted EPS to be in the range of $5.25 to $5.40 and revenue between $78 billion and $79 billion, which generally exceeded Wall Street's expectations.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RTX Return | -16% | 23% | 20% | -14% | 41% | 49% | 122% |
| Peers Return | -6% | 4% | -2% | 27% | 9% | 23% | 62% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RTX Win Rate | 42% | 67% | 58% | 42% | 58% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | 42% | 37% | 42% | 47% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RTX Max Drawdown | -50% | -8% | -4% | -30% | 0% | -1% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -50% | -7% | -20% | -9% | -13% | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GE, BA, HON, LHX, APEX. See RTX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RTX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -33.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 217 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -52.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 109.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 662 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -28.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 126 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -54.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 118.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 689 days | 1480 days |
Compare to GE, BA, HON, LHX, APEX
In The Past
RTX's stock fell -33.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/18/2023. A -33.7% loss requires a 50.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Day 6 of Gains Streak for RTX Stock with 14% Return (vs. 57% YTD) [10/23/2025] | Notification | ||
| Day 5 of Gains Streak for RTX Stock with 13% Return (vs. 56% YTD) [10/22/2025] | Notification | ||
| Why RTX Stock Jumped 40%? | |||
| Now Is Not The Time To Buy RTX Stock | Buy or Fear | ||
| ATI or RTX: Which Stock Has More Upside? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| RTX Stock Surged 40%, Here's Why | |||
| RTX Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go? | Return | ||
| RTX Capital Return Hits $57 Bil in 10 Years | |||
| How Does RTX Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | Peer Comparison | ||
| Better Bet Than RTX Stock: Pay Less Than RTX To Get More From MU, CDE | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| RTX Stock On Fire: Up 14% With 6-Day Winning Streak | October 24th, 2025 | ||
| RTX Stock Rockets 13% With 5-Day Winning Streak | October 23rd, 2025 | ||
| RTX vs ATI: Which Stock Could Rally? | October 22nd, 2025 | ||
| How Will RTX Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings? | October 17th, 2025 | ||
| A Decade of Rewards: RTX Stock Returns $57 Bil to Investors | October 10th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RTX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| 06302020 | RTX | RTX | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.8% | 42.2% | -14.4% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| 06302020 | RTX | RTX | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.8% | 42.2% | -14.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for RTX
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Growth & Margins
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| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | - |
| FCF/Rev LTM | - |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | - |
Valuation
| Median | |
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| P/EBIT | - |
| P/E | - |
| P/CFO | - |
| Total Yield | - |
| Dividend Yield | - |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | - |
| D/E | - |
| Net D/E | - |
Returns
| Median | |
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| 1M Rtn | - |
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| 3Y Rtn | - |
| 1M Excs Rtn | - |
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Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raytheon | 26,350 | ||||
| Collins Aerospace | 26,253 | 18,449 | 19,288 | 26,028 | |
| Pratt & Whitney | 18,296 | 18,150 | 16,799 | 20,902 | |
| Acquisition accounting adjustments | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Corporate expenses and other unallocated items | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Financial accounting standards (FAS)/cost accounting standards (CAS) operating adjustment | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Eliminations and other | -1,979 | -2,930 | -1,965 | -1,581 | |
| Raytheon Intelligence & Space | 15,180 | 11,069 | |||
| Raytheon Missiles & Defense | 15,539 | 11,396 | |||
| Total | 68,920 | 64,388 | 56,587 | 45,349 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collins Aerospace | 3,825 | 1,759 | 1,466 | 4,508 | |
| Raytheon | 2,379 | ||||
| Financial accounting standards (FAS)/cost accounting standards (CAS) operating adjustment | 1,127 | 1,796 | 1,106 | ||
| Eliminations and other | -42 | -133 | -107 | -140 | |
| Corporate expenses and other unallocated items | -275 | -552 | -590 | -367 | |
| Pratt & Whitney | -1,455 | 454 | -564 | 1,801 | |
| Acquisition accounting adjustments | -1,998 | -2,203 | -5,100 | -888 | |
| Raytheon Intelligence & Space | 1,833 | 1,020 | |||
| Raytheon Missiles & Defense | 2,004 | 880 | |||
| Total | 3,561 | 4,958 | -1,889 | 4,914 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collins Aerospace | 72,085 | 70,404 | 67,564 | 68,701 | 74,049 |
| Raytheon | 44,929 | 45,666 | |||
| Pratt & Whitney | 40,723 | 36,205 | 33,414 | 32,780 | 31,170 |
| Corporate, eliminations and other | 4,132 | 6,589 | 10,115 | 9,762 | 2,573 |
| Raytheon Intelligence & Space | 21,545 | 21,573 | |||
| Raytheon Missiles & Defense | 28,766 | 29,337 | |||
| Assets related to discontinued operations | 31,823 | ||||
| Total | 161,869 | 158,864 | 161,404 | 162,153 | 139,615 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10212025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7222025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4222025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2032025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10222024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7252024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4232024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2052024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10242023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7252023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4252023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2072023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10252022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7262022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4262022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2112022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Atkinson Tracy A | 10282025 | Sell | 178.91 | 2,800 | 500,948 | 729,953 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |