Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include In-Flight Entertainment & Connectivity, Aerospace Power & Cabin Systems, and Aerospace Test Solutions.
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 32x
1  Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 215%
2  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 86%
3  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.4%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include In-Flight Entertainment & Connectivity, Aerospace Power & Cabin Systems, and Aerospace Test Solutions.
1 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 32x
2 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 215%
3 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 86%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.4%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ATRO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The Astronics (ATRO) stock experienced a significant upward movement, with shares surging approximately 44.5% in the past three months, driven by several key operational and financial developments.

1. Strong Third Quarter 2023 Financial Results: Astronics reported a substantial 24% increase in sales, reaching $162.9 million for the third quarter of 2023. This growth was accompanied by a 31% year-to-date increase in sales to $493.9 million.

2. Record Backlog Achieved: The company announced a record backlog of $604.3 million, marking its seventh consecutive quarterly record. This sustained increase in backlog reflects robust and ongoing customer demand for Astronics' products and services.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ATRO Return-53%-9%-14%69%-8%234%90%
Peers Return-9%2%5%3%-5%13%9%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ATRO Win Rate42%42%50%58%25%90% 
Peers Win Rate18%12%10%10%7%26% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ATRO Max Drawdown-77%-24%-37%-2%-11%-2% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-2%-1%-3%-6%-3% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FLY, HII, APEX, BETA, DFSC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventATROS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-62.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven169.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven284 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-77.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven351.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1655 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-44.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2245 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-80.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven423.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1001 days1480 days

Compare to FLY, HII, APEX, BETA, DFSC


In The Past

Astronics's stock fell -62.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/14/2021. A -62.9% loss requires a 169.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Astronics (ATRO)

Better Bets than Astronics (ATRO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ATRO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Astronics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ATROFLYHIIAPEXBETADFSCMedian
NameAstronicsFirefly .Huntingt.APEX Glo.BETA Tec.DEFSEC T. 
Mkt Price51.7218.55309.23-29.503.5429.50
Mkt Cap1.8-12.2---7.0
Rev LTM83110111,569--4466
Op Inc LTM50-211469---921
FCF LTM51-199667---921
FCF 3Y Avg8-456---118
CFO LTM74-1651,032---932
CFO 3Y Avg22-791---1022

Growth & Margins

ATROFLYHIIAPEXBETADFSCMedian
NameAstronicsFirefly .Huntingt.APEX Glo.BETA Tec.DEFSEC T. 
Rev Chg LTM6.2%--1.7%--166.4%6.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg19.5%-4.2%--94.3%19.5%
Rev Chg Q3.8%-3.5%--330.2%3.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.9%-0.9%--35.8%0.9%
Op Mgn LTM6.0%-209.3%4.1%---209.1%-102.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.2%-5.1%---699.5%2.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.7%--0.2%--86.7%1.7%
CFO/Rev LTM8.9%-164.1%8.9%---212.3%-77.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg2.5%-6.9%---716.7%2.5%
FCF/Rev LTM6.1%-197.5%5.8%---216.3%-95.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg0.8%-4.0%---777.8%0.8%

Valuation

ATROFLYHIIAPEXBETADFSCMedian
NameAstronicsFirefly .Huntingt.APEX Glo.BETA Tec.DEFSEC T. 
Mkt Cap1.8-12.2---7.0
P/S1.9-1.0---1.5
P/EBIT32.3-15.7---24.0
P/E-523.2-21.6----250.8
P/CFO22.0-11.0---16.5
Total Yield-0.2%-6.0%---2.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%-1.4%---0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.5%-4.5%---2.0%
D/E0.2-0.3---0.2
Net D/E0.2-0.2---0.2

Returns

ATROFLYHIIAPEXBETADFSCMedian
NameAstronicsFirefly .Huntingt.APEX Glo.BETA Tec.DEFSEC T. 
1M Rtn6.1%-22.0%-2.2%---10.6%-6.4%
3M Rtn40.5%-58.2%15.3%--19.6%17.5%
6M Rtn61.1%-38.9%---50.0%
12M Rtn215.2%-64.9%---140.1%
3Y Rtn466.5%-37.4%---251.9%
1M Excs Rtn6.1%-22.0%-2.2%---10.6%-6.4%
3M Excs Rtn27.1%-62.0%9.7%--13.0%11.4%
6M Excs Rtn46.4%-24.1%---35.2%
12M Excs Rtn206.7%-46.3%---126.5%
3Y Excs Rtn493.7%--28.3%---232.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Aerospace494481458485629
Test Systems123112105105111
Corporate1722453042
Total634615609620783


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,446,583
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202515.2%
Average Daily Volume777,411
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.43
Basic Shares Quantity35,423,000
Short % of Basic Shares9.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024305202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024506202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023305202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023510202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022310202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221115202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022811202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022509202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021304202210-K 12/31/2021