Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 3,158x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.1%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Defense Services. Themes include Aviation MRO, Aviation Supply Chain & Logistics, and Defense & Government Aviation Support.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.1%
3   Key risks
AIR key risks include [1] a significant dependence on a concentrated customer base and [2] operational vulnerabilities from supply chain disruptions and equipment failures.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Defense Services. Themes include Aviation MRO, Aviation Supply Chain & Logistics, and Defense & Government Aviation Support.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 3,158x
5 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.1%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.1%
7 Key risks
AIR key risks include [1] a significant dependence on a concentrated customer base and [2] operational vulnerabilities from supply chain disruptions and equipment failures.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

AAR (AIR) stock has gained about 40% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Financial Performance Driven by Earnings Beats and Raised Guidance. AAR reported robust financial results during this period, significantly exceeding analyst expectations. On September 23, 2025, the company announced its first-quarter fiscal year 2026 earnings, with adjusted diluted EPS of $1.08, surpassing the forecasted $1.00, and revenue of $740 million, exceeding the $691.5 million expectation. This positive momentum continued into the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, with results released on January 6, 2026, showing sales up 16% and adjusted diluted EPS increasing by 31% year-over-year, once again beating analyst estimates. Furthermore, AAR provided strong revenue guidance for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026.

2. Strategic Acquisitions Expanding Market Position and Capabilities. AAR executed key strategic acquisitions, enhancing its market presence and service offerings. In the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, AAR completed the acquisition of ADI for $138 million, bolstering its new parts distribution capabilities. Concurrently, the company acquired HAECO Americas for $77 million, which expanded its airframe heavy maintenance footprint. These acquisitions are expected to drive continued growth and margin expansion by broadening the company's service portfolio and customer base.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 38.9% change in AIR stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 213.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)103120252202026Change
Stock Price ($)84.21116.9738.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,8582,9683.8%
Net Income Margin (%)1.0%3.2%213.6%
P/E Multiple104.047.0-54.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3638-5.6%
Cumulative Contribution38.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 2/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AIR38.9% 
Market (SPY)1.1%60.2%
Sector (XLI)14.3%69.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 56.6% change in AIR stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 605.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)73120252202026Change
Stock Price ($)74.71116.9756.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,7802,9686.7%
Net Income Margin (%)0.4%3.2%605.3%
P/E Multiple216.447.0-78.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3638-4.2%
Cumulative Contribution56.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 2/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AIR56.6% 
Market (SPY)9.4%53.5%
Sector (XLI)17.1%65.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 72.6% change in AIR stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 676.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)13120252202026Change
Stock Price ($)67.76116.9772.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,5722,96815.4%
Net Income Margin (%)0.4%3.2%676.6%
P/E Multiple227.247.0-79.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3538-6.9%
Cumulative Contribution72.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 2/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AIR72.6% 
Market (SPY)15.6%57.8%
Sector (XLI)29.4%65.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 127.4% change in AIR stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 144.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120232202026Change
Stock Price ($)51.44116.97127.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,8442,96860.9%
Net Income Margin (%)5.0%3.2%-36.2%
P/E Multiple19.247.0144.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3438-9.5%
Cumulative Contribution127.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 2/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AIR127.4% 
Market (SPY)75.9%50.3%
Sector (XLI)81.6%61.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
AIR Return8%15%39%-2%35%40%219%
Peers Return14%17%20%44%52%18%315%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%0%83%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AIR Win Rate42%58%58%50%50%100% 
Peers Win Rate55%53%55%60%62%100% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AIR Max Drawdown-13%-10%-1%-9%-21%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-12%-7%-8%-6%-11%-0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: HEI, CW, RTX, HWM, HXL. See AIR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/20/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAIRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven141 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-79.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven395.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven734 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-39.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven65.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven206 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-73.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven271.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,948 days1,480 days

Compare to HEI, CW, RTX, HWM, HXL

In The Past

AAR's stock fell -33.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/7/2022. A -33.2% loss requires a 49.7% gain to breakeven.

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About AAR (AIR)

AAR Corp. provides products and services to commercial aviation, government, and defense markets worldwide. The Aviation Services segment offers aftermarket support and services; inventory management and distribution services; and maintenance, repair, and overhaul, as well as engineering services. This segment also sells and leases new, overhauled, and repaired engine and airframe parts, and components; and provides inventory and repair programs, warranty claim management, and outsourcing programs for engine and airframe parts and components, as well as performance-based supply chain logistics programs in support of the U.S. department of defense and foreign governments. In addition, it offers airframe inspection, maintenance, repair and overhaul, painting, line maintenance, airframe modification, structural repair, avionic and installation, exterior and interior refurbishment, and engineering and support services; and repairs and overhauls components, landing gears, wheels, and brakes. The Expeditionary Services segment provides products and services supporting the movement of equipment and personnel by the U.S. and foreign governments, and non-governmental organizations. This segment also designs, manufactures, and repairs transportation pallets, and various containers and shelters, as well as composite materials for commercial, business, and military aircraft; and provides engineering, design, and system integration services for command and control systems. The company serves domestic and foreign passenger airlines; domestic and foreign cargo airlines; regional and commuter airlines; business and general aviation operators; original equipment manufacturers; aircraft leasing companies; aftermarket aviation support companies; and domestic and foreign military customers. It primarily markets and sells products and services through its employees and foreign sales representatives. AAR Corp. was founded in 1951 and is headquartered in Wood Dale, Illinois.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • AAR is like the **AutoZone for airplanes**, providing aftermarket parts, components, and maintenance services for aircraft.
  • AAR is like **Grainger for the aerospace and defense industry**, offering a comprehensive supply chain for MRO (Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul) needs.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Parts Supply & Distribution: Provides new and used aircraft parts and components to airlines, MROs, and government customers globally.
  • Maintenance, Repair & Overhaul (MRO): Offers comprehensive maintenance, repair, and overhaul services for aircraft, engines, and components.
  • Integrated Solutions & Supply Chain Management: Delivers complete supply chain management, logistics, and technical support services to optimize aviation operations.
  • Expeditionary Services: Provides specialized support, including aircraft modifications, deployment services, and logistics, primarily for government and defense customers in challenging environments.

AI Analysis | Feedback

AAR (AIR) primarily sells to government entities and other companies (Business-to-Government and Business-to-Business).

Its most significant major customer is:

  • U.S. Government

While AAR serves a diverse global customer base, including commercial airlines, cargo carriers, maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) providers, and original equipment manufacturers (OEMs, aerospace and defense), its financial reports indicate that no single commercial company accounts for 10% or more of its consolidated net sales. Therefore, no other individual company is identified as a major customer.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Honeywell International Inc. (Symbol: HON)
  • Sifco Industries, Inc. (Symbol: SIF)
  • GE Aerospace (Symbol: GE)
  • RTX Corporation (Symbol: RTX)

AI Analysis | Feedback

John M. Holmes, Chairman, President and CEO

Mr. Holmes joined AAR in 2001 and was named President in 2017, Chief Executive Officer in 2018, and Chairman of the Board of Directors in 2023. He has grown the company through multiple acquisitions, including Airinmar, Premier Aviation, Trax, and Triumph Group's Product Support business. Prior to joining AAR, Mr. Holmes worked in investment banking and private equity. He also served as an Investment Banking Analyst at William Blair.

Sean M. Gillen, Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Gillen was appointed Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of AAR in January 2019. Before joining AAR, he served as Vice President and Treasurer at USG Corporation. Prior to USG, Mr. Gillen spent nine years in investment banking with Goldman Sachs in their Global Industrials Group, where he gained experience in mergers and acquisitions, divestitures, corporate spin-offs, debt financing, and capital return programs.

Jessica A. Garascia, Senior Vice President, General Counsel, Chief Administrative Officer, and Secretary

Ms. Garascia joined AAR in 2020. Previously, she served as Deputy General Counsel at USG Corporation, and also held roles as Senior Corporate Counsel and Assistant General Counsel and Secretary, leading a team responsible for mergers and acquisitions, compliance, and financing.

Andrew Schmidt, Senior Vice President, AAR Digital Services and Trax

Mr. Schmidt currently serves as Senior Vice President of AAR Digital Services and Executive Vice President of Trax, a position he has held since 2023. He was instrumental in AAR's March 2023 acquisition of Trax. From 2011 to 2018, he was AAR's Senior Vice President of Intelligent Solutions, during which time AAR acquired and integrated Airinmar and launched PAARTS Store. His prior experience includes senior leadership roles at Seabury Capital, Macquarie Capital's Aviation and Aerospace Investments, and Oliver Wyman, where he led private investments for technology-based companies and drove strategic mergers and acquisitions.

Christopher A. Jessup, Chief Commercial Officer and Vice President

Mr. Jessup has served as Chief Commercial Officer and Vice President of AAR since June 2017. His previous roles at AAR include Chief Commercial Officer of the aviation services segment and Senior Vice President of airframe MRO services.

AI Analysis | Feedback

AAR (symbol: AIR) faces several key risks to its business, primarily stemming from the highly competitive and cyclical nature of the aviation industry, as well as operational dependencies.
  1. Intense Competition and Market Conditions: AAR operates in highly competitive markets for its aviation products and services, facing numerous domestic and international players. This intense competition can lead to pricing pressures, reduced profit margins, and potential loss of market share. Additionally, the company is significantly affected by the overall economic conditions and cyclicality of the commercial aviation industry, which can experience negative impacts from geopolitical events, high fuel prices, and weak economic conditions, leading to reduced demand for air travel and related services.
  2. Dependence on Key Customers and Supply Chain Disruptions: AAR has a significant dependence on key customers, with some reports indicating that a substantial portion of its revenue comes from a concentrated customer base. The loss of a major customer or a reduction in their demand could materially impact AAR's financial performance. Furthermore, operational risks such as supply chain disruptions and equipment failures can lead to delays, increased costs, and reduced service quality, affecting the company's ability to deliver products and services efficiently.
  3. Regulatory Changes: The aviation industry is heavily regulated, and changes in regulations can significantly impact AAR's operations and profitability. New safety standards or environmental regulations, for example, could necessitate substantial investments in new equipment or processes, increasing costs and potentially diminishing competitiveness.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Direct competition from aircraft Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs): Major aircraft manufacturers, such as Boeing (through Boeing Global Services) and Airbus (through Airbus Services), are aggressively expanding their aftermarket services. They leverage their proprietary data, intellectual property, and direct customer relationships to offer comprehensive services, including parts distribution, maintenance, modifications, and digital solutions. This strategy creates a formidable competitive landscape for independent MRO providers and parts distributors like AAR, as OEMs seek to capture a larger share of the lucrative aftermarket services market.
  • Disruption from additive manufacturing (3D printing) of aircraft parts: The increasing sophistication and certification of additive manufacturing for aerospace components represent a clear emerging threat to traditional parts supply chains. As the technology matures and becomes more widely adopted for both repair and new production of aircraft parts, airlines or specialized MROs may gain the capability to print certain components on-demand. This could reduce reliance on traditional parts distributors and extensive inventory management services, impacting AAR's core parts and supply chain solutions business model.
  • Advanced data analytics and artificial intelligence for predictive maintenance: The adoption of sophisticated data analytics and AI by airlines and OEMs for predictive maintenance is fundamentally changing how aircraft maintenance is managed. By accurately forecasting component failures and optimizing maintenance schedules, these technologies aim to reduce unscheduled repairs, optimize spare parts inventory, and potentially shift demand away from traditional reactive or fixed-interval MRO services. Independent providers like AAR must significantly adapt their service offerings and integrate these technologies to remain competitive.

AI Analysis | Feedback

AAR (symbol: AIR) operates in several key segments within the aviation industry, primarily focusing on Aviation Services and Expeditionary Services, which encompass Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul (MRO), Parts Supply, Integrated Supply Chain Solutions, and services for government and defense customers.

Addressable Markets:

  • Aircraft Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul (MRO) Market: The global aircraft MRO market size was estimated at USD 90.85 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 120.96 billion by 2030, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.75% from 2025 to 2030. Additionally, the global aerospace and defense MRO market was estimated at USD 135.7 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 187.3 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 5.6% from 2025 to 2030.
  • Aircraft Aftermarket Parts Market: The global aircraft aftermarket parts market size was valued at USD 48.71 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow from USD 54.40 billion in 2025 to USD 93.52 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 8.0% during the forecast period. For commercial aircraft aftermarket parts specifically, the global market size reached USD 44.3 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 72.3 billion by 2033.
  • Military Aviation Services Market: The global market size for military aviation services is projected to be approximately USD 40 billion in 2023, and it is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5.8%, reaching around USD 63 billion by 2032.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for AAR (AIR)

Over the next 2-3 years, AAR (NYSE: AIR) is expected to drive future revenue growth through several key initiatives and market trends, including strategic acquisitions, expansion of its parts supply network, enhanced repair and engineering capabilities, increased adoption of digital solutions, and growth in government contracts.

  1. Strategic Acquisitions and Synergies

    AAR's recent acquisitions, notably the Triumph Product Support business and HAECO Americas, are significant revenue drivers. The integration of the Product Support business has already contributed to increased sales and margin expansion, with AAR expecting further synergies to be realized. The acquisition of HAECO Americas, announced in November 2025, is anticipated to immediately expand AAR's maintenance footprint and accelerate growth within its Repair & Engineering segment. Additionally, the acquisition of Aerostrat aims to further expand capabilities, supporting a positive long-term outlook.

  2. Growth in Parts Supply

    The company anticipates gaining market share in its Parts Supply segment, which is its largest and most profitable business. This growth is fueled by strong bookings, new distribution agreements that are driving market share gains, and increasing availability of Used Serviceable Material (USM) assets. AAR has also secured key long-term agreements, such as the extension of its multi-year agreement with FTI to exclusively distribute CFM56 engine material through 2030, and a supply chain alliance with the US defense logistics agency.

  3. Expansion and Efficiency in Repair & Engineering

    Demand for AAR's heavy maintenance and component repair capabilities remains robust. Future revenue growth in this segment will be supported by the rollout of new hangar capacity in fiscal year 2026, including facilities in Miami and Oklahoma City, which are expected to contribute to both growth and margin expansion. Furthermore, efficiency gains from initiatives like the paperless hangar program are projected to enhance profitability in this segment.

  4. Increased Adoption and Expansion of Digital Solutions

    AAR's Trax software solution is a high-margin growth channel that continues to secure new contracts with major airlines like Cathay Pacific, Delta, Amerijet International Airlines, and SIA Engineering Company. Management foresees significant revenue growth from Trax, with the potential for license fees to increase substantially. The company expects Trax to maintain its growth trajectory by winning new business and upgrading existing customers to its latest offerings.

  5. Diversification and Wins in Government Contracts

    AAR has reported strong performance in its government integrated solutions activities and possesses a robust pipeline of new opportunities within the government sector. Diversifying through government contracts is a key part of AAR's strategy to navigate aviation market cycles. Recent successes include a joint venture awarded a U.S. Navy contract, underscoring the potential for continued revenue growth from this segment.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • AAR repurchased $10.1 million of its common shares in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025.
  • As of May 31, 2025, $42.5 million remained on AAR's share repurchase program.
  • A $150 million share repurchase program was renewed in December 2021, with $52.5 million remaining as of November 30, 2024.

Share Issuance

  • AAR announced a public offering of 3,000,000 shares of common stock at $83.00 per share in September 2025.
  • The estimated net proceeds from this offering are approximately $239.0 million, potentially increasing to $274.9 million if underwriters fully exercise their option for an additional 450,000 shares.
  • Proceeds are intended to repay outstanding borrowings under its unsecured revolving credit facility and for general corporate purposes, including potential future acquisitions.

Outbound Investments

  • AAR completed the acquisition of Triumph Group's Product Support business for $725 million in fiscal year 2025 (completed March 1, 2024).
  • AAR acquired Trax USA Corp. for $120 million, expanding its software solutions for aircraft MRO and fleet management (completed March 20, 2023).
  • AAR completed the divestiture of its Landing Gear Overhaul business, which generated $48 million in cash in fiscal year 2025.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures were $30 million in fiscal year 2023 and $30 million in fiscal year 2024.
  • AAR launched two hangar expansions in Miami and Oklahoma City in fiscal year 2025.
  • The company plans to continue investing in digital technologies and expanding its global footprint.

Better Bets vs. AAR (AIR)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to AIR.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
FBIN_1302026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01302026FBINFortune Brands InnovationsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.1%-5.1%-5.1%
PAYC_1302026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01302026PAYCPaycom SoftwareDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.0%-7.0%-11.9%
HTZ_1302026_Short_Squeeze01302026HTZHertz GlobalSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
2.9%2.9%0.0%
PAYX_1232026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy01232026PAYXPaychexDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-11.5%-11.5%-13.3%
CPRT_1022026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy01022026CPRTCopartDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.7%-0.7%-2.8%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AIRHEICWRTXHWMHXLMedian
NameAAR Heico Curtiss-.RTX Howmet A.Hexcel  
Mkt Price116.97351.66707.45204.92258.1089.94231.51
Mkt Cap4.449.026.1275.6104.36.937.5
Rev LTM2,9684,4853,49888,6038,2521,8943,992
Op Inc LTM2721,0196389,3002,108172829
FCF LTM-338615547,4481,431157708
FCF 3Y Avg56254805,3631,030170553
CFO LTM193464310,5671,884230789
CFO 3Y Avg376855458,5361,361259615

Growth & Margins

AIRHEICWRTXHWMHXLMedian
NameAAR Heico Curtiss-.RTX Howmet A.Hexcel  
Rev Chg LTM15.4%16.3%12.1%9.7%11.1%-0.5%11.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg17.2%26.9%11.0%9.9%13.4%6.4%12.2%
Rev Chg Q15.9%19.3%14.9%12.1%14.6%3.7%14.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.8%4.6%3.6%3.0%3.5%0.9%3.6%
Op Mgn LTM9.2%22.7%18.2%10.5%25.5%9.1%14.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.5%21.7%17.6%7.9%21.9%10.3%13.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.1%0.4%-0.1%0.2%0.8%2.7%0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM0.0%20.8%18.4%11.9%22.8%12.2%15.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg1.6%17.8%17.2%10.7%18.0%13.9%15.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-1.1%19.2%15.8%8.4%17.3%8.3%12.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg0.3%16.2%15.2%6.7%13.6%9.1%11.3%

Valuation

AIRHEICWRTXHWMHXLMedian
NameAAR Heico Curtiss-.RTX Howmet A.Hexcel  
Mkt Cap4.449.026.1275.6104.36.937.5
P/S1.510.97.53.112.63.65.6
P/EBIT21.447.839.426.152.440.039.7
P/E47.070.953.940.969.163.158.5
P/CFO3,158.252.440.626.155.330.046.5
Total Yield2.1%1.5%1.9%3.7%1.5%2.0%2.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.1%0.1%1.3%0.0%0.4%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.4%1.8%3.7%3.3%2.3%3.0%2.7%
D/E0.20.00.00.10.00.10.1
Net D/E0.20.00.00.10.00.10.1

Returns

AIRHEICWRTXHWMHXLMedian
NameAAR Heico Curtiss-.RTX Howmet A.Hexcel  
1M Rtn9.3%1.1%6.8%4.1%14.8%9.0%7.9%
3M Rtn50.6%16.0%32.0%21.2%30.9%24.2%27.6%
6M Rtn54.3%13.6%47.2%32.1%51.1%42.4%44.8%
12M Rtn82.5%56.0%114.6%67.4%86.9%41.9%74.9%
3Y Rtn118.9%101.5%314.9%118.6%518.8%30.9%118.7%
1M Excs Rtn8.8%0.6%6.3%3.6%14.3%8.5%7.4%
3M Excs Rtn46.0%9.1%27.4%13.7%23.9%21.2%22.6%
6M Excs Rtn54.9%6.5%39.3%23.8%42.3%40.7%40.0%
12M Excs Rtn69.5%45.8%98.8%54.5%73.2%27.5%62.0%
3Y Excs Rtn51.0%34.5%252.1%50.0%438.3%-38.2%50.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Parts Supply976838   
Repair & Engineering728613   
Integrated Solutions643547   
Expeditionary Services70927499108
Inter-segment Sales-97-99   
Aviation Services  1,7461,5541,964
Total2,3191,9911,8201,6522,072


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Parts Supply11094   
Repair & Engineering5235   
Integrated Solutions2430   
Expeditionary Services48   
Corporate and other-60-33   
Total129134   


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Repair & Engineering1,235433   
Parts Supply733588   
Integrated Solutions542583   
Corporate and discontinued operations181162   
Expeditionary Services79677573104
Aviation Services  1,3671,3571,502
Corporate and other  132110473
Total2,7701,8331,5741,5402,079


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$116.97 
Market Cap ($ Bil)4.4 
First Trading Date07/19/1984 
Distance from 52W High0.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$98.19$80.87
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA19.1%44.6%
 3M1YR
Volatility30.7%39.9%
Downside Capture59.55106.80
Upside Capture278.39154.44
Correlation (SPY)52.5%58.4%
AIR Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.181.501.641.571.181.12
Up Beta2.692.651.411.931.081.14
Down Beta0.990.431.441.251.191.09
Up Capture365%356%280%228%185%154%
Bmk +ve Days11223471142430
Stock +ve Days13213265133394
Down Capture-202%59%120%124%110%103%
Bmk -ve Days9192754109321
Stock -ve Days7202960117356

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AIR
AIR83.6%39.9%1.62-
Sector ETF (XLI)29.2%19.2%1.2065.7%
Equity (SPY)13.5%19.4%0.5358.4%
Gold (GLD)74.5%25.6%2.159.5%
Commodities (DBC)7.2%16.9%0.2530.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)7.1%16.7%0.2437.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-30.6%44.9%-0.6827.4%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AIR
AIR25.2%34.2%0.73-
Sector ETF (XLI)16.1%17.2%0.7664.5%
Equity (SPY)13.4%17.0%0.6253.9%
Gold (GLD)22.6%17.1%1.0811.2%
Commodities (DBC)10.9%19.0%0.4626.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%18.8%0.1739.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)7.2%57.1%0.3520.7%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AIR
AIR20.5%44.7%0.58-
Sector ETF (XLI)15.8%19.8%0.7064.0%
Equity (SPY)16.1%17.9%0.7753.2%
Gold (GLD)14.8%15.6%0.794.2%
Commodities (DBC)8.6%17.6%0.4028.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)7.0%20.7%0.3047.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.8%66.7%1.0716.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date1302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1.1 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 1152026-21.0%
Average Daily Volume0.4 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.6 days
Basic Shares Quantity37.8 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.9%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
1/6/20262.1%9.2%19.5%
7/16/202513.6%6.1%3.0%
3/27/2025-16.4%-21.6%-21.7%
1/7/20258.6%12.6%9.0%
7/18/2024-12.1%-9.6%-13.9%
3/21/2024-5.9%-6.3%3.6%
12/21/2023-10.2%-11.9%-18.6%
9/26/20232.5%-1.0%-2.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive11912
# Negative8107
Median Positive3.0%5.2%6.1%
Median Negative-5.3%-4.8%-9.9%
Max Positive13.6%16.8%19.5%
Max Negative-16.4%-21.6%-21.7%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
11/30/202501/07/202610-Q
08/31/202509/23/202510-Q
05/31/202507/22/202510-K
02/28/202503/28/202510-Q
11/30/202401/08/202510-Q
08/31/202409/24/202410-Q
05/31/202407/19/202410-K
02/29/202403/21/202410-Q
11/30/202312/21/202310-Q
08/31/202309/26/202310-Q
05/31/202307/18/202310-K
02/28/202303/21/202310-Q
11/30/202212/20/202210-Q
08/31/202209/22/202210-Q
05/31/202207/21/202210-K
02/28/202203/22/202210-Q

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Holmes, John McClain IiiChairman, President & CEODirectSell106202684.1223,0771,941,30419,942,511Form
2Holmes, John McClain IiiChairman, President & CEODirectSell1106202583.5038,4623,211,61521,722,034Form
3Holmes, John McClain IiiChairman, President & CEODirectSell807202571.7010,000716,99421,409,656Form
4Pachapa, EricVP-CAO & ControllerDirectSell804202572.925,000364,5821,486,422Form
5Holmes, John McClain IiiChairman, President & CEODirectSell725202577.3425,0001,933,57827,914,749Form