Heico (HEI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $309.45 | Market Cap: $43.1 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense
Heico (HEI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $309.45Market Cap: $43.1 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Aerospace & Defense
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 11x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 47x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 54x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 71x |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 22% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.8% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Advanced Air Mobility, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 22% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Advanced Air Mobility, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 11x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 47x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 54x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 71x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.8% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
HEI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The approximate time period provided (August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025) largely falls in the future. As such, definitive information on actual stock movements and their causes for this period is not available. However, the search results do provide some forward-looking statements, analyst ratings, and news from around that time, which may influence stock perception. There is no clear indication in the provided search results of a -0.8% stock movement for HEICO during the specified period. The available information primarily consists of analyst forecasts, past performance up to early December 2025, and some news events occurring in late 2025.
Here are some key points based on the available information around the specified period:
1. Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets: As of early December 2025, analysts maintained a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating for Heico, with an average price target of approximately $343.62. Several firms, including Truist Financial, raised their price targets in August and September 2025, indicating positive expectations for the company. This generally positive outlook from analysts could have supported the stock.
2. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Report: HEICO reported strong third-quarter fiscal 2025 results on August 25, 2025, with net income up 30% to a record $177.3 million and net sales up 16% to $1.15 billion, surpassing analyst estimates. This strong financial performance often leads to positive investor sentiment.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| HEI Return | 16% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 33% | 30% | 172% |
| Peers Return | 5% | 19% | 6% | 29% | 32% | 36% | 208% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| HEI Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 42% | 42% | 75% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 55% | 48% | 55% | 62% | 70% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| HEI Max Drawdown | -46% | -12% | -11% | -1% | -5% | -8% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -47% | -6% | -17% | -13% | -3% | -9% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GE, RTX, HON, PH, GD. See HEI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | HEI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -18.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 36 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -52.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 110.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 237 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -23.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 60 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -61.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 159.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 567 days | 1480 days |
Compare to GE, RTX, HON, PH, GD
In The Past
Heico's stock fell -18.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/4/2022. A -18.8% loss requires a 23.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to HEI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| 06302022 | HEI | Heico | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 17.0% | 35.1% | -0.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| 06302022 | HEI | Heico | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 17.0% | 35.1% | -0.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Heico
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 298.97 |
| Mkt Cap | 116.4 |
| Rev LTM | 42,309 |
| Op Inc LTM | 6,510 |
| FCF LTM | 4,769 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 4,303 |
| CFO LTM | 6,602 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 5,343 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 19.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 116.4 |
| P/S | 4.0 |
| P/EBIT | 21.1 |
| P/E | 30.2 |
| P/CFO | 26.7 |
| Total Yield | 4.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.8% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 4.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 18.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 24.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 83.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 4.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 9.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 18.2% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 8272025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 5292025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 2282025 | 10-Q 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12192024 | 10-K 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 8282024 | 10-Q 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 5302024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 2282024 | 10-Q 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12202023 | 10-K 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 8302023 | 10-Q 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 5242023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3012023 | 10-Q 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12212022 | 10-K 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 8312022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 5252022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 2252022 | 10-Q 1/31/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12212021 | 10-K 10/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
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