Waste Connections (WCN)


Market Price (11/7/2026): $189.02 | Market Cap: $47.3 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Environmental & Facilities Services

Waste Connections (WCN)


Market Price (11/7/2026): $189.02
Market Cap: $47.3 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Environmental & Facilities Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, CFO LTM is 2.5 Bil

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 1.4 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Waste Management Solutions, Advanced Recycling Technologies, Show more.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.4%, Dist 3Y High is -4.1%

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -32%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4%

Key risks
WCN key risks include [1] significant remediation costs from the ongoing Elevated Temperature Landfill event at its Chiquita Canyon Landfill, Show more.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, CFO LTM is 2.5 Bil
1 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 1.4 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Waste Management Solutions, Advanced Recycling Technologies, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.4%, Dist 3Y High is -4.1%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -32%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4%
7 Key risks
WCN key risks include [1] significant remediation costs from the ongoing Elevated Temperature Landfill event at its Chiquita Canyon Landfill, Show more.

WCN in ETFs

Weight = WCN's share of each fund

VTI0.05%
VUG0.13%
VO0.38%
USMV1.3%
VOT0.92%
VV0.06%

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 11/1/2026

Waste Connections (WCN) stock has gained about 15% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q3 2026 Earnings Beat and Upgraded Full-Year Outlook. Waste Connections reported Fiscal Q3 2026 (ended September 30, 2026) revenue of $2.638 billion, marking a 7.3% increase year-over-year, which surpassed the consensus estimate of approximately $2.61 billion. Diluted adjusted earnings per share reached $1.58, exceeding analyst expectations of $1.52. Following this strong performance, management raised its full-year 2026 revenue outlook to approximately $10.09 billion at the midpoint and reiterated adjusted free cash flow guidance of at least $1.4 billion.

2. Robust Operational Execution Driving Margin Expansion and Volume Improvement. The company demonstrated strong operational execution, achieving a 34.0% adjusted EBITDA margin in Fiscal Q3 2026, an expansion of 50 basis points in underlying margin despite a late-quarter increase in diesel prices. This was further supported by 5.5% core pricing growth in solid waste organic revenue and a sequential improvement of 70 basis points in solid waste unit volumes, primarily driven by an uptick in landfill activity. Operating margin also expanded to 20.5% from 17.9% in the prior year's Fiscal Q3.

Show more
Updated on 11/1/2026

Waste Connections (WCN) stock has gained about 15% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q3 2026 Earnings Beat and Upgraded Full-Year Outlook. Waste Connections reported Fiscal Q3 2026 (ended September 30, 2026) revenue of $2.638 billion, marking a 7.3% increase year-over-year, which surpassed the consensus estimate of approximately $2.61 billion. Diluted adjusted earnings per share reached $1.58, exceeding analyst expectations of $1.52. Following this strong performance, management raised its full-year 2026 revenue outlook to approximately $10.09 billion at the midpoint and reiterated adjusted free cash flow guidance of at least $1.4 billion.

2. Robust Operational Execution Driving Margin Expansion and Volume Improvement. The company demonstrated strong operational execution, achieving a 34.0% adjusted EBITDA margin in Fiscal Q3 2026, an expansion of 50 basis points in underlying margin despite a late-quarter increase in diesel prices. This was further supported by 5.5% core pricing growth in solid waste organic revenue and a sequential improvement of 70 basis points in solid waste unit volumes, primarily driven by an uptick in landfill activity. Operating margin also expanded to 20.5% from 17.9% in the prior year's Fiscal Q3.

3. Increased Shareholder Returns and Capital Allocation. Waste Connections underscored its commitment to shareholder returns by announcing a 10% increase in its quarterly cash dividend, representing its sixteenth consecutive annual increase. Additionally, the company reported year-to-date share repurchases exceeding $1 billion, accounting for 2.5% of its outstanding shares. These actions reflect strong free cash flow generation and financial flexibility to fund growth and return capital to shareholders.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 13.4% change in WCN stock from 7/31/2026 to 11/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 5.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)731202611062026Change
Stock Price ($)166.69189.0713.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9,7649,9441.8%
Net Income Margin (%)10.9%11.4%4.9%
P/E Multiple39.841.95.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2532510.8%
Cumulative Contribution13.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2026 to 11/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
WCN13.4% 
Market (SPY)-1.6%-12.9%
Sector (XLI)-9.5%-8.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 15.5% change in WCN stock from 4/30/2026 to 11/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 5.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)430202611062026Change
Stock Price ($)163.68189.0715.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9,6099,9443.5%
Net Income Margin (%)11.0%11.4%3.9%
P/E Multiple39.641.95.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2552511.6%
Cumulative Contribution15.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 11/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
WCN15.5% 
Market (SPY)2.6%-27.6%
Sector (XLI)-6.6%-18.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 14.0% change in WCN stock from 10/31/2025 to 11/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 71.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)1031202511062026Change
Stock Price ($)165.92189.0714.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9,3549,9446.3%
Net Income Margin (%)6.7%11.4%71.4%
P/E Multiple68.541.9-38.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2572512.2%
Cumulative Contribution14.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 11/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
WCN14.0% 
Market (SPY)8.7%-8.5%
Sector (XLI)5.8%0.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 49.6% change in WCN stock from 10/31/2023 to 11/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 26.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)1031202311062026Change
Stock Price ($)126.38189.0749.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)7,8569,94426.6%
Net Income Margin (%)10.6%11.4%7.8%
P/E Multiple39.241.96.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2582512.5%
Cumulative Contribution49.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2023 to 11/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
WCN49.6% 
Market (SPY)81.9%16.5%
Sector (XLI)72.0%20.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
WCN Return34%-2%13%16%3%9%93%
Peers Return38%-5%25%24%2%11%130%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%105%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WCN Win Rate58%33%58%67%42%55% 
Peers Win Rate68%47%57%57%55%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%45% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WCN Max Drawdown-7%-21%-12%-11%-17%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-13%-25%-18%-12%-22%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: WM, RSG, GFL, CLH, CWST. See WCN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/6/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventWCNS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-10.4%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven11.7%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven47 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-14.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven16.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven47 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-30.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.5%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven114 days140 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-13.1%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven15.1%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven62 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-12.5%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven14.3%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven16 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-32.8%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven48.9%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven220 days1085 days

Compare to WM, RSG, GFL, CLH, CWST

In The Past

Waste Connections's stock fell -2.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 2.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventWCNS&P 500
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-30.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.5%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven114 days140 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-32.8%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven48.9%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven220 days1085 days

Compare to WM, RSG, GFL, CLH, CWST

In The Past

Waste Connections's stock fell -2.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 2.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Waste Connections (WCN)

Waste Connections (WCN) is a prominent environmental services company providing non-hazardous waste management solutions throughout the United States and Canada. The company's core business revolves around the entire waste lifecycle, offering collection, transfer, disposal, and resource recovery services. This includes comprehensive municipal solid waste (MSW) services, where it collects waste from various sources, transports it through a network of transfer stations, and ultimately disposes of it in its owned and operated landfills.

In addition to general waste management, Waste Connections specializes in extensive recycling operations, processing a wide array of materials such as paper, plastics, glass, and metals. A unique and significant part of its offerings is dedicated to the oil and natural gas industry, where it provides specialized services for exploration and production (E&P) waste. This includes the treatment, recovery, and safe disposal of drilling fluids, completion fluids, flowback water, and contaminated soils resulting from energy production activities.

The company serves a broad customer base, including residential communities, commercial businesses, municipalities, and industrial clients. Its E&P waste services specifically cater to the needs of the energy sector. With a vast infrastructure comprising numerous collection operations, transfer stations, MSW and E&P landfills, recycling facilities, and E&P waste treatment plants across North America, Waste Connections is a key provider in the waste management and environmental services industry.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Waste Connections (WCN):

  • The FedEx or UPS for trash and recycling across North America.
  • A utility company for waste, handling everything from household trash to industrial disposal and recycling.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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  • Non-Hazardous Waste Collection: Gathers non-hazardous waste from residential, commercial, municipal, industrial, and E&P customers.
  • Waste Transfer Services: Operates transfer stations to compact and load waste for transportation to disposal or treatment facilities.
  • Waste Disposal Services: Manages and operates municipal solid waste (MSW) and non-MSW landfills for the final disposal of waste.
  • Recycling and Resource Recovery: Processes and recovers various recyclable materials like paper, plastics, glass, and metals for reuse.
  • Exploration & Production (E&P) Waste Management: Provides specialized treatment, recovery, and disposal services for waste generated by oil and natural gas exploration and production activities.
  • Intermodal Services: Offers rail haul movement of cargo and solid waste containers through a network of intermodal facilities.
  • Equipment Leasing: Provides leasing services for equipment to its customers.
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AI Analysis | Feedback

Waste Connections (WCN) serves a broad range of customers across various sectors. The company does not identify specific major customer companies by name in its description but rather categorizes its diverse client base. As it provides services to individuals (residential customers) as well as businesses and governmental entities, the most appropriate way to describe its major customers is through these categories.

The up to three categories of customers that Waste Connections primarily serves include:

  • Residential customers: Individuals and households that receive non-hazardous waste collection and recycling services.
  • Commercial customers: Businesses and organizations that require waste collection, transfer, disposal, and recycling services.
  • Municipal customers: Cities, towns, and local governments for whom Waste Connections provides waste collection, transfer, and disposal services.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Ronald J. Mittelstaedt, President and Chief Executive Officer

Mr. Mittelstaedt is a founder of Waste Connections, Inc., established in 1997. He served as the Chief Executive Officer from the company's formation in 1997 until July 2019, at which point he transitioned to the role of Executive Chairman. In April 2023, Mr. Mittelstaedt was reappointed as President and Chief Executive Officer. He has over 35 years of experience in the solid waste industry and also served as President of Waste Connections from its formation through August 2004. Mr. Mittelstaedt also serves as a director of SkyWest, Inc.

Mary Anne Whitney, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Ms. Whitney has been the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Waste Connections since February 2021. She previously held various finance positions for Wheelabrator Technologies from 1990 to 2001. Prior to her current role, Ms. Whitney served in several financial leadership capacities at Waste Connections, including Director of Finance, Vice President - Finance, and Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. She is also a member of the Board of Directors of Vestis Corp.

Jason J. Craft, Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

Mr. Craft has served as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of Waste Connections since August 2025. He has a long history with the company, having held various operational roles since November 2003, including Regional Vice President, Senior Vice President – Operations, Divisional Vice President, and District Manager. Additionally, Mr. Craft worked in Waste Connections' Operations Analysis and Integrations department and Internal Audit department. Before joining Waste Connections, he held various accounting positions with The Newark Group Inc. from June 2000 to April 2003.

Derek Tan, Senior Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer

Mr. Tan was appointed Senior Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer of Waste Connections in May 2025. His previous roles at Waste Connections include Vice President – Financial Reporting and Region Controller - Canada. From June 2015 to April 2016, Mr. Tan served as Accounting Director for Quidsi, a subsidiary of Amazon. He also held various District Controller positions within Waste Connections.

James M. Little, Executive Vice President – Engineering and Disposal

Mr. Little has been Executive Vice President – Engineering and Disposal of Waste Connections since July 2019. He previously served as Senior Vice President – Engineering and Disposal and Vice President – Engineering for the company. Prior to his tenure at Waste Connections, Mr. Little held various management positions with Waste Management, Inc. (formerly USA Waste Services, Inc., which acquired Waste Management, Inc. and Chambers Development Co. Inc.).

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Waste Connections (WCN):
  1. Elevated Temperature Landfill (ETLF) Events and Associated Costs: Waste Connections faces significant financial and operational risks due to unpredictable Elevated Temperature Landfill (ETLF) events. Specifically, the Chiquita Canyon Landfill in California has required substantial remediation spending, which began in 2023 and is expected to continue, posing a considerable drain on company resources and impacting financial results.
  2. Rising Fuel and Labor Costs: The company's operational efficiency and margin sustainability are significantly challenged by rising fuel and labor costs. As a waste collection and disposal company, Waste Connections' operations are inherently fuel-intensive and rely heavily on a stable workforce.
  3. Volume Declines and Volatile Commodity Prices: Waste Connections is exposed to risks from potential declines in solid waste volumes, which can be exacerbated by macroeconomic uncertainties. Additionally, the company's recycling services are vulnerable to weak and fluctuating commodity prices for recycled materials, such as cardboard and plastics, which can negatively impact revenue.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • The global transition towards a circular economy and zero-waste initiatives, which aim to significantly reduce overall waste generation and divert materials from traditional landfill disposal.
  • The ongoing decarbonization and global shift away from fossil fuels, which directly threatens the demand for Waste Connections' specialized exploration and production (E&P) waste treatment, recovery, and disposal services.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Waste Connections (WCN) operates in several addressable markets across the United States and Canada. The addressable market sizes for their main products and services are: * Solid Waste Management Market (North America): The North America solid waste management market was valued at approximately USD 77.40 billion in 2025. This market is projected to reach USD 101.25 billion by 2034. * Solid Waste Management Market (United States): The U.S. solid waste management market size was estimated at USD 156.3 billion in 2024. It is projected to reach USD 247.5 billion by 2033. * Waste Management Market (Canada): The waste management market in Canada generated a revenue of USD 74.7 billion in 2025. This market is expected to reach USD 120.8 billion by 2033. * Industrial Waste Management Market (North America), including E&P Waste: The North America Industrial Waste Management Market, which includes waste from the oil and gas sector, is estimated at USD 32.26 billion in 2025. This market is expected to reach USD 43.88 billion by 2030.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth for Waste Connections (WCN) over the next 2-3 years:
  • Price-Led Organic Growth: Waste Connections anticipates continued revenue growth driven by core pricing increases in its solid waste services. For example, in 2026, the company targets core solid waste pricing growth of 5% to 5.5%. This strategy has consistently contributed to the company's performance, with solid waste core pricing rising 6.5% in 2025.
  • Strategic Acquisitions: The company actively pursues and completes acquisitions, which add significant annualized revenue. Waste Connections closed 19 acquisitions in 2025, adding approximately $330 million in annualized revenue, and expects $125 million in rollover revenue in 2026 from deals already completed. The company maintains a strong acquisition pipeline, focusing on internalizing waste streams and expanding into new markets.
  • Investments in Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) Projects: Waste Connections is investing in RNG facilities, with capital expenditures including $100 million for RNG projects in 2025 and an estimated $100 million for 2026. These projects are expected to contribute to EBITDA and cash flow, indicating a future revenue stream from clean energy generation.
  • Expansion into Secondary and Rural Markets: Waste Connections' growth strategy includes expanding its presence in less-competitive secondary and rural markets. This approach enables the company to gain higher local market share and establish a more dominant operational position.
  • Operational Improvements and Technology Investments (including AI): While primarily enhancing margins, investments in operational efficiency and technology, such as AI-driven initiatives for dynamic real-time routing and mobile connectivity, are expected to reduce customer calls and improve service. These improvements can support revenue growth by allowing for competitive pricing and improved customer retention.

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Share Repurchases

  • Waste Connections returned over $830 million to shareholders in 2025 through share repurchases and dividends, with over $500 million attributed to share repurchases.
  • In 2022, the company repurchased shares valued at $425 million.
  • The company renewed its normal course issuer bid (NCIB) in August 2025, authorizing share purchases from August 12, 2025, to August 11, 2026.

Share Issuance

  • The number of shares outstanding has remained relatively stable over the last few years, with 257.89 million in 2025, 258.06 million in 2024, and 257.64 million in 2023.

Outbound Investments

  • In 2025, Waste Connections closed 19 acquisitions, which are expected to add approximately $330 million in annualized revenue.
  • The company completed acquisitions totaling approximately $750 million in annualized revenue during 2024.
  • Waste Connections' acquisition strategy focuses on bolstering its presence, expanding services, and growing its customer base through "tuck-in" acquisitions in new or adjacent markets.

Capital Expenditures

  • For 2026, estimated capital expenditures are approximately $1.25 billion, with about $100 million allocated to Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) and recycling projects.
  • Capital expenditures totaled $1.194 billion in 2025, including approximately $100 million for RNG projects.
  • The company is making significant investments in sustainability, ESG, and AI-driven initiatives, particularly in RNG facilities, which are projected to generate around $200 million of annual EBITDA by 2026.

Better Bets vs. Waste Connections (WCN)

Peer Outperformance in Environmental & Facilities Services

WCN has outperformed 71% of its 28 Environmental & Facilities Services peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it are GEO, CLH and RSG. Environmental & Facilities Services ranks 17th of 23 industries in Industrials by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Environmental & Facilities Services constituents that WCN has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
72%
of 32 industry peers · 15.3% return
3Y
67%
of 30 industry peers · 46.8% return
5Y
71%
of 28 industry peers · 46.2% return
Environmental & Facilities Services peers with revenue growth within 4pp of WCN's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
WCN Waste Connections 8.2% 41.9x 15.3%46.8%46.2% —
GEO GEO 5.3% 12.5x 80.4%194.5%190.8% +145pp
CLH Clean Harbors 7.1% 28.4x 38.5%83.6%167.8% +122pp
RSG Republic Services 5.6% 34.0x 22.3%64.9%97.9% +52pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Industrials sector, ranked by 5Y. Environmental & Facilities Services is WCN's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Marine Transportation 5 31.6%32.1%105.5% MATX 153% · KEX 106%
Construction & Engineering 28 -22.1%92.9%93.8% FIX 949% · STRL 830% · AGX 565%
Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment 14 7.5%66.0%93.0% ALSN 256% · WAB 210% · CAT 195%
Aerospace & Defense 54 -0.9%55.7%55.7% ATI 891% · FTAI 850% · HWM 525%
Trading Companies & Distributors 19 5.3%32.0%31.6% DXPE 298% · AIT 187% · URI 180%
Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components 71 0.9%49.5%28.8% CRS 795% · MLI 302% · SYM 266%
Rail Transportation 7 34.9%68.8%25.2% CSX 48% · UNP 36% · NSC 25%
Diversified Support Services 34 15.4%37.0%15.8% CXW 200% · OPLN 134% · CACI 113%
Building Products 34 -6.6%6.9%12.8% MOD 760% · GFF 339% · TT 132%
Cargo Ground Transportation 16 30.0%10.9%2.2% XPO 270% · R 245% · ARCB 19%
Industrial Conglomerates 17 13.4%3.3%-0.6% CSW 99% · CSL 70% · DD 67%
Office Services & Supplies 10 19.2%22.9%-2.5% PBI 157% · HNI 37% · MSA 18%
Electrical Components & Equipment 39 -8.1%59.1%-5.3% POWL 1454% · VRT 565% · BE 441%
Data Processing & Outsourced Services 6 -11.7%1.7%-13.8% EXLS 57% · BR 20% · G -10%
Research & Consulting Services 13 0.2%-15.7%-24.2% HURN 210% · FCN 36% · BAH 9%
Agricultural & Farm Machinery 16 14.3%-4.3%-25.5% DE 102% · TTC 15% · AGCO 3%
Environmental & Facilities Services ← 29 -19.4%26.4%-27.0% GEO 191% · CLH 168% · RSG 98%
Security & Alarm Services 9 -45.7%29.4%-27.5% BCO 65%
Passenger Airlines 11 6.4%67.5%-34.4% LTM 3140% · UAL 114% · DAL 105%
Air Freight & Logistics 12 -29.4%-9.4%-40.2% FDX 75% · EXPD 56% · CHRW 50%
Human Resource & Employment Services 22 23.6%-9.6%-42.8% ADP 48% · FA 24% · PAYX 10%
Passenger Ground Transportation 3 -19.6%37.4%-58.0% UBER 45% · CAR -58% · LYFT -68%
Airport Services 4 -46.5%-66.9%-87.0% JOBY -40%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are limited to companies above $2B market cap.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WCNWMRSGGFLCLHCWSTMedian
NameWaste Co.Waste Ma.Republic.GFL Envi.Clean Ha.Casella . 
Mkt Price189.02236.04246.3246.42284.2198.17212.53
Mkt Cap47.594.275.417.915.06.232.7
Rev LTM9,94426,07017,2377,4336,5641,9558,688
Op Inc LTM1,9434,8423,468321864941,404
FCF LTM1,1783,7402,560234496105837
FCF 3Y Avg1,2172,7482,33224340282809
CFO LTM2,5286,5654,5001,3951,0203511,962
CFO 3Y Avg2,3905,8944,2171,4038633071,896

Growth & Margins

WCNWMRSGGFLCLHCWSTMedian
NameWaste Co.Waste Ma.Republic.GFL Envi.Clean Ha.Casella . 
Rev Chg LTM6.3%5.2%4.5%14.3%10.1%13.6%8.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.2%9.1%5.6%0.6%7.1%20.6%7.6%
Rev Chg Q7.3%6.3%8.2%27.2%20.7%16.9%12.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.8%1.6%2.1%6.6%5.1%4.2%3.1%
Op Inc Chg LTM10.3%10.8%4.2%-8.3%32.6%-3.5%7.3%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg11.9%10.5%9.6%15.6%14.4%-2.6%11.2%
Op Mgn LTM19.5%18.6%20.1%4.3%13.2%4.8%15.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.2%18.7%19.9%4.3%11.9%5.8%15.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%0.1%0.1%-0.5%1.3%-0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM25.4%25.2%26.1%18.8%15.5%18.0%22.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg25.6%24.5%25.5%20.7%14.1%17.9%22.6%
FCF/Rev LTM11.9%14.3%14.9%3.2%7.6%5.4%9.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg13.1%11.3%14.1%3.6%6.5%4.7%8.9%

Valuation

WCNWMRSGGFLCLHCWSTMedian
NameWaste Co.Waste Ma.Republic.GFL Envi.Clean Ha.Casella . 
Mkt Cap47.594.275.417.915.06.232.7
P/S4.83.64.42.42.33.23.4
P/Op Inc24.419.421.855.817.366.323.1
P/EBIT26.119.623.3208.917.088.024.7
P/E41.930.733.9-56.228.41,094.832.3
P/CFO18.814.316.812.814.717.815.7
Total Yield3.1%4.8%4.0%-1.6%3.5%0.1%3.3%
Dividend Yield0.7%1.6%1.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.8%3.3%3.5%1.5%2.9%1.5%2.9%
D/E0.20.20.20.70.20.20.2
Net D/E0.20.20.20.70.20.20.2

Returns

WCNWMRSGGFLCLHCWSTMedian
NameWaste Co.Waste Ma.Republic.GFL Envi.Clean Ha.Casella . 
1M Rtn22.1%13.0%13.9%10.5%-9.9%17.3%13.5%
3M Rtn13.6%4.1%15.2%12.4%-7.8%9.8%11.1%
6M Rtn25.0%10.6%23.9%26.5%-2.4%14.9%19.4%
12M Rtn15.3%20.2%22.1%6.0%38.6%11.2%17.8%
3Y Rtn46.8%45.9%64.5%60.8%83.7%24.4%53.8%
1M Excs Rtn23.4%13.3%14.6%10.7%-9.5%17.8%14.0%
3M Excs Rtn14.8%5.5%16.0%13.6%-7.5%9.9%11.8%
6M Excs Rtn21.1%6.6%20.0%22.5%-6.3%11.0%15.5%
12M Excs Rtn1.7%6.6%7.7%-7.2%24.2%-4.0%4.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-32.1%-30.7%-9.9%-20.3%11.4%-49.7%-25.5%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Commercial2,9442,6712,4772,1761,813
Residential2,3652,2592,1251,8911,674
Landfill1,5421,5581,4831,3291,233
Transfer1,4621,3491,1981,026859
Industrial and construction roll off1,4391,4031,3331,184954
Exploration and Production (E&P)689522232211139
Recycling240242147205205
Intermodal and other175192172188152
Intercompany Elimination-1,389-1,275-1,146-998-879
Total9,4678,9208,0227,2126,151


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil2012
Western151
Central116
Eastern52
E&P9
Corporate-11
Total316


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20152014201320122011
Western1,4981,4821,4871,5071,370
Central1,2171,1881,1731,1591,041
Eastern1,177853807827841
E&P1,1141,6101,4851,449 
Corporate11611811213476
Total5,1225,2505,0645,0763,328


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$189.07 
Market Cap ($ Bil)47.5 
First Trading Date05/22/1998 
Distance from 52W High-1.4% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$165.20$163.30
DMA Trendindeterminateindeterminate
Distance from DMA14.4%15.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility28.7%25.5%
Downside Capture-63.10-26.92
Upside Capture20.73-4.93
Correlation (S&P 500)-14.4%-7.7%
WCN Betas & Captures as of 10/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-1.60-0.64-0.56-0.71-0.200.22
Up Beta-0.84-0.03-0.39-0.90-0.420.29
Down Beta-2.26-2.38-2.01-0.880.040.21
Up Capture19%18%2%-29%-8%6%
Bmk +ve Days12182862130427
Stock +ve Days14223259121385
Down Capture-277%-74%-63%-115%-42%27%
Bmk -ve Days10253664121325
Stock -ve Days8213267130367

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with WCN
WCN15.0%25.5%0.50-
Sector ETF (XLI)7.1%17.8%0.221.2%
Equity (SPY)9.5%13.6%0.40-7.8%
Gold (GLD)1.6%28.7%0.05-8.4%
Commodities (DBC)38.4%21.2%1.42-1.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)11.3%14.2%0.5136.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-26.9%43.6%-0.60-8.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with WCN
WCN7.6%20.4%0.27-
Sector ETF (XLI)10.9%17.7%0.4534.7%
Equity (SPY)11.3%17.3%0.4833.1%
Gold (GLD)17.5%19.1%0.746.8%
Commodities (DBC)8.1%19.6%0.307.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.3%18.9%-0.0444.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.1%51.6%0.269.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with WCN
WCN15.2%20.2%0.66-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.0%20.1%0.5647.5%
Equity (SPY)15.0%18.0%0.7050.2%
Gold (GLD)11.9%16.5%0.596.6%
Commodities (DBC)7.5%18.1%0.3313.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.9%20.7%0.2452.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)60.1%66.3%1.0010.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 930202633.4%
Average Daily Volume1.9 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity251.3 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.1%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 10/30/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/21/20269.9%6.8% 
7/22/20260.1%2.9%0.5%
4/22/20267.9%4.6%-0.3%
2/11/2026-8.2%-3.3%-2.8%
10/21/20252.7%0.2%0.7%
7/23/20252.1%2.6%1.3%
4/23/20250.5%1.0%-0.2%
2/12/2025-0.6%-1.1%-2.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141514
# Negative111010
Median Positive1.7%2.9%4.3%
Median Negative-1.0%-1.3%-2.0%
Max Positive9.9%6.9%15.8%
Max Negative-8.2%-7.9%-3.1%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/21/20269.9%6.8% 
7/22/20260.1%2.9%0.5%
4/22/20267.9%4.6%-0.3%
2/11/2026-8.2%-3.3%-2.8%
10/21/20252.7%0.2%0.7%
7/23/20252.1%2.6%1.3%
4/23/20250.5%1.0%-0.2%
2/12/2025-0.6%-1.1%-2.3%
10/23/2024-1.0%-1.5%5.0%
7/24/2024-2.4%-1.1%2.8%
4/24/2024-0.6%-2.5%-0.8%
2/13/20244.8%6.9%8.3%
10/25/2023-6.9%-5.6%-2.8%
8/2/2023-0.6%0.6%-3.1%
4/26/2023-2.3%-0.9%-1.7%
2/15/20230.6%-0.5%-0.7%
11/2/20226.6%5.9%12.1%
8/2/20223.5%6.5%6.3%
5/3/2022-2.1%-7.9%-2.6%
2/16/20220.8%1.7%15.8%
10/27/20211.3%2.8%2.6%
8/4/2021-1.0%-0.8%3.0%
4/28/20211.1%5.2%3.6%
2/17/20211.4%0.4%5.8%
10/28/2020-0.1%4.1%5.8%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141514
# Negative111010
Median Positive1.7%2.9%4.3%
Median Negative-1.0%-1.3%-2.0%
Max Positive9.9%6.9%15.8%
Max Negative-8.2%-7.9%-3.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202610/22/202610-Q
06/30/202607/23/202610-Q
03/31/202604/23/202610-Q
12/31/202502/12/202610-K
09/30/202510/22/202510-Q
06/30/202507/24/202510-Q
03/31/202504/24/202510-Q
12/31/202402/13/202510-K
09/30/202410/24/202410-Q
06/30/202407/25/202410-Q
03/31/202404/25/202410-Q
12/31/202302/14/202410-K
09/30/202310/26/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202304/27/202310-Q
12/31/202202/16/202310-K
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202610/22/202610-Q
06/30/202607/23/202610-Q
03/31/202604/23/202610-Q
12/31/202502/12/202610-K
09/30/202510/22/202510-Q
06/30/202507/24/202510-Q
03/31/202504/24/202510-Q
12/31/202402/13/202510-K
09/30/202410/24/202410-Q
06/30/202407/25/202410-Q
03/31/202404/25/202410-Q
12/31/202302/14/202410-K
09/30/202310/26/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202304/27/202310-Q
12/31/202202/16/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/03/202210-Q
03/31/202205/04/202210-Q
12/31/202102/17/202210-K
09/30/202110/28/202110-Q
06/30/202108/05/202110-Q
03/31/202104/29/202110-Q
12/31/202002/18/202110-K
09/30/202010/29/202010-Q
06/30/202008/07/202010-Q
03/31/202005/07/202010-Q
12/31/201902/13/202010-K

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 10/26/2026

Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 10/21/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Net cash provided by operating activitiesReported2.64 Bil2.66 Bil2.69 Bil0.3% RaisedGuidance: 2.65 Bil for 2026
2026 RevenueReported 10.09 Bil 0.5% RaisedGuidance: 10.04 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported 3.35 Bil 0.3% RaisedGuidance: 3.33 Bil for 2026
2026 Net IncomeReported 1.18 Bil 0.9% RaisedGuidance: 1.17 Bil for 2026
2026 Capital ExpendituresReported 1.25 Bil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.25 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted Free Cash FlowReported1.40 Bil1.43 Bil1.45 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.43 Bil for 2026

null

Insider Activity

Updated 11/3/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Nielsen, Iii RobertSR VP OperationsDirectSell11032026185.501,500278,250231,875Form
2Nielsen, Iii RobertSR VP OperationsDirectSell11032026187.0050093,500514,252Form
3Black, Matthew StephenSr VP Chief Tax OfficerDirectSell11022026180.6011,0001,986,6375,875,028Form
4Little, JamesExecutive VP EngineeringDirectSell10292026185.222,000370,4406,000,202Form
5Tan, DerekSR VP Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell10282026186.771,000186,77075,455Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Nielsen, Iii RobertSR VP OperationsDirectSell11032026185.501,500278,250231,875Form
2Nielsen, Iii RobertSR VP OperationsDirectSell11032026187.0050093,500514,252Form
3Black, Matthew StephenSr VP Chief Tax OfficerDirectSell11022026180.6011,0001,986,6375,875,028Form
4Little, JamesExecutive VP EngineeringDirectSell10292026185.222,000370,4406,000,202Form
5Tan, DerekSR VP Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell10282026186.771,000186,77075,455Form
6Rivard, PhilipSR VP Business DevelopmentDirectSell8202026166.572,500416,425122,262Form
7Netherton, SusanSR VP People, Training & DevDirectSell8172026166.001,750290,5002,154,680Form
8Cloninger, Robert MichaelSR VP, Deputy General CounselDirectSell7302026171.022,811480,7491,995,168Form
9Craft, JasonExecutive Vice President & COODirectSell6092026156.591,500234,8875,145,753Form
10Shea, Patrick JamesExec VP, General Counsel & SecDirectSell6092026156.267,5001,171,9153,084,011Form
11Nielsen, Iii RobertSR VP OperationsDirectSell5182026155.5650077,780661,130Form
12Mittelstaedt, Ronald JPresident & CEODirectBuy5132026152.2450,0007,611,75045,825,323Form
13Hansen, EricSenior Vice President and CIODirectSell5042026164.826,000988,9252,200,358Form
14Little, JamesExecutive VP EngineeringDirectSell4292026163.982,605427,1685,640,092Form
15Tan, DerekSR VP Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell3062026171.031,173200,618240,126Form
16Nielsen, Iii RobertSR VP OperationsDirectSell12122025167.592,000335,180209,488Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Nov 7, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Stockbridge Partners LLC$398.2 Mil9.6%16Hold13F
Sunriver Management LLC$52.4 Mil8.9%18New13F
OAKMONT Corp$27.5 Mil5.2%31Hold13F
Harvey Partners, LLC$42.0 Mil3.4%45ADD +15.3%13F
Skye Global Management LP$151.4 Mil3.3%44Hold13F
Gates Foundation Trust$331.2 Mil1.0%22Hold13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Sunriver Management LLC$52.4 Mil8.9%18New13F
Harvey Partners, LLC$42.0 Mil3.4%45ADD +15.3%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Visualize Group LP$40.1 Mil15.0%11Exited13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Stockbridge Partners LLC$398.2 Mil9.6%16Hold13F
Gates Foundation Trust$331.2 Mil1.0%22Hold13F
Skye Global Management LP$151.4 Mil3.3%44Hold13F
Sunriver Management LLC$52.4 Mil8.9%18New13F
Harvey Partners, LLC$42.0 Mil3.4%45ADD +15.3%13F
OAKMONT Corp$27.5 Mil5.2%31Hold13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 11/6/2026