Victoria's Secret (VSXY)


Market Price (9/4/2026): $73.78 | Market Cap: $6.0 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail

Victoria's Secret (VSXY)


Market Price (9/4/2026): $73.78
Market Cap: $6.0 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.3%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Experiential Retail.

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%

Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 221%

Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 56%

Key risks
VSXY key risks include [1] a vulnerable financial position due to high debt and poor cash flow coverage and [2] uncertain consumer reception of its significant brand repositioning toward inclusivity.

0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.3%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Experiential Retail.
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 221%
4 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 56%
5 Key risks
VSXY key risks include [1] a vulnerable financial position due to high debt and poor cash flow coverage and [2] uncertain consumer reception of its significant brand repositioning toward inclusivity.

VSXY in ETFs

Weight = VSXY's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IWM0.19%
IJR0.36%
VB0.09%
SLYV0.76%
VIOV0.76%
IJS0.71%
+12 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 9/3/2026

Victoria's Secret (VSXY) stock has gained about 35% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Victoria's Secret reported a strong fiscal Q1 2026, which ended May 2, 2026, with results exceeding guidance and an upward revision to full fiscal year 2026 expectations. On June 2, 2026, the company announced a 15% year-over-year increase in net sales to $1.560 billion, surpassing its guidance. Adjusted operating income reached $80 million, significantly above the projected range of $32 million to $42 million. Adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) also outperformed, reaching $0.60 compared to a guidance range of $0.20 to $0.30. Consequently, the company raised its full fiscal year 2026 net sales guidance to a range of $7.030 billion to $7.130 billion and adjusted operating income guidance to $550 million to $580 million. This announcement led to a substantial single-day stock increase of 47.44% on June 2, 2026.

2. The positive momentum continued with robust fiscal Q2 2026 results, which ended August 1, 2026, and a further increase in the full fiscal year 2026 outlook. On September 3, 2026, Victoria's Secret reported a 10% year-over-year increase in net sales to $1.611 billion, aligning with the high end of its guidance. Adjusted operating income surged by 125% to $124 million, exceeding expectations. Adjusted diluted EPS nearly tripled to $0.95, significantly beating analysts' consensus estimates of $0.76 to $0.78. The company once again raised its full fiscal year 2026 net sales forecast to $7.10 billion to $7.18 billion and adjusted operating income guidance to $560 million to $590 million. This strong performance was broad-based across its Victoria's Secret, PINK, and Beauty brands, with comparable sales increasing by 9%.

Show more
Updated on 9/3/2026

Victoria's Secret (VSXY) stock has gained about 35% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Victoria's Secret reported a strong fiscal Q1 2026, which ended May 2, 2026, with results exceeding guidance and an upward revision to full fiscal year 2026 expectations. On June 2, 2026, the company announced a 15% year-over-year increase in net sales to $1.560 billion, surpassing its guidance. Adjusted operating income reached $80 million, significantly above the projected range of $32 million to $42 million. Adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) also outperformed, reaching $0.60 compared to a guidance range of $0.20 to $0.30. Consequently, the company raised its full fiscal year 2026 net sales guidance to a range of $7.030 billion to $7.130 billion and adjusted operating income guidance to $550 million to $580 million. This announcement led to a substantial single-day stock increase of 47.44% on June 2, 2026.

2. The positive momentum continued with robust fiscal Q2 2026 results, which ended August 1, 2026, and a further increase in the full fiscal year 2026 outlook. On September 3, 2026, Victoria's Secret reported a 10% year-over-year increase in net sales to $1.611 billion, aligning with the high end of its guidance. Adjusted operating income surged by 125% to $124 million, exceeding expectations. Adjusted diluted EPS nearly tripled to $0.95, significantly beating analysts' consensus estimates of $0.76 to $0.78. The company once again raised its full fiscal year 2026 net sales forecast to $7.10 billion to $7.18 billion and adjusted operating income guidance to $560 million to $590 million. This strong performance was broad-based across its Victoria's Secret, PINK, and Beauty brands, with comparable sales increasing by 9%.

3. The company's "Path to Potential" strategy and brand repositioning efforts successfully drove customer growth and enhanced market relevance. CEO Hillary Super indicated that the strategy is strengthening the brands, increasing market share, and growing the customer base through product innovation, engaging storytelling, and effective execution. Notably, the company observed growth in new customer acquisition, especially among 18 to 24-year-olds, alongside improved customer retention and increased spending per customer. This strategic focus also contributed to mid-teens growth in the bra business, a key driver for both Victoria's Secret and PINK.

4. Positive analyst sentiment and multiple price target upgrades bolstered investor confidence in VSXY's trajectory. Following the fiscal Q1 2026 earnings, several analyst firms raised their price targets; for instance, Goldman Sachs increased its price objective to $84.00, and Barclays boosted its target to $108.00 in early June. Leading up to the fiscal Q2 2026 report, UBS raised its price target to $95, and BofA Securities increased its target to $107 from $95. Telsey Advisory Group further raised its price target to $100 from $90 in early September, maintaining an "outperform" rating. These upgrades reflected a generally "Moderate Buy" consensus rating among analysts, with an average price target around $90.70.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 33.9% change in VSXY stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 27.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)53120269032026Change
Stock Price ($)55.0073.6433.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,5536,7603.2%
Net Income Margin (%)2.5%3.1%27.0%
P/E Multiple27.328.33.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)8081-1.2%
Cumulative Contribution33.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2026 to 9/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VSXY33.9% 
Market (SPY)2.2%5.0%
Sector (XLY)-3.6%7.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 17.4% change in VSXY stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 17.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)22820269032026Change
Stock Price ($)62.7073.6417.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,3906,7605.8%
Net Income Margin (%)2.7%3.1%17.3%
P/E Multiple29.928.3-5.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)81810.0%
Cumulative Contribution17.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 9/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VSXY17.4% 
Market (SPY)13.0%19.6%
Sector (XLY)-0.1%20.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 219.9% change in VSXY stock from 8/31/2025 to 9/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 159.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120259032026Change
Stock Price ($)23.0273.64219.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,2236,7608.6%
Net Income Margin (%)2.7%3.1%16.3%
P/E Multiple10.928.3159.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)7981-2.5%
Cumulative Contribution219.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 9/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VSXY219.9% 
Market (SPY)20.9%24.9%
Sector (XLY)1.1%27.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 283.9% change in VSXY stock from 8/31/2023 to 9/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 406.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120239032026Change
Stock Price ($)19.1873.64283.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,2676,7607.9%
Net Income Margin (%)4.3%3.1%-27.0%
P/E Multiple5.628.3406.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)7881-3.7%
Cumulative Contribution283.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2023 to 9/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VSXY283.9% 
Market (SPY)77.7%31.7%
Sector (XLY)39.5%34.7%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
VSXY Return31%-36%-26%56%31%57%100%
Peers Return36%-27%22%16%9%-5%43%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%104%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VSXY Win Rate67%33%33%67%67%67% 
Peers Win Rate69%35%54%52%58%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%44% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VSXY Max Drawdown--57%-69%-48%-64%-36% 
Peers Max Drawdown-30%-47%-44%-28%-36%-32% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GAP, GCO, ZUMZ, REF, TJX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/3/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventVSXYS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-50.5%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven102.0%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven188 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-13.7%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven15.8%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven6 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-25.4%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.1%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven15 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-59.4%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven146.2%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven528 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-52.3%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven109.5%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven1255 days427 days

Compare to GAP, GCO, ZUMZ, REF, TJX

In The Past

Victoria's Secret's stock fell -50.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 102.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventVSXYS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-50.5%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven102.0%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven188 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-25.4%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.1%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven15 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-59.4%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven146.2%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven528 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-52.3%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven109.5%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven1255 days427 days

Compare to GAP, GCO, ZUMZ, REF, TJX

In The Past

Victoria's Secret's stock fell -50.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 102.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Victoria's Secret (VSXY)

Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSXY) operates as a global specialty retailer specializing in women's intimate apparel, personal care, and beauty products. Founded in 2021 and headquartered in Reynoldsburg, Ohio, the company maintains a significant international presence with approximately 1,400 retail stores as of early 2022, serving customers worldwide under its prominent Victoria's Secret and PINK brands.

The company offers a comprehensive range of products, including core intimate wear such as bras, panties, and lingerie. Its offerings extend to sleepwear, loungewear, athletic attire, and swimwear, catering to various aspects of women's wardrobes. Beyond apparel, Victoria's Secret also features a substantial beauty segment, providing fragrances, body care products, and various accessories.

Victoria's Secret primarily serves women globally, targeting a broad demographic with its diverse brand portfolio. The Victoria's Secret brand typically appeals to customers seeking sophisticated and sensual intimate wear and beauty products, while the PINK brand focuses on a younger, more casual demographic with its apparel and personal care items. This dual-brand strategy enables VSXY to capture a wide array of preferences within the women's apparel and beauty markets across its international footprint.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are a few analogies to describe Victoria's Secret:

  • Bath & Body Works for women's lingerie and beauty products.

  • Lululemon for intimate apparel and beauty.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Bras: Undergarments designed for breast support and shaping.
  • Panties: Undergarments worn on the lower body.
  • Lingerie: Lightweight, often decorative, intimate apparel.
  • Sleepwear: Clothing specifically designed for sleeping, such as pajamas and nightgowns.
  • Loungewear: Comfortable clothing suitable for relaxing at home.
  • Athletic Attire and Swimwear: Clothing designed for sports activities and swimming.
  • Fragrances: Perfumes, body mists, and other scented products.
  • Body Care Products: Lotions, washes, and other items for skin care.
  • Accessories: Complementary items such as bags or small decorative pieces.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Victoria's Secret (VSXY) sells primarily to individuals through its extensive network of retail stores and online channels. The company serves the following categories of customers:

  • Adult Women: This category encompasses customers who are seeking sophisticated, fashionable, and alluring intimate apparel, sleepwear, loungewear, fragrances, and beauty products. These customers are typically targeted by the core Victoria's Secret brand, valuing style, quality, and often a sense of luxury or sensuality in their purchases.
  • Young Adults and College-Aged Women: This category primarily includes customers who are looking for comfortable, trendy, and casual intimate apparel, loungewear, and athletic wear. These individuals are the core demographic for the PINK brand, emphasizing comfort, affordability, and items that align with current youth fashion and lifestyle trends.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Here is the management team for Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSXY):

Hillary Super, Chief Executive Officer

Hillary Super has served as CEO of Victoria's Secret & Co. since 2023, where she leads the company's strategic growth initiatives and brand revitalization. Prior to her current role, she was CEO and board member of Savage X Fenty. She also served as the Global CEO of Anthropologie Group, successfully leading the turnaround of its women's apparel and accessories business. Her extensive career includes key merchandising and operational leadership positions at prominent retail companies such as Gap, Old Navy, American Eagle Outfitters, and Guess?.

Scott Sekella, Chief Financial and Operating Officer

Scott Sekella assumed the role of Chief Financial and Operating Officer at Victoria's Secret & Co. in August 2025, having initially joined as Chief Financial Officer in January 2025. He is responsible for the company's financial strategy, performance management, and profitability improvements. Before joining Victoria's Secret, Sekella was the Chief Financial Officer of JOANN Inc. from 2022 to 2024. He also held financial leadership roles at Under Armour and Crocs, and previously served as Senior Vice President-Finance & Operations at Freshology, Inc.

Melinda (Mel) McAfee, Chief Legal and Compliance Officer

Melinda McAfee oversees Victoria's Secret & Co.'s human resources and legal affairs, having joined as Chief Legal Officer in May 2021 and adding Chief Human Resources Officer duties in October 2022. She leads governance, employment, privacy, regulatory compliance, and the comprehensive legal strategy for the company. Prior to Victoria's Secret, she was Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary of EXPRESS, Inc. Her background also includes over a decade as in-house counsel for Abercrombie & Fitch Co. and a partnership at Vorys, Sater, Seymour and Pease, LLP, specializing in Labor & Employment.

Elizabeth Preis, Chief Marketing and Customer Officer

Elizabeth Preis is the Chief Marketing and Customer Officer of Victoria's Secret & Co., bringing over 25 years of experience in guiding iconic consumer brands. She is known for her ability to blend consumer insight with compelling creative to build strong brand connections. Her previous roles include Global CMO at Anthropologie and leadership positions at Estée Lauder, J. Crew, and Saks Fifth Avenue.

Lucrecia Borgonovo, Chief People Officer

Lucrecia Borgonovo serves as the Chief People Officer at Victoria's Secret & Co., leveraging more than 20 years of global experience in talent, leadership, culture, and organizational effectiveness. She previously held the role of Chief Talent and Organizational Effectiveness Officer at Mastercard, where she was responsible for enterprise-wide talent and culture strategies supporting large-scale transformation and growth. Borgonovo also held leadership positions in human resources at Nike and Bristol-Myers Squibb.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSXY):

  1. Financial Health and Debt Coverage: Victoria's Secret faces a major risk due to its debt not being well covered by operating cash flow, with an operating cash flow to total debt ratio of 18%. The company also has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 312.7%. This indicates a potential vulnerability in its financial stability and ability to manage its debt obligations effectively.
  2. Brand Repositioning and Consumer Perception: Victoria's Secret is undergoing a significant rebranding effort to embrace inclusivity and move away from its traditional "Angels" image. The key risk lies in whether this rebranding will successfully resonate with a broader customer base without alienating its existing clientele. There is a concern that the shift could be perceived as inauthentic or "inclusivity washing," which could hinder sales growth and market acceptance.
  3. Supply Chain Disruptions and Tariffs: The company is exposed to risks related to its global supply chain, including the ability to source materials, produce, and distribute merchandise worldwide. The fashion industry, including Victoria's Secret, is particularly vulnerable to factors like tariffs and retaliatory measures, which have been cited as a primary hurdle in 2026. Fluctuations in freight, product input, and energy costs, as well as geopolitical conflicts, also pose ongoing threats to its supply chain and profitability.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The rapid rise of digitally native, direct-to-consumer (DTC) intimate apparel and loungewear brands that prioritize inclusivity, body positivity, and comfort over traditional beauty standards. These brands, often leveraging social media and influencer marketing, directly challenge Victoria's Secret's legacy brand image and its historically brick-and-mortar heavy distribution model by offering alternatives that resonate more strongly with evolving consumer values and preferences for a more diverse and authentic representation of women. This shift in market demand and the success of these nimble, digitally-focused competitors represent a fundamental disruption to the traditional intimate apparel retail landscape.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The addressable markets for Victoria's Secret's main products and services are as follows:

Intimate Apparel (Bras, Panties, Lingerie, Sleepwear, Loungewear, Athletic Attire, and Swimwear)

  • Global Market: The global intimate apparel market was valued at approximately USD 98.7 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 163.4 billion by 2034, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.8% from 2026 to 2034.
  • U.S. Market: The U.S. lingerie market size was estimated at USD 17.95 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 31.40 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 7.2% from 2025 to 2033.

Personal Care and Beauty Products (Fragrances and Body Care Products)

  • Global Market: The global beauty and personal care products market is estimated at USD 651.42 billion in 2026 and is set to exceed USD 1.16 trillion by 2035, registering over 6.5% CAGR between 2026 and 2035.
  • U.S. Market: The U.S. beauty and personal care products market was estimated at USD 117.05 billion in 2026 and is expected to reach USD 196.33 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 7.7% from 2026 to 2033.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSXY) is focusing on several key strategies to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years:

  1. International Expansion: The company is actively pursuing growth in international markets through both company-owned and partner-operated stores. This expansion targets high-growth markets in the Middle East, India, Latin America, and Asia, with recent plans to open standalone stores in Germany. International revenue has already shown significant growth, with a 44.9% year-over-year increase in Q1 2026. Victoria's Secret also leverages social commerce, as seen with successful livestreaming events in China.
  2. Product Innovation and Diversification: A core driver is the acceleration of product innovation, particularly in its bra department, to improve fit, comfort, and introduce new designs such as the Body by Victoria FlexFactor. Beyond lingerie, the company is diversifying its offerings to include beauty, sleepwear, loungewear, and athletic attire, and expanding existing lines with a broader range of sizes and styles to emphasize inclusivity.
  3. Enhanced Digital Engagement and E-commerce Capabilities: Victoria's Secret is prioritizing digital growth, with a target of 40% e-commerce penetration by 2026. This involves leveraging AI for personalized customer experiences, integrating technology from its Adore Me acquisition to improve customer acquisition and lifetime value, and implementing smartphone 3D scanning to enhance fit accuracy and reduce returns. Increased app downloads also contribute to digital traffic.
  4. Brand Rejuvenation and Refocusing: The company is undergoing a significant brand transformation, repositioning itself around inclusivity, modern womanhood, and creating distinct identities for its Victoria's Secret and PINK brands. A shift away from heavy promotions towards full-price selling, described as a "promo-detox," is building a healthier, brand-led business. The return of a more inclusive Victoria's Secret Fashion Show is also part of this strategy to build brand relevance and trust.
  5. Optimizing Retail Footprint: Victoria's Secret is strategically growing and optimizing its retail footprint. This includes opening new stores and converting traditional flagship locations to smaller, off-mall formats that have demonstrated higher sales per square foot. This approach aims to improve unit economics and reduce operating costs.

AI Analysis | Feedback

## Capital Allocation Decisions for Victoria's Secret (VSXY) ### Share Repurchases * Victoria's Secret's Board of Directors approved a share repurchase program in March 2024, authorizing the repurchase of up to $250 million of the company's common stock. * During the first quarter of 2026, the company repurchased 2.2 million shares for $100 million at an average price of $45.27 per share. * As of May 2, 2026, $150 million remained authorized for purchase under the existing $250 million share repurchase program. ### Outbound Investments * In December 2022, Victoria's Secret acquired Adore Me. This acquisition involved financial impacts related to purchase accounting items, including changes in the estimated fair value of contingent consideration and amortization of acquired intangible assets in 2023 and 2024. ### Capital Expenditures * Victoria's Secret & Co. has been noted for having "low capital intensity." * For fiscal year 2023, the company generated $850 million in free cash flow, partially driven by an inventory reduction of $1.1 billion. * The company reported operating cash flows of $425 million in fiscal year 2024, ending the year with $227 million in cash and cash equivalents and no outstanding borrowings on its ABL Facility.

Better Bets vs. Victoria's Secret (VSXY)

Peer Outperformance in Apparel Retail

VSXY has outperformed 71% of its 24 Apparel Retail peers over 5Y. Apparel Retail ranks 12th of 23 industries in Consumer Discretionary by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Apparel Retail constituents that VSXY has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
100%
of 27 industry peers · 220.6% return
3Y
100%
of 27 industry peers · 271.7% return
5Y
71%
of 24 industry peers · 9.9% return
No Apparel Retail peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten VSXY by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Consumer Discretionary sector, ranked by 5Y. Apparel Retail is VSXY's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Education Services 14 -11.3%94.6%67.6% LINC 307% · CVSA 244% · PRDO 227%
Homebuilding 18 -7.5%14.7%37.1% GRBK 187% · PHM 144% · TOL 134%
Automotive Retail 18 -15.5%6.9%15.9% MUSA 240% · PAG 183% · ORLY 124%
Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines 22 15.1%44.3%10.4% RCL 244% · MAR 164% · HLT 159%
Home Improvement Retail 5 -21.0%-7.8%8.0% HD 9% · HVT 9% · LOW 8%
Specialty Stores 7 -6.2%28.7%5.2% FIVE 24% · DKS 12% · HZO 7%
Distributors 4 -6.9%-25.2%-7.3% ARMK 146% · GPC 28% · LKQ -43%
Specialized Consumer Services 10 -10.2%27.4%-13.8% HRB 135% · FTDR 89% · SCI 41%
Home Furnishings 4 -3.6%18.5%-14.0% SGI 60% · LZB 4% · MHK -32%
Restaurants 34 -10.6%-14.9%-15.2% EAT 344% · CAKE 165% · RAVE 142%
Footwear 9 48.6%29.2%-17.0% WEYS 155% · DECK 24% · SHOO 19%
Apparel Retail ← 25 -1.6%1.7%-27.0% ANF 313% · DXLG 195% · URBN 150%
Casinos & Gaming 20 -9.4%-27.7%-32.0% MCRI 108% · RSI 73% · RRR 55%
Leisure Facilities 11 -2.2%-13.3%-33.1% OSW 125% · JAKK 87% · ESCA 13%
Leisure Products 13 -15.9%-21.9%-33.5% GOLF 85% · HAS 14% · MCFT -13%
Automotive Parts & Equipment 38 -13.8%-9.7%-35.0% MOD 1414% · GTX 290% · STRT 95%
Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods 27 -4.7%-9.9%-39.3% TPR 241% · RL 231% · ELA 212%
Household Appliances 18 8.6%34.1%-42.9% KEQU 177% · FLXS 158% · HBB 117%
Broadline Retail 15 4.9%12.6%-52.7% DDS 316% · EBAY 51% · AMZN 49%
Computer & Electronics Retail 3 -16.0%4.4%-61.4% BBY -3% · UPBD -61% · GME -62%
Automobile Manufacturers 8 -62.5%-50.5%-70.7% GM 86% · TSLA 54% · F 52%
Other Specialty Retail 18 -27.5%-50.1%-77.9% TLF 108% · BBW 98% · WINA 78%
Consumer Electronics 11 -2.9%-14.2%-80.7% AXIL 2398% · GRMN 74% · TBCH -56%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VSXYGAPGCOZUMZREFTJXMedian
NameVictoria.Gap Genesco Zumiez Reformat.TJX Comp. 
Mkt Price73.6422.3234.4417.7013.64132.1928.38
Mkt Cap6.07.90.40.3-145.96.0
Rev LTM6,76015,3262,449938-62,3636,760
Op Inc LTM3271,6842822-7,915327
FCF LTM3149578537-5,876314
FCF 3Y Avg2219694110-4,790221
CFO LTM5121,53514447-8,034512
CFO 3Y Avg4281,4449525-6,769428

Growth & Margins

VSXYGAPGCOZUMZREFTJXMedian
NameVictoria.Gap Genesco Zumiez Reformat.TJX Comp. 
Rev Chg LTM8.6%1.1%4.6%4.7%-7.7%4.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.7%0.5%1.5%0.7%-6.8%1.5%
Rev Chg Q15.3%-2.0%2.8%4.9%-5.4%4.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.2%-0.5%0.5%1.0%-1.3%1.0%
Op Inc Chg LTM7.9%44.4%33.1%872.7%-22.2%33.1%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-2.9%115.8%36.3%62.9%-15.7%36.3%
Op Mgn LTM4.8%11.0%1.1%2.3%-12.7%4.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.6%8.3%0.8%-1.6%-11.6%4.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.7%2.5%0.1%0.5%-0.4%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM7.6%10.0%5.9%5.1%-12.9%7.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.7%9.5%4.0%2.7%-11.5%6.7%
FCF/Rev LTM4.6%6.2%3.5%3.9%-9.4%4.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.4%6.4%1.7%1.1%-8.1%3.4%

Valuation

VSXYGAPGCOZUMZREFTJXMedian
NameVictoria.Gap Genesco Zumiez Reformat.TJX Comp. 
Mkt Cap6.07.90.40.3-145.96.0
P/S0.90.50.10.3-2.30.5
P/Op Inc18.24.712.913.2-18.413.2
P/EBIT17.94.411.913.2-18.013.2
P/E28.36.418.219.9-24.119.9
P/CFO11.75.22.56.0-18.26.0
Total Yield3.5%18.9%5.5%5.0%-5.5%5.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.1%0.0%0.0%-1.3%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.7%12.3%11.3%3.9%-3.3%9.7%
D/E0.50.71.60.7-0.10.7
Net D/E0.40.41.50.3-0.10.4

Returns

VSXYGAPGCOZUMZREFTJXMedian
NameVictoria.Gap Genesco Zumiez Reformat.TJX Comp. 
1M Rtn-17.5%8.2%-12.8%-11.2%-14.7%-15.8%-13.8%
3M Rtn0.8%4.5%-13.7%-24.6%-9.5%-16.4%-11.6%
6M Rtn39.7%-16.6%32.0%-27.4%-9.5%-17.3%-13.1%
12M Rtn220.6%1.8%9.0%0.9%-9.5%-4.1%1.4%
3Y Rtn271.7%110.4%2.6%-6.0%-9.5%48.4%25.5%
1M Excs Rtn-18.4%8.2%-12.6%-9.9%-15.7%-17.4%-14.2%
3M Excs Rtn-1.4%2.3%-15.9%-26.8%-11.7%-18.6%-13.8%
6M Excs Rtn26.3%-30.0%18.6%-40.9%-23.0%-30.8%-26.5%
12M Excs Rtn200.4%-18.3%-11.1%-19.2%-29.7%-24.2%-18.8%
3Y Excs Rtn239.6%48.8%-50.5%-75.4%-81.8%-21.2%-35.8%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Single Segment6,5536,2306,1826,3446,785
Total6,5536,2306,1826,3446,785


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil202620252024
Single Segment271310246
Total271310246


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil202620252024
Single Segment161165109
Total161165109


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$73.64 
Market Cap ($ Bil)6.0 
First Trading Date07/21/2021 
Distance from 52W High-26.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$85.76$62.68
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-14.1%17.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility54.5%76.2%
Downside Capture113.84156.22
Upside Capture106.45257.39
Correlation (SPY)15.7%27.1%
VSXY Betas & Captures as of 8/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.100.980.671.391.581.48
Up Beta-1.35-1.98-3.35-0.190.711.66
Down Beta4.322.190.010.430.670.88
Up Capture146%220%400%331%723%892%
Bmk +ve Days10213268138427
Stock +ve Days10223265129379
Down Capture332%163%112%180%134%109%
Bmk -ve Days11213259113324
Stock -ve Days11203262122370

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with VSXY
VSXY222.1%76.2%1.82-
Sector ETF (XLY)1.4%19.5%-0.0527.7%
Equity (SPY)21.2%12.8%1.2324.9%
Gold (GLD)25.1%29.1%0.775.2%
Commodities (DBC)42.9%20.4%1.64-13.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)10.7%13.6%0.5017.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-31.0%43.5%-0.730.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with VSXY
VSXY1.0%65.8%0.28-
Sector ETF (XLY)6.1%24.1%0.2141.1%
Equity (SPY)13.1%17.2%0.5839.2%
Gold (GLD)19.6%18.8%0.852.7%
Commodities (DBC)11.0%19.5%0.445.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.0%18.9%0.0031.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)10.5%52.6%0.3812.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with VSXY
VSXY5.7%67.1%0.43-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.2%22.2%0.5040.0%
Equity (SPY)15.3%17.9%0.7338.2%
Gold (GLD)12.5%16.3%0.631.9%
Commodities (DBC)8.0%18.1%0.364.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.9%20.7%0.2030.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.1%66.1%1.0311.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date8142026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 7312026-7.2%
Average Daily Volume1.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.5 days
Basic Shares Quantity81.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares12.6%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 9/3/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
6/2/202647.4%40.4%43.1%
3/5/2026-12.2%-24.7%-23.3%
12/5/202518.0%26.9%46.6%
8/28/2025-0.5%12.7%15.2%
6/11/2025-5.4%-17.2%-14.6%
3/5/2025-8.2%-22.6%-33.0%
12/5/202411.6%8.8%-9.0%
8/28/2024-3.7%-4.4%4.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive875
# Negative121315
Median Positive13.0%10.9%15.2%
Median Negative-5.8%-13.9%-14.6%
Max Positive47.4%40.4%46.6%
Max Negative-29.7%-24.7%-33.0%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
6/2/202647.4%40.4%43.1%
3/5/2026-12.2%-24.7%-23.3%
12/5/202518.0%26.9%46.6%
8/28/2025-0.5%12.7%15.2%
6/11/2025-5.4%-17.2%-14.6%
3/5/2025-8.2%-22.6%-33.0%
12/5/202411.6%8.8%-9.0%
8/28/2024-3.7%-4.4%4.7%
6/5/2024-6.5%-20.8%-21.3%
3/6/2024-29.7%-24.2%-27.9%
11/29/202314.3%10.9%12.6%
8/30/20236.9%0.5%-7.0%
5/31/2023-8.7%-7.8%-14.6%
3/2/2023-5.2%-13.9%-9.5%
11/30/2022-6.3%-2.7%-22.2%
8/24/2022-2.0%-12.8%-21.7%
5/31/20228.9%-5.0%-32.1%
3/2/20221.8%-15.6%-5.5%
11/17/202114.7%9.9%-1.9%
8/18/2021-3.5%-2.4%-13.8%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive875
# Negative121315
Median Positive13.0%10.9%15.2%
Median Negative-5.8%-13.9%-14.6%
Max Positive47.4%40.4%46.6%
Max Negative-29.7%-24.7%-33.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
04/30/202606/05/202610-Q
01/31/202603/20/202610-K
10/31/202512/05/202510-Q
07/31/202509/05/202510-Q
04/30/202506/12/202510-Q
01/31/202503/21/202510-K
10/31/202412/09/202410-Q
07/31/202409/06/202410-Q
04/30/202406/07/202410-Q
01/31/202403/22/202410-K
10/31/202312/01/202310-Q
07/31/202309/01/202310-Q
04/30/202306/02/202310-Q
01/31/202303/17/202310-K
10/31/202212/02/202210-Q
07/31/202209/08/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
04/30/202606/05/202610-Q
01/31/202603/20/202610-K
10/31/202512/05/202510-Q
07/31/202509/05/202510-Q
04/30/202506/12/202510-Q
01/31/202503/21/202510-K
10/31/202412/09/202410-Q
07/31/202409/06/202410-Q
04/30/202406/07/202410-Q
01/31/202403/22/202410-K
10/31/202312/01/202310-Q
07/31/202309/01/202310-Q
04/30/202306/02/202310-Q
01/31/202303/17/202310-K
10/31/202212/02/202210-Q
07/31/202209/08/202210-Q
04/30/202206/03/202210-Q
01/31/202203/18/202210-K
10/31/202112/03/202110-Q
07/31/202109/10/202110-Q
04/30/202107/09/202110-12B/A

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 9/3/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 9/3/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q3 2026 Net SalesReported1.57 Bil1.58 Bil1.60 Bil-1.1% Lower NewGuidance: 1.60 Bil for Q2 2026
Q3 2026 Operating IncomeReported10.00 Mil15.00 Mil20.00 Mil-84.2% Lower NewGuidance: 95.00 Mil for Q2 2026
2026 Net SalesReported7.10 Bil7.14 Bil7.18 Bil0.8% RaisedGuidance: 7.08 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted Operating IncomeReported560.00 Mil575.00 Mil590.00 Mil1.8% RaisedGuidance: 565.00 Mil for 2026


Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 6/2/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Net SalesReported1.59 Bil1.60 Bil1.61 Bil6.3% Higher NewGuidance: 1.51 Bil for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Operating IncomeReported90.00 Mil95.00 Mil100.00 Mil156.8% Higher NewGuidance: 37.00 Mil for Q1 2026
2026 Net SalesReported7.03 Bil7.08 Bil7.13 Bil2.6% RaisedGuidance: 6.90 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted Operating IncomeReported550.00 Mil565.00 Mil580.00 Mil27.0% RaisedGuidance: 445.00 Mil for 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 RevenueReported1.49 Bil1.51 Bil1.52 Bil-31.0% Lower NewGuidance: 2.19 Bil for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Operating IncomeReported32.00 Mil37.00 Mil42.00 Mil-86.7% Lower NewGuidance: 277.50 Mil for Q4 2025
2026 RevenueReported6.85 Bil6.90 Bil6.95 Bil6.7% Higher NewGuidance: 6.46 Bil for 2025
2026 Operating IncomeReported430.00 Mil445.00 Mil460.00 Mil22.8% Higher NewGuidance: 362.50 Mil for 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 12/5/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 Net SalesReported2.17 Bil2.19 Bil2.20 Bil   
Q4 2025 Adjusted Operating IncomeReported265.00 Mil277.50 Mil290.00 Mil   
Q4 2025 Adjusted Net Income per Diluted ShareReported2.22.332.45   
2025 Net SalesReported6.45 Bil6.46 Bil6.48 Bil1.5% RaisedGuidance: 6.37 Bil for 2025
2025 Adjusted Operating IncomeReported350.00 Mil362.50 Mil375.00 Mil22.9% RaisedGuidance: 295.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Adjusted Net Income per Diluted ShareReported2.42.522.65   

Insider Activity

Updated 7/29/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Bbrc, International Pte LtdSee Footnote 2Sell729202689.15798,92071,224,319696,323,628Form
2Bbrc, International Pte LtdSee Footnote 1Sell724202688.89289,47925,731,788765,302,988Form
3Bbrc, International Pte LtdSee Footnote 1Sell630202688.50276,17124,441,134787,564,155Form
4Bbrc, International Pte LtdSee Footnote 3Sell604202680.0327,7582,221,473734,291,336Form
5Bbrc, International Pte LtdSee Footnote 3Sell604202680.111,107,67288,735,604737,249,045Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Bbrc, International Pte LtdSee Footnote 2Sell729202689.15798,92071,224,319696,323,628Form
2Bbrc, International Pte LtdSee Footnote 1Sell724202688.89289,47925,731,788765,302,988Form
3Bbrc, International Pte LtdSee Footnote 1Sell630202688.50276,17124,441,134787,564,155Form
4Bbrc, International Pte LtdSee Footnote 3Sell604202680.0327,7582,221,473734,291,336Form
5Bbrc, International Pte LtdSee Footnote 3Sell604202680.111,107,67288,735,604737,249,045Form
6Sheehan, Anne DirectBuy403202645.864,842222,0541,571,209Form
7James, Donna DirectBuy403202646.232,175100,5502,916,974Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 9/3/2026