BorgWarner (BWA)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $43.375 | Market Cap: $9.3 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
BorgWarner (BWA)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $43.375Market Cap: $9.3 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -50% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 70x |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 13% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.1% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Hydrogen Economy, and Battery Technology & Metals. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 13% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Hydrogen Economy, and Battery Technology & Metals. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -50% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 70x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.1% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BWA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points highlighting why BorgWarner (BWA) stock moved by approximately 2.3% during the period from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025:
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: BorgWarner reported robust third-quarter 2025 earnings on October 30, 2025, surpassing analysts' consensus estimates for both adjusted earnings per share (EPS) and revenue. The company reported adjusted EPS of $1.24 against an expected $1.16, and revenue of $3.59 billion, slightly above the $3.58 billion estimate. This strong financial performance indicated operational efficiency and solid conversion on higher sales, leading to positive investor sentiment.
2. Increased Full-Year 2025 Guidance: Following the strong Q3 results, BorgWarner significantly raised its full-year 2025 guidance. The adjusted EPS outlook was increased to a range of $4.60 to $4.75 per diluted share from the previous $4.45 to $4.65. Additionally, the free cash flow target was boosted to a range of $850 million to $950 million, representing a $150 million increase from prior guidance. This upward revision signaled management's confidence in sustained performance and future profitability.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BWA Return | -9% | 18% | -9% | 3% | -10% | 39% | 25% |
| Peers Return | 20% | 10% | -21% | 17% | -3% | 7% | 26% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BWA Win Rate | 50% | 75% | 33% | 42% | 42% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 55% | 37% | 48% | 45% | 46% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BWA Max Drawdown | -54% | -2% | -29% | -9% | -16% | -22% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -49% | -9% | -33% | -8% | -25% | -24% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: APTV, ALSN, LEA, GNTX, MGA. See BWA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BWA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -42.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 73.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -55.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 122.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 314 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -46.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 87.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -72.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 264.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 601 days | 1480 days |
Compare to APTV, ALSN, LEA, GNTX, MGA
In The Past
BorgWarner's stock fell -42.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/4/2021. A -42.3% loss requires a 73.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BWA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
| 06302022 | BWA | BorgWarner | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.3% | 48.9% | -5.5% |
| 07312019 | BWA | BorgWarner | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.8% | 0.2% | -47.0% |
| 12312018 | BWA | BorgWarner | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 21.8% | 27.1% | -10.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
| 06302022 | BWA | BorgWarner | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.3% | 48.9% | -5.5% |
| 07312019 | BWA | BorgWarner | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.8% | 0.2% | -47.0% |
| 12312018 | BWA | BorgWarner | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 21.8% | 27.1% | -10.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for BorgWarner
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 62.70 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.4 |
| Rev LTM | 16,988 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,130 |
| FCF LTM | 998 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 732 |
| CFO LTM | 1,502 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,326 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 8.4 |
| P/S | 0.8 |
| P/EBIT | 8.5 |
| P/E | 14.5 |
| P/CFO | 6.8 |
| Total Yield | 9.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 8.9% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -1.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 21.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 11.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | -9.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 5.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -0.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -84.5% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drivetrain & Morse Systems | 4,262 | 3,963 | |||
| Turbos & Thermal Technologies | 3,938 | ||||
| Other | 3,185 | ||||
| Corporate | 1,733 | 1,694 | 1,722 | 2,133 | 1,091 |
| Battery & Charging Systems | 1,335 | ||||
| Aftermarket | 1,281 | 1,179 | 806 | ||
| Air Management | 5,376 | 6,229 | 5,714 | 4,536 | |
| Fuel Systems | 2,227 | 2,282 | 1,964 | ||
| PowerDrive Systems | 2,453 | ||||
| E-Propulsion & Drivetrain | 5,163 | 5,412 | 4,075 | ||
| Total | 14,453 | 16,994 | 16,575 | 16,029 | 9,702 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2082024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2092023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2152022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |