Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.7%, FCF Yield is 9.5%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -9.4%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.3%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Eco-friendly Products, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.7%, FCF Yield is 9.5%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Eco-friendly Products, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -9.4%
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.3%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GAP Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The Gap Inc. (GAP) stock experienced significant movement between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025. Several key factors contributed to this period of activity:

1. Strong Second and Third Quarter Fiscal 2025 Results: Gap Inc. reported strong financial results for its second quarter, which ended August 2, 2025, overdelivering on profit expectations and achieving topline goals with positive comparable sales for the sixth consecutive quarter. The company continued this positive trend by reporting strong third-quarter fiscal 2025 results on November 20, 2025, surpassing analyst expectations with an earnings per share of $0.62 and exceeding revenue forecasts with $3.94 billion. This performance led to Gap Inc. raising its full-year outlook for operating margin.

2. Strategic Expansion into Beauty and Accessories: On September 17, 2025, Gap Inc. announced a bold vision for expanding into beauty and accessories, including the appointment of new leadership to guide this strategic move. The company plans a phased approach, with Old Navy stores introducing dedicated beauty shop-in-shops in Fall 2025, and the Gap brand launching its beauty line in 2026. This initiative aims to drive high-margin business, increase traffic, and attract younger consumers.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GAP Return16%-11%-33%97%16%17%86%
Peers Return11%24%-21%81%15%11%152%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GAP Win Rate58%67%33%58%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate43%47%30%53%52%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GAP Max Drawdown-68%-20%-53%-32%-11%-25% 
Peers Max Drawdown-49%-3%-39%-9%-11%-37% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: URBN, ANF, AEO, LB, GES. See GAP Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGAPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-79.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven389.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-70.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven239.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven186 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-56.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven131.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven634 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-56.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven130.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven301 days1480 days

Compare to URBN, ANF, AEO, LB, GES


In The Past

Gap's stock fell -79.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/17/2021. A -79.6% loss requires a 389.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Gap (GAP)

Interactive Breakdown

Gap Interactive Breakdown Analysis

Better Bets than Gap (GAP)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GAP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
GAP_12312016_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield12312016GAPGapDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.0%56.1%-3.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
GAP_12312016_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield12312016GAPGapDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.0%56.1%-3.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Gap

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GAPURBNANFAEOLBGESMedian
NameGap Urban Ou.Abercrom.American.LandBrid.Guess  
Mkt Price26.8579.1999.6123.9760.4017.1343.62
Mkt Cap10.07.14.74.11.50.94.4
Rev LTM15,1665,8325,1005,2671563,0925,183
Op Inc LTM1,16655774430175140429
FCF LTM7693993451528613248
FCF 3Y Avg938285390293-126293
CFO LTM1,21559056341088101486
CFO 3Y Avg1,380479578514-207514

Growth & Margins

GAPURBNANFAEOLBGESMedian
NameGap Urban Ou.Abercrom.American.LandBrid.Guess  
Rev Chg LTM-0.0%9.6%9.3%-2.7%95.0%7.8%8.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.3%7.5%11.7%1.6%-4.9%4.9%
Rev Chg Q0.1%11.3%6.6%-0.6%83.2%5.5%6.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.0%2.7%1.5%-0.1%16.0%1.3%1.4%
Op Mgn LTM7.7%9.5%14.6%5.7%47.8%4.5%8.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.2%7.6%11.6%6.7%-6.9%6.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.0%0.3%0.4%0.0%51.5%-0.6%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM8.0%10.1%11.0%7.8%56.0%3.3%9.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.1%8.9%12.8%9.9%-7.3%9.1%
FCF/Rev LTM5.1%6.8%6.8%2.9%54.8%0.4%5.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.2%5.2%8.6%5.7%-4.5%5.7%

Valuation

GAPURBNANFAEOLBGESMedian
NameGap Urban Ou.Abercrom.American.LandBrid.Guess  
Mkt Cap10.07.14.74.11.50.94.4
P/S0.51.10.80.310.40.20.7
P/EBIT6.411.05.15.521.78.37.3
P/E9.213.77.38.385.319.911.4
P/CFO6.711.07.04.018.66.16.8
Total Yield10.9%7.3%13.7%14.8%14.5%15.4%14.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%2.8%13.3%10.4%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg16.3%6.5%9.8%11.9%-12.3%11.9%
D/E0.70.20.31.20.22.60.5
Net D/E0.40.10.11.10.22.30.3

Returns

GAPURBNANFAEOLBGESMedian
NameGap Urban Ou.Abercrom.American.LandBrid.Guess  
1M Rtn17.7%27.7%42.0%45.0%-0.9%0.7%22.7%
3M Rtn19.8%18.5%7.7%77.5%13.7%3.2%16.1%
6M Rtn29.6%12.3%31.0%138.5%-16.2%60.3%30.3%
12M Rtn7.4%56.2%-35.7%25.2%-18.8%8.5%7.9%
3Y Rtn103.3%168.2%309.7%63.2%-7.0%103.3%
1M Excs Rtn17.7%27.7%42.0%45.0%-0.9%0.7%22.7%
3M Excs Rtn7.7%5.6%1.2%23.3%6.2%-2.4%5.9%
6M Excs Rtn14.9%-2.5%16.3%123.8%-30.9%45.6%15.6%
12M Excs Rtn0.6%49.0%-47.0%16.1%-33.6%0.3%0.5%
3Y Excs Rtn37.6%105.5%240.9%-7.7%--60.0%37.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment14,88915,61616,67013,80016,383
Total14,88915,61616,67013,80016,383


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment560-69   
Total560-69   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity20,866,120
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-5.2%
Average Daily Volume8,799,695
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.37
Basic Shares Quantity373,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025829202510-Q 8/2/2025
4302025530202510-Q 5/3/2025
1312025318202510-K 1/31/2025
103120241126202410-Q 11/2/2024
7312024830202410-Q 8/3/2024
4302024531202410-Q 5/4/2024
1312024319202410-K 2/3/2024
103120231121202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023825202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023526202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023314202310-K 1/28/2023
103120221122202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022826202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022527202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022315202210-K 1/29/2022
103120211124202110-Q 10/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Donohue Elisabeth B 11262025Sell27.113,00081,33227,110Form