Zumiez (ZUMZ)
Market Price (6/29/2026): $18.24 | Market Cap: $295.6 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail
Zumiez (ZUMZ)
Market Price (6/29/2026): $18.24Market Cap: $295.6 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -30% Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 12% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Direct-to-Consumer Brands. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -56% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.7% Key risksZUMZ key risks include [1] a vulnerable full-price, Show more. |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -30% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 12% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Direct-to-Consumer Brands. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -56% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.7% |
| Key risksZUMZ key risks include [1] a vulnerable full-price, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Zumiez (ZUMZ) stock has lost about 30% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Weaker-than-expected Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings and Negative Forward Guidance Triggered a Sharp Decline.
Zumiez reported a net loss of $13.3 million, or -$0.82 per share, for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended May 2, 2026), missing analysts' consensus estimates of -$0.81 per share by $0.01. This missed expectation, coupled with Q2 2026 guidance forecasting an additional loss between -$0.23 and -$0.08 per share, led to a significant 25.94% drop in stock price on June 4, 2026, the day the results were announced.
2. Deterioration in Post-Quarter Comparable Sales Signaled Ongoing Challenges.
Despite a 4.0% increase in comparable sales for fiscal Q1 2026, the trend weakened immediately after the quarter. May 2026 comparable sales declined by 0.1% year-over-year, with North America comparable sales specifically decreasing by 1.5%. This suggests a continued struggle to maintain positive sales momentum in key regions.
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Zumiez (ZUMZ) stock has lost about 30% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Weaker-than-expected Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings and Negative Forward Guidance Triggered a Sharp Decline.
Zumiez reported a net loss of $13.3 million, or -$0.82 per share, for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended May 2, 2026), missing analysts' consensus estimates of -$0.81 per share by $0.01. This missed expectation, coupled with Q2 2026 guidance forecasting an additional loss between -$0.23 and -$0.08 per share, led to a significant 25.94% drop in stock price on June 4, 2026, the day the results were announced.
2. Deterioration in Post-Quarter Comparable Sales Signaled Ongoing Challenges.
Despite a 4.0% increase in comparable sales for fiscal Q1 2026, the trend weakened immediately after the quarter. May 2026 comparable sales declined by 0.1% year-over-year, with North America comparable sales specifically decreasing by 1.5%. This suggests a continued struggle to maintain positive sales momentum in key regions.
3. Cautious Investor Sentiment and Analyst Downgrades Reflect Reduced Confidence.
Even earlier positive developments, such as strong Fiscal Q4 2025 results (announced March 12, 2026, with sales up 4.4% year-over-year and comparable sales up 2.2%), were met with a cautious market reaction. More recently, Wall Street analysts have shifted their consensus rating to "Reduce" for Zumiez, with an average 12-month price target of $18.00 as of June 23, 2026, indicating a lowered outlook on the stock's future performance.
4. Broader Retail Sector Headwinds and a Cautious Consumer Environment.
The retail market experienced significant challenges in fiscal Q1 2026, with sectors like apparel contracting sharply. Declining consumer sentiment in April 2026 and warnings from retailers about "higher prices, challenging macroeconomic conditions and a cautious consumer" contributed to a difficult operating environment for Zumiez and the broader retail industry.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -30.4% change in ZUMZ stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/28/2026 was primarily driven by a -58.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 26.22 | 18.25 | -30.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 917 | 938 | 2.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 0.9% | 1.5% | 64.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 49.5 | 20.5 | -58.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 16 | 16 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -30.4% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ZUMZ | -30.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 6.6% | 53.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | -1.9% | 50.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -29.8% change in ZUMZ stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/28/2026 was primarily driven by a -97.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 26.00 | 18.25 | -29.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 900 | 938 | 4.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 0.1% | 1.5% | 2285.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 747.2 | 20.5 | -97.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 17 | 16 | 3.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -29.8% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ZUMZ | -29.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.3% | 46.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | -2.9% | 45.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 46.1% change in ZUMZ stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 21.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 12.49 | 18.25 | 46.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 889 | 938 | 5.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.3 | 0.3 | 21.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 18 | 16 | 13.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 46.1% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ZUMZ | 46.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 25.1% | 43.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | 7.8% | 42.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 13.6% change in ZUMZ stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 40.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 16.07 | 18.25 | 13.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 958 | 938 | -2.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.2% | 1.5% | -29.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 14.6 | 20.5 | 40.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 19 | 16 | 18.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 13.6% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ZUMZ | 13.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 81.3% | 43.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | 54.6% | 44.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ZUMZ Return | 30% | -55% | -6% | -6% | 36% | -30% | -51% |
| Peers Return | 70% | -34% | 70% | 16% | -2% | 17% | 157% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 96% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ZUMZ Win Rate | 67% | 17% | 50% | 58% | 75% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 33% | 57% | 43% | 50% | 47% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ZUMZ Max Drawdown | -27% | -61% | -52% | -36% | -40% | -36% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -29% | -54% | -36% | -38% | -56% | -37% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: TLYS, ANF, GCO, URBN, AEO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/26/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ZUMZ | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.2% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 48 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -17.2% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 20.8% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 6 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -47.1% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 89.0% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 435 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -54.6% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 120.4% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 195 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -29.7% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.2% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 58 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -32.8% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.9% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 98 days | 6 days |
In The Past
Zumiez's stock fell -22.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 28.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
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| Event | ZUMZ | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.2% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 48 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -47.1% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 89.0% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 435 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -54.6% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 120.4% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 195 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -29.7% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.2% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 58 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -32.8% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.9% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 98 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -42.9% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 75.0% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 344 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -57.0% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 132.7% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1376 days | 15 days |
| 2013 Taper Tantrum | ||
| % Loss | -26.5% | -0.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.1% | 0.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 98 days | 1 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -41.1% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 69.8% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 60 days | 123 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.3% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 106 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -77.4% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 343.0% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 714 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Zumiez's stock fell -22.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 28.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Zumiez (ZUMZ)
Zumiez Inc. (ZUMZ) operates as a specialty retailer primarily targeting young men and women. The company's core business revolves around offering a diverse range of lifestyle products and gear, distributed through its extensive network of physical stores and robust e-commerce channels.
The company's main product offerings include apparel, footwear, and accessories tailored to its youth demographic. Additionally, Zumiez specializes in hardgoods, featuring items like skateboards, snowboards, bindings, components, and other related equipment. These products are sold under various brand names, including Zumiez, Blue Tomato, and Fast Times.
Zumiez serves a global market, with its primary customers located in North America, Europe, and Australia. The company reaches these markets through a multichannel approach, operating 738 stores across these regions and complementing them with dedicated e-commerce websites such as zumiez.com, zumiez.ca, blue-tomato.com, and fasttimes.com.au.
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Here are a few analogies for Zumiez:
A PacSun for skate and snowboard enthusiasts.
The Hot Topic for skate and snowboard culture.
Like an REI, but for skateboards, snowboards, and action sports lifestyle.
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- Apparel: Clothing items tailored for young men and women.
- Footwear: A range of shoes and other items worn on the feet.
- Accessories: Supplemental items such as hats, bags, and jewelry designed to complement outfits.
- Hardgoods: Equipment primarily for action sports, including skateboards, snowboards, bindings, components, and related gear.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Zumiez (symbol: ZUMZ) is a specialty retailer that primarily sells to individual consumers.
The company serves the following categories of customers:
- Young Men and Women Interested in Action Sports: This category includes individuals who are active in or aspire to be part of the skateboarding, snowboarding, and other action sports communities, seeking related hardgoods, apparel, and accessories.
- Youth and Young Adults Seeking Contemporary Casual Apparel and Accessories: This segment comprises young men and women who look for current trends in casual fashion, streetwear, footwear, and accessories, often reflecting an action sports or youth culture aesthetic, regardless of their direct participation in action sports.
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Richard M. Brooks, Chief Executive Officer
Richard M. Brooks has served as Zumiez's Chief Executive Officer since June 2000. Prior to that, he was the Vice President and Chief Financial Officer for the company from 1993 to 2000. Before joining Zumiez, Mr. Brooks was a finance officer at Interchecks, Inc. from 1989 to 1992 and worked at Deloitte, Haskins & Sells (now Deloitte LLP) from 1982 to 1989. In 1993, he acquired a portion of co-founder Gary Haakenson's stake in Zumiez. He also serves as a Director at Stance, Inc. and is a Trustee for the Brooks Foundation.
Christopher C. Work, Chief Financial Officer and Principal Accounting Officer
Christopher C. Work has been Zumiez's Chief Financial Officer since August 2012. He joined the company in October 2007 and previously held the position of Vice President, Controller. Mr. Work's responsibilities also include overseeing the IT department, real estate department, and the company's distribution center operations. Before his time at Zumiez, he was a Manager at Ernst & Young LLP (now EY) from September 2002 to October 2007. Mr. Work is a Certified Public Accountant.
Chris K. Visser, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary
Chris K. Visser serves as Zumiez's Chief Legal Officer and Secretary. He was appointed General Counsel and Secretary in October 2012, Executive Vice President in May 2014, and then Chief Legal Officer in May 2017. From 2001 to October 2012, Mr. Visser was a partner at K&L Gates LLP, specializing in corporate, securities, and mergers and acquisitions. Earlier in his career, he worked as a process engineer with Vista Chemical Company.
Adam C. Ellis, President, International
Adam C. Ellis holds the position of President, International at Zumiez. In this role, he focuses on the growth and performance of the company's international operations.
Thomas D. Campion, Chairman of the Board
Thomas D. Campion is a co-founder of Zumiez, which was established in 1978 as "Above the Belt." He has served on the company's board of directors since its inception and as Chairman since June 2000. Prior to co-founding Zumiez, Mr. Campion held various management positions with JC Penney Company from 1970 to 1978. He is also a trustee for the Campion Foundation and the Campion Advocacy Fund, both non-profit organizations.
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The public company Zumiez (symbol: ZUMZ) faces several key risks to its business operations:
- Macroeconomic Uncertainties and Consumer Spending Patterns: As a specialty retailer of apparel, footwear, accessories, and hardgoods for young men and women, Zumiez is highly susceptible to economic fluctuations and shifts in consumer discretionary spending. Economic downturns, increased interest rates, and diminished consumer confidence can significantly impact its target demographic's purchasing decisions, affecting sales and profitability.
- Intense Competition and Evolving Retail Landscape: Zumiez operates in a highly competitive retail environment. It faces competition from direct rivals such as Tilly's and PacSun, broader fashion retailers including H&M and Urban Outfitters, and online giants like Amazon and ASOS. The evolving retail landscape, marked by a shift towards e-commerce and price-sensitive Gen Z shoppers, poses a continuous challenge to Zumiez's ability to maintain its unique brand identity and market share, particularly given its significant reliance on physical retail locations.
- Inventory Management and Margin Pressures: The company has experienced challenges with inventory management, which has led to increased discounting and subsequently impacted gross margins. To mitigate these pressures, Zumiez has been strategically expanding its private label merchandise, which typically carries higher gross margins compared to third-party brands.
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The rapid expansion and market penetration of ultra-fast fashion and general merchandise e-commerce platforms, exemplified by companies such as Shein and Temu, represent a clear emerging threat. These platforms offer an immense selection of trendy apparel and accessories at significantly lower price points and with faster replenishment cycles, directly appealing to Zumiez's young target demographic. This model challenges Zumiez's market share and pricing power in its apparel and accessories categories by diverting discretionary spending towards these low-cost, high-volume competitors.
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Zumiez Inc. operates in several key markets, primarily focusing on apparel, footwear, accessories, and hardgoods such as skateboards and snowboards for young men and women. The addressable markets for their main products and services are significant across various regions.
Global Addressable Markets:
- Action Sports Market: The global action sports market was valued at approximately USD 510.8 billion in 2024. This market is projected to expand to USD 805.68 billion by 2034, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4.64% during the forecast period. North America accounts for 34% of this market, Europe holds 28%, and Asia-Pacific contributes 26%.
- Kids Apparel Market: The global kids apparel market size was valued at USD 225.88 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 423.01 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 7.25% from 2026 to 2034. Another estimate places the global kids wear market at USD 341.50 billion in 2025, expected to reach USD 490.23 billion by 2032 with a CAGR of 5.3%.
- Kids Footwear Market: The global kids footwear market size was valued at USD 50.83 billion in 2025. It is projected to grow to USD 102.96 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 8.3% during the forecast period. In 2024, global sales reached approximately USD 50.6 billion.
- Skateboarding Equipment Market: The global skateboarding equipment market size was estimated at USD 26.51 billion in 2024. It is projected to grow to USD 56.81 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 11.50% from 2024 to 2031.
- Snowboard Equipment Market: The global snowboard equipment market was valued at USD 400 million in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 599.25 million by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 4.7% from 2026 to 2032.
United States Addressable Markets:
- Kids Apparel Market: The U.S. kids apparel market is projected to grow from USD 49.01 billion in 2025 to USD 69.76 billion by 2035, exhibiting a CAGR of 3.63%.
- Kids Footwear Market: In the United States, the kids footwear market reached around USD 12 billion in 2025. Another report indicates the U.S. children's footwear market is one of the largest regional segments, supported by a child population of approximately 73 million individuals.
- Skateboarding Equipment Market: The U.S. skateboarding equipment market had a size of USD 8.37 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 9.5% during the forecast period. The U.S. skateboard market alone generated USD 1.2 billion in 2023.
- Snowboarding Market: The U.S. skiing and snowboarding market size was estimated at USD 5.53 billion in 2023. The U.S. snowboarding market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 5.4% from 2024 to 2030.
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Zumiez Inc. (ZUMZ) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategic initiatives and market dynamics:
- Product Innovation and Merchandise Assortment Refresh: Zumiez plans to drive revenue growth by continuously refreshing its product mix with innovative and distinctive offerings. The company launched over 150 new and emerging brands across its banners in 2025, indicating an ongoing commitment to introducing newness that generates strong customer response.
- Expansion of Private Label Offerings: The company sees significant opportunity in expanding its private label penetration. In 2025, private label sales reached approximately 30% of total sales, a substantial increase from 12% five years prior, and management anticipates further growth in this area.
- Continued Comparable Sales Growth in North America: North America remains a strong performing region for Zumiez, characterized by robust full-price selling. The company achieved mid-single-digit comparable sales growth in North America during the holiday season and an eighth consecutive quarter of comparable sales increases in Q4 2025, with a 5.5% rise.
- Strategic Improvements and Growth in International Markets: Zumiez is executing a strategic shift in its international operations, particularly in Europe, which began in late 2024. This involves a focus on profitability and a reimagined product portfolio. These efforts are starting to yield results, with international comparable sales showing a strong 13.2% increase in early 2026.
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Share Repurchases
- Zumiez repurchased 2.7 million shares for $38.3 million in fiscal year 2025 (ended January 31, 2026).
- A new authorization for up to $40 million in common stock repurchases was approved on March 11, 2026, and is expected to continue through January 29, 2028. This program supersedes a prior $15 million authorization from June 2025.
- In fiscal year 2024 (ended February 1, 2025), the company repurchased $25.2 million of common stock.
Share Issuance
- Net cash provided by financing activities from the issuance and exercise of stock-based awards was $0.7 million in fiscal year 2023 and $1.1 million in fiscal year 2022.
Capital Expenditures
- Expected capital expenditures for fiscal year 2026 are projected to be between $14 million and $16 million, primarily for opening approximately 5 new stores in North America and store remodels, alongside the closure of roughly 25 stores globally.
- Capital expenditures were $11.1 million in fiscal year 2025 (ended January 31, 2026), with a focus on new stores (6 opened) and infrastructure improvements.
- Capital expenditures were $15 million in fiscal year 2024 (ended February 1, 2025) and $20.4 million in fiscal year 2023 (ended February 3, 2024). The primary focus during these years included opening 7 new stores in fiscal 2024 and 19 new stores in fiscal 2023.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Zumiez Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Zumiez Stock Jump Looks Great, But How Secure Is That Gain? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 27.21 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.7 |
| Rev LTM | 3,866 |
| Op Inc LTM | 226 |
| FCF LTM | 118 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 148 |
| CFO LTM | 295 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 290 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.4% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 37.5% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 35.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 6.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.1% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $18.25 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/06/2005 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -40.4% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $22.31 | $23.39 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | -18.2% | -22.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 71.6% | 55.6% |
| Downside Capture | 288.28 | 163.43 |
| Upside Capture | 93.12 | 170.72 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 53.6% | 45.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.45 | 2.12 | 1.88 | 1.59 | 1.63 | 1.48 |
| Up Beta | 4.24 | 2.63 | 2.26 | 1.64 | 1.69 | 1.64 |
| Down Beta | 5.02 | 3.22 | 1.48 | 1.67 | 1.70 | 1.24 |
| Up Capture | 77% | 115% | 139% | 133% | 255% | 310% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 61 | 125 | 358 |
| Down Capture | 208% | 247% | 220% | 162% | 124% | 110% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 18 | 30 | 63 | 124 | 388 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ZUMZ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZUMZ | 48.3% | 55.3% | 0.93 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 8.0% | 18.5% | 0.28 | 44.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 21.2% | 12.4% | 1.26 | 44.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.8% | 27.7% | 0.70 | 11.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 21.8% | 18.6% | 0.92 | -12.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 16.1% | 13.6% | 0.85 | 22.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -44.2% | 42.5% | -1.25 | 24.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ZUMZ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZUMZ | -15.3% | 52.3% | -0.12 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.7% | 23.9% | 0.24 | 51.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.4% | 17.1% | 0.61 | 49.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.8% | 18.3% | 0.79 | 4.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.4% | 19.5% | 0.28 | 6.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.9% | 0.08 | 41.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 10.9% | 54.0% | 0.39 | 19.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ZUMZ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZUMZ | 2.6% | 51.7% | 0.25 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.5% | 22.1% | 0.52 | 45.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.2% | 18.0% | 0.72 | 41.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.8% | 16.1% | 0.60 | -0.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 11.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 34.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 54.7% | 66.4% | 0.95 | 12.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/15/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 6/4/2026 | -25.9% | -21.2% | |
| 3/12/2026 | -8.6% | -10.2% | 4.7% |
| 12/4/2025 | 12.3% | 6.2% | -3.4% |
| 9/4/2025 | 15.5% | 14.3% | 8.5% |
| 6/5/2025 | -10.0% | -5.7% | 7.7% |
| 3/13/2025 | 8.1% | 18.6% | 4.7% |
| 12/5/2024 | 10.8% | 1.8% | -7.9% |
| 9/5/2024 | 4.0% | -9.5% | -12.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| # Negative | 13 | 14 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% |
| Median Negative | -7.0% | -8.8% | -8.9% |
| Max Positive | 15.5% | 22.4% | 24.2% |
| Max Negative | -25.9% | -21.2% | -24.4% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 6/4/2026 | -25.9% | -21.2% | |
| 3/12/2026 | -8.6% | -10.2% | 4.7% |
| 12/4/2025 | 12.3% | 6.2% | -3.4% |
| 9/4/2025 | 15.5% | 14.3% | 8.5% |
| 6/5/2025 | -10.0% | -5.7% | 7.7% |
| 3/13/2025 | 8.1% | 18.6% | 4.7% |
| 12/5/2024 | 10.8% | 1.8% | -7.9% |
| 9/5/2024 | 4.0% | -9.5% | -12.2% |
| 6/6/2024 | -2.8% | -7.8% | 6.5% |
| 3/14/2024 | -7.7% | -0.2% | -3.0% |
| 11/30/2023 | 12.0% | 3.1% | 7.0% |
| 9/7/2023 | -10.2% | -8.1% | -9.9% |
| 6/1/2023 | -1.5% | 1.1% | 9.8% |
| 3/9/2023 | -3.9% | -14.5% | -16.4% |
| 12/1/2022 | 6.3% | 7.7% | 0.8% |
| 9/8/2022 | 3.8% | -11.2% | -18.7% |
| 6/2/2022 | -8.8% | -11.6% | -24.4% |
| 3/10/2022 | -7.0% | 0.1% | -11.3% |
| 12/2/2021 | 2.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% |
| 9/9/2021 | -4.6% | -0.2% | 3.0% |
| 6/3/2021 | 6.2% | 4.3% | 13.4% |
| 3/11/2021 | -4.9% | -6.2% | -2.4% |
| 12/3/2020 | -4.3% | -3.5% | -6.0% |
| 9/10/2020 | 12.9% | 22.4% | 24.2% |
| 6/4/2020 | 0.9% | -12.7% | -4.2% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| # Negative | 13 | 14 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% |
| Median Negative | -7.0% | -8.8% | -8.9% |
| Max Positive | 15.5% | 22.4% | 24.2% |
| Max Negative | -25.9% | -21.2% | -24.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 04/30/2026 | 06/04/2026 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2026 | 03/12/2026 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 09/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 03/13/2025 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 09/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/10/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 03/14/2024 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 09/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/20/2023 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 09/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 04/30/2026 | 06/04/2026 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2026 | 03/12/2026 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 09/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 03/13/2025 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 09/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/10/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 03/14/2024 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 09/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/20/2023 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 09/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2022 | 06/06/2022 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2022 | 03/14/2022 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2021 | 12/06/2021 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2021 | 09/09/2021 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2021 | 06/07/2021 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2021 | 03/15/2021 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2020 | 12/07/2020 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2020 | 09/10/2020 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2020 | 06/08/2020 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2020 | 03/16/2020 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2019 | 12/09/2019 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2019 | 09/09/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 6/5/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 6/4/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Revenue | 210.00 Mil | 212.50 Mil | 215.00 Mil | 11.3% | Higher New | Guidance: 191.00 Mil for Q1 2026 | |
| Q2 2026 EPS | -0.23 | -0.15 | -0.08 | -81.1% | Higher New | Guidance: -0.82 for Q1 2026 | |
| 2026 New Store Openings | 5 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 5 for 2026 | |||
| 2026 Store Closures | 26 | 4.0% | Raised | Guidance: 25 for 2026 | |||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Revenue | 189.00 Mil | 191.00 Mil | 193.00 Mil | -34.9% | Lower New | Actual: 293.50 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 EPS | -0.87 | -0.82 | -0.77 | -180.4% | Lower New | Actual: 1.02 for Q4 2025 | |
| 2026 New Store Openings | 5 | ||||||
| 2026 Store Closures | 25 | ||||||
Insider Activity
Updated 6/15/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valletta, Liliana Gil | Direct | Sell | 6152026 | 18.64 | 540 | 10,064 | 98,104 | Form | |
| 2 | Valletta, Liliana Gil | Direct | Sell | 6102026 | 19.41 | 300 | 5,822 | 212,756 | Form | |
| 3 | Visser, Chris K | Chief Legal Officer & Sec. | Direct | Sell | 4022026 | 22.21 | 9,974 | 221,561 | 966,305 | Form |
| 4 | Ellis, Adam Christopher | President International | Direct | Sell | 12222025 | 28.41 | 7,319 | 207,923 | 1,705,403 | Form |
| 5 | Smith, Travis | Direct | Sell | 12192025 | 28.36 | 9,175 | 260,228 | 651,037 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valletta, Liliana Gil | Direct | Sell | 6152026 | 18.64 | 540 | 10,064 | 98,104 | Form | |
| 2 | Valletta, Liliana Gil | Direct | Sell | 6102026 | 19.41 | 300 | 5,822 | 212,756 | Form | |
| 3 | Visser, Chris K | Chief Legal Officer & Sec. | Direct | Sell | 4022026 | 22.21 | 9,974 | 221,561 | 966,305 | Form |
| 4 | Ellis, Adam Christopher | President International | Direct | Sell | 12222025 | 28.41 | 7,319 | 207,923 | 1,705,403 | Form |
| 5 | Smith, Travis | Direct | Sell | 12192025 | 28.36 | 9,175 | 260,228 | 651,037 | Form | |
| 6 | Visser, Chris K | Chief Legal Officer & Sec. | Direct | Sell | 12162025 | 29.34 | 10,043 | 294,690 | 1,299,974 | Form |
| 7 | Harkless, Guy Matthew | Direct | Sell | 12162025 | 29.19 | 2,500 | 72,985 | 419,956 | Form | |
| 8 | Visser, Chris K | Chief Legal Officer & Sec. | Direct | Sell | 12162025 | 30.25 | 727 | 21,992 | 1,340,166 | Form |
| 9 | Smith, Travis | Direct | Sell | 12092025 | 30.10 | 9,349 | 281,398 | 967,060 | Form | |
| 10 | Bauza, Carmen | Direct | Sell | 12082025 | 29.69 | 7,000 | 207,837 | 309,054 | Form | |
| 11 | Visser, Chris K | Chief Legal Officer & Sec. | Direct | Sell | 9172025 | 20.09 | 5,618 | 112,877 | 890,141 | Form |
| 12 | Valletta, Liliana Gil | Direct | Sell | 9092025 | 21.30 | 3,655 | 77,852 | 152,380 | Form | |
| 13 | Valletta, Liliana Gil | Direct | Sell | 6262025 | 12.82 | 6,600 | 84,622 | 138,588 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Consumer Discretionary Resources |
| Retail Dive |
| Business of Fashion (BoF) |
| WWD (Women's Wear Daily) |
| National Retail Federation (NRF) |
| McKinsey & Company - Consumer |
| Mintel Consumer Trends |
| Apparel Retail Resources |
| Apparel News |
| Just Style |
| Sourcing Journal |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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