Tearsheet

Zumiez (ZUMZ)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $27.49 | Market Cap: $459.0 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail

Zumiez (ZUMZ)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $27.49
Market Cap: $459.0 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is -4.7%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 81x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 381x
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.7%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -4.5%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -54%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 121%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Direct-to-Consumer Brands.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.4%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.0%
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.7%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Direct-to-Consumer Brands.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is -4.7%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -4.5%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -54%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 81x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 381x
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 121%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.4%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.0%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ZUMZ Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the movement of Zumiez (ZUMZ) stock during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Strong Fiscal 2025 Second Quarter Results and Robust Third Quarter-to-Date Performance: Zumiez announced its fiscal 2025 second quarter results on September 4, 2025, revealing a 1.9% increase in net sales and a 2.5% rise in comparable sales for the quarter ended August 2, 2025. More notably, the company reported a significant 10.6% increase in net sales and an 11.2% surge in comparable sales for the initial 30 days of the third quarter, ending September 1, 2025. This strong start to the third quarter, particularly in North America, signaled a positive shift in business momentum to investors.

2. Positive Fiscal 2025 Third Quarter Guidance: Concurrent with its second-quarter earnings, Zumiez provided an optimistic outlook for the third quarter, which concluded on November 1, 2025. The company projected net sales to be between $232 million and $237 million, with anticipated comparable sales growth ranging from 5.5% to 7.5%. Furthermore, it forecast earnings per diluted share to be between $0.19 and $0.29. This positive forward guidance likely bolstered investor confidence and contributed to the stock's upward trajectory.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ZUMZ Return6%30%-55%-6%-6%37%-24%
Peers Return-0%23%-12%26%10%15%72%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ZUMZ Win Rate58%67%17%50%58%70% 
Peers Win Rate60%62%43%58%47%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ZUMZ Max Drawdown-58%-3%-60%-38%-35%-40% 
Peers Max Drawdown-64%-12%-39%-26%-17%-30% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GAP, GES, GCO, TJX, ROST.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventZUMZS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-75.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven303.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-58.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven139.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven221 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-49.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven98.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven136 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-88.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven737.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4606 days1480 days

Compare to GAP, GES, GCO, TJX, ROST


In The Past

Zumiez's stock fell -75.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/22/2021. A -75.2% loss requires a 303.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Zumiez (ZUMZ)

Better Bets than Zumiez (ZUMZ)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ZUMZ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
9.2%9.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.4%2.4%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.1%-4.1%-4.1%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
9.2%9.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.4%2.4%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.1%-4.1%-4.1%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Zumiez

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ZUMZGAPGESGCOTJXROSTMedian
NameZumiez Gap Guess Genesco TJX Comp.Ross Sto. 
Mkt Price27.7526.8517.1335.25150.06178.0031.50
Mkt Cap0.510.00.90.4167.357.55.4
Rev LTM90015,1663,0922,36257,92521,4989,129
Op Inc LTM31,166140166,4762,580653
FCF LTM1376913194,0411,679394
FCF 3Y Avg-2938126204,3581,797532
CFO LTM271,215101795,9352,474658
CFO 3Y Avg171,380207766,1452,565794

Growth & Margins

ZUMZGAPGESGCOTJXROSTMedian
NameZumiez Gap Guess Genesco TJX Comp.Ross Sto. 
Rev Chg LTM1.6%-0.0%7.8%2.7%4.1%1.9%2.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-5.4%-1.3%4.9%-0.3%5.3%5.2%2.3%
Rev Chg Q1.9%0.1%5.5%4.0%6.9%4.6%4.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.5%0.0%1.3%0.9%1.6%1.1%1.0%
Op Mgn LTM0.3%7.7%4.5%0.7%11.2%12.0%6.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-2.1%5.2%6.9%1.0%10.7%11.5%6.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%-0.0%-0.6%-0.2%0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM3.0%8.0%3.3%3.4%10.2%11.5%5.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg1.9%9.1%7.3%3.3%11.2%12.5%8.2%
FCF/Rev LTM1.4%5.1%0.4%0.8%7.0%7.8%3.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.2%6.2%4.5%0.9%8.0%8.8%5.3%

Valuation

ZUMZGAPGESGCOTJXROSTMedian
NameZumiez Gap Guess Genesco TJX Comp.Ross Sto. 
Mkt Cap0.510.00.90.4167.357.55.4
P/S0.20.50.20.12.41.90.4
P/EBIT81.06.48.314.520.614.814.7
P/E381.19.219.9-8.427.720.019.9
P/CFO8.36.76.12.623.216.77.5
Total Yield0.3%10.9%15.4%-12.0%4.9%6.2%5.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%10.4%0.0%1.3%1.2%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.2%16.3%12.3%8.1%3.7%4.3%6.2%
D/E0.90.72.62.90.10.10.8
Net D/E0.50.42.32.70.10.00.4

Returns

ZUMZGAPGESGCOTJXROSTMedian
NameZumiez Gap Guess Genesco TJX Comp.Ross Sto. 
1M Rtn28.2%17.7%0.7%18.9%7.2%10.4%14.1%
3M Rtn58.2%19.8%3.2%11.6%7.9%18.4%15.0%
6M Rtn120.6%29.6%60.3%58.1%17.9%25.6%43.9%
12M Rtn23.1%7.4%8.5%-4.5%21.8%17.1%12.8%
3Y Rtn19.6%103.3%7.0%-22.7%95.1%54.6%37.1%
1M Excs Rtn28.3%17.7%0.7%18.9%7.2%10.5%14.1%
3M Excs Rtn45.1%7.7%-2.4%-0.7%1.4%11.4%4.6%
6M Excs Rtn105.9%14.9%45.6%43.4%3.2%10.9%29.2%
12M Excs Rtn12.2%0.6%0.3%-8.6%7.3%2.7%1.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-54.5%37.6%-60.0%-105.9%22.7%-14.7%-34.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Men's Apparel411412509386403
Accessories149173201168134
Footwear123144154129176
Hardgoods105125189188134
Women's Apparel88105130119186
Total8759581,1849911,034


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity982,009
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-4.5%
Average Daily Volume152,805
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.43
Basic Shares Quantity16,698,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025904202510-Q 8/2/2025
4302025605202510-Q 5/3/2025
1312025313202510-K 2/1/2025
103120241205202410-Q 11/2/2024
7312024905202410-Q 8/3/2024
4302024610202410-Q 5/4/2024
1312024314202410-K 2/3/2024
103120231204202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023907202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023605202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023320202310-K 1/28/2023
103120221205202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022908202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022606202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022314202210-K 1/29/2022
103120211206202110-Q 10/30/2021