Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%, Dividend Yield is 8.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 13%, FCF Yield is 9.2%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -3.2%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.5%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 20%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Experiential Retail.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%, Dividend Yield is 8.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 13%, FCF Yield is 9.2%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 20%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Experiential Retail.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -3.2%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.5%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BKE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points highlighting factors that influenced Buckle (BKE) stock movement for the most recent period available: 1. Positive Q3 2025 Earnings Beat: Buckle reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.96 for the third fiscal quarter of 2025, which concluded on November 2, 2024. This performance surpassed analysts' expectations of $0.95 by 1.05%, which can often lead to positive investor sentiment.

2. Strong Comparable Store Sales Growth: For the 13-week fiscal quarter ending February 1, 2025, Buckle demonstrated strong retail performance with a 3.9% increase in comparable store net sales when compared to the corresponding period in the prior year.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BKE Return25%70%11%15%17%20%281%
Peers Return-0%30%-23%21%7%19%52%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BKE Win Rate67%75%50%50%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate60%67%38%55%47%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BKE Max Drawdown-51%-2%-36%-27%-19%-30% 
Peers Max Drawdown-66%-10%-43%-31%-22%-34% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GAP, GES, ZUMZ, GCO, TJX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBKES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-49.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven99.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven880 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-52.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven112.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven222 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-47.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven88.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven178 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-65.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven186.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven868 days1480 days

Compare to GAP, GES, ZUMZ, GCO, TJX


In The Past

Buckle's stock fell -49.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/18/2021. A -49.8% loss requires a 99.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Buckle (BKE)

Better Bets than Buckle (BKE)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BKE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Buckle

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BKEGAPGESZUMZGCOTJXMedian
NameBuckle Gap Guess Zumiez Genesco TJX Comp. 
Mkt Price57.4126.8517.1327.7535.25150.0631.50
Mkt Cap2.910.00.90.50.4167.31.9
Rev LTM1,25115,1663,0929002,36257,9252,727
Op Inc LTM2511,1661403166,476195
FCF LTM2117691313194,041115
FCF 3Y Avg214938126-2204,358170
CFO LTM2541,21510127795,935178
CFO 3Y Avg2531,38020717766,145230

Growth & Margins

BKEGAPGESZUMZGCOTJXMedian
NameBuckle Gap Guess Zumiez Genesco TJX Comp. 
Rev Chg LTM1.6%-0.0%7.8%1.6%2.7%4.1%2.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.5%-1.3%4.9%-5.4%-0.3%5.3%-0.8%
Rev Chg Q8.3%0.1%5.5%1.9%4.0%6.9%4.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.9%0.0%1.3%0.5%0.9%1.6%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM20.0%7.7%4.5%0.3%0.7%11.2%6.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg21.1%5.2%6.9%-2.1%1.0%10.7%6.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%-0.0%-0.6%0.1%-0.2%0.2%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM20.3%8.0%3.3%3.0%3.4%10.2%5.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg20.0%9.1%7.3%1.9%3.3%11.2%8.2%
FCF/Rev LTM16.8%5.1%0.4%1.4%0.8%7.0%3.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg16.9%6.2%4.5%-0.2%0.9%8.0%5.3%

Valuation

BKEGAPGESZUMZGCOTJXMedian
NameBuckle Gap Guess Zumiez Genesco TJX Comp. 
Mkt Cap2.910.00.90.50.4167.31.9
P/S1.80.50.20.20.12.40.4
P/EBIT9.16.48.381.014.520.611.8
P/E11.39.219.9381.1-8.427.715.6
P/CFO9.06.76.18.32.623.27.5
Total Yield17.6%10.9%15.4%0.3%-12.0%4.9%7.9%
Dividend Yield8.7%0.0%10.4%0.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.2%16.3%12.3%-0.2%8.1%3.7%9.6%
D/E0.20.72.60.92.90.10.8
Net D/E0.00.42.30.52.70.10.4

Returns

BKEGAPGESZUMZGCOTJXMedian
NameBuckle Gap Guess Zumiez Genesco TJX Comp. 
1M Rtn4.1%17.7%0.7%28.2%18.9%7.2%12.4%
3M Rtn0.0%19.8%3.2%58.2%11.6%7.9%9.7%
6M Rtn38.2%29.6%60.3%120.6%58.1%17.9%48.2%
12M Rtn16.4%7.4%8.5%23.1%-4.5%21.8%12.4%
3Y Rtn68.8%103.3%7.0%19.6%-22.7%95.1%44.2%
1M Excs Rtn4.1%17.7%0.7%28.3%18.9%7.2%12.5%
3M Excs Rtn-9.4%7.7%-2.4%45.1%-0.7%1.4%0.3%
6M Excs Rtn23.5%14.9%45.6%105.9%43.4%3.2%33.5%
12M Excs Rtn5.9%0.6%0.3%12.2%-8.6%7.3%3.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-3.2%37.6%-60.0%-54.5%-105.9%22.7%-28.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Denims516529513361366
Tops (including sweaters)370400391271290
Accessories1361351208172
Sportswear/Fashions84124765280
Footwear68741269250
Kids4342321814
Casual bottoms282812810
Outerwear1615251718
Total1,2611,3451,295901900


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,807,485
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120250.4%
Average Daily Volume458,868
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.12
Basic Shares Quantity50,199,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.6%

Returns Analyses

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025911202510-Q 8/2/2025
4302025612202510-Q 5/3/2025
1312025402202510-K 2/1/2025
103120241212202410-Q 11/2/2024
7312024912202410-Q 8/3/2024
4302024613202410-Q 5/4/2024
1312024403202410-K 2/3/2024
103120231207202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023907202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023608202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023329202310-K 1/28/2023
103120221208202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022908202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022609202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022330202210-K 1/29/2022
103120211209202110-Q 10/30/2021