Shoe Station (SHOE)


Market Price (10/9/2026): $12.74 | Market Cap: $-Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail

Shoe Station (SHOE)


Market Price (10/9/2026): $12.74
Market Cap: $-
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -102%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -125%

Key risks
SHOE key risks include [1] potential underperformance and significant execution challenges with its capital-intensive "rebanner" strategy, Show more.

0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -102%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -125%
2 Key risks
SHOE key risks include [1] potential underperformance and significant execution challenges with its capital-intensive "rebanner" strategy, Show more.

SHOE in ETFs

Weight = SHOE's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
ITOT0.00%
VIG0.00%
FNDA0.03%
VTWO0.01%
DFAS0.01%
SCHA0.01%
IWN0.00%
+2 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 10/1/2026

Shoe Station (SHOE) stock has lost about 10% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Weaker-than-expected fiscal Q2 2026 performance and significantly lowered full-year guidance led to investor concern.

Shoe Station Group reported net sales of $284.3 million in fiscal Q2 2026, which ended on August 1, 2026, a 7.2% decline from the prior year and missing analyst estimates. Comparable store sales fell 7.1%, with both the Shoe Carnival and Shoe Station banners experiencing declines of 6.5% and 8.4% respectively. The company's GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) also dropped substantially to $0.23 from $0.70 in fiscal Q2 2025. Following these results, Shoe Station Group significantly cut its fiscal 2026 net sales guidance to a range of $1.1 billion to $1.111 billion (from $1.125 billion to $1.147 billion) and adjusted EPS guidance to $0.75 to $0.90 (from $1.40 to $1.60), falling well below previous analyst consensus. This downward revision signaled a challenging outlook, contributing to the stock's decline.

2. Aggressive promotional activity and inventory issues heavily compressed gross profit margins.

The company's gross profit margin contracted by 690 basis points to 31.9% in fiscal Q2 2026 compared to 38.8% in the same period last year. Management attributed this significant decline to an increasingly promotional footwear marketplace and the company's strategic decision to price competitively to protect market position, alongside accelerating the liquidation of aged and excess inventory. Furthermore, merchandise assortments were not fully aligned with customer demand, exacerbating the need for markdowns and impacting profitability.

Show more
Updated on 10/1/2026

Shoe Station (SHOE) stock has lost about 10% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Weaker-than-expected fiscal Q2 2026 performance and significantly lowered full-year guidance led to investor concern.

Shoe Station Group reported net sales of $284.3 million in fiscal Q2 2026, which ended on August 1, 2026, a 7.2% decline from the prior year and missing analyst estimates. Comparable store sales fell 7.1%, with both the Shoe Carnival and Shoe Station banners experiencing declines of 6.5% and 8.4% respectively. The company's GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) also dropped substantially to $0.23 from $0.70 in fiscal Q2 2025. Following these results, Shoe Station Group significantly cut its fiscal 2026 net sales guidance to a range of $1.1 billion to $1.111 billion (from $1.125 billion to $1.147 billion) and adjusted EPS guidance to $0.75 to $0.90 (from $1.40 to $1.60), falling well below previous analyst consensus. This downward revision signaled a challenging outlook, contributing to the stock's decline.

2. Aggressive promotional activity and inventory issues heavily compressed gross profit margins.

The company's gross profit margin contracted by 690 basis points to 31.9% in fiscal Q2 2026 compared to 38.8% in the same period last year. Management attributed this significant decline to an increasingly promotional footwear marketplace and the company's strategic decision to price competitively to protect market position, alongside accelerating the liquidation of aged and excess inventory. Furthermore, merchandise assortments were not fully aligned with customer demand, exacerbating the need for markdowns and impacting profitability.

3. Weakening consumer demand and declining store traffic impacted sales across both banners.

Company management highlighted "traffic and consumer awareness" as a key challenge during fiscal Q2 2026, noting that while customer conversion improved, overall store traffic did not. Although back-to-school comparable store sales showed some improvement in August, declining by a low single-digit percentage (specifically 2.7%) after Q2's 7.1% decline, the overall demand environment remained soft. Broader macroeconomic trends also played a role, as the global footwear trade experienced a weakening in early 2026, with the United States seeing an 18.0% decline in the value of footwear imports in fiscal Q1 2026, indicating softer consumer demand in the market.

4. The rebranding strategy, while long-term focused, showed mixed immediate results on performance.

Shoe Station Group changed its corporate name in June 2026, reflecting a strategic shift towards Shoe Station as a primary vehicle for long-term growth. During fiscal Q2 2026, 20 Shoe Carnival stores were rebannered into Shoe Station stores. However, the Shoe Station banner's comparable store sales declined by 8.5% in fiscal Q2 2026, which was a steeper drop than the 6.3% decline experienced by the Shoe Carnival banner. This suggests that the rebranding efforts and associated changes did not immediately translate into improved sales performance for the designated growth banner, contributing to the overall stock underperformance.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

6/30/2026 to 10/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SHOE-9.7% 
Market (SPY)3.6%19.7%
Sector (XLY)-4.7%36.9%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 10/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SHOE-13.2% 
Market (SPY)19.3%32.1%
Sector (XLY)2.7%44.7%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 10/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SHOE-34.0% 
Market (SPY)17.1%30.1%
Sector (XLY)-6.2%40.7%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

9/30/2023 to 10/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SHOE-40.6% 
Market (SPY)87.3%39.8%
Sector (XLY)42.0%46.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
SHOE Return101%-38%29%11%-48%-21%-26%
Peers Return137%-22%18%10%-11%13%142%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SHOE Win Rate67%42%50%42%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate69%38%50%48%52%64% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SHOE Max Drawdown-21%-50%-32%-28%-51%-41% 
Peers Max Drawdown-36%-48%-51%-35%-47%-40% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GCO, ZUMZ, GAP, JILL, REF.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/8/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventSHOES&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-26.7%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven36.5%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven93 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-14.4%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven16.9%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven21 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-29.0%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven40.8%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven194 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-50.4%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven101.6%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven616 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-61.7%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven160.8%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven167 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-15.5%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.3%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven21 days105 days

Compare to GCO, ZUMZ, GAP, JILL, REF

In The Past

Shoe Station's stock fell -26.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 36.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventSHOES&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-26.7%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven36.5%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven93 days79 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-29.0%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven40.8%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven194 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-50.4%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven101.6%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven616 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-61.7%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven160.8%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven167 days140 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-28.9%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven40.7%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven149 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-35.4%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven54.9%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven284 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-20.6%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.9%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven54 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-33.4%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven50.2%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven199 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-32.8%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven48.9%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven139 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-57.5%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven135.1%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven175 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-44.3%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven79.6%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven954 days47 days

Compare to GCO, ZUMZ, GAP, JILL, REF

In The Past

Shoe Station's stock fell -26.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 36.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Shoe Station (SHOE)

Shoe Carnival, Inc. (SHOE) operates as a prominent family footwear retailer across the United States. While trading under the symbol SHOE, the company manages two primary retail banners: Shoe Carnival and Shoe Station. Its business model centers on offering a wide selection of footwear for the entire family, making it a go-to destination for various shoe needs.

The company's product offering is comprehensive, encompassing dress, casual, work, and athletic shoes, as well as sandals and boots for men, women, and children. In addition to footwear, Shoe Carnival, Inc. also provides a range of accessories. These products are retailed through its extensive network of physical stores – comprising 372 Shoe Carnival locations across 35 states and Puerto Rico, and 21 Shoe Station locations primarily in the Southeast – complemented by its robust online presence via shoecarnival.com and a dedicated mobile application.

Shoe Carnival, Inc. primarily serves families and individuals seeking diverse footwear options across various demographics and occasions. Its market reach extends across a significant portion of the United States, with the Shoe Station brand specifically catering to customers in the Southeast. Founded in 1978 and headquartered in Evansville, Indiana, the company has established itself as a key player in the national footwear retail landscape.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Footwear: A wide range of dress, casual, work, and athletic shoes, as well as sandals and boots for men, women, and children.
  • Accessories: Various items sold to complement footwear.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The public company trading under the symbol SHOE is Shoe Carnival, Inc. Shoe Station is one of the retail banners operated by Shoe Carnival, Inc. As a family footwear retailer, Shoe Carnival, Inc. (including its Shoe Station brand) sells primarily to individual consumers.

The major categories of individual customers it serves are:

  1. Adult Women: Customers purchasing a variety of shoes, including dress, casual, athletic, sandals, and boots.
  2. Adult Men: Customers purchasing various types of footwear such as dress, casual, work, athletic shoes, sandals, and boots.
  3. Children and Youth: Customers (or their parents) purchasing shoes for children and teenagers, covering athletic, casual, and special occasion footwear.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Cliff Sifford Interim President and Chief Executive Officer

Cliff Sifford was appointed Interim President and Chief Executive Officer of Shoe Station Group in February 2026, also serving as Vice Chairman. He has been with the company since 1997, holding various leadership roles including President and CEO from October 2012 to September 2019, Vice Chairman and CEO from September 2019 to September 2021, and Vice Chairman of the Board from October 2021 before his return to the CEO role. Prior to his initial CEO appointment, he served as General Merchandise Manager.

W. Kerry Jackson Executive Vice President - Chief Financial Officer

W. Kerry Jackson serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Shoe Station Group. He has a long history with the company, having served as Chief Financial Officer for 27 years before his retirement in May 2023. Mr. Jackson rejoined the company in June 2025 as Senior Vice President, New Business Development, and was appointed Executive Vice President, effective September 28, 2025. He has a total tenure of 35 years with the company.

Marc A. Chilton Senior Executive Vice President - Chief Operating Officer

Marc A. Chilton holds the position of Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer.

Tanya E. Gordon Executive Vice President – Chief Merchandising Officer

Tanya E. Gordon is the Executive Vice President and Chief Merchandising Officer.

J. Wayne Weaver Chairman of the Board

J. Wayne Weaver is the Chairman of the Board for Shoe Station Group. He is also known as the former owner of the Jacksonville Jaguars.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks for Shoe Carnival, Inc., which is transitioning its corporate name to Shoe Station Group, Inc. and trading under the symbol SHOE, are primarily related to its strategic transformation, the competitive retail environment, and broader economic factors.

  1. Challenges with the "Rebanner" Strategy and Shifting Consumer Base: Shoe Carnival is undertaking a significant "rebanner" strategy, converting many of its traditional Shoe Carnival stores to the Shoe Station banner, with a goal for Shoe Station to represent over 80% of its store fleet by March 2027. This initiative requires substantial capital expenditure and investment, which is projected to decrease operating income and earnings per share in the short term. There is a notable risk that this strategic conversion may not meet performance expectations, as some reports indicate negative comparable store sales for Shoe Station and flat gross margins during the transition period. Furthermore, the company is deliberately shifting its focus from its traditional lower-income Shoe Carnival customer to target higher-income shoppers for Shoe Station, who seek more premium products and elevated service. Executing this shift effectively, including attracting the new target demographic while managing the decline in the legacy banner, presents significant operational and market acceptance risks.
  2. Intense Competition and Evolving Retail Landscape: The footwear retail industry is highly competitive and is undergoing rapid transformation due to evolving consumer preferences and a pronounced shift toward omnichannel shopping. Shoe Station Group faces fierce competition from a diverse array of players, including mid-tier and specialty retailers, large-format discounters, online-only retailers, and direct-to-consumer channels from major brands like Nike and Adidas. The broader shoe store industry, particularly brick-and-mortar formats, has seen revenue growth suppressed by the increasing dominance of mass merchandisers and e-commerce platforms. To remain competitive, the company must continually invest in its e-commerce capabilities and digital infrastructure. Failure to effectively differentiate its offerings or compete on factors such as price, product assortment, in-store experience, and digital fulfillment could adversely impact its financial performance.
  3. Macroeconomic Conditions and Consumer Discretionary Spending: The business is susceptible to broader economic trends and fluctuations in consumer discretionary spending. Economic downturns or inflationary pressures can lead consumers to trade down to lower-priced alternatives, which can impact sales and profit margins. The traditional lower-income customer base of the Shoe Carnival banner has already experienced economic pressure, contributing to intense industry-wide discounting that erodes margins. Although the Shoe Station banner targets a higher-income demographic, a general decline in consumer confidence or spending across economic segments could still negatively affect the company's overall performance.

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The addressable market for Shoe Station Group Inc.'s main products and services in the U.S. is comprised of the footwear market and the fashion accessories market.

U.S. Footwear Market

The U.S. footwear market was valued at approximately $97.72 billion USD in 2024. It is projected to grow to around $141.89 billion USD by 2034, demonstrating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.80% from 2025 to 2034. Other estimates for the U.S. footwear market in 2024 range from $95.1 billion USD to $95.23 billion USD.

U.S. Fashion Accessories Market

The U.S. fashion accessories market generated a revenue of approximately $222.07 billion USD in 2024. This market is anticipated to grow to about $342.99 billion USD by 2030, with a CAGR of 7.8% from 2025 to 2030. Another projection estimates the U.S. fashion accessories market to reach $477.4 billion USD by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 7.9% from 2025 to 2034.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Shoe Carnival, Inc. (soon to be Shoe Station Group, Inc., trading under the symbol SHOE) over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Strategic Multi-Banner Expansion with Focus on Shoe Station: The company is shifting its primary long-term growth vehicle to the Shoe Station banner and is rebranding its corporate name to Shoe Station Group, Inc. to reflect this focus. The strategy involves opening 10-20 net new stores annually, targeting a total of over 500 locations by fiscal year 2028, with new Shoe Station store growth concentrated in high-traffic suburban markets in the South and Midwest. While initially planning extensive rebanners of Shoe Carnival stores to Shoe Station, the company is now adopting a more measured approach, operating both banners as permanent, independent components and focusing on disciplined conversion of Shoe Carnival locations where demographics align with the Shoe Station format.
  2. Strategic Acquisitions of Other Footwear Retailers: Shoe Carnival, Inc. explicitly intends to pursue strategic acquisitions of other footwear retailers beyond its current Shoe Carnival and Shoe Station banners. The 2024 acquisition of Rogan's Shoes serves as a template, demonstrating the potential for geographic synergy, rapid market share gains, and improved margins through centralized supply chain integration.
  3. Enhanced E-commerce and Omnichannel Capabilities: The company aims to drive significant growth through its e-commerce platform and by strengthening its omnichannel approach. This includes leveraging its substantial 35-million-member loyalty program to boost online sales and store productivity. Investments in modernizing the e-commerce infrastructure, such as implementing headless commerce architecture and Progressive Web App (PWA) technology, are designed to create seamless customer experiences and extend product assortment reach.
  4. Optimization of Product Mix and Category Expansion: Shoe Carnival, Inc. is focused on expanding into higher-margin specialty categories like workwear and performance running to diversify its revenue streams. The strategy also involves optimizing the merchandise mix by broadening private-label and exclusive offerings to enhance gross margins, while also strengthening partnerships with national brands such as Nike and Adidas. This includes targeted product strategies like specialized assortments for back-to-school and timed sneaker releases. Following an assessment of rebannered stores, the company is also reconfiguring product assortments at each location to better align with local market demographics and re-engage value-focused customers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The following outlines the capital allocation decisions of Shoe Station Group, Inc. (formerly Shoe Carnival, Inc.) over the last 3-5 years:

Share Repurchases

  • On December 12, 2025, a new share repurchase program for up to $50 million of outstanding common stock was authorized, effective January 1, 2026, and set to expire on December 31, 2026. This program replaced a prior $50 million authorization from December 11, 2024.
  • As of the first quarter of 2026, the company had $50 million remaining under its existing share repurchase authorization.

Outbound Investments

  • The company completed the integration of its 28-store Rogan's acquisition into the Shoe Station banner in October 2025.

Capital Expenditures

  • For fiscal year 2025, anticipated capital expenditures ranged from $45 million to $55 million, with $30 million to $35 million specifically allocated to rebanner initiatives aimed at converting Shoe Carnival stores to the Shoe Station banner.
  • Year-to-date capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 totaled $38.3 million, primarily directed towards supporting rebannered stores.
  • Expected capital expenditures for fiscal year 2026 are projected to be between $45 million and $60 million, with $30 million to $40 million focused on rebanner initiatives.

Peer Outperformance in Apparel Retail

SHOE has trailed 60% of its 25 Apparel Retail peers over 5Y. Apparel Retail ranks 12th of 23 industries in Consumer Discretionary by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Apparel Retail constituents that SHOE has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
22%
of 27 industry peers · -34.5% return
3Y
30%
of 27 industry peers · -40.9% return
5Y
40%
of 25 industry peers · -55.1% return
No Apparel Retail peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten SHOE by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Consumer Discretionary sector, ranked by 5Y. Apparel Retail is SHOE's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Education Services 14 -11.0%80.0%82.8% CVSA 245% · LINC 236% · PRDO 218%
Homebuilding 18 -8.5%31.8%48.5% GRBK 197% · TOL 152% · PHM 151%
Specialty Stores 7 3.0%39.3%12.8% ASO 36% · SIG 32% · DKS 31%
Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines 21 7.3%36.0%11.4% RCL 232% · MAR 140% · LIND 134%
Home Improvement Retail 5 -20.8%-0.1%0.3% HVT 13% · LOW 1% · HD 0%
Automotive Retail 18 -13.7%0.9%-5.1% MUSA 214% · PAG 115% · ORLY 111%
Footwear 9 62.5%47.1%-10.4% WEYS 206% · DECK 38% · SHOO 19%
Restaurants 36 -9.1%-8.2%-13.7% EAT 286% · CAKE 164% · BH 119%
Specialized Consumer Services 10 -18.5%15.9%-16.4% HRB 107% · FTDR 88% · SCI 33%
Home Furnishings 4 -5.2%26.6%-17.0% SGI 46% · LZB -1% · MHK -33%
Distributors 4 -11.6%-27.5%-17.1% ARMK 122% · GPC 18% · LKQ -52%
Apparel Retail ← 26 7.2%16.8%-37.7% ANF 260% · URBN 173% · TJX 130%
Household Appliances 18 12.7%-3.2%-39.7% FLXS 218% · HBB 165% · KEQU 160%
Leisure Products 13 -22.5%-21.1%-40.8% GOLF 76% · HAS 26% · MAT -13%
Computer & Electronics Retail 3 3.6%45.6%-41.4% BBY 4% · GME -41% · UPBD -61%
Automotive Parts & Equipment 38 -12.0%-12.8%-41.5% MOD 1459% · GTX 263% · MLR 69%
Leisure Facilities 12 5.5%-6.6%-45.0% JAKK 153% · LTH 134% · OSW 124%
Casinos & Gaming 20 -14.3%-28.0%-47.4% MCRI 91% · RRR 18% · BYD 14%
Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods 29 -3.5%13.8%-49.6% RL 258% · TPR 252% · ELA 194%
Broadline Retail 14 -7.3%23.2%-50.9% EBAY 63% · AMZN 55% · OLLI 42%
Consumer Electronics 11 -25.6%-25.5%-74.4% AXIL 3081% · GRMN 91% · SONO -44%
Other Specialty Retail 17 -35.8%-41.3%-77.2% TLF 98% · BBW 90% · WINA 65%
Automobile Manufacturers 8 -75.5%-52.5%-77.9% GM 47% · TSLA 43% · F 10%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SHOEGCOZUMZGAPJILLREFMedian
NameShoe Sta.Genesco Zumiez Gap J.Jill Reformat. 
Mkt Price12.8536.4114.1523.2324.4613.2218.69
Mkt Cap-0.4-8.2--4.3
Rev LTM-2,433-15,326--8,880
Op Inc LTM-55-1,684--869
FCF LTM-74-957--515
FCF 3Y Avg-56-969--512
CFO LTM-134-1,535--835
CFO 3Y Avg-109-1,444--777

Growth & Margins

SHOEGCOZUMZGAPJILLREFMedian
NameShoe Sta.Genesco Zumiez Gap J.Jill Reformat. 
Rev Chg LTM-3.0%-1.1%--2.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.4%-0.5%--0.9%
Rev Chg Q--3.0%--2.0%---2.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM--0.7%--0.5%---0.6%
Op Inc Chg LTM-240.7%-44.4%--142.5%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-83.4%-115.8%--99.6%
Op Mgn LTM-2.2%-11.0%--6.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-1.1%-8.3%--4.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.1%-2.5%--1.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-5.5%-10.0%--7.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-4.6%-9.5%--7.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-3.0%-6.2%--4.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-2.4%-6.4%--4.4%

Valuation

SHOEGCOZUMZGAPJILLREFMedian
NameShoe Sta.Genesco Zumiez Gap J.Jill Reformat. 
Mkt Cap-0.4-8.2--4.3
P/S-0.2-0.5--0.3
P/Op Inc-7.0-4.9--6.0
P/EBIT-6.7-4.6--5.6
P/E-9.2-6.6--7.9
P/CFO-2.9-5.4--4.1
Total Yield-10.7%-18.0%--14.4%
Dividend Yield-0.0%-3.0%--1.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-17.3%-11.9%--14.6%
D/E-1.5-0.7--1.1
Net D/E-1.4-0.4--0.9

Returns

SHOEGCOZUMZGAPJILLREFMedian
NameShoe Sta.Genesco Zumiez Gap J.Jill Reformat. 
1M Rtn-2.7%5.4%-20.1%4.6%23.7%-2.5%1.0%
3M Rtn-13.4%8.5%-20.9%24.1%55.1%-12.3%-1.9%
6M Rtn-26.3%15.3%-42.3%-10.4%105.7%-12.3%-11.4%
12M Rtn-35.6%27.4%-29.8%15.7%64.3%-12.3%1.7%
3Y Rtn-41.8%25.9%-15.8%143.7%-10.5%-12.3%-11.4%
1M Excs Rtn-0.9%4.4%-21.1%7.9%11.2%-4.8%1.7%
3M Excs Rtn-17.7%4.2%-24.4%17.8%48.2%-14.8%-5.3%
6M Excs Rtn-39.8%1.7%-56.0%-24.1%91.9%-25.9%-25.0%
12M Excs Rtn-49.5%13.1%-45.4%-1.1%50.6%-27.8%-14.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-124.8%-62.3%-100.3%64.6%-93.6%-94.8%-94.2%

Comparison Analyses

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Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Non-Athletics543593590650594
Athletics528538517537660
Accessories5865636967
Other66679
Total1,1351,2031,1761,2621,330


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$13.06 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.4 
First Trading Date03/16/1993 
Distance from 52W High-36.4% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$13.86$16.29
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-5.8%-19.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility46.4%46.3%
Downside Capture143.80130.67
Upside Capture53.9259.23
Correlation (SPY)23.3%30.3%
SHOE Betas & Captures as of 9/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.951.210.801.211.081.22
Up Beta-1.910.97-0.360.570.521.20
Down Beta5.045.053.382.291.971.33
Up Capture185%23%26%69%47%79%
Bmk +ve Days6162766132424
Stock +ve Days11223462123353
Down Capture249%195%115%154%121%108%
Bmk -ve Days16263760120328
Stock -ve Days11203064129398

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SHOE
SHOE-33.2%46.3%-0.73-
Sector ETF (XLY)-4.7%19.4%-0.3741.0%
Equity (SPY)16.7%13.0%0.9130.2%
Gold (GLD)3.4%29.6%0.1113.6%
Commodities (DBC)45.0%20.9%1.67-19.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.8%13.7%-0.0529.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-31.7%44.2%-0.7316.1%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SHOE
SHOE-14.7%47.6%-0.18-
Sector ETF (XLY)5.3%24.1%0.1849.4%
Equity (SPY)14.0%17.1%0.6344.6%
Gold (GLD)18.2%18.9%0.783.8%
Commodities (DBC)10.3%19.6%0.406.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.3%18.8%-0.0436.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)13.7%52.2%0.4318.4%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SHOE
SHOE1.7%53.7%0.24-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.0%22.2%0.4948.5%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7344.8%
Gold (GLD)11.6%16.4%0.581.5%
Commodities (DBC)8.3%18.1%0.3715.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.2%20.7%0.1640.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.6%66.2%1.0310.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 831202623.9%
Average Daily Volume1.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.4 days

Earnings Returns History

Updated 9/21/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
9/10/2026-5.0%0.0% 
5/21/20269.5%11.6%0.8%
3/26/2026-8.1%-11.1%5.8%
11/20/2025-6.0%0.3%10.2%
9/4/202520.3%10.7%0.4%
5/30/20254.2%5.1%1.5%
3/20/2025-0.9%-3.0%-23.2%
11/21/20241.1%0.4%3.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive152017
# Negative1168
Median Positive6.0%5.4%5.8%
Median Negative-6.0%-7.6%-12.5%
Max Positive20.3%14.7%21.2%
Max Negative-16.5%-22.1%-23.2%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
9/10/2026-5.0%0.0% 
5/21/20269.5%11.6%0.8%
3/26/2026-8.1%-11.1%5.8%
11/20/2025-6.0%0.3%10.2%
9/4/202520.3%10.7%0.4%
5/30/20254.2%5.1%1.5%
3/20/2025-0.9%-3.0%-23.2%
11/21/20241.1%0.4%3.5%
9/5/20248.2%5.9%7.9%
5/23/20245.5%10.8%10.8%
3/21/20248.2%8.4%1.0%
11/16/2023-8.6%-2.2%21.2%
8/29/20230.5%1.2%7.4%
5/24/2023-6.3%-10.0%2.8%
3/22/20236.7%7.8%7.3%
11/16/2022-1.0%7.8%-10.9%
8/25/202211.0%5.3%-7.7%
5/18/2022-16.5%-22.1%-20.7%
3/16/20229.7%1.3%-0.4%
11/17/2021-0.2%0.2%-15.0%
8/25/2021-6.4%-5.1%-14.2%
5/19/20211.7%10.8%0.5%
3/24/20216.0%14.7%18.4%
2/5/20215.2%4.3%12.1%
11/18/20202.1%5.6%1.7%
9/1/2020-0.4%1.6%-7.1%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive152017
# Negative1168
Median Positive6.0%5.4%5.8%
Median Negative-6.0%-7.6%-12.5%
Max Positive20.3%14.7%21.2%
Max Negative-16.5%-22.1%-23.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
07/31/202609/10/202610-Q
04/30/202606/05/202610-Q
01/31/202603/26/202610-K
10/31/202512/05/202510-Q
07/31/202509/05/202510-Q
04/30/202506/06/202510-Q
01/31/202503/21/202510-K
10/31/202412/06/202410-Q
07/31/202409/06/202410-Q
04/30/202406/07/202410-Q
01/31/202403/22/202410-K
10/31/202312/01/202310-Q
07/31/202309/01/202310-Q
04/30/202306/02/202310-Q
01/31/202303/24/202310-K
10/31/202212/02/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
07/31/202609/10/202610-Q
04/30/202606/05/202610-Q
01/31/202603/26/202610-K
10/31/202512/05/202510-Q
07/31/202509/05/202510-Q
04/30/202506/06/202510-Q
01/31/202503/21/202510-K
10/31/202412/06/202410-Q
07/31/202409/06/202410-Q
04/30/202406/07/202410-Q
01/31/202403/22/202410-K
10/31/202312/01/202310-Q
07/31/202309/01/202310-Q
04/30/202306/02/202310-Q
01/31/202303/24/202310-K
10/31/202212/02/202210-Q
07/31/202208/31/202210-Q
04/30/202206/03/202210-Q
01/31/202203/25/202210-K
10/31/202111/29/202110-Q
07/31/202109/03/202110-Q
04/30/202106/04/202110-Q
01/31/202103/26/202110-K
10/31/202012/04/202010-Q
07/31/202009/04/202010-Q
04/30/202006/04/202010-Q
01/31/202003/31/202010-K
10/31/201912/05/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 10/8/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 9/10/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Comparable Store Sales GrowthReported-1.0%0.0%1.0%   
2026 Net SalesReported1.10 Bil1.11 Bil1.11 Bil-2.7% LoweredGuidance: 1.14 Bil for 2026
2026 Net Sales GrowthReported-3.0%-2.5%-2.0%   
2026 Gross ProfitCalculated357.50 Mil360.39 Mil363.30 Mil  Rev x Gross Margin
2026 Gross Profit MarginReported32.5%32.6%32.7% -1.4%LoweredGuidance: 34.0% for 2026
2026 GAAP Tax RateReported 37.0%    
2026 Adjusted Tax RateReported 27.0%  1.0%RaisedGuidance: 26.0% for 2026
2026 GAAP Diluted EPSReported0.320.40.47   
2026 Adjusted Diluted EPSReported0.750.830.9-45.0% LoweredGuidance: 1.5 for 2026


Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/21/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Inventory DeclineReported50.00 Mil57.50 Mil65.00 Mil   
2026 Net SalesReported1.12 Bil1.14 Bil1.15 Bil   
2026 Gross ProfitCalculated382.50 Mil386.24 Mil389.98 Mil  Rev x Gross Margin
2026 Gross Profit MarginReported 34.0%  0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 34.0% for 2026
2026 Adjusted SG&A ReductionReported12.00 Mil13.00 Mil14.00 Mil0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 13.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Adjusted Tax RateReported 26.0%    
2026 Adjusted EPSReported1.41.51.60.0% AffirmedGuidance: 1.5 for 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/26/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Net Sales GrowthReported-1.0%0.0%    
2026 Gross Profit MarginReported 34.0%    
2026 Adjusted SG&A expenses decreaseReported12.00 Mil13.00 Mil    
2026 Adjusted EPSReported1.41.5 -23.1% Lower NewActual: 1.95 for 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/20/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 EPSReported1.81.952.12.6% RaisedGuidance: 1.9 for 2025
2026 Rebanner InvestmentReported25.00 Mil27.50 Mil30.00 Mil   
2026 Inventory ReductionReported50.00 Mil55.00 Mil60.00 Mil   
2026 Capital ExpendituresReported25.00 Mil30.00 Mil35.00 Mil   

Insider Activity

Updated 10/6/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Jackson, W KerryEVP - CFODirectBuy406202616.1331,000500,0303,476,483Form
2Guthrie, Andrea R DirectSell1016202520.202,47750,048493,103Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Jackson, W KerryEVP - CFODirectBuy406202616.1331,000500,0303,476,483Form
2Guthrie, Andrea R DirectSell1016202520.202,47750,048493,103Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 10/8/2026