Tearsheet

Cavco Industries (CVCO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $599.53 | Market Cap: $4.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding

Cavco Industries (CVCO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $599.53
Market Cap: $4.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Homebuilding

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.6%, Dist 3Y High is -1.6%
Key risks
CVCO key risks include [1] legal and regulatory scrutiny from antitrust concerns, Show more.
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Green Building Materials, Energy Efficient Building Materials, Show more.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Green Building Materials, Energy Efficient Building Materials, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.6%, Dist 3Y High is -1.6%
4 Key risks
CVCO key risks include [1] legal and regulatory scrutiny from antitrust concerns, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CVCO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the stock movement of Cavco Industries (CVCO) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Completion of American Homestar Acquisition: Cavco Industries announced the completion of its acquisition of American Homestar on September 30, 2025. This strategic move, which was previously announced on July 14, 2025, aimed to expand Cavco's presence in key manufactured housing markets and was funded by existing cash, signaling a strengthening of its market position. Acquisitions of this nature often lead to increased investor confidence and can contribute to stock appreciation.

2. Positive Earnings Performance and Forecasts: Cavco Industries released its second-quarter earnings for the period ending September 27, 2025, on October 30, 2025, followed by a live webcast on October 31, 2025. Historically, Cavco's earnings and revenue have surpassed estimations, for example, achieving $6.55 earnings per share against an estimated $6.09. Strong financial performance and analyst forecasts for future earnings growth, projected at 13.18% in the coming year, typically act as significant drivers for upward stock movement.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CVCO Return-10%81%-29%53%29%33%204%
Peers Return14%75%-24%69%2%-1%159%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CVCO Win Rate50%83%33%58%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate63%73%40%58%55%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CVCO Max Drawdown-45%-1%-42%0%-12%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown-51%-5%-44%-1%-11%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SKY, LEGH, DHI, LEN, PHM. See CVCO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCVCOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-43.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven546 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-53.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven115.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven367 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-55.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven124.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven873 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-52.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven109.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven409 days1,480 days

Compare to MHO, GRBK, TPH, CCS, DHI


In The Past

Cavco Industries's stock fell -43.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/7/2021. A -43.2% loss requires a 76.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Cavco Industries (CVCO)

Better Bets than Cavco Industries (CVCO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CVCO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Cavco Industries

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CVCOSKYLEGHDHILENPHMMedian
NameCavco In.Champion.Legacy H.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro. 
Mkt Price599.1186.0320.46152.00112.23122.80117.52
Mkt Cap4.74.80.545.028.724.114.5
Rev LTM2,1442,62518034,25034,76617,62310,124
Op Inc LTM225268544,4243,4703,3951,832
FCF LTM180204183,284-7131,552192
FCF 3Y Avg18720253,1542,7831,8751,038
CFO LTM210248263,421-5681,668229
CFO 3Y Avg210251133,3052,9181,9831,117

Growth & Margins

CVCOSKYLEGHDHILENPHMMedian
NameCavco In.Champion.Legacy H.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro. 
Rev Chg LTM15.8%12.1%10.2%-6.9%-4.7%1.8%6.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.2%1.0%-6.7%0.9%3.0%5.4%1.1%
Rev Chg Q9.7%11.0%-8.6%-3.2%-6.4%-1.6%-2.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.3%2.6%-2.1%-0.9%-1.7%-0.4%-0.7%
Op Mgn LTM10.5%10.2%29.7%12.9%10.0%19.3%11.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.5%10.8%32.8%15.4%13.6%20.6%14.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%0.0%-2.4%-1.2%-1.5%-0.7%-0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM9.8%9.4%14.4%10.0%-1.6%9.5%9.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.7%11.0%7.7%9.4%8.4%11.6%10.0%
FCF/Rev LTM8.4%7.8%10.2%9.6%-2.1%8.8%8.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.5%8.8%3.5%8.9%8.0%10.9%8.9%

Valuation

CVCOSKYLEGHDHILENPHMMedian
NameCavco In.Champion.Legacy H.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro. 
Mkt Cap4.74.80.545.028.724.114.5
P/S2.11.63.61.30.91.51.6
P/EBIT18.714.611.210.29.37.610.7
P/E23.319.513.612.512.09.913.1
P/CFO21.817.425.213.1-56.715.616.5
Total Yield4.3%5.1%7.3%9.1%10.0%10.8%8.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%1.1%1.6%0.7%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.1%4.7%0.5%7.1%7.3%9.2%6.6%
D/E0.00.00.00.10.20.10.1
Net D/E-0.1-0.1-0.00.10.10.0-0.0

Returns

CVCOSKYLEGHDHILENPHMMedian
NameCavco In.Champion.Legacy H.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro. 
1M Rtn9.7%10.0%6.7%10.3%-1.6%8.1%8.9%
3M Rtn8.8%12.5%-24.9%-10.3%-15.2%-8.2%-9.3%
6M Rtn49.6%42.1%-5.3%26.0%9.5%24.3%25.2%
12M Rtn26.6%-14.8%-17.8%4.8%-24.6%6.8%-5.0%
3Y Rtn162.3%62.0%9.4%75.1%27.1%171.6%68.6%
1M Excs Rtn8.9%9.2%5.9%9.6%-2.4%7.3%8.1%
3M Excs Rtn4.9%11.4%-28.0%-11.5%-16.5%-9.6%-10.5%
6M Excs Rtn37.2%29.7%-17.7%13.7%-2.9%11.9%12.8%
12M Excs Rtn12.5%-29.4%-30.6%-8.5%-37.1%-6.4%-18.9%
3Y Excs Rtn75.4%-9.5%-54.9%13.1%-36.8%113.2%1.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil2025202420232022
Factory-built housing1,1411,108930712
Financial services213200225240
Total1,3541,3081,155952


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity381,313
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520257.9%
Average Daily Volume114,491
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.33
Basic Shares Quantity7,909,326
Short % of Basic Shares4.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/31/20251.1%8.8%10.7%
7/31/20254.7%11.8%31.4%
8/2/2024-5.0%-3.9%3.7%
5/24/20240.3%1.8%-1.9%
2/1/20241.7%5.0%9.0%
11/2/20235.7%-1.6%16.5%
8/3/20234.0%4.1%2.0%
5/18/2023-6.1%-7.7%-7.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141412
# Negative557
Median Positive3.3%8.8%9.9%
Median Negative-3.3%-3.9%-7.7%
Max Positive7.3%15.7%31.4%
Max Negative-6.1%-7.7%-12.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025804202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025523202510-K 3/29/2025
12312024131202510-Q 12/28/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024524202410-K 3/30/2024
12312023202202410-Q 12/30/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023519202310-K 4/1/2023
12312022203202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022805202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022531202210-K 4/2/2022
12312021207202210-Q 1/1/2022

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0KERLEY RICHARD A 11112025Sell568.99500284,4953,794,594Form