J.Jill (JILL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $16.75 | Market Cap: $255.5 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail
J.Jill (JILL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $16.75Market Cap: $255.5 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel Retail
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 19%, Dividend Yield is 2.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14%, FCF Yield is 15% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -93%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -105% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 79% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -46% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.8% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% | Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 15.22 | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 19%, Dividend Yield is 2.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14%, FCF Yield is 15% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -46% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -93%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -105% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 79% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.8% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 15.22 |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
JILL Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points that could explain the stock movement for J.Jill (JILL) during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. J.Jill announced its Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 financial results on September 3, 2025. Net sales for the quarter decreased by 0.8% to $154.0 million compared to the prior year, and total company comparable sales decreased by 1.0%. However, net income per diluted share increased to $0.69 compared to $0.54 in the second quarter of fiscal 2024. The company also provided a cautious outlook for the third quarter of fiscal 2025, expecting net sales to be flat to down low-single digits and comparable sales to be down low to mid-single digits, partly due to an estimated $5.0 million impact from tariffs.
2. The company declared multiple quarterly cash dividends during this period. J.Jill announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.08 per share on August 27, 2025, payable on October 1, 2025. Subsequently, on December 3, 2025, another quarterly cash dividend of $0.08 per share was declared, payable on January 7, 2026. These consistent dividend declarations demonstrate a commitment to returning value to shareholders.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| JILL Return | -34% | 414% | 29% | 4% | 8% | -42% | 185% |
| Peers Return | 14% | 38% | -39% | 4% | 24% | 21% | 49% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| JILL Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 58% | 50% | 58% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 57% | 33% | 48% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| JILL Max Drawdown | -73% | -7% | -29% | -24% | -10% | -51% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -62% | -2% | -57% | -27% | -21% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TPR, RL, UA, CTRN, UFI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | JILL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -44.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 79.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 253 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -77.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 351.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 347 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -93.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1394.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to TPR, RL, UA, CTRN, UFI
In The Past
J.Jill's stock fell -44.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/2/2021. A -44.3% loss requires a 79.6% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to JILL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for J.Jill
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 30.28 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.1 |
| Rev LTM | 2,916 |
| Op Inc LTM | 49 |
| FCF LTM | 12 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 21 |
| CFO LTM | 70 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 71 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 0.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -1.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 5.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.1 |
| P/S | 0.4 |
| P/EBIT | 10.4 |
| P/E | 1.2 |
| P/CFO | 18.5 |
| Total Yield | -0.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.2% |
| D/E | 0.9 |
| Net D/E | 0.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 4.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 19.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 9.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 5.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 7.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 4.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -3.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -44.7% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 9032025 | 10-Q 8/2/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6112025 | 10-Q 5/3/2025 |
| 1312025 | 4012025 | 10-K 2/1/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12112024 | 10-Q 11/2/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9042024 | 10-Q 8/3/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6072024 | 10-Q 5/4/2024 |
| 1312024 | 4042024 | 10-K 2/3/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12052023 | 10-Q 10/28/2023 |
| 7312023 | 8312023 | 10-Q 7/29/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6072023 | 10-Q 4/29/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3302023 | 10-K 1/28/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12062022 | 10-Q 10/29/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9012022 | 10-Q 7/30/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6082022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 4132022 | 10-K 1/29/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12142021 | 10-Q 10/30/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Spofford Claire | President & CEO | 2142025 | Sell | 25.06 | 6,031 | 151,137 | 2,786,013 | Form |
| 1 | Spofford Claire | President & CEO | 2122025 | Sell | 25.45 | 5,000 | 127,250 | 3,110,110 | Form |
| 2 | Spofford Claire | President & CEO | 1172025 | Sell | 26.57 | 5,000 | 132,850 | 3,512,679 | Form |
| 3 | Spofford Claire | President & CEO | 1152025 | Sell | 25.94 | 2,684 | 69,623 | 3,748,867 | Form |
| 4 | Spofford Claire | President & CEO | 12182024 | Sell | 26.98 | 5,000 | 134,900 | 4,095,887 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |