Laureate Education (LAUR)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $33.87 | Market Cap: $5.0 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Education Services
Laureate Education (LAUR)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $33.87Market Cap: $5.0 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Education Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | Key risksLAUR key risks include [1] its significant exposure to regulatory, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Education. Themes include Digital Learning Platforms, Workforce Skills Development, and Global Education Access. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Education. Themes include Digital Learning Platforms, Workforce Skills Development, and Global Education Access. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Key risksLAUR key risks include [1] its significant exposure to regulatory, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
LAUR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the 23.1% stock movement for Laureate Education (LAUR) in the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 21, 2025:
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results.
Laureate Education reported robust financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, on October 30, 2025. The company announced a 9% increase in reported revenue to $400.2 million compared to the third quarter of 2024, with organic constant currency revenue increasing by 4%. Additionally, adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter of 2025 rose to $94.8 million, up from $91.4 million in the same period of the prior year.
2. Raised Full-Year 2025 Financial Guidance.
Accompanying the strong third-quarter results, Laureate Education also raised its full-year 2025 financial guidance. The company now expects total enrollments to be approximately 494,000 students, representing a 5% growth over 2024. Revenue is projected to be in the range of $1.681 billion to $1.686 billion, reflecting a 7-8% growth on an as-reported basis, and adjusted EBITDA is anticipated to be between $508 million and $512 million, indicating a 13-14% growth compared to 2024.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LAUR Return | � | � | -17% | 50% | 33% | 83% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LAUR Win Rate | � | 100% | 42% | 67% | 58% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LAUR Max Drawdown | � | � | -19% | -0% | -9% | -1% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GHC, LRN, STRA, FCHL, GV. See LAUR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LAUR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -30.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 228 days | 464 days |
Compare to GHC, LRN, STRA, FCHL, GV
In The Past
Laureate Education's stock fell -30.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/27/2022. A -30.0% loss requires a 42.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LAUR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.7% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.8% | 5.8% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.6% | 3.6% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.4% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.9% | 11.9% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.7% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.8% | 5.8% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.6% | 3.6% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.4% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.9% | 11.9% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Laureate Education
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 49.95 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.8 |
| Rev LTM | 2,030 |
| Op Inc LTM | 331 |
| FCF LTM | 276 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 208 |
| CFO LTM | 346 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 274 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 16.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.8 |
| P/S | 1.3 |
| P/EBIT | 8.4 |
| P/E | 12.5 |
| P/CFO | 10.7 |
| Total Yield | 10.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.7% |
| 3M Rtn | -20.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -5.3% |
| 12M Rtn | -10.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 90.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -26.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -19.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -30.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 16.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | 10.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% |
| 7/31/2025 | -1.0% | 7.2% | 20.7% |
| 5/1/2025 | 2.8% | 14.0% | 12.1% |
| 2/20/2025 | 4.2% | -2.1% | -3.6% |
| 10/31/2024 | 10.4% | 16.8% | 22.1% |
| 8/1/2024 | -1.4% | -8.3% | -1.7% |
| 5/2/2024 | -2.5% | 11.9% | 7.3% |
| 2/22/2024 | 0.3% | 2.2% | 7.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 10 | 11 |
| # Negative | 14 | 15 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 4.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% |
| Median Negative | -1.4% | -1.6% | -3.3% |
| Max Positive | 15.5% | 16.8% | 22.1% |
| Max Negative | -8.5% | -8.3% | -9.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |