CAE (CAE)


Market Price (10/9/2026): $23.155 | Market Cap: $7.2 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

CAE (CAE)


Market Price (10/9/2026): $23.155
Market Cap: $7.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%

Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 9.6%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Aviation Simulation & Training, Advanced Air Mobility, and Drone Technology.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -10%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -82%

Key risks
CAE key risks include [1] significant margin pressure from a portfolio of fixed-price "Legacy" defense contracts that lack cost escalation provisions and [2] a high debt load that is increasingly expensive to service amid interest rate volatility.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 9.6%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Aviation Simulation & Training, Advanced Air Mobility, and Drone Technology.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -10%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -82%
5 Key risks
CAE key risks include [1] significant margin pressure from a portfolio of fixed-price "Legacy" defense contracts that lack cost escalation provisions and [2] a high debt load that is increasingly expensive to service amid interest rate volatility.

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 10/1/2026

CAE (CAE) stock has lost about 10% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Decline in Reported Profitability due to Restructuring Costs.

In fiscal Q1 2027, which ended June 30, 2026, CAE's reported GAAP earnings per share (EPS) significantly decreased to $0.10, down from $0.18 in the prior year. This decline was primarily driven by $48.3 million in restructuring and related transformation costs. Despite adjusted EPS remaining flat at $0.26, the substantial reported decline likely negatively impacted investor sentiment.

2. Weakness and Uncertainty in the Civil Aviation Segment.

The Civil Aviation segment experienced a 13.7% decrease in adjusted segment operating income during fiscal Q1 2027, with margins contracting to 16.5% from 20.2% in fiscal Q1 2026. This reduction was attributed to higher selling, general, and administrative expenses, lower simulator contributions, and impacts from the Middle East conflict. Furthermore, management's fiscal 2027 outlook projected Civil revenue to be flat to slightly down, contributing to investor uncertainty.

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Updated on 10/1/2026

CAE (CAE) stock has lost about 10% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Decline in Reported Profitability due to Restructuring Costs.

In fiscal Q1 2027, which ended June 30, 2026, CAE's reported GAAP earnings per share (EPS) significantly decreased to $0.10, down from $0.18 in the prior year. This decline was primarily driven by $48.3 million in restructuring and related transformation costs. Despite adjusted EPS remaining flat at $0.26, the substantial reported decline likely negatively impacted investor sentiment.

2. Weakness and Uncertainty in the Civil Aviation Segment.

The Civil Aviation segment experienced a 13.7% decrease in adjusted segment operating income during fiscal Q1 2027, with margins contracting to 16.5% from 20.2% in fiscal Q1 2026. This reduction was attributed to higher selling, general, and administrative expenses, lower simulator contributions, and impacts from the Middle East conflict. Furthermore, management's fiscal 2027 outlook projected Civil revenue to be flat to slightly down, contributing to investor uncertainty.

3. Analyst Downgrades and Price Target Reductions.

During the period, some financial analysts adjusted their ratings and price targets for CAE, reflecting a more cautious outlook. For instance, Bank of America lowered its price target to C$38.00 from C$45.00 on August 27, 2026. Similarly, Morgan Stanley downgraded CAE from an "equal weight" rating to "underweight" and reduced its price target from C$43.00 to C$37.00 on July 15, 2026.

4. Concerns Regarding Debt Levels.

Analysts have identified CAE's high level of debt, noted as a 48% net debt to equity ratio, as a minor risk factor for the company. While CAE reported a significant improvement in free cash flow, swinging to $104.0 million from a negative $134.7 million year-over-year in fiscal Q1 2027, the overall debt level continues to be a point of consideration for investors regarding financial flexibility.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -7.6% change in CAE stock from 6/30/2026 to 10/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -9.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)630202610082026Change
Stock Price ($)25.0623.15-7.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,9144,9891.5%
Net Income Margin (%)6.4%5.8%-9.7%
P/E Multiple26.025.0-3.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3243104.6%
Cumulative Contribution-7.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2026 to 10/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CAE-7.6% 
Market (SPY)3.6%33.6%
Sector (XLI)-9.1%49.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -11.1% change in CAE stock from 3/31/2026 to 10/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -25.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)331202610082026Change
Stock Price ($)26.0523.15-11.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,8634,9892.6%
Net Income Margin (%)7.7%5.8%-25.6%
P/E Multiple22.225.012.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3203103.3%
Cumulative Contribution-11.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 10/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CAE-11.1% 
Market (SPY)19.3%18.6%
Sector (XLI)4.4%25.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -21.9% change in CAE stock from 9/30/2025 to 10/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -34.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)930202510082026Change
Stock Price ($)29.6423.15-21.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,7344,9895.4%
Net Income Margin (%)8.7%5.8%-34.3%
P/E Multiple22.725.010.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3183102.5%
Cumulative Contribution-21.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 10/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CAE-21.9% 
Market (SPY)17.1%36.8%
Sector (XLI)10.1%39.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -0.9% change in CAE stock from 9/30/2023 to 10/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -16.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)930202310082026Change
Stock Price ($)23.3523.15-0.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,1724,98919.6%
Net Income Margin (%)6.9%5.8%-16.2%
P/E Multiple25.925.0-3.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3183102.6%
Cumulative Contribution-0.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2023 to 10/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CAE-0.9% 
Market (SPY)87.3%45.4%
Sector (XLI)72.7%46.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
CAE Return-9%-23%12%18%20%-24%-17%
Peers Return9%-4%29%1%54%-18%72%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CAE Win Rate50%50%50%33%58%30% 
Peers Win Rate50%47%53%57%58%32% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CAE Max Drawdown-32%-45%-22%-25%-21%-32% 
Peers Max Drawdown-23%-35%-21%-26%-24%-37% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: LHX, LMT, BA, TXT, KTOS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/8/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventCAES&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-18.7%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven23.0%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven30 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-13.0%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven15.0%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven56 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-12.9%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven14.9%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven356 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-40.5%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven68.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven868 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-67.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven203.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven347 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-13.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven15.4%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven32 days105 days

Compare to LHX, LMT, BA, TXT, KTOS

In The Past

CAE's stock fell -18.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 23.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventCAES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-40.5%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven68.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven868 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-67.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven203.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven347 days140 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-33.3%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven50.0%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven808 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-67.5%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven207.8%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven827 days1085 days

Compare to LHX, LMT, BA, TXT, KTOS

In The Past

CAE's stock fell -18.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 23.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About CAE (CAE)

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CAE Inc. (symbol: CAE) is a global technology company specializing in the design, manufacture, and supply of high-fidelity simulation equipment and comprehensive training solutions. The company operates across three main segments: Civil Aviation Training Solutions, Defence and Security, and Healthcare. Essentially, CAE helps train professionals to operate complex machinery and perform critical tasks safely and effectively in various high-stakes environments.

In its Civil Aviation Training Solutions segment, CAE is a leading provider of training for pilots, cabin crews, maintenance technicians, and ground personnel for commercial airlines, business jet operators, and helicopter companies. This includes manufacturing advanced flight simulation training devices, offering initial pilot training programs, and providing digitally-enabled crew management and optimization software. Concurrently, the Defence and Security segment delivers specialized training and mission support solutions for global defense forces across multiple domains, as well as for government organizations responsible for public safety.

CAE's Healthcare segment offers integrated education and training solutions, which feature cutting-edge surgical and imaging simulations, patient simulators, curriculum development, and center management platforms. These tools are utilized by healthcare students and clinical professionals worldwide to enhance their skills. The company also invests in future technologies, evident in its partnership to develop pilot training programs for electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) operations, underscoring its commitment to innovation in the simulation and training industry.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for CAE:

  • CAE is like the Boeing or Airbus of flight simulators and pilot training, equipping global airlines and defense forces with advanced training infrastructure.
  • CAE is like the Peloton for pilots, soldiers, and surgeons, providing both the high-tech simulation equipment and comprehensive training programs for critical professions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Flight Simulation Training Devices: Equipment designed for realistic flight, cabin, maintenance, and ground personnel training across various aviation sectors.
  • Civil Aviation Training Solutions: Comprehensive training programs for flight, cabin, maintenance, and ground personnel, including ab initio pilot training and crew sourcing services.
  • Crew Management and Optimization Software: Digitally-enabled solutions for managing crew, training operations, and optimizing performance in civil aviation.
  • Defence and Security Training and Mission Support: Solutions provided to defense forces for multi-domain operations and to government organizations for public safety.
  • Healthcare Simulation and Training Solutions: Integrated education and training, including surgical and imaging simulations, patient simulators, curriculum, and center management platforms for healthcare professionals.
  • EVTOL Pilot Training Programs: Development and deployment of specialized pilot training programs for electric vertical takeoff and landing operations.

AI Analysis | Feedback

CAE (symbol: CAE) primarily sells its simulation equipment and training solutions to other companies and institutions. The provided company description does not list specific customer company names, but it clearly identifies the following major categories of customers:
  • Commercial airlines
  • Business aircraft operators
  • Helicopter operators
  • Aircraft manufacturers
  • Defense forces and government organizations responsible for public safety
  • Healthcare education and service providers (e.g., hospitals, universities, medical schools)

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Matthew Bromberg President and Chief Executive Officer

Matthew Bromberg was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of CAE Inc., effective August 13, 2025. He joined CAE on June 16, 2025, as incoming president and CEO. Bromberg is recognized as a leader with extensive experience in both the aerospace and defense sectors, including large-scale international operations. He is responsible for leading the company's strategic growth and ongoing evolution.

Ryan McLeod Chief Financial Officer

Ryan McLeod serves as the Chief Financial Officer for CAE Inc. In this capacity, he is responsible for leading CAE's global finance organization and plays a crucial role in driving the company's strategic growth and operational excellence.

Pascal Grenier President, Defense & Security

Pascal Grenier was appointed President, Defense & Security, on March 9, 2026. He oversees CAE's global defense portfolio and provides strategic oversight for the U.S. Defense & Security segment, aiming to enhance alignment and cohesion across CAE's global defense operations. Grenier has more than 25 years of experience at CAE, having built and led critical global operational functions such as Engineering, Manufacturing, Sourcing/Procurement, Quality Assurance, Innovation, IT, and Digital Solutions. Before this role, he was President, Flightscape, and previously served as Senior Vice President, Global Operations, Technologies & Innovation.

Juan Araujo Senior Vice President, Operations

Juan Araujo holds the position of Senior Vice President, Operations, at CAE Inc. He joined the company in January 2026, bringing over 25 years of international aerospace and industrial experience. Araujo has a proven track record of driving operational excellence across complex global businesses and is tasked with integrating various functional areas into a cohesive, end-to-end products team.

Alexandre Prevost President, Civil Aviation

Alexandre Prevost is the President of Civil Aviation for CAE Inc., a position he was appointed to in November 2025. A 17-year veteran of the company, Prevost most recently served as the Division President, Business Aviation Training. His background also includes leading Commercial Aviation Training for Asia Pacific, demonstrating a strong operational expertise.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to CAE Inc. are primarily related to operational challenges within its defense contracts, softening demand in its civil aviation segment, and its elevated debt levels.
  1. Operational Challenges and Profitability Issues from Fixed-Price Defense Contracts: CAE has faced significant financial headwinds, including substantial goodwill impairments and unfavorable contract adjustments, due to legacy fixed-price contracts within its Defence and Security segment. These contracts, often signed before the COVID-19 pandemic, did not account for subsequent cost escalations from inflation, supply chain disruptions, and labor issues, leading to reduced profit margins and operational execution risks. The company has undertaken measures to re-baseline this business segment.
  2. Softening Demand and Simulator Utilization Rates in the Civil Aviation Segment: While the Civil Aviation Training Solutions segment is CAE's largest, it has recently experienced softness in demand for pilot training and lower-than-targeted utilization rates for its full-flight simulators (FFS), such as a 71% utilization rate falling short of an estimated 75.6%. A sustained downturn in air travel, airline profitability, or pilot training demand could directly impact this significant revenue stream.
  3. High Debt Levels and Exposure to Interest Rate Volatility: CAE carries a notable debt load, with a net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio of 2.77x in fiscal year 2025, and aims to reduce it to 2.5x. High-interest rate environments make the deleveraging process more costly and can impact the company's financial flexibility and bottom line.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

CAE Inc. operates within several significant addressable markets globally. Here are the estimated market sizes for CAE's main products and services: * Civil Aviation Training Solutions: * The global pilot training market was valued at approximately USD 10.74 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to about USD 29.71 billion by 2034, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.73%. This market encompasses theoretical instruction, practical flight training, and simulator-based exercises. * The global flight simulator market, a core component of aviation training, was valued at approximately USD 5.8 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach around USD 9.5 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 5.1% from 2025 to 2034. North America dominated this market with the largest share in 2024. CAE's own forecast indicates a need for 300,000 new pilots, 416,000 aircraft maintenance technicians, and 678,000 cabin crew globally by 2034. * Defence and Security: * The global military simulation and training market was valued at approximately USD 13.58 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to exceed USD 21.94 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 4.91%. Another estimate places the market at USD 14.64 billion in 2025, projected to reach USD 23.45 billion by 2034 with a CAGR of 5.38%. North America held the largest share in this market, with the flight simulation segment accounting for a significant portion in 2023. * Healthcare: * The global healthcare simulation market reached approximately USD 2.8 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 7.5 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 11.21% during 2025-2033. This market includes integrated education and training solutions, such as surgical and imaging simulations, and patient simulators. North America is a significant contributor to this market's growth, while the Asia-Pacific market is expected to show the highest CAGR.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Growth in Civil Aviation Training Solutions: CAE is positioned for continued revenue growth in its Civil Aviation segment, supported by a long-term positive market outlook for civil aviation, projected to grow by 4-5%. The company has a record adjusted backlog of $6.1 billion in this segment, and strategic expansions, such as the increased stake in SIMCOM Aviation Training, are expected to further boost recurring revenue streams.
  • Strong Performance and New Contract Wins in Defense and Security: The Defense and Security segment is a significant driver of future revenue, demonstrating strong year-over-year growth. Management anticipates more than 20% growth in adjusted segment operating income for fiscal 2026, with a long-term target of 10-11% margins. A robust book-to-sales ratio of 1.99x for FY2025 indicates substantial new business bookings, and the retirement of legacy fixed-price contracts is expected to enhance profitability and allow for a focus on higher-margin opportunities.
  • Expansion into Emerging Aviation Technologies (eVTOL): CAE is actively pursuing growth in new and emerging aviation markets through strategic partnerships. Its collaboration with Volocopter GmbH to develop pilot training programs for electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) operations positions the company to capture revenue from this innovative and evolving sector.
  • Leveraging a Substantial and Recurring Backlog: The company benefits from a considerable adjusted backlog, which stood at $11.7 billion as of Q3 FY2024 and C$19.19 billion more recently. With approximately 60% of its annual revenue derived from recurring training services, this extensive backlog provides strong revenue visibility and a stable foundation for consistent future growth as existing contracts are fulfilled and new ones are secured.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • CAE announced the renewal of its Normal Course Issuer Bid (NCIB) to repurchase and cancel up to 16,019,294 common shares, representing approximately 5% of its outstanding shares, from June 10, 2025, to June 9, 2026.
  • Under the previous NCIB, which concluded in May 2025, CAE repurchased a total of 856,230 common shares for a total consideration of $21.3 million, at a volume weighted average price of $24.85 per common share.
  • Between October 1, 2025, and December 31, 2025, CAE repurchased 44,100 shares for CAD 1.6 million under the NCIB announced on June 6, 2025.

Share Issuance

  • In March 2021, CAE completed a marketed public offering, issuing a total of 10,454,545 common shares at a price of US$27.50 per share, generating gross proceeds of approximately US$287 million (CAD$360 million).
  • The net proceeds from this offering were primarily intended to finance a portion of the purchase price for the acquisition of L3Harris Technologies' Military Training business.
  • CAE also completed private placements totaling C$700 million (approximately US$550 million) in subscription receipts to two institutional investors to fund the L3Harris acquisition.

Inbound Investments

  • As part of the funding for the L3Harris Military Training business acquisition in March 2021, the Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec (CDPQ) and Singapore-based sovereign wealth fund GIC Private Ltd. made a combined private placement of US$550 million in CAE.
  • CDPQ's investment of $475 million made it CAE's largest shareholder.

Outbound Investments

  • In March 2021, CAE announced and later completed in July 2021, the acquisition of L3Harris Technologies' Military Training business for US$1.05 billion.
  • In October 2021, CAE agreed to acquire Sabre Corporation's AirCentre airline operations portfolio for approximately $484.5 million, aimed at expanding CAE's digitally enabled flight and crew operations solutions.
  • CAE acquired Global Jet Services, a provider of business aviation maintenance training services, in August 2021.

Capital Expenditures

  • CAE's capital expenditures were $127 million in fiscal year 2021, $284 million in fiscal year 2022, $288 million in fiscal year 2023, $147 million in fiscal year 2024, and $295 million in fiscal year 2025.
  • For fiscal year 2026, CAE expects total capital expenditures to be more than 10% lower than in fiscal 2025, primarily driven by an approximate 30% reduction in Civil capital expenditures.
  • A significant portion of the capital expenditures for fiscal year 2026 is allocated to a large U.S. defense contract and organic growth investments in simulator deployments across CAE's global training network.

Better Bets vs. CAE (CAE)

Peer Outperformance in Aerospace & Defense

CAE has trailed 77% of its 53 Aerospace & Defense peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it are ATI, DCO and RTX. Aerospace & Defense ranks 4th of 23 industries in Industrials by median 5Y return.
Share of Aerospace & Defense constituents that CAE has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
50%
of 70 industry peers · -19.0% return
3Y
27%
of 60 industry peers · -0.6% return
5Y
23%
of 53 industry peers · -23.5% return
Aerospace & Defense peers with revenue growth within 4pp of CAE's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
CAE CAE 6.2% 25.0x -19.0%-0.6%-23.5% —
ATI ATI 4.6% 53.9x 124.2%370.7%1009.9% +1,033pp
DCO Ducommun 5.1% -84.6x 72.7%274.0%228.6% +252pp
RTX RTX 10.0% 32.2x 11.0%168.1%126.5% +150pp
LMT Lockheed Martin 4.6% 18.6x 1.4%26.0%64.1% +88pp
HXL Hexcel 5.1% 42.0x 30.9%30.3%43.1% +67pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Industrials sector, ranked by 5Y. Aerospace & Defense is CAE's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Construction & Engineering 31 0.6%121.3%191.4% FIX 2120% · STRL 2118% · CDNL 1828%
Marine Transportation 5 102.6%68.1%165.6% HOS 40058% · MATX 195% · KEX 166%
Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment 13 -3.9%42.7%93.9% CAT 345% · ALSN 230% · WAB 222%
Aerospace & Defense ← 54 -19.0%68.3%61.3% ATI 1010% · FTAI 848% · HWM 614%
Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components 72 8.3%42.0%45.7% PSIX 1160% · CRS 1131% · EROC 602%
Rail Transportation 7 22.1%58.9%43.8% FSTR 127% · CSX 55% · RAIL 46%
Trading Companies & Distributors 19 3.2%32.3%42.1% DXPE 467% · AIT 261% · URI 218%
Cargo Ground Transportation 16 30.1%1.3%31.9% XPO 282% · R 219% · CVLG 145%
Diversified Support Services 32 4.8%25.8%26.8% LIME 3310% · TH 364% · CXW 248%
Electrical Components & Equipment 39 -0.9%56.4%26.3% POWL 2269% · BE 1325% · VRT 992%
Building Products 33 -15.4%1.9%16.4% LMB 723% · GFF 340% · PPIH 261%
Industrial Conglomerates 17 6.8%2.2%-2.3% RCMT 575% · CSW 115% · DD 73%
Agricultural & Farm Machinery 17 6.0%-5.2%-7.2% BLBD 178% · DE 103% · GENC 62%
Environmental & Facilities Services 30 -37.6%17.9%-8.5% CECO 819% · ADUR 406% · NVRI 321%
Research & Consulting Services 13 -5.5%-26.5%-12.4% HURN 229% · CRAI 76% · GRNQ 30%
Passenger Ground Transportation 3 -24.8%46.8%-16.2% UBER 47% · CAR -16% · LYFT -71%
Security & Alarm Services 9 -43.0%33.6%-16.6% CIX 165% · MG 113% · BCO 70%
Data Processing & Outsourced Services 6 -31.1%-11.5%-23.6% EXLS 46% · BR 7% · G -22%
Office Services & Supplies 9 21.8%18.3%-24.8% PBI 184% · TILE 125% · HNI 47%
Passenger Airlines 11 9.0%21.7%-33.9% LTM 3351% · UAL 119% · DAL 96%
Air Freight & Logistics 12 -25.8%-27.6%-36.5% FDX 80% · EXPD 80% · CHRW 76%
Human Resource & Employment Services 22 8.2%-19.5%-41.3% BBSI 67% · ADP 47% · KFY 6%
Airport Services 3 -76.3%-78.7%-71.6% JOBY -37% · ASLE -72% · UP -100%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleDate
0DASHBOARDS 
1How Low Can CAE Stock Really Go?10/17/2025
2Fundamental Metrics: ...06/19/2024
Title
0ARTICLES

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CAELHXLMTBATXTKTOSMedian
NameCAE L3Harris.Lockheed.Boeing Textron Kratos D. 
Mkt Price23.30236.72507.75188.1572.2042.65130.18
Mkt Cap7.244.1116.9148.812.58.028.3
Rev LTM4,98922,93277,01493,99515,2991,52219,116
Op Inc LTM6302,3139,153-5,0981,02623828
FCF LTM6902,8088,729-219759-129724
FCF 3Y Avg4222,1526,336-4,822696-62559
CFO LTM9823,29210,4023,6391,236-402,264
CFO 3Y Avg8272,5948,080-2,1421,10712967

Growth & Margins

CAELHXLMTBATXTKTOSMedian
NameCAE L3Harris.Lockheed.Boeing Textron Kratos D. 
Rev Chg LTM5.4%7.3%7.2%24.8%8.8%25.5%8.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.2%8.6%4.6%9.0%5.2%16.6%7.4%
Rev Chg Q6.8%8.4%10.5%8.0%3.0%30.5%8.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.5%2.0%2.5%2.0%0.7%7.6%2.0%
Op Inc Chg LTM2.5%4.5%53.7%45.6%23.9%13.2%18.5%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg8.1%9.9%7.5%-108.6%5.9%109.1%7.8%
Op Mgn LTM12.6%10.1%11.9%-5.4%6.7%1.5%8.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.0%9.9%10.7%-6.8%6.8%2.3%8.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.0%0.2%2.0%0.5%-0.1%-0.4%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM19.7%14.4%13.5%3.9%8.1%-2.6%10.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg17.5%11.9%11.0%-3.2%7.7%1.4%9.3%
FCF/Rev LTM13.8%12.2%11.3%-0.2%5.0%-8.5%8.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.8%9.8%8.6%-6.4%4.8%-4.4%6.7%

Valuation

CAELHXLMTBATXTKTOSMedian
NameCAE L3Harris.Lockheed.Boeing Textron Kratos D. 
Mkt Cap7.244.1116.9148.812.58.028.3
P/S1.41.91.51.60.85.31.6
P/Op Inc11.519.112.8-29.212.2346.712.5
P/EBIT13.415.713.727.89.6205.714.7
P/E25.223.718.661.113.4260.324.4
P/CFO7.413.411.240.910.1-203.110.7
Total Yield4.0%6.3%8.1%1.6%7.5%0.4%5.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.1%2.7%0.0%0.1%0.0%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.4%4.4%5.6%-3.8%4.5%-0.7%4.4%
D/E0.40.20.20.30.30.00.3
Net D/E0.40.20.10.20.2-0.20.2

Returns

CAELHXLMTBATXTKTOSMedian
NameCAE L3Harris.Lockheed.Boeing Textron Kratos D. 
1M Rtn-4.0%-7.4%-5.3%-10.7%-9.2%-11.5%-8.3%
3M Rtn-9.8%-17.9%-1.4%-15.7%-20.1%-12.7%-14.2%
6M Rtn-15.3%-33.3%-17.6%-14.5%-21.0%-37.6%-19.3%
12M Rtn-18.5%-21.6%1.3%-16.5%-16.2%-59.6%-17.5%
3Y Rtn0.0%39.1%26.0%-0.2%-8.6%153.7%13.0%
1M Excs Rtn-4.9%-7.2%-4.9%-10.5%-11.3%-10.5%-8.8%
3M Excs Rtn-11.6%-20.7%-4.9%-17.9%-23.0%-14.0%-16.0%
6M Excs Rtn-29.2%-47.1%-31.4%-28.3%-34.6%-51.6%-33.0%
12M Excs Rtn-33.9%-35.8%-13.7%-30.9%-30.4%-74.8%-32.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-81.7%-35.4%-47.4%-84.2%-87.7%103.5%-64.5%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Civil Aviation2,7422,7092,4362,1661,618
Defense and Security2,1721,9991,8471,8441,602
Healthcare    151
Total4,9144,7084,2834,0113,371


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Civil Aviation438605442430224
Defense and Security174124-6273656
Healthcare    4
Total612729-185466284


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Civil Aviation6,8967,2636,1325,8525,270
Defense and Security3,0463,0012,8693,4363,163
Assets not included in assets employed by segment1,2059508331,148877
Healthcare    269
Total11,14811,2149,83410,4369,579


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$23.15 
Market Cap ($ Bil)7.2 
First Trading Date01/10/1996 
Distance from 52W High-32.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$24.93$27.13
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-7.2%-14.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility28.4%32.6%
Downside Capture153.48122.23
Upside Capture71.5276.82
Correlation (SPY)30.3%36.9%
CAE Betas & Captures as of 9/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.011.510.960.510.930.95
Up Beta2.761.400.470.880.910.86
Down Beta1.852.510.470.220.821.05
Up Capture202%111%106%23%68%64%
Bmk +ve Days6162766132424
Stock +ve Days10193057123390
Down Capture182%197%141%71%113%102%
Bmk -ve Days16263760120328
Stock -ve Days12233469129352

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CAE
CAE-18.8%32.5%-0.61-
Sector ETF (XLI)10.2%17.4%0.3939.5%
Equity (SPY)16.7%13.0%0.9137.0%
Gold (GLD)3.4%29.6%0.1120.5%
Commodities (DBC)45.0%20.9%1.67-20.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.8%13.7%-0.0528.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-31.7%44.2%-0.7330.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CAE
CAE-5.3%36.3%-0.07-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.1%17.6%0.5752.7%
Equity (SPY)14.0%17.1%0.6354.8%
Gold (GLD)18.2%18.9%0.7811.2%
Commodities (DBC)10.3%19.6%0.408.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.3%18.8%-0.0443.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)13.7%52.2%0.4325.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CAE
CAE5.2%37.6%0.25-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.1%20.1%0.5758.9%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7355.1%
Gold (GLD)11.6%16.4%0.586.1%
Commodities (DBC)8.3%18.1%0.3720.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.2%20.7%0.1650.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.6%66.2%1.0317.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6.0 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 8312026-2.0%
Average Daily Volume1.0 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.8 days
Basic Shares Quantity310.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.9%

Returns Analyses

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/3/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/12/20266-K
03/31/202606/22/202640-F
12/31/202502/12/20266-K
09/30/202511/12/20256-K
06/30/202508/12/20256-K
03/31/202506/20/202540-F
12/31/202402/13/20256-K
09/30/202411/12/20246-K
06/30/202408/13/20246-K
03/31/202406/21/202440-F
12/31/202302/14/20246-K
09/30/202311/14/20236-K
06/30/202308/09/20236-K
03/31/202306/22/202340-F
12/31/202202/14/20236-K
09/30/202211/10/20226-K
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/12/20266-K
03/31/202606/22/202640-F
12/31/202502/12/20266-K
09/30/202511/12/20256-K
06/30/202508/12/20256-K
03/31/202506/20/202540-F
12/31/202402/13/20256-K
09/30/202411/12/20246-K
06/30/202408/13/20246-K
03/31/202406/21/202440-F
12/31/202302/14/20246-K
09/30/202311/14/20236-K
06/30/202308/09/20236-K
03/31/202306/22/202340-F
12/31/202202/14/20236-K
09/30/202211/10/20226-K
06/30/202208/10/20226-K
03/31/202206/23/202240-F
12/31/202102/11/20226-K
09/30/202111/12/20216-K
06/30/202108/11/20216-K
03/31/202106/23/202140-F
12/31/202002/12/20216-K
09/30/202011/10/20206-K
06/30/202008/12/20206-K
03/31/202006/26/202040-F
12/31/201902/07/20206-K
09/30/201911/13/20196-K

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Oct 9, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Browning West LP$328.8 Mil20.3%5Hold13F
Sunriver Management LLC$22.0 Mil3.7%18New13F
Heathbridge Capital Management Ltd.$9.8 Mil3.6%29Hold13F
Senvest Management, LLC$9.6 Mil0.3%49New13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Sunriver Management LLC$22.0 Mil3.7%18New13F
Senvest Management, LLC$9.6 Mil0.3%49New13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Browning West LP$328.8 Mil20.3%5Hold13F
Sunriver Management LLC$22.0 Mil3.7%18New13F
Heathbridge Capital Management Ltd.$9.8 Mil3.6%29Hold13F
Senvest Management, LLC$9.6 Mil0.3%49New13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 10/8/2026