Ducommun (DCO)
Market Price (9/23/2026): $166.33 | Market Cap: $2.5 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense
Ducommun (DCO)
Market Price (9/23/2026): $166.33Market Cap: $2.5 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Aerospace & Defense
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, Drone Technology, Show more. | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.4%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.3% Key risksDCO key risks include [1] operational execution challenges with its current restructuring and facility consolidation and [2] accounting quality concerns stemming from aggressive revenue recognition practices. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, Drone Technology, Show more. |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.4%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.3% |
| Key risksDCO key risks include [1] operational execution challenges with its current restructuring and facility consolidation and [2] accounting quality concerns stemming from aggressive revenue recognition practices. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Ducommun (DCO) stock has gained about 10% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Ducommun reported strong financial results for its fiscal Q2 2026, which ended July 4, 2026, significantly exceeding analyst expectations.
The company announced net revenue of $224.5 million, marking a 12% increase over fiscal Q2 2025 and surpassing analyst estimates of $214.32 million. Additionally, Ducommun's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.18 considerably beat the consensus estimate of $0.98. Net income for the quarter surged by 60% year-over-year to $20.4 million, and the company achieved a record gross margin of 28.0%, reflecting a 160 basis point improvement from the prior year. The positive earnings announcement on August 6, 2026, led to a 5.08% stock increase in that trading session.
2. The company experienced robust growth in both its commercial aerospace and defense segments, aligning with a favorable industry outlook.
Ducommun's double-digit revenue growth was primarily driven by a continued ramp-up in commercial aerospace and solid gains in its defense business. Specifically, commercial aerospace end-use markets saw a $12.0 million increase in revenue, boosted by higher rates on large aircraft platforms, including a 16% year-over-year increase from single-aisle aircraft like the Boeing 737 MAX and Airbus A320. The defense sector also showed significant growth, particularly within its missile franchise (PAC-3 and SM-6 platforms) and fixed-wing aircraft platforms such as the F-15. This growth is supported by a positive broader aerospace and defense industry outlook for 2026, characterized by resilient commercial aircraft production and sustained defense spending.
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Ducommun (DCO) stock has gained about 10% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Ducommun reported strong financial results for its fiscal Q2 2026, which ended July 4, 2026, significantly exceeding analyst expectations.
The company announced net revenue of $224.5 million, marking a 12% increase over fiscal Q2 2025 and surpassing analyst estimates of $214.32 million. Additionally, Ducommun's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.18 considerably beat the consensus estimate of $0.98. Net income for the quarter surged by 60% year-over-year to $20.4 million, and the company achieved a record gross margin of 28.0%, reflecting a 160 basis point improvement from the prior year. The positive earnings announcement on August 6, 2026, led to a 5.08% stock increase in that trading session.
2. The company experienced robust growth in both its commercial aerospace and defense segments, aligning with a favorable industry outlook.
Ducommun's double-digit revenue growth was primarily driven by a continued ramp-up in commercial aerospace and solid gains in its defense business. Specifically, commercial aerospace end-use markets saw a $12.0 million increase in revenue, boosted by higher rates on large aircraft platforms, including a 16% year-over-year increase from single-aisle aircraft like the Boeing 737 MAX and Airbus A320. The defense sector also showed significant growth, particularly within its missile franchise (PAC-3 and SM-6 platforms) and fixed-wing aircraft platforms such as the F-15. This growth is supported by a positive broader aerospace and defense industry outlook for 2026, characterized by resilient commercial aircraft production and sustained defense spending.
3. Positive analyst sentiment and increased price targets following the strong performance provided external validation for Ducommun's stock.
In response to the company's strong fiscal Q2 2026 results and future prospects, several Wall Street analysts reiterated or upgraded their ratings and raised their price targets for Ducommun. For instance, Wall Street Zen and Zacks Research upgraded Ducommun from "hold" to "buy" and "strong-buy," respectively, in August 2026. Citigroup notably raised its price target from $167 to $216 in early July 2026, and Truist Financial increased its price objective from $150.00 to $209.00 in mid-August 2026. The consensus average 12-month price target for Ducommun from analysts is $192.60, indicating a forecasted upside of 13.31% from the stock's price on August 31, 2026.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 9.3% change in DCO stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 7.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312026 | 9222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 152.22 | 166.45 | 9.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 838 | 862 | 2.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.7 | 2.9 | 7.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 15 | 15 | -0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 9.3% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2026 to 9/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DCO | 9.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 2.5% | 38.8% |
| Sector (XLI) | -1.4% | 53.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 34.7% change in DCO stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 29.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 9222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 123.59 | 166.45 | 34.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 822 | 862 | 4.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.3 | 2.9 | 29.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 15 | 15 | -0.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 34.7% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 9/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DCO | 34.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 13.3% | 43.2% |
| Sector (XLI) | -3.4% | 59.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 82.5% change in DCO stock from 8/31/2025 to 9/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 69.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 9222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 91.22 | 166.45 | 82.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 792 | 862 | 8.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.7 | 2.9 | 69.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 15 | 15 | -1.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 82.5% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 9/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DCO | 82.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 21.2% | 43.7% |
| Sector (XLI) | 13.5% | 58.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 266.1% change in DCO stock from 8/31/2023 to 9/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 256.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312023 | 9222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 45.47 | 166.45 | 266.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 743 | 862 | 16.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.8 | 2.9 | 256.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13 | 15 | -11.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 266.1% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2023 to 9/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DCO | 266.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.3% | 43.2% |
| Sector (XLI) | 64.3% | 53.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DCO Return | -13% | 7% | 4% | 22% | 49% | 77% | 213% |
| Peers Return | 9% | 1% | 35% | 27% | 87% | 8% | 282% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DCO Win Rate | 33% | 42% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 56% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 40% | 57% | 57% | 67% | 49% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 56% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DCO Max Drawdown | -34% | -31% | -30% | -12% | -23% | -21% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -24% | -25% | -23% | -19% | -21% | -28% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CW, WWD, HEI, CR, ATRO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/22/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DCO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -14.5% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 17.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 29 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -11.8% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.4% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 37 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -28.8% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.4% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 350 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -16.9% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 20.3% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 28 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -60.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 151.1% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 82 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -16.5% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.7% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 50 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Ducommun's stock fell -14.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 17.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
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| Event | DCO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -28.8% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.4% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 350 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -60.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 151.1% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 82 days | 140 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -49.2% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 97.0% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 296 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -58.5% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 141.0% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 372 days | 15 days |
| 2013 Taper Tantrum | ||
| % Loss | -25.9% | -0.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.9% | 0.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 76 days | 1 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -39.0% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.9% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 556 days | 123 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -31.3% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.6% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 266 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -69.1% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 224.1% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3438 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Ducommun's stock fell -14.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 17.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Ducommun (DCO)
Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) is an established engineering and manufacturing company that provides specialized products and services primarily to the aerospace and defense sectors, along with industrial and medical markets. Founded in 1849, the company operates through two main segments: Electronic Systems and Structural Systems, offering a wide array of advanced solutions critical for high-reliability applications.
The Electronic Systems segment focuses on delivering sophisticated electronic and electrical components and assemblies. This includes cable assemblies, printed circuit board assemblies, interconnect systems, and higher-level electronic and electromechanical components. They also supply specialized products such as illuminated pushbutton switches, microwave and millimeter switches, and motors for motion control. Additionally, this segment provides essential engineering expertise for aerospace system design, development, integration, and testing, supporting complex avionics and communication systems.
The Structural Systems segment specializes in designing, engineering, and manufacturing complex aero structure components and assemblies from materials like aluminum, titanium, and Inconel, as well as metal and composite bonded structures. Key products include contoured aero structure components, winglets, engine components, fuselage structural panels, and flight control surfaces. These products are vital for various aircraft types, including commercial and military fixed-wing aircraft, rotary-wing aircraft, and space programs, providing critical structural integrity and performance.
```AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are a couple of analogies for Ducommun (DCO):
- Like a specialized version of Honeywell's aerospace division, focused on engineering and manufacturing crucial electronic and structural components for aircraft, spacecraft, and defense systems.
- A precision parts supplier for aerospace and defense, similar to how Parker Hannifin provides essential control and motion systems, but encompassing a broader array of highly engineered electronic and structural components.
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- Electronic and Electromechanical Components & Assemblies: Supplies cable assemblies, printed circuit board assemblies, and higher-level electronic, electromechanical, and mechanical components.
- Specialized Electronic Products: Manufactures engineered products such as lightning diversion systems, illuminated pushbutton switches, microwave and millimeter switches, and motors for motion control.
- Aerospace Structural Components: Designs, engineers, and fabricates contoured components from materials like aluminum, titanium, and Inconel for aero structures.
- Structural Assemblies and Bonded Structures: Produces assembled structural products including winglets, engine components, fuselage panels, and metal and composite bonded structures.
- Aerospace Engineering Services: Offers specialized engineering expertise for aerospace system design, development, integration, and testing.
- Specialized Systems & Enclosures: Provides radar enclosures, shipboard communications and control enclosures, ammunition handling systems, and magnetic seals.
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Ducommun (DCO) sells primarily to other companies. Based on the provided background, specific names of major customer companies are not listed. However, Ducommun serves companies operating within the following major industries and markets:
- Aerospace and Defense (including commercial aircraft, military fixed-wing aircraft, military and commercial rotary-wing aircraft, and space programs)
- Industrial
- Medical
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Stephen G. Oswald, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Oswald was appointed President and CEO of Ducommun in January 2017, and Chairman of the Board in May 2018. Before joining Ducommun, he served as Chief Executive Officer of Capital Safety Company, a manufacturer of fall protection equipment, from 2012 to 2015. Capital Safety Company was subsequently sold to 3M Co. Prior to that, Mr. Oswald spent approximately 15 years in various senior executive roles at United Technologies Corporation. Since joining Ducommun, he has streamlined the organization, focusing its strategic direction on Aerospace & Defense, and has expanded the company into aftermarket products and services through five strategic acquisitions within his first five years.
Suman Mookerji, Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, Controller & Treasurer
Mr. Mookerji was appointed Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, Controller & Treasurer on May 3, 2023. He joined Ducommun in April 2017 as Vice President, Strategy, Acquisitions & Integration, and later served as Vice President, Corporate Development & Investor Relations. His professional background before Ducommun includes corporate strategy, M&A, and post-acquisition integration leadership experience at United Technologies Corporation (now Raytheon Technologies Corporation) and at Capital Safety, which was a Kohlberg, Kravis and Roberts (KKR) portfolio company. He has been instrumental in executing Ducommun's acquisition strategy.
Jerry L. Redondo, Senior Vice President, Electronics & Structural Systems
Mr. Redondo oversees Ducommun's core operational segments, which include Electronic Systems and Structural Systems.
Laureen S. Gonzalez, Vice President, Chief Human Resources Officer
Rajiv A. Tata, Vice President, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
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- High dependence on the cyclical and often volatile aerospace and defense industries, making the company susceptible to downturns, changes in government spending, and program delays.
- Exposure to fluctuations in the cost and availability of raw materials and potential supply chain disruptions.
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Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market trends:
- Continued Strength in Defense Business and Missile Programs: Ducommun anticipates sustained growth within its military and space segment, particularly driven by demand for missile platforms, fixed-wing aircraft, and military rotorcraft. The company's missile business experienced significant growth in 2025, and this momentum is expected to persist due to long-term agreements with major customers like RTX and Lockheed, as well as the Department of Defense's emphasis on increasing production.
- Commercial Aerospace Market Recovery: Following a period of headwinds, particularly from destocking at Boeing and Spirit, Ducommun projects a recovery in its commercial aerospace business. This rebound is anticipated to accelerate in the second half of 2026 and continue into 2027, with the company benefiting from its content on key platforms such as the Boeing 737 MAX (as production rates increase) and 787, and the Airbus A320 family.
- Expansion of Proprietary Product Businesses and Engineered Products: As part of its "VISION 2027" strategy, Ducommun is strategically focused on increasing the revenue contribution from its proprietary engineered products and aftermarket content. The company aims for engineered products to constitute 25% of its revenue by 2027, indicating a push towards higher-value offerings.
- Strategic Offloading from Defense Primes: Ducommun is actively working to deepen its relationships with key Defense Primes by taking on non-core manufacturing activities from their facilities. This strategy leverages Ducommun's lower-cost footprint and track record of on-time delivery and quality, presenting a "Win-Win" scenario that is expected to increase its work share and revenue.
- Strong and Growing Backlog (Remaining Performance Obligations): The company has achieved a record-high $1.1 billion in Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) as of December 31, 2025. This substantial backlog, fueled by strong bookings with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.3x in Q4 2025, particularly from missile components, signifies a robust foundation for future revenue recognition.
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Share Repurchases
- Ducommun explicitly stated "None" for issuer purchases of equity securities as of December 31, 2025.
- The company has not repurchased shares in recent years.
- Ducommun's Buyback Yield was 0.2% in 2025.
Share Issuance
- Ducommun priced a secondary offering in May 2023.
Outbound Investments
- Ducommun has a targeted acquisition program.
- In December 2021, Ducommun acquired Magnetic Seals (MagSeal) to expand its portfolio of high-value engineered products with proprietary solutions and recurring aftermarket presence.
- Ducommun acquired BLR Aerospace, a provider of aerospace engineering, certifying, manufacturing, and marketing services, in March 2023.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures were $14.657 million for the full year 2025 and $14.409 million for the full year 2024.
- Strategic capital investments are focused on automation, advanced machining, and lean operations to enhance technical expertise and expand capacity for defense and space programs.
- Management indicated in Q4 2025 that additional capital expenditures required to increase missile production capacity would not be significant, as they have approximately 30% unused factory capacity.
Peer Outperformance in Aerospace & Defense
| Ticker | Name | Rev Growth 3Y Avg | P/E | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 5Y Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCO | Ducommun | 5.1% | -83.7x | 76.7% | 287.5% | 231.4% | — |
| ATI | ATI | 4.6% | 53.4x | 133.6% | 342.1% | 1011.8% | +780pp |
| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Construction & Engineering | 31 | 4.9% | 113.4% | 189.3% | STRL 2263% · CDNL 2216% · FIX 2188% |
| Marine Transportation | 9 | 75.9% | 107.9% | 157.6% | HOS 44163% · ASC 540% · MATX 195% |
| Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment | 13 | 5.8% | 51.3% | 128.1% | CAT 348% · ALSN 247% · WAB 234% |
| Aerospace & Defense ← | 56 | -6.7% | 74.0% | 73.2% | ATI 1012% · FTAI 956% · HWM 621% |
| Trading Companies & Distributors | 19 | 8.8% | 43.2% | 59.2% | DXPE 563% · AIT 295% · WCC 220% |
| Rail Transportation | 7 | 24.1% | 55.7% | 52.3% | FSTR 144% · CSX 65% · RAIL 63% |
| Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components | 73 | 9.4% | 55.0% | 38.9% | CRS 1184% · PSIX 1105% · EROC 637% |
| Diversified Support Services | 33 | 11.4% | 36.2% | 34.5% | LIME 3198% · TH 445% · WLFC 358% |
| Cargo Ground Transportation | 16 | 35.3% | 0.2% | 29.7% | XPO 240% · R 228% · CVLG 155% |
| Electrical Components & Equipment | 41 | -1.0% | 62.2% | 24.6% | POWL 2390% · BE 1308% · VRT 957% |
| Building Products | 34 | -13.8% | 1.8% | 18.9% | LMB 638% · GFF 399% · PPIH 291% |
| Passenger Ground Transportation | 3 | -31.7% | 49.9% | 4.9% | UBER 54% · CAR 5% · LYFT -73% |
| Industrial Conglomerates | 17 | 12.1% | 9.3% | 2.7% | RCMT 455% · CSW 148% · DD 76% |
| Agricultural & Farm Machinery | 17 | 2.1% | 3.8% | -5.6% | BLBD 191% · DE 114% · GENC 62% |
| Environmental & Facilities Services | 29 | -9.4% | 21.8% | -6.3% | CECO 958% · ADUR 422% · NVRI 350% |
| Research & Consulting Services | 14 | -15.6% | -24.4% | -12.9% | HURN 205% · CRAI 73% · GRNQ 62% |
| Data Processing & Outsourced Services | 6 | -33.8% | -15.3% | -26.3% | EXLS 42% · BR 6% · G -25% |
| Passenger Airlines | 11 | 10.5% | 22.0% | -29.9% | LTM 3123% · UAL 143% · SKYW 107% |
| Office Services & Supplies | 9 | 8.6% | 13.0% | -34.5% | PBI 171% · TILE 145% · HNI 52% |
| Human Resource & Employment Services | 22 | 4.2% | -14.1% | -37.6% | BBSI 84% · ADP 50% · PAYX 21% |
| Air Freight & Logistics | 12 | -23.0% | -20.9% | -39.3% | CHRW 90% · FDX 78% · EXPD 59% |
| Security & Alarm Services | 10 | -24.5% | 17.1% | -46.6% | CIX 161% · MG 127% · NL 75% |
| Airport Services | 3 | -73.9% | -77.8% | -61.5% | JOBY -39% · ASLE -62% · UP -100% |
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Ducommun Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| How Low Can Ducommun Stock Really Go? | 10/17/2025 | |
| Ducommun Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 22.3% in 2024 and ...% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | 03/07/2025 | |
| Ducommun (DCO) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 02/17/2025 | |
| Ducommun (DCO) Net Income Comparison | 02/15/2025 | |
| Ducommun (DCO) Operating Income Comparison | 02/14/2025 | |
| Ducommun (DCO) Revenue Comparison | 02/13/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 255.02 |
| Mkt Cap | 15.5 |
| Rev LTM | 3,123 |
| Op Inc LTM | 568 |
| FCF LTM | 378 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 301 |
| CFO LTM | 507 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 390 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 15.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 14.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 22.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.1% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 44.2% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 30.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 15.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.4% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electronic Systems | 463 | 431 | 430 | 441 | 413 |
| Structural Systems | 362 | 355 | 327 | 272 | 233 |
| Total | 825 | 786 | 757 | 713 | 645 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electronic Systems | 82 | 74 | 42 | 50 | 58 |
| Structural Systems | 46 | 25 | 23 | 17 | 20 |
| Restructuring charges | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Corporate General and Administrative Expenses | -161 | -56 | -37 | -27 | -29 |
| Total | -32 | 42 | 29 | 40 | 49 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electronic Systems | 562 | 507 | 505 | 543 | 491 |
| Structural Systems | 538 | 551 | 553 | 411 | 408 |
| Corporate Administration | 86 | 68 | 63 | 68 | 80 |
| Total | 1,186 | 1,126 | 1,121 | 1,022 | 979 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $166.45 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 2.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/03/1973 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -19.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $179.91 | $143.00 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -7.5% | 16.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 45.6% | 40.1% |
| Downside Capture | 155.06 | 115.48 |
| Upside Capture | 127.64 | 160.90 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 39.4% | 44.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.94 | 2.18 | 1.46 | 1.45 | 1.40 | 0.97 |
| Up Beta | 2.19 | 2.64 | 2.37 | 1.37 | 1.43 | 0.92 |
| Down Beta | 6.08 | 1.82 | 0.80 | 1.06 | 1.43 | 0.97 |
| Up Capture | 77% | 150% | 174% | 217% | 224% | 157% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 10 | 21 | 32 | 68 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 17 | 32 | 68 | 138 | 410 |
| Down Capture | 242% | 265% | 112% | 132% | 109% | 95% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 32 | 59 | 113 | 324 |
| Stock -ve Days | 13 | 25 | 32 | 59 | 113 | 337 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DCO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCO | 77.5% | 40.0% | 1.52 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 12.7% | 17.2% | 0.53 | 58.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 17.6% | 13.0% | 0.98 | 44.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.0% | 29.3% | 0.56 | 24.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 46.6% | 20.7% | 1.75 | -10.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 13.6% | 0.12 | 22.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -26.0% | 44.9% | -0.54 | 22.2% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DCO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCO | 26.0% | 34.5% | 0.73 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 12.7% | 17.6% | 0.55 | 54.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.3% | 17.2% | 0.59 | 45.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.9% | 18.8% | 0.81 | 14.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.8% | 19.6% | 0.43 | 12.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.0% | 18.9% | -0.05 | 36.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.7% | 52.6% | 0.42 | 21.1% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DCO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCO | 22.3% | 43.6% | 0.61 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.3% | 20.0% | 0.58 | 54.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 45.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.2% | 16.4% | 0.61 | 9.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.3% | 18.1% | 0.37 | 18.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.7% | 20.7% | 0.19 | 41.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 64.0% | 66.2% | 1.04 | 13.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 9/9/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/6/2026 | 5.1% | 5.0% | -13.1% |
| 5/12/2026 | 3.1% | 3.3% | 9.4% |
| 2/26/2026 | -3.4% | 10.0% | -4.2% |
| 11/6/2025 | -3.0% | 4.5% | -2.0% |
| 8/7/2025 | 0.5% | 1.1% | -1.0% |
| 5/6/2025 | 3.9% | 13.6% | 23.6% |
| 2/27/2025 | -6.4% | -6.0% | -2.4% |
| 11/7/2024 | 3.2% | 3.4% | -3.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 14 | 9 |
| # Negative | 10 | 10 | 15 |
| Median Positive | 3.2% | 4.9% | 8.0% |
| Median Negative | -3.2% | -5.6% | -6.6% |
| Max Positive | 9.5% | 13.6% | 54.9% |
| Max Negative | -8.4% | -8.7% | -17.5% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/6/2026 | 5.1% | 5.0% | -13.1% |
| 5/12/2026 | 3.1% | 3.3% | 9.4% |
| 2/26/2026 | -3.4% | 10.0% | -4.2% |
| 11/6/2025 | -3.0% | 4.5% | -2.0% |
| 8/7/2025 | 0.5% | 1.1% | -1.0% |
| 5/6/2025 | 3.9% | 13.6% | 23.6% |
| 2/27/2025 | -6.4% | -6.0% | -2.4% |
| 11/7/2024 | 3.2% | 3.4% | -3.0% |
| 8/8/2024 | 3.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| 5/8/2024 | 2.5% | 2.8% | 6.7% |
| 2/15/2024 | 1.6% | -3.6% | -1.0% |
| 11/8/2023 | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% |
| 8/3/2023 | -8.0% | -7.3% | -5.5% |
| 5/4/2023 | -8.4% | -7.2% | -17.5% |
| 2/16/2023 | -6.2% | -5.2% | -13.7% |
| 11/7/2022 | 9.5% | 9.3% | 1.8% |
| 8/4/2022 | -2.6% | -0.1% | -9.8% |
| 5/3/2022 | 4.8% | -7.1% | -7.7% |
| 2/23/2022 | 2.1% | 7.8% | 13.7% |
| 11/2/2021 | 2.2% | 3.7% | -12.5% |
| 8/12/2021 | -2.3% | -8.7% | -6.6% |
| 5/4/2021 | -1.0% | -4.5% | -9.1% |
| 2/11/2021 | -0.9% | -1.7% | 7.5% |
| 10/28/2020 | 3.2% | 11.1% | 54.9% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 14 | 9 |
| # Negative | 10 | 10 | 15 |
| Median Positive | 3.2% | 4.9% | 8.0% |
| Median Negative | -3.2% | -5.6% | -6.6% |
| Max Positive | 9.5% | 13.6% | 54.9% |
| Max Negative | -8.4% | -8.7% | -17.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 08/06/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/12/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 08/06/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/12/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/23/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/02/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/12/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/04/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/11/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 10/28/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 07/30/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 04/30/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/20/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 10/30/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 8/7/2026Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/6/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2027 Adjusted EBITDA Margin | Reported | 18.0% | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 18.0% for 2027 | |||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2027 Adjusted EBITDA Margin | Reported | 18.0% | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 18.0% for 2027 | |||
Insider Activity
Updated 8/19/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oswald, Stephen G | Chairman, President & CEO | Direct | Sell | 8192026 | 203.95 | 2,500 | 509,875 | 78,289,063 | Form |
| 2 | Oswald, Stephen G | Chairman, President & CEO | Direct | Sell | 8132026 | 201.15 | 5,766 | 1,159,831 | 77,618,756 | Form |
| 3 | Gonzalez, Laureen S | V.P., CHRO | Direct | Sell | 5292026 | 151.99 | 589 | 89,522 | 1,698,032 | Form |
| 4 | Mookerji, Suman B | Sr. V.P., C.F.O. | Direct | Sell | 5222026 | 145.00 | 1,514 | 219,530 | 3,736,505 | Form |
| 5 | Tata, Rajiv A | V.P., G.C. & Corp. Secretary | Direct | Sell | 5202026 | 145.00 | 1,612 | 233,740 | 4,809,795 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oswald, Stephen G | Chairman, President & CEO | Direct | Sell | 8192026 | 203.95 | 2,500 | 509,875 | 78,289,063 | Form |
| 2 | Oswald, Stephen G | Chairman, President & CEO | Direct | Sell | 8132026 | 201.15 | 5,766 | 1,159,831 | 77,618,756 | Form |
| 3 | Gonzalez, Laureen S | V.P., CHRO | Direct | Sell | 5292026 | 151.99 | 589 | 89,522 | 1,698,032 | Form |
| 4 | Mookerji, Suman B | Sr. V.P., C.F.O. | Direct | Sell | 5222026 | 145.00 | 1,514 | 219,530 | 3,736,505 | Form |
| 5 | Tata, Rajiv A | V.P., G.C. & Corp. Secretary | Direct | Sell | 5202026 | 145.00 | 1,612 | 233,740 | 4,809,795 | Form |
| 6 | Redondo, Jerry L | S.V.P., Elec. & Struc. Systems | Direct | Sell | 5152026 | 154.36 | 5,682 | 877,074 | 9,575,568 | Form |
| 7 | Baldridge, Richard A | Direct | Sell | 3122026 | 130.83 | 10,440 | 1,365,865 | 2,629,683 | Form | |
| 8 | Mookerji, Suman B | S.V.P., CFO | Direct | Sell | 3102026 | 131.90 | 7,791 | 1,027,633 | 3,876,937 | Form |
| 9 | Mookerji, Suman B | Sr. V.P., C.F.O. | Direct | Sell | 3062026 | 134.21 | 14,709 | 1,974,095 | 4,990,465 | Form |
| 10 | Redondo, Jerry L | S.V.P., Elec. & Struc. Systems | Direct | Sell | 12112025 | 92.86 | 2,000 | 185,720 | 6,060,879 | Form |
| 11 | Redondo, Jerry L | S.V.P., Elec. & Struc. Systems | Direct | Sell | 11122025 | 93.83 | 1,594 | 149,565 | 6,311,850 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Sep 23, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
| Active Manager |
|---|
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