Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.6%
Key risks
TXT key risks include [1] its significant customer concentration and dependence on U.S. Show more.
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -32%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -47%
 
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, Drone Technology, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, Drone Technology, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.6%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -32%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -47%
5 Key risks
TXT key risks include [1] its significant customer concentration and dependence on U.S. Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TXT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results

Textron reported robust third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 23, 2025. The company's adjusted income from continuing operations reached $1.55 per share, surpassing the $1.40 per share reported in the same quarter of the previous year and beating analysts' consensus estimates of $1.47 by $0.08. Total revenue for the quarter increased by 5%, primarily driven by gains in its Aviation, Bell, and Textron Systems segments. Textron also reaffirmed its full-year 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) forecast between $6.00 and $6.20 and raised its manufacturing cash flow outlook.

2. Significant Defense Contract Wins for Textron Systems and ATAC

Textron's defense businesses secured notable contracts during this period. In September 2025, ATAC was awarded a contract for up to $555 million for fleet fighter jet services and another for up to $198 million for U.S. Marine Corps F-35 adversary air. Additionally, in November 2025, ATAC was awarded a U.S. Navy Stand Off Jammer Contract valued at up to $200 million. Textron Systems also announced the sale of the first European RIPSAW M3 Robotic Ground Vehicle to Sweden in December 2025, and a TSUNAMI unmanned surface vessel to the Naval Information Warfare Center Pacific for AUKUS testing in December 2025. These contracts underscore Textron's strong position in the defense sector.

3. Advancements and Certifications in Textron Aviation

Textron Aviation continued to advance its product lines with key certifications and market expansions. In late August 2025, the company announced that the Cessna Citation CJ4 Gen 3 would offer global connectivity and a Garmin cabin upgrade for Citation CJ1 owners. The Cessna Citation Ascend program also continued to progress, with the rollout of the first production unit in September 2025 and achieving FAA certification in November 2025. These developments enhance Textron's offerings in the business jet market and signal ongoing innovation.

4. Strategic Restructuring of eAviation Division

On October 17, 2025, Textron announced it would be shutting down its Textron eAviation business unit and redistributing its electric and conventional aviation activities among its other subsidiaries, effective January 4, 2026. This strategic realignment involved absorbing the Pipistrel brand into Textron Aviation and moving defense-related eAviation research and development activities to Textron Systems. This move could be viewed positively by investors as it streamlines operations and focuses resources on core segments, potentially improving efficiency and profitability.

5. Positive Analyst Sentiment and 52-Week High

While some analysts adjusted price targets, the overall sentiment remained largely positive, with Textron's stock reaching a new 52-week high in December 2025. As of December 12, 2025, Textron (TXT) stock hit a 52-week high of $88.12-$88.18, reflecting significant investor confidence. Several analysts maintained a "Hold" or "Buy" rating for the stock, with an average price target that suggests further upside. This strong market performance and analyst outlook likely contributed to the stock's 9.1% movement.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TXT Return9%60%-8%14%-5%13%95%
Peers Return-13%17%20%6%-3%22%53%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TXT Win Rate58%75%42%50%50%58% 
Peers Win Rate47%53%57%47%58%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TXT Max Drawdown-51%-6%-25%-13%-6%-21% 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-8%-10%-17%-14%-12% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LMT, GD, BA, NOC, LHX. See TXT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTXTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven414 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-57.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven135.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven330 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-40.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven710 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-94.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1846.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4,540 days1,480 days

Compare to LMT, GD, HWM, HEI, TDY


In The Past

Textron's stock fell -26.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/7/2022. A -26.0% loss requires a 35.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Textron (TXT)

Better Bets than Textron (TXT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TXT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Textron

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TXTLMTGDBANOCLHXMedian
NameTextron Lockheed.General .Boeing Northrop.L3Harris. 
Mkt Price87.44474.79336.41206.33564.19278.72307.57
Mkt Cap15.5110.190.6156.880.752.185.7
Rev LTM14,23773,34951,50980,75740,92821,37346,218
Op Inc LTM8975,9975,327-8,4244,0982,3663,232
FCF LTM6954,5934,812-6,3501,8342,1641,999
FCF 3Y Avg7605,6343,395-3,0292,1371,8281,983
CFO LTM1,0586,3615,719-3,7163,4382,5072,972
CFO 3Y Avg1,1407,3864,350-9763,7912,2083,000

Growth & Margins

TXTLMTGDBANOCLHXMedian
NameTextron Lockheed.General .Boeing Northrop.L3Harris. 
Rev Chg LTM1.8%2.9%11.9%10.2%-0.1%2.9%2.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.3%4.3%9.9%10.1%5.2%8.4%6.8%
Rev Chg Q5.1%8.8%10.6%30.4%4.3%2.4%7.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.2%2.1%2.5%7.2%1.1%0.6%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM6.3%8.2%10.3%-10.4%10.0%11.1%9.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.9%11.0%10.2%-7.2%9.0%10.4%9.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%0.0%0.0%2.0%0.2%0.2%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM7.4%8.7%11.1%-4.6%8.4%11.7%8.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.2%10.5%9.3%-1.3%9.4%11.0%9.4%
FCF/Rev LTM4.9%6.3%9.3%-7.9%4.5%10.1%5.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.5%8.0%7.3%-3.9%5.3%9.2%6.4%

Valuation

TXTLMTGDBANOCLHXMedian
NameTextron Lockheed.General .Boeing Northrop.L3Harris. 
Mkt Cap15.5110.190.6156.880.752.185.7
P/S1.11.61.82.02.12.71.9
P/EBIT13.619.316.8-23.715.822.616.3
P/E18.227.621.8-16.721.733.721.7
P/CFO14.218.216.1-44.125.422.817.1
Total Yield5.6%5.6%6.3%-6.0%5.3%4.5%5.5%
Dividend Yield0.1%2.0%1.7%0.0%0.7%1.6%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.9%4.8%4.4%-2.6%2.8%4.2%4.3%
D/E0.20.20.10.30.20.20.2
Net D/E0.10.20.10.20.20.20.2

Returns

TXTLMTGDBANOCLHXMedian
NameTextron Lockheed.General .Boeing Northrop.L3Harris. 
1M Rtn9.2%1.6%-1.6%7.6%0.6%-3.1%1.1%
3M Rtn5.7%1.1%3.9%-3.9%-1.8%-0.7%0.2%
6M Rtn14.2%2.8%21.9%4.4%15.0%13.0%13.6%
12M Rtn9.3%-0.4%29.4%19.2%19.5%30.0%19.4%
3Y Rtn25.3%6.9%45.7%11.7%12.0%39.3%18.6%
1M Excs Rtn8.5%0.9%-2.3%6.8%-0.1%-3.9%0.4%
3M Excs Rtn2.9%-0.3%2.8%-5.7%-2.6%-2.4%-1.3%
6M Excs Rtn1.8%-9.5%9.6%-8.0%2.6%0.6%1.2%
12M Excs Rtn-2.9%-12.3%19.4%10.5%8.5%16.2%9.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-47.0%-62.5%-24.8%-57.7%-57.6%-31.9%-52.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Textron Aviation5,3735,0734,5663,9745,187
Industrial3,8413,4653,1303,0003,798
Bell3,1473,0913,3643,3093,254
Textron Systems1,2351,1721,2731,3131,325
Finance5552495566
Textron eAviation3216   
Total13,68312,86912,38211,65113,630


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Textron Aviation4,5424,4964,3904,3804,692
Corporate3,9693,4542,6792,5871,446
Bell2,8692,8573,3822,9842,783
Industrial2,5202,5552,5292,5002,781
Textron Systems2,0081,9891,9802,0542,352
Finance661664867938964
Textron eAviation287278   
Total16,85616,29315,82715,44315,018


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,882,550
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-0.6%
Average Daily Volume1,160,142
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.35
Basic Shares Quantity177,677,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/23/2025-3.8%-3.1%-3.7%
7/24/2025-7.2%-10.5%-8.9%
4/24/20252.6%6.3%10.9%
1/22/2025-3.4%-5.4%-10.8%
10/24/2024-6.2%-5.5%-3.3%
7/18/20240.6%-2.1%-4.6%
4/25/2024-9.7%-9.8%-6.7%
1/24/20247.8%8.4%7.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141413
# Negative9910
Median Positive2.6%6.5%7.6%
Median Negative-7.1%-5.5%-4.6%
Max Positive11.9%18.6%46.1%
Max Negative-12.2%-16.5%-10.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251023202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024206202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241024202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023212202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023427202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022728202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022428202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021217202210-K 1/1/2022