Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.8%
 
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -41%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -55%
 
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, Drone Technology, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, Drone Technology, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.8%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -41%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -55%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TXT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

There is no direct information in the provided search results that explains a specific 3.7% stock movement for Textron (TXT) for the entire period from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025, as a past event. One report indicates the stock remained flat during a similar timeframe, underperforming the S&P 500's 3.7% gain. Another report forecasts a short-term 3.79% growth around December 4, 2025, but this is a prediction, not a reported actual movement for the entire requested period. Therefore, specific key points explaining a 3.7% stock movement during this period cannot be identified from the provided information.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TXT Return9%60%-8%14%-5%9%88%
Peers Return6%16%17%14%31%30%178%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TXT Win Rate58%75%42%50%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate52%50%53%53%67%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TXT Max Drawdown-51%-6%-25%-13%-6%-21% 
Peers Max Drawdown-43%-10%-8%-9%-8%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LMT, GD, HWM, HEI, TDY. See TXT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTXTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven414 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-57.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven135.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven330 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-40.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven710 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-94.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1846.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4540 days1480 days

Compare to LMT, GD, HWM, HEI, TDY


In The Past

Textron's stock fell -26.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/7/2022. A -26.0% loss requires a 35.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Textron (TXT)

Better Bets than Textron (TXT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TXT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Textron

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TXTLMTGDHWMHEITDYMedian
NameTextron Lockheed.General .Howmet A.Heico Teledyne. 
Mkt Price83.14448.35341.70196.27315.64518.00328.67
Mkt Cap14.8104.092.079.343.924.361.6
Rev LTM14,23773,34951,5097,7214,2896,00510,979
Op Inc LTM8975,9975,3271,8549591,1101,482
FCF LTM6954,5934,8121,0187821,0381,028
FCF 3Y Avg7605,6343,395857581923890
CFO LTM1,0586,3615,7191,4238451,1451,284
CFO 3Y Avg1,1407,3864,3501,1396351,0261,140

Growth & Margins

TXTLMTGDHWMHEITDYMedian
NameTextron Lockheed.General .Howmet A.Heico Teledyne. 
Rev Chg LTM1.8%2.9%11.9%8.9%13.5%7.4%8.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.3%4.3%9.9%13.5%27.3%3.6%7.1%
Rev Chg Q5.1%8.8%10.6%9.2%15.7%6.7%9.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.2%2.1%2.5%2.3%3.8%1.6%2.2%
Op Mgn LTM6.3%8.2%10.3%24.0%22.3%18.5%14.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.9%11.0%10.2%20.5%21.8%18.4%14.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%0.0%0.0%0.8%0.3%-0.1%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM7.4%8.7%11.1%18.4%19.7%19.1%14.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.2%10.5%9.3%16.0%17.6%17.8%13.3%
FCF/Rev LTM4.9%6.3%9.3%13.2%18.2%17.3%11.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.5%8.0%7.3%12.1%16.1%16.0%10.0%

Valuation

TXTLMTGDHWMHEITDYMedian
NameTextron Lockheed.General .Howmet A.Heico Teledyne. 
Mkt Cap14.8104.092.079.343.924.361.6
P/S1.11.61.810.310.64.63.2
P/EBIT13.619.316.843.547.425.822.6
P/E18.227.621.856.771.133.630.6
P/CFO14.218.216.155.754.024.021.1
Total Yield5.6%5.6%6.3%1.8%1.5%3.0%4.3%
Dividend Yield0.1%2.0%1.7%0.1%0.1%0.0%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.9%4.8%4.4%2.2%1.7%4.2%4.3%
D/E0.20.20.10.00.10.10.1
Net D/E0.10.20.10.00.00.10.1

Returns

TXTLMTGDHWMHEITDYMedian
NameTextron Lockheed.General .Howmet A.Heico Teledyne. 
1M Rtn4.2%-6.9%-0.5%-4.3%-0.2%1.3%-0.3%
3M Rtn2.3%-1.1%6.4%9.4%-2.1%-5.3%0.6%
6M Rtn11.7%-4.8%25.7%12.3%4.9%3.6%8.3%
12M Rtn-2.2%-10.8%25.6%63.9%17.1%8.2%12.6%
3Y Rtn19.3%-0.9%45.1%414.1%95.0%22.3%33.7%
1M Excs Rtn3.0%-8.1%-1.8%-5.5%-1.4%0.1%-1.6%
3M Excs Rtn-3.7%-8.4%0.5%4.4%-7.7%-11.4%-5.7%
6M Excs Rtn-3.8%-20.3%10.3%-3.2%-10.6%-11.9%-7.2%
12M Excs Rtn-16.0%-24.7%12.8%53.8%4.2%-5.5%-0.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-54.7%-72.1%-28.3%359.1%29.0%-46.5%-37.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Textron Aviation5,3735,0734,5663,9745,187
Industrial3,8413,4653,1303,0003,798
Bell3,1473,0913,3643,3093,254
Textron Systems1,2351,1721,2731,3131,325
Finance5552495566
Textron eAviation3216   
Total13,68312,86912,38211,65113,630


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Textron Aviation4,5424,4964,3904,3804,692
Corporate3,9693,4542,6792,5871,446
Bell2,8692,8573,3822,9842,783
Industrial2,5202,5552,5292,5002,781
Textron Systems2,0081,9891,9802,0542,352
Finance661664867938964
Textron eAviation287278   
Total16,85616,29315,82715,44315,018


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,904,002
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120254.2%
Average Daily Volume1,191,153
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.28
Basic Shares Quantity177,677,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251023202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024206202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241024202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023212202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023427202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022728202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022428202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021217202210-K 1/1/2022