Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 10%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -27%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 52%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 44%
  Key risks
VVX key risks include [1] a significant debt load from the Vertex merger and [2] persistently thin profit margins.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include National Security & Defense, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Defense Logistics & Readiness, Defense IT & Communications, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 10%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 44%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include National Security & Defense, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Defense Logistics & Readiness, Defense IT & Communications, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -27%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 52%
5 Key risks
VVX key risks include [1] a significant debt load from the Vertex merger and [2] persistently thin profit margins.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VVX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The V2X (VVX) stock experienced various movements between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025. While a specific -4.9% movement is not consistently highlighted across the provided search results for the entire period, several key events and trends occurred that would influence its stock price. As of December 15, 2025, the stock price had increased by 1.22% on the last trading day. On December 17, 2025, it was trading at $54.70.

1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings. V2X reported robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025 on November 3, 2025, exceeding analysts' expectations for both adjusted earnings per share (EPS) and revenue. This led to a 2.31% increase in the stock price during after-hours trading. The company's revenue increased 8% year-over-year to $1.17 billion, driven by programs like Warfighter-Training Readiness Solutions, Iraq F-16, and F-5.

2. Raised 2025 Guidance. Following its strong Q3 performance, V2X Inc. raised its 2025 guidance for revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and EPS, indicating confidence in its continued growth trajectory. However, the company lowered its guidance for adjusted net cash provided by operating activities due to potential collection delays from a possible government shutdown.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VVX Return-3%-8%-10%12%3%16%8%
Peers Return9%8%21%11%12%-0%77%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VVX Win Rate50%33%50%58%42%58% 
Peers Win Rate52%62%60%60%67%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VVX Max Drawdown-42%-17%-35%-9%-20%-12% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-13%-9%-14%-5%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LDOS, SAIC, KBR, CACI, BAH.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVVXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-50.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven100.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven792 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-49.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven97.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven352 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-50.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven101.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven120 days120 days

Compare to ATRO, FLY, APEX, BETA, DFSC


In The Past

V2X's stock fell -50.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/5/2021. A -50.2% loss requires a 100.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About V2X (VVX)

Better Bets than V2X (VVX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VVX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for V2X

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VVXLDOSSAICKBRCACIBAHMedian
NameV2X Leidos Science .KBR CACI Int.Booz All. 
Mkt Price54.70181.36102.4442.89560.7586.5594.50
Mkt Cap1.723.24.65.512.310.68.1
Rev LTM4,41917,3327,3508,0788,85911,7068,468
Op Inc LTM1942,0415245437971,106670
FCF LTM1851,338427494612819553
FCF 3Y Avg1221,149431378420641426
CFO LTM1961,506466559683910621
CFO 3Y Avg1391,312462453486728474

Growth & Margins

VVXLDOSSAICKBRCACIBAHMedian
NameV2X Leidos Science .KBR CACI Int.Booz All. 
Rev Chg LTM5.1%6.5%-0.4%10.2%12.6%2.4%5.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg26.7%6.9%-0.7%3.0%11.9%10.0%8.5%
Rev Chg Q7.9%6.7%-5.6%-0.3%11.2%-8.1%3.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.0%1.6%-1.5%-0.1%2.7%-2.1%0.8%
Op Mgn LTM4.4%11.8%7.1%6.7%9.0%9.5%8.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg3.6%10.3%7.0%7.0%8.7%8.7%7.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.0%-0.1%-0.3%-0.3%0.1%-2.0%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM4.4%8.7%6.3%6.9%7.7%7.8%7.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg3.3%8.0%6.2%6.0%6.0%6.4%6.1%
FCF/Rev LTM4.2%7.7%5.8%6.1%6.9%7.0%6.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.9%7.0%5.8%5.0%5.2%5.6%5.4%

Valuation

VVXLDOSSAICKBRCACIBAHMedian
NameV2X Leidos Science .KBR CACI Int.Booz All. 
Mkt Cap1.723.24.65.512.310.68.1
P/S0.41.40.60.71.21.00.9
P/EBIT9.911.8-8.413.810.910.9
P/E22.917.212.315.921.714.816.6
P/CFO9.416.19.810.816.113.512.2
Total Yield4.4%6.7%9.7%7.6%4.6%6.7%6.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.9%1.6%1.4%0.0%0.0%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.0%6.0%-5.3%4.2%4.1%5.3%
D/E0.60.2-0.50.30.30.3
Net D/E0.50.2-0.40.30.30.3

Returns

VVXLDOSSAICKBRCACIBAHMedian
NameV2X Leidos Science .KBR CACI Int.Booz All. 
1M Rtn2.5%-3.7%17.6%6.1%-4.4%6.0%4.2%
3M Rtn-4.4%-1.1%0.0%-11.8%13.1%-14.2%-2.7%
6M Rtn21.7%22.8%-1.5%-18.2%23.4%-14.2%10.1%
12M Rtn-2.7%22.0%-9.2%-23.5%35.1%-34.9%-5.9%
3Y Rtn43.0%79.5%-3.6%-13.4%85.7%-12.2%19.7%
1M Excs Rtn1.8%-4.5%16.9%5.4%-5.1%5.3%3.5%
3M Excs Rtn-9.0%-4.2%-1.0%-14.1%11.6%-15.3%-6.6%
6M Excs Rtn9.3%10.4%-13.9%-30.5%11.0%-26.5%-2.3%
12M Excs Rtn-13.1%8.9%-19.2%-36.7%25.7%-45.3%-16.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-27.1%6.6%-72.4%-82.2%19.3%-81.6%-49.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment3,9632,8911,7841,3961,383
Total3,9632,8911,7841,3961,383


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity723,054
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-11.4%
Average Daily Volume256,666
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.82
Basic Shares Quantity31,617,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.3%

Returns Analyses

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/3/2025-2.2%-3.7%-2.8%
8/4/202515.2%9.1%14.0%
5/5/2025-2.1%5.1%-9.4%
2/24/202515.7%8.9%21.0%
11/4/20241.2%11.0%-3.2%
8/6/2024-2.8%0.2%13.4%
3/5/202412.6%14.1%18.2%
11/6/2023-20.8%-18.6%-14.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive9119
# Negative11911
Median Positive5.8%6.5%13.4%
Median Negative-2.8%-8.1%-10.9%
Max Positive33.2%34.5%21.0%
Max Negative-20.8%-25.5%-25.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251103202510-Q 9/26/2025
6302025804202510-Q 6/27/2025
3312025505202510-Q 3/28/2025
12312024224202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/27/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/28/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/29/2024
12312023305202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/29/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022302202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 7/1/2022
3312022510202210-Q 4/1/2022
12312021307202210-K 12/31/2021