Wingstop (WING)


Market Price (8/17/2026): $117.84 | Market Cap: $3.2 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Wingstop (WING)


Market Price (8/17/2026): $117.84
Market Cap: $3.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 28%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, and Direct-to-Consumer Brands (Staples).

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -111%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -96%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 4.8x

Key risks
WING key risks include [1] its reliance on a single distributor and a limited group of suppliers and [2] its dependence on franchisee performance and their ability to successfully expand.

0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 28%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, and Direct-to-Consumer Brands (Staples).
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -111%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -96%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 4.8x
6 Key risks
WING key risks include [1] its reliance on a single distributor and a limited group of suppliers and [2] its dependence on franchisee performance and their ability to successfully expand.

WING in ETFs

Weight = WING's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
ITOT0.00%
IWB0.00%
IJH0.08%
VB0.04%
IJK0.16%
MDYG0.16%
VBK0.11%
+18 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Updated on 8/14/2026

Wingstop (WING) stock has lost about 25% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Significant Decline in Domestic Same-Store Sales. Wingstop reported a 7.5% decrease in domestic same-store sales for its fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 27, 2026. This performance was notably worse than the average analyst estimate of a 5.4% decline. This underperformance indicates a weakening demand in its core market.

2. Revenue Miss in Fiscal Q2 2026. The company's reported revenue of $185.6 million for fiscal Q2 2026 fell short of analyst expectations, which averaged around $190 million, resulting in a miss of approximately $4.7 million. Although revenue grew 6.4% year-over-year, the miss against estimates signaled a slowdown in growth relative to market expectations.

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Updated on 8/14/2026

Wingstop (WING) stock has lost about 25% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Significant Decline in Domestic Same-Store Sales. Wingstop reported a 7.5% decrease in domestic same-store sales for its fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 27, 2026. This performance was notably worse than the average analyst estimate of a 5.4% decline. This underperformance indicates a weakening demand in its core market.

2. Revenue Miss in Fiscal Q2 2026. The company's reported revenue of $185.6 million for fiscal Q2 2026 fell short of analyst expectations, which averaged around $190 million, resulting in a miss of approximately $4.7 million. Although revenue grew 6.4% year-over-year, the miss against estimates signaled a slowdown in growth relative to market expectations.

3. Reduction in Full-Year 2026 Domestic Same-Store Sales Guidance. Following the disappointing fiscal Q2 results, Wingstop's management revised its full-year 2026 domestic same-store sales growth guidance downwards to a decline of 4% to 6%. This lowered outlook suggests a more challenging operational environment for the remainder of the fiscal year compared to prior expectations.

4. Widespread Analyst Downgrades and Price Target Cuts. Several prominent financial analysts responded to the company's performance and revised outlook by lowering their price targets for Wingstop shares. For instance, Goldman Sachs dropped its price target from $290.00 to $190.00 on April 30, 2026, and Barclays lowered its target from $330.00 to $235.00 on the same date. Sanford C. Bernstein also decreased its price target from $220.00 to $155.00 on August 3, 2026. These substantial reductions reflect a deteriorating sentiment among institutional investors and analysts regarding the stock's near-term prospects.

5. Macroeconomic Headwinds Impacting Consumer Spending. The decline in domestic same-store sales was largely attributed to broader macroeconomic pressures affecting consumer spending, including factors such as inflation, soaring gas prices, and minimal real wage growth. These external conditions have particularly impacted lower-income, gas price-sensitive consumers, leading to reduced transaction volumes for Wingstop.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -22.7% change in WING stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/16/2026 was primarily driven by a -26.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020268162026Change
Stock Price ($)163.17126.12-22.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)7097211.6%
Net Income Margin (%)15.8%16.2%2.4%
P/E Multiple40.129.5-26.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)27270.9%
Cumulative Contribution-22.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/16/2026
ReturnCorrelation
WING-22.7% 
Market (SPY)8.0%5.2%
Sector (XLY)-0.1%19.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -52.2% change in WING stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/16/2026 was primarily driven by a -36.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)13120268162026Change
Stock Price ($)263.66126.12-52.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6837215.5%
Net Income Margin (%)25.5%16.2%-36.7%
P/E Multiple42.229.5-30.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)28272.4%
Cumulative Contribution-52.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/16/2026
ReturnCorrelation
WING-52.2% 
Market (SPY)12.5%18.0%
Sector (XLY)-2.3%24.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The -66.3% change in WING stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/16/2026 was primarily driven by a -51.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120258162026Change
Stock Price ($)373.98126.12-66.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6707217.6%
Net Income Margin (%)25.6%16.2%-36.9%
P/E Multiple60.929.5-51.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)28272.5%
Cumulative Contribution-66.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/16/2026
ReturnCorrelation
WING-66.3% 
Market (SPY)23.9%20.8%
Sector (XLY)7.4%27.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -24.0% change in WING stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/16/2026 was primarily driven by a -64.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120238162026Change
Stock Price ($)165.90126.12-24.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)39072184.8%
Net Income Margin (%)15.4%16.2%5.1%
P/E Multiple82.929.5-64.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)302710.0%
Cumulative Contribution-24.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/16/2026
ReturnCorrelation
WING-24.0% 
Market (SPY)75.6%30.4%
Sector (XLY)39.2%32.2%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
WING Return31%-17%87%11%-16%-52%-9%
Peers Return18%-19%39%20%-10%-4%37%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WING Win Rate58%33%75%67%42%38% 
Peers Win Rate53%38%55%55%42%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WING Max Drawdown-32%-58%-30%-34%-44%-61% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-35%-21%-22%-29%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DPZ, YUM, QSR, CMG, SHAK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/14/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventWINGS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-21.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.9%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven45 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-18.2%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven22.3%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven57 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-58.4%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven140.2%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven170 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-49.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven98.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven22 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-10.5%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven11.7%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven4 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-12.9%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven14.8%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven48 days6 days

Compare to DPZ, YUM, QSR, CMG, SHAK

In The Past

Wingstop's stock fell -21.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 27.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventWINGS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-21.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.9%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven45 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-58.4%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven140.2%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven170 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-49.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven98.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven22 days140 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-32.1%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven47.2%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven248 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-33.1%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven49.5%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven248 days15 days

Compare to DPZ, YUM, QSR, CMG, SHAK

In The Past

Wingstop's stock fell -21.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 27.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Wingstop (WING)

Wingstop Inc. (WING) is a global restaurant company that primarily franchises and operates quick-service restaurants under its distinctive Wingstop brand. The company's core business model is centered on expanding its presence through a vast network of franchised locations, alongside a smaller portfolio of company-owned stores, across domestic and international markets.

Wingstop's menu specializes in cooked-to-order chicken products, including classic bone-in wings, boneless wings, and tenders. These offerings are a key draw, known for being hand-sauced and tossed in a variety of unique flavors. The company caters to a broad customer base seeking flavorful, customizable, and convenient chicken-focused meals.

With a significant global footprint, Wingstop served a wide market, boasting over 1,700 restaurants across 44 U.S. states and 7 international countries as of late 2021. This widespread presence underscores its reach to diverse consumers looking for its signature wing experience.

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  • KFC for wings
  • The Domino's of wings
  • A McDonald's for chicken wings

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  • Classic Wings: Traditional bone-in chicken wings, cooked to order and tossed in various flavors.
  • Boneless Wings: All-white meat boneless chicken pieces, cooked to order and tossed in various flavors.
  • Tenders: Strips of all-white meat chicken, cooked to order and tossed in various flavors.

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Wingstop (WING) primarily sells its products directly to individual consumers and groups through its network of franchised and company-owned restaurants.

Here are up to three categories of customers that Wingstop serves:

  • Individual Consumers: This category includes people purchasing meals for their personal consumption, whether dining in, taking out, or ordering for delivery. These customers are typically looking for a quick, flavorful, and customizable meal option for lunch or dinner.

  • Families and Small Groups: Customers in this category purchase larger quantities of food to share among family members, friends, or small gatherings. Wingstop's menu, particularly its wings and tenders, is well-suited for group dining and sharing occasions.

  • Event Organizers / Party Planners: Individuals or groups ordering substantial quantities of food for larger events, parties, or corporate gatherings. Wingstop's offerings are a popular choice for catering casual social events and sports viewing parties.

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  • Tyson Foods, Inc. (TSN)
  • Pilgrim's Pride Corporation (PPC)
  • Cargill, Inc.

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Michael J. Skipworth, President & Chief Executive Officer

Michael J. Skipworth has served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Wingstop Inc. since March 2022. He joined Wingstop in December 2014, initially holding leadership roles in finance and accounting, including serving as Chief Financial Officer until August 2021. From August 2021 to March 2022, he was the company's President and Chief Operating Officer. Before joining Wingstop, Mr. Skipworth was Senior Vice President of Finance and Accounting and Vice President, Corporate Controller at Cardinal Logistics Holdings, LLC. He also worked in the audit and assurance practice at KPMG LLP.

Alex Kaleida, Chief Financial Officer

Alex Kaleida joined Wingstop in March 2019. He was appointed Chief Financial Officer in August 2021. Prior to this role, he served as Vice President for Financial Planning and Analysis and was responsible for investor relations at Wingstop.

Raj Kapoor, Chief Operating Officer

Raj Kapoor joined Wingstop in May 2023, initially serving as Senior Vice President and President of International. He was appointed Chief Operating Officer in January 2026. Before his time at Wingstop, Mr. Kapoor spent 27 years at 7-Eleven, where his roles included Senior Vice President of Fresh Food, Beverages and Restaurants from January 2018 to April 2023, and various other leadership positions across information technology and international operations.

Donnie S. Upshaw, Chief Brand & People Officer

Donnie S. Upshaw was appointed Chief People Officer in December 2021. He joined Wingstop in April 2018 as Vice President of People and later became Senior Vice President of People in November 2019. Prior to Wingstop, Mr. Upshaw served as Vice President of HR for Credit Corp for two years. He also held the position of Director of HR and Compliance at Energy Dispatch, a subsidiary of RaceTrac Petroleum Inc.

Brad Brewer, Chief Commercial Officer

Brad Brewer joined Wingstop in November 2024 and currently serves as Chief Commercial Officer. Previously, Mr. Brewer was a Partner at The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. He also held the position of Vice President at YETI Holdings, Inc.

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Key Risks to Wingstop's Business:

  1. Volatility in Raw Material Prices: Wingstop's profitability is significantly exposed to fluctuations in the cost of its primary ingredient, chicken. Increases in the price of bone-in chicken wings or other raw materials, such as spices and packaging, can directly impact the company's cost of sales and overall financial performance.
  2. Intense Competition: The fast-casual and quick-service restaurant industry is highly competitive. Wingstop faces significant competition from other fast-food chains and specialized chicken wing providers, which could negatively impact its market share, sales, and profitability.
  3. Dependence on Franchisees: As Wingstop operates predominantly through a franchise model (approximately 98% of its restaurants), its growth, revenue, and brand reputation are heavily reliant on the operational success, compliance, and expansion efforts of its independent franchisees. Any failure by franchisees to meet operational standards, comply with laws, or renew agreements could adversely affect the company's financial results and brand image.

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Wingstop Inc. (WING) operates within the quick-service restaurant (QSR) industry, with its primary products being classic wings, boneless wings, and tenders. The addressable markets for these products can be assessed at both global and regional (U.S.) levels, largely falling under the broader chicken segment of the fast-food market.

Global Addressable Markets

  • Global Chicken Wings Market: The global chicken wings market was valued at approximately USD 29.18 billion in 2026 and is projected to reach USD 46.7 billion by 2035, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 5.3% from 2026 to 2035. Another estimate places the global chicken wings market size at USD 31.86 billion in 2025, with projections to reach USD 50.48 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.1%. This market is primarily driven by the rising popularity of chicken wings as a flavorful and convenient snack, especially during sporting events, and increasing consumer preference for protein-rich foods.
  • Global Chicken/Poultry Meat Market: The broader global chicken/poultry meat market, which encompasses products like wings and tenders, was valued at US$ 160.62 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach US$ 268.35 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 5.87% from 2025 to 2033. The global poultry market size is also forecasted to be worth USD 482.57 billion in 2026, expected to achieve USD 662.67 billion by 2035.
  • Global Quick Service Restaurants (QSR) and Fast Food Market: The overall global quick service restaurants and fast food market, which includes various fast-food offerings such as chicken, was valued at USD 1,064.44 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 2462.71 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 8.75%.

U.S. Addressable Markets

  • U.S. Quick-Service Chicken Restaurants Segment: In the United States, the quick-service chicken restaurant segment is a significant market. As of 2025, U.S. quick-service chicken restaurants generated roughly USD 60–65 billion in annual revenue. This segment is projected to continue growing, reaching around USD 67 billion by 2030. The U.S. chicken QSR industry generates approximately USD 63.7 billion in annual revenue in 2025.
  • U.S. Chicken Wings Market: The United States is a dominant market for chicken wings, accounting for over 50% of global consumption. North America, as a region, accounts for 38% of the global chicken wings market share, largely supported by high demand from quick-service restaurants.
  • U.S. Chicken Market (including tenders): The broader U.S. chicken market, which includes various chicken products such as tenders, was valued at USD 46.41 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 77.9 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 6.7%. Chicken tenders, along with boneless fried chicken pieces and nuggets, contribute significantly to this market, appealing to a wide consumer base. The market for "further-processed, ready-to-eat (RTE) items like nuggets and pre-marinated tenders" falls under the larger U.S. chicken market.

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Wingstop (WING) is expected to drive future revenue growth through several key initiatives over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Global Unit Expansion: Wingstop is pursuing aggressive global unit growth, with plans to scale to over 10,000 restaurants worldwide. The company opened 493 net new restaurants in 2025, representing a 19.2% unit growth rate, and is targeting 15-16% global unit growth for 2026. This expansion includes a significant focus on international markets, with specific plans for accelerating development in regions such as the UK, where over 20 new sites are planned for 2025.
  2. Domestic Same-Store Sales Growth: The company anticipates continued growth in domestic same-store sales, primarily driven by an increase in transactions. Wingstop reported 18.3% domestic same-store sales growth in 2023 and provided guidance for low double-digit domestic same-store sales growth in 2024, with an aim for approximately 20% for the full fiscal year 2024. For 2026, management expects flat to low-single-digit domestic same-store sales growth.
  3. Digital Sales and Technology Investments: Digital sales consistently represent a significant portion of system-wide sales, reaching 68.3% in fiscal first quarter 2024. Wingstop's investment in an in-house technology platform, "My Wingstop," and the national rollout of the "Smart Kitchen" are intended to enhance efficiency and customer experience. Additionally, the launch of the "Club Wingstop" loyalty program is aimed at driving customer acquisition, retention, and increased frequency of visits.
  4. Average Unit Volume (AUV) Expansion: Increasing average unit volumes (AUVs) is a key driver, as it strengthens returns for franchisees and supports further development. Domestic AUVs exceeded $1.9 million in the first quarter of 2024 and are projected to surpass the company's $2 million goal, with a long-term target of $3 million.

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Share Repurchases

  • Wingstop initiated a share repurchase program of up to $250 million in August 2023.
  • In December 2024, the board authorized an additional $500 million for repurchases, and the company anticipated executing a $250 million accelerated share repurchase (ASR) program in Q4 2024.
  • As of March 2026, the board authorized an additional $300 million for share repurchases. Since the program's inception in August 2023, Wingstop has invested nearly $700 million to repurchase approximately 2.6 million shares, including over 1.2 million shares in 2025. Approximately $91.3 million remained available under the program as of December 27, 2025.

Inbound Investments

  • Sixth Street made a £400 million investment in Wingstop UK in October 2025.
  • In December 2024, Wingstop completed a $500 million securitized financing transaction, increasing its outstanding debt to support its capital return strategy. The company also increased its revolving financing facility to $300 million for liquidity and general corporate purposes.

Outbound Investments

  • In Q1 2025, Wingstop reinvested $75.4 million to acquire an 18.75% non-controlling equity stake in a newly formed entity after receiving $107.7 million from a transaction where it was a minority shareholder in LPH since 2021.

Capital Expenditures

  • Wingstop's capital expenditures were $3.98 million in fiscal year 2023, $22 million in fiscal year 2024, and $47.4 million in fiscal year 2025.
  • The primary focus of capital expenditures includes investments in technology, such as the development and implementation of new enterprise resource planning, human capital management, and global development technology systems, including the Wingstop Smart Kitchen.

Better Bets vs. Wingstop (WING)

Peer Outperformance in Restaurants

WING has trailed 58% of its 33 Restaurants peers over 5Y. Restaurants ranks 12th of 23 industries in Consumer Discretionary by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Restaurants constituents that WING has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
2%
of 43 industry peers · -62.3% return
3Y
44%
of 41 industry peers · -22.2% return
5Y
42%
of 33 industry peers · -20.0% return
No Restaurants peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten WING by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Consumer Discretionary sector, ranked by 5Y. Restaurants is WING's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Education Services 14 -3.4%103.8%71.6% LINC 384% · UTI 272% · CVSA 267%
Homebuilding 18 -0.4%35.7%60.7% GRBK 187% · TOL 167% · PHM 160%
Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines 22 22.8%57.3%22.7% RCL 313% · MAR 185% · HLT 176%
Home Improvement Retail 5 -12.9%5.3%14.8% LOW 32% · HD 20% · HVT 15%
Automotive Retail 18 -4.4%3.8%12.6% MUSA 280% · PAG 188% · ORLY 128%
Specialty Stores 7 12.1%29.3%10.2% DKS 122% · SIG 50% · ASO 39%
Casinos & Gaming 20 -5.2%-17.7%4.3% BRAG 1029% · MCRI 120% · RSI 102%
Home Furnishings 4 7.5%44.8%3.6% SGI 61% · LZB 37% · MHK -30%
Specialized Consumer Services 10 -11.1%24.2%-0.1% HRB 147% · FTDR 105% · SCI 41%
Footwear 9 69.3%48.3%-5.1% WEYS 148% · DECK 32% · SHOO 32%
Distributors 4 -6.9%-22.7%-8.1% ARMK 169% · GPC 26% · LKQ -42%
Restaurants ← 34 -4.9%-8.5%-12.1% EAT 366% · CAKE 199% · RAVE 167%
Leisure Products 13 -1.1%-18.4%-29.7% GOLF 85% · HAS 21% · MCFT 2%
Automotive Parts & Equipment 38 -0.1%-2.1%-30.3% MOD 1461% · GTX 298% · STRT 98%
Apparel Retail 25 9.0%6.7%-37.7% ANF 204% · DXLG 201% · TJX 136%
Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods 27 9.5%2.1%-38.4% ELA 287% · RL 261% · TPR 249%
Household Appliances 18 9.5%39.5%-38.6% KEQU 171% · HBB 126% · FLXS 126%
Leisure Facilities 12 -13.2%-7.4%-41.4% OSW 195% · JAKK 116% · ESCA 9%
Broadline Retail 15 7.3%13.3%-50.0% DDS 272% · AMZN 62% · M 55%
Computer & Electronics Retail 3 -8.6%1.5%-54.4% BBY -2% · GME -54% · UPBD -57%
Automobile Manufacturers 8 -67.9%-66.9%-69.9% GM 79% · TSLA 54% · F 51%
Consumer Electronics 11 -22.3%-24.4%-73.6% AXIL 1863% · GRMN 106% · TBCH -51%
Other Specialty Retail 18 -27.5%-44.4%-78.4% BBW 220% · TLF 104% · WINA 104%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

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Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WINGDPZYUMQSRCMGSHAKMedian
NameWingstop Domino's.Yum Bran.Restaura.Chipotle.Shake Sh. 
Mkt Price126.12346.27148.1177.6433.5074.84101.88
Mkt Cap3.411.540.727.042.83.019.3
Rev LTM7215,0288,7249,69912,4241,5526,876
Op Inc LTM2019692,6502,6151,918821,444
FCF LTM1286531,6791,6321,569-121,111
FCF 3Y Avg985931,5271,3881,44517990
CFO LTM1897782,0831,9042,3281921,341
CFO 3Y Avg1517061,8491,6032,0991761,155

Growth & Margins

WINGDPZYUMQSRCMGSHAKMedian
NameWingstop Domino's.Yum Bran.Restaura.Chipotle.Shake Sh. 
Rev Chg LTM7.6%5.2%10.3%6.5%7.3%17.3%7.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg20.8%3.7%7.8%12.9%10.2%16.1%11.6%
Rev Chg Q6.4%4.3%12.3%4.6%9.3%17.2%7.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.6%1.0%2.8%1.1%2.3%4.1%2.0%
Op Inc Chg LTM17.7%7.2%8.7%11.4%-4.0%20.9%10.0%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg24.2%7.7%6.2%7.8%9.1%102.5%8.5%
Op Mgn LTM27.9%19.3%30.4%27.0%15.4%5.3%23.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg26.6%18.9%31.3%27.3%16.7%4.5%22.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.9%-0.1%-0.2%0.3%-0.5%-0.2%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM26.3%15.5%23.9%19.6%18.7%12.3%19.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg23.6%14.7%23.3%18.2%18.1%13.1%18.2%
FCF/Rev LTM17.8%13.0%19.2%16.8%12.6%-0.8%14.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg15.4%12.3%19.3%15.8%12.5%1.4%13.9%

Valuation

WINGDPZYUMQSRCMGSHAKMedian
NameWingstop Domino's.Yum Bran.Restaura.Chipotle.Shake Sh. 
Mkt Cap3.411.540.727.042.83.019.3
P/S4.82.34.72.83.41.93.1
P/Op Inc17.111.915.410.322.336.716.2
P/EBIT17.111.915.010.422.345.016.1
P/E29.519.318.421.230.176.025.4
P/CFO18.114.819.614.218.415.816.9
Total Yield4.4%7.3%7.4%8.9%3.3%1.3%5.8%
Dividend Yield1.0%2.1%2.0%4.2%0.0%0.0%1.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.4%4.5%3.7%6.0%2.4%0.3%3.0%
D/E0.40.00.30.60.10.30.3
Net D/E0.30.00.30.50.10.20.2

Returns

WINGDPZYUMQSRCMGSHAKMedian
NameWingstop Domino's.Yum Bran.Restaura.Chipotle.Shake Sh. 
1M Rtn-11.1%7.5%0.1%3.5%-2.7%29.0%1.8%
3M Rtn-2.1%15.3%-0.8%3.3%2.6%23.9%3.0%
6M Rtn-42.7%-6.7%-6.9%19.5%-7.7%-15.1%-7.3%
12M Rtn-62.3%-21.8%1.9%23.3%-23.9%-30.0%-22.9%
3Y Rtn-22.2%-5.1%20.8%23.7%-9.4%8.0%1.4%
1M Excs Rtn-13.6%1.7%-6.0%-2.7%-5.4%23.0%-4.1%
3M Excs Rtn2.8%10.8%-5.0%-1.3%0.6%17.2%1.7%
6M Excs Rtn-57.3%-22.2%-22.4%5.2%-20.5%-29.8%-22.3%
12M Excs Rtn-83.3%-42.1%-16.1%2.5%-43.4%-51.2%-42.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-95.7%-82.7%-56.5%-56.9%-83.8%-75.3%-79.0%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Restaurant697626460358 
Advertising fees    82
Company-owned restaurant sales    70
Royalty revenue, franchise fees and other    131
Total697626460358283


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20192018201720162015
Franchise segment3431322620
Company segment910566
Corporate and other -2 -2-6
Total4339362920


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Restaurant1741097053
Total1741097053


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20192018201720162015
Franchise segment11897989597
Company segment262014109
Corporate and other23228715
Total166140120112121


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$126.12 
Market Cap ($ Bil)3.4 
First Trading Date06/12/2015 
Distance from 52W High-62.6% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$144.69$198.35
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-12.8%-36.4%
 3M1YR
Volatility61.2%60.4%
Downside Capture82.76219.69
Upside Capture55.2658.27
Correlation (SPY)8.6%21.7%
WING Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-1.640.760.471.011.051.05
Up Beta-2.500.500.04-0.040.361.04
Down Beta-0.960.740.250.731.010.83
Up Capture-331%19%5%47%41%103%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days8212854109392
Down Capture66%134%128%190%155%107%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days14223572143361

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with WING
WING-63.0%60.3%-1.41-
Sector ETF (XLY)3.5%19.4%0.0527.4%
Equity (SPY)21.5%12.8%1.2521.2%
Gold (GLD)30.0%28.5%0.918.3%
Commodities (DBC)38.1%20.1%1.49-7.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)14.4%13.9%0.7317.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-49.1%42.8%-1.456.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with WING
WING-5.4%51.8%0.08-
Sector ETF (XLY)6.3%24.0%0.2243.2%
Equity (SPY)13.4%17.2%0.6040.5%
Gold (GLD)19.5%18.6%0.854.9%
Commodities (DBC)9.6%19.6%0.380.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.3%18.9%0.0229.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)8.0%52.8%0.3421.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with WING
WING19.8%46.7%0.56-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.5%22.2%0.5143.7%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7339.9%
Gold (GLD)12.0%16.2%0.607.4%
Commodities (DBC)7.7%18.0%0.348.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%20.7%0.2030.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)59.9%66.1%1.0013.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 7152026-7.8%
Average Daily Volume1.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.3 days
Basic Shares Quantity27.2 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares15.6%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/7/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/29/20263.4%-9.9% 
4/29/2026-1.0%-15.2%-8.6%
2/18/202610.8%-2.0%-24.0%
11/4/202510.9%11.2%23.0%
7/30/202526.9%16.6%17.0%
4/30/202514.5%15.8%47.9%
2/19/2025-13.4%-21.9%-29.8%
10/30/2024-21.4%-16.3%-10.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141311
# Negative101112
Median Positive9.1%11.2%17.0%
Median Negative-3.3%-9.9%-9.4%
Max Positive26.9%30.3%47.9%
Max Negative-21.4%-23.5%-29.8%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/29/20263.4%-9.9% 
4/29/2026-1.0%-15.2%-8.6%
2/18/202610.8%-2.0%-24.0%
11/4/202510.9%11.2%23.0%
7/30/202526.9%16.6%17.0%
4/30/202514.5%15.8%47.9%
2/19/2025-13.4%-21.9%-29.8%
10/30/2024-21.4%-16.3%-10.1%
7/31/2024-0.7%-2.3%3.2%
5/1/2024-0.2%3.4%0.4%
2/21/2024-4.4%4.5%7.4%
11/1/20237.5%13.4%31.6%
8/2/2023-0.4%-4.3%-3.1%
5/3/20239.4%1.2%-0.2%
2/22/20237.7%2.5%10.2%
10/26/202215.3%14.9%17.8%
7/28/202220.2%30.3%25.6%
5/4/20228.8%-9.2%-10.9%
2/16/20223.2%-11.6%-23.1%
11/3/2021-10.0%-0.4%-5.2%
7/28/2021-2.2%1.8%-0.6%
4/28/20216.0%8.1%-2.8%
2/17/2021-13.2%-23.5%-20.4%
11/2/20200.2%13.7%15.3%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141311
# Negative101112
Median Positive9.1%11.2%17.0%
Median Negative-3.3%-9.9%-9.4%
Max Positive26.9%30.3%47.9%
Max Negative-21.4%-23.5%-29.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/29/202610-Q
03/31/202604/29/202610-Q
12/31/202502/18/202610-K
09/30/202511/04/202510-Q
06/30/202507/30/202510-Q
03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
12/31/202402/19/202510-K
09/30/202410/30/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202405/01/202410-Q
12/31/202302/21/202410-K
09/30/202311/01/202310-Q
06/30/202308/02/202310-Q
03/31/202305/03/202310-Q
12/31/202202/22/202310-K
09/30/202210/26/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/29/202610-Q
03/31/202604/29/202610-Q
12/31/202502/18/202610-K
09/30/202511/04/202510-Q
06/30/202507/30/202510-Q
03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
12/31/202402/19/202510-K
09/30/202410/30/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202405/01/202410-Q
12/31/202302/21/202410-K
09/30/202311/01/202310-Q
06/30/202308/02/202310-Q
03/31/202305/03/202310-Q
12/31/202202/22/202310-K
09/30/202210/26/202210-Q
06/30/202207/28/202210-Q
03/31/202205/04/202210-Q
12/31/202102/16/202210-K
09/30/202111/03/202110-Q
06/30/202107/28/202110-Q
03/31/202104/28/202110-Q
12/31/202002/18/202110-K
09/30/202011/02/202010-Q
06/30/202007/29/202010-Q
03/31/202005/06/202010-Q
12/31/201902/19/202010-K
09/30/201910/30/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/30/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 7/29/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Domestic same store sales growth-6.0%-5.0%-4.0%   
2026 SG&A140.00 Mil141.50 Mil143.00 Mil-4.1% LoweredGuidance: 147.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Stock-based compensation expense 24.00 Mil -14.3% LoweredGuidance: 28.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Depreciation and amortization 33.00 Mil 10.0% RaisedGuidance: 30.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Global unit growth rate15.0%15.5%16.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 15.5% for 2026
2026 Interest expense, net 43.00 Mil 0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 43.00 Mil for 2026

Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/29/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 SG&A146.00 Mil147.50 Mil149.00 Mil-3.3% LoweredGuidance: 152.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Stock-based compensation expense 28.00 Mil -12.5% LoweredGuidance: 32.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Global unit growth rate15.0%15.5%16.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 15.5% for 2026
2026 Interest expense, net 43.00 Mil 0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 43.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Depreciation and amortization 30.00 Mil 0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 30.00 Mil for 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/18/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Domestic same store sales growth0.0%2.0%4.0% 5.5%Higher NewActual: -3.5% for 2025
2026 Global unit growth rate15.0%15.5%16.0%   
2026 SG&A151.00 Mil152.50 Mil154.00 Mil16.0% Higher NewActual: 131.50 Mil for 2025
2026 Stock-based compensation expense 32.00 Mil 23.1% Higher NewActual: 26.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Interest expense, net 43.00 Mil 14.7% Higher NewActual: 37.50 Mil for 2025
2026 Depreciation and amortization 30.00 Mil 15.4% Higher NewActual: 26.00 Mil for 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/4/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Domestic same store sales growth-4.0%-3.5%-3.0% -4.5%LoweredGuidance: 1.0% for 2025
2025 Global net new units475480485   
2025 SG&A131.00 Mil131.50 Mil132.00 Mil-6.1% LoweredGuidance: 140.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Depreciation and amortization 26.00 Mil -8.8% LoweredGuidance: 28.50 Mil for 2025
2025 Interest expense, net 37.50 Mil -3.8% LoweredGuidance: 39.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Stock-based compensation expense 26.00 Mil 0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 26.00 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 8/10/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Fallon, ChristopherFormer SVP & CIODirectSell5122026125.9325031,48233,623Form
2Fallon, ChristopherSVP, Chief Information OfficerDirectSell3122026220.7817739,079114,145Form
3Madati, Kilandigalu DirectSell2272026260.732,700703,958673,453Form
4McDonald, Wesley S DirectSell2252026250.00566141,5001,093,750Form
5Madati, Kilandigalu DirectSell11262025259.9726969,9311,373,406Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Fallon, ChristopherFormer SVP & CIODirectSell5122026125.9325031,48233,623Form
2Fallon, ChristopherSVP, Chief Information OfficerDirectSell3122026220.7817739,079114,145Form
3Madati, Kilandigalu DirectSell2272026260.732,700703,958673,453Form
4McDonald, Wesley S DirectSell2252026250.00566141,5001,093,750Form
5Madati, Kilandigalu DirectSell11262025259.9726969,9311,373,406Form
6Carona, MarisaSVP & Chief US Fran & Dev OpsDirectSell8012025370.3411,938  Form
7Kaleida, AlexSVP, Chief Financial OfficerDirectSell8012025376.095,4002,030,8883,144,867Form
8Skipworth, MichaelPresident and CEODirectSell8012025370.344,5001,666,51515,841,889Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 17, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Darsana Capital Partners LP$193.7 Mil4.1%14ADD +25.0%13F
Two Creeks Capital Management, LP$26.8 Mil2.8%21Hold13F
Rivermont Capital Management LP$12.7 Mil2.7%20ADD +32.3%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Rivermont Capital Management LP$12.7 Mil2.7%20ADD +32.3%13F
Darsana Capital Partners LP$193.7 Mil4.1%14ADD +25.0%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Lone Pine Capital LLC$380.5 Mil2.8%32Exited13F
12 West Capital Management LP$18.8 Mil2.2%18Exited13F
Fund 1 Investments, LLC$6.0 Mil0.9%49Exited13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Darsana Capital Partners LP$193.7 Mil4.1%14ADD +25.0%13F
Two Creeks Capital Management, LP$26.8 Mil2.8%21Hold13F
Rivermont Capital Management LP$12.7 Mil2.7%20ADD +32.3%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/16/2026