Tearsheet

Domino's Pizza (DPZ)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $438.4 | Market Cap: $14.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Domino's Pizza (DPZ)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $438.4
Market Cap: $14.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -30%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -42%
Key risks
DPZ key risks include [1] rising operating costs causing a slowdown in new store openings by its franchisees, Show more.
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Direct-to-Consumer Brands (Staples), Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Direct-to-Consumer Brands (Staples), Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -30%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -42%
5 Key risks
DPZ key risks include [1] rising operating costs causing a slowdown in new store openings by its franchisees, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DPZ Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Decline in Q3 2025 Net Income and Diluted EPS. Domino's Pizza reported a 5.2% decline in net income and a 2.6% decrease in diluted earnings per share (EPS) to $4.08 for the third quarter of 2025, despite revenue growth. This decline in profitability metrics could negatively influence investor sentiment.

2. Signals of Slowing Sales Momentum and Weak Consumer Sentiment. Around early November 2025, reports indicated that Domino's Pizza reached a new 52-week low, signaling slowing sales momentum and weaker consumer sentiment looking into the fourth quarter of 2025. This raised concerns about future performance despite a strong third-quarter earnings report.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DPZ Return32%48%-38%21%3%5%59%
Peers Return25%-20%28%3%15%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DPZ Win Rate58%67%42%50%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate55%37%53%45%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DPZ Max Drawdown-8%-14%-46%-16%-3%-4% 
Peers Max Drawdown-9%-36%-9%-17%-9% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: YUM, PZZA, MCD, QSR, DASH. See DPZ Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDPZS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-48.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven94.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-23.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven30.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven37 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven177 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-86.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven649.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven897 days1,480 days

Compare to MCD, YUM, QSR, DRI, WING


In The Past

Domino's Pizza's stock fell -48.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -48.6% loss requires a 94.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Domino's Pizza (DPZ)

Better Bets than Domino's Pizza (DPZ)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DPZ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
DPZ_3312020_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%03312020DPZDomino's PizzaQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
31.2%14.5%0.0%
DPZ_7312017_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%07312017DPZDomino's PizzaQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
16.0%42.2%-9.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
DPZ_3312020_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%03312020DPZDomino's PizzaQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
31.2%14.5%0.0%
DPZ_7312017_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%07312017DPZDomino's PizzaQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
16.0%42.2%-9.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Domino's Pizza

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DPZYUMPZZAMCDQSRDASHMedian
NameDomino's.Yum Bran.Papa Joh.McDonald.Restaura.DoorDash  
Mkt Price438.42153.1440.97318.6970.20221.30187.22
Mkt Cap14.942.61.3227.223.094.932.8
Rev LTM4,8488,0612,08626,2639,10612,6358,584
Op Inc LTM9282,48510812,1132,3486951,638
FCF LTM6321,564797,3721,3541,9921,459
FCF 3Y Avg5341,413727,0491,2401,5501,326
CFO LTM7301,90615710,4851,5882,5281,747
CFO 3Y Avg6381,7121499,7041,4051,9461,558

Growth & Margins

DPZYUMPZZAMCDQSRDASHMedian
NameDomino's.Yum Bran.Papa Joh.McDonald.Restaura.DoorDash  
Rev Chg LTM3.9%11.6%-0.6%1.2%21.8%24.5%7.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.6%6.4%-0.3%4.2%14.2%27.8%5.3%
Rev Chg Q6.2%8.4%0.3%3.0%15.9%27.3%7.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.4%1.9%0.1%0.8%3.8%6.2%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM19.1%30.8%5.2%46.1%25.8%5.5%22.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg18.4%31.7%6.1%45.9%28.8%-2.1%23.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%-0.0%-0.6%-0.0%-0.6%0.9%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM15.1%23.6%7.5%39.9%17.4%20.0%18.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.7%23.0%7.1%37.7%18.1%18.5%18.3%
FCF/Rev LTM13.0%19.4%3.8%28.1%14.9%15.8%15.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.4%18.9%3.4%27.4%16.0%14.7%15.4%

Valuation

DPZYUMPZZAMCDQSRDASHMedian
NameDomino's.Yum Bran.Papa Joh.McDonald.Restaura.DoorDash  
Mkt Cap14.942.61.3227.223.094.932.8
P/S3.05.20.88.22.39.24.1
P/EBIT15.316.916.817.79.8167.916.9
P/E24.829.241.425.724.5135.227.5
P/CFO20.122.210.120.713.246.120.4
Total Yield5.6%5.3%6.3%6.2%9.2%0.7%5.9%
Dividend Yield1.5%1.8%3.9%2.3%5.1%0.0%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.7%3.6%3.9%3.4%5.8%2.5%3.7%
D/E0.30.30.60.30.80.00.3
Net D/E0.30.20.60.20.7-0.00.3

Returns

DPZYUMPZZAMCDQSRDASHMedian
NameDomino's.Yum Bran.Papa Joh.McDonald.Restaura.DoorDash  
1M Rtn8.8%3.9%1.9%5.2%3.1%5.1%4.5%
3M Rtn0.5%3.8%-10.2%5.1%9.9%-14.6%2.1%
6M Rtn-1.1%11.7%-14.6%11.3%8.3%0.3%4.3%
12M Rtn-0.3%15.9%2.1%10.1%8.0%25.0%9.1%
3Y Rtn28.1%25.4%-45.7%28.4%17.6%321.4%26.8%
1M Excs Rtn8.1%3.2%1.1%4.4%2.4%4.3%3.8%
3M Excs Rtn1.0%4.6%-10.8%5.1%10.2%-18.8%2.8%
6M Excs Rtn-13.5%-0.6%-27.0%-1.1%-4.1%-12.1%-8.1%
12M Excs Rtn-12.8%2.9%-15.4%-1.1%-4.4%15.3%-2.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-42.1%-43.3%-115.5%-44.9%-53.2%213.0%-44.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Supply chain2,7152,8982,7002,5532,232
Unites States (U.S) Stores1,4541,4871,4981,4511,273
International franchise310295298250241
General and administrative - other 0  0
Intersegment Revenues -143-139-136-127
Total4,4794,5374,3574,1173,619


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Unites States (U.S) Stores521439455435362
International franchise260236242198187
Supply chain245209230238200
Refranchising loss-021   
Loss on sale/disposal of assets-1-2-1-3-2
Non-cash equity-based compensation expense-38-29-29-24-20
Depreciation and amortization-81-80-73-65-60
General and administrative - other-87-26-43-53-37
Recapitalization-related expenses 0-1 -1
Total820768780726629


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Unallocated773663731698662
Supply chain632614558520409
Unites States (U.S) Stores232288341308252
International franchise3837414123
International supply chain    36
Total1,6751,6021,6721,5671,382


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,613,769
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520256.1%
Average Daily Volume455,778
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.73
Basic Shares Quantity33,919,706
Short % of Basic Shares7.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/14/20253.9%3.6%0.2%
7/21/2025-0.8%4.2%-4.5%
2/24/2025-1.5%5.9%1.2%
10/10/2024-1.1%3.7%8.5%
7/18/2024-13.6%-10.3%-6.1%
2/26/20245.8%3.1%7.6%
10/12/2023-1.1%-2.5%4.4%
7/24/20230.1%4.0%-1.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive8911
# Negative1097
Median Positive4.9%4.2%6.4%
Median Negative-1.5%-6.5%-4.5%
Max Positive25.6%23.4%18.6%
Max Negative-13.6%-13.4%-9.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251014202510-Q 9/7/2025
6302025721202510-Q 6/15/2025
3312025428202510-Q 3/23/2025
12312024224202510-K 12/29/2024
93020241010202410-Q 9/8/2024
6302024718202410-Q 6/16/2024
3312024429202410-Q 3/24/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231012202310-Q 9/10/2023
6302023724202310-Q 6/18/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/26/2023
12312022223202310-K 1/1/2023
93020221013202210-Q 9/11/2022
6302022721202210-Q 6/19/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/27/2022
12312021301202210-K 1/2/2022