Intuitive Machines (LUNR)


Market Price (8/11/2026): $15.515 | Market Cap: $1.9 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Intuitive Machines (LUNR)


Market Price (8/11/2026): $15.515
Market Cap: $1.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Space Economy. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Lunar Logistics & Services, Show more.

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -87 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -42%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.1x

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -21%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.9%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.7%

High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 111%

Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 32%

Key risks
LUNR key risks include [1] technical mission failures that can damage its reputation and investor confidence, Show more.

0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Space Economy. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Lunar Logistics & Services, Show more.
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -87 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -42%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.1x
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -21%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.9%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.7%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 111%
8 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 32%
9 Key risks
LUNR key risks include [1] technical mission failures that can damage its reputation and investor confidence, Show more.

LUNR in ETFs

Weight = LUNR's share of each fund

IWM0.06%
VB0.02%
NASA3.3%
ARKX1.7%
ARKQ1.6%
MISL0.30%
ITA0.13%
IWO0.12%
+7 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/7/2026

Intuitive Machines (LUNR) stock has lost about 40% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Missed Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings: Intuitive Machines reported its fiscal Q1 2026 results on May 14, 2026, announcing a loss of ($0.25) per share, significantly missing analysts' consensus estimates of ($0.07) per share. Additionally, the company's revenue of $186.73 million fell short of the consensus estimate of $202.95 million. This substantial earnings and revenue miss likely contributed to a negative investor reaction following its announcement.

2. Significant Insider Selling Activity: Insiders engaged in substantial selling of Intuitive Machines stock between May and July 2026. Over the 90 days preceding August 6, 2026, insiders sold approximately 12.3 million shares valued at $169.1 million. A notable transaction included Advent's sale of 11,495,514 shares for roughly $147.6 million on July 28, 2026. Such large-scale insider sales can signal a lack of confidence from within the company, thereby putting significant downward pressure on the stock price.

Show more
Updated on 8/7/2026

Intuitive Machines (LUNR) stock has lost about 40% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Missed Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings: Intuitive Machines reported its fiscal Q1 2026 results on May 14, 2026, announcing a loss of ($0.25) per share, significantly missing analysts' consensus estimates of ($0.07) per share. Additionally, the company's revenue of $186.73 million fell short of the consensus estimate of $202.95 million. This substantial earnings and revenue miss likely contributed to a negative investor reaction following its announcement.

2. Significant Insider Selling Activity: Insiders engaged in substantial selling of Intuitive Machines stock between May and July 2026. Over the 90 days preceding August 6, 2026, insiders sold approximately 12.3 million shares valued at $169.1 million. A notable transaction included Advent's sale of 11,495,514 shares for roughly $147.6 million on July 28, 2026. Such large-scale insider sales can signal a lack of confidence from within the company, thereby putting significant downward pressure on the stock price.

3. Negative Market Reaction to Upcoming Earnings Announcement and Mixed Analyst Sentiment: The announcement on July 28, 2026, regarding the upcoming release of fiscal Q2 2026 results on August 13, 2026, was met with a negative market response, as LUNR's stock declined 7.92% on July 29, 2026, indicating investor anxiety. Analysts generally hold a "Hold" consensus rating for the stock, forecasting a continued loss of $0.0904 per share for fiscal Q2 2026. This mixed analyst sentiment, coupled with the expectation of ongoing losses following the previous quarter's miss, contributes to investor caution and pressure on the stock.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -37.8% change in LUNR stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -37.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020268102026Change
Stock Price ($)25.3515.78-37.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2072070.0%
P/S Multiple14.69.1-37.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1191190.0%
Cumulative Contribution-37.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LUNR-37.8% 
Market (SPY)7.6%49.6%
Sector (XLI)5.7%27.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -16.9% change in LUNR stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -11.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120268102026Change
Stock Price ($)18.9915.78-16.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)218207-5.2%
P/S Multiple10.29.1-11.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)118119-1.2%
Cumulative Contribution-16.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LUNR-16.9% 
Market (SPY)12.0%45.7%
Sector (XLI)11.9%32.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 41.4% change in LUNR stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 65.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120258102026Change
Stock Price ($)11.1615.7841.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)217207-4.7%
P/S Multiple5.59.165.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)107119-10.2%
Cumulative Contribution41.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LUNR41.4% 
Market (SPY)23.3%40.9%
Sector (XLI)22.7%34.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 86.7% change in LUNR stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)73120238102026Change
Stock Price ($)8.4515.7886.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2070.0%
P/S Multiple9.10.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)18119-84.8%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LUNR86.7% 
Market (SPY)74.8%34.1%
Sector (XLI)74.1%32.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
LUNR Return-0%4%-74%611%-11%1%70%
Peers Return3%-12%22%164%34%26%387%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LUNR Win Rate50%75%33%67%58%62% 
Peers Win Rate45%52%47%57%53%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LUNR Max Drawdown--1%-97%-70%-72%-75% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-46%-31%-31%-38%-44% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: RKLB, RDW, LMT, NOC, BA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/10/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventLUNRS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-66.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven202.2%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven303 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-14.8%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.4%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven10 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-68.1%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven213.1%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven116 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-32.7%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven48.6%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven270 days31 days

Compare to RKLB, RDW, LMT, NOC, BA

In The Past

Intuitive Machines's stock fell -66.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 202.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventLUNRS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-66.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven202.2%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven303 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-68.1%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven213.1%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven116 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-32.7%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven48.6%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven270 days31 days

Compare to RKLB, RDW, LMT, NOC, BA

In The Past

Intuitive Machines's stock fell -66.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 202.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Intuitive Machines (LUNR)

Intuitive Machines (LUNR) is a leading space exploration company dedicated to supporting sustained robotic and human missions to the Moon, Mars, and other celestial bodies. Founded in 2013, the company develops and supplies critical space products and services that facilitate off-world operations and expand humanity's presence beyond Earth.

The company's offerings are structured across several key business units. "Lunar Access Services" involves providing transportation and delivery of payloads to the lunar surface. "Orbital Services" focuses on activities within Earth and lunar orbits, while "Lunar Data Services" encompasses the collection, processing, and transmission of valuable data from lunar missions. Additionally, its "Space Products and Infrastructure" unit develops and supplies essential hardware, components, and foundational systems necessary for space operations.

Intuitive Machines primarily serves customers involved in governmental and commercial space exploration initiatives. Its main customers include national space agencies, scientific research organizations, and private companies seeking access to lunar resources, data, or the capability to conduct missions in deep space. The company operates within the rapidly expanding global space economy, targeting markets related to lunar logistics, scientific research, and the development of extraterrestrial infrastructure.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Intuitive Machines (LUNR):

  • Like the Amazon Web Services (AWS) for lunar exploration, providing the foundational data, access, and infrastructure services for others to operate on the Moon.
  • Imagine a specialized FedEx for the Moon, delivering cargo, experiments, and equipment to the lunar surface.

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  • Lunar Access Services: Providing transportation and delivery services for payloads to the lunar surface.
  • Orbital Services: Offering support and operations for assets in various Earth and lunar orbits, including data relay and mission support.
  • Lunar Data Services: Collecting, processing, and distributing valuable scientific and operational data acquired from lunar missions.
  • Space Products and Infrastructure: Manufacturing and supplying specialized components, systems, and foundational infrastructure for space exploration and operations.

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Intuitive Machines (LUNR) primarily sells its space products and services to government entities and other organizations involved in space exploration and development. Its major customer is:

  • National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)

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  • SpaceX (Private Company)
  • KinetX Aerospace (Private Company)

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Stephen Altemus, Chief Executive Officer and President

Stephen Altemus is a co-founder of Intuitive Machines, LLC, which he started in 2012, and became the CEO and a Director of the public company in February 2023. Prior to founding Intuitive Machines, Mr. Altemus held significant roles at NASA's Johnson Space Center, including Deputy Director until June 2013 and Director of Engineering from July 2006 to December 2012. He also played a crucial role in leading the Columbia Reconstruction efforts after the 2003 space shuttle loss.

Peter McGrath, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Peter McGrath joined Intuitive Machines in 2020 and transitioned to Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer effective September 16, 2024. He has over 35 years of experience in the aerospace and defense industry, having previously served as the Senior Vice President, Chief Operating Officer at Intuitive Machines. Before joining the company, Mr. McGrath was the Director of Global Sales and Marketing in the Space Exploration Business Unit at Boeing.

Dr. Kamal Ghaffarian, Chairman of the Board and Co-founder

Dr. Kamal Ghaffarian is a co-founder and the Chairman of the Board of Directors of Intuitive Machines. Throughout his 35-year career, he has established multiple successful companies. In 1994, he co-founded Stinger Ghaffarian Technologies, Inc. (SGT), a government services company that grew to become NASA's second-largest engineering services provider, which he subsequently sold to KBR for $355 million in 2018. Dr. Ghaffarian is also a co-founder and executive chairman of several other companies, including IBX, Axiom Space, X-energy, PTX, and Quantum Space.

Dr. Tim Crain, Senior Vice President, Chief Growth Officer and Chief Technology Officer

Dr. Tim Crain is a co-founder of Intuitive Machines, alongside Stephen Altemus and Dr. Kamal Ghaffarian, and has served as the Chief Technology Officer since 2021. His background includes significant work at NASA Johnson Space Center (JSC), where he contributed to the navigation design for the Mars Science Lander and was the Orbit Guidance, Navigation, and Control (GNC) System Manager for the Orion spacecraft.

Steven Vontur, Chief Accounting Officer and Controller

Steven Vontur joined Intuitive Machines in 2022 as Controller and played a key role in the company going public. He served as Interim Chief Financial Officer before transitioning to Chief Accounting Officer and Controller, effective September 16, 2024. Prior to Intuitive Machines, Mr. Vontur worked at several private companies providing public company readiness and other accounting services. He spent the majority of his career at KBR, Inc. from 2004 to 2022, holding various positions including Director of SEC Reporting, Consolidations, and Financial Controls, and began his career in public accounting at Ernst & Young LLP.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Intuitive Machines (LUNR) are:

  1. Execution Risk and Mission Failure: Intuitive Machines faces significant execution risks inherent in complex space exploration missions, as evidenced by past sideways landings of its lunar modules (IM-1 and IM-2/Athena). Such incidents can lead to delays, increased costs, reputational damage, and a decline in investor and partner confidence, directly impacting future revenue and project timelines. The intricate nature of space technology development means that miscalculations or unforeseen technical issues could result in mission failures or underperformance. The company's future success is highly dependent on demonstrating continued reliable mission performance.
  2. Path to Profitability, High Cash Burn, and Need for Additional Capital: Intuitive Machines has a history of net operating losses and is expected to continue incurring them for the foreseeable future as it expands and develops. Space missions are capital-intensive, leading to significant cash burn. The company may require substantial additional capital to fund its operations, and a failure to obtain this could lead to delays, scaling back, or discontinuation of research and development programs. Even with contract wins, the company has operated at a significant loss, and its mission economics, while improving, still show early missions operating at a loss.
  3. Customer Concentration and Reliance on Government Contracts: A substantial portion of Intuitive Machines' revenue is derived from a limited number of customers, primarily through government contracts with NASA. This reliance makes the company vulnerable to shifts in government funding, priorities, or budget constraints, which could result in fewer contracts or smaller contract values. Changes in fiscal policy or space exploration priorities, such as potential reductions or reallocations of NASA's budget, could significantly impact the company's growth trajectory and financial stability.

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The clear emerging threat to Intuitive Machines (LUNR) is the potential long-term disruption from the SpaceX Starship program. Starship is designed to offer significantly lower launch costs per kilogram and vastly greater payload capacity to the Moon and beyond compared to current lunar landers and services. Should Starship achieve its full operational capabilities, it could fundamentally alter the economics and scale of lunar access services, potentially making Intuitive Machines' current offerings less competitive for large-scale or frequent lunar cargo delivery.

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Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) operates in several significant addressable markets related to space exploration and infrastructure. Here's an overview of the market sizes for its main products and services:

Lunar Access Services

Intuitive Machines' Lunar Access Services, which include lunar landing and payload delivery, are part of the broader lunar exploration market. The global lunar exploration market was valued at approximately $12.52 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to $13.76 billion in 2026. This market is expected to reach $19.8 billion by 2030, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.5%. Additionally, one assessment projected the lunar economy, encompassing transportation, resource utilization, and data services, to have a cumulative value of about $170 billion over a 20-year period to 2040, with transportation alone accounting for $100 billion of that total. Another report forecasts the total lunar market revenue opportunity to reach $188 billion between 2024 and 2034.

Orbital Services and Space Products and Infrastructure

Intuitive Machines' offerings in Orbital Services and Space Products and Infrastructure encompass satellite manufacturing (enhanced by the acquisition of Lanteris Space Systems), communication relays, and general space infrastructure. The global space infrastructure market was valued at $160.97 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to $174.27 billion in 2026. This market is expected to reach $373.67 billion by 2034, demonstrating a CAGR of 10.00% from 2026 to 2034. North America held a significant share of this market, accounting for 46.35% in 2025.

Within this broader market, the "Space Infrastructure as a Service (SIaaS)" segment, which provides on-demand access to orbital assets and ground support systems, was valued at $3.52 billion globally in 2024. This SIaaS market is projected to grow to $3.8 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $5.77 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 8.0% during the forecast period. The U.S. currently holds a 48% market share in the SIaaS market.

The company is also a key player in lunar communications services, having secured a NASA contract potentially worth $4.8 billion over ten years to provide a lunar communications and navigation network.

Lunar Data Services

While Intuitive Machines offers Lunar Data Services through its Lunar Data Network (LDN) for communication, navigation, and timing services for lunar assets, a specific, standalone addressable market size exclusively for "Lunar Data Services" is not clearly identified in the available market research reports. However, these services are an integral part of the broader lunar economy, which PwC estimated to surpass €142 billion (approximately $170 billion) by 2040, with "Exploitation of Moon data on Earth" identified as one of its key areas.

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Intuitive Machines (LUNR) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key factors in the expanding space exploration and services market.

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Intuitive Machines:

  1. Continued Expansion of NASA Contracts and Lunar Missions: Intuitive Machines is a key participant in NASA's Commercial Lunar Payload Services (CLPS) program, with upcoming missions like IM-3 (scheduled for mid-2026) and IM-4 (2027) expected to significantly contribute to revenue. The company anticipates additional contract awards for CLPS and Lunar Terrain Vehicle (LTV) continuation, building upon its substantial existing backlog and crucial role in lunar infrastructure development.
  2. Growth in Data Services and Communications: The company is expanding its offerings in data transmission services, including a lunar data network and Near Space Network Services. This strategic focus is designed to provide tracking and communications infrastructure for various space missions and is expected to drive long-term international revenue growth.
  3. Strategic Acquisition and Integration of Lanteris Space Systems: The acquisition of Lanteris Space Systems, completed in Q1 2026, is a significant driver. This acquisition creates a vertically integrated space company, expanding capabilities in satellite manufacturing, communications, navigation, and space data networking across various orbits (Earth, LEO, MEO, GEO, Moon, Mars, and Deep Space). This move is expected to be immediately accretive to revenue and position the combined entity to capture multi-billion dollar pipeline opportunities.
  4. Development and Deployment of Orbital Services and Earth Reentry Capabilities: Intuitive Machines is advancing its capabilities in orbital services and in-space logistics, including the Orbital Transfer Vehicle (OTV). Furthermore, the company received a contract award from the Texas Space Commission to develop a precision Earth reentry vehicle and microgravity research laboratory, a technology anticipated to be vital for future Moon and Mars sample return missions and expanding its end-to-end space services.

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Share Repurchases

  • In February 2025, Intuitive Machines engaged in a share repurchase related to warrants held by a board member, buying back 0.94 million shares for $20.7 million at an effective price of $24 per share.

Share Issuance

  • In February 2023, Intuitive Machines completed a SPAC merger with Inflection Point Acquisition Corp., leading to the issuance of shares and securing approximately $55 million in committed capital from its sponsor and company founders.
  • The company anticipated issuing around 22.6 million new shares by March 2025 through warrant exercises, which were expected to generate approximately $260.3 million in payments.
  • In February 2026, Intuitive Machines secured a $175 million strategic equity investment by issuing and selling Class A common stock to institutional investors at $15.12 per share.

Inbound Investments

  • As part of its February 2023 SPAC merger, Intuitive Machines received approximately $55 million in committed capital from an affiliate of its sponsor and company founders.
  • An additional $50 million investment was arranged from CF Principal Investments LLC, an affiliate of Cantor Fitzgerald & Company, in connection with the SPAC merger.
  • In February 2026, Intuitive Machines secured a $175 million strategic equity investment led by global institutional investors, intended to support revenue expansion and technology investments in communications and data processing networks.

Outbound Investments

  • Intuitive Machines announced in November 2025 and closed in January 2026 the acquisition of Lanteris Space Systems for $800 million, funded by $450 million in cash and $350 million in Class A common stock, to expand its space capabilities.
  • In Q2 2025, the company signed a purchase agreement to acquire KinetX, a space navigation and flight dynamics software company, to enhance constellation management across various orbital domains.

Capital Expenditures

  • In the second quarter of 2025, Intuitive Machines reported capital expenditures of $8.1 million.
  • The company's capital expenditures are primarily focused on machinery and equipment, computers and software, and leases.
  • In Q2 2025, Intuitive Machines made strategic investments in in-house satellite production and expanded its Houston Spaceport facility by 140,000 square feet to support satellite and spacecraft manufacturing, testing, and mission operations.

Better Bets vs. Intuitive Machines (LUNR)

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Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LUNRRKLBRDWLMTNOCBAMedian
NameIntuitiv.Rocket L.Redwire Lockheed.Northrop.Boeing  
Mkt Price15.7880.0413.12603.16577.89232.79156.41
Mkt Cap1.950.42.9138.882.1184.066.3
Rev LTM20776942677,01442,89293,99521,831
Op Inc LTM-87-223-1809,1534,598-5,098-133
FCF LTM-56-371-1068,7293,646-219-81
FCF 3Y Avg-66-241-906,3362,526-4,822-78
CFO LTM-14-222-7610,4025,0783,6391,812
CFO 3Y Avg-39-139-718,0804,142-2,142-55

Growth & Margins

LUNRRKLBRDWLMTNOCBAMedian
NameIntuitiv.Rocket L.Redwire Lockheed.Northrop.Boeing  
Rev Chg LTM-9.2%52.5%63.1%7.2%5.9%24.8%16.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg56.7%49.3%30.8%4.6%4.3%9.0%19.9%
Rev Chg Q-20.8%62.0%89.6%10.5%5.1%8.0%9.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-5.2%13.2%14.9%2.5%1.2%2.0%2.3%
Op Inc Chg LTM-66.6%-0.5%-65.8%53.7%15.6%45.6%7.5%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-334.9%-12.3%-165.8%7.5%11.5%-108.6%-60.4%
Op Mgn LTM-42.1%-29.1%-42.2%11.9%10.7%-5.4%-17.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-45.9%-42.0%-30.2%10.7%9.1%-6.8%-18.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-11.2%4.1%20.6%2.0%-0.4%0.5%1.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-6.9%-28.9%-17.9%13.5%11.8%3.9%-1.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-29.7%-25.4%-23.6%11.0%10.0%-3.2%-13.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-27.0%-48.3%-24.9%11.3%8.5%-0.2%-12.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-50.4%-44.8%-29.2%8.6%6.1%-6.4%-17.8%

Valuation

LUNRRKLBRDWLMTNOCBAMedian
NameIntuitiv.Rocket L.Redwire Lockheed.Northrop.Boeing  
Mkt Cap1.950.42.9138.882.1184.066.3
P/S9.165.56.81.81.92.04.4
P/Op Inc-21.6-225.5-16.115.217.9-36.1-18.8
P/EBIT-18.8-299.4-13.316.313.934.40.3
P/E-22.6-304.6-11.822.118.375.63.2
P/CFO-131.4-226.6-38.013.316.250.6-12.3
Total Yield-4.4%-0.3%-8.4%6.8%7.1%1.3%0.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%2.3%1.6%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-38.1%-2.7%-5.3%5.6%3.6%-3.5%-3.1%
D/E0.20.00.00.10.20.20.2
Net D/E-0.1-0.0-0.20.10.20.10.0

Returns

LUNRRKLBRDWLMTNOCBAMedian
NameIntuitiv.Rocket L.Redwire Lockheed.Northrop.Boeing  
1M Rtn-2.2%-1.2%28.9%15.3%7.1%4.7%5.9%
3M Rtn-51.3%-31.8%7.9%18.5%5.9%-2.3%1.8%
6M Rtn-18.9%5.5%30.0%-4.4%-16.6%-4.9%-4.6%
12M Rtn60.9%79.1%45.9%45.5%1.0%1.6%45.7%
3Y Rtn85.9%1,166.5%268.5%44.0%40.9%-1.2%64.9%
1M Excs Rtn-4.6%-3.6%26.5%12.9%4.7%2.4%3.6%
3M Excs Rtn-50.3%-28.9%13.7%15.1%0.8%-6.7%-2.9%
6M Excs Rtn-21.8%-1.2%18.8%-14.0%-29.7%-16.1%-15.0%
12M Excs Rtn34.7%58.8%16.3%21.5%-22.4%-19.9%18.9%
3Y Excs Rtn28.8%966.3%211.4%-26.3%-35.0%-71.6%1.3%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment210228808673
Total210228808673


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil202520242023
Single Segment-87-57-61
Total-87-57-61


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil202520242023
Single Segment-107-34710
Total-107-34710


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$15.78 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1.9 
First Trading Date11/17/2021 
Distance from 52W High-65.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$20.20$19.19
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA-21.9%-17.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility109.7%111.5%
Downside Capture574.39383.51
Upside Capture157.53354.66
Correlation (SPY)48.2%41.3%
LUNR Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta3.273.304.123.763.482.62
Up Beta6.035.834.612.832.912.45
Down Beta1.381.453.112.773.652.59
Up Capture-108%-82%248%666%1116%7307%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days6132458126347
Down Capture607%456%409%267%187%112%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days16303968126394

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LUNR
LUNR57.3%111.2%0.91-
Sector ETF (XLI)23.9%17.0%1.0934.6%
Equity (SPY)23.4%12.8%1.3741.2%
Gold (GLD)28.7%28.4%0.8826.4%
Commodities (DBC)37.2%20.1%1.460.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.4%13.8%0.608.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-44.9%43.0%-1.2731.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LUNR
LUNR9.5%182.7%0.69-
Sector ETF (XLI)14.1%17.6%0.6311.6%
Equity (SPY)13.5%17.2%0.6111.3%
Gold (GLD)18.9%18.6%0.835.3%
Commodities (DBC)9.2%19.6%0.36-2.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.1%18.9%0.014.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)10.6%52.9%0.396.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LUNR
LUNR4.6%182.7%0.69-
Sector ETF (XLI)14.2%20.0%0.6211.6%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7311.3%
Gold (GLD)12.1%16.2%0.615.3%
Commodities (DBC)7.7%18.1%0.34-2.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.6%20.7%0.184.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.3%66.2%0.986.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity37.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 630202611.0%
Average Daily Volume9.9 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.8 days
Basic Shares Quantity119.3 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares31.7%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/3/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/14/20262.4%-5.6%-25.4%
3/19/20264.4%13.5%52.3%
11/4/2025-10.2%-14.8%-1.6%
8/7/2025-4.3%-0.1%-19.1%
5/13/202522.4%27.6%18.1%
3/24/202530.0%13.8%3.8%
11/14/2024-13.0%2.6%-0.6%
8/13/2024-1.3%14.2%51.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive576
# Negative867
Median Positive11.2%13.8%17.4%
Median Negative-5.2%-10.2%-19.1%
Max Positive30.0%27.6%52.3%
Max Negative-15.5%-42.4%-49.2%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/14/20262.4%-5.6%-25.4%
3/19/20264.4%13.5%52.3%
11/4/2025-10.2%-14.8%-1.6%
8/7/2025-4.3%-0.1%-19.1%
5/13/202522.4%27.6%18.1%
3/24/202530.0%13.8%3.8%
11/14/2024-13.0%2.6%-0.6%
8/13/2024-1.3%14.2%51.3%
5/14/2024-6.1%-14.5%-31.5%
3/21/202411.2%22.7%-7.2%
11/13/2023-3.9%4.9%0.4%
8/14/2023-15.5%-42.4%-49.2%
5/11/2023-1.2%-5.9%16.7%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive576
# Negative867
Median Positive11.2%13.8%17.4%
Median Negative-5.2%-10.2%-19.1%
Max Positive30.0%27.6%52.3%
Max Negative-15.5%-42.4%-49.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202503/19/202610-K
09/30/202511/13/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/13/202510-Q
12/31/202403/25/202510-K
09/30/202411/15/202410-Q
06/30/202408/13/202410-Q
03/31/202405/14/202410-Q
12/31/202303/25/202410-K
09/30/202311/13/202310-Q
06/30/202308/14/202310-Q
03/31/202307/05/2023424B3
06/30/202210/13/2022S-4
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202503/19/202610-K
09/30/202511/13/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/13/202510-Q
12/31/202403/25/202510-K
09/30/202411/15/202410-Q
06/30/202408/13/202410-Q
03/31/202405/14/202410-Q
12/31/202303/25/202410-K
09/30/202311/13/202310-Q
06/30/202308/14/202310-Q
03/31/202307/05/2023424B3
06/30/202210/13/2022S-4

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/27/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/14/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue900.00 Mil950.00 Mil1.00 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 950.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA      

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/19/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue900.00 Mil950.00 Mil1.00 Bil   

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/4/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 Revenue 52.40 Mil    

Insider Activity

Updated 7/29/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Advent, International, LP See footnoteSell729202612.8411,495,514147,602,400147,602,400Form
2Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell729202613.2047,303624,40446,131,287Form
3Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell715202615.64110,9761,735,65454,657,822Form
4Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell701202620.43141,9092,898,89571,390,580Form
5Crain, Timothy Price IISVP & Chief Technology OfficerDirectSell622202621.87150,0003,280,6157,682,741Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Advent, International, LP See footnoteSell729202612.8411,495,514147,602,400147,602,400Form
2Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell729202613.2047,303624,40446,131,287Form
3Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell715202615.64110,9761,735,65454,657,822Form
4Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell701202620.43141,9092,898,89571,390,580Form
5Crain, Timothy Price IISVP & Chief Technology OfficerDirectSell622202621.87150,0003,280,6157,682,741Form
6Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell617202626.15141,9093,711,46591,401,587Form
7Liquori, William John JRDirectSell608202629.8718,321547,2482,057,296Form
8Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell603202639.02141,9095,536,841136,354,799Form
9Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell520202634.25141,9094,860,439119,697,171Form
10Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell506202625.14141,9093,567,57687,858,058Form
11Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell422202628.16141,9093,995,95698,407,709Form
12McGrath, PeterSVP and CFODirectSell416202623.6124,554579,6719,472,616Form
13Jones, Anna ChiaraSVP, CLO & Corporate SecretaryDirectSell416202623.614,911115,9394,822,855Form
14Altemus, Stephen JChief Executive OfficerDirectSell416202623.6113,751324,63427,444,182Form
15Crain, Timothy Price IISVP & CTODirectSell416202623.618,447199,4178,292,995Form
16Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell408202623.20141,9093,291,91581,069,410Form
17Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell326202618.78283,8185,331,35965,647,217Form
18Crain, Timothy Price IISVP & Chief Technology OfficerDirectSell323202617.55150,0002,631,8966,311,742Form
19Altemus, Stephen JChief Executive OfficerDirectSell213202616.0186,8031,389,45618,828,170Form
20Jones, Anna ChiaraSee RemarksDirectSell213202617.4416,779292,5593,647,611Form
21McGrath, PeterSVP and CFODirectSell213202617.4425,541445,3337,424,249Form
22Vontur, StevenSee RemarksDirectSell213202617.444,34375,7252,040,831Form
23Crain, Timothy Price IISVP & Chief Technology OfficerDirectSell213202617.4423,226404,9696,272,183Form
24Altemus, Stephen JChief Executive OfficerDirectSell120202620.0358,8281,178,50120,561,911Form
25Crain, Timothy Price IISVP and Chief Growth OfficerDirectSell120202620.0424,155484,0835,980,846Form
26Altemus, Stephen JChief Executive OfficerDirectSell120202620.06428,5038,597,39820,593,524Form
27Crain, Timothy Price IISVP and Chief Growth OfficerDirectSell120202620.06170,1853,414,4395,987,531Form
28Altemus, Stephen JChief Executive OfficerDirectSell112202620.0012,669253,41920,531,222Form
29Crain, Timothy Price IISVP and Chief Growth OfficerDirectSell112202620.005,660113,2165,969,536Form
30Altemus, Stephen JChief Executive OfficerDirectSell106202618.08416,0867,524,70718,561,967Form
31Altemus, Stephen JChief Executive OfficerDirectSell106202618.0483,9141,513,73318,515,368Form
32Altemus, Stephen JChief Executive OfficerDirectSell1223202515.771,958,59330,887,76316,186,753Form
33Crain, Timothy Price IISVP and Chief Growth OfficerDirectSell1223202516.04200,0003,207,2804,785,823Form
34Altemus, Stephen JChief Executive OfficerDirectSell1223202515.0141,407621,69715,410,708Form
35Crain, Timothy Price IISVP and Chief Growth OfficerDirectSell1223202514.22150,0002,132,4144,242,580Form
36Blitzer, MichaelDirectBuy111320258.83100,000883,23017,057,362Form
37Blitzer, MichaelDirectBuy111320259.27141,0801,307,20516,967,795Form
38Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell730202513.4940,254542,97047,139,528Form
39Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell721202512.0240,254483,87342,008,859Form
40Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell715202512.0580,508970,07342,109,858Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 11, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Trustees of the University of Pennsylvania$60.3 Mil20.3%4Hold13F
Active Manager
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Trustees of the University of Pennsylvania$60.3 Mil20.3%4Hold13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/10/2026