Tearsheet

Rocket Lab (RKLB)


Market Price (11/13/2025): $49.98 | Market Cap: $25.7 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Rocket Lab (RKLB)


Market Price (11/13/2025): $49.98
Market Cap: $25.7 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -222 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -44%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 51x
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 107%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 241%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -40%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.3%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration.
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -222 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -44%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 51x
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 107%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 241%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -40%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.3%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

RKLB Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining Rocket Lab's (RKLB) stock movement by approximately 8.8% during the period from July 31, 2025, to November 13, 2025: 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results

Rocket Lab reported record revenue of $155 million for the third quarter of 2025, marking a 48% increase year-over-year, and exceeded analyst consensus estimates for both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue. The company also achieved record gross margins of 37%. These strong financial results, announced on November 10, 2025, contributed to an initial stock surge of 8.3% in after-hours trading. 2. Record Electron Launch Contracts and Growing Backlog

During Q3 2025, Rocket Lab secured 17 new Electron launch contracts, establishing a new record for dedicated launch contracts within a single quarter. The company's launch services business accumulated a record backlog of 49 launches, indicating robust future revenue potential. Rocket Lab is also on track to surpass its previous annual launch record, projecting over 20 launches for 2025.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RKLB Return-21%-69%47%361%96%394%
Peers Return-11%-2%-3%14%35%34%77%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RKLB Win Rate100%42%33%50%58%70% 
Peers Win Rate8%8%10%16%15%33% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RKLB Max Drawdown--2%-71%-3%-36%-36% 
Peers Max Drawdown-15%-5%-7%-0%-8%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FLY, ATRO, DFSC, PEW, PRZO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRKLBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-82.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven482.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven695 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-3.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven13 days148 days

Compare to FLY, ATRO, DFSC, PEW, PRZO


In The Past

Rocket Lab's stock fell -82.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/9/2021. A -82.8% loss requires a 482.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Rocket Lab (RKLB)

Better Bets than Rocket Lab (RKLB)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RKLB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.0%-12.0%-12.6%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-6.4%-6.4%-17.5%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-2.0%-2.0%-2.7%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-8.4%-8.4%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.8%-0.8%-0.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.0%-12.0%-12.6%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-6.4%-6.4%-17.5%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-2.0%-2.0%-2.7%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-8.4%-8.4%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.8%-0.8%-0.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Rocket Lab

Financials

RKLBFLYATRODFSCPEWPRZOMedian
NameRocket L.Firefly .AstronicsDEFSEC T.GrabAGun.ParaZero. 
Mkt Price49.9718.3148.993.244.301.3111.30
Mkt Cap25.7-1.7---13.7
Rev LTM5041018314--303
Op Inc LTM-222-21150-9---110
FCF LTM-204-19951-9---104
FCF 3Y Avg-158-8-11---11
CFO LTM-111-16574-9---60
CFO 3Y Avg-89-22-10---10

Growth & Margins

RKLBFLYATRODFSCPEWPRZOMedian
NameRocket L.Firefly .AstronicsDEFSEC T.GrabAGun.ParaZero. 
Rev Chg LTM54.4%-6.2%166.4%--54.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg58.4%-19.5%94.3%--58.4%
Rev Chg Q36.0%-3.8%330.2%--36.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.2%-0.9%35.8%--8.2%
Op Mgn LTM-44.1%-209.3%6.0%-209.1%---126.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-55.4%-2.2%-699.5%---55.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%-1.7%86.7%--1.7%
CFO/Rev LTM-22.0%-164.1%8.9%-212.3%---93.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-26.3%-2.5%-716.7%---26.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-40.5%-197.5%6.1%-216.3%---119.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-45.9%-0.8%-777.8%---45.9%

Valuation

RKLBFLYATRODFSCPEWPRZOMedian
NameRocket L.Firefly .AstronicsDEFSEC T.GrabAGun.ParaZero. 
Mkt Cap25.7-1.7---13.7
P/S51.0-2.1---26.6
P/EBIT-116.8-34.7----41.0
P/E-111.3--562.0----336.6
P/CFO-232.4-23.6----104.4
Total Yield-0.9%--0.2%----0.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%-0.0%---0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.9%--0.5%----2.2%
D/E0.0-0.2---0.1
Net D/E-0.0-0.2---0.1

Returns

RKLBFLYATRODFSCPEWPRZOMedian
NameRocket L.Firefly .AstronicsDEFSEC T.GrabAGun.ParaZero. 
1M Rtn-23.6%-38.7%1.6%-25.3%-7.1%-26.8%-24.5%
3M Rtn16.2%-63.9%43.0%-20.4%-35.8%-17.6%-19.0%
6M Rtn107.1%-65.7%--50.3%65.7%
12M Rtn240.9%-190.4%--120.8%190.4%
3Y Rtn787.6%-458.0%---622.8%
1M Excs Rtn-29.7%-42.3%-1.3%-27.2%-11.6%-26.5%-26.9%
3M Excs Rtn10.8%-68.8%43.1%-22.6%-40.3%-23.5%-23.1%
6M Excs Rtn90.8%-49.4%--34.0%49.4%
12M Excs Rtn255.6%-156.5%--104.4%156.5%
3Y Excs Rtn801.8%-336.8%---569.3%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity50,935,958
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-6.9%
Average Daily Volume17,113,826
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.98
Basic Shares Quantity515,086,631
Short % of Basic Shares9.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/10/2025-1.3%  
8/7/20251.1%-3.2%8.0%
5/8/2025-11.2%9.2%28.3%
2/27/20253.3%-5.9%-6.1%
11/12/202428.4%39.8%54.0%
8/8/202412.6%22.2%28.7%
5/6/2024-2.2%2.5%9.4%
1/31/2024-2.6%-14.5%-7.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive988
# Negative899
Median Positive12.0%5.5%19.2%
Median Negative-2.4%-7.2%-10.0%
Max Positive37.3%39.8%54.0%
Max Negative-11.2%-15.3%-20.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024506202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022307202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021324202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211115202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Saintil Merline 6232025Sell28.751,70048,88312,381,055Form
1Ocko Matthew 6162025Sell26.4457,8221,529,02834,908,884Form
2Klein FrankChief Operations Officer6102025Sell30.002,54676,38040,974,780Form
3Kampani ArjunSee Remarks6102025Sell30.005,194155,82015,906,900Form
4Klein FrankChief Operations Officer6032025Sell26.6644,8851,196,58536,527,758Form