Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.7%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 4.7 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.3 Bil

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 5.0 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Cybersecurity, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -6.0%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -42%

Key risks
NOC key risks include [1] major execution challenges, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.7%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 4.7 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.3 Bil
2 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 5.0 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Cybersecurity, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -6.0%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -42%
6 Key risks
NOC key risks include [1] major execution challenges, Show more.

NOC in ETFs

Weight = NOC's share of each fund

SPY0.11%
VOO0.12%
IVV0.11%
VTI0.11%
ITOT0.10%
IWB0.11%
RSP0.19%
VTV0.31%
+30 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/1/2026

Northrop Grumman (NOC) stock has lost about 20% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Higher-than-anticipated free cash flow usage and a segment charge in fiscal Q1 2026 led to a sharp post-earnings selloff.

Despite Northrop Grumman reporting robust fiscal Q1 2026 results on April 21, 2026, with diluted earnings per share up 85% to $6.14, beating the consensus estimate of $6.06, and revenue rising 4.4% year-over-year to $9.88 billion, the stock experienced a significant decline. This was primarily driven by concerns over a higher-than-expected free cash flow usage of $1.82 billion in fiscal Q1 2026, which ended March 31, 2026, coupled with a segment charge. The stock fell approximately 17% in April 2026, with a notable drop between April 21-23.

2. Pre-existing premium valuation concerns were amplified by subsequent analyst price target adjustments.

Northrop Grumman's stock had reached a 52-week high of approximately $774 in early March 2026, suggesting it was trading at a premium relative to peers. Following the fiscal Q1 2026 earnings, several analysts lowered their price targets, reflecting a re-evaluation of future prospects. For example, Jefferies reduced its price target to $620 from $660 on May 26, 2026, and Citigroup lowered its target from $742 to $628 on May 18, 2026, further reducing it to $587 from $628 on July 1, 2026.

Show more
Updated on 7/1/2026

Northrop Grumman (NOC) stock has lost about 20% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Higher-than-anticipated free cash flow usage and a segment charge in fiscal Q1 2026 led to a sharp post-earnings selloff.

Despite Northrop Grumman reporting robust fiscal Q1 2026 results on April 21, 2026, with diluted earnings per share up 85% to $6.14, beating the consensus estimate of $6.06, and revenue rising 4.4% year-over-year to $9.88 billion, the stock experienced a significant decline. This was primarily driven by concerns over a higher-than-expected free cash flow usage of $1.82 billion in fiscal Q1 2026, which ended March 31, 2026, coupled with a segment charge. The stock fell approximately 17% in April 2026, with a notable drop between April 21-23.

2. Pre-existing premium valuation concerns were amplified by subsequent analyst price target adjustments.

Northrop Grumman's stock had reached a 52-week high of approximately $774 in early March 2026, suggesting it was trading at a premium relative to peers. Following the fiscal Q1 2026 earnings, several analysts lowered their price targets, reflecting a re-evaluation of future prospects. For example, Jefferies reduced its price target to $620 from $660 on May 26, 2026, and Citigroup lowered its target from $742 to $628 on May 18, 2026, further reducing it to $587 from $628 on July 1, 2026.

3. Significant insider selling by top executives indicated a lack of confidence.

Over the past year, Northrop Grumman insiders engaged in substantial selling activity totaling $26.76 million, with no reported insider purchases. Notably, CEO Kathy J. Warden alone sold $20.22 million across nine transactions, accounting for approximately 75% of the total insider sell value. Sales exceeding $13 million by the CEO occurred between January and February 2026, and aggregate insider sales of $11,445,554 have been recorded in the last six months. This concentrated selling by leadership, without corresponding buying, contributed to negative investor sentiment.

4. Concerns over program profitability and elevated capital expenditures weighed on investor sentiment.

Investor concerns were influenced by increasing capital expenditures (capex), which were projected to rise at a 14% compound annual growth rate to about 4.5% of sales. Specifically, analyst commentary noted that the B-21 bomber program was expected to dilute margins, and the risks associated with fixed-price contracts contributed to a cautious outlook on program profitability.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -19.2% change in NOC stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/5/2026 was primarily driven by a -26.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120267052026Change
Stock Price ($)679.25549.01-19.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)41,95442,3671.0%
Net Income Margin (%)10.0%10.8%8.4%
P/E Multiple23.217.0-26.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1431420.4%
Cumulative Contribution-19.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NOC-19.2% 
Market (SPY)14.5%2.1%
Sector (XLI)13.7%20.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -3.0% change in NOC stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/5/2026 was primarily driven by a -15.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120257052026Change
Stock Price ($)565.90549.01-3.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)40,92842,3673.5%
Net Income Margin (%)9.8%10.8%10.0%
P/E Multiple20.117.0-15.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1431420.7%
Cumulative Contribution-3.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NOC-3.0% 
Market (SPY)9.5%2.1%
Sector (XLI)18.9%27.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 11.5% change in NOC stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 17.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)63020257052026Change
Stock Price ($)492.26549.0111.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)40,36842,3675.0%
Net Income Margin (%)9.2%10.8%17.5%
P/E Multiple19.217.0-11.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1451421.8%
Cumulative Contribution11.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NOC11.5% 
Market (SPY)21.6%2.8%
Sector (XLI)26.0%27.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 26.6% change in NOC stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 23.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020237052026Change
Stock Price ($)433.66549.0126.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)37,10642,36714.2%
Net Income Margin (%)12.9%10.8%-16.2%
P/E Multiple13.817.023.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1531427.4%
Cumulative Contribution26.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NOC26.6% 
Market (SPY)74.0%4.2%
Sector (XLI)78.5%23.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NOC Return29%43%-13%2%24%-8%87%
Peers Return16%15%6%5%32%5%105%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%9%99%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NOC Win Rate50%67%42%50%58%43% 
Peers Win Rate57%55%47%60%62%63% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%43% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NOC Max Drawdown-15%-12%-22%-14%-16%-35% 
Peers Max Drawdown-17%-25%-24%-23%-17%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: LMT, RTX, BA, GD, LHX. See NOC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/2/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventNOCS&P 500
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-26.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven35.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven406 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-28.4%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven39.8%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven148 days105 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-24.5%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.5%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven252 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-20.9%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.4%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven189 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-56.9%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven132.3%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven942 days1085 days

Compare to LMT, RTX, BA, GD, LHX

In The Past

Northrop Grumman's stock fell 0.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventNOCS&P 500
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-26.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven35.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven406 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-28.4%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven39.8%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven148 days105 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-24.5%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.5%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven252 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-20.9%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.4%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven189 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-56.9%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven132.3%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven942 days1085 days

Compare to LMT, RTX, BA, GD, LHX

In The Past

Northrop Grumman's stock fell 0.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Northrop Grumman (NOC)

Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) is a leading global aerospace and defense technology company. It specializes in designing, developing, manufacturing, and sustaining advanced systems and solutions critical for national security. Essentially, the company provides high-tech equipment and capabilities that support military and government operations across various domains, including air, land, sea, space, and cyberspace.

The company's main products and services are diverse and span several key areas. Its offerings include advanced aircraft systems such as strategic bombers, tactical fighter jets, and unmanned autonomous surveillance aircraft. Northrop Grumman also produces a wide range of weapons and mission systems, including precision strike weapons, munitions, missiles, and integrated battle management systems. Furthermore, it develops sophisticated sensors (radar, electro-optical/infrared), electronic warfare systems, cyber solutions, and advanced communications technologies. In the space domain, the company provides satellites, missile defense systems, launch vehicles, and strategic missiles.

Northrop Grumman's primary customers are governments and military organizations worldwide. It operates within the highly specialized aerospace and defense market, serving the national security and defense needs of nations by providing cutting-edge solutions. These solutions support critical missions ranging from air dominance and long-range strike capabilities to intelligence gathering, space exploration, and cyber protection.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-2 brief analogies to describe Northrop Grumman:

  • Imagine a super high-tech version of Boeing, focused purely on military and national security, building everything from advanced fighter jets and stealth bombers to satellites, missile defense, and cyber warfare systems.

  • Like a combination of SpaceX for military space technology and Palantir for defense intelligence systems, but also building the most advanced military aircraft and weapons.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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  • Aircraft Systems: Designs, manufactures, and sustains various manned and unmanned aircraft, including fighters, bombers, and surveillance platforms.
  • Weapons and Munitions: Develops and produces a range of precision strike weapons, missiles, and munition systems.
  • Propulsion Systems: Provides advanced propulsion solutions, including air-breathing and hypersonic systems for various platforms.
  • C4ISR Systems: Offers comprehensive command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance systems and solutions.
  • Sensor Systems: Develops and integrates advanced radar, electro-optical/infrared, acoustic, and other sensor technologies.
  • Electronic Warfare Systems: Provides systems for electronic countermeasures and protection against adversarial electronic threats.
  • Cyber Solutions: Offers capabilities in cyber defense, intelligence processing, and networked information solutions.
  • Navigation Systems: Develops precise navigation, targeting, and survivability solutions for various platforms.
  • Space Systems: Produces satellites, payloads, ground systems, launch vehicles, and strategic missiles.
  • Missile Defense Systems: Designs and manufactures systems and interceptors for ballistic missile defense.
  • Logistics and Sustainment Services: Provides life cycle support, sustainment, operation, and modernization for air, sea, and ground systems.
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AI Analysis | Feedback

Northrop Grumman (NOC) primarily sells its advanced aerospace and defense products and services to government entities rather than to other companies or individuals.

Its major customers fall into the following categories:

  1. U.S. Government: The primary customer is the United States government, predominantly the Department of Defense (DoD), including the Air Force, Navy, Army, and other defense and intelligence agencies.
  2. International Governments: Northrop Grumman also serves allied foreign governments and their defense ministries, often through direct commercial sales or U.S. government-facilitated foreign military sales programs.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • RTX Corporation (NYSE: RTX)
  • General Electric (NYSE: GE)
  • Honeywell International Inc. (NASDAQ: HON)
  • L3Harris Technologies, Inc. (NYSE: LHX)

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Kathy J. Warden, Chair, Chief Executive Officer, and President

Kathy J. Warden has served as Northrop Grumman's Chief Executive Officer since January 2019, as the Chair of the Board of Directors since August 2019, and as President since 2017. She joined Northrop Grumman in 2008. Prior to her tenure at Northrop Grumman, Ms. Warden held leadership roles at General Electric for nearly a decade, Veridian Corporation, and General Dynamics. She was also a principal in a venture internet firm. Veridian Corporation, where she held a leadership role, was later acquired by General Dynamics.

Dave Keffer, Corporate Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Dave Keffer is responsible for Northrop Grumman's overall financial strategies, planning, and activities. He joined the company in February 2020. Before joining Northrop Grumman, Mr. Keffer was a General Partner at Blue Delta Capital Partners from 2018 to 2020. He previously served as the Chief Financial Officer of CSRA, Inc., a company he helped take public in late 2015 and which was later sold to General Dynamics in 2018. Prior to CSRA, he was the CFO of SRA International, where he led operational improvement initiatives, capital structure enhancements, and a series of acquisitions. He began his career at Navigant Consulting and Maden Technologies.

Lucy C. Ryan, Chief Communications Officer and Corporate Vice President

Lucy C. Ryan has served as Northrop Grumman's Chief Communications Officer and Corporate Vice President since January 2019. She is responsible for the company's global communications strategy and execution, media relations, and corporate image. Ms. Ryan has nearly 30 years of global communications and public relations experience, having previously worked as the Director of Communications at General Dynamics and the Director of Marketing and PR at General Dynamics Advanced Information Systems.

Ann Addison, Chief Human Resources Officer & Corporate Vice President

Ann Addison is Northrop Grumman's Chief Human Resources Officer and Corporate Vice President. She possesses a strong background in information systems, human resources analytics, and diversity. In 2021, Ms. Addison re-engineered human resources processes and practices and launched a new digital platform for the employee experience. Before joining Northrop Grumman, she was an Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer at Leidos.

David T. Perry, Chief Global Business Officer and Corporate Vice President

David T. Perry has been with Northrop Grumman Corporation since 1999 and currently serves as the Chief Global Business Officer and Corporate Vice President. In this role, he is responsible for domestic and international acquisition efforts and leads corporate operations outside the U.S. Mr. Perry's previous responsibilities at Northrop Grumman include Vice President and General Manager of the Naval and Marine Systems Divisions of Mission Systems. Before joining the company, he served as a nuclear submarine officer in the U.S. Navy.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Key Risks to Northrop Grumman (NOC)

  1. High Dependency on U.S. Government Spending and Associated Contractual Risks: Northrop Grumman's business is heavily reliant on the U.S. government, with approximately 85% to 87% of its revenue derived from federal contracts, primarily with the Department of Defense. This exposes the company to significant risks from shifts in government budget allocations, political priorities, and overall defense spending levels. Any budgetary constraints, changes in strategic defense initiatives, or shifts in procurement practices can directly impact the company's revenue streams and long-term planning. Furthermore, the company faces inherent risks with large-scale, long-duration fixed-price defense contracts. These contracts can lead to substantial financial losses due to unforeseen complexities, cost overruns, and inflationary pressures, as evidenced by recent program difficulties.
  2. Major Program Cost Overruns and Delays: Northrop Grumman has experienced significant financial setbacks and cost overruns on critical programs. Notably, the Sentinel Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) program has seen its estimated total cost surge by an alarming 81% from initial projections, triggering a critical Nunn-McCurdy breach and introducing considerable uncertainty regarding its future. The company has also reported substantial losses on the B-21 Raider stealth bomber program due to higher-than-expected manufacturing and materials costs. These program-specific challenges have directly impacted the company's profitability, led to lowered earnings per share forecasts, and eroded investor confidence.
  3. Supply Chain Vulnerabilities and Intensified Competition: The company is exposed to supply chain risks, including vulnerabilities exacerbated by restrictions on crucial components like rare earth minerals and advanced semiconductors. Disruptions in the supply chain can affect production schedules and increase costs. Additionally, Northrop Grumman faces intensified competition within the aerospace and defense sector. This competition comes not only from major defense contractors but also from agile startups, particularly in emerging technology domains like autonomous systems, where the company has recently lost key contracts. Maintaining a competitive edge and managing supply chain resilience are critical challenges.
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AI Analysis | Feedback

The rapidly advancing and cost-effective commercial space industry poses a clear emerging threat to aspects of Northrop Grumman's Space Systems segment. Companies like SpaceX, Rocket Lab, and other commercial entities are demonstrating significantly lower costs and faster deployment cycles for launch services, satellite manufacturing, and related ground systems. This commercialization trend could challenge Northrop Grumman's traditional role as a primary provider of bespoke, high-cost government and defense space solutions, potentially leading to increased competition, pressure on pricing, and a shift in government procurement towards commercial-off-the-shelf (COTS) or commercially developed solutions for certain missions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) operates in several significant addressable markets within the aerospace and defense industry. Here are the estimated market sizes for its main products and services:

  • Aerospace and Defense Market: The global aerospace and defense market was valued at approximately USD 846.94 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 899.65 billion in 2026, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.2%. This market is expected to reach USD 1185.07 billion by 2030 at a CAGR of 7.1%. North America is estimated to lead this market, holding a share of 46.2% in 2026.
  • Military Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) / Drone Market: The global military drone (UAV) market was valued at USD 15.23 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 21.81 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 7.6%. Another source indicates a market size of approximately USD 20.8 billion in 2026, projected to reach USD 34.1 billion by 2033 at a CAGR of 7.3%.
  • Missile Defense System Market: The global missile defense system market was valued at USD 31.5 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 54.2 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 6.5%. North America held the largest share of this market, accounting for over 35% of total revenue in 2024.
  • Military Satellite Market: The global military satellite market was valued at USD 36.99 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 54.26 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of roughly 4.35% from 2024 to 2032. Another report estimates the market at USD 36 billion in 2025, expected to reach USD 57.99 billion by 2030 at a CAGR of 10.00%. North America dominated the military satellite market with a market share of 38.00% in 2025.
  • C4ISR Market (Command, Control, Communications, Computers, Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance): The global C4ISR market was estimated at USD 131.50 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 190.78 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 4.2% from 2025 to 2033. North America dominated this market with the largest revenue share of over 39% in 2024. Another source indicates the market size reached USD 141.4 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 194.5 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 3.42%.
  • Electronic Warfare Market: The global electronic warfare market was valued at USD 15.1 billion in 2024 and is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 12.6% to reach USD 49 billion by 2034. North America dominated the electronic warfare market with the largest revenue share of 36.75% in 2025.
  • Military Logistics Market: The global defense logistics market was valued at USD 182.50 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 344.35 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 7.3%. North America dominated the global market with a share of 33.19% in 2025.
  • Government and Defense Cybersecurity Market: The global government and defense cybersecurity market size was valued at USD 35,871.6 million (approximately USD 35.87 billion) in 2025 and is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 10.8% from 2025 to 2033, reaching USD 80,698.7 million (approximately USD 80.70 billion) by 2033. Another estimate projects the market to increase from USD 75.14 billion in 2025 to USD 153.36 billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 12.63% over 2026-2031. North America retained a 34.81% share in 2025.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) is expected to experience future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years driven by several key factors in the aerospace and defense sector:

  1. Acceleration of the B-21 Raider Program: The B-21 Raider stealth bomber program is a significant long-term growth driver for Northrop Grumman. The company and the U.S. Air Force are working to accelerate production, with substantial multi-year investments planned for digital engineering and manufacturing infrastructure to support higher build rates. The first aircraft is targeted for delivery by 2027.
  2. Increased Global Defense Demand and Geopolitical Tensions: An unprecedented global defense demand cycle, fueled by ongoing geopolitical tensions, is driving sales across various Northrop Grumman segments. This includes the recapitalization of strategic triads, modernization of space assets, expanded production of tactical missiles, and advancements in missile defense systems.
  3. Growth in Space Systems: Northrop Grumman's Space Systems segment has demonstrated a return to growth, with key drivers including the development of the Golden Dome architecture, an increase in launch-motor capacity, and the recapitalization of government satellites. This segment's robust backlog provides a strong foundation for future expansion.
  4. Expansion of International Sales: The company anticipates continued growth in international sales, particularly driven by strong demand for weapons systems and other defense products from allied nations outside the U.S. International sales experienced an 18% year-over-year growth in the second quarter of 2025.

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Share Repurchases

  • In December 2024, Northrop Grumman's board of directors authorized an additional $3 billion for common stock repurchase, increasing the total outstanding authorized amount to approximately $4.2 billion.
  • The company repurchased $1.624 billion in shares in 2025.
  • Northrop Grumman's annual share buybacks were $2.514 billion in 2024 and $1.5 billion in 2023.

Share Issuance

  • Northrop Grumman's shares outstanding have shown a decline over the last few years, decreasing by 2.38% in 2025, 3.09% in 2024, and 2.31% in 2023, primarily indicating net share repurchases over any issuances.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures for fiscal years ending December 2021 to 2025 averaged $1.568 billion, with a peak of $1.775 billion in 2023.
  • In 2025, capital expenditures totaled $1.45 billion, which represented 3.5% of sales.
  • For 2026, capital expenditures are projected to be $1.65 billion, or approximately 4% of sales, with a focus on supporting higher B-21 build rates and expanding munitions capacity.

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

NOCLMTRTXBAGDLHXMedian
NameNorthrop.Lockheed.RTX Boeing General .L3Harris. 
Mkt Price549.01545.91199.25226.49373.54302.07337.81
Mkt Cap78.0125.5268.6178.5100.956.4113.2
Rev LTM42,36775,10690,37392,18453,80822,47764,457
Op Inc LTM4,6967,4229,820-5,4315,5082,2335,102
FCF LTM3,3055,6627,971-1,0506,2012,5894,484
FCF 3Y Avg2,4055,6216,279-4,1733,8712,0023,138
CFO LTM4,6667,36811,1172,5027,4233,0536,017
CFO 3Y Avg4,0227,3689,442-1,6394,8782,4394,450

Growth & Margins

NOCLMTRTXBAGDLHXMedian
NameNorthrop.Lockheed.RTX Boeing General .L3Harris. 
Rev Chg LTM5.0%4.6%10.6%32.7%9.3%5.8%7.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.6%4.3%9.7%10.7%10.5%8.9%9.3%
Rev Chg Q4.4%0.3%8.7%14.0%10.3%11.9%9.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.0%0.1%2.0%3.0%2.4%2.8%2.2%
Op Inc Chg LTM21.3%0.9%46.5%46.8%9.5%3.8%15.4%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg13.2%-4.0%29.1%-328.6%9.2%7.1%8.2%
Op Mgn LTM11.1%9.9%10.9%-5.9%10.2%9.9%10.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.1%10.8%8.1%-7.2%10.2%9.7%9.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.9%-0.4%0.4%0.2%0.0%0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM11.0%9.8%12.3%2.7%13.8%13.6%11.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.8%10.2%11.7%-2.8%9.8%11.4%10.0%
FCF/Rev LTM7.8%7.5%8.8%-1.1%11.5%11.5%8.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.8%7.8%7.7%-5.9%7.7%9.3%7.7%

Valuation

NOCLMTRTXBAGDLHXMedian
NameNorthrop.Lockheed.RTX Boeing General .L3Harris. 
Mkt Cap78.0125.5268.6178.5100.956.4113.2
P/S1.81.73.01.91.92.51.9
P/Op Inc16.616.927.4-32.918.325.317.6
P/EBIT12.618.524.333.917.821.319.9
P/E17.026.237.078.723.232.629.4
P/CFO16.717.024.271.313.618.517.8
Total Yield6.7%5.7%4.1%1.3%5.9%4.7%5.2%
Dividend Yield0.8%1.9%1.4%0.0%1.6%1.6%1.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.9%4.8%3.5%-3.2%4.6%4.2%3.8%
D/E0.20.20.10.30.10.20.2
Net D/E0.20.10.10.10.10.20.1

Returns

NOCLMTRTXBAGDLHXMedian
NameNorthrop.Lockheed.RTX Boeing General .L3Harris. 
1M Rtn0.8%4.2%10.1%5.1%8.3%-1.9%4.7%
3M Rtn-21.5%-11.8%2.0%8.8%8.0%-14.8%-4.9%
6M Rtn-5.5%11.1%7.2%-0.6%10.2%-0.0%3.6%
12M Rtn10.6%21.2%38.9%6.8%29.0%20.0%20.6%
3Y Rtn26.5%28.2%116.5%6.5%85.0%64.6%46.4%
1M Excs Rtn4.0%8.0%16.0%5.7%12.8%0.1%6.8%
3M Excs Rtn-34.7%-24.8%-11.1%-4.6%-6.3%-28.1%-17.9%
6M Excs Rtn-12.2%4.7%0.6%-4.9%3.0%-5.5%-2.1%
12M Excs Rtn-10.0%-0.4%19.7%-12.8%9.1%1.0%0.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-42.2%-40.4%49.0%-62.8%17.2%-5.4%-22.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Aeronautics Systems12,99212,39610,78610,53111,259
Mission Systems12,50611,39910,89510,39610,134
Space Systems10,77111,73111,87312,27510,608
Defense Systems8,0027,3998,2895,5795,776
Intersegment profit eliminations-2,317-1,892-2,553-2,179-2,110
Total41,95441,03339,29036,60235,667


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Mission Systems1,8271,5981,6091,6181,579
Space Systems1,1831,2541,1301,1581,121
Defense Systems871716829664696
Aeronautics Systems8131,236-4731,1161,093
Financial Accounting Standards (FAS)/Cost Accounting Standards (CAS) operating adjustment25840-82-200130
Unallocated corporate expense-124-214-141-4521,304
Intersegment profit eliminations-317-260-335-303-272
Total4,5114,3702,5373,6015,651


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20222021202020192018
Space Systems11,54010,76010,02810,595 
Mission Systems10,1209,86910,0299,93411,047
Aeronautics Systems9,7019,4238,9979,1049,750
Corporate assets6,2316,6168,0634,0363,531
Defense Systems6,1635,9117,3527,420 
Total43,75542,57944,46941,08924,328


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$549.01 
Market Cap ($ Bil)78.0 
First Trading Date12/31/1981 
Distance from 52W High-28.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$545.62$608.79
DMA Trendindeterminatedown
Distance from DMA0.6%-9.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility30.6%27.3%
Downside Capture54.8313.64
Upside Capture-59.5222.62
Correlation (SPY)1.1%3.4%
NOC Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.03-0.010.200.070.070.07
Up Beta0.420.210.27-0.16-0.280.06
Down Beta-0.410.06-0.15-0.13-0.020.08
Up Capture-60%-48%-31%6%17%2%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days7152356123388
Down Capture47%31%108%45%30%12%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days14264069128362

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NOC
NOC10.8%27.2%0.36-
Sector ETF (XLI)25.7%16.5%1.2027.8%
Equity (SPY)21.7%12.5%1.292.8%
Gold (GLD)23.1%27.7%0.7324.8%
Commodities (DBC)21.3%18.6%0.9010.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.6%13.8%0.6824.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-42.0%42.7%-1.1514.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NOC
NOC10.0%25.6%0.36-
Sector ETF (XLI)14.1%17.6%0.6330.7%
Equity (SPY)13.3%17.1%0.6014.2%
Gold (GLD)17.9%18.3%0.7915.7%
Commodities (DBC)6.9%19.5%0.2515.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.1%18.9%0.0621.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)12.2%53.8%0.413.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NOC
NOC11.6%25.6%0.45-
Sector ETF (XLI)14.6%20.1%0.6448.0%
Equity (SPY)15.4%18.0%0.7335.8%
Gold (GLD)12.1%16.1%0.6110.4%
Commodities (DBC)5.7%18.0%0.2516.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.5%20.7%0.2334.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)59.0%66.2%0.995.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2.1 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 531202617.6%
Average Daily Volume1.0 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.0 days
Basic Shares Quantity142.1 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.5%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/2/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/21/2026-7.0%-12.4%-15.3%
1/27/20262.7%3.6%6.8%
10/21/2025-0.4%-1.0%-5.9%
7/22/20259.4%10.3%13.8%
4/22/2025-12.7%-9.0%-10.3%
1/30/20250.4%-1.9%-4.1%
10/24/20241.4%-2.1%-3.9%
7/25/20246.4%9.5%15.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive14912
# Negative101512
Median Positive1.9%5.2%6.5%
Median Negative-5.3%-3.1%-4.0%
Max Positive9.4%10.3%15.3%
Max Negative-12.7%-12.4%-15.3%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/21/2026-7.0%-12.4%-15.3%
1/27/20262.7%3.6%6.8%
10/21/2025-0.4%-1.0%-5.9%
7/22/20259.4%10.3%13.8%
4/22/2025-12.7%-9.0%-10.3%
1/30/20250.4%-1.9%-4.1%
10/24/20241.4%-2.1%-3.9%
7/25/20246.4%9.5%15.3%
4/25/20242.8%2.5%-1.6%
1/25/2024-6.3%-3.7%-0.2%
10/26/2023-1.1%-3.1%-2.0%
7/27/2023-2.6%-2.1%-5.5%
4/27/20231.9%-1.2%-3.5%
1/26/2023-4.3%-4.5%2.0%
10/27/20220.9%-0.1%-0.3%
7/28/20221.9%8.1%10.9%
4/28/20221.2%5.2%6.3%
1/27/2022-7.3%-8.0%2.0%
10/28/2021-7.6%-8.8%-8.4%
7/29/20211.5%-0.8%1.8%
4/29/20214.1%10.2%9.5%
1/28/20210.3%2.9%0.3%
10/22/2020-1.7%-4.8%0.4%
7/30/20203.4%4.6%10.7%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive14912
# Negative101512
Median Positive1.9%5.2%6.5%
Median Negative-5.3%-3.1%-4.0%
Max Positive9.4%10.3%15.3%
Max Negative-12.7%-12.4%-15.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202604/21/202610-Q
12/31/202501/27/202610-K
09/30/202510/21/202510-Q
06/30/202507/22/202510-Q
03/31/202504/22/202510-Q
12/31/202401/30/202510-K
09/30/202410/24/202410-Q
06/30/202407/25/202410-Q
03/31/202404/25/202410-Q
12/31/202301/25/202410-K
09/30/202310/26/202310-Q
06/30/202307/27/202310-Q
03/31/202304/27/202310-Q
12/31/202201/26/202310-K
09/30/202210/27/202210-Q
06/30/202207/28/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202604/21/202610-Q
12/31/202501/27/202610-K
09/30/202510/21/202510-Q
06/30/202507/22/202510-Q
03/31/202504/22/202510-Q
12/31/202401/30/202510-K
09/30/202410/24/202410-Q
06/30/202407/25/202410-Q
03/31/202404/25/202410-Q
12/31/202301/25/202410-K
09/30/202310/26/202310-Q
06/30/202307/27/202310-Q
03/31/202304/27/202310-Q
12/31/202201/26/202310-K
09/30/202210/27/202210-Q
06/30/202207/28/202210-Q
03/31/202204/28/202210-Q
12/31/202101/27/202210-K
09/30/202110/28/202110-Q
06/30/202107/29/202110-Q
03/31/202104/29/202110-Q
12/31/202001/28/202110-K
09/30/202010/22/202010-Q
06/30/202007/30/202010-Q
03/31/202004/29/202010-Q
12/31/201901/30/202010-K
09/30/201910/24/201910-Q
06/30/201907/24/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 5/31/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/21/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Sales43.50 Bil43.75 Bil44.00 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 43.75 Bil for 2026
2026 Segment operating income4.85 Bil4.92 Bil5.00 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 4.92 Bil for 2026
2026 MTM-adjusted EPS27.427.627.90 AffirmedGuidance: 27.6 for 2026
2026 Free cash flow3.10 Bil3.30 Bil3.50 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 3.30 Bil for 2026

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/27/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue43.50 Bil43.75 Bil44.00 Bil4.7% Higher NewActual: 41.80 Bil for 2025
2026 Operating Income4.85 Bil4.92 Bil5.00 Bil13.9% Higher NewActual: 4.33 Bil for 2025
2026 EPS27.427.627.97.0% Higher NewActual: 25.9 for 2025
2026 Free Cash Flow3.10 Bil3.30 Bil3.50 Bil3.1% Higher NewActual: 3.20 Bil for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 7/1/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Welsh, Mark A Iii DirectSell5052026571.689554,3102,355,899Form
2Roeder, Roshan SCVP & Pres. Mission SystemsDirectSell3022026720.001,7541,262,8801,694,441Form
3Davies, Benjamin RCVP & Pres. Defense SystemsDirectSell2192026719.612,1891,575,255108,661Form
4Hardesty, Michael ACorp VP, Controller & CAODirectSell2192026700.63716501,6091,872,287Form
5Simpson, Kathryn GCorp VP & General CounselDirectSell2192026702.56779547,294750,608Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Welsh, Mark A Iii DirectSell5052026571.689554,3102,355,899Form
2Roeder, Roshan SCVP & Pres. Mission SystemsDirectSell3022026720.001,7541,262,8801,694,441Form
3Davies, Benjamin RCVP & Pres. Defense SystemsDirectSell2192026719.612,1891,575,255108,661Form
4Hardesty, Michael ACorp VP, Controller & CAODirectSell2192026700.63716501,6091,872,287Form
5Simpson, Kathryn GCorp VP & General CounselDirectSell2192026702.56779547,294750,608Form
6Roeder, Roshan SCVP & Pres. Mission SystemsDirectSell2192026702.56318223,4143,245,399Form
7Hardesty, Michael ACorp VP, Controller & CAODirectSell2172026702.43784550,4112,172,779Form
8Warden, Kathy JChair, CEO and PresidentDirectSell2102026708.8220,00014,176,469121,635,805Form
9Welsh, Mark A Iii DirectSell2032026684.529565,0292,877,025Form
10Roeder, Roshan SCVP & Pres. Mission SystemsDirectSell12112025555.358446,649224,311Form
11Welsh, Mark A Iii DirectSell11252025564.089754,7162,414,815Form
12Jones, Thomas HCVP & Pres Aeronautics SystemsDirectSell7182025525.00729382,7253,258,462Form
13Welsh, Mark A Iii DirectSell7082025506.673316,7202,210,616Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/5/2026