X-Energy (XE)
Market Price (9/1/2026): $18.4 | Market Cap: $5.2 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
X-Energy (XE)
Market Price (9/1/2026): $18.4Market Cap: $5.2 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -31% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Datacenter Power, Hydrogen Economy, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Mini Nuclear, Show more. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -245 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -198% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 42x Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -183%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -297% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 61% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.0% Key risksXE key risks include [1] a heavy dependency on uncertain government ARDP funding, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -31% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Datacenter Power, Hydrogen Economy, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Mini Nuclear, Show more. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -245 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -198% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 42x |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -183%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -297% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 61% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.0% |
| Key risksXE key risks include [1] a heavy dependency on uncertain government ARDP funding, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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X-Energy (XE) stock has lost about 30% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Project delays and regulatory hurdles for reactor deployment. X-Energy's construction projects have faced delays, with the groundbreaking for its first project with Amazon now pushed to 2027 due to the lack of official U.S. government approval for its reactor design. The first commercial Xe-100 deployment is targeted for the early 2030s, creating significant uncertainty and execution risk for its development pipeline.
2. Persistent operating losses and high cash burn. The company continues to incur substantial losses, reporting a net loss of $166.2 million in fiscal Q1 2026 (which ended March 31, 2026) and an operating loss of $110.0 million in fiscal Q2 2026 (which ended June 30, 2026). X-Energy also experienced a net cash outflow of $97.3 million from operating activities in fiscal Q2 2026, missing analyst earnings expectations of a $0.09 loss per share for that quarter.
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X-Energy (XE) stock has lost about 30% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Project delays and regulatory hurdles for reactor deployment. X-Energy's construction projects have faced delays, with the groundbreaking for its first project with Amazon now pushed to 2027 due to the lack of official U.S. government approval for its reactor design. The first commercial Xe-100 deployment is targeted for the early 2030s, creating significant uncertainty and execution risk for its development pipeline.
2. Persistent operating losses and high cash burn. The company continues to incur substantial losses, reporting a net loss of $166.2 million in fiscal Q1 2026 (which ended March 31, 2026) and an operating loss of $110.0 million in fiscal Q2 2026 (which ended June 30, 2026). X-Energy also experienced a net cash outflow of $97.3 million from operating activities in fiscal Q2 2026, missing analyst earnings expectations of a $0.09 loss per share for that quarter.
3. Analyst downgrades and reduced price targets. Concerns over project timelines and valuation led to revisions in analyst ratings. For instance, Jefferies downgraded X-Energy's stock from $30 to $22 in June 2026, and UBS Group lowered its price target from $40.00 to $34.00 in July 2026.
4. Elevated valuation despite early-stage financial profile. Even after its stock decline, X-Energy maintained a high valuation, with a price-to-sales ratio exceeding 80. This indicates that the stock was heavily priced on future potential rather than current revenue or profitability, making it more vulnerable to significant pullbacks when development progress is slower than market expectations or when financial losses continue.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -31.4% change in XE stock from 5/31/2026 to 8/31/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 5312026 | 8312026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 26.91 | 18.45 | -31.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 91 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | � | 55.6 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 273 | 273 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2026 to 8/31/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| XE | -31.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.4% | 43.8% |
| Sector (XLI) | 1.2% | 14.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 89.5% change in XE stock from 2/28/2026 to 8/31/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 8312026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.73 | 18.45 | 89.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 91 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | � | 55.6 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 273 | 273 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 8/31/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| XE | 89.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.1% | 40.8% |
| Sector (XLI) | -0.9% | 24.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 89.5% change in XE stock from 8/31/2025 to 8/31/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 8312026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.73 | 18.45 | 89.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 91 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | � | 55.6 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 273 | 273 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 8/31/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| XE | 89.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 19.9% | 40.8% |
| Sector (XLI) | 16.4% | 24.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 89.5% change in XE stock from 8/31/2023 to 8/31/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 8312023 | 8312026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.73 | 18.45 | 89.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 91 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | � | 55.6 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 273 | 273 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2023 to 8/31/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| XE | 89.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 76.3% | 40.8% |
| Sector (XLI) | 68.5% | 24.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| XE Return | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 77% | 77% |
| Peers Return | 24% | -2% | 10% | 150% | 127% | -15% | 539% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 105% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| XE Win Rate | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 40% | 48% | 56% | 66% | 63% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| XE Max Drawdown | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -62% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -35% | -30% | -35% | -46% | -52% | -49% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GEV, BWXT, SMR, OKLO, LEU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/31/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | XE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -31.5% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.9% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3242 days | 6 days |
In The Past
X-Energy's stock fell -31.5% during the 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff. Such a loss loss requires a 45.9% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | XE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -31.5% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.9% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3242 days | 6 days |
In The Past
X-Energy's stock fell -31.5% during the 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff. Such a loss loss requires a 45.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About X-Energy (XE)
X-energy (symbol: XE) is a leading innovator in advanced nuclear technology, specializing in the design of Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) and the manufacturing of advanced nuclear fuels. The company aims to address the rapidly increasing global electricity demand, particularly from AI and data center infrastructure, by providing clean, safe, and scalable power generation solutions. Its flagship product is the Xe-100, a High Temperature Gas-cooled Reactor (HTGR) designed to produce 80 megawatts of electric power or 200 megawatts of thermal output, often deployed in an optimized four-reactor configuration for 320 MWe.
X-energy's reactors utilize its proprietary TRISO-X fuel, a high-energy density (15.5% enriched HALEU) spherical pebble fuel, which enhances safety and allows for very high operating temperatures. This advanced fuel will be produced at North America's first purpose-built commercial advanced nuclear fuel fabrication facility, TX-1, in Oak Ridge, Tennessee. The Xe-100's design emphasizes advanced safety features, near-zero direct greenhouse gas emissions, high thermal output, and modularity, making it suitable for both baseload electricity generation and industrial heat applications.
The company has secured significant customer relationships with Dow, Amazon, and Centrica, collectively representing a potential pipeline of over 11 gigawatts electric (144 reactors) across the U.S. and U.K. X-energy also benefits from substantial government backing, having been awarded $1.2 billion as part of the Department of Energy's (DOE) Advanced Reactor Demonstration Program (ARDP) to support the design, licensing, commercialization, and construction of its first plant and fuel facility. This strategic position aims to capitalize on the growing recognition of advanced nuclear as a crucial component for future energy needs.
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X-Energy is like the Tesla of nuclear power, developing advanced, modular reactors and their specialized fuel to provide clean, scalable energy.
Think of X-Energy as a specialized Intel for nuclear energy, building both advanced reactors and their unique TRISO-X fuel.
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- Xe-100 Small Modular Reactors (SMRs): Advanced High Temperature Gas-cooled Reactors (HTGRs) designed to generate electricity or provide industrial heat.
- TRISO-X Nuclear Fuel: Proprietary high-assay low-enriched uranium (HALEU) pebble fuel engineered for exceptional safety margins and use in Xe-100 reactors.
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X-Energy (symbol: XE) sells primarily to other companies. Its major customers are:
- Dow (symbol: DOW)
- Amazon (symbol: AMZN)
- Centrica (symbol: CNA.L)
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J. Clay Sell, Chief Executive Officer
Clay Sell joined X-energy as CEO in January 2019. From 2008 to 2018, he served as the president of Hunt Energy Horizons, LLC, the renewable energy subsidiary of Hunt Consolidated, Inc., a multinational energy, real estate, and investment corporation. Earlier in his career, he held several senior-level positions in the U.S. government for 14 years, including Deputy Secretary of Energy in the George W. Bush Administration from 2005-2008, and Special Assistant to the President from 2003-2005.
Daniel Gross, Chief Financial Officer
Daniel Gross was appointed Chief Financial Officer in December 2025. Prior to joining X-energy, he was a corporate development Director at Amazon, where he focused on the Climate Pledge Fund, a corporate venture program. His career includes senior leadership roles in clean energy finance, such as Chief Investment Officer at Climate Real Impact Solutions, Managing Director at Oaktree Capital Management, and Partner at Hudson Clean Energy, indicating a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity or private investment firms. He also previously held roles at Goldman Sachs and GE Capital. Gross served as an Amazon designee on X-energy's Board of Directors.
Dr. Kam Ghaffarian, Founder & Executive Chairman
Dr. Kam Ghaffarian founded X-energy in 2009. A serial entrepreneur, he previously founded Stinger Ghaffarian Technologies, Inc. (SGT) in 1994, a government services company, which was acquired by KBR, Inc. for $355 million in 2018. He is also a co-founder and chairman of several other companies, including Intuitive Machines, LLC, Axiom Space, Inc., and Quantum Space, LLC.
Joel Duling, President, TRISO-X
Joel Duling serves as the President of X-energy's TRISO-X Advanced Nuclear Fuel Unit, a role he was appointed to in September 2024.
Dinkar S. Bhatia, Chief Commercial Officer
Dinkar S. Bhatia was appointed as X-energy's first Chief Commercial Officer in July 2025. He joined the company from Hartree Partners, where he co-led the North American Power business. Mr. Bhatia has over two decades of experience in developing commercial power assets and managing complex energy and infrastructure projects.
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Key Risks to X-Energy (XE)
- Dependency on and Uncertainty of ARDP Funding: X-energy heavily relies on funding from the U.S. Department of Energy's Advanced Reactor Demonstration Program (ARDP). The company's current budget period for ARDP funding extends through August 2026, and there is no assurance that it will receive additional funding or extensions beyond this period. As of December 31, 2025, X-energy had been reimbursed approximately $438 million of the initial $1.2 billion commitment. A significant portion of X-energy's revenue in fiscal year 2025, specifically 81.8%, was derived from ARDP cost-reimbursement and grant income, underscoring the company's substantial financial reliance on this government program.
- Execution Risks Related to First-of-a-Kind (FOAK) Deployment: X-energy's flagship Xe-100 reactor technology and its TRISO-X fuel fabrication facility are first-of-a-kind commercial advanced nuclear projects. The nuclear industry has a historical precedent of cost overruns and schedule delays for such projects. The company faces significant execution risks in moving from development to commercial delivery, which encompasses managing licensing processes, controlling costs, expanding its supply chain, and securing future financing. For instance, the TRISO-X fuel fabrication facility (TX-1) began construction in October 2024 and is expected to be completed by the first half of 2028, representing a complex and novel undertaking.
- Pre-Commercial Status and Unproven Business Model: Despite having "high-quality customers" and a potential pipeline of over 11 gigawatts electric (144 reactors), X-energy is still in a pre-commercial phase. The company has not yet delivered a commercial reactor and has not achieved final investment decisions for any deployments. Its commercially relevant revenue streams, such as technology fees, post-commercial operation date services, and fuel sales, are currently negligible. The realization of its projected pipeline is contingent upon customers fully exercising their rights. This indicates that X-energy's long-term revenue model remains largely unproven at scale.
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X-Energy faces a clear emerging threat related to the continuation of its substantial federal funding. The company's cooperative agreement for the Advanced Reactor Demonstration Program (ARDP) with the DOE provides a 50/50 cost share of $2.4 billion in eligible costs ($1.2 billion reimbursement) through 2027. However, the current budget period under this agreement extends only through August 2026. Extensions beyond this period are subject to DOE discretion and approval, and the company explicitly states there can be no assurance that it will receive additional ARDP funding or that extensions will be granted. Failure to obtain these extensions would lead to X-Energy forgoing reimbursement for eligible costs incurred beyond the currently approved period and potentially facing de-obligation of unobligated funds, which could significantly impede its design, licensing, commercialization, and construction efforts for its first commercial plant and fuel fabrication facility.
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X-Energy's main products, advanced nuclear reactor technology (small modular reactors or SMRs) and advanced nuclear fuels (TRISO-X fuel), address the growing demand for new electricity generation. The total demand for new electricity generation is expected to increase globally by 7,626 TWh from 2023 to 2030.
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Expected drivers of future revenue growth for X-Energy (XE) over the next 2-3 years include:
- Commercial Deployment and Sales of Xe-100 Small Modular Reactors (SMRs): X-energy anticipates significant revenue growth from the deployment of its flagship Xe-100 reactors, with advanced development efforts already underway for initial projects with customers like Dow (at its Seadrift Operations site in Texas) and Amazon (in connection with Energy Northwest). The company has a pipeline of over 11 gigawatts electric (GWe) and 144 reactors across the U.S. and U.K. through its three high-quality customers.
- Commercial Production and Sales of TRISO-X Advanced Nuclear Fuel: Revenue is expected to grow from the production and sale of its proprietary TRISO-X pebble fuel. The TX-1 fuel fabrication facility in Oak Ridge, Tennessee, which began construction in October 2024, is anticipated to be completed by the first half of 2028 and will be North America’s first purpose-built commercial advanced nuclear fuel fabrication facility. This facility will have the capacity to support the fuel needs of the first 11 Xe-100 reactors at steady state operations.
- Expansion of Existing Customer Engagements: The company has established strong relationships with Dow, Amazon, and Centrica, with a substantial pipeline of 144 reactors contingent on these customers exercising their rights in full. As these projects progress from advanced development to full deployment, X-energy expects continued revenue expansion from these key customers in both the U.S. and the U.K.
- Addressing Growing Demand for Electricity and Industrial Heat: X-energy is positioned to capitalize on the historically unprecedented electricity demand growth, particularly from AI and associated data center infrastructure, as well as industrial heat applications. The company's scalable Xe-100 technology and high thermal output capabilities are designed to meet these increasing energy needs, potentially leading to new customer acquisitions and broader market penetration.
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Inbound Investments
- X-energy was awarded an initial $1.2 billion by the Department of Energy (DOE) in December 2020, as part of its selection for the Advanced Reactor Demonstration Program (ARDP).
- The cooperative ARDP Agreement, signed in February 2021, provides a 50/50 cost share of $2.4 billion of eligible costs, with $1.2 billion in reimbursement, through 2027.
- As of December 31, 2025, X-energy has been reimbursed approximately $438 million in funding under the ARDP Agreement.
Capital Expenditures
- Construction began in October 2024 on X-energy's TRISO-X fuel fabrication facility (TX-1) in Oak Ridge, Tennessee.
- The TX-1 facility is expected to be completed by the first half of 2028 and will be North America's first purpose-built commercial advanced nuclear fuel fabrication facility.
- ARDP funding supports X-energy's work towards the design, licensing, commercialization, and construction of its first-of-a-kind commercial advanced nuclear plant and the commercial TRISO-X fuel fabrication facility.
Peer Outperformance in Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Construction & Engineering | 31 | 15.3% | 103.8% | 188.4% | CDNL 2745% · FIX 2011% · STRL 1949% |
| Marine Transportation | 4 | 58.0% | 56.2% | 151.3% | MATX 198% · KEX 162% · SFL 140% |
| Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment | 13 | 12.3% | 53.5% | 109.1% | CAT 318% · ALSN 257% · WAB 232% |
| Aerospace & Defense | 55 | -0.7% | 58.4% | 77.7% | ATI 1057% · FTAI 868% · HWM 679% |
| Passenger Ground Transportation | 3 | -6.8% | 37.0% | 66.6% | UBER 86% · CAR 67% · LYFT -65% |
| Rail Transportation | 7 | 32.2% | 72.0% | 50.9% | FSTR 126% · CSX 66% · UNP 55% |
| Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components ← | 71 | 6.7% | 43.3% | 45.9% | CRS 1402% · PSIX 843% · GHM 622% |
| Cargo Ground Transportation | 16 | 38.2% | 2.1% | 38.5% | XPO 267% · R 249% · CVLG 206% |
| Trading Companies & Distributors | 19 | 1.5% | 30.3% | 33.0% | DXPE 535% · AIT 286% · URI 210% |
| Diversified Support Services | 33 | 10.7% | 30.8% | 27.0% | LIME 4595% · TH 368% · WLFC 354% |
| Electrical Components & Equipment | 41 | 17.3% | 47.0% | 20.1% | POWL 2196% · ELVA 896% · BE 842% |
| Building Products | 33 | -9.5% | 3.7% | 20.0% | LMB 440% · GFF 389% · PPIH 291% |
| Research & Consulting Services | 13 | -8.6% | -18.3% | -2.4% | HURN 223% · CRAI 96% · GRNQ 58% |
| Environmental & Facilities Services | 29 | -9.8% | 15.8% | -5.2% | CECO 844% · ADUR 556% · NVRI 344% |
| Industrial Conglomerates | 17 | 12.5% | 7.3% | -6.6% | RCMT 706% · CSW 143% · CSL 75% |
| Agricultural & Farm Machinery | 17 | 4.3% | -8.4% | -17.2% | BLBD 179% · DE 86% · GENC 61% |
| Data Processing & Outsourced Services | 6 | -30.1% | -11.3% | -24.7% | EXLS 55% · BR 16% · G -21% |
| Passenger Airlines | 11 | 1.2% | -4.8% | -27.8% | LTM 2230% · UAL 134% · SKYW 106% |
| Office Services & Supplies | 9 | 11.5% | 17.2% | -29.0% | PBI 178% · TILE 165% · HNI 51% |
| Human Resource & Employment Services | 22 | 8.1% | -18.9% | -35.7% | BBSI 89% · ADP 54% · KFY 33% |
| Air Freight & Logistics | 12 | -9.3% | -26.3% | -37.3% | CHRW 89% · FDX 70% · EXPD 63% |
| Security & Alarm Services | 10 | -32.6% | 10.8% | -42.9% | CIX 103% · MG 78% · BCO 47% |
| Airport Services | 3 | -68.9% | -75.9% | -59.8% | JOBY -45% · ASLE -60% · UP -100% |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | - |
| Mkt Cap | 6.2 |
| Rev LTM | 299 |
| Op Inc LTM | -105 |
| FCF LTM | -220 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -18 |
| CFO LTM | -86 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 22 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 14.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 18.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.8% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -91.9% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -98.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -5.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -97.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -165.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
Price Behavior
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 5.99 | 4.50 | 3.25 | 3.32 | 2.01 | 0.47 |
| Up Beta | 4.28 | 5.81 | 4.83 | 2.26 | 2.28 | 0.34 |
| Down Beta | 7.96 | 2.71 | 1.47 | 0.00 | 0.09 | -0.03 |
| Up Capture | 760% | 482% | 282% | 987% | 450% | 43% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 10 | 21 | 32 | 68 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 19 | 28 | 39 | 39 | 39 |
| Down Capture | 672% | 421% | 328% | 238% | 149% | 83% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 32 | 59 | 113 | 324 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 23 | 36 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with XE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XE | -36.9% | 104.7% | -0.79 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 15.4% | 17.1% | 0.67 | 24.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 19.3% | 12.8% | 1.11 | 40.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 29.8% | 29.0% | 0.89 | 39.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 41.3% | 20.4% | 1.58 | -9.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 9.2% | 13.7% | 0.40 | -14.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -30.9% | 43.7% | -0.72 | 31.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with XE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XE | -8.8% | 104.7% | -0.79 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 12.7% | 17.6% | 0.56 | 24.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.9% | 17.2% | 0.57 | 40.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.4% | 18.7% | 0.84 | 39.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.0% | 19.5% | 0.44 | -9.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.9% | 18.9% | -0.00 | -14.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 9.5% | 52.7% | 0.36 | 31.9% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with XE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XE | -8.0% | 75.0% | -1.22 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.4% | 20.0% | 0.59 | 21.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.2% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 35.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.3% | 16.3% | 0.62 | 32.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.6% | 18.1% | 0.34 | -5.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.9% | 20.7% | 0.20 | -9.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 63.4% | 66.2% | 1.03 | 8.2% |
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Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 8/14/2026Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/13/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q3 2026 TX-1 Vertical Construction Completion | Reported | |||||||
Insider Activity
Updated 6/16/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wallace, Michael J Wallace | Direct | Buy | 4292026 | 23.00 | 1,000 | 23,000 | 1,636,703 | Form | |
| 2 | Hyle, Kathleen W | Direct | Buy | 4292026 | 23.00 | 10,000 | 230,000 | 2,935,720 | Form | |
| 3 | Duling, Joel | President, TRISO-X | Direct | Buy | 4292026 | 23.00 | 100 | 2,300 | 12,712,077 | Form |
| 4 | Garcia, Laura | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Buy | 4292026 | 23.00 | 1,200 | 27,600 | 4,526,906 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wallace, Michael J Wallace | Direct | Buy | 4292026 | 23.00 | 1,000 | 23,000 | 1,636,703 | Form | |
| 2 | Hyle, Kathleen W | Direct | Buy | 4292026 | 23.00 | 10,000 | 230,000 | 2,935,720 | Form | |
| 3 | Duling, Joel | President, TRISO-X | Direct | Buy | 4292026 | 23.00 | 100 | 2,300 | 12,712,077 | Form |
| 4 | Garcia, Laura | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Buy | 4292026 | 23.00 | 1,200 | 27,600 | 4,526,906 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Industrials Resources |
| IndustryWeek |
| Manufacturing.net |
| Aviation Week |
| Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components Resources |
| Machine Design |
| Modern Machine Shop |
| Industrial Equipment News (IEN) |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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