Tearsheet

NuScale Power (SMR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $21.97 | Market Cap: $3.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

NuScale Power (SMR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $21.97
Market Cap: $3.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -629 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -984%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 766%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 83x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Datacenter Power, Hydrogen Economy, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Mini Nuclear, Show more.
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -442%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -442%
3  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 126%
4  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
5  High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 113%
6  Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 31%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 766%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Datacenter Power, Hydrogen Economy, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Mini Nuclear, Show more.
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -629 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -984%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 83x
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -442%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -442%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 126%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 113%
9 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 31%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SMR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why NuScale Power (SMR) stock moved by -41.9% during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Stock Tumble and Profit-Taking: The stock experienced a significant tumble from its all-time highs in mid-October 2025, falling more than 40% through November and early December. Analysts attributed this to investors booking profits and a general market sell-off, especially for nuclear startups.

2. Disappointing Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: NuScale Power reported a substantial net loss of $273 million for the third quarter of 2025 and an earnings per share (EPS) of ($1.85), significantly missing the consensus estimate of ($0.11). Additionally, quarterly revenue of $8.24 million fell below the forecasted $11.17 million, contributing to investor disappointment.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SMR Return--1%2%-68%445%5%87%
Peers Return6%-1%-19%64%66%13%161%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SMR Win Rate 42%42%25%67%70% 
Peers Win Rate58%50%42%67%54%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SMR Max Drawdown--15%-11%-80%-42%-30% 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-15%-38%-2%-6%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GGG, GHM, ADVEN, BENN, HRDG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSMRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-86.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven636.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven246 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-3.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven13 days148 days

Compare to GGG, GHM, ADVEN, BENN, HRDG


In The Past

NuScale Power's stock fell -86.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/24/2022. A -86.4% loss requires a 636.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About NuScale Power (SMR)

Better Bets than NuScale Power (SMR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SMR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for NuScale Power

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SMRGGGGHMADVENBENNHRDGMedian
NameNuScale .Graco Graham AdvEn Bend Nov.Huarui I. 
Mkt Price20.1482.9957.30---57.30
Mkt Cap3.013.80.6---3.0
Rev LTM642,192228---228
Op Inc LTM-62958217---17
FCF LTM-282625-11----11
FCF 3Y Avg-19849612---12
CFO LTM-28267213---13
CFO 3Y Avg-19762226---26

Growth & Margins

SMRGGGGHMADVENBENNHRDGMedian
NameNuScale .Graco Graham AdvEn Bend Nov.Huarui I. 
Rev Chg LTM765.7%2.9%16.0%---16.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg273.0%1.0%17.0%---17.0%
Rev Chg Q1,635.2%4.7%23.3%---23.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM13.8%1.1%5.8%---5.8%
Op Mgn LTM-984.0%26.6%7.4%---7.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-1,639.7%28.0%5.1%---5.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-750.1%-0.1%-0.4%----0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-441.9%30.7%5.7%---5.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-1,085.9%28.7%13.5%---13.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-442.0%28.5%-4.7%----4.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-1,089.7%22.8%6.8%---6.8%

Valuation

SMRGGGGHMADVENBENNHRDGMedian
NameNuScale .Graco Graham AdvEn Bend Nov.Huarui I. 
Mkt Cap3.013.80.6---3.0
P/S83.26.42.6---6.4
P/EBIT-8.523.035.6---23.0
P/E-14.028.344.1---28.3
P/CFO-18.820.946.4---20.9
Total Yield-7.1%4.8%2.3%---2.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.3%0.0%---0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-20.7%3.6%6.0%---3.6%
D/E0.00.00.0---0.0
Net D/E-0.1-0.0-0.0----0.0

Returns

SMRGGGGHMADVENBENNHRDGMedian
NameNuScale .Graco Graham AdvEn Bend Nov.Huarui I. 
1M Rtn-50.7%1.9%-8.0%----8.0%
3M Rtn-50.2%-1.5%20.9%----1.5%
6M Rtn-35.4%-0.9%40.1%----0.9%
12M Rtn-19.0%-7.6%27.6%----7.6%
3Y Rtn80.8%22.7%487.7%---80.8%
1M Excs Rtn-50.6%1.9%-8.0%----8.0%
3M Excs Rtn-49.4%-8.7%11.2%----8.7%
6M Excs Rtn-50.1%-15.6%25.4%----15.6%
12M Excs Rtn-45.6%-21.2%14.3%----21.2%
3Y Excs Rtn14.2%-47.2%414.9%---14.2%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity46,000,332
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202541.5%
Average Daily Volume23,993,609
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.92
Basic Shares Quantity147,685,584
Short % of Basic Shares31.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023315202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
123120201072022S-4 12/31/2020