Tearsheet

NuScale Power (SMR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $15.84 | Market Cap: $2.3 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

NuScale Power (SMR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $15.84
Market Cap: $2.3 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -24%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -629 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -984%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 766%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 83x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Datacenter Power, Hydrogen Economy, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Mini Nuclear, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -442%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -442%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 126%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 114%
6   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 28%
7   Key risks
SMR key risks include [1] its lack of commercialized reactors and consistent revenue generation, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 766%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Datacenter Power, Hydrogen Economy, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Mini Nuclear, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -24%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -629 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -984%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 83x
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -442%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -442%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 126%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 114%
10 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 28%
11 Key risks
SMR key risks include [1] its lack of commercialized reactors and consistent revenue generation, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SMR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points highlighting why NuScale Power (SMR) stock moved by -54.6% between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025: **1. NuScale Power reported weaker-than-expected financial results for the third quarter of 2025.** The company announced on November 6, 2025, that its Q3 2025 revenue of $8.2 million fell short of analysts' anticipated $11.1 million. Additionally, NuScale reported a net loss of $1.85 per share, significantly wider than the consensus estimate of a loss of $0.11 per share. This substantial earnings miss and deepening losses contributed to negative investor sentiment.

**2. Stockholders approved a significant increase in authorized Class A common stock, raising dilution concerns.** On December 16, 2025, NuScale Power's stockholders approved an amendment to increase authorized Class A common stock from 332,000,000 to 662,000,000 shares. This move, intended to provide flexibility for future capital raising, strategic transactions, and equity compensation, was interpreted by the market as a dilution risk, putting downward pressure on the stock price. The company also raised $475.2 million gross proceeds in Q3 2025 through an at-the-market equity raise, indicating a continued reliance on public capital.

**3. Major investor Fluor Corporation continued to monetize its stake in NuScale Power.** Fluor Corporation, a significant investor, announced an agreement regarding stake monetization on November 6, 2025. Prior to this, on September 19, 2025, a director from Fluor Corp sold 2,372,563 shares at an average price of $43.99, totaling over $104 million. This substantial insider selling, exceeding the $5 million threshold, signaled a reduction in a major investor's commitment and raised concerns about NuScale's future funding and shareholder composition.

**4. Uncertainty persisted regarding binding power purchase agreements and project deployment timelines.** Despite positive announcements about partnerships with ENTRA1 Energy and the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) for potential large-scale SMR deployments, the conversion of these initiatives into firm, binding power purchase agreements (PPAs) remained unconfirmed. While the first 12-module plant is targeted for around 2030, delays in PPA negotiations, site selection, or licensing processes were noted as potential risks. This ongoing uncertainty about concrete, revenue-generating contracts likely weighed on investor confidence looking for clearer commercialization pathways.

**5. The competitive landscape in the small modular reactor (SMR) market intensified.** Despite NuScale's lead in regulatory approvals, increased competition in the SMR industry emerged. In September 2025, Oklo and Sweden's Blykalla formed a partnership, and GE Vernova and Samsung C&T also announced a partnership to accelerate SMR development. In October 2025, BWX Technologies signed agreements with Rolls-Royce SMR. These competitive advancements suggest a more crowded market, potentially impacting NuScale's future market share and contract acquisition capabilities.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SMR Return-1%2%-68%445%-5%
Peers Return111%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SMR Win Rate42%42%25%67%58% 
Peers Win Rate66%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SMR Max Drawdown-15%-11%-80%-42%-30% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GEV, BWXT, OKLO, NNE, CEG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSMRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-86.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven636.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven246 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-3.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven13 days148 days

Compare to GGG, GHM, ADVEN, BENN, HRDG


In The Past

NuScale Power's stock fell -86.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/24/2022. A -86.4% loss requires a 636.5% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About NuScale Power (SMR)

Better Bets than NuScale Power (SMR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SMR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for NuScale Power

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SMRGEVBWXTOKLONNECEGMedian
NameNuScale .GE Verno.BWX Tech.Oklo Nano Nuc.Constell. 
Mkt Price15.73614.19168.1275.9429.99340.97122.03
Mkt Cap2.3167.115.416.81.2106.716.1
Rev LTM6437,6703,0590024,8411,561
Op Inc LTM-6291,381333-98-383,017147
FCF LTM-2822,473463-69-17-276-43
FCF 3Y Avg-198-250---4,768-198
CFO LTM-2823,429630-62-172,416306
CFO 3Y Avg-197-411---2,252-197

Growth & Margins

SMRGEVBWXTOKLONNECEGMedian
NameNuScale .GE Verno.BWX Tech.Oklo Nano Nuc.Constell. 
Rev Chg LTM765.7%9.4%14.0%--3.6%11.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg273.0%-11.6%--3.7%11.6%
Rev Chg Q1,635.2%11.8%28.9%--0.3%20.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM13.8%2.9%6.8%--0.1%4.8%
Op Mgn LTM-984.0%3.7%10.9%--12.1%7.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-1,639.7%-12.5%--11.1%11.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-750.1%1.9%-0.4%---1.7%-1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-441.9%9.1%20.6%--9.7%9.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-1,085.9%-14.7%---8.9%-8.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-442.0%6.6%15.1%---1.1%2.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-1,089.7%-8.7%---19.0%-19.0%

Valuation

SMRGEVBWXTOKLONNECEGMedian
NameNuScale .GE Verno.BWX Tech.Oklo Nano Nuc.Constell. 
Mkt Cap2.3167.115.416.81.2106.716.1
P/S83.24.45.5--4.15.0
P/EBIT-8.5121.140.4--35.424.724.7
P/E-14.098.255.0-219.2-39.037.611.8
P/CFO-18.848.826.8-269.8-78.142.64.0
Total Yield-7.1%1.1%2.4%-0.5%-2.6%3.1%0.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.1%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.5%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-20.7%-2.0%---9.5%-9.5%
D/E0.00.00.1-0.00.10.0
Net D/E-0.1-0.00.1--0.20.0-0.0

Returns

SMRGEVBWXTOKLONNECEGMedian
NameNuScale .GE Verno.BWX Tech.Oklo Nano Nuc.Constell. 
1M Rtn-25.3%6.4%-4.4%-20.4%-3.2%0.7%-3.8%
3M Rtn-56.5%-0.1%-0.0%-20.3%-16.3%6.3%-8.2%
6M Rtn-59.8%25.4%20.0%22.4%-21.0%11.5%15.8%
12M Rtn-27.5%87.5%43.5%297.6%16.5%46.4%44.9%
3Y Rtn62.0%-193.9%670.2%-296.2%245.1%
1M Excs Rtn-26.0%5.7%-5.2%-21.1%-3.9%-0.1%-4.6%
3M Excs Rtn-60.1%-0.8%-4.6%-29.0%-22.9%4.4%-13.7%
6M Excs Rtn-72.2%13.0%7.6%10.1%-33.4%-0.8%3.4%
12M Excs Rtn-36.6%74.4%29.0%298.7%9.2%32.3%30.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-24.0%-118.4%599.4%-216.1%167.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil202420232022
Power Plant and NuScale Power Module (NPM) related services21  
Other1  
Energy Exploration Centers1  
Commercialization of a modular, scalable electric Light Water Reactor nuclear power plant, with 77 123
Total23123


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity42,014,827
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-8.7%
Average Daily Volume23,384,820
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.80
Basic Shares Quantity147,685,584
Short % of Basic Shares28.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/2025-6.5%-28.7%-34.3%
8/7/2025-11.9%-19.6%-24.0%
5/12/202521.6%37.8%133.8%
3/3/202511.5%-5.0%-5.2%
11/7/202413.0%13.8%10.5%
8/8/20247.9%9.2%-11.9%
5/9/20247.2%3.9%48.1%
11/8/2023-32.9%-13.5%4.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive854
# Negative478
Median Positive7.5%9.2%29.3%
Median Negative-9.2%-8.8%-11.7%
Max Positive21.6%37.8%133.8%
Max Negative-32.9%-28.7%-34.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023315202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
123120201072022S-4 12/31/2020