BWX Technologies (BWXT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $175.45 | Market Cap: $16.1 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense
BWX Technologies (BWXT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $175.45Market Cap: $16.1 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Aerospace & Defense
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 40x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 55x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 70% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Datacenter Power, Hydrogen Economy, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Mini Nuclear, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Datacenter Power, Hydrogen Economy, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Mini Nuclear, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 40x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 55x |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 70% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BWXT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
BWX Technologies (BWXT) experienced an approximate 8% increase in its stock price from late August 2025 to early December 2025, driven by several key developments in its financial performance, significant contract awards, and strategic advancements in nuclear technology.
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: BWX Technologies reported robust third-quarter 2025 earnings on November 3, 2025, with an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.00, surpassing analysts' consensus estimates of $0.85 by $0.15. Quarterly revenue also saw a substantial increase of 28.9% year-over-year, reaching $866.29 million, exceeding analyst projections of $795.48 million. The company's net income for the quarter rose by 18% to $82.2 million.
2. Record Backlog and Raised Guidance: The company achieved a record backlog of $7.4 billion in Q3 2025, marking a 119% increase year-over-year. This was fueled by strong bookings and securing large, multi-year contracts for special materials. Furthermore, BWXT raised its 2025 guidance for non-GAAP EPS to a range of $3.75 to $3.80 and projected adjusted EBITDA growth in the low-double-digit to low-teens range for 2026.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BWXT Return | -2% | -19% | 23% | 34% | 47% | 59% | 206% |
| Peers Return | 20% | 41% | -22% | 30% | 6% | 16% | 111% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BWXT Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 75% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 63% | 42% | 57% | 58% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BWXT Max Drawdown | -32% | -22% | -11% | -4% | -2% | -20% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -45% | -4% | -33% | -10% | -12% | -28% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WWD, AYI, RRX, BC, NOVT. See BWXT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BWXT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 479 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -40.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 67.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1198 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -48.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 93.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1648 days | 120 days |
Compare to WWD, AYI, RRX, BC, NOVT
In The Past
BWX Technologies's stock fell -37.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/6/2021. A -37.2% loss requires a 59.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BWXT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| 08312025 | BWXT | BWX Technologies | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 8.9% | 8.9% | -1.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| 08312025 | BWXT | BWX Technologies | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 8.9% | 8.9% | -1.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for BWX Technologies
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 156.35 |
| Mkt Cap | 10.3 |
| Rev LTM | 3,886 |
| Op Inc LTM | 378 |
| FCF LTM | 498 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 339 |
| CFO LTM | 616 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 505 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 10.3 |
| P/S | 3.1 |
| P/EBIT | 24.0 |
| P/E | 37.4 |
| P/CFO | 22.2 |
| Total Yield | 2.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 9.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 27.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 2.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 54.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 2.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 12.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -11.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -17.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Government Operations | 2,031 | 1,808 | |||
| Commercial Operations | 466 | 427 | |||
| Eliminations | -1 | -3 | -31 | -18 | |
| Nuclear Operations Group | 1,646 | 1,429 | |||
| Nuclear Power Group | 371 | 353 | |||
| Nuclear Services Group | 136 | 131 | |||
| Total | 2,496 | 2,233 | 2,124 | 1,895 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Government Operations | 375 | 337 | |||
| Commercial Operations | 38 | 27 | |||
| Unallocated Corporate | -29 | -15 | -24 | -18 | |
| Nuclear Operations Group | 326 | 298 | |||
| Nuclear Power Group | 52 | 54 | |||
| Nuclear Services Group | 26 | 14 | |||
| Other | -22 | -23 | |||
| Total | 383 | 349 | 359 | 326 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11032025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8042025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5052025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2242025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8052024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5062024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5082023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2222022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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