Tearsheet

GE Vernova (GEV)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $657.52 | Market Cap: $178.8 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Heavy Electrical Equipment

GE Vernova (GEV)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $657.52
Market Cap: $178.8 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Heavy Electrical Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 3.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.5 Bil
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 130x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 52x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 105x
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Offshore Wind Development, Sustainable Infrastructure, Hydrogen Economy, Show more.
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 89%
2  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.1%
3  Key risks
GEV key risks include [1] its dependency on the pace of the energy transition and electricity demand from growth drivers like AI, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 3.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.5 Bil
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Offshore Wind Development, Sustainable Infrastructure, Hydrogen Economy, Show more.
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 130x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 52x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 105x
3 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 89%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.1%
5 Key risks
GEV key risks include [1] its dependency on the pace of the energy transition and electricity demand from growth drivers like AI, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GEV Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

GE Vernova (GEV) experienced significant movements in its stock price between August 31, 2025, and December 20, 2025, with several key developments contributing to its overall performance. Here are five key points highlighting the reasons for the stock's positive momentum during this period:

**1. Strategic Capital Allocation and Shareholder Returns.** In mid-December 2025, GE Vernova announced an increase in its stock buyback authorization to $10 billion and doubled its dividend. This move signaled strong confidence from the company's management in its future financial performance and commitment to returning value to shareholders, leading to a positive market reaction.

**2. Positive Analyst Upgrades and Bullish Price Targets.** During mid-December 2025, several prominent financial firms issued positive ratings and increased price targets for GE Vernova. Evercore ISI resumed coverage with an Outperform rating and an $860 price target, citing sustained growth in power demand. Similarly, Oppenheimer and RBC Capital also upgraded GE Vernova, highlighting potential upside due to pricing, volume improvements, factory throughput, and operational efficiencies.

**3. Fitch Ratings Upgrade Reflecting Operational Strength.** On December 18, 2025, Fitch Ratings upgraded GE Vernova's Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to 'BBB+' from 'BBB', with a Positive Outlook. This upgrade was attributed to Vernova's effective operational execution, growth in its EBITDA and Free Cash Flow (FCF) margins, and demonstrated improvement in company performance, which is expected to strengthen further due to long-term demand in its energy infrastructure markets.

**4. Accelerated Demand Driven by the Artificial Intelligence (AI) Boom.** Analysts consistently pointed to the accelerating demand for power stemming from the artificial intelligence (AI) boom as a significant growth driver for GE Vernova. The company is strategically positioned to benefit from the increasing need for power sector products and services, particularly for AI data centers. GE Vernova's electrification backlog is expected to more than triple by the end of 2024 compared to 2022, fueled by this robust demand for grid equipment.

**5. Strong Prior-Year Financial Performance and Upbeat Outlook.** Heading into 2025, GE Vernova had established a strong financial foundation with positive earnings reports throughout 2024. The company reported turning a profit in Q2 2024, with a net income of $1.3 billion, and subsequently raised its full-year 2024 guidance for revenue, adjusted EBITDA margin, and free cash flow. This momentum continued with solid Q3 2024 results, including double-digit organic orders growth and substantial cash generation, leading to a reaffirmation of its optimistic 2024 financial guidance. These consistent strong results and positive outlook contributed to investor confidence and set a favorable tone for its stock performance in the latter part of 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GEV Return95%
Peers Return34%29%4%17%29%10%202%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GEV Win Rate75%67% 
Peers Win Rate58%70%48%55%57%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GEV Max Drawdown-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-6%-21%-17%-7%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ETN, HON, NEE, EMR, PWR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

GEV has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-22.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven273 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven232 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven312 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-63.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven172.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,463 days1,480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -22.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -22.6% loss requires a 29.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About GE Vernova (GEV)

Better Bets than GE Vernova (GEV)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GEV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for GE Vernova

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GEVETNHONNEEEMRPWRMedian
NameGE Verno.Eaton Honeywel.NextEra .Emerson .Quanta S. 
Mkt Price658.28317.80199.1179.54132.98426.66258.46
Mkt Cap179.1123.6126.5164.274.863.6125.0
Rev LTM37,67026,63340,67026,29818,01527,19126,912
Op Inc LTM1,3815,0497,6927,4043,5311,5484,290
FCF LTM2,4733,3226,1643,0732,6671,2522,870
FCF 3Y Avg-3,1145,2122,4211,9511,2662,421
CFO LTM3,4294,1047,48511,9673,0981,8143,766
CFO 3Y Avg-3,8816,33611,8472,3561,7813,881

Growth & Margins

GEVETNHONNEEEMRPWRMedian
NameGE Verno.Eaton Honeywel.NextEra .Emerson .Quanta S. 
Rev Chg LTM9.4%8.2%7.5%0.2%3.0%18.7%7.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-9.7%5.2%11.4%9.4%17.9%9.7%
Rev Chg Q11.8%10.1%7.0%5.3%5.1%17.5%8.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.9%2.5%1.7%1.5%1.3%4.4%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM3.7%19.0%18.9%28.2%19.6%5.7%18.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-17.8%19.5%31.5%17.7%5.4%17.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.9%0.1%-0.9%-1.4%0.8%0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM9.1%15.4%18.4%45.5%17.2%6.7%16.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-15.8%16.4%44.6%13.5%7.7%15.8%
FCF/Rev LTM6.6%12.5%15.2%11.7%14.8%4.6%12.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-12.6%13.5%9.3%11.1%5.4%11.1%

Valuation

GEVETNHONNEEEMRPWRMedian
NameGE Verno.Eaton Honeywel.NextEra .Emerson .Quanta S. 
Mkt Cap179.1123.6126.5164.274.863.6125.0
P/S4.84.63.16.24.22.34.4
P/EBIT129.724.614.421.821.939.123.3
P/E105.131.520.625.332.662.532.1
P/CFO52.230.116.913.724.135.027.1
Total Yield1.1%3.5%7.2%6.7%3.5%1.7%3.5%
Dividend Yield0.1%0.3%2.3%2.8%0.4%0.1%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.7%4.0%1.3%2.9%3.0%2.9%
D/E0.00.10.30.60.20.10.1
Net D/E-0.00.10.20.60.20.10.1

Returns

GEVETNHONNEEEMRPWRMedian
NameGE Verno.Eaton Honeywel.NextEra .Emerson .Quanta S. 
1M Rtn10.6%-8.1%4.5%-5.0%3.8%-4.2%-0.2%
3M Rtn5.5%-14.9%1.5%12.7%0.9%9.8%3.5%
6M Rtn35.3%-3.5%-3.7%12.8%4.5%18.3%8.6%
12M Rtn98.3%-4.1%-4.9%17.6%10.5%32.4%14.0%
3Y Rtn-112.8%6.5%3.9%48.5%200.4%48.5%
1M Excs Rtn7.7%-11.0%1.6%-7.9%0.9%-7.1%-3.1%
3M Excs Rtn0.1%-17.9%-0.5%8.6%-1.6%5.7%-0.2%
6M Excs Rtn18.4%-17.4%-18.4%0.7%-9.8%3.3%-4.6%
12M Excs Rtn88.0%-20.2%-20.4%0.5%-7.4%14.0%-3.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-34.5%-66.2%-71.4%-26.7%110.7%-26.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023
Power17,43616,124
Wind9,8268,905
Electrification6,3785,076
Other revenues and elimination of intersegment revenues-401-451
Total33,23929,654


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023
Power25,003 
Wind10,898 
Electrification6,607 
Other3,613 
Total46,121 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,552,922
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520255.0%
Average Daily Volume3,142,155
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.40
Basic Shares Quantity272,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/22/2025-1.6%-2.5%1.7%
4/23/20253.1%13.8%38.9%
1/22/20252.7%-14.6%-13.5%
10/23/20241.3%8.1%24.0%
7/24/2024-4.5%-4.6%8.1%
4/25/20241.5%3.8%10.6%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive435
# Negative231
Median Positive2.1%8.1%10.6%
Median Negative-3.0%-4.6%-13.5%
Max Positive3.1%13.8%38.9%
Max Negative-4.5%-14.6%-13.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251022202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025723202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025423202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024206202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241023202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024724202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
123120233132024S-1 12/31/2023

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Parks Kenneth ScottChief Financial Officer8272025Sell620.003,3002,046,0004,705,800Form
1Zingoni Maria VictoriaChief Executive Officer, Power4292025Sell368.1618,8036,922,512 Form