GE Vernova (GEV)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $613.68 | Market Cap: $166.9 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Heavy Electrical Equipment
GE Vernova (GEV)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $613.68Market Cap: $166.9 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Heavy Electrical Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 3.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.5 Bil | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 121x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 49x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 98x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Offshore Wind Development, Sustainable Infrastructure, Hydrogen Economy, Show more. | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 89% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.0% | |
| Key risksGEV key risks include [1] its dependency on the pace of the energy transition and electricity demand from growth drivers like AI, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 3.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.5 Bil |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Offshore Wind Development, Sustainable Infrastructure, Hydrogen Economy, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 121x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 49x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 98x |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 89% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.0% |
| Key risksGEV key risks include [1] its dependency on the pace of the energy transition and electricity demand from growth drivers like AI, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
GEV Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The requested time period for GE Vernova (GEV) stock movement, from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, is in the future relative to the most recent comprehensive financial data available. However, some forward-looking statements, analyst forecasts, and select historical data for late 2025 are available, which may provide context for potential stock movements.
Here are potential key points based on available forward-looking information:
1. Strong Analyst Outlook and Price Targets: Financial analysts covering GE Vernova have a generally positive outlook, with a consensus "Buy" rating and an average price target that forecasts an increase in the stock price over the next year. Several forecasts for 2025 project GEV stock to trade within a specific range, with potential returns on investment compared to current rates. Some analysts predict the stock could reach an average price of around $711.75 by December 16, 2026, implying a potential upside from current prices.
2. Projected Earnings and Revenue Growth: Analysts forecast significant growth in GE Vernova's earnings and revenue for 2025 and beyond. For 2025, estimated earnings per share (EPS) are around $7.29, with revenue projected to be in the trillions of dollars. This anticipated financial performance could positively influence investor sentiment and stock valuation.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GEV Return | � | � | � | � | � | 109% | � |
| Peers Return | 34% | 29% | 4% | 17% | 29% | 12% | 209% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GEV Win Rate | � | � | � | � | 75% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 70% | 48% | 55% | 57% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GEV Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | -18% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -39% | -6% | -21% | -17% | -7% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ETN, HON, NEE, EMR, PWR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
GEV has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.
| Event | XLI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 273 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 232 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 312 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -63.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 172.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,463 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -22.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -22.6% loss requires a 29.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to GEV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.8% | 19.8% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.2% | 4.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.8% | 19.8% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.2% | 4.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for GE Vernova
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 257.86 |
| Mkt Cap | 124.9 |
| Rev LTM | 26,912 |
| Op Inc LTM | 4,290 |
| FCF LTM | 2,870 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,421 |
| CFO LTM | 3,766 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,881 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 18.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 16.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 124.9 |
| P/S | 4.3 |
| P/EBIT | 25.4 |
| P/E | 34.7 |
| P/CFO | 29.0 |
| Total Yield | 3.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.9% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 8.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 9.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 47.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -0.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -3.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -3.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -23.2% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/22/2025 | -1.6% | -2.5% | 1.7% |
| 4/23/2025 | 3.1% | 13.8% | 38.9% |
| 1/22/2025 | 2.7% | -14.6% | -13.5% |
| 10/23/2024 | 1.3% | 8.1% | 24.0% |
| 7/24/2024 | -4.5% | -4.6% | 8.1% |
| 4/25/2024 | 1.5% | 3.8% | 10.6% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| # Negative | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Median Positive | 2.1% | 8.1% | 10.6% |
| Median Negative | -3.0% | -4.6% | -13.5% |
| Max Positive | 3.1% | 13.8% | 38.9% |
| Max Negative | -4.5% | -14.6% | -13.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10222025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7232025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4232025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10232024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7242024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4302024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3132024 | S-1 12/31/2023 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |