Centrus Energy (LEU)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $268.0 | Market Cap: $4.9 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Coal & Consumable Fuels
Centrus Energy (LEU)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $268.0Market Cap: $4.9 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Coal & Consumable Fuels
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 13x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 46x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 36x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 50x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Datacenter Power, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Advanced Nuclear Energy & Fuel, Show more. | Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 249% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 458% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2% | |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Datacenter Power, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Advanced Nuclear Energy & Fuel, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 13x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 46x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 36x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 50x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 249% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 458% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
LEU Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The approximate time period provided (8/31/2025 to 12/4/2025) falls in the future relative to my current knowledge cut-off. However, based on the search results, several significant events occurred for Centrus Energy (LEU) around this general timeframe that could influence its stock performance. The search results show some articles published in late 2024 and through 2025, which discuss events up to "today" (December 4, 2025). Therefore, I will extract key points from these results as the basis for the stock movement.
Here are the key points for Centrus Energy (LEU)'s stock movement:
1. Major Government Contracts and Funding for HALEU and LEU Production.
Centrus Energy secured multiple significant awards from the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) for expanding domestic commercial production of High-Assay, Low-Enriched Uranium (HALEU) and Low-Enriched Uranium (LEU). In October 2024, the company was awarded contracts, alongside others, involving up to $2.7 billion in government funding for HALEU development, crucial for advanced nuclear reactors. Additionally, in December 2024, Centrus secured its third DOE award for LEU enrichment, with potential contracts up to $3.4 billion over ten years. These contracts aim to reduce U.S. reliance on foreign nuclear fuel suppliers, particularly Russia, and revive the domestic uranium enrichment sector.
2. HALEU Production Milestones and Contract Extensions.
Centrus Energy has achieved critical milestones in its HALEU production. In June 2025, the company announced that the U.S. Department of Energy exercised an option to extend Centrus' contract to produce HALEU through June 30, 2026, with additional options for up to eight more years. Later in June 2025, Centrus announced the successful production and delivery of 900 kilograms of HALEU to the DOE, meeting its Phase II production target and continuing into Phase III. This positions Centrus as a key pioneer and the only source of HALEU enrichment in the Western world, crucial for next-generation reactors.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LEU Return | 236% | 116% | -35% | 68% | 22% | 299% | 3760% |
| Peers Return | 63% | 62% | -2% | 813% | 3% | 96% | 4711% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LEU Win Rate | 67% | 50% | 33% | 67% | 50% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 48% | 37% | 65% | 48% | 72% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LEU Max Drawdown | -38% | -15% | -63% | -16% | -35% | -18% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -51% | -11% | -25% | -15% | -27% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EU, NC, CCJ, UEC, LEU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LEU | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -78.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 359.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 890 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -55.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 125.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 75 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -83.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 518.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 525 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -88.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 747.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to EU, NC, CCJ, UEC, LEU
In The Past
Centrus Energy's stock fell -78.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/12/2021. A -78.2% loss requires a 359.4% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LEU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
| 08312025 | LEU | Centrus Energy | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 31.7% | 31.7% | -1.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
| 08312025 | LEU | Centrus Energy | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 31.7% | 31.7% | -1.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Centrus Energy
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 46.70 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.9 |
| Rev LTM | 281 |
| Op Inc LTM | -46 |
| FCF LTM | 6 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -2 |
| CFO LTM | 65 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 43 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 23.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 22.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -16.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -18.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 23.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.9 |
| P/S | 12.0 |
| P/EBIT | 14.1 |
| P/E | 10.8 |
| P/CFO | 4.9 |
| Total Yield | 1.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -0.4% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -7.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 19.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 49.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 51.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 278.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -7.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 12.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 34.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 37.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 219.0% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2072025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10292024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2092024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2222023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3112022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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