Tearsheet

Oklo (OKLO)


Market Price (12/21/2025): $83.69 | Market Cap: $12.6 Bil
Sector: Utilities | Industry: Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders

Oklo (OKLO)


Market Price (12/21/2025): $83.69
Market Cap: $12.6 Bil
Sector: Utilities
Industry: Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Datacenter Power, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Mini Nuclear, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -98 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 287%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.8%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 123%
5   Key risks
OKLO key risks include [1] significant commercialization delays after the NRC rejected its initial Aurora reactor application, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Datacenter Power, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Mini Nuclear, Show more.
1 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
2 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -98 Mil
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 287%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.8%
6 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 123%
7 Key risks
OKLO key risks include [1] significant commercialization delays after the NRC rejected its initial Aurora reactor application, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

OKLO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback



1. Significant Regulatory Progress on Reactor Design: In September 2025, the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) accepted Oklo's Principal Design Criteria (PDC) topical report for an expedited review, a crucial step that streamlines future reactor licensing by establishing a unified regulatory framework for safety, reliability, and performance.

2. Major Investment in Fuel Infrastructure: Oklo announced a strategic partnership in October 2025 with newcleo, a European advanced nuclear reactor developer, which plans to invest up to $2 billion in developing advanced fuel fabrication and manufacturing infrastructure in the United States, aiming to foster a robust domestic fuel ecosystem.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OKLO Return1%6%101%266%
Peers Return81%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OKLO Win Rate20%67%67%58%58% 
Peers Win Rate65%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OKLO Max Drawdown-2%0%-47%-7% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SMR, NNE, BWXT, GEV, LEU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOKLOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-5.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven5.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven306 days464 days

Compare to NRG, TLN, OKLO, AES, TAC


In The Past

Oklo's stock fell -5.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/29/2021. A -5.0% loss requires a 5.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Oklo (OKLO)

Better Bets than Oklo (OKLO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OKLO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.8%-0.8%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.3%5.3%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.0%6.0%-3.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.8%-0.8%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.3%5.3%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.0%6.0%-3.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Oklo

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OKLOSMRNNEBWXTGEVLEUMedian
NameOklo NuScale .Nano Nuc.BWX Tech.GE Verno.Centrus . 
Mkt Price83.2316.0733.03176.43658.28261.77129.83
Mkt Cap12.52.41.416.2179.14.88.7
Rev LTM06403,05937,670454259
Op Inc LTM-98-629-453331,3818319
FCF LTM-69-282-244632,47314661
FCF 3Y Avg--198-12250-6225
CFO LTM-62-282-206303,42915769
CFO 3Y Avg--197-11411-6728

Growth & Margins

OKLOSMRNNEBWXTGEVLEUMedian
NameOklo NuScale .Nano Nuc.BWX Tech.GE Verno.Centrus . 
Rev Chg LTM-765.7%-14.0%9.4%15.3%14.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-273.0%-11.6%-21.3%21.3%
Rev Chg Q-1,635.2%-28.9%11.8%29.8%29.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-13.8%-6.8%2.9%3.9%5.4%
Op Mgn LTM--984.0%-10.9%3.7%18.2%7.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--1,639.7%-12.5%-14.3%12.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--750.1%--0.4%1.9%-2.8%-1.6%
CFO/Rev LTM--441.9%-20.6%9.1%34.6%14.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--1,085.9%-14.7%-15.9%14.7%
FCF/Rev LTM--442.0%-15.1%6.6%32.3%10.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--1,089.7%-8.7%-14.6%8.7%

Valuation

OKLOSMRNNEBWXTGEVLEUMedian
NameOklo NuScale .Nano Nuc.BWX Tech.GE Verno.Centrus . 
Mkt Cap12.52.41.416.2179.14.88.7
P/S-37.1-5.34.810.67.9
P/EBIT-128.3-3.8-30.638.6129.738.617.4
P/E-163.5-6.2-34.352.6105.142.218.0
P/CFO-201.2-8.4-70.125.752.230.58.6
Total Yield-0.6%-16.0%-2.9%2.5%1.1%2.4%0.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%0.1%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--20.7%-2.0%-2.4%2.0%
D/E0.00.00.00.10.00.30.0
Net D/E-0.1-0.3-0.10.1-0.0-0.1-0.1

Returns

OKLOSMRNNEBWXTGEVLEUMedian
NameOklo NuScale .Nano Nuc.BWX Tech.GE Verno.Centrus . 
1M Rtn-5.4%-14.1%12.6%0.7%18.0%8.5%4.6%
3M Rtn-38.5%-65.6%-28.7%1.2%5.5%-11.1%-19.9%
6M Rtn43.6%-56.8%-11.5%24.3%35.3%37.7%29.8%
12M Rtn286.8%-18.7%31.1%57.0%92.4%291.9%74.7%
3Y Rtn742.4%56.8%-209.9%-689.4%449.7%
1M Excs Rtn-22.0%-26.8%-1.1%-4.8%7.7%-3.8%-4.3%
3M Excs Rtn-42.8%-66.4%-29.3%-2.9%0.1%-16.6%-23.0%
6M Excs Rtn37.6%-69.4%-20.6%11.1%18.4%22.7%14.7%
12M Excs Rtn322.8%-38.9%15.3%37.6%88.0%251.1%62.8%
3Y Excs Rtn671.3%-18.2%-133.5%-600.0%366.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023
Single Segment 0
Total 0


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023
Single Segment1511
Total1511


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity20,142,849
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520258.2%
Average Daily Volume14,513,043
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.39
Basic Shares Quantity150,364,909
Short % of Basic Shares13.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
3/24/2025-6.4%-30.0%-24.4%
11/14/2024-24.6%5.7%-22.6%
8/13/20242.6%-6.7%-16.0%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive110
# Negative223
Median Positive2.6%5.7% 
Median Negative-15.5%-18.4%-22.6%
Max Positive2.6%5.7% 
Max Negative-24.6%-30.0%-24.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251112202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024324202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
123120229272023S-4 12/31/2022