Intuitive Machines (LUNR)


Market Price (8/31/2026): $15.36 | Market Cap: $2.5 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Intuitive Machines (LUNR)


Market Price (8/31/2026): $15.36
Market Cap: $2.5 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 113%

Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Space Economy. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Lunar Logistics & Services, Show more.

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -135 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -28%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -39%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.7%

High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 111%

Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 22%

Key risks
LUNR key risks include [1] technical mission failures that can damage its reputation and investor confidence, Show more.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 113%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Space Economy. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Lunar Logistics & Services, Show more.
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -135 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -28%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -39%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.7%
6 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 111%
7 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 22%
8 Key risks
LUNR key risks include [1] technical mission failures that can damage its reputation and investor confidence, Show more.

LUNR in ETFs

Weight = LUNR's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
ITOT0.00%
IWM0.07%
VB0.01%
NASA4.1%
ARKX2.4%
ARKQ2.2%
MISL0.39%
+9 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/28/2026

Intuitive Machines (LUNR) stock has lost about 40% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Intuitive Machines reported a significant earnings miss for fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 30, 2026. The company announced its results on August 13, 2026, posting an earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.29, significantly missing analysts' consensus estimates of -$0.07 by 314.29%. Additionally, quarterly revenue came in at $206.17 million, falling short of the consensus estimate of $212.32 million. This substantial deviation from market expectations likely contributed heavily to investor concern and the stock's decline.

2. Following the disappointing fiscal Q2 2026 results, multiple analysts downgraded price targets for LUNR shares. For instance, Cantor Fitzgerald reduced its price target from $43.00 to $32.00 on August 14, 2026, while B. Riley Financial lowered its objective from $45.00 to $43.00 on the same day. Stifel Nicolaus also cut its target price from $32.00 to $26.00 on August 14, 2026, and Canaccord Genuity Group dropped its target from $41.00 to $39.00 on August 18, 2026. These revised outlooks from financial institutions likely fueled negative sentiment among investors.

Show more
Updated on 8/28/2026

Intuitive Machines (LUNR) stock has lost about 40% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Intuitive Machines reported a significant earnings miss for fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 30, 2026. The company announced its results on August 13, 2026, posting an earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.29, significantly missing analysts' consensus estimates of -$0.07 by 314.29%. Additionally, quarterly revenue came in at $206.17 million, falling short of the consensus estimate of $212.32 million. This substantial deviation from market expectations likely contributed heavily to investor concern and the stock's decline.

2. Following the disappointing fiscal Q2 2026 results, multiple analysts downgraded price targets for LUNR shares. For instance, Cantor Fitzgerald reduced its price target from $43.00 to $32.00 on August 14, 2026, while B. Riley Financial lowered its objective from $45.00 to $43.00 on the same day. Stifel Nicolaus also cut its target price from $32.00 to $26.00 on August 14, 2026, and Canaccord Genuity Group dropped its target from $41.00 to $39.00 on August 18, 2026. These revised outlooks from financial institutions likely fueled negative sentiment among investors.

3. The company continued to report operational losses and substantial capital expenditures in fiscal Q2 2026, despite increased revenue. Intuitive Machines recorded an operational loss of $47 million and a negative adjusted EBITDA of $14 million for the quarter. Furthermore, capital expenditures were $24 million, primarily directed towards its NSNS satellite constellation and ground segment, with management indicating that these elevated investment levels are expected to continue in subsequent quarters. This ongoing investment without achieving profitability likely weighed on investor confidence in the specified period.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -39.4% change in LUNR stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/30/2026 was primarily driven by a -64.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020268302026Change
Stock Price ($)25.3515.37-39.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)207481132.4%
P/S Multiple14.65.2-64.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)119162-26.5%
Cumulative Contribution-39.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/30/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LUNR-39.4% 
Market (SPY)7.1%47.4%
Sector (XLI)1.5%29.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The -19.1% change in LUNR stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/30/2026 was primarily driven by a -49.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120268302026Change
Stock Price ($)18.9915.37-19.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)218481120.3%
P/S Multiple10.25.2-49.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)118162-27.4%
Cumulative Contribution-19.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/30/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LUNR-19.1% 
Market (SPY)11.5%44.8%
Sector (XLI)7.4%33.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 37.7% change in LUNR stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/30/2026 was primarily driven by a 121.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)73120258302026Change
Stock Price ($)11.1615.3737.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)217481121.5%
P/S Multiple5.55.2-5.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)107162-34.0%
Cumulative Contribution37.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/30/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LUNR37.7% 
Market (SPY)22.7%40.5%
Sector (XLI)17.7%35.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 81.9% change in LUNR stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/30/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)73120238302026Change
Stock Price ($)8.4515.3781.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4810.0%
P/S Multiple5.20.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)18162-88.9%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/30/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LUNR81.9% 
Market (SPY)74.0%34.1%
Sector (XLI)67.1%33.0%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
LUNR Return-0%4%-74%611%-11%-0%68%
Peers Return3%-12%22%164%34%11%331%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LUNR Win Rate50%75%33%67%58%62% 
Peers Win Rate45%52%47%57%53%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LUNR Max Drawdown--1%-97%-70%-72%-75% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-46%-31%-31%-38%-44% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: RKLB, RDW, LMT, NOC, BA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/28/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventLUNRS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-66.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven202.2%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven303 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-14.8%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.4%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven10 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-68.1%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven213.1%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven116 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-32.7%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven48.6%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven270 days31 days

Compare to RKLB, RDW, LMT, NOC, BA

In The Past

Intuitive Machines's stock fell -66.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 202.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventLUNRS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-66.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven202.2%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven303 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-68.1%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven213.1%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven116 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-32.7%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven48.6%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven270 days31 days

Compare to RKLB, RDW, LMT, NOC, BA

In The Past

Intuitive Machines's stock fell -66.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 202.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Intuitive Machines (LUNR)

Intuitive Machines (LUNR) is a leading space exploration company dedicated to supporting sustained robotic and human missions to the Moon, Mars, and other celestial bodies. Founded in 2013, the company develops and supplies critical space products and services that facilitate off-world operations and expand humanity's presence beyond Earth.

The company's offerings are structured across several key business units. "Lunar Access Services" involves providing transportation and delivery of payloads to the lunar surface. "Orbital Services" focuses on activities within Earth and lunar orbits, while "Lunar Data Services" encompasses the collection, processing, and transmission of valuable data from lunar missions. Additionally, its "Space Products and Infrastructure" unit develops and supplies essential hardware, components, and foundational systems necessary for space operations.

Intuitive Machines primarily serves customers involved in governmental and commercial space exploration initiatives. Its main customers include national space agencies, scientific research organizations, and private companies seeking access to lunar resources, data, or the capability to conduct missions in deep space. The company operates within the rapidly expanding global space economy, targeting markets related to lunar logistics, scientific research, and the development of extraterrestrial infrastructure.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Intuitive Machines (LUNR):

  • Like the Amazon Web Services (AWS) for lunar exploration, providing the foundational data, access, and infrastructure services for others to operate on the Moon.
  • Imagine a specialized FedEx for the Moon, delivering cargo, experiments, and equipment to the lunar surface.

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  • Lunar Access Services: Providing transportation and delivery services for payloads to the lunar surface.
  • Orbital Services: Offering support and operations for assets in various Earth and lunar orbits, including data relay and mission support.
  • Lunar Data Services: Collecting, processing, and distributing valuable scientific and operational data acquired from lunar missions.
  • Space Products and Infrastructure: Manufacturing and supplying specialized components, systems, and foundational infrastructure for space exploration and operations.

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Intuitive Machines (LUNR) primarily sells its space products and services to government entities and other organizations involved in space exploration and development. Its major customer is:

  • National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)

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  • SpaceX (Private Company)
  • KinetX Aerospace (Private Company)

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Stephen Altemus, Chief Executive Officer and President

Stephen Altemus is a co-founder of Intuitive Machines, LLC, which he started in 2012, and became the CEO and a Director of the public company in February 2023. Prior to founding Intuitive Machines, Mr. Altemus held significant roles at NASA's Johnson Space Center, including Deputy Director until June 2013 and Director of Engineering from July 2006 to December 2012. He also played a crucial role in leading the Columbia Reconstruction efforts after the 2003 space shuttle loss.

Peter McGrath, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Peter McGrath joined Intuitive Machines in 2020 and transitioned to Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer effective September 16, 2024. He has over 35 years of experience in the aerospace and defense industry, having previously served as the Senior Vice President, Chief Operating Officer at Intuitive Machines. Before joining the company, Mr. McGrath was the Director of Global Sales and Marketing in the Space Exploration Business Unit at Boeing.

Dr. Kamal Ghaffarian, Chairman of the Board and Co-founder

Dr. Kamal Ghaffarian is a co-founder and the Chairman of the Board of Directors of Intuitive Machines. Throughout his 35-year career, he has established multiple successful companies. In 1994, he co-founded Stinger Ghaffarian Technologies, Inc. (SGT), a government services company that grew to become NASA's second-largest engineering services provider, which he subsequently sold to KBR for $355 million in 2018. Dr. Ghaffarian is also a co-founder and executive chairman of several other companies, including IBX, Axiom Space, X-energy, PTX, and Quantum Space.

Dr. Tim Crain, Senior Vice President, Chief Growth Officer and Chief Technology Officer

Dr. Tim Crain is a co-founder of Intuitive Machines, alongside Stephen Altemus and Dr. Kamal Ghaffarian, and has served as the Chief Technology Officer since 2021. His background includes significant work at NASA Johnson Space Center (JSC), where he contributed to the navigation design for the Mars Science Lander and was the Orbit Guidance, Navigation, and Control (GNC) System Manager for the Orion spacecraft.

Steven Vontur, Chief Accounting Officer and Controller

Steven Vontur joined Intuitive Machines in 2022 as Controller and played a key role in the company going public. He served as Interim Chief Financial Officer before transitioning to Chief Accounting Officer and Controller, effective September 16, 2024. Prior to Intuitive Machines, Mr. Vontur worked at several private companies providing public company readiness and other accounting services. He spent the majority of his career at KBR, Inc. from 2004 to 2022, holding various positions including Director of SEC Reporting, Consolidations, and Financial Controls, and began his career in public accounting at Ernst & Young LLP.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Intuitive Machines (LUNR) are:

  1. Execution Risk and Mission Failure: Intuitive Machines faces significant execution risks inherent in complex space exploration missions, as evidenced by past sideways landings of its lunar modules (IM-1 and IM-2/Athena). Such incidents can lead to delays, increased costs, reputational damage, and a decline in investor and partner confidence, directly impacting future revenue and project timelines. The intricate nature of space technology development means that miscalculations or unforeseen technical issues could result in mission failures or underperformance. The company's future success is highly dependent on demonstrating continued reliable mission performance.
  2. Path to Profitability, High Cash Burn, and Need for Additional Capital: Intuitive Machines has a history of net operating losses and is expected to continue incurring them for the foreseeable future as it expands and develops. Space missions are capital-intensive, leading to significant cash burn. The company may require substantial additional capital to fund its operations, and a failure to obtain this could lead to delays, scaling back, or discontinuation of research and development programs. Even with contract wins, the company has operated at a significant loss, and its mission economics, while improving, still show early missions operating at a loss.
  3. Customer Concentration and Reliance on Government Contracts: A substantial portion of Intuitive Machines' revenue is derived from a limited number of customers, primarily through government contracts with NASA. This reliance makes the company vulnerable to shifts in government funding, priorities, or budget constraints, which could result in fewer contracts or smaller contract values. Changes in fiscal policy or space exploration priorities, such as potential reductions or reallocations of NASA's budget, could significantly impact the company's growth trajectory and financial stability.

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The clear emerging threat to Intuitive Machines (LUNR) is the potential long-term disruption from the SpaceX Starship program. Starship is designed to offer significantly lower launch costs per kilogram and vastly greater payload capacity to the Moon and beyond compared to current lunar landers and services. Should Starship achieve its full operational capabilities, it could fundamentally alter the economics and scale of lunar access services, potentially making Intuitive Machines' current offerings less competitive for large-scale or frequent lunar cargo delivery.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) operates in several significant addressable markets related to space exploration and infrastructure. Here's an overview of the market sizes for its main products and services:

Lunar Access Services

Intuitive Machines' Lunar Access Services, which include lunar landing and payload delivery, are part of the broader lunar exploration market. The global lunar exploration market was valued at approximately $12.52 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to $13.76 billion in 2026. This market is expected to reach $19.8 billion by 2030, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.5%. Additionally, one assessment projected the lunar economy, encompassing transportation, resource utilization, and data services, to have a cumulative value of about $170 billion over a 20-year period to 2040, with transportation alone accounting for $100 billion of that total. Another report forecasts the total lunar market revenue opportunity to reach $188 billion between 2024 and 2034.

Orbital Services and Space Products and Infrastructure

Intuitive Machines' offerings in Orbital Services and Space Products and Infrastructure encompass satellite manufacturing (enhanced by the acquisition of Lanteris Space Systems), communication relays, and general space infrastructure. The global space infrastructure market was valued at $160.97 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to $174.27 billion in 2026. This market is expected to reach $373.67 billion by 2034, demonstrating a CAGR of 10.00% from 2026 to 2034. North America held a significant share of this market, accounting for 46.35% in 2025.

Within this broader market, the "Space Infrastructure as a Service (SIaaS)" segment, which provides on-demand access to orbital assets and ground support systems, was valued at $3.52 billion globally in 2024. This SIaaS market is projected to grow to $3.8 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $5.77 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 8.0% during the forecast period. The U.S. currently holds a 48% market share in the SIaaS market.

The company is also a key player in lunar communications services, having secured a NASA contract potentially worth $4.8 billion over ten years to provide a lunar communications and navigation network.

Lunar Data Services

While Intuitive Machines offers Lunar Data Services through its Lunar Data Network (LDN) for communication, navigation, and timing services for lunar assets, a specific, standalone addressable market size exclusively for "Lunar Data Services" is not clearly identified in the available market research reports. However, these services are an integral part of the broader lunar economy, which PwC estimated to surpass €142 billion (approximately $170 billion) by 2040, with "Exploitation of Moon data on Earth" identified as one of its key areas.

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Intuitive Machines (LUNR) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key factors in the expanding space exploration and services market.

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Intuitive Machines:

  1. Continued Expansion of NASA Contracts and Lunar Missions: Intuitive Machines is a key participant in NASA's Commercial Lunar Payload Services (CLPS) program, with upcoming missions like IM-3 (scheduled for mid-2026) and IM-4 (2027) expected to significantly contribute to revenue. The company anticipates additional contract awards for CLPS and Lunar Terrain Vehicle (LTV) continuation, building upon its substantial existing backlog and crucial role in lunar infrastructure development.
  2. Growth in Data Services and Communications: The company is expanding its offerings in data transmission services, including a lunar data network and Near Space Network Services. This strategic focus is designed to provide tracking and communications infrastructure for various space missions and is expected to drive long-term international revenue growth.
  3. Strategic Acquisition and Integration of Lanteris Space Systems: The acquisition of Lanteris Space Systems, completed in Q1 2026, is a significant driver. This acquisition creates a vertically integrated space company, expanding capabilities in satellite manufacturing, communications, navigation, and space data networking across various orbits (Earth, LEO, MEO, GEO, Moon, Mars, and Deep Space). This move is expected to be immediately accretive to revenue and position the combined entity to capture multi-billion dollar pipeline opportunities.
  4. Development and Deployment of Orbital Services and Earth Reentry Capabilities: Intuitive Machines is advancing its capabilities in orbital services and in-space logistics, including the Orbital Transfer Vehicle (OTV). Furthermore, the company received a contract award from the Texas Space Commission to develop a precision Earth reentry vehicle and microgravity research laboratory, a technology anticipated to be vital for future Moon and Mars sample return missions and expanding its end-to-end space services.

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Share Repurchases

  • In February 2025, Intuitive Machines engaged in a share repurchase related to warrants held by a board member, buying back 0.94 million shares for $20.7 million at an effective price of $24 per share.

Share Issuance

  • In February 2023, Intuitive Machines completed a SPAC merger with Inflection Point Acquisition Corp., leading to the issuance of shares and securing approximately $55 million in committed capital from its sponsor and company founders.
  • The company anticipated issuing around 22.6 million new shares by March 2025 through warrant exercises, which were expected to generate approximately $260.3 million in payments.
  • In February 2026, Intuitive Machines secured a $175 million strategic equity investment by issuing and selling Class A common stock to institutional investors at $15.12 per share.

Inbound Investments

  • As part of its February 2023 SPAC merger, Intuitive Machines received approximately $55 million in committed capital from an affiliate of its sponsor and company founders.
  • An additional $50 million investment was arranged from CF Principal Investments LLC, an affiliate of Cantor Fitzgerald & Company, in connection with the SPAC merger.
  • In February 2026, Intuitive Machines secured a $175 million strategic equity investment led by global institutional investors, intended to support revenue expansion and technology investments in communications and data processing networks.

Outbound Investments

  • Intuitive Machines announced in November 2025 and closed in January 2026 the acquisition of Lanteris Space Systems for $800 million, funded by $450 million in cash and $350 million in Class A common stock, to expand its space capabilities.
  • In Q2 2025, the company signed a purchase agreement to acquire KinetX, a space navigation and flight dynamics software company, to enhance constellation management across various orbital domains.

Capital Expenditures

  • In the second quarter of 2025, Intuitive Machines reported capital expenditures of $8.1 million.
  • The company's capital expenditures are primarily focused on machinery and equipment, computers and software, and leases.
  • In Q2 2025, Intuitive Machines made strategic investments in in-house satellite production and expanded its Houston Spaceport facility by 140,000 square feet to support satellite and spacecraft manufacturing, testing, and mission operations.

Better Bets vs. Intuitive Machines (LUNR)

Peer Outperformance in Aerospace & Defense

null
Share of Aerospace & Defense constituents that LUNR has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
84%
of 70 industry peers · 75.3% return
3Y
75%
of 60 industry peers · 222.9% return
5Y
insufficient peer history
null
Median price return by industry across the Industrials sector, ranked by 5Y. Aerospace & Defense is LUNR's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Construction & Engineering 31 15.4%108.4%189.8% CDNL 2826% · STRL 1940% · FIX 1940%
Marine Transportation 4 56.4%56.7%152.1% MATX 202% · KEX 159% · SFL 145%
Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment 13 12.2%57.8%111.8% CAT 314% · ALSN 268% · WAB 235%
Aerospace & Defense ← 55 1.5%56.6%78.0% ATI 1080% · FTAI 914% · HWM 746%
Passenger Ground Transportation 3 -12.7%50.3%60.2% UBER 101% · CAR 60% · LYFT -63%
Rail Transportation 7 33.5%76.6%52.7% FSTR 119% · CSX 68% · UNP 58%
Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components 71 8.5%46.1%49.1% CRS 1413% · PSIX 842% · GHM 623%
Cargo Ground Transportation 16 35.5%2.3%39.0% XPO 256% · R 249% · CVLG 201%
Trading Companies & Distributors 18 1.0%31.0%35.3% DXPE 520% · AIT 279% · URI 203%
Diversified Support Services 33 9.2%28.7%25.1% LIME 4823% · TH 366% · WLFC 340%
Building Products 33 -8.5%7.1%21.5% LMB 423% · GFF 395% · PPIH 279%
Electrical Components & Equipment 41 16.6%48.0%20.2% POWL 2246% · BE 884% · ELVA 864%
Environmental & Facilities Services 28 -11.9%18.8%-0.9% CECO 823% · ADUR 572% · NVRI 341%
Office Services & Supplies 10 15.2%24.0%-1.1% PBI 181% · TILE 173% · EBF 58%
Research & Consulting Services 13 -7.5%-18.2%-1.7% HURN 224% · CRAI 101% · GRNQ 41%
Industrial Conglomerates 18 15.5%9.9%-6.6% RCMT 714% · CSW 145% · TTI 110%
Agricultural & Farm Machinery 17 3.0%-9.2%-15.5% BLBD 174% · DE 78% · GENC 63%
Data Processing & Outsourced Services 6 -28.7%-9.2%-23.4% EXLS 56% · BR 16% · G -21%
Passenger Airlines 11 2.8%-3.1%-26.2% LTM 2276% · UAL 138% · SKYW 112%
Air Freight & Logistics 11 -1.2%-10.4%-31.2% CHRW 88% · FDX 72% · EXPD 62%
Human Resource & Employment Services 22 7.8%-18.3%-36.2% BBSI 88% · ADP 53% · KFY 34%
Security & Alarm Services 10 -36.4%-25.0%-46.1% CIX 105% · MG 74% · BCO 50%
Airport Services 3 -68.9%-74.6%-58.4% JOBY -45% · ASLE -58% · UP -100%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

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Financials

LUNRRKLBRDWLMTNOCBAMedian
NameIntuitiv.Rocket L.Redwire Lockheed.Northrop.Boeing  
Mkt Price15.3764.3910.87563.85545.57209.82137.10
Mkt Cap2.540.52.4129.877.5165.959.0
Rev LTM48176942677,01442,89293,99521,831
Op Inc LTM-135-223-1809,1534,598-5,098-157
FCF LTM-188-371-1068,7293,646-219-147
FCF 3Y Avg-103-241-906,3362,526-4,822-97
CFO LTM-126-222-7610,4025,0783,6391,781
CFO 3Y Avg-71-139-718,0804,142-2,142-71

Growth & Margins

LUNRRKLBRDWLMTNOCBAMedian
NameIntuitiv.Rocket L.Redwire Lockheed.Northrop.Boeing  
Rev Chg LTM113.0%52.5%63.1%7.2%5.9%24.8%38.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg81.0%49.3%30.8%4.6%4.3%9.0%19.9%
Rev Chg Q304.3%62.0%89.6%10.5%5.1%8.0%36.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM46.6%13.2%14.9%2.5%1.2%2.0%7.9%
Op Inc Chg LTM-121.8%-0.5%-65.8%53.7%15.6%45.6%7.5%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-85.4%-12.3%-165.8%7.5%11.5%-108.6%-48.9%
Op Mgn LTM-28.0%-29.1%-42.2%11.9%10.7%-5.4%-16.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-31.1%-42.0%-30.2%10.7%9.1%-6.8%-18.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM7.4%4.1%20.6%2.0%-0.4%0.5%3.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-26.3%-28.9%-17.9%13.5%11.8%3.9%-7.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-25.8%-25.4%-23.6%11.0%10.0%-3.2%-13.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-39.0%-48.3%-24.9%11.3%8.5%-0.2%-12.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-35.9%-44.8%-29.2%8.6%6.1%-6.4%-17.8%

Valuation

LUNRRKLBRDWLMTNOCBAMedian
NameIntuitiv.Rocket L.Redwire Lockheed.Northrop.Boeing  
Mkt Cap2.540.52.4129.877.5165.959.0
P/S5.252.75.61.71.81.83.5
P/Op Inc-18.5-181.4-13.314.216.9-32.5-15.9
P/EBIT-14.9-240.8-11.015.213.131.01.1
P/E-19.1-245.0-9.820.617.268.13.7
P/CFO-19.7-182.3-31.512.515.345.6-3.6
Total Yield-5.2%-0.4%-10.2%7.3%7.5%1.5%0.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%2.4%1.7%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-17.7%-2.7%-5.3%5.6%3.6%-3.5%-3.1%
D/E0.20.00.00.20.20.30.2
Net D/E0.0-0.1-0.20.10.20.20.1

Returns

LUNRRKLBRDWLMTNOCBAMedian
NameIntuitiv.Rocket L.Redwire Lockheed.Northrop.Boeing  
1M Rtn24.6%-0.9%26.1%-3.2%0.6%-2.9%-0.1%
3M Rtn-64.9%-55.1%-55.8%7.0%-2.8%-9.2%-32.2%
6M Rtn-6.7%-6.8%19.8%-13.3%-24.4%-7.8%-7.3%
12M Rtn75.3%32.5%22.0%27.1%-6.1%-10.6%24.5%
3Y Rtn222.9%920.4%237.6%35.4%31.8%-6.3%129.1%
1M Excs Rtn21.8%-4.1%24.6%-5.5%-1.7%-8.7%-2.9%
3M Excs Rtn-66.7%-56.9%-57.5%5.3%-4.5%-11.0%-33.9%
6M Excs Rtn-18.8%-18.9%7.7%-25.4%-36.5%-19.9%-19.4%
12M Excs Rtn52.0%20.2%1.9%8.4%-24.5%-29.9%5.2%
3Y Excs Rtn162.5%912.0%158.6%-39.4%-41.9%-82.1%59.6%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment210228808673
Total210228808673


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil202520242023
Single Segment-87-57-61
Total-87-57-61


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil202520242023
Single Segment-107-34710
Total-107-34710


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$15.37 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1.8 
First Trading Date11/17/2021 
Distance from 52W High-66.4% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$16.48$19.62
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA-6.7%-21.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility94.6%112.1%
Downside Capture576.91382.80
Upside Capture43.44371.51
Correlation (SPY)48.5%41.3%
LUNR Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta3.273.304.123.763.482.62
Up Beta6.035.834.612.832.912.45
Down Beta1.381.453.112.773.652.59
Up Capture-108%-82%248%666%1116%7307%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days6132458126347
Down Capture607%456%409%267%187%112%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days16303968126394

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LUNR
LUNR71.3%111.4%0.98-
Sector ETF (XLI)16.9%17.1%0.7534.9%
Equity (SPY)20.1%12.8%1.1641.2%
Gold (GLD)30.9%29.0%0.9225.9%
Commodities (DBC)39.9%20.3%1.541.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)9.9%13.7%0.447.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-30.1%43.7%-0.7028.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LUNR
LUNR8.9%181.7%0.68-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.2%17.6%0.5811.7%
Equity (SPY)13.1%17.2%0.5911.4%
Gold (GLD)19.7%18.7%0.855.3%
Commodities (DBC)11.5%19.6%0.46-2.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.0%18.9%0.004.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)9.6%52.7%0.376.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LUNR
LUNR4.3%181.7%0.68-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.5%20.0%0.5911.7%
Equity (SPY)15.2%17.9%0.7211.4%
Gold (GLD)12.2%16.3%0.615.3%
Commodities (DBC)7.3%18.0%0.33-2.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%20.7%0.204.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.4%66.1%1.036.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date8142026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity35.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 7312026-0.2%
Average Daily Volume12.4 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.9 days
Basic Shares Quantity162.2 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares21.9%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/3/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/14/20262.4%-5.6%-25.4%
3/19/20264.4%13.5%52.3%
11/4/2025-10.2%-14.8%-1.6%
8/7/2025-4.3%-0.1%-19.1%
5/13/202522.4%27.6%18.1%
3/24/202530.0%13.8%3.8%
11/14/2024-13.0%2.6%-0.6%
8/13/2024-1.3%14.2%51.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive576
# Negative867
Median Positive11.2%13.8%17.4%
Median Negative-5.2%-10.2%-19.1%
Max Positive30.0%27.6%52.3%
Max Negative-15.5%-42.4%-49.2%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/14/20262.4%-5.6%-25.4%
3/19/20264.4%13.5%52.3%
11/4/2025-10.2%-14.8%-1.6%
8/7/2025-4.3%-0.1%-19.1%
5/13/202522.4%27.6%18.1%
3/24/202530.0%13.8%3.8%
11/14/2024-13.0%2.6%-0.6%
8/13/2024-1.3%14.2%51.3%
5/14/2024-6.1%-14.5%-31.5%
3/21/202411.2%22.7%-7.2%
11/13/2023-3.9%4.9%0.4%
8/14/2023-15.5%-42.4%-49.2%
5/11/2023-1.2%-5.9%16.7%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive576
# Negative867
Median Positive11.2%13.8%17.4%
Median Negative-5.2%-10.2%-19.1%
Max Positive30.0%27.6%52.3%
Max Negative-15.5%-42.4%-49.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/13/202610-Q
03/31/202605/15/202610-Q
12/31/202503/19/202610-K
09/30/202511/13/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/13/202510-Q
12/31/202403/25/202510-K
09/30/202411/15/202410-Q
06/30/202408/13/202410-Q
03/31/202405/14/202410-Q
12/31/202303/25/202410-K
09/30/202311/13/202310-Q
06/30/202308/14/202310-Q
03/31/202307/05/2023424B3
06/30/202210/13/2022S-4
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/13/202610-Q
03/31/202605/15/202610-Q
12/31/202503/19/202610-K
09/30/202511/13/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/13/202510-Q
12/31/202403/25/202510-K
09/30/202411/15/202410-Q
06/30/202408/13/202410-Q
03/31/202405/14/202410-Q
12/31/202303/25/202410-K
09/30/202311/13/202310-Q
06/30/202308/14/202310-Q
03/31/202307/05/2023424B3
06/30/202210/13/2022S-4

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 8/26/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/13/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue900.00 Mil950.00 Mil1.00 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 950.00 Mil for 2026

Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/14/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue900.00 Mil950.00 Mil1.00 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 950.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA      

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/19/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue900.00 Mil950.00 Mil1.00 Bil   

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/4/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 Revenue 52.40 Mil    

Insider Activity

Updated 8/28/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Vontur, StevenSee RemarksDirectSell828202616.133,05049,1961,838,772Form
2Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell826202616.87141,9092,394,50658,969,074Form
3Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell812202616.17267,4484,325,19356,517,707Form
4Advent, International, LP See footnoteSell729202612.8411,495,514147,602,400147,602,400Form
5Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell729202613.2047,303624,40446,131,287Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Vontur, StevenSee RemarksDirectSell828202616.133,05049,1961,838,772Form
2Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell826202616.87141,9092,394,50658,969,074Form
3Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell812202616.17267,4484,325,19356,517,707Form
4Advent, International, LP See footnoteSell729202612.8411,495,514147,602,400147,602,400Form
5Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell729202613.2047,303624,40446,131,287Form
6Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell715202615.64110,9761,735,65454,657,822Form
7Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell701202620.43141,9092,898,89571,390,580Form
8Crain, Timothy Price IISVP & Chief Technology OfficerDirectSell622202621.87150,0003,280,6157,682,741Form
9Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell617202626.15141,9093,711,46591,401,587Form
10Liquori, William John JRDirectSell608202629.8718,321547,2482,057,296Form
11Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell603202639.02141,9095,536,841136,354,799Form
12Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell520202634.25141,9094,860,439119,697,171Form
13Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell506202625.14141,9093,567,57687,858,058Form
14Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell422202628.16141,9093,995,95698,407,709Form
15McGrath, PeterSVP and CFODirectSell416202623.6124,554579,6719,472,616Form
16Jones, Anna ChiaraSVP, CLO & Corporate SecretaryDirectSell416202623.614,911115,9394,822,855Form
17Altemus, Stephen JChief Executive OfficerDirectSell416202623.6113,751324,63427,444,182Form
18Crain, Timothy Price IISVP & CTODirectSell416202623.618,447199,4178,292,995Form
19Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell408202623.20141,9093,291,91581,069,410Form
20Ghaffarian, Kamal SeyedSee footnotesSell326202618.78283,8185,331,35965,647,217Form
21Crain, Timothy Price IISVP & Chief Technology OfficerDirectSell323202617.55150,0002,631,8966,311,742Form
22Altemus, Stephen JChief Executive OfficerDirectSell213202616.0186,8031,389,45618,828,170Form
23Jones, Anna ChiaraSee RemarksDirectSell213202617.4416,779292,5593,647,611Form
24McGrath, PeterSVP and CFODirectSell213202617.4425,541445,3337,424,249Form
25Vontur, StevenSee RemarksDirectSell213202617.444,34375,7252,040,831Form
26Crain, Timothy Price IISVP & Chief Technology OfficerDirectSell213202617.4423,226404,9696,272,183Form
27Altemus, Stephen JChief Executive OfficerDirectSell120202620.0358,8281,178,50120,561,911Form
28Crain, Timothy Price IISVP and Chief Growth OfficerDirectSell120202620.0424,155484,0835,980,846Form
29Altemus, Stephen JChief Executive OfficerDirectSell120202620.06428,5038,597,39820,593,524Form
30Crain, Timothy Price IISVP and Chief Growth OfficerDirectSell120202620.06170,1853,414,4395,987,531Form
31Altemus, Stephen JChief Executive OfficerDirectSell112202620.0012,669253,41920,531,222Form
32Crain, Timothy Price IISVP and Chief Growth OfficerDirectSell112202620.005,660113,2165,969,536Form
33Altemus, Stephen JChief Executive OfficerDirectSell106202618.08416,0867,524,70718,561,967Form
34Altemus, Stephen JChief Executive OfficerDirectSell106202618.0483,9141,513,73318,515,368Form
35Altemus, Stephen JChief Executive OfficerDirectSell1223202515.771,958,59330,887,76316,186,753Form
36Crain, Timothy Price IISVP and Chief Growth OfficerDirectSell1223202516.04200,0003,207,2804,785,823Form
37Altemus, Stephen JChief Executive OfficerDirectSell1223202515.0141,407621,69715,410,708Form
38Crain, Timothy Price IISVP and Chief Growth OfficerDirectSell1223202514.22150,0002,132,4144,242,580Form
39Blitzer, MichaelDirectBuy111320258.83100,000883,23017,057,362Form
40Blitzer, MichaelDirectBuy111320259.27141,0801,307,20516,967,795Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 31, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Trustees of the University of Pennsylvania$60.3 Mil20.3%4Hold13F
Active Manager
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Trustees of the University of Pennsylvania$60.3 Mil20.3%4Hold13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/30/2026