Dutch Bros (BROS)


Market Price (9/2/2026): $46.39 | Market Cap: $6.2 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Dutch Bros (BROS)


Market Price (9/2/2026): $46.39
Market Cap: $6.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Consumer Convenience & Service Innovation. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Drive-Thru Excellence.

Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -19%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 34x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 67x

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.8%

Key risks
BROS key risks include [1] operational strain and market saturation from its aggressive national expansion and [2] heightened sales volatility due to a product mix heavily dependent on discretionary 'treat' beverages.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Consumer Convenience & Service Innovation. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Drive-Thru Excellence.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -19%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 34x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 67x
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.8%
7 Key risks
BROS key risks include [1] operational strain and market saturation from its aggressive national expansion and [2] heightened sales volatility due to a product mix heavily dependent on discretionary 'treat' beverages.

BROS in ETFs

Weight = BROS's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IWB0.01%
IJH0.17%
VB0.11%
VBK0.27%
IVOO0.24%
MDYG0.19%
+16 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 9/1/2026

Dutch Bros (BROS) stock has lost about 20% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Shift in Same-Shop Sales Growth Composition.

Dutch Bros' fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 30, 2026, earnings report on August 5, 2026, revealed a concerning shift in the drivers of its same-shop sales growth. While company-operated same-shop sales grew 8.3%, a significant 4.9 percentage points of this growth came from increased ticket prices, with only 3.4 percentage points attributed to transaction growth. This contrasts sharply with the prior year, where transaction growth outpaced ticket growth. Systemwide transaction growth also decelerated to 1.7% from 5.1% in the previous year. Investors reacted negatively to this trend, particularly after the company's Chief Financial Officer stated that pricing would contribute less than one percentage point to ticket growth in the latter half of 2026, contributing to an almost 19% stock decline on August 6, 2026.

2. Persistent Margin Pressures.

Despite a 32.5% year-over-year increase in revenue to $550.85 million in fiscal Q2 2026, Dutch Bros experienced a contraction in its adjusted EBITDA margin by 0.8 percentage points due to expansion-related and store-level costs. The company projects continued margin pressure for the full fiscal year 2026, anticipating approximately 60 basis points of deleverage from cost of goods sold due to rising coffee costs and around 50 basis points from occupancy expenses related to build-to-suit rents. This outlook, indicating a slight year-over-year margin decline at the midpoint of its raised adjusted EBITDA guidance, contributed to investor concerns about the company's profitability.

Show more
Updated on 9/1/2026

Dutch Bros (BROS) stock has lost about 20% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Shift in Same-Shop Sales Growth Composition.

Dutch Bros' fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 30, 2026, earnings report on August 5, 2026, revealed a concerning shift in the drivers of its same-shop sales growth. While company-operated same-shop sales grew 8.3%, a significant 4.9 percentage points of this growth came from increased ticket prices, with only 3.4 percentage points attributed to transaction growth. This contrasts sharply with the prior year, where transaction growth outpaced ticket growth. Systemwide transaction growth also decelerated to 1.7% from 5.1% in the previous year. Investors reacted negatively to this trend, particularly after the company's Chief Financial Officer stated that pricing would contribute less than one percentage point to ticket growth in the latter half of 2026, contributing to an almost 19% stock decline on August 6, 2026.

2. Persistent Margin Pressures.

Despite a 32.5% year-over-year increase in revenue to $550.85 million in fiscal Q2 2026, Dutch Bros experienced a contraction in its adjusted EBITDA margin by 0.8 percentage points due to expansion-related and store-level costs. The company projects continued margin pressure for the full fiscal year 2026, anticipating approximately 60 basis points of deleverage from cost of goods sold due to rising coffee costs and around 50 basis points from occupancy expenses related to build-to-suit rents. This outlook, indicating a slight year-over-year margin decline at the midpoint of its raised adjusted EBITDA guidance, contributed to investor concerns about the company's profitability.

3. Elevated Capital Expenditure for Expansion.

Dutch Bros updated its capital expenditure guidance for fiscal year 2026 to a range of $350 million to $370 million, signaling a sustained high level of investment in new store development. The company aims to open at least 185 new shops in 2026. This aggressive expansion strategy, while indicative of growth, also implies significant cash outflow which may be viewed by some investors as potentially impacting near-term free cash flow and profitability, especially if the sales productivity of new locations does not fully offset these substantial investments.

4. Significant Insider Selling.

Between June 1 and June 11, 2026, substantial insider selling activity occurred. DM Individual Aggregator, LLC, a 10% owner, sold 261,054 shares on June 1, 2026, at $58.26 per share, totaling approximately $15.2 million. Further large-scale sales on June 10-11, 2026, included DM Individual Aggregator, LLC ($32.2 million), DM Trust Aggregator, LLC ($60.3 million), and founder Travis Boersma ($92.6 million). While some of these transactions were pre-scheduled under Rule 10b5-1 plans, the significant volume of these insider sales, exceeding $5 million individually, may have contributed to negative market sentiment during the specified period.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -20.2% change in BROS stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/1/2026 was primarily driven by a -26.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)53120269012026Change
Stock Price ($)58.0046.31-20.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,7471,8827.7%
Net Income Margin (%)4.6%4.9%6.4%
P/E Multiple91.567.4-26.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)127134-5.5%
Cumulative Contribution-20.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2026 to 9/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BROS-20.2% 
Market (SPY)0.7%9.7%
Sector (XLY)-5.2%29.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The -13.6% change in BROS stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/1/2026 was primarily driven by a -21.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820269012026Change
Stock Price ($)53.6146.31-13.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,6381,88214.9%
Net Income Margin (%)4.9%4.9%0.7%
P/E Multiple85.367.4-21.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)127134-5.5%
Cumulative Contribution-13.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 9/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BROS-13.6% 
Market (SPY)11.4%31.2%
Sector (XLY)-1.7%38.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -35.5% change in BROS stock from 8/31/2025 to 9/1/2026 was primarily driven by a -57.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120259012026Change
Stock Price ($)71.8346.31-35.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,4521,88229.6%
Net Income Margin (%)3.9%4.9%24.5%
P/E Multiple158.667.4-57.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)126134-6.0%
Cumulative Contribution-35.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 9/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BROS-35.5% 
Market (SPY)19.1%34.7%
Sector (XLY)-0.5%37.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 56.4% change in BROS stock from 8/31/2023 to 9/1/2026 was primarily driven by a 415826.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)83120239012026Change
Stock Price ($)29.6146.3156.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8481,882122.1%
Net Income Margin (%)0.0%4.9%415826.9%
P/E Multiple167,989.467.4-100.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)57134-57.8%
Cumulative Contribution56.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2023 to 9/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BROS56.4% 
Market (SPY)75.1%39.5%
Sector (XLY)37.3%40.0%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
BROS Return39%-45%12%65%17%-20%33%
Peers Return15%-0%11%-4%14%11%55%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%105%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BROS Win Rate50%42%50%58%58%38% 
Peers Win Rate55%45%57%47%53%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BROS Max Drawdown--60%-44%-32%-44%-34% 
Peers Max Drawdown-14%-26%-19%-20%-16%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SBUX, QSR, MNST, MCD, YUM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/1/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventBROSS&P 500
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-26.3%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven35.6%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven87 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-21.2%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.8%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven58 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-32.3%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven47.6%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven391 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-52.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven108.8%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven923 days427 days

Compare to SBUX, QSR, MNST, MCD, YUM

In The Past

Dutch Bros's stock fell -26.3% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 35.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventBROSS&P 500
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-26.3%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven35.6%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven87 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-21.2%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.8%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven58 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-32.3%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven47.6%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven391 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-52.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven108.8%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven923 days427 days

Compare to SBUX, QSR, MNST, MCD, YUM

In The Past

Dutch Bros's stock fell -26.3% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 35.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Dutch Bros (BROS)

Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) operates and franchises a chain of drive-thru coffee shops across the United States. The company utilizes a hybrid model, both owning and franchising its locations, to provide quick-service beverage options. As of May 2022, Dutch Bros had established a significant regional presence with 572 drive-thru locations spanning 12 states.

The company's core business involves offering a diverse menu of handcrafted beverages catering to on-the-go consumers. Its main products include a wide range of hot and cold espresso-based drinks, cold brew coffee products, and its popular Blue Rebel energy drinks. Additionally, Dutch Bros serves various teas, lemonades, smoothies, and other specialty beverages, aiming to appeal to a broad customer base seeking convenient and high-quality drink options.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Dutch Bros:

  • A drive-thru-only Starbucks.
  • The In-N-Out Burger of specialty coffee.
  • Like Dunkin' but specializing in trendier coffee and energy drinks.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Espresso-Based Beverages: A range of hot and cold coffee drinks crafted with espresso.
  • Cold Brew Coffee Products: Coffee products specifically prepared using the cold brewing method.
  • Blue Rebel Energy Drinks: Proprietary energy drinks offered by Dutch Bros.
  • Tea: Various tea offerings available to customers.
  • Lemonade: Refreshing lemonade beverages.
  • Smoothies: Blended fruit drinks.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Dutch Bros (BROS) primarily sells its beverages and products directly to individual consumers through its drive-thru shops and online channels. As such, it does not have major corporate customers. Instead, its customer base can be categorized into the following groups:

  1. Regular Commuters and Daily Habit Drinkers: These customers integrate Dutch Bros into their daily routines, often stopping by for a quick, convenient, and consistent coffee or energy drink on their way to work, school, or during their daily errands.

  2. Younger Consumers and Energy Drink Enthusiasts: A significant portion of Dutch Bros' appeal is to a younger demographic, including students and young adults, who are drawn to its "Blue Rebel" energy drinks, customizable options, and generally vibrant brand image.

  3. Casual Patrons and On-the-Go Families: This category includes individuals and families seeking a treat, a quick refreshment, or a non-coffee option (like smoothies, lemonade, or tea). They may visit less frequently than daily commuters but appreciate the variety and convenience for a spontaneous stop or family outing.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Christine Barone, Chief Executive Officer and President

Ms. Barone joined Dutch Bros in February 2023 as President and became CEO in January 2024. Before joining Dutch Bros, she served as CEO of True Food Kitchen and held various leadership roles at Starbucks for over five years. Earlier in her career, she held positions with Bain & Company and Raymond James. She holds a BA in Applied Mathematics and an MBA from Harvard University.

Joshua Guenser, Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Guenser became the Chief Financial Officer of Dutch Bros on or about February 19, 2024, succeeding Charley Jemley. Prior to Dutch Bros, he served as CFO for almost four years at Mod Pizza, where he oversaw financial operations for North American locations. He also spent over 10 years at Starbucks in various financial roles, most recently as Senior Vice President, Finance, Americas. Mr. Guenser began his career at KPMG, LLP.

Travis Boersma, Co-founder and Executive Chairman

Mr. Boersma co-founded Dutch Bros Coffee in 1992 with his late brother Dane Boersma. He is deeply involved in day-to-day operations and is invested in maintaining the company's culture.

Sumi Ghosh, President of Operations

Mr. Ghosh joined Dutch Bros in January 2024. He previously spent two years as Global VP of Nike Stores.

Jess Elmquist, Chief People Officer

Mr. Elmquist joined Dutch Bros in January 2024 and has nearly 30 years of experience leading people in founder-led and high-growth companies. Before Dutch Bros, he was Chief Human Resources Officer and Chief Evangelist for Phenom, a global HR technology company. He also held various leadership roles at Life Time, Inc., including Chief Learning Officer and Executive Vice President of Human Capital.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to the business of Dutch Bros (BROS):
  1. Rapid Expansion and Market Saturation

    Dutch Bros is pursuing an aggressive expansion strategy, with plans for substantial new shop openings. While this fuels growth, it carries significant risks, including the potential to strain operational resources, leading to inconsistencies in product quality or customer service across locations. Rapid growth also increases the risk of market oversaturation and cannibalization, where new stores may pull sales away from existing ones in the same market. Furthermore, the capital-intensive nature of this expansion could pressure the company's financial position if new locations do not meet expected growth or profitability targets.

  2. Economic Sensitivity and Discretionary Spending

    The company's performance is highly sensitive to macroeconomic factors such as inflation, interest rate changes, and overall economic downturns. A significant portion of Dutch Bros' sales (approximately 80%) comes from cold and energy drinks, which are often considered discretionary "treats" rather than daily necessities. In periods of economic tightening, consumers are more likely to cut back on such specialty beverages, potentially leading to greater volatility in same-store sales compared to brands that are integrated into daily routines.

  3. Commodity Price Volatility and Labor Cost Pressures

    Dutch Bros is susceptible to fluctuations in the prices of key commodities like coffee and dairy, which are critical ingredients for its beverages. Rising commodity costs directly impact the company's cost of sales and can compress profit margins if not effectively managed through pricing strategies or operational efficiencies. Additionally, increasing labor costs, including legislated minimum wage increases, particularly in states with a significant Dutch Bros presence like California, pose a continuous challenge to operating margins. These cost pressures may necessitate menu price increases, which could, in turn, affect the company's competitive position and customer demand.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

The addressable markets for Dutch Bros' main products and services in the United States are sizable, reflecting the robust demand within the beverage and coffee shop industries.

Market Sizes for Dutch Bros' Main Products and Services (U.S. Region)

  • Coffee Shops (Overall Market): The U.S. Coffee & Snack Shops industry market size is estimated at $75.5 billion in 2026. The U.S. branded coffee shop market, which includes establishments like Dutch Bros, had sales of $58.5 billion over the last 12 months as of October 2025, and is forecast to exceed $63 billion over the next 12 months, reaching $82 billion by 2030.
  • Espresso-Based and Cold Brew Coffee Products (Ready-to-Drink Coffee): The United States ready-to-drink coffee market size is expected to grow from approximately $7.93 billion in 2025 to $8.31 billion in 2026, with a forecast to reach $10.98 billion by 2031.
  • Blue Rebel Energy Drinks (Energy Drinks): The U.S. Energy Drinks Market was valued at approximately $24.0 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach around $45.0 billion by 2032.
  • Tea: The United States tea and tea-based beverages market size was valued at $12.85 billion in 2025, with projections to grow to $16.95 billion by 2032.
  • Lemonade: The U.S. lemonade market size was estimated at $1.61 billion in 2024. It is projected to grow from $1.71 billion in 2025 to approximately $3.15 billion by 2035.
  • Smoothies: The United States smoothie market size was valued at $7.07 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $10.01 billion by 2034.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:

  1. New Shop Openings and Market Expansion: Dutch Bros continues to emphasize aggressive unit growth by opening new locations. The company plans to open at least 181 new shops in 2026 and has a long-term U.S. unit opportunity of around 7,000 locations, with a target of 2,029 shops by 2029. This expansion includes significant potential in new markets, particularly in the Midwest and East Coast.
  2. Same-Shop Sales Growth: The company is focused on increasing sales at existing locations, driven by both higher customer transaction volume and an increase in average ticket size. In Q4 2025, Dutch Bros reported a 7.7% year-over-year systemwide same-shop sales increase, with systemwide transactions up 5.4%. Company-operated same-shop sales specifically grew by 9.7% with a 7.6% increase in transactions in the same period.
  3. Menu Innovation and Product Launches: Dutch Bros has successfully introduced new products, such as Protein Coffee and Boba, which have contributed to strong sales results across different dayparts. This innovation strategy is crucial for attracting new customers and encouraging existing ones to try new offerings.
  4. Dutch Rewards Program and Customer Engagement: The company's loyalty program, Dutch Rewards, is a significant driver of customer engagement and repeat business. With a record 65-66% of all transactions coming through the program, Dutch Bros can effectively provide relevant content and offers, refine personalization capabilities, and utilize gamification and segmentation to boost customer traffic and sales.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Dutch Bros has not engaged in significant share repurchases over the last 3-5 years, with reports indicating $0.00 in share buybacks.

Share Issuance

  • In September 2023, Dutch Bros raised additional capital by issuing approximately 13.3 million shares of its Class A common stock through an underwritten public offering.
  • The annual shares outstanding for Dutch Bros were 177.12 million in 2023, 154.204 million in 2024, and 164.522 million in 2025, reflecting an increase in outstanding shares.

Inbound Investments

  • The company raised capital through the issuance and sale of approximately 13.3 million shares of Class A common stock in an underwritten public offering in September 2023.

Capital Expenditures

  • Dutch Bros' capital expenditures were estimated to be between $240 million and $260 million for 2025.
  • Projected capital expenditures for 2026 are estimated to be between $270 million and $290 million.
  • The primary focus of these capital expenditures is the aggressive expansion of the company's footprint through opening new shops, with plans for at least 181 new locations in 2026, aiming for a total of 2,029 locations by 2029.

Better Bets vs. Dutch Bros (BROS)

Peer Outperformance in Restaurants

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Share of Restaurants constituents that BROS has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
24%
of 42 industry peers · -35.5% return
3Y
85%
of 40 industry peers · 61.1% return
5Y
insufficient peer history
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Median price return by industry across the Consumer Discretionary sector, ranked by 5Y. Restaurants is BROS's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Education Services 14 -11.0%90.6%69.9% LINC 280% · CVSA 257% · PRDO 224%
Homebuilding 18 -7.7%14.5%35.7% GRBK 182% · PHM 138% · TOL 131%
Automotive Retail 18 -16.0%1.3%14.2% MUSA 252% · PAG 176% · ORLY 128%
Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines 22 12.7%42.8%8.0% RCL 229% · MAR 158% · HLT 154%
Home Improvement Retail 5 -20.9%-8.6%6.9% HD 10% · LOW 7% · HVT 7%
Specialty Stores 7 -6.4%22.4%1.8% FIVE 30% · DKS 9% · HZO 7%
Distributors 4 -10.3%-26.1%-9.1% ARMK 136% · GPC 26% · LKQ -44%
Restaurants ← 33 -9.6%-12.7%-11.7% EAT 346% · CAKE 161% · RAVE 141%
Specialized Consumer Services 10 -12.8%25.0%-15.3% HRB 130% · FTDR 81% · SCI 38%
Footwear 9 46.7%26.6%-16.8% WEYS 150% · DECK 25% · SHOO 15%
Home Furnishings 4 -9.5%13.7%-18.4% SGI 47% · LZB 0% · MHK -37%
Apparel Retail 25 -0.6%-2.3%-29.1% ANF 300% · DXLG 186% · URBN 141%
Leisure Products 13 -20.3%-24.4%-31.7% GOLF 86% · HAS 15% · MCFT -11%
Casinos & Gaming 20 -13.2%-30.6%-34.3% MCRI 100% · RSI 72% · RRR 49%
Leisure Facilities 11 -4.2%-12.0%-35.7% OSW 125% · JAKK 92% · ESCA 9%
Automotive Parts & Equipment 38 -8.8%-10.9%-38.7% MOD 1370% · GTX 286% · STRT 84%
Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods 27 -6.3%-9.2%-40.1% TPR 242% · RL 221% · ELA 221%
Household Appliances 18 8.4%34.3%-42.0% KEQU 181% · FLXS 152% · HBB 107%
Broadline Retail 15 5.3%11.5%-56.3% DDS 310% · EBAY 50% · AMZN 47%
Computer & Electronics Retail 3 -16.1%2.1%-61.9% BBY -11% · UPBD -62% · GME -65%
Automobile Manufacturers 8 -63.6%-51.7%-71.8% GM 82% · TSLA 46% · F 45%
Other Specialty Retail 18 -34.4%-50.2%-79.0% TLF 111% · BBW 102% · WINA 83%
Consumer Electronics 11 -10.7%-12.7%-80.9% AXIL 2624% · GRMN 73% · TBCH -58%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BROSSBUXQSRMNSTMCDYUMMedian
NameDutch Br.StarbucksRestaura.Monster .McDonald.Yum Bran. 
Mkt Price46.31106.1578.2244.99261.11152.0392.19
Mkt Cap6.2121.027.288.1185.241.864.9
Rev LTM1,88238,3389,6999,21927,7028,7249,459
Op Inc LTM1803,8732,6152,68812,6622,6502,669
FCF LTM953,6421,6322,0817,7611,6791,880
FCF 3Y Avg383,2411,3881,8037,2511,5271,665
CFO LTM3664,9861,9042,23911,3442,0832,161
CFO 3Y Avg2785,4641,6032,03210,2451,8491,940

Growth & Margins

BROSSBUXQSRMNSTMCDYUMMedian
NameDutch Br.StarbucksRestaura.Monster .McDonald.Yum Bran. 
Rev Chg LTM29.6%4.5%6.5%20.4%6.3%10.3%8.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg30.5%3.1%12.9%11.5%4.6%7.8%9.6%
Rev Chg Q32.5%-1.4%4.6%20.2%3.8%12.3%8.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.7%-0.3%1.1%4.8%0.9%2.8%2.0%
Op Inc Chg LTM34.4%1.0%11.4%30.3%5.3%8.7%10.0%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg97.3%-6.9%7.8%14.4%4.5%6.2%7.0%
Op Mgn LTM9.6%10.1%27.0%29.2%45.7%30.4%28.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.8%11.9%27.3%27.8%45.8%31.3%27.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%0.8%0.3%-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM19.4%13.0%19.6%24.3%41.0%23.9%21.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg18.5%14.7%18.2%25.2%38.6%23.3%20.9%
FCF/Rev LTM5.0%9.5%16.8%22.6%28.0%19.2%18.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.8%8.7%15.8%22.3%27.3%19.3%17.6%

Valuation

BROSSBUXQSRMNSTMCDYUMMedian
NameDutch Br.StarbucksRestaura.Monster .McDonald.Yum Bran. 
Mkt Cap6.2121.027.288.1185.241.864.9
P/S3.33.22.89.66.74.84.1
P/Op Inc34.631.210.432.814.615.823.5
P/EBIT33.533.310.432.214.515.423.8
P/E67.461.021.441.421.118.931.4
P/CFO17.024.314.339.316.320.118.6
Total Yield1.5%4.0%8.9%2.4%7.6%7.2%5.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.3%4.2%0.0%2.8%1.9%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.2%3.2%6.0%2.7%3.7%3.7%3.5%
D/E0.20.20.60.00.30.30.2
Net D/E0.20.20.5-0.00.30.30.2

Returns

BROSSBUXQSRMNSTMCDYUMMedian
NameDutch Br.StarbucksRestaura.Monster .McDonald.Yum Bran. 
1M Rtn-29.7%1.4%5.7%-6.6%-2.8%-0.8%-1.8%
3M Rtn-20.0%11.8%10.3%2.0%-4.8%3.7%2.8%
6M Rtn-12.7%11.1%10.4%13.9%-20.3%-4.8%2.8%
12M Rtn-35.5%23.4%28.1%44.2%-14.1%5.4%14.4%
3Y Rtn61.1%16.8%24.0%59.1%-0.1%23.7%23.8%
1M Excs Rtn-29.1%2.9%6.8%-4.2%-1.3%1.8%0.3%
3M Excs Rtn-20.2%11.5%10.0%1.7%-5.1%3.4%2.6%
6M Excs Rtn-24.6%-0.9%-1.6%2.0%-32.3%-16.8%-9.2%
12M Excs Rtn-53.7%5.3%10.0%26.0%-32.2%-12.7%-3.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-19.4%-53.3%-45.5%-16.3%-74.0%-49.1%-47.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Company-operated shops1,5091,166858640404
Franchising and other1291151089994
Total1,6381,281966739498


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Company-operated shops437347242158103
Franchising and other9985766573
Segment depreciation and amortization-112-92-67-42-23
Selling, general and administrative-263-234-205-184-265
Total16110646-3-111


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$46.31 
Market Cap ($ Bil)6.2 
First Trading Date09/15/2021 
Distance from 52W High-36.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$60.94$57.38
DMA Trendindeterminatedown
Distance from DMA-24.0%-19.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility59.4%51.9%
Downside Capture183.98194.30
Upside Capture74.46104.09
Correlation (SPY)8.1%34.1%
BROS Betas & Captures as of 8/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.010.280.361.221.381.44
Up Beta-1.83-1.090.511.742.321.48
Down Beta-2.22-2.69-1.690.250.321.31
Up Capture33%-7%70%111%106%325%
Bmk +ve Days10213268138427
Stock +ve Days8162856109357
Down Capture748%343%154%150%147%109%
Bmk -ve Days11213259113324
Stock -ve Days13263670141390

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BROS
BROS-35.6%51.8%-0.67-
Sector ETF (XLY)-0.5%19.4%-0.1537.4%
Equity (SPY)19.2%12.8%1.1034.4%
Gold (GLD)24.8%29.2%0.7611.2%
Commodities (DBC)44.0%20.4%1.67-25.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)8.5%13.7%0.3529.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-27.6%43.5%-0.6220.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BROS
BROS4.6%65.4%0.33-
Sector ETF (XLY)5.6%24.1%0.1943.4%
Equity (SPY)12.7%17.2%0.5642.0%
Gold (GLD)18.7%18.7%0.816.8%
Commodities (DBC)11.0%19.5%0.443.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.0%18.9%-0.0032.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)10.5%52.6%0.3820.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BROS
BROS2.3%65.4%0.33-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.0%22.2%0.5043.4%
Equity (SPY)15.1%17.9%0.7242.0%
Gold (GLD)12.0%16.3%0.606.8%
Commodities (DBC)7.9%18.1%0.353.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.9%20.7%0.2032.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.2%66.1%1.0320.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date8142026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14.3 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 73120263.5%
Average Daily Volume5.5 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.6 days
Basic Shares Quantity134.5 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares10.6%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/14/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/5/2026-18.8%-22.3% 
5/6/2026-9.3%-18.0%-6.0%
2/12/20264.7%-4.0%-1.1%
11/5/2025-4.2%3.7%4.5%
8/6/202521.6%16.9%14.2%
5/7/20258.8%21.4%23.4%
2/12/202529.1%26.8%-3.4%
11/6/202428.1%35.8%57.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131011
# Negative8119
Median Positive8.8%16.9%23.4%
Median Negative-11.2%-15.8%-6.8%
Max Positive29.1%35.8%57.8%
Max Negative-26.9%-25.5%-21.9%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/5/2026-18.8%-22.3% 
5/6/2026-9.3%-18.0%-6.0%
2/12/20264.7%-4.0%-1.1%
11/5/2025-4.2%3.7%4.5%
8/6/202521.6%16.9%14.2%
5/7/20258.8%21.4%23.4%
2/12/202529.1%26.8%-3.4%
11/6/202428.1%35.8%57.8%
8/7/2024-19.8%-19.8%-15.6%
5/7/202411.8%26.9%35.9%
2/21/20241.3%6.1%31.7%
11/7/20230.9%5.9%3.4%
8/8/202317.9%16.1%-4.3%
5/9/2023-12.0%-17.9%-6.8%
2/22/2023-10.4%-15.8%-21.9%
11/9/202222.4%17.0%10.7%
8/10/20225.2%-2.6%-15.9%
5/11/2022-26.9%-25.5%0.1%
3/1/2022-6.9%-0.1%30.3%
1/10/20222.9%-2.8%25.9%
11/10/20215.9%-8.7%-19.3%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131011
# Negative8119
Median Positive8.8%16.9%23.4%
Median Negative-11.2%-15.8%-6.8%
Max Positive29.1%35.8%57.8%
Max Negative-26.9%-25.5%-21.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/06/202610-Q
03/31/202605/06/202610-Q
12/31/202502/13/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/13/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/23/202410-K
09/30/202311/08/202310-Q
06/30/202308/09/202310-Q
03/31/202305/10/202310-Q
12/31/202202/27/202310-K
09/30/202211/10/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/06/202610-Q
03/31/202605/06/202610-Q
12/31/202502/13/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/13/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/23/202410-K
09/30/202311/08/202310-Q
06/30/202308/09/202310-Q
03/31/202305/10/202310-Q
12/31/202202/27/202310-K
09/30/202211/10/202210-Q
06/30/202208/11/202210-Q
03/31/202205/12/202210-Q
12/31/202103/11/202210-K
09/30/202111/12/202110-Q
06/30/202109/16/2021424B4

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 8/6/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Total System Shop OpeningsReported 185 0 AffirmedGuidance: 185 for 2026
2026 Total RevenuesReported2.10 Bil2.12 Bil2.13 Bil2.4% RaisedGuidance: 2.06 Bil for 2026
2026 Same Shop Sales GrowthReported5.0%5.5%6.0% 0.5%RaisedGuidance: 5.0% for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported385.00 Mil387.50 Mil390.00 Mil3.3% RaisedGuidance: 375.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital ExpendituresReported350.00 Mil360.00 Mil370.00 Mil28.6% RaisedGuidance: 280.00 Mil for 2026

Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/6/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Total system shop openingsReported 185 2.2% RaisedGuidance: 181 for 2026
2026 Total revenuesReported2.05 Bil2.06 Bil2.08 Bil2.5% RaisedGuidance: 2.02 Bil for 2026
2026 Same shop sales growthReported4.0%5.0%6.0% 1.0%RaisedGuidance: 4.0% for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported370.00 Mil375.00 Mil380.00 Mil4.2% RaisedGuidance: 360.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital expendituresReported270.00 Mil280.00 Mil290.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 280.00 Mil for 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/12/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Total System Shop OpeningsReported 181 3.4% RaisedGuidance: 175 for 2026
2026 Total RevenuesReported2.00 Bil2.02 Bil2.03 Bil25.0% Higher NewActual: 1.61 Bil for 2025
2026 Same Shop Sales GrowthReported3.0%4.0%5.0% -1.0%Lower NewActual: 5.0% for 2025
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported355.00 Mil360.00 Mil365.00 Mil25.2% Higher NewActual: 287.50 Mil for 2025
2026 Capital ExpendituresReported270.00 Mil280.00 Mil290.00 Mil12.0% Higher NewActual: 250.00 Mil for 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/5/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Total system shop openingsReported 160 0 AffirmedGuidance: 160 for 2025
2025 RevenueReported1.61 Bil1.61 Bil1.61 Bil1.1% RaisedGuidance: 1.59 Bil for 2025
2025 Same shop sales growthReported 5.0%  0.5%RaisedGuidance: 4.5% for 2025
2025 Adjusted EBITDAReported285.00 Mil287.50 Mil290.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 287.50 Mil for 2025
2025 Capital expendituresReported240.00 Mil250.00 Mil260.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 250.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Total system shop openingsReported 175    

Insider Activity

Updated 8/21/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Penegor, Todd Allan DirectBuy814202651.562,000103,120379,378Form
2Boersma, TravisExecutive Chairman of BoardDM Trust Aggregator, LLCSell612202663.02488,94530,815,336284,530,653Form
3Boersma, TravisExecutive Chairman of BoardDM Individual Aggregator, LLCSell612202663.02261,05516,452,765151,938,578Form
4Dm, Individual Aggregator, LlcDirectSell612202663.02261,05516,452,765151,938,578Form
5Dm, Trust Aggregator, LlcDirectSell612202663.02488,94530,815,336284,530,653Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Penegor, Todd Allan DirectBuy814202651.562,000103,120379,378Form
2Boersma, TravisExecutive Chairman of BoardDM Trust Aggregator, LLCSell612202663.02488,94530,815,336284,530,653Form
3Boersma, TravisExecutive Chairman of BoardDM Individual Aggregator, LLCSell612202663.02261,05516,452,765151,938,578Form
4Dm, Individual Aggregator, LlcDirectSell612202663.02261,05516,452,765151,938,578Form
5Dm, Trust Aggregator, LlcDirectSell612202663.02488,94530,815,336284,530,653Form
6Boersma, TravisExecutive Chairman of BoardDM Trust Aggregator, LLCSell612202660.39488,94529,529,126302,183,677Form
7Boersma, TravisExecutive Chairman of BoardDM Individual Aggregator, LLCSell612202660.37261,05415,761,116161,313,053Form
8Dm, Individual Aggregator, LlcDirectSell612202660.37261,05415,761,116161,313,053Form
9Dm, Trust Aggregator, LlcDirectSell612202660.39488,94529,529,126302,183,677Form
10Barone, ChristineCEO and PresidentDirectSell611202660.1342,0312,527,4922,680,353Form
11Boersma, TravisExecutive Chairman of BoardDM Trust Aggregator, LLCSell602202658.26291,60716,988,907319,992,018Form
12Boersma, TravisExecutive Chairman of BoardDM Individual Aggregator, LLCSell602202658.26155,6929,070,554170,870,105Form
13Dm, Individual Aggregator, LlcDirectSell602202658.26155,6929,070,554170,870,105Form
14Dm, Trust Aggregator, LlcDirectSell602202658.26291,60716,988,907319,992,018Form
15Boersma, TravisExecutive Chairman of BoardDM Trust Aggregator, LLCSell602202658.27197,33811,499,201337,050,335Form
16Boersma, TravisExecutive Chairman of BoardDM Individual Aggregator, LLCSell602202658.27105,3626,139,612179,977,722Form
17Dm, Individual Aggregator, LlcDirectSell602202658.27105,3626,139,612179,977,722Form
18Dm, Trust Aggregator, LlcDirectSell602202658.27197,33811,499,201337,050,335Form
19Boersma, TravisExecutive Chairman of BoardDM Trust Aggregator, LLCSell529202656.16133,7287,509,696335,898,139Form
20Boersma, TravisExecutive Chairman of BoardDM Individual Aggregator, LLCSell529202656.1671,3994,009,518179,361,783Form
21Dm, Individual Aggregator, LlcDirectSell529202656.1671,3994,009,518179,361,783Form
22Dm, Trust Aggregator, LlcDirectSell529202656.16133,7287,509,696335,898,139Form
23Boersma, TravisExecutive Chairman of BoardDM Trust Aggregator, LLCSell529202656.21355,21719,966,819343,736,222Form
24Boersma, TravisExecutive Chairman of BoardDM Individual Aggregator, LLCSell529202656.21189,65510,660,545183,546,651Form
25Dm, Individual Aggregator, LlcDirectSell529202656.21189,65510,660,545183,546,651Form
26Dm, Trust Aggregator, LlcDirectSell529202656.21355,21719,966,819343,736,222Form
27Penegor, Todd Allan DirectBuy515202651.172,000102,350274,196Form
28Boersma, TravisExecutive Chairman of BoardDM Trust Aggregator, LLCSell1126202555.441,030,52757,129,561865,375Form
29Boersma, TravisExecutive Chairman of BoardDM Individual Aggregator, LLCSell1126202555.44648,08935,928,253544,227Form
30Dm, Individual Aggregator, LlcDirectSell1126202555.44648,08935,928,253544,227Form
31Dm, Trust Aggregator, LlcDirectSell1126202555.441,030,52757,129,561865,375Form
32Boersma, TravisExecutive Chairman of BoardDM Trust Aggregator, LLCSell1126202553.41504,25926,930,39155,869,857Form
33Boersma, TravisExecutive Chairman of BoardDM Individual Aggregator, LLCSell1126202553.41317,12516,936,33835,136,046Form
34Dm, Individual Aggregator, LlcDirectSell1126202553.41317,12516,936,33835,136,046Form
35Dm, Trust Aggregator, LlcDirectSell1126202553.41504,25926,930,39155,869,857Form
36Boersma, TravisExecutive Chairman of BoardDM Trust Aggregator, LLCSell826202568.94483,56833,338,701106,889,184Form
37Boersma, TravisExecutive Chairman of BoardDM Individual Aggregator, LLCSell826202568.94304,11320,966,50767,221,704Form
38Dm, Individual Aggregator, LlcDirectSell826202568.94304,11320,966,50767,221,704Form
39Dm, Trust Aggregator, LlcDirectSell826202568.94483,56833,338,701106,889,184Form
40Dm, Individual Aggregator, LlcDirectSell825202565.17482,75031,461,58983,363,858Form
41Dm, Trust Aggregator, LlcDirectSell825202565.17767,62150,027,087132,556,682Form
42Boersma, TravisExecutive Chairman of BoardDM Trust Aggregator, LLCSell825202565.17767,62150,027,087132,556,682Form
43Boersma, TravisExecutive Chairman of BoardDM Individual Aggregator, LLCSell825202565.17482,75031,461,58983,363,858Form
44Dm, Individual Aggregator, LlcDirectSell825202563.07178,35111,248,404111,120,742Form
45Dm, Trust Aggregator, LlcDirectSell825202563.07283,59717,886,155176,692,928Form
46Boersma, TravisExecutive Chairman of BoardDM Trust Aggregator, LLCSell825202563.07283,59717,886,155176,692,928Form
47Boersma, TravisExecutive Chairman of BoardDM Individual Aggregator, LLCSell825202563.07178,35111,248,404111,120,742Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Sep 2, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Joho Capital LLC$71.9 Mil19.3%10Hold13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Deepwater Asset Management, LLC$11.0 Mil3.2%46Exited13F
Benchstone Capital Management LP$8.2 Mil0.9%43Exited13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Joho Capital LLC$71.9 Mil19.3%10Hold13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 9/1/2026