Tearsheet

Dutch Bros (BROS)


Market Price (4/12/2026): $55.91 | Market Cap: $7.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Dutch Bros (BROS)


Market Price (4/12/2026): $55.91
Market Cap: $7.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Consumer Convenience & Service Innovation. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Drive-Thru Excellence.

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 4.3x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 43x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 89x

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.9%

Key risks
BROS key risks include [1] operational strain and market saturation from its aggressive national expansion and [2] heightened sales volatility due to a product mix heavily dependent on discretionary 'treat' beverages.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Consumer Convenience & Service Innovation. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Drive-Thru Excellence.
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 4.3x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 43x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 89x
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.9%
6 Key risks
BROS key risks include [1] operational strain and market saturation from its aggressive national expansion and [2] heightened sales volatility due to a product mix heavily dependent on discretionary 'treat' beverages.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Dutch Bros (BROS) stock has lost about 10% since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Macroeconomic Headwinds and Cautious Consumer Spending

Despite strong operational performance, Dutch Bros' stock has been negatively impacted by broader macroeconomic concerns, persistent inflation, and more cautious consumer spending patterns during the initial quarter of 2026. This macroeconomic uncertainty has outweighed positive company-specific news.

2. Disappointing 2026 Guidance and Margin Pressure

While Dutch Bros reported an earnings per share of $0.17 and revenue of $443.61 million for Q4 2025, exceeding analyst estimates, the company's full-year 2026 revenue guidance of approximately $2 billion to $2.03 billion, and Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $355 million to $365 million, were slightly below some analyst expectations. Additionally, Dutch Bros anticipates approximately 60 basis points of net adjusted EBITDA margin pressure in 2026, primarily due to elevated coffee costs and occupancy expenses.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -8.7% change in BROS stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -28.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120254122026Change
Stock Price ($)61.2255.91-8.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,5371,6386.6%
Net Income Margin (%)4.0%4.9%20.7%
P/E Multiple125.289.0-28.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)127127-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution-8.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 4/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BROS-8.7% 
Market (SPY)-5.4%53.5%
Sector (XLY)-5.5%47.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 6.8% change in BROS stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 23.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)93020254122026Change
Stock Price ($)52.3455.916.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,4521,63812.8%
Net Income Margin (%)3.9%4.9%23.6%
P/E Multiple115.689.0-23.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)126127-0.5%
Cumulative Contribution6.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 4/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BROS6.8% 
Market (SPY)-2.9%49.7%
Sector (XLY)-5.6%50.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The -9.4% change in BROS stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -55.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120254122026Change
Stock Price ($)61.7455.91-9.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,2811,63827.9%
Net Income Margin (%)2.8%4.9%77.1%
P/E Multiple200.989.0-55.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)115127-9.7%
Cumulative Contribution-9.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2025 to 4/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BROS-9.5% 
Market (SPY)16.3%52.9%
Sector (XLY)15.0%53.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 76.8% change in BROS stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 121.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)33120234122026Change
Stock Price ($)31.6355.9176.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)7391,638121.7%
P/S Multiple2.44.383.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)55127-56.5%
Cumulative Contribution76.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2023 to 4/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BROS76.7% 
Market (SPY)63.3%39.4%
Sector (XLY)54.4%39.2%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
BROS Return39%-45%12%65%17%-9%52%
Peers Return15%-0%11%-4%14%7%51%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-0%82%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BROS Win Rate50%42%50%58%58%25% 
Peers Win Rate55%45%57%47%53%70% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BROS Max Drawdown0%-51%-19%-19%-9%-24% 
Peers Max Drawdown-8%-25%-7%-16%-9%-3% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SBUX, QSR, MNST, MCD, YUM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/10/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBROSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-70.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven234.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven505 days464 days

Compare to SBUX, QSR, MNST, MCD, YUM

In The Past

Dutch Bros's stock fell -70.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/1/2021. A -70.1% loss requires a 234.3% gain to breakeven.

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About Dutch Bros (BROS)

Dutch Bros Inc. operates and franchises drive-thru shops. It offers Dutch Bros hot and cold espresso-based beverages, and cold brew coffee products, as well as Blue Rebel energy drinks, tea, lemonade, smoothies, and other beverages through company-operated shops and online channels. As of May 11, 2022, it operated 572 drive-thru coffee locations across 12 states in the United States. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Grants Pass, Oregon.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Dutch Bros:

  • A drive-thru-only Starbucks.
  • The In-N-Out Burger of specialty coffee.
  • Like Dunkin' but specializing in trendier coffee and energy drinks.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Espresso-Based Beverages: A range of hot and cold coffee drinks crafted with espresso.
  • Cold Brew Coffee Products: Coffee products specifically prepared using the cold brewing method.
  • Blue Rebel Energy Drinks: Proprietary energy drinks offered by Dutch Bros.
  • Tea: Various tea offerings available to customers.
  • Lemonade: Refreshing lemonade beverages.
  • Smoothies: Blended fruit drinks.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Dutch Bros (BROS) primarily sells its beverages and products directly to individual consumers through its drive-thru shops and online channels. As such, it does not have major corporate customers. Instead, its customer base can be categorized into the following groups:

  1. Regular Commuters and Daily Habit Drinkers: These customers integrate Dutch Bros into their daily routines, often stopping by for a quick, convenient, and consistent coffee or energy drink on their way to work, school, or during their daily errands.

  2. Younger Consumers and Energy Drink Enthusiasts: A significant portion of Dutch Bros' appeal is to a younger demographic, including students and young adults, who are drawn to its "Blue Rebel" energy drinks, customizable options, and generally vibrant brand image.

  3. Casual Patrons and On-the-Go Families: This category includes individuals and families seeking a treat, a quick refreshment, or a non-coffee option (like smoothies, lemonade, or tea). They may visit less frequently than daily commuters but appreciate the variety and convenience for a spontaneous stop or family outing.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Christine Barone, Chief Executive Officer and President

Ms. Barone joined Dutch Bros in February 2023 as President and became CEO in January 2024. Before joining Dutch Bros, she served as CEO of True Food Kitchen and held various leadership roles at Starbucks for over five years. Earlier in her career, she held positions with Bain & Company and Raymond James. She holds a BA in Applied Mathematics and an MBA from Harvard University.

Joshua Guenser, Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Guenser became the Chief Financial Officer of Dutch Bros on or about February 19, 2024, succeeding Charley Jemley. Prior to Dutch Bros, he served as CFO for almost four years at Mod Pizza, where he oversaw financial operations for North American locations. He also spent over 10 years at Starbucks in various financial roles, most recently as Senior Vice President, Finance, Americas. Mr. Guenser began his career at KPMG, LLP.

Travis Boersma, Co-founder and Executive Chairman

Mr. Boersma co-founded Dutch Bros Coffee in 1992 with his late brother Dane Boersma. He is deeply involved in day-to-day operations and is invested in maintaining the company's culture.

Sumi Ghosh, President of Operations

Mr. Ghosh joined Dutch Bros in January 2024. He previously spent two years as Global VP of Nike Stores.

Jess Elmquist, Chief People Officer

Mr. Elmquist joined Dutch Bros in January 2024 and has nearly 30 years of experience leading people in founder-led and high-growth companies. Before Dutch Bros, he was Chief Human Resources Officer and Chief Evangelist for Phenom, a global HR technology company. He also held various leadership roles at Life Time, Inc., including Chief Learning Officer and Executive Vice President of Human Capital.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to the business of Dutch Bros (BROS):
  1. Rapid Expansion and Market Saturation

    Dutch Bros is pursuing an aggressive expansion strategy, with plans for substantial new shop openings. While this fuels growth, it carries significant risks, including the potential to strain operational resources, leading to inconsistencies in product quality or customer service across locations. Rapid growth also increases the risk of market oversaturation and cannibalization, where new stores may pull sales away from existing ones in the same market. Furthermore, the capital-intensive nature of this expansion could pressure the company's financial position if new locations do not meet expected growth or profitability targets.

  2. Economic Sensitivity and Discretionary Spending

    The company's performance is highly sensitive to macroeconomic factors such as inflation, interest rate changes, and overall economic downturns. A significant portion of Dutch Bros' sales (approximately 80%) comes from cold and energy drinks, which are often considered discretionary "treats" rather than daily necessities. In periods of economic tightening, consumers are more likely to cut back on such specialty beverages, potentially leading to greater volatility in same-store sales compared to brands that are integrated into daily routines.

  3. Commodity Price Volatility and Labor Cost Pressures

    Dutch Bros is susceptible to fluctuations in the prices of key commodities like coffee and dairy, which are critical ingredients for its beverages. Rising commodity costs directly impact the company's cost of sales and can compress profit margins if not effectively managed through pricing strategies or operational efficiencies. Additionally, increasing labor costs, including legislated minimum wage increases, particularly in states with a significant Dutch Bros presence like California, pose a continuous challenge to operating margins. These cost pressures may necessitate menu price increases, which could, in turn, affect the company's competitive position and customer demand.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

The addressable markets for Dutch Bros' main products and services in the United States are sizable, reflecting the robust demand within the beverage and coffee shop industries.

Market Sizes for Dutch Bros' Main Products and Services (U.S. Region)

  • Coffee Shops (Overall Market): The U.S. Coffee & Snack Shops industry market size is estimated at $75.5 billion in 2026. The U.S. branded coffee shop market, which includes establishments like Dutch Bros, had sales of $58.5 billion over the last 12 months as of October 2025, and is forecast to exceed $63 billion over the next 12 months, reaching $82 billion by 2030.
  • Espresso-Based and Cold Brew Coffee Products (Ready-to-Drink Coffee): The United States ready-to-drink coffee market size is expected to grow from approximately $7.93 billion in 2025 to $8.31 billion in 2026, with a forecast to reach $10.98 billion by 2031.
  • Blue Rebel Energy Drinks (Energy Drinks): The U.S. Energy Drinks Market was valued at approximately $24.0 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach around $45.0 billion by 2032.
  • Tea: The United States tea and tea-based beverages market size was valued at $12.85 billion in 2025, with projections to grow to $16.95 billion by 2032.
  • Lemonade: The U.S. lemonade market size was estimated at $1.61 billion in 2024. It is projected to grow from $1.71 billion in 2025 to approximately $3.15 billion by 2035.
  • Smoothies: The United States smoothie market size was valued at $7.07 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $10.01 billion by 2034.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:

  1. New Shop Openings and Market Expansion: Dutch Bros continues to emphasize aggressive unit growth by opening new locations. The company plans to open at least 181 new shops in 2026 and has a long-term U.S. unit opportunity of around 7,000 locations, with a target of 2,029 shops by 2029. This expansion includes significant potential in new markets, particularly in the Midwest and East Coast.
  2. Same-Shop Sales Growth: The company is focused on increasing sales at existing locations, driven by both higher customer transaction volume and an increase in average ticket size. In Q4 2025, Dutch Bros reported a 7.7% year-over-year systemwide same-shop sales increase, with systemwide transactions up 5.4%. Company-operated same-shop sales specifically grew by 9.7% with a 7.6% increase in transactions in the same period.
  3. Menu Innovation and Product Launches: Dutch Bros has successfully introduced new products, such as Protein Coffee and Boba, which have contributed to strong sales results across different dayparts. This innovation strategy is crucial for attracting new customers and encouraging existing ones to try new offerings.
  4. Dutch Rewards Program and Customer Engagement: The company's loyalty program, Dutch Rewards, is a significant driver of customer engagement and repeat business. With a record 65-66% of all transactions coming through the program, Dutch Bros can effectively provide relevant content and offers, refine personalization capabilities, and utilize gamification and segmentation to boost customer traffic and sales.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Dutch Bros has not engaged in significant share repurchases over the last 3-5 years, with reports indicating $0.00 in share buybacks.

Share Issuance

  • In September 2023, Dutch Bros raised additional capital by issuing approximately 13.3 million shares of its Class A common stock through an underwritten public offering.
  • The annual shares outstanding for Dutch Bros were 177.12 million in 2023, 154.204 million in 2024, and 164.522 million in 2025, reflecting an increase in outstanding shares.

Inbound Investments

  • The company raised capital through the issuance and sale of approximately 13.3 million shares of Class A common stock in an underwritten public offering in September 2023.

Capital Expenditures

  • Dutch Bros' capital expenditures were estimated to be between $240 million and $260 million for 2025.
  • Projected capital expenditures for 2026 are estimated to be between $270 million and $290 million.
  • The primary focus of these capital expenditures is the aggressive expansion of the company's footprint through opening new shops, with plans for at least 181 new locations in 2026, aiming for a total of 2,029 locations by 2029.

Better Bets vs. Dutch Bros (BROS)

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Trade Ideas

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3.4%3.4%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BROSSBUXQSRMNSTMCDYUMMedian
NameDutch Br.StarbucksRestaura.Monster .McDonald.Yum Bran. 
Mkt Price55.9196.6776.4175.85305.61161.7786.54
Mkt Cap7.1110.025.674.1217.445.159.6
Rev LTM1,63837,7029,4348,29426,8838,2148,864
Op Inc LTM1613,4242,4922,41912,3912,5292,510
FCF LTM542,3371,4491,9417,1861,6391,790
FCF 3Y Avg-33,2111,3181,6827,0371,4631,572
CFO LTM2964,2731,7142,09810,5512,0102,054
CFO 3Y Avg2275,6191,5131,9159,8691,7671,841

Growth & Margins

BROSSBUXQSRMNSTMCDYUMMedian
NameDutch Br.StarbucksRestaura.Monster .McDonald.Yum Bran. 
Rev Chg LTM27.9%4.3%12.2%10.7%3.7%8.8%9.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg30.4%4.8%13.3%9.6%5.1%6.3%7.9%
Rev Chg Q29.4%5.5%7.4%17.6%9.7%6.5%8.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.6%1.4%1.8%4.0%2.4%1.9%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM9.8%9.1%26.4%29.2%46.1%30.8%27.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg7.6%12.6%27.9%27.4%46.0%31.7%27.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.5%-0.5%0.5%0.9%-0.0%-0.0%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM18.0%11.3%18.2%25.3%39.2%24.5%21.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg17.3%15.3%18.3%25.0%37.8%23.2%20.7%
FCF/Rev LTM3.3%6.2%15.4%23.4%26.7%20.0%17.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-1.3%8.7%16.0%21.9%27.0%19.2%17.6%

Valuation

BROSSBUXQSRMNSTMCDYUMMedian
NameDutch Br.StarbucksRestaura.Monster .McDonald.Yum Bran. 
Mkt Cap7.1110.025.674.1217.445.159.6
P/S4.32.92.78.98.15.54.9
P/EBIT43.339.211.630.517.417.524.0
P/E89.080.433.038.925.429.035.9
P/CFO24.025.714.935.320.622.523.2
Total Yield1.1%3.8%7.4%2.6%6.3%5.2%4.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.5%4.3%0.0%2.4%1.7%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.9%3.1%5.8%2.7%3.3%3.8%3.2%
D/E0.20.20.60.00.30.30.2
Net D/E0.10.20.6-0.00.20.30.2

Returns

BROSSBUXQSRMNSTMCDYUMMedian
NameDutch Br.StarbucksRestaura.Monster .McDonald.Yum Bran. 
1M Rtn18.2%-2.5%6.1%-1.6%-6.4%0.9%-0.4%
3M Rtn-10.4%9.5%11.7%-1.9%-0.0%4.5%2.2%
6M Rtn14.4%24.9%16.4%8.9%4.1%15.3%14.8%
12M Rtn-3.0%16.3%26.0%30.4%0.9%13.7%15.0%
3Y Rtn71.9%-2.7%26.0%43.5%13.3%27.2%26.6%
1M Excs Rtn7.8%-5.3%6.4%-2.8%-6.6%2.7%-0.0%
3M Excs Rtn-9.8%11.8%13.8%0.5%1.0%7.4%4.2%
6M Excs Rtn15.7%21.5%14.6%9.4%4.1%10.9%12.8%
12M Excs Rtn-30.5%-12.2%-4.8%1.0%-32.5%-20.2%-16.2%
3Y Excs Rtn7.4%-66.2%-38.6%-23.7%-50.2%-36.0%-37.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Company-operated shops1,166858640404245
Franchising and other115108999483
Total1,281966739498327


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Company-operated shops347242158  
Franchising and other857665  
Segment depreciation and amortization-92-67-42  
Selling, general and administrative-234-205-184  
Total10646-3  


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$55.88 
Market Cap ($ Bil)7.1 
First Trading Date09/15/2021 
Distance from 52W High-24.7% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$52.18$58.35
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA7.1%-4.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility53.7%52.5%
Downside Capture0.860.66
Upside Capture170.4489.09
Correlation (SPY)51.7%39.6%
BROS Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.732.912.191.891.551.45
Up Beta5.344.133.643.811.831.37
Down Beta3.092.151.791.341.651.45
Up Capture256%346%169%185%87%316%
Bmk +ve Days7162765139424
Stock +ve Days8162255114358
Down Capture197%243%213%154%124%109%
Bmk -ve Days12233358110323
Stock -ve Days14264171137389

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BROS
BROS5.6%54.6%0.29-
Sector ETF (XLY)28.9%22.5%1.0550.4%
Equity (SPY)31.2%17.3%1.4748.9%
Gold (GLD)60.1%27.8%1.69-3.5%
Commodities (DBC)29.8%16.6%1.584.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)21.3%15.2%1.0733.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-4.3%43.7%0.0229.6%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BROS
BROS8.7%66.1%0.41-
Sector ETF (XLY)6.3%23.7%0.2344.4%
Equity (SPY)11.1%17.0%0.5043.2%
Gold (GLD)22.1%17.8%1.025.3%
Commodities (DBC)11.8%18.8%0.528.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.7%18.8%0.1032.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.3%56.5%0.3021.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BROS
BROS4.2%66.1%0.41-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.2%22.0%0.5144.4%
Equity (SPY)13.8%17.9%0.6643.2%
Gold (GLD)14.2%15.9%0.745.3%
Commodities (DBC)8.6%17.6%0.418.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.1%20.7%0.2232.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.6%66.9%1.0721.1%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity18.0 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 315202628.7%
Average Daily Volume3.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.1 days
Basic Shares Quantity127.1 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares14.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/12/20264.7%-4.0%-1.1%
11/5/2025-4.2%3.7%4.5%
8/6/202521.6%16.9%14.2%
5/7/20258.8%21.4%23.4%
2/12/202529.1%26.8%-3.4%
11/6/202428.1%35.8%57.8%
8/7/2024-19.8%-19.8%-15.6%
5/7/202411.8%26.9%35.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121010
# Negative688
Median Positive10.3%16.9%18.8%
Median Negative-11.2%-12.3%-11.2%
Max Positive29.1%35.8%57.8%
Max Negative-26.9%-25.5%-21.9%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/13/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/13/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/23/202410-K
09/30/202311/08/202310-Q
06/30/202308/09/202310-Q
03/31/202305/10/202310-Q
12/31/202202/27/202310-K
09/30/202211/10/202210-Q
06/30/202208/11/202210-Q
03/31/202205/12/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/12/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Total Revenues2.00 Bil2.02 Bil2.03 Bil  Higher New
2026 Same Shop Sales Growth3.0%4.0%5.0%  Higher New
2026 Adjusted EBITDA355.00 Mil360.00 Mil365.00 Mil  Higher New
2026 Capital Expenditures270.00 Mil280.00 Mil290.00 Mil  Higher New
2026 Total System Shop Openings 181 3.4% RaisedGuidance: 175 for 2026

Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/5/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Revenue1.61 Bil1.61 Bil1.61 Bil1.1% RaisedGuidance: 1.59 Bil for 2025
2025 Same shop sales growth 5.0% 11.1%0.5%RaisedGuidance: 4.5% for 2025
2025 Adjusted EBITDA285.00 Mil287.50 Mil290.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 287.50 Mil for 2025
2025 Capital expenditures240.00 Mil250.00 Mil260.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 250.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Total system shop openings 160 0 AffirmedGuidance: 160 for 2025
2026 Total system shop openings 175    

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Boersma, TravisExecutive Chairman of BoardDM Trust Aggregator, LLCSell1126202553.41504,25926,930,39155,869,857Form
2Boersma, TravisExecutive Chairman of BoardDM Trust Aggregator, LLCSell1126202555.441,030,52757,129,561865,375Form
3Boersma, TravisExecutive Chairman of BoardDM Individual Aggregator, LLCSell1126202553.41317,12516,936,33835,136,046Form
4Boersma, TravisExecutive Chairman of BoardDM Individual Aggregator, LLCSell1126202555.44648,08935,928,253544,227Form
5Dm, Individual Aggregator, LlcDirectSell1126202553.41317,12516,936,33835,136,046Form