Lindblad Expeditions (LIND)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $12.025 | Market Cap: $668.1 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Lindblad Expeditions (LIND)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $12.025Market Cap: $668.1 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -49% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 57% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.58 | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 34x |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.3% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.5% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable & Experiential Tourism. Themes include Ecotourism & Nature Exploration, Premium Expedition Travel, and Educational & Immersive Travel. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.3% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable & Experiential Tourism. Themes include Ecotourism & Nature Exploration, Premium Expedition Travel, and Educational & Immersive Travel. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -49% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.58 |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 57% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 34x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.5% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
LIND Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The available information primarily covers Lindblad Expeditions' (LIND) financial performance for Q2 and Q3 2025. This data, particularly the Q2 earnings released on August 4, 2025, and Q3 earnings released on November 4, 2025, generally indicates strong performance and positive outlooks rather than a significant stock decline of -17.5% between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025. For instance, on August 4, 2025, Lindblad Expeditions reported strong Q2 2025 financial results, beating analyst expectations for revenue and narrowing its loss per share. The company's revenue grew 23% year-over-year to $167.9 million, and adjusted EBITDA more than doubled to $24.8 million. Occupancy rates reached 86%, and Lindblad lifted its full-year forecast for both revenue and adjusted EBITDA. Following this announcement, the stock saw a premarket increase of 6.82%. Similarly, on November 4, 2025, Lindblad Expeditions exceeded Q3 2025 revenue and adjusted EBITDA expectations. Revenue increased by 16.6% year-over-year to $240.2 million, and adjusted EBITDA reached a record $57.26 million. The company also raised its full-year revenue and EBITDA guidance. The stock was trading at $11.80 as of December 2, 2025, with a closing price of $12.03 on December 3, 2025. While some reports mention volatility in LIND's stock, and a forecast from one source in 2025 predicted a potential average price of $5.1766 in 2025, indicating a -58.59% fall from a then-recorded price of $12.50, this is a forecast and not an explanation for an actual -17.5% movement within the specified timeframe. Other analyst recommendations as of December 2025 generally suggest a "Hold" rating with an average 12-month price target of $17.00, indicating a potential upside. The provided search results do not offer specific key points explaining a -17.5% stock decline for Lindblad Expeditions (LIND) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. Instead, the information highlights positive financial results and upward guidance during this period.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LIND Return | 5% | -9% | -51% | 46% | 5% | -1% | -28% |
| Peers Return | -5% | 23% | -10% | 38% | 23% | -2% | 75% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LIND Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 42% | 58% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 37% | 45% | 35% | 52% | 47% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LIND Max Drawdown | -80% | -31% | -61% | -25% | -38% | -34% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -46% | -8% | -22% | -2% | -6% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: H, WH, AHMA, BKNG, MAR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LIND | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -73.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 271.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -82.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 470.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 322 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -21.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 456 days | 120 days |
Compare to H, WH, AHMA, BKNG, MAR
In The Past
Lindblad Expeditions's stock fell -73.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/24/2021. A -73.0% loss requires a 271.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LIND. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Lindblad Expeditions
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 117.59 |
| Mkt Cap | 15.4 |
| Rev LTM | 6,914 |
| Op Inc LTM | 593 |
| FCF LTM | 294 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 397 |
| CFO LTM | 349 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 590 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 16.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 13.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 15.4 |
| P/S | 2.7 |
| P/EBIT | 20.8 |
| P/E | 18.1 |
| P/CFO | 20.2 |
| Total Yield | 3.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.4% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 8.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -9.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 11.3% |
| 12M Rtn | -2.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 63.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -15.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -3.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -15.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 0.3% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8042025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11052024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3062024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3102023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |