Gap (GAP)


Market Price (11/8/2026): $21.52 | Market Cap: $7.6 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail

Gap (GAP)


Market Price (11/8/2026): $21.52
Market Cap: $7.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 20%, Dividend Yield is 3.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14%, FCF Yield is 13%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Eco-friendly Products, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -19%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.0%

Key risks
GAP key risks include [1] a continued failure to maintain brand relevance and adapt to shifting consumer preferences, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 20%, Dividend Yield is 3.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14%, FCF Yield is 13%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Eco-friendly Products, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -19%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.0%
6 Key risks
GAP key risks include [1] a continued failure to maintain brand relevance and adapt to shifting consumer preferences, Show more.

GAP in ETFs

Weight = GAP's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IWB0.01%
IJH0.14%
VYM0.02%
VB0.07%
MDYV0.29%
IJJ0.29%
+16 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 11/5/2026

Gap (GAP) stock has gained about 10% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Exceeding Profit Expectations and Raised Full-Year Guidance.

Gap Inc. reported its fiscal second quarter 2026 results (ended August 1, 2026) on August 27, 2026, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.52, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.48 by $0.04. Although net sales were slightly below expectations at $3.7 billion (down 2% year-over-year), the company demonstrated significant gross margin strength, increasing 1,160 basis points to 52.8% compared to the prior year. The company also raised its full-year fiscal 2026 diluted EPS outlook to a range of $3.77 to $3.87.

2. Robust Shareholder Returns Demonstrating Financial Strength.

The company actively returned capital to shareholders, distributing $262 million in the fiscal second quarter 2026 through share repurchases and dividends. Year-to-date in fiscal 2026 (as of August 1, 2026), Gap Inc. returned a substantial $726 million to shareholders, comprising $125 million in dividends and $601 million in share repurchases, including the completion of a $200 million accelerated share repurchase program.

Show more
Updated on 11/5/2026

Gap (GAP) stock has gained about 10% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Exceeding Profit Expectations and Raised Full-Year Guidance.

Gap Inc. reported its fiscal second quarter 2026 results (ended August 1, 2026) on August 27, 2026, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.52, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.48 by $0.04. Although net sales were slightly below expectations at $3.7 billion (down 2% year-over-year), the company demonstrated significant gross margin strength, increasing 1,160 basis points to 52.8% compared to the prior year. The company also raised its full-year fiscal 2026 diluted EPS outlook to a range of $3.77 to $3.87.

2. Robust Shareholder Returns Demonstrating Financial Strength.

The company actively returned capital to shareholders, distributing $262 million in the fiscal second quarter 2026 through share repurchases and dividends. Year-to-date in fiscal 2026 (as of August 1, 2026), Gap Inc. returned a substantial $726 million to shareholders, comprising $125 million in dividends and $601 million in share repurchases, including the completion of a $200 million accelerated share repurchase program.

3. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgraded Price Targets.

Analyst confidence in Gap's future performance contributed to the stock's positive trend. As of November 5, 2026, the average twelve-month price target for GAP stock is $27.07, suggesting a potential upside of 14.01% from its price of $23.74. Notably, over the previous 90 days, the stock received 3 upgrades, with UBS reaffirming a "Buy" rating and raising its price target to $42 in early October 2026, and BMO Capital raising its price target to $24 from $23 on November 3, 2026.

4. Strong Brand Performance within the Portfolio and Strategic Leadership Change.

The Gap brand delivered strong results in fiscal Q2 2026, posting another quarter of double-digit comparable sales. Banana Republic also showed positive momentum with its fifth consecutive quarter of positive comparable sales. Additionally, Gap Inc. announced a significant leadership transition on August 27, 2026, naming Michael Francis as the new President and CEO of Old Navy, a move that could signal a renewed focus on improving performance for the brand.

5. Favorable Tariff Recovery and Outlook.

Gap Inc. benefited from a favorable tariff environment, which significantly boosted its gross margin. In fiscal Q2 2026, the reported gross margin included a net benefit of 1,140 basis points related to the expected recovery of tariffs. The company also updated its full-year fiscal 2026 tariff rate assumptions, expecting approximately $15 million in net tariff relief to its full-year gross profit and operating income.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 7.7% change in GAP stock from 7/31/2026 to 11/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 30.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)731202611072026Change
Stock Price ($)19.9421.487.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)15,40015,326-0.5%
Net Income Margin (%)6.2%8.1%30.3%
P/E Multiple7.66.1-19.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3673553.4%
Cumulative Contribution7.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2026 to 11/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GAP7.7% 
Market (SPY)-1.6%36.7%
Sector (XLY)1.3%51.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -11.2% change in GAP stock from 4/30/2026 to 11/7/2026 was primarily driven by a -44.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)430202611072026Change
Stock Price ($)24.1921.48-11.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)15,36615,326-0.3%
Net Income Margin (%)5.3%8.1%53.2%
P/E Multiple11.16.1-44.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3733555.1%
Cumulative Contribution-11.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 11/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GAP-11.2% 
Market (SPY)2.6%27.0%
Sector (XLY)-0.5%46.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -3.1% change in GAP stock from 10/31/2025 to 11/7/2026 was primarily driven by a -34.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)1031202511072026Change
Stock Price ($)22.1821.48-3.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)15,16615,3261.1%
Net Income Margin (%)5.9%8.1%38.8%
P/E Multiple9.36.1-34.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3733555.1%
Cumulative Contribution-3.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 11/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GAP-3.1% 
Market (SPY)8.7%33.1%
Sector (XLY)-1.4%49.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 83.3% change in GAP stock from 10/31/2023 to 11/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 1038.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)1031202311072026Change
Stock Price ($)11.7221.4883.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)15,10615,3261.5%
Net Income Margin (%)0.7%8.1%1038.1%
P/E Multiple40.06.1-84.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3693553.9%
Cumulative Contribution83.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2023 to 11/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GAP83.3% 
Market (SPY)81.9%39.4%
Sector (XLY)58.2%44.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
GAP Return-11%-33%97%16%12%-14%32%
Peers Return24%-20%75%28%20%-0%166%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%105%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GAP Win Rate67%33%58%33%50%55% 
Peers Win Rate53%42%65%55%55%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%45% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GAP Max Drawdown-56%-55%-51%-33%-34%-36% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-51%-30%-23%-32%-34% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: TJX, ROST, BURL, ANF, AEO. See GAP Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/6/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventGAPS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-23.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.4%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven24 days79 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-45.2%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven82.3%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven161 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-54.4%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven119.5%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven505 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-68.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven212.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven147 days140 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-33.8%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven51.0%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven657 days62 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-21.1%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.7%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven77 days123 days

Compare to TJX, ROST, BURL, ANF, AEO

In The Past

Gap's stock fell -23.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 30.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventGAPS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-23.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.4%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven24 days79 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-45.2%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven82.3%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven161 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-54.4%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven119.5%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven505 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-68.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven212.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven147 days140 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-33.8%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven51.0%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven657 days62 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-21.1%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.7%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven77 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-31.2%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven45.3%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven594 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-54.5%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven120.0%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven287 days1085 days

Compare to TJX, ROST, BURL, ANF, AEO

In The Past

Gap's stock fell -23.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 30.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Gap (GAP)

The Gap, Inc. (GAP) is a global apparel retail company that designs, manufactures, and sells a diverse range of clothing, accessories, and personal care products. It operates under several prominent brands, including Old Navy, Gap, Banana Republic, and Athleta. Its core product categories encompass everyday essentials such as denim, tees, fleece, and khakis, alongside fashion accessories like eyewear, jewelry, shoes, and handbags. The Athleta brand specifically focuses on fitness and lifestyle products for activities like yoga and training.

Gap primarily serves men, women, and children globally, with each brand targeting distinct customer preferences and demographics. The company reaches its broad customer base through a comprehensive multi-channel distribution strategy that includes company-operated stores, franchise stores, e-commerce websites, and third-party arrangements. Its extensive international footprint spans regions such as Asia, Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa, ensuring widespread access to its product offerings.

AI Analysis | Feedback

It's like the American version of Inditex (Zara's parent company) or H&M Group, managing a portfolio of well-known clothing brands.

Imagine a single company that owns a value-focused clothing chain (like Old Navy), a classic American casual brand (like Gap), and a premium activewear brand (like Lululemon for women).

AI Analysis | Feedback

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  • Apparel: A wide range of clothing for men, women, and children, including denim, tees, fleece, khakis, and specialized fitness and lifestyle wear.
  • Accessories: Complementary items such as eyewear, jewelry, shoes, and handbags.
  • Personal Care Products: Items like fragrances offered for men, women, and children.
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AI Analysis | Feedback

The Gap, Inc. (symbol: GAP) sells primarily to individuals. Its major customer categories are:

  • Men
  • Women
  • Children and Girls

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Richard Dickson, President and CEO, Gap Inc.
Richard Dickson joined Gap Inc. as President and CEO effective August 22, 2023. Prior to this role, he served as President and Chief Operating Officer of Mattel, where he oversaw innovation strategy, design and development, brand marketing, and franchise management for a portfolio of global brands. He also developed and launched the Mattel Playbook, a brand-building approach, during his time at Mattel. Before Mattel, Dickson was President and CEO of Branded Businesses for The Jones Group.

Katrina O'Connell, Chief Financial Officer
Katrina O'Connell has been with Gap Inc. for over 25 years and has served as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer since March 2020. Her extensive experience within the company includes previous CFO roles at Old Navy and Banana Republic, as well as various other finance and operations positions across the organization.

Haio Barbeito, President and CEO, Old Navy
Horacio "Haio" Barbeito leads Old Navy as its President and CEO. He is described as a multi-disciplined leader with expertise in merchandising, marketing, supply chain, and store operations across various geographies. Before joining Old Navy, Barbeito spent 26 years at Walmart, including a decade in CEO roles for Walmart's international businesses, most recently as CEO for Walmart Canada. He joined Old Navy on August 1, 2022.

Mark Breitbard, President and CEO, Gap Brand
Mark Breitbard has more than 25 years of retail leadership experience, with roles in product, creative, and management at major global brands. He began leading Gap global in 2020, focusing on turning the brand around through new positioning and an updated operating model. Breitbard previously held leadership positions across Gap, contributing to the product-led resurgence of Gap's North America business between 2010 and 2013, and rejoined Gap Inc. in 2017.

Maggie Gauger, President and CEO, Athleta
Maggie Gauger assumed the role of President and CEO of Athleta, effective August 1, 2025. She brings over 25 years of experience in athletic and lifestyle apparel, with deep expertise in brand management, merchandising, product innovation, and digital commerce. Prior to joining Athleta, Gauger served as Vice President and General Manager of Nike's North America Women's Business.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Gap Inc. (GAP):

  1. Intense Competition and Evolving Consumer Preferences: Gap Inc. operates in a highly competitive and dynamic apparel retail market. The company faces significant pressure from fast-fashion retailers, online-only brands, and other established apparel companies, which constantly vie for market share. Rapidly changing fashion trends, increasing consumer demand for sustainable and ethically produced clothing, and the accelerated shift towards online shopping necessitate continuous adaptation. The inability to consistently meet evolving consumer demands and adapt to fast fashion cycles can lead to "fashion misses" and sales declines, as seen with some brands like Athleta. Consumers also face low switching costs, intensifying price-driven purchasing.
  2. Macroeconomic Headwinds and Tariff Impacts: Gap Inc. is susceptible to broader global economic conditions, including inflationary pressures, geopolitical instability, and fluctuations in consumer spending. A significant and frequently cited risk is the direct financial impact of tariffs, which have reduced gross margins and are expected to continue to do so. Management estimated tariffs would reduce consolidated operating margin by approximately 100-110 basis points in fiscal 2025, and projected a Q1 2026 gross margin shrink of 150-200 basis points due to these impacts.
  3. Supply Chain Disruptions and Operational Inefficiency: The company faces ongoing challenges in its global supply chain, which can be affected by geopolitical tensions, natural disasters, transportation shortages, factory closures, and inventory mismanagement. These disruptions can impact product availability, delivery, and ultimately, sales. Furthermore, Gap's "design-to-shelf" cycle is slower compared to fast-fashion rivals, undermining its ability to quickly respond to trend shifts and maintain inventory efficiency. Strengthening its supply chain and improving overall operational efficiency are crucial for meeting demand and maintaining competitiveness.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The rapid expansion and market share capture by ultra-fast fashion retailers such as Shein and Temu presents a clear emerging threat. These companies leverage highly agile supply chains, sophisticated data analytics, and direct-to-consumer digital marketing to produce vast quantities of trendy apparel at extremely low price points and rapid refresh cycles. This model directly challenges the market position of traditional apparel retailers like Gap, particularly its mass-market brands such as Old Navy and Gap, by offering consumers a constant influx of new styles at significantly lower costs, thereby disrupting established consumer purchasing patterns and market share dynamics.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Gap Inc. operates in several large addressable markets for its main products and services, including apparel, fashion accessories, and athleisure.

  • Global Apparel Market: The global apparel market was valued at approximately $1.84 trillion in 2025.
  • U.S. Apparel Market: The U.S. apparel market was valued at $365.70 billion in 2025.
  • Global Fashion Accessories Market: The global fashion accessories market size was estimated at USD 1,143.52 billion in 2025.
  • U.S. Fashion Accessories Market: The U.S. fashion accessories market was valued at USD 223.2 billion in 2024.
  • Global Athleisure Market: The global athleisure market size accounted for USD 472.71 billion in 2025.
  • U.S. Athleisure Market: The North America athleisure market size reached USD 126.16 billion in 2025.

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For the public company Gap (symbol: GAP), the following are expected drivers of future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Brand Reinvigoration Across Key Brands: Gap Inc. is prioritizing the rejuvenation of its core brands, including Old Navy, Gap, Banana Republic, and Athleta, through targeted strategies to improve their market standing and performance. Old Navy and the Gap brand have demonstrated consistent positive comparable sales and traffic growth, with Old Navy showing four consecutive quarters of positive growth and the Gap brand recording five consecutive quarters of share gains as of Q2 2024. Banana Republic is also being revitalized with store redesigns and a focus on the premium lifestyle sector, and Athleta is undergoing a turnaround with product innovation. These brand-specific strategies, aimed at strengthening relevance and market share, are anticipated to continue driving revenue.
  2. Digital-First Strategy and E-commerce Expansion: A significant focus for Gap Inc. is its digital-first approach, with a strong emphasis on growing e-commerce sales. The company aims to enhance customer experiences and operational efficiency through technological innovation and digital solutions, including AI integration. Online sales have been a key driver, increasing 5% in Q4 fiscal 2025 and representing 42% of total net sales. Continued investment in its online platforms and digital engagement is expected to contribute to revenue growth.
  3. Expansion into New Product Categories (Beauty and Accessories): Gap Inc. is strategically expanding into the beauty and accessories markets to diversify its offerings and leverage opportunities in these fast-growing retail categories. A phased launch began with an initial test at Old Navy in Fall 2025, with plans to scale the beauty business in 2026 and introduce brand-right expressions across its portfolio. This expansion into underdeveloped, yet relevant, categories for its consumers is expected to unlock new revenue streams.
  4. Optimizing Store Footprint and Enhancing Customer Experience: The company is actively managing its physical store presence by strategically closing underperforming locations to improve operational efficiency and reallocating resources to more profitable ventures. Concurrently, Gap Inc. is accelerating customer experience improvements, including store remodels and refining in-store service and aesthetics across its brands, to build momentum and foster stronger customer engagement and loyalty. These efforts, alongside "fashiontainment" initiatives, are designed to drive traffic and increase sales.
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<h3>Share Repurchases</h3> <ul> <li>In fiscal year 2025, Gap Inc. authorized a new $1 billion share repurchase program, which supersedes prior authorizations.</li> <li>The company repurchased 7 million shares for $155 million during fiscal year 2025 and distributed a total of $402 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.</li> <li>For fiscal year 2024, Gap Inc. repurchased 3 million shares for approximately $75 million during the fourth quarter and distributed $300 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.</li> </ul> <h3>Share Issuance</h3> <ul> <li>Gap Inc.'s shares outstanding were 384 million at the end of fiscal year 2025 (January 31, 2026).</li> <li>The number of shares outstanding increased by 2.13% in fiscal year 2025 compared to 2024, and by 2.45% in fiscal year 2024 compared to 2023.</li> </ul> <h3>Outbound Investments</h3> <ul> <li>In October 2021, Gap Inc. acquired CB4, an AI startup focused on using machine learning for retail operations, predictive analytics, and demand sensing.</li> <li>In August 2021, Gap Inc. acquired Drapr, an e-commerce startup that provides 3D-fit technology and virtual fitting rooms.</li> <li>Early in 2021, Gap Inc. participated in a funding round for obé fitness, a digital fitness platform that collaborates with its Athleta brand.</li> </ul> <h3>Capital Expenditures</h3> <ul> <li>Gap Inc. anticipates capital expenditures of approximately $650 million for fiscal year 2026, with a focus on investments in store formats, AI, technology, and supply chain improvements.</li> <li>Capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 were $447 million.</li> <li>Fiscal year 2024 capital expenditures were $420 million, and for fiscal year 2023, they were also $420 million.</li> </ul>

Interactive Breakdown

Gap Interactive Breakdown Analysis

Better Bets vs. Gap (GAP)

Peer Outperformance in Apparel Retail

GAP has outperformed 69% of its 26 Apparel Retail peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it is VSXY. Apparel Retail ranks 16th of 22 industries in Consumer Discretionary by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Apparel Retail constituents that GAP has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
48%
of 27 industry peers · -5.7% return
3Y
74%
of 27 industry peers · 73.5% return
5Y
69%
of 26 industry peers · 5.4% return
Apparel Retail peers with revenue growth within 4pp of GAP's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
GAP Gap 0.5% 6.1x -5.7%73.5%5.4% —
VSXY Victoria's Secret 3.9% 22.9x 208.1%497.6%110.3% +105pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Consumer Discretionary sector, ranked by 5Y. Apparel Retail is GAP's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Education Services 14 -14.6%32.4%41.0% CVSA 246% · GHC 109% · LRN 107%
Homebuilding 17 2.8%29.0%29.7% PHM 175% · TOL 159% · GRBK 150%
Automotive Retail 17 -4.5%18.3%11.3% MUSA 209% · PAG 115% · ORLY 111%
Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines 21 19.1%65.4%7.0% RCL 250% · MAR 159% · HLT 147%
Home Improvement Retail 5 -4.8%4.3%5.3% HD 6% · LOW 5% · FND -62%
Home Furnishings 3 3.8%76.0%-1.2% SGI 50% · MHK -15%
Footwear 9 75.5%83.0%-15.7% DECK 23% · SHOO -11% · CROX -16%
Restaurants 36 1.5%-3.8%-24.2% EAT 363% · CAKE 158% · TXRH 110%
Computer & Electronics Retail 3 32.8%80.3%-24.5% BBY -3% · GME -53%
Specialized Consumer Services 10 -12.1%33.3%-25.5% FTDR 168% · HRB 146% · ADT 24%
Distributors 4 -6.7%-16.6%-26.0% ARMK 96% · GPC 4% · POOL -56%
Leisure Products 14 -18.0%-5.2%-34.4% GOLF 51% · HAS 50% · BC -14%
Leisure Facilities 12 16.8%5.3%-39.5% OSW 160% · LTH 143% · PLNT -37%
Household Appliances 18 36.3%16.7%-40.3% WHR -82%
Broadline Retail 12 -4.4%16.3%-45.7% EBAY 76% · AMZN 47% · OLLI 24%
Apparel Retail ← 27 -5.5%2.6%-48.8% ANF 223% · VSXY 110% · TJX 104%
Automotive Parts & Equipment 37 -13.5%-25.6%-48.8% GTX 197% · PATK 64% · ALV 41%
Casinos & Gaming 21 -25.1%-16.3%-51.8% RRR 22% · BYD 19% · LVS 3%
Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods 29 14.6%20.9%-53.7% TPR 255% · RL 225% · KTB 59%
Other Specialty Retail 25 -5.3%-10.5%-57.7% ULTA 65% · ASO 53% · ARHS 26%
Automobile Manufacturers 8 -57.1%-43.4%-70.5% GM 54% · TSLA -12% · F -12%
Consumer Electronics 11 -31.6%-31.4%-80.5% GRMN 122%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are limited to companies above $2B market cap.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GAPTJXROSTBURLANFAEOMedian
NameGap TJX Comp.Ross Sto.Burlingt.Abercrom.American. 
Mkt Price21.52135.80230.46246.74149.7520.03142.78
Mkt Cap7.6149.973.215.56.63.311.6
Rev LTM15,32662,36324,51212,2175,3415,75013,771
Op Inc LTM1,6847,9153,3709887325321,336
FCF LTM9575,8762,790390566343762
FCF 3Y Avg9694,7902,032145486263727
CFO LTM1,5358,0343,6611,4158205991,475
CFO 3Y Avg1,4446,7692,8311,0896934941,267

Growth & Margins

GAPTJXROSTBURLANFAEOMedian
NameGap TJX Comp.Ross Sto.Burlingt.Abercrom.American. 
Rev Chg LTM1.1%7.7%14.0%10.9%4.7%9.2%8.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.5%6.8%8.6%10.3%11.7%4.8%7.7%
Rev Chg Q-2.0%5.4%13.3%11.0%4.8%7.5%6.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.5%1.3%3.1%2.5%1.1%1.7%1.5%
Op Inc Chg LTM44.4%22.2%30.6%29.2%-1.5%76.9%29.9%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg115.8%15.7%19.3%30.0%69.7%26.9%28.4%
Op Mgn LTM11.0%12.7%13.7%8.1%13.7%9.3%11.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.3%11.6%12.6%7.1%14.2%7.7%10.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.5%0.4%1.5%0.8%0.7%1.8%1.1%
CFO/Rev LTM10.0%12.9%14.9%11.6%15.3%10.4%12.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.5%11.5%12.5%9.7%13.8%9.0%10.6%
FCF/Rev LTM6.2%9.4%11.4%3.2%10.6%6.0%7.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.4%8.1%9.0%1.3%9.7%4.8%7.2%

Valuation

GAPTJXROSTBURLANFAEOMedian
NameGap TJX Comp.Ross Sto.Burlingt.Abercrom.American. 
Mkt Cap7.6149.973.215.56.63.311.6
P/S0.52.43.01.31.20.61.2
P/Op Inc4.518.921.715.78.96.312.3
P/EBIT4.318.520.715.38.66.312.0
P/E6.124.727.521.712.29.917.0
P/CFO5.018.720.011.08.05.69.5
Total Yield19.6%5.4%4.4%4.6%8.2%12.7%6.8%
Dividend Yield3.3%1.3%0.7%0.0%0.0%2.5%1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.9%3.3%3.9%0.8%8.6%7.8%5.9%
D/E0.70.10.10.40.20.60.3
Net D/E0.40.10.00.30.10.50.2

Returns

GAPTJXROSTBURLANFAEOMedian
NameGap TJX Comp.Ross Sto.Burlingt.Abercrom.American. 
1M Rtn-7.9%-2.1%2.3%-10.9%5.9%12.2%0.1%
3M Rtn5.9%-15.6%-9.5%-33.1%33.0%12.2%-1.8%
6M Rtn-6.4%-10.9%2.5%-19.0%92.0%21.8%-2.0%
12M Rtn-5.5%-4.9%44.3%-12.1%109.2%20.2%7.6%
3Y Rtn73.8%55.6%93.3%88.9%120.5%17.5%81.4%
1M Excs Rtn-2.9%2.9%7.3%-5.9%10.9%17.3%5.1%
3M Excs Rtn5.6%-9.4%-4.5%-28.7%31.2%15.0%0.6%
6M Excs Rtn-6.1%-10.6%2.8%-18.7%92.3%22.1%-1.7%
12M Excs Rtn-13.9%-12.9%34.7%-17.9%104.2%12.5%-0.2%
3Y Excs Rtn7.5%-14.0%30.8%34.0%66.9%-50.2%19.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2026202520242023
Single Segment15,36615,08614,88915,616
Total15,36615,08614,88915,616


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232013
Single Segment1,1151,112560-69 
Direct    434
Stores    1,508
Total1,1151,112560-691,942


Assets by Segment
$ Mil2013201220112010
Stores3,4073,3153,2643,124
Unallocated3,1773,5163,2564,373
Direct886591545488
Total7,4707,4227,0657,985


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$21.48 
Market Cap ($ Bil)7.6 
First Trading Date07/23/1987 
Distance from 52W High-24.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$22.23$22.69
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA-3.4%-5.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility49.0%47.0%
Downside Capture27.68111.66
Upside Capture69.8894.11
Correlation (S&P 500)37.0%33.7%
GAP Betas & Captures as of 10/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.661.230.980.781.081.39
Up Beta-2.082.341.090.931.091.43
Down Beta0.870.681.841.061.491.16
Up Capture61%136%100%43%80%341%
Bmk +ve Days12182862130427
Stock +ve Days8192961124359
Down Capture77%111%42%81%100%109%
Bmk -ve Days10253664121325
Stock -ve Days14243564126388

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GAP
GAP-5.6%47.0%0.02-
Sector ETF (XLY)-1.9%19.8%-0.2249.0%
Equity (SPY)9.5%13.6%0.4032.9%
Gold (GLD)1.6%28.7%0.053.6%
Commodities (DBC)38.4%21.2%1.42-26.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)11.3%14.2%0.5133.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-27.2%43.6%-0.6112.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GAP
GAP2.9%55.7%0.26-
Sector ETF (XLY)4.0%24.2%0.1248.0%
Equity (SPY)11.3%17.3%0.4844.8%
Gold (GLD)17.5%19.1%0.742.2%
Commodities (DBC)8.1%19.6%0.307.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.3%18.9%-0.0435.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.0%51.6%0.2617.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GAP
GAP1.3%55.4%0.25-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.8%22.3%0.5250.0%
Equity (SPY)15.0%18.0%0.7046.9%
Gold (GLD)11.9%16.5%0.59-1.2%
Commodities (DBC)7.5%18.1%0.3314.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.9%20.7%0.2441.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)60.0%66.3%1.0012.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity23.9 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302026-7.5%
Average Daily Volume5.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.5 days
Basic Shares Quantity355.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares6.7%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 9/30/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/27/202612.9%7.4%10.4%
5/28/2026-15.4%-13.8%-25.1%
3/5/2026-14.4%-15.0%-6.8%
11/20/20258.2%19.3%14.4%
8/28/20251.5%9.8%-1.6%
5/29/2025-20.2%-22.8%-22.0%
3/6/202518.8%6.6%-1.8%
11/21/202412.8%10.0%8.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive15139
# Negative81014
Median Positive8.2%16.8%14.4%
Median Negative-14.9%-13.6%-6.9%
Max Positive30.6%38.0%53.4%
Max Negative-24.1%-32.0%-26.5%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/27/202612.9%7.4%10.4%
5/28/2026-15.4%-13.8%-25.1%
3/5/2026-14.4%-15.0%-6.8%
11/20/20258.2%19.3%14.4%
8/28/20251.5%9.8%-1.6%
5/29/2025-20.2%-22.8%-22.0%
3/6/202518.8%6.6%-1.8%
11/21/202412.8%10.0%8.9%
8/29/20241.6%-5.0%-4.5%
5/30/202428.6%14.4%3.3%
3/7/20248.2%19.0%21.5%
11/16/202330.6%38.0%53.4%
8/24/20237.2%21.5%7.6%
5/25/202312.4%17.2%20.2%
3/9/2023-6.1%-13.4%-12.5%
11/17/20227.6%16.8%-1.6%
8/25/2022-1.9%-7.7%-16.2%
3/3/20220.0%0.2%-5.1%
11/23/2021-24.1%-32.0%-26.5%
8/26/20210.6%-2.5%-6.7%
5/27/2021-4.8%-10.1%-7.1%
3/4/20217.6%17.6%19.2%
11/24/2020-19.6%-22.1%-24.0%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive15139
# Negative81014
Median Positive8.2%16.8%14.4%
Median Negative-14.9%-13.6%-6.9%
Max Positive30.6%38.0%53.4%
Max Negative-24.1%-32.0%-26.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
07/31/202608/28/202610-Q
04/30/202605/29/202610-Q
01/31/202603/17/202610-K
10/31/202511/25/202510-Q
07/31/202508/29/202510-Q
04/30/202505/30/202510-Q
01/31/202503/18/202510-K
10/31/202411/26/202410-Q
07/31/202408/30/202410-Q
04/30/202405/31/202410-Q
01/31/202403/19/202410-K
10/31/202311/21/202310-Q
07/31/202308/25/202310-Q
04/30/202305/26/202310-Q
01/31/202303/14/202310-K
10/31/202211/22/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
07/31/202608/28/202610-Q
04/30/202605/29/202610-Q
01/31/202603/17/202610-K
10/31/202511/25/202510-Q
07/31/202508/29/202510-Q
04/30/202505/30/202510-Q
01/31/202503/18/202510-K
10/31/202411/26/202410-Q
07/31/202408/30/202410-Q
04/30/202405/31/202410-Q
01/31/202403/19/202410-K
10/31/202311/21/202310-Q
07/31/202308/25/202310-Q
04/30/202305/26/202310-Q
01/31/202303/14/202310-K
10/31/202211/22/202210-Q
07/31/202208/26/202210-Q
04/30/202205/27/202210-Q
01/31/202203/15/202210-K
10/31/202111/24/202110-Q
07/31/202108/27/202110-Q
04/30/202105/28/202110-Q
01/31/202103/16/202110-K
10/31/202011/25/202010-Q
07/31/202008/31/202010-Q
04/30/202006/09/202010-Q
01/31/202003/17/202010-K
10/31/201911/27/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 11/2/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/27/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q3 2026 Net Sales GrowthReported1.5%2.0%    
Q3 2026 Gross MarginReported      
2026 Net Sales GrowthReported1.0%1.25% -16.7%-0.2%LoweredGuidance: 1.5% for 2026
2026 Adjusted Gross MarginReported      
2026 Adjusted Operating MarginReported7.4%7.5%  0.1%RaisedGuidance: 7.4% for 2026
2026 Adjusted Diluted EPSReported2.352.4 2.1% RaisedGuidance: 2.35 for 2026
2026 Capital ExpendituresReported 650.00 Mil    


Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/28/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Net salesReported-0.01-0.01    
2026 Net salesReported0.010.02  -1.0%LoweredGuidance: 0.03 for 2026
2026 Adjusted operating marginReported7.3%7.4%  0AffirmedGuidance: 7.4% for 2026
2026 Adjusted diluted earnings per shareReported2.32.35 3.3% RaisedGuidance: 2.28 for 2026
2026 Diluted earnings per shareReported2.832.88    

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Net sales growthReported1.0%1.5%2.0%   
2026 Net sales growthReported2.0%2.5%3.0% 0.6%Higher NewActual: 1.85% for 2025
2026 Adjusted operating marginReported7.3%7.4%7.5% 0.2%Higher NewActual: 7.2% for 2025
2026 Adjusted diluted earnings per shareReported2.22.282.35   
2026 Capital expendituresReported 650.00 Mil 23.8% Higher NewActual: 525.00 Mil for 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/20/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Net store closuresReported 35 0 AffirmedGuidance: 35 for 2025
2025 Net sales growthReported1.7%1.85%2.0% 0.4%RaisedGuidance: 1.5% for 2025
2025 Operating marginReported 7.2%  0.4%RaisedGuidance: 6.85% for 2025
2025 Net interest incomeReported 20.00 Mil 33.3% RaisedGuidance: 15.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Effective tax rateReported 28.0%  1.0%RaisedGuidance: 27.0% for 2025
2025 Capital expendituresReported500.00 Mil525.00 Mil550.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 525.00 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 10/7/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Gruber, JulieChief Legal&Compliance OfficerDirectSell1007202623.5627,538648,680727,320Form
2Fisher, William SydneyDirectSell1007202623.89500,00011,945,000379,927,400Form
3Fisher, William SydneyDirectSell1007202623.35433,65610,125,868371,339,673Form
4Fisher, William SydneyDirectSell1001202623.0666,3441,529,893376,727,853Form
5Gruber, JulieChief Legal&Compliance OfficerDirectSell420202627.005,302143,1541,577,190Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Gruber, JulieChief Legal&Compliance OfficerDirectSell1007202623.5627,538648,680727,320Form
2Fisher, William SydneyDirectSell1007202623.89500,00011,945,000379,927,400Form
3Fisher, William SydneyDirectSell1007202623.35433,65610,125,868371,339,673Form
4Fisher, William SydneyDirectSell1001202623.0666,3441,529,893376,727,853Form
5Gruber, JulieChief Legal&Compliance OfficerDirectSell420202627.005,302143,1541,577,190Form
6Chan, Eric KayenChief Business & Strat OfficerDirectSell413202626.1813,377350,266575,198Form
7Fisher, John JTrustSell410202625.40300,0007,620,00011,348,237Form
8Thompson, Amanda JChief People OfficerDirectSell407202625.1425,000628,3852,167,375Form
9Barbeito, HoracioPresident & CEO, Old NavyDirectSell323202624.01113,6842,729,9732,762,161Form
10O'Connell, KatrinaChief Financial OfficerDirectSell318202623.85153,4133,658,498274,316Form
11Gruber, JulieChief Legal&Compliance OfficerDirectSell318202623.8574,2171,769,8901,287,060Form
12Breitbard, MarkPresident & CEO, Gap BrandDirectSell318202623.80119,1552,836,3183,234,528Form
13O'Connell, KatrinaChief Financial OfficerDirectSell316202623.7416,036380,693183,225Form
14Breitbard, MarkPresident & CEO, Gap BrandDirectSell316202623.7416,030380,5543,126,642Form
15Gruber, JulieChief Legal&Compliance OfficerDirectSell1218202528.0030,000840,0001,047,058Form
16Fisher, William SydneyTrustSell1215202526.8111,140298,66373,820,075Form
17Fisher, John JTrustSell1215202527.043,971107,37620,192,958Form
18Fisher, William SydneyTrustSell1215202526.8288,8602,383,22574,146,384Form
19Fisher, William SydneyTrustSell1205202527.02400,00010,808,00077,100,300Form
20Fisher, Robert JTrustSell1203202527.45500,00013,725,00063,944,830Form
21Fisher, John JTrustSell1201202527.75250,0006,938,10020,835,170Form
22Donohue, Elisabeth B DirectSell1126202527.113,00081,33227,110Form
23Gruber, JulieChief Legal&Compliance OfficerDirectSell1126202527.0062,0731,675,9711,009,663Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Nov 8, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
HS Management Partners, LLC$9.9 Mil3.5%24TRIM -54.2%13F
BWCP, LP$14.9 Mil2.3%27ADD +181.2%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
BWCP, LP$14.9 Mil2.3%27ADD +181.2%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
No Street GP LP$26.9 Mil1.8%33ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Hook Mill Capital Partners, LP$19.5 Mil1.8%39ExitedDec 31, 202513F
HS Management Partners, LLC$9.9 Mil3.5%24TRIM -54.2%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
BWCP, LP$14.9 Mil2.3%27ADD +181.2%13F
HS Management Partners, LLC$9.9 Mil3.5%24TRIM -54.2%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 11/7/2026