Arhaus (ARHS)
Market Price (7/21/2026): $7.46 | Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Other Specialty Retail
Arhaus (ARHS)
Market Price (7/21/2026): $7.46Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Other Specialty Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 4.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.3% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -86%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91% | Key risksARHS key risks include [1] a significant reliance on its global supply chain, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 4.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.3% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -86%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91% |
| Key risksARHS key risks include [1] a significant reliance on its global supply chain, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Arhaus (ARHS) stock has gained about 10% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Reaffirmed Full-Year Guidance Despite Q1 Headwinds.
Despite a flat 0.9% year-over-year net revenue growth to $314 million and a 5.7% decline in comparable written sales in fiscal Q1 2026, Arhaus reaffirmed its full-year 2026 outlook. The company expects net revenue to be between $1.43 billion and $1.47 billion, representing 3.7% to 6.6% growth over 2025, and adjusted EBITDA of $150 million to $161 million. Management noted a "meaningful improvement as the quarter progressed" in comparable written sales trends. This sustained confidence in a second-half recovery, coupled with reports from analysts of "positive trends in April/May" following a choppy Q1, likely reassured investors after the initial 10.5% to 14.3% stock drop following the Q1 earnings report on May 7, 2026.
2. Continued Strategic Showroom Expansion and Omni-channel Development.
Arhaus continues to execute its long-term growth strategy by expanding its showroom footprint. At the end of fiscal Q1 2026, the company operated 107 showrooms. For the full fiscal year 2026, Arhaus projects completing 10 to 14 total showroom projects, including 4 to 6 new openings and 6 to 8 relocations, renovations, or expansions, with a long-term goal of approximately doubling its traditional showrooms to 165 and adding 50 design studios. This ongoing investment in its integrated omni-channel model and physical presence provides a clear growth trajectory that likely appealed to investors looking beyond immediate challenges.
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Arhaus (ARHS) stock has gained about 10% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Reaffirmed Full-Year Guidance Despite Q1 Headwinds.
Despite a flat 0.9% year-over-year net revenue growth to $314 million and a 5.7% decline in comparable written sales in fiscal Q1 2026, Arhaus reaffirmed its full-year 2026 outlook. The company expects net revenue to be between $1.43 billion and $1.47 billion, representing 3.7% to 6.6% growth over 2025, and adjusted EBITDA of $150 million to $161 million. Management noted a "meaningful improvement as the quarter progressed" in comparable written sales trends. This sustained confidence in a second-half recovery, coupled with reports from analysts of "positive trends in April/May" following a choppy Q1, likely reassured investors after the initial 10.5% to 14.3% stock drop following the Q1 earnings report on May 7, 2026.
2. Continued Strategic Showroom Expansion and Omni-channel Development.
Arhaus continues to execute its long-term growth strategy by expanding its showroom footprint. At the end of fiscal Q1 2026, the company operated 107 showrooms. For the full fiscal year 2026, Arhaus projects completing 10 to 14 total showroom projects, including 4 to 6 new openings and 6 to 8 relocations, renovations, or expansions, with a long-term goal of approximately doubling its traditional showrooms to 165 and adding 50 design studios. This ongoing investment in its integrated omni-channel model and physical presence provides a clear growth trajectory that likely appealed to investors looking beyond immediate challenges.
3. Sustained Analyst Confidence and Favorable Price Targets.
Despite the mixed Q1 results, analysts maintained a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating for Arhaus. As of July 2, 2026, the average 12-month price target was $9.33, suggesting an 8.18% upside from the stock's closing price of $8.62. While some firms, such as TD Cowen, Piper Sandler, and Stifel, adjusted their price targets slightly lower in mid-May 2026, they generally maintained their "Buy" ratings, citing an encouraging start to fiscal Q2. This continued positive outlook from the analytical community likely contributed to the stock's rebound and overall gain.
4. Operational Strengths and Investments in Differentiated Business Model.
Arhaus highlighted its operational strengths, including scaling up domestic upholstery manufacturing by adding a second shift and achieving new upholstery sales records, which supports faster special-order fulfillment and product differentiation. Furthermore, the company is investing in new technology systems and infrastructure with expectations of improved margin visibility and production capabilities by 2030. These company-specific operational improvements and strategic investments underscore resilience and competitive advantages that likely fostered investor confidence in the company's long-term performance.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 11.2% change in ARHS stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 15.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.78 | 7.54 | 11.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,379 | 1,382 | 0.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.9% | 4.7% | -4.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 14.2 | 16.5 | 15.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 141 | 141 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 11.2% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARHS | 11.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.1% | 34.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | 5.4% | 56.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -29.4% change in ARHS stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -19.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.68 | 7.54 | -29.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,361 | 1,382 | 1.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.4% | 4.7% | -13.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 20.5 | 16.5 | -19.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 141 | 141 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -29.4% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARHS | -29.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.0% | 38.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | -3.6% | 51.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -8.7% change in ARHS stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -17.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.26 | 7.54 | -8.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,287 | 1,382 | 7.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 19.9 | 16.5 | -17.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 140 | 141 | -0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -8.7% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARHS | -8.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 22.1% | 34.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | 6.3% | 45.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -21.5% change in ARHS stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -61.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.61 | 7.54 | -21.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,287 | 1,382 | 7.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 12.0% | 4.7% | -61.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 8.6 | 16.5 | 90.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 139 | 141 | -1.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -21.5% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARHS | -21.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.8% | 37.6% |
| Sector (XLY) | 38.4% | 42.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ARHS Return | 4% | -26% | 22% | -18% | 19% | -30% | -37% |
| Peers Return | 29% | -31% | 43% | 25% | -20% | 13% | 44% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ARHS Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 29% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 37% | 58% | 52% | 43% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 43% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ARHS Max Drawdown | - | -66% | -54% | -57% | -46% | -47% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -28% | -45% | -32% | -25% | -42% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: WSM, RH, MLKN, ETD, LZB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/21/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ARHS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -43.6% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 77.3% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 132 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -29.6% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 50 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -52.2% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 109.4% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 280 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -64.6% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 182.3% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 195 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Arhaus's stock fell -43.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 77.3% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | ARHS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -43.6% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 77.3% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 132 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -29.6% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 50 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -52.2% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 109.4% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 280 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -64.6% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 182.3% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 195 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Arhaus's stock fell -43.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 77.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Arhaus (ARHS)
Arhaus, Inc. (ARHS) operates as a premium lifestyle brand and retailer in the home furnishings market. The company distinguishes itself by offering a curated selection of high-quality merchandise through an omni-channel distribution model. This model includes a network of physical showrooms, an e-commerce platform, catalogs, and personalized in-home designer services, catering to customers seeking distinctive home decor and furnishings.
The company's product offerings are extensive, covering several core categories. Arhaus provides a wide array of furniture for various living spaces, including bedroom, dining room, living room, and home office, alongside a comprehensive collection of outdoor furniture and accessories. Complementing its furniture lines, Arhaus also offers diverse lighting products, handcrafted indoor and outdoor textiles such as rugs and bedding, and a broad range of décor items, from wall art and mirrors to vases and other decorative accessories.
Arhaus primarily serves consumers who are looking for upscale, unique, and high-quality home furnishings and a premium shopping experience. Its combination of aesthetically pleasing products, professional design support, and multiple purchasing avenues positions Arhaus to meet the demands of discerning customers eager to furnish their homes with stylish and enduring pieces.
```AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are a few brief analogies for Arhaus:
- Arhaus is like **Pottery Barn** or **Crate & Barrel** but positioned as a more premium lifestyle brand for home furnishings.
- It's like a slightly more accessible **Restoration Hardware (RH)**, offering high-end furniture and decor.
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- Furniture: A wide range of indoor furnishings including bedroom, dining room, living room, and home office pieces like sofas, tables, chairs, beds, and storage.
- Outdoor Products: Furnishings and accessories for outdoor living spaces, such as dining sets, chaises, outdoor lighting, textiles, umbrellas, and fire pits.
- Lighting Products: Various artistic and distinct lighting fixtures, including chandeliers, pendants, table lamps, floor lamps, and sconces.
- Textile Products: A selection of handcrafted indoor and outdoor rugs, bed linens, pillows, and throws designed to enhance home comfort and style.
- Décor Products: Decorative accessories for the home, encompassing wall art, mirrors, vases, candles, and other ornamental items.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Arhaus (ARHS) primarily sells its products directly to individual consumers through its omni-channel model, which includes showrooms, an e-commerce platform, catalogs, and in-home designer services. As a "premium retailer" and "lifestyle brand" in the home furnishings market, it serves customers seeking high-quality, stylish, and durable products for their homes.
The major customer categories for Arhaus include:
- Affluent Homeowners and Decorators: Individuals and families with disposable income who are looking for high-end, unique, and well-crafted furniture, lighting, textiles, and decor to furnish their primary residences or luxury second homes. They prioritize quality, design, and a sophisticated aesthetic.
- Design-Conscious Consumers: Customers who value aesthetics, craftsmanship, and a curated look for their living spaces. These individuals may utilize Arhaus's in-home designer services to create a cohesive and personalized environment, or they may meticulously select individual pieces to enhance their existing decor.
- New Homeowners and Renovators: Individuals undertaking significant home transformations, such as moving into a new home or completing a major renovation project. These customers are often looking to furnish entire rooms or multiple spaces with premium, coordinated pieces that reflect their desired lifestyle and design preferences.
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John Reed, Founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
John Reed co-founded Arhaus in 1986 with his father, Jack Reed, and has served as Chief Executive Officer from January 1997 through December 2015 and again from February 2017 to the present. He also serves as the Chairman of the Board. In 2016, Mr. Reed acquired his father's interest, becoming the sole controlling owner of Arhaus. As of September 2022, he held 32% of the company's stock capital, and with family trusts, controlled approximately 94% of the voting power through a dual-class share structure.
Michael Lee, Chief Financial Officer
Michael Lee has served as the Chief Financial Officer of Arhaus since May 2025. Prior to joining Arhaus, he was the Chief Financial Officer and President of Operations and Supply Chain for Ste. Michelle Wine Estates from 2022 to 2025. Before that, he held the position of Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer at Canopy Growth Corporation from 2019 to 2021. Mr. Lee also served in various leadership roles at Constellation Brands, Inc. from 2013 to 2019, with his most recent role being Senior Vice President, Business Transformation.
Michael Rengel, Chief Merchandising Officer
Michael Rengel was appointed Chief Merchandising Officer, effective February 23, 2026, bringing over 25 years of experience in merchandising, product and brand development, and sourcing. Most recently, he served as the Chief Merchandising Officer of Phoenix Retail (formerly known as Express) from January 2025 to February 2026. From 2020 to 2024, Mr. Rengel held various leadership positions at Express, Inc., including Senior Vice President and General Merchandise Manager (Mens and Outlet Division) and Chief Merchandising Officer.
Jennifer Porter, Chief Marketing and eCommerce Officer
Jennifer Porter has served as the Chief Marketing and eCommerce Officer since September 2019, overseeing the global marketing strategy, the Arhaus.com eCommerce business, and Corporate Social Responsibility initiatives. Her previous roles include Head of Marketing at Anthropologie from 2018 to 2019. Before that, Ms. Porter held various marketing leadership positions at Forever 21 from 2014 to 2018, including Head of Marketing, Director of Global Marketing, and Director of International Marketing.
Kathy Veltri, Chief Retail Officer
Kathy Veltri has served as the Chief Retail Officer since March 2019. Prior to this, she was the Senior Vice President of Retail Operations at Arhaus, a role she held since 2017. Her experience also includes serving as Executive Vice President of Sales at Gardner White from 2015 to 2016 and as President of Thomasville, a division of Furniture Brands, from 2013 to 2014. Ms. Veltri previously worked at Arhaus as SVP of Retail Operations and Marketing from 2006 to 2013.
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For Arhaus (ARHS), key risks to the business include:
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Sensitivity to Economic Conditions and Discretionary Consumer Spending: As a premium retailer of home furnishings, Arhaus is highly vulnerable to macroeconomic factors such as economic downturns, rising interest rates, and inflation. Consumer spending on large, discretionary items like high-end furniture is often among the first areas curtailed when economic confidence falters, directly impacting Arhaus's revenue and profitability. Even its affluent customer base, while potentially more resilient, is not immune to prolonged economic uncertainty.
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Supply Chain Vulnerabilities and Cost Fluctuations: Arhaus relies on a diversified global supply network with hundreds of vendors across multiple continents. This extensive supply chain exposes the company to risks such as geopolitical disruptions, shipping delays, manufacturing shutdowns, and fluctuations in raw material costs. Additionally, ongoing and evolving tariff policies pose a significant challenge, leading to increased costs and pressure on profit margins. Arhaus has been actively working to mitigate some of these risks, such as reducing its sourcing from China.
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Intense Competition and Evolving Consumer Tastes: The home furnishings market is highly competitive and dynamic, with Arhaus operating alongside established luxury players like RH and various other retailers. As a lifestyle brand, Arhaus must continuously adapt to changing design trends and consumer preferences. Failure to anticipate or respond effectively to these evolving tastes could lead to inventory obsolescence, decreased brand relevance, and a loss of market share.
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Arhaus, Inc. operates within the substantial U.S. home furnishings market, addressing several key product categories. The addressable markets for its main products and services in the United States are as follows:
- Furniture: The United States furniture market size was valued at approximately USD 195.7 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 256.9 billion by 2034, growing at a compound annual growth rate of 3.07% from 2026-2034.
- Outdoor Products (Outdoor Furniture): The United States outdoor furniture market size is estimated at USD 7.41 billion in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 10.03 billion by 2031, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.24%.
- Lighting Products (Residential Lighting Fixtures): The U.S. residential lighting fixtures market was valued at USD 2.64 billion in 2022.
- Textile Products (Home Textiles): The United States home textile market size was USD 26.48 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 33.24 billion by 2031, with a CAGR of 3.86% during 2026-2031.
- Décor Products (Home Decor): The United States home decor market size is estimated at USD 215.21 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 263.21 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 4.11% during the forecast period (2025-2030).
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Share Repurchases
- Arhaus, Inc. made share repurchases totaling $1.77 million as of December 31, 2024.
Share Issuance
- Arhaus, Inc. completed its initial public offering (IPO) in November 2021, pricing 12,903,226 shares of its Class A common stock at $13.00 per share, totaling approximately $167.7 million.
Capital Expenditures
- For the full year ended December 31, 2025, company-funded capital expenditures were approximately $57 million, with an additional $21 million from landlord contributions. These investments supported showroom expansion and infrastructure development.
- For 2026, Arhaus plans $70–$90 million in company-funded capital expenditures.
- The primary focus for capital expenditures in 2026 includes 10-14 showroom projects (with 4-6 new showroom openings), and ongoing investments in technology infrastructure and distribution network capacity. A multi-year digital transformation is underway, with approximately $12 million expected to be invested in cash in 2026.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Arhaus Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Is Arhaus Stock Built to Withstand a Pullback? | 10/17/2025 | |
| Arhaus (ARHS) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Arhaus (ARHS) Debt Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Arhaus (ARHS) Tax Expense Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Arhaus (ARHS) EBITDA Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Arhaus (ARHS) Net Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Arhaus (ARHS) Operating Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Arhaus (ARHS) Revenue Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Why Arhaus Stock Moved: ARHS Stock Has Gained 23% Since 2024 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Favorable Change In Price To Sales Multiple (P/S) | 08/08/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | 05/16/2026 | |
| CHWY’s One-Month Rally Offers a Chance to Reevaluate ARHS | 09/06/2025 | |
| CHWY Jumps 22% in a Month, But Does ARHS Offer Better Fundamentals? | 09/06/2025 |
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Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 31.04 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.5 |
| Rev LTM | 2,776 |
| Op Inc LTM | 183 |
| FCF LTM | 105 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 85 |
| CFO LTM | 205 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 198 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -2.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 0.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.1% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 6.7% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -10.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.0% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assortment of merchandise across a number of categories, including furniture, outdoor, lighting | 1,379 | 1,271 | 1,288 | 1,229 | 797 |
| Total | 1,379 | 1,271 | 1,288 | 1,229 | 797 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Assortment of merchandise across a number of categories, including furniture, outdoor, lighting | 67 | 69 | 125 |
| Total | 67 | 69 | 125 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $7.54 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/04/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -38.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $7.09 | $8.48 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | 6.3% | -11.1% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 58.3% | 56.3% |
| Downside Capture | 169.21 | 154.92 |
| Upside Capture | 100.26 | 112.80 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 31.5% | 34.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.43 | 1.50 | 1.46 | 1.66 | 1.56 | 1.42 |
| Up Beta | 2.15 | 2.23 | 1.98 | 2.02 | 2.02 | 1.37 |
| Down Beta | 3.65 | 1.98 | 1.88 | 1.64 | 1.81 | 1.33 |
| Up Capture | 202% | 149% | 127% | 110% | 125% | 247% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 22 | 36 | 61 | 122 | 379 |
| Down Capture | -64% | 85% | 85% | 172% | 130% | 110% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 18 | 26 | 63 | 127 | 364 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ARHS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARHS | -6.6% | 56.2% | 0.08 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 4.0% | 18.7% | 0.08 | 45.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 20.3% | 12.6% | 1.19 | 34.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.6% | 28.1% | 0.69 | 6.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 31.4% | 19.1% | 1.30 | -28.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 15.0% | 14.0% | 0.76 | 36.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -44.6% | 42.9% | -1.25 | 18.5% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ARHS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARHS | -8.6% | 62.6% | 0.10 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 5.7% | 23.9% | 0.20 | 43.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.9% | 17.1% | 0.58 | 40.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.3% | 18.4% | 0.76 | 2.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.9% | 19.5% | 0.35 | 3.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.9% | 18.9% | 0.05 | 34.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 14.9% | 53.4% | 0.46 | 16.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ARHS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARHS | -4.4% | 62.6% | 0.10 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.1% | 22.1% | 0.50 | 43.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.2% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 40.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.2% | 16.1% | 0.57 | 2.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.2% | 17.9% | 0.32 | 3.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 34.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.7% | 66.2% | 0.99 | 16.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 7/16/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | -6.8% | -22.7% | -16.6% |
| 2/26/2026 | 10.5% | -6.1% | -16.1% |
| 11/6/2025 | -3.7% | -4.8% | 9.0% |
| 8/7/2025 | 21.5% | 29.0% | 16.7% |
| 5/8/2025 | -5.1% | 1.1% | 4.8% |
| 2/26/2025 | -8.1% | -22.3% | -20.7% |
| 11/7/2024 | 6.4% | 6.3% | 15.4% |
| 8/8/2024 | -12.6% | -13.7% | -20.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 10 | 10 |
| # Negative | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 10.5% | 20.0% | 18.2% |
| Median Negative | -6.8% | -10.3% | -17.5% |
| Max Positive | 23.9% | 39.4% | 48.9% |
| Max Negative | -20.0% | -32.9% | -40.9% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | -6.8% | -22.7% | -16.6% |
| 2/26/2026 | 10.5% | -6.1% | -16.1% |
| 11/6/2025 | -3.7% | -4.8% | 9.0% |
| 8/7/2025 | 21.5% | 29.0% | 16.7% |
| 5/8/2025 | -5.1% | 1.1% | 4.8% |
| 2/26/2025 | -8.1% | -22.3% | -20.7% |
| 11/7/2024 | 6.4% | 6.3% | 15.4% |
| 8/8/2024 | -12.6% | -13.7% | -20.4% |
| 5/9/2024 | 17.2% | 27.8% | 48.9% |
| 3/7/2024 | 12.1% | 25.0% | 26.7% |
| 11/2/2023 | -2.3% | 8.2% | 19.8% |
| 8/9/2023 | 8.7% | 5.3% | -15.5% |
| 5/4/2023 | 2.4% | 17.4% | -2.4% |
| 3/9/2023 | -20.0% | -32.9% | -40.9% |
| 11/10/2022 | -2.1% | -6.9% | 4.8% |
| 8/11/2022 | 23.9% | 39.4% | 41.6% |
| 5/11/2022 | -8.5% | -4.1% | -18.3% |
| 12/9/2021 | 9.3% | 22.6% | 31.3% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 10 | 10 |
| # Negative | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 10.5% | 20.0% | 18.2% |
| Median Negative | -6.8% | -10.3% | -17.5% |
| Max Positive | 23.9% | 39.4% | 48.9% |
| Max Negative | -20.0% | -32.9% | -40.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/10/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/11/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/09/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/10/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/11/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/09/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/30/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 12/09/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 11/05/2021 | 424B4 |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 7/12/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Revenue | 350.00 Mil | 360.00 Mil | 370.00 Mil | 16.1% | Higher New | Guidance: 310.00 Mil for Q1 2026 | |
| Q2 2026 Revenue Growth | -2.4% | 0.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% | Higher New | Guidance: -0.45% for Q1 2026 | |
| Q2 2026 Comparable Delivered Sales | -0.05 | -0.03 | 0 | -0.5% | Lower New | Guidance: -0.02 for Q1 2026 | |
| Q2 2026 Net Income | 19.00 Mil | 21.50 Mil | 24.00 Mil | 760.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 2.50 Mil for Q1 2026 | |
| Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 40.00 Mil | 44.50 Mil | 49.00 Mil | 169.7% | Higher New | Guidance: 16.50 Mil for Q1 2026 | |
| 2026 Revenue | 1.43 Bil | 1.45 Bil | 1.47 Bil | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 1.45 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Revenue Growth | 3.7% | 5.15% | 6.6% | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 5.15% for 2026 | |
| 2026 Comparable Delivered Sales | 0 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.01 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Net Income | 66.00 Mil | 70.50 Mil | 75.00 Mil | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 70.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 150.00 Mil | 155.50 Mil | 161.00 Mil | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 155.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Company-funded capital expenditures | 70.00 Mil | 80.00 Mil | 90.00 Mil | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 80.00 Mil for 2026 | |
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/26/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Net revenue | 300.00 Mil | 310.00 Mil | 320.00 Mil | -11.7% | Lower New | Guidance: 351.00 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Net revenue growth | -3.7% | -0.45% | 2.8% | -1.5% | Lower New | Guidance: 1.05% for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Comparable delivered sales | -0.05 | -0.02 | 0.01 | 1.0% | Higher New | Guidance: -0.03 for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Net income | 0 | 2.50 Mil | 5.00 Mil | -77.3% | Lower New | Guidance: 11.00 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 13.00 Mil | 16.50 Mil | 20.00 Mil | -45.0% | Lower New | Guidance: 30.00 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
| 2026 Net revenue | 1.43 Bil | 1.45 Bil | 1.47 Bil | 6.2% | Higher New | Guidance: 1.36 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Net revenue growth | 3.7% | 5.15% | 6.6% | -2.2% | Lower New | Guidance: 7.4% for 2025 | |
| 2026 Comparable delivered sales | 0 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.2% | Higher New | Guidance: 0.01 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Net income | 66.00 Mil | 70.50 Mil | 75.00 Mil | 11.9% | Higher New | Guidance: 63.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 150.00 Mil | 155.50 Mil | 161.00 Mil | 11.1% | Higher New | Guidance: 140.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Company-funded capital expenditures | 70.00 Mil | 80.00 Mil | 90.00 Mil | 14.3% | Higher New | Guidance: 70.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Net revenue | 336.00 Mil | 351.00 Mil | 366.00 Mil | 4.8% | Higher New | Guidance: 335.00 Mil for Q3 2025 | |
| Q4 2025 Net revenue growth | -3.3% | 1.05% | 5.4% | -4.0% | Lower New | Guidance: 5.0% for Q3 2025 | |
| Q4 2025 Comparable growth | -7.0% | -3.0% | 1.0% | -3.5% | Lower New | Guidance: 0.5% for Q3 2025 | |
| Q4 2025 Net income | 6.00 Mil | 11.00 Mil | 16.00 Mil | -8.3% | Lower New | Guidance: 12.00 Mil for Q3 2025 | |
| Q4 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 25.00 Mil | 30.00 Mil | 35.00 Mil | 7.1% | Higher New | Guidance: 28.00 Mil for Q3 2025 | |
| 2025 Net revenue | 1.35 Bil | 1.36 Bil | 1.38 Bil | 2.2% | Raised | Guidance: 1.33 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Net revenue growth | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 2.4% | Raised | Guidance: 5.05% for 2025 | |
| 2025 Comparable growth | 0.0% | 1.25% | 2.5% | 3.0% | Raised | Guidance: -1.75% for 2025 | |
| 2025 Net income | 58.00 Mil | 63.00 Mil | 68.00 Mil | 8.6% | Raised | Guidance: 58.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 135.00 Mil | 140.00 Mil | 145.00 Mil | 4.5% | Raised | Guidance: 134.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Company-funded capital expenditures | 65.00 Mil | 70.00 Mil | 75.00 Mil | -22.2% | Lowered | Guidance: 90.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Industry Resources
| Consumer Discretionary Resources |
| Retail Dive |
| Business of Fashion (BoF) |
| WWD (Women's Wear Daily) |
| National Retail Federation (NRF) |
| McKinsey & Company - Consumer |
| Mintel Consumer Trends |
| Other Specialty Retail Resources |
| Specialty Retailer |
| Retail Gazette |
| Inside Retail |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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