Arhaus (ARHS)
Market Price (4/10/2026): $6.62 | Market Cap: $932.7 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Other Specialty Retail
Arhaus (ARHS)
Market Price (4/10/2026): $6.62Market Cap: $932.7 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Other Specialty Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%, FCF Yield is 6.3% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -39% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -74% | Key risksARHS key risks include [1] a significant reliance on its global supply chain, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%, FCF Yield is 6.3% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -39% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -74% |
| Key risksARHS key risks include [1] a significant reliance on its global supply chain, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Lower-than-anticipated Q1 2026 Revenue Guidance following Q4 2025 earnings.
While Arhaus reported Q4 2025 revenue of $364.85 million, exceeding analyst consensus, its Q1 2026 revenue guidance of $300 million to $320 million fell below Street estimates, leading to investor caution despite beating both top and bottom lines for the reported quarter.
2. Decline in comparable written sales and increased promotional activity.
Arhaus experienced a 2.8% decline in comparable written sales in Q4 2025, primarily driven by a 14.8% drop in October due to promotional timing shifts. This indicated a softening in underlying demand for the company's products.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -38.1% change in ARHS stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -32.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.68 | 6.61 | -38.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,361 | 1,379 | 1.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.4% | 4.9% | -9.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 20.5 | 13.8 | -32.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 141 | 141 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -38.1% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARHS | -38.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 38.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | -5.6% | 47.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -34.8% change in ARHS stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -30.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.13 | 6.61 | -34.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,336 | 1,379 | 3.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.3% | 4.9% | -8.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 20.0 | 13.8 | -30.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 141 | 141 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -34.8% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARHS | -34.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 38.5% |
| Sector (XLY) | -5.7% | 46.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -20.3% change in ARHS stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -18.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.29 | 6.61 | -20.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,271 | 1,379 | 8.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.4% | 4.9% | -9.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 17.0 | 13.8 | -18.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 140 | 141 | -0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -20.3% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARHS | -20.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 42.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | 14.9% | 50.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -13.4% change in ARHS stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -56.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.63 | 6.61 | -13.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,229 | 1,379 | 12.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.1% | 4.9% | -56.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 7.7 | 13.8 | 78.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 139 | 141 | -1.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -13.4% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARHS | -13.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 38.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | 54.2% | 41.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ARHS Return | 4% | -26% | 22% | -18% | 19% | -39% | -45% |
| Peers Return | 29% | -31% | 43% | 25% | -20% | -12% | 13% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -1% | 81% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ARHS Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 37% | 58% | 52% | 43% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ARHS Max Drawdown | -34% | -66% | -30% | -26% | -25% | -41% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -4% | -43% | -12% | -14% | -35% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: WSM, RH, MLKN, ETD, LZB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/9/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ARHS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -67.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 203.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 206 days | 464 days |
Compare to WSM, RH, MLKN, ETD, LZB
In The Past
Arhaus's stock fell -67.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/30/2021. A -67.1% loss requires a 203.8% gain to breakeven.
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About Arhaus (ARHS)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are a few brief analogies for Arhaus:
- Arhaus is like **Pottery Barn** or **Crate & Barrel** but positioned as a more premium lifestyle brand for home furnishings.
- It's like a slightly more accessible **Restoration Hardware (RH)**, offering high-end furniture and decor.
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- Furniture: A wide range of indoor furnishings including bedroom, dining room, living room, and home office pieces like sofas, tables, chairs, beds, and storage.
- Outdoor Products: Furnishings and accessories for outdoor living spaces, such as dining sets, chaises, outdoor lighting, textiles, umbrellas, and fire pits.
- Lighting Products: Various artistic and distinct lighting fixtures, including chandeliers, pendants, table lamps, floor lamps, and sconces.
- Textile Products: A selection of handcrafted indoor and outdoor rugs, bed linens, pillows, and throws designed to enhance home comfort and style.
- Décor Products: Decorative accessories for the home, encompassing wall art, mirrors, vases, candles, and other ornamental items.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Arhaus (ARHS) primarily sells its products directly to individual consumers through its omni-channel model, which includes showrooms, an e-commerce platform, catalogs, and in-home designer services. As a "premium retailer" and "lifestyle brand" in the home furnishings market, it serves customers seeking high-quality, stylish, and durable products for their homes.
The major customer categories for Arhaus include:
- Affluent Homeowners and Decorators: Individuals and families with disposable income who are looking for high-end, unique, and well-crafted furniture, lighting, textiles, and decor to furnish their primary residences or luxury second homes. They prioritize quality, design, and a sophisticated aesthetic.
- Design-Conscious Consumers: Customers who value aesthetics, craftsmanship, and a curated look for their living spaces. These individuals may utilize Arhaus's in-home designer services to create a cohesive and personalized environment, or they may meticulously select individual pieces to enhance their existing decor.
- New Homeowners and Renovators: Individuals undertaking significant home transformations, such as moving into a new home or completing a major renovation project. These customers are often looking to furnish entire rooms or multiple spaces with premium, coordinated pieces that reflect their desired lifestyle and design preferences.
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John Reed, Founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
John Reed co-founded Arhaus in 1986 with his father, Jack Reed, and has served as Chief Executive Officer from January 1997 through December 2015 and again from February 2017 to the present. He also serves as the Chairman of the Board. In 2016, Mr. Reed acquired his father's interest, becoming the sole controlling owner of Arhaus. As of September 2022, he held 32% of the company's stock capital, and with family trusts, controlled approximately 94% of the voting power through a dual-class share structure.
Michael Lee, Chief Financial Officer
Michael Lee has served as the Chief Financial Officer of Arhaus since May 2025. Prior to joining Arhaus, he was the Chief Financial Officer and President of Operations and Supply Chain for Ste. Michelle Wine Estates from 2022 to 2025. Before that, he held the position of Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer at Canopy Growth Corporation from 2019 to 2021. Mr. Lee also served in various leadership roles at Constellation Brands, Inc. from 2013 to 2019, with his most recent role being Senior Vice President, Business Transformation.
Michael Rengel, Chief Merchandising Officer
Michael Rengel was appointed Chief Merchandising Officer, effective February 23, 2026, bringing over 25 years of experience in merchandising, product and brand development, and sourcing. Most recently, he served as the Chief Merchandising Officer of Phoenix Retail (formerly known as Express) from January 2025 to February 2026. From 2020 to 2024, Mr. Rengel held various leadership positions at Express, Inc., including Senior Vice President and General Merchandise Manager (Mens and Outlet Division) and Chief Merchandising Officer.
Jennifer Porter, Chief Marketing and eCommerce Officer
Jennifer Porter has served as the Chief Marketing and eCommerce Officer since September 2019, overseeing the global marketing strategy, the Arhaus.com eCommerce business, and Corporate Social Responsibility initiatives. Her previous roles include Head of Marketing at Anthropologie from 2018 to 2019. Before that, Ms. Porter held various marketing leadership positions at Forever 21 from 2014 to 2018, including Head of Marketing, Director of Global Marketing, and Director of International Marketing.
Kathy Veltri, Chief Retail Officer
Kathy Veltri has served as the Chief Retail Officer since March 2019. Prior to this, she was the Senior Vice President of Retail Operations at Arhaus, a role she held since 2017. Her experience also includes serving as Executive Vice President of Sales at Gardner White from 2015 to 2016 and as President of Thomasville, a division of Furniture Brands, from 2013 to 2014. Ms. Veltri previously worked at Arhaus as SVP of Retail Operations and Marketing from 2006 to 2013.
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```htmlFor Arhaus (ARHS), key risks to the business include:
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Sensitivity to Economic Conditions and Discretionary Consumer Spending: As a premium retailer of home furnishings, Arhaus is highly vulnerable to macroeconomic factors such as economic downturns, rising interest rates, and inflation. Consumer spending on large, discretionary items like high-end furniture is often among the first areas curtailed when economic confidence falters, directly impacting Arhaus's revenue and profitability. Even its affluent customer base, while potentially more resilient, is not immune to prolonged economic uncertainty.
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Supply Chain Vulnerabilities and Cost Fluctuations: Arhaus relies on a diversified global supply network with hundreds of vendors across multiple continents. This extensive supply chain exposes the company to risks such as geopolitical disruptions, shipping delays, manufacturing shutdowns, and fluctuations in raw material costs. Additionally, ongoing and evolving tariff policies pose a significant challenge, leading to increased costs and pressure on profit margins. Arhaus has been actively working to mitigate some of these risks, such as reducing its sourcing from China.
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Intense Competition and Evolving Consumer Tastes: The home furnishings market is highly competitive and dynamic, with Arhaus operating alongside established luxury players like RH and various other retailers. As a lifestyle brand, Arhaus must continuously adapt to changing design trends and consumer preferences. Failure to anticipate or respond effectively to these evolving tastes could lead to inventory obsolescence, decreased brand relevance, and a loss of market share.
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Arhaus, Inc. operates within the substantial U.S. home furnishings market, addressing several key product categories. The addressable markets for its main products and services in the United States are as follows:
- Furniture: The United States furniture market size was valued at approximately USD 195.7 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 256.9 billion by 2034, growing at a compound annual growth rate of 3.07% from 2026-2034.
- Outdoor Products (Outdoor Furniture): The United States outdoor furniture market size is estimated at USD 7.41 billion in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 10.03 billion by 2031, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.24%.
- Lighting Products (Residential Lighting Fixtures): The U.S. residential lighting fixtures market was valued at USD 2.64 billion in 2022.
- Textile Products (Home Textiles): The United States home textile market size was USD 26.48 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 33.24 billion by 2031, with a CAGR of 3.86% during 2026-2031.
- Décor Products (Home Decor): The United States home decor market size is estimated at USD 215.21 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 263.21 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 4.11% during the forecast period (2025-2030).
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Arhaus (ARHS) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several strategic initiatives. Its expected drivers of future revenue growth include: * Showroom Expansion: Arhaus plans to continue expanding its physical footprint by opening new showrooms and strategically relocating or renovating existing ones. The company aims for a long-term goal of over 165 traditional showrooms and more than 50 Design Studios, with 10 to 14 showroom projects planned for 2026, including 4 to 6 new openings and 6 to 8 relocations. This expansion strategy reinforces its national presence and is a key factor in driving sales growth. * Product Innovation and Customization: A focus on product newness and an expanded customization program are significant growth drivers. The company recently launched its Spring 2026 Collection, featuring hundreds of new furniture and décor items, including 80 new fabrics and upholstery silhouettes, emphasizing creative expression, color, and comfort. This strategy caters to its high-end clientele who prioritize quality, craftsmanship, and personalized designs. * Enhanced Omnichannel and Digital Capabilities: Arhaus is leveraging its integrated omnichannel model to reach a broader customer base and enhance customer engagement. This involves strong performance from its e-commerce platform and ongoing investments in technology and digital transformation to support long-term growth. * Growth in In-Home Designer and Trade Programs: The company is actively bolstering its in-home designer and trade programs. These services are highlighted as crucial for boosting average order values, with designer-assisted projects generating significantly higher average order values compared to standard orders, and are seen as a long-term growth opportunity by targeting its high-end client base.AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Arhaus, Inc. made share repurchases totaling $1.77 million as of December 31, 2024.
Share Issuance
- Arhaus, Inc. completed its initial public offering (IPO) in November 2021, pricing 12,903,226 shares of its Class A common stock at $13.00 per share, totaling approximately $167.7 million.
Capital Expenditures
- For the full year ended December 31, 2025, company-funded capital expenditures were approximately $57 million, with an additional $21 million from landlord contributions. These investments supported showroom expansion and infrastructure development.
- For 2026, Arhaus plans $70–$90 million in company-funded capital expenditures.
- The primary focus for capital expenditures in 2026 includes 10-14 showroom projects (with 4-6 new showroom openings), and ongoing investments in technology infrastructure and distribution network capacity. A multi-year digital transformation is underway, with approximately $12 million expected to be invested in cash in 2026.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Arhaus Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Is Arhaus Stock Built to Withstand a Pullback? | 10/17/2025 | |
| Arhaus (ARHS) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Arhaus (ARHS) Debt Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Arhaus (ARHS) Tax Expense Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Arhaus (ARHS) EBITDA Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Arhaus (ARHS) Net Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Arhaus (ARHS) Operating Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Arhaus (ARHS) Revenue Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Why Arhaus Stock Moved: ARHS Stock Has Gained 23% Since 2024 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Favorable Change In Price To Sales Multiple (P/S) | 08/08/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| CHWY’s One-Month Rally Offers a Chance to Reevaluate ARHS | 09/06/2025 | |
| CHWY Jumps 22% in a Month, But Does ARHS Offer Better Fundamentals? | 09/06/2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to ARHS.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03312026 | SKY | Champion Homes | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | DPZ | Domino's Pizza | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | ETSY | Etsy | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.6% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | OLLI | Ollie's Bargain Outlet | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | PATK | Patrick Industries | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.6% |
| 04302024 | ARHS | Arhaus | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -32.8% | -37.9% | -44.2% |
| 12312021 | ARHS | Arhaus | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | -66.3% | -26.4% | -66.3% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 27.70 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.2 |
| Rev LTM | 2,783 |
| Op Inc LTM | 177 |
| FCF LTM | 121 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 98 |
| CFO LTM | 222 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 212 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -3.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.2 |
| P/S | 0.7 |
| P/EBIT | 10.0 |
| P/E | 17.5 |
| P/CFO | 6.3 |
| Total Yield | 6.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.2% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -17.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -11.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -12.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | -2.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -13.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -13.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -43.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -69.9% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assortment of merchandise across a number of categories, including furniture, outdoor, lighting | 1,271 | 1,288 | 1,229 | 797 | 507 |
| Total | 1,271 | 1,288 | 1,229 | 797 | 507 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assortment of merchandise across a number of categories, including furniture, outdoor, lighting | 69 | 125 | |||
| Total | 69 | 125 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $6.61 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.9 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/04/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -45.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $7.91 | $9.43 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -16.4% | -29.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 57.2% | 54.4% |
| Downside Capture | 1.59 | 0.94 |
| Upside Capture | 97.26 | 107.35 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 39.3% | 44.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.24 | 1.60 | 1.76 | 1.50 | 1.35 | 1.46 |
| Up Beta | 0.85 | 1.87 | 2.06 | 1.65 | 1.55 | 1.39 |
| Down Beta | 0.85 | 1.03 | 1.35 | 1.46 | 1.12 | 1.32 |
| Up Capture | 72% | 95% | 78% | 96% | 118% | 310% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 18 | 26 | 56 | 121 | 376 |
| Down Capture | 174% | 220% | 238% | 165% | 130% | 111% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 13 | 24 | 37 | 68 | 129 | 367 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ARHS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARHS | -11.3% | 56.2% | -0.01 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 25.7% | 22.6% | 0.93 | 51.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 29.1% | 17.4% | 1.36 | 45.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 61.3% | 27.8% | 1.72 | -0.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 26.9% | 16.7% | 1.41 | -1.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 17.7% | 15.4% | 0.86 | 47.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -10.9% | 43.9% | -0.14 | 24.5% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ARHS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARHS | -10.9% | 62.9% | 0.04 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.7% | 23.7% | 0.25 | 42.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.4% | 17.0% | 0.52 | 40.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.2% | 17.8% | 1.02 | 1.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.5% | 18.8% | 0.50 | 8.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.7% | 18.8% | 0.10 | 34.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 3.6% | 56.5% | 0.29 | 16.8% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ARHS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARHS | -5.6% | 62.9% | 0.04 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.2% | 22.0% | 0.51 | 42.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.9% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 40.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.1% | 15.9% | 0.74 | 1.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.5% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 8.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 34.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.1% | 66.9% | 1.06 | 16.8% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/26/2026 | 10.5% | -6.1% | -16.1% |
| 11/6/2025 | -3.7% | -4.8% | 9.0% |
| 8/7/2025 | 21.5% | 29.0% | 16.7% |
| 5/8/2025 | -5.1% | 1.1% | 4.8% |
| 2/26/2025 | -8.1% | -22.3% | -20.7% |
| 11/7/2024 | 6.4% | 6.3% | 15.4% |
| 8/8/2024 | -12.6% | -13.7% | -20.4% |
| 3/7/2024 | 12.1% | 25.0% | 26.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| # Negative | 7 | 6 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 11.3% | 22.6% | 16.0% |
| Median Negative | -5.1% | -10.3% | -20.4% |
| Max Positive | 23.9% | 39.4% | 41.6% |
| Max Negative | -20.0% | -32.9% | -40.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/10/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/11/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/09/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/11/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/26/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Net revenue | 300.00 Mil | 310.00 Mil | 320.00 Mil | -11.7% | Lower New | Guidance: 351.00 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Net revenue growth | -3.7% | -0.45% | 2.8% | -142.9% | -1.5% | Lower New | Guidance: 1.05% for Q4 2025 |
| Q1 2026 Comparable delivered sales | -0.05 | -0.02 | 0.01 | -33.3% | 1.0% | Higher New | Guidance: -0.03 for Q4 2025 |
| Q1 2026 Net income | 0 | 2.50 Mil | 5.00 Mil | -77.3% | Lower New | Guidance: 11.00 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 13.00 Mil | 16.50 Mil | 20.00 Mil | -45.0% | Lower New | Guidance: 30.00 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
| 2026 Net revenue | 1.43 Bil | 1.45 Bil | 1.47 Bil | 6.2% | Higher New | Guidance: 1.36 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Net revenue growth | 3.7% | 5.15% | 6.6% | -30.4% | -2.2% | Lower New | Guidance: 7.4% for 2025 |
| 2026 Comparable delivered sales | 0 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 20.0% | 0.2% | Higher New | Guidance: 0.01 for 2025 |
| 2026 Net income | 66.00 Mil | 70.50 Mil | 75.00 Mil | 11.9% | Higher New | Guidance: 63.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 150.00 Mil | 155.50 Mil | 161.00 Mil | 11.1% | Higher New | Guidance: 140.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Company-funded capital expenditures | 70.00 Mil | 80.00 Mil | 90.00 Mil | 14.3% | Higher New | Guidance: 70.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Net revenue | 336.00 Mil | 351.00 Mil | 366.00 Mil | Higher New | |||
| Q4 2025 Net revenue growth | -3.3% | 1.05% | 5.4% | Higher New | |||
| Q4 2025 Comparable growth | -7.0% | -3.0% | 1.0% | Lower New | |||
| Q4 2025 Net income | 6.00 Mil | 11.00 Mil | 16.00 Mil | Higher New | |||
| Q4 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 25.00 Mil | 30.00 Mil | 35.00 Mil | Higher New | |||
| 2025 Net revenue | 1.35 Bil | 1.36 Bil | 1.38 Bil | 2.2% | Raised | Guidance: 1.33 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Net revenue growth | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 46.5% | 2.4% | Raised | Guidance: 5.05% for 2025 |
| 2025 Comparable growth | 0.0% | 1.25% | 2.5% | 3.0% | Raised | Guidance: -1.75% for 2025 | |
| 2025 Net income | 58.00 Mil | 63.00 Mil | 68.00 Mil | 8.6% | Raised | Guidance: 58.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 135.00 Mil | 140.00 Mil | 145.00 Mil | 4.5% | Raised | Guidance: 134.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Company-funded capital expenditures | 65.00 Mil | 70.00 Mil | 75.00 Mil | -22.2% | Lowered | Guidance: 90.00 Mil for 2025 | |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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