Bright Horizons Family Solutions (BFAM)


Market Price (11/3/2026): $54.44 | Market Cap: $2.6 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Specialized Consumer Services

Bright Horizons Family Solutions (BFAM)


Market Price (11/3/2026): $54.44
Market Cap: $2.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Specialized Consumer Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%

Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29%

Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 9.6%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 50%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, Future of Work & Talent Management, and Demographics & Social Change. Themes include Geriatric Care, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -108%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 76%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 841x

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10%

Key risks
BFAM key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on employer-sponsored contracts vulnerable to economic downturns and [2] sustained enrollment challenges leading to center closures.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 9.6%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 50%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, Future of Work & Talent Management, and Demographics & Social Change. Themes include Geriatric Care, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -108%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 76%
7 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 841x
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10%
9 Key risks
BFAM key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on employer-sponsored contracts vulnerable to economic downturns and [2] sustained enrollment challenges leading to center closures.

BFAM in ETFs

Weight = BFAM's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
ITOT0.00%
IWB0.00%
IJR0.15%
VB0.04%
NUSC0.27%
SLYG0.26%
IJT0.21%
+14 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 11/1/2026

Bright Horizons Family Solutions (BFAM) stock has lost about 25% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Significant Non-Cash Goodwill Impairment and Net Loss. Bright Horizons reported a net loss of $231 million and a diluted loss per common share of $4.76 for fiscal Q3 2026, primarily driven by a substantial $290 million non-cash goodwill impairment charge. This impairment was related to its international full-service segment, particularly its operations in Australia, reflecting a revised outlook for that region.

2. Weakening Full-Service Enrollment and UK Regulatory Headwinds. The company's Full Service segment experienced challenges, with revenue growing only 1.3% to $522.0 million in fiscal Q3 2026. This was impacted by lower enrollment, including an approximate 50 basis point decline in centers open more than one year (excluding Australia), and a further 100 basis point headwind from enrollment contraction in Australia. Additionally, the U.K. market faced pressure from an extended regulatory safeguarding notice.

Show more
Updated on 11/1/2026

Bright Horizons Family Solutions (BFAM) stock has lost about 25% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Significant Non-Cash Goodwill Impairment and Net Loss. Bright Horizons reported a net loss of $231 million and a diluted loss per common share of $4.76 for fiscal Q3 2026, primarily driven by a substantial $290 million non-cash goodwill impairment charge. This impairment was related to its international full-service segment, particularly its operations in Australia, reflecting a revised outlook for that region.

2. Weakening Full-Service Enrollment and UK Regulatory Headwinds. The company's Full Service segment experienced challenges, with revenue growing only 1.3% to $522.0 million in fiscal Q3 2026. This was impacted by lower enrollment, including an approximate 50 basis point decline in centers open more than one year (excluding Australia), and a further 100 basis point headwind from enrollment contraction in Australia. Additionally, the U.K. market faced pressure from an extended regulatory safeguarding notice.

3. Lowered Full-Year 2026 Financial Guidance. Bright Horizons revised its full-year 2026 guidance downward following the fiscal Q3 2026 results. The company now expects full-year revenue to be approximately $3.07 billion, down from a previous range of $3.085 billion to $3.115 billion. Diluted adjusted earnings per common share guidance was also lowered to a range of $4.98 to $5.03, compared to the prior outlook of $5.05 to $5.15. This revised outlook anticipates a moderation in Back-Up Care usage and continued softness in Full Service enrollment during fiscal Q4 2026.

4. Analyst Downgrade and Price Target Reduction. Baird downgraded Bright Horizons stock from Outperform to Neutral and significantly cut its price target from $98 to $65 on October 30, 2026. This downgrade reflected mounting investor concerns regarding ongoing challenges in the company's core Full Service business across multiple geographies and concerns about the structural health of the early childhood education market.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -27.1% change in BFAM stock from 7/31/2026 to 11/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -36.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)731202611022026Change
Stock Price ($)74.5454.31-27.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,9803,0672.9%
P/S Multiple1.40.9-36.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)544812.2%
Cumulative Contribution-27.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2026 to 11/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BFAM-27.1% 
Market (SPY)0.7%15.0%
Sector (XLY)1.8%8.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -33.0% change in BFAM stock from 4/30/2026 to 11/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -44.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)430202611022026Change
Stock Price ($)81.1154.31-33.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,9343,0674.5%
P/S Multiple1.60.9-44.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)564816.1%
Cumulative Contribution-33.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 11/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BFAM-33.0% 
Market (SPY)4.9%-13.9%
Sector (XLY)0.0%-7.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -50.3% change in BFAM stock from 10/31/2025 to 11/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -61.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)1031202511022026Change
Stock Price ($)109.2354.31-50.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,7903,0679.9%
P/S Multiple2.20.9-61.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)574818.2%
Cumulative Contribution-50.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 11/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BFAM-50.3% 
Market (SPY)11.2%-3.5%
Sector (XLY)-0.9%3.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -26.7% change in BFAM stock from 10/31/2023 to 11/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -55.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)1031202311022026Change
Stock Price ($)74.0654.31-26.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,2273,06737.7%
P/S Multiple1.90.9-55.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)584819.2%
Cumulative Contribution-26.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2023 to 11/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BFAM-26.7% 
Market (SPY)86.0%21.1%
Sector (XLY)58.9%22.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
BFAM Return-27%-50%49%18%-9%-46%-69%
Peers Return4%19%45%18%-31%-13%27%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%10%101%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BFAM Win Rate50%50%58%50%42%27% 
Peers Win Rate42%58%58%48%50%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%36% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BFAM Max Drawdown-37%-60%-27%-26%-30%-48% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-24%-23%-23%-51%-34% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: KLC, LOPE, LRN, STRA. See BFAM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/2/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventBFAMS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-15.4%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.3%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven49 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-24.0%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.7%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven56 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-56.4%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven129.5%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven662 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-60.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven149.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven330 days140 days

Compare to KLC, LOPE, LRN, STRA

In The Past

Bright Horizons Family Solutions's stock fell -15.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventBFAMS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-24.0%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.7%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven56 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-56.4%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven129.5%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven662 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-60.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven149.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven330 days140 days

Compare to KLC, LOPE, LRN, STRA

In The Past

Bright Horizons Family Solutions's stock fell -15.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Bright Horizons Family Solutions (BFAM)

Bright Horizons Family Solutions (BFAM) is a leading global provider of employer-sponsored education and care solutions, primarily serving corporations, governments, and universities. The company partners with these organizations to offer comprehensive benefits that support employees and their families, aiming to improve workforce productivity and retention by helping employees balance their professional and personal lives.

The company's services are delivered through three main segments. Its largest segment, Full Service Center-Based Child Care, provides traditional early education, preschool, and elementary school programs in dedicated centers. The Back-Up Care segment offers flexible solutions for unexpected care needs, including center-based and in-home child care, adult/elder care, school-age camps, and virtual tutoring. Additionally, the Educational Advisory and Other Services segment provides tuition assistance and student loan repayment program administration, workforce education, and college admissions advisory services.

Bright Horizons operates a vast network of over 1,000 child care and early education centers across multiple countries, including the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, the Netherlands, and India. This broad international presence allows BFAM to serve a diverse client base by offering essential family and educational support services tailored to the needs of modern global workforces.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Bright Horizons Family Solutions (BFAM):

  • Bright Horizons Family Solutions is like **Sodexo or Aramark for corporate employee family support services**, managing and providing everything from childcare centers to educational advising programs for employers.
  • Think of them as a **premium, employer-sponsored KinderCare or Goddard School**, with added services for backup care and educational benefits for employees.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Bright Horizons Family Solutions (BFAM) provides the following major services:

  • Full Service Child Care & Early Education: Offers traditional center-based child care, early education, preschool, and elementary education programs.
  • Back-Up Care Services: Provides flexible short-term care solutions including center-based, in-home child and elder care, school-age camps, and virtual tutoring.
  • Educational Advisory Services: Delivers college admissions advice and related educational consulting services for families.
  • Workforce Education & Tuition Programs: Manages employer-sponsored tuition assistance, student loan repayment, and workforce education programs.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Bright Horizons Family Solutions (BFAM) primarily sells its services to other companies, specifically employers.

Bright Horizons provides a range of workplace solutions, including early education and child care, back-up care, and educational advisory services. These services are typically offered by employers to their employees as benefits. Therefore, the direct customers for a significant portion of Bright Horizons' business are other companies (employers) who contract with Bright Horizons to provide these solutions.

The background information provided does not list the names of specific customer companies that Bright Horizons serves.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Stephen Kramer, Chief Executive Officer, President and Director

Stephen Kramer joined Bright Horizons in 2006 through the acquisition of College Coach®, a company he co-founded and led in 1998. He was named CEO in January 2018 and President in 2016, having previously served in various leadership positions within Bright Horizons, including Chief Development Officer and Managing Director, Europe. Earlier in his career, he led the Education Practice at Fidelity Ventures and was a Healthcare Consultant with Arthur D. Little. He also serves on the board and Audit Committee of Domino's Pizza, Inc.

Elizabeth J. Boland, Chief Financial Officer

Elizabeth J. Boland has served as the Chief Financial Officer of Bright Horizons Family Solutions since June 1999, having joined the company in 1997. With over 25 years as the company's CFO, her prior experience includes roles at PricewaterhouseCoopers, as Vice President-Finance for Olsten Corporation, and as Chief Financial Officer for The Visionaries, Inc. She also serves on the board of The Children's Place, Inc.

Mary Lou Burke-Afonso, Chief Operating Officer, North America Center Operations

Mary Lou Burke-Afonso is the Chief Operating Officer of North America Center Operations for Bright Horizons Family Solutions.

Mandy Berman, Chief Operating Officer, Back-Up Care and Emerging Care Services

Mandy Berman serves as the Chief Operating Officer of Back-Up Care and Emerging Care Services, and Executive Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer at Bright Horizons Family Solutions.

Rosamund Marshall, Managing Director, International

Rosamund Marshall holds the position of Managing Director, International at Bright Horizons Family Solutions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Key Business Risks for Bright Horizons Family Solutions (BFAM)

Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. (BFAM) faces several key risks, primarily centered around evolving workforce needs, operational challenges related to staffing, and a highly competitive market landscape.

  1. Shifting Workforce Dynamics and Demand for Childcare Services: A significant risk for Bright Horizons stems from changes in workforce dynamics, such as the adoption of hybrid work models or a reversal in the trend of employees returning to physical offices. The COVID-19 pandemic demonstrated how such shifts can drastically impact the occupancy rates of their childcare centers and, consequently, their operating profit. Economic downturns can also reduce the overall demand for childcare services as families seek alternative arrangements. Given that full-service center-based child care constitutes the largest portion of Bright Horizons' revenue (71-74%), fundamental changes in how and where parents work pose a substantial threat to their core business model.
  2. Labor Availability, Staffing Challenges, and Wage Pressure: As a service-based business, Bright Horizons is highly dependent on its ability to attract and retain qualified staff for its childcare and educational centers. Difficulty in securing sufficient labor, coupled with increasing wage pressure, can significantly impact the company's operational capacity, service quality, and overall profitability. This is explicitly identified as a key risk in their financial filings.
  3. Intense Competition and Market Fragmentation: Bright Horizons operates within a highly fragmented and competitive market. The company faces competition from a diverse range of providers, including large national childcare chains such as KinderCare Education and Learning Care Group, as well as corporate-sponsored centers and various in-home care services. This intense competition can lead to pricing pressures and necessitates continuous investment in marketing and brand differentiation to maintain market share and attract new clients.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The widespread shift to remote and hybrid work models, reducing the demand for employer-sponsored, on-site, full-service center-based child care solutions.

The emergence of increasingly sophisticated direct-to-consumer and direct-to-employer digital platforms for comprehensive care services, offering alternative models for sourcing and managing child and elder care.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. (BFAM) operates in several addressable markets related to child care and educational advisory services. The market sizes for their main products and services, by region, are detailed below.

Full Service Center-Based Child Care and Back-Up Care

  • Global: The global child care market is estimated at US$ 245.1 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to US$ 427.48 billion by 2035, rising at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.72% from 2026 to 2035.
  • United States: The U.S. child care market size was estimated at USD 65.15 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 109.88 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 6.02% from 2025 to 2033.
  • United Kingdom: The UK child care services market generated a revenue of USD 14,379.4 million (approximately USD 14.38 billion) in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 16,122.6 million by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 1.9% from 2025 to 2030.
  • Canada: The Canada child care services market generated a revenue of USD 13,762.0 million (approximately USD 13.76 billion) in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 17,877.1 million by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 4.5% from 2025 to 2030.
  • India: The India child care services market generated a revenue of USD 19,320.1 million (approximately USD 19.32 billion) in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 25,892.3 million by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 5% from 2025 to 2030.
  • Netherlands: A specific market size in USD for the Netherlands childcare services was not explicitly available in the provided search results. However, the Netherlands day care market is characterized by high demand for quality childcare services.

Educational Advisory and Other Services

  • College Admissions Advisory Services: The global college admissions consulting market size was valued at $2.3 billion in 2024 and is forecasted to hit $6.8 billion by 2033, growing at a robust CAGR of 12.8%.
  • Workforce Education (including tuition assistance and student loan repayment program administration): The global technical and vocational education market size, which encompasses workforce education, was estimated at USD 812.3 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 1,432.9 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 10.0% from 2025 to 2030.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Bright Horizons Family Solutions (BFAM) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:
  • Increased Utilization and Penetration of Back-Up Care Services: The Back-Up Care segment has consistently been a strong growth driver for Bright Horizons, with significant revenue increases reported and forecasted. The company's focus remains on scaling this business by expanding unique users within existing clients and leveraging employer partnerships to deepen its impact.
  • Enrollment Gains and Tuition Price Increases in Full Service Center-Based Child Care: Revenue growth in the Full Service Center-Based Child Care segment is expected to continue through steady enrollment gains and strategic tuition price increases. While there are some headwinds from net center closures, these increases and enrollment improvements contribute to the segment's performance.
  • Expansion and Deepening of Employer Relationships: Bright Horizons aims to grow its client base and strengthen existing employer relationships across all its services. This includes acquiring new clients and increasing the adoption of multiple services (cross-service adoption) within current employer partnerships, particularly for back-up care and educational advisory services which have a broader addressable market.
  • Growth in Educational Advisory and Other Services: The Educational Advisory segment is anticipated to contribute to long-term growth. The company is making targeted investments in technology and product development, and new client acquisitions, particularly in sectors like education and healthcare, are fueling this segment's expansion.
  • Optimization of the Center Portfolio: Bright Horizons is strategically closing 45 to 50 underperforming centers in the coming years to improve operational efficiency and overall profitability. This rationalization of the portfolio, by focusing on more viable locations and enhancing utilization rates, is expected to support sustainable revenue quality and margin expansion across the full-service segment.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Capital Allocation Decisions for Bright Horizons Family Solutions (BFAM) Over the Last 3-5 Years

Share Repurchases

  • Bright Horizons Family Solutions authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $600 million on March 9, 2026.
  • This new authorization replaces a previous $500 million program from June 2025, which had approximately $127.6 million remaining.
  • The company repurchased $225 million of common stock in 2025, with about $120 million of those repurchases occurring in the fourth quarter of 2025.

Share Issuance

  • On March 4, 2026, the Chief Operating Officer of North America Center Operations was awarded 7,260 restricted stock units (RSUs) that vest on the third anniversary of the grant date.
  • Also on March 4, 2026, the Managing Director of International Operations was granted 4,950 restricted stock units, vesting entirely on the third anniversary of the grant date.

Outbound Investments

  • In May 2022, Bright Horizons acquired Only About Children (OAC), a provider of child care and early education in Australia, for AUD$450 million (approximately USD$320 million).

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital investments by Bright Horizons totaled $91 million in 2025, slightly down from $95 million in 2024.
  • These capital expenditures in 2025, amounting to $91.3 million, were primarily focused on fixed asset purchases for maintenance, refurbishments in existing centers, technological advancements, and the establishment of new child care centers.

Better Bets vs. Bright Horizons Family Solutions (BFAM)

Peer Outperformance in Specialized Consumer Services

BFAM has trailed 89% of its 9 Specialized Consumer Services peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it are FTDR and ADT. Specialized Consumer Services ranks 8th of 22 industries in Consumer Discretionary by median 5Y return.
Share of Specialized Consumer Services constituents that BFAM has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
10%
of 10 industry peers · -50.3% return
3Y
30%
of 10 industry peers · -36.9% return
5Y
11%
of 9 industry peers · -67.9% return
Specialized Consumer Services peers with revenue growth within 4pp of BFAM's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
BFAM Bright Horizons Family Solutions 9.6% -19.6x -50.3%-36.9%-67.9% —
FTDR Frontdoor 7.9% 22.8x 34.4%164.7%126.5% +194pp
ADT ADT 6.6% 12.2x 14.7%75.2%28.8% +97pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Consumer Discretionary sector, ranked by 5Y. Specialized Consumer Services is BFAM's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Education Services 14 -3.2%35.5%76.9% CVSA 255% · GHC 117% · LRN 109%
Homebuilding 17 3.8%32.7%38.5% PHM 188% · CVCO 174% · TOL 169%
Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines 21 24.4%60.9%20.3% RCL 278% · MAR 171% · HLT 162%
Automotive Retail 17 -0.6%15.0%11.8% MUSA 220% · PAG 125% · ORLY 119%
Home Furnishings 3 2.7%74.8%3.9% SGI 58% · MHK -15%
Home Improvement Retail 5 -7.6%18.9%3.4% HD 5% · LOW 3% · FND -65%
Footwear 9 86.5%82.4%-8.5% DECK 29% · SHOO 9% · CROX -9%
Specialized Consumer Services ← 10 -5.3%38.1%-13.8% HRB 171% · FTDR 126% · ADT 29%
Restaurants 36 3.1%-5.5%-14.6% EAT 407% · CAKE 209% · TXRH 133%
Distributors 4 -8.1%-15.2%-23.8% ARMK 113% · GPC 8% · POOL -55%
Leisure Products 14 -11.3%-11.9%-33.0% GOLF 82% · HAS 54% · BC -9%
Household Appliances 18 20.9%18.8%-33.8% WHR -81%
Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods 29 11.4%30.3%-38.6% RL 274% · TPR 246% · KTB 68%
Leisure Facilities 12 -4.0%3.1%-40.5% OSW 186% · LTH 149% · PLNT -33%
Apparel Retail 27 1.0%5.7%-41.2% ANF 287% · TJX 125% · ROST 113%
Computer & Electronics Retail 3 23.3%65.6%-41.7% BBY -2% · GME -53%
Broadline Retail 12 -3.1%20.8%-44.1% EBAY 76% · AMZN 48% · OLLI 25%
Automotive Parts & Equipment 39 -10.5%-10.6%-45.9% MOD 1011% · GTX 190% · PATK 73%
Casinos & Gaming 21 -24.9%-19.9%-50.2% MCRI 82% · BYD 24% · RRR 21%
Other Specialty Retail 24 -9.6%-14.2%-60.7% ULTA 71% · ASO 47% · DKS 29%
Automobile Manufacturers 8 -11.6%-44.2%-69.3% GM 69% · TSLA 3% · F -5%
Consumer Electronics 11 -35.8%-39.8%-80.5% GRMN 111%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are limited to companies above $2B market cap.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BFAMKLCLOPELRNSTRAMedian
NameBright H.KinderCa.Grand Ca.Stride Strategi. 
Mkt Price54.442.03149.0075.7172.6372.63
Mkt Cap2.60.23.93.11.62.6
Rev LTM3,0672,7351,1422,5371,2862,537
Op Inc LTM293107317466202293
FCF LTM25381242423169242
FCF 3Y Avg23445243316144234
CFO LTM356210279505216279
CFO 3Y Avg330175282385187282

Growth & Margins

BFAMKLCLOPELRNSTRAMedian
NameBright H.KinderCa.Grand Ca.Stride Strategi. 
Rev Chg LTM6.7%1.8%7.0%2.5%3.5%3.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.6%11.2%7.2%10.4%6.1%9.6%
Rev Chg Q4.8%-0.4%6.7%3.0%4.9%4.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.3%-0.1%1.5%0.7%1.2%1.2%
Op Inc Chg LTM-7.6%18.0%9.4%5.6%20.4%9.4%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg18.9%-25.6%10.3%34.8%64.1%18.9%
Op Mgn LTM9.6%3.9%27.8%18.4%15.7%15.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.7%5.5%27.2%16.7%14.3%14.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.7%-1.7%0.2%0.5%0.2%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM11.6%7.7%24.4%19.9%16.8%16.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.6%6.5%26.4%16.0%15.0%15.0%
FCF/Rev LTM8.3%3.0%21.2%16.7%13.1%13.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.2%1.7%22.7%13.1%11.6%11.6%

Valuation

BFAMKLCLOPELRNSTRAMedian
NameBright H.KinderCa.Grand Ca.Stride Strategi. 
Mkt Cap2.60.23.93.11.62.6
P/S0.90.13.41.21.21.2
P/Op Inc9.02.212.36.77.77.7
P/EBIT842.8-0.612.36.97.77.7
P/E-19.6-0.517.49.411.59.4
P/CFO7.41.214.06.27.27.2
Total Yield-5.1%-193.5%5.7%10.6%12.2%5.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.9%-5.6%7.9%7.3%6.5%
D/E0.810.40.00.20.10.2
Net D/E0.89.7-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0

Returns

BFAMKLCLOPELRNSTRAMedian
NameBright H.KinderCa.Grand Ca.Stride Strategi. 
1M Rtn-15.3%9.1%-4.4%-4.0%-8.9%-4.4%
3M Rtn-28.6%-62.5%-1.2%-5.5%-12.6%-12.6%
6M Rtn-32.7%-49.0%-10.4%-17.9%-4.2%-17.9%
12M Rtn-50.2%-65.6%-20.9%11.3%-1.5%-20.9%
3Y Rtn-36.7%-92.2%8.7%35.5%-9.5%-9.5%
1M Excs Rtn-12.9%11.5%-2.0%-1.7%-6.5%-2.0%
3M Excs Rtn-25.5%-60.5%1.3%-3.4%-10.1%-10.1%
6M Excs Rtn-37.4%-53.7%-15.1%-22.7%-8.9%-22.7%
12M Excs Rtn-51.6%-74.4%-38.4%2.9%-16.1%-38.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-108.2%-173.7%-52.1%-40.1%-83.3%-83.3%

Comparison Analyses

null

FDA Approved Drugs Data

Expand for More
Post-Approval Fwd Returns
FDA
App #
Brand
Name
Generic
Name
Dosage
Form
FDA
Approval
3M
Rtn
6M
Rtn
1Y
Rtn
2Y
Rtn
Total
Rtn
ANDA215343  FLUTICASONE PROPIONATEfluticasone propionateointment9012023-7.2%20.1%45.6%22.1%-43.8%
Collapse to Preview
Post-Approval Fwd Returns
FDA
App #
Brand
Name
Generic
Name
Dosage
Form
FDA
Approval
3M
Rtn
6M
Rtn
1Y
Rtn
2Y
Rtn
Total
Rtn
ANDA215343  FLUTICASONE PROPIONATEfluticasone propionateointment9012023-7.2%20.1%45.6%22.1%-43.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Full-service center-based child care2,0811,9621,7811,4941,297
Back-up care728610526421351
Educational advisory services124114112105107
Total2,9342,6862,4182,0201,755


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Back-up care222170136115115
Full-service center-based child care6654913-8
Educational advisory services2723263022
Total315247171158129


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$54.31 
Market Cap ($ Bil)2.6 
First Trading Date01/25/2013 
Distance from 52W High-50.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$67.97$73.88
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-20.1%-26.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility48.8%49.7%
Downside Capture129.2713.06
Upside Capture-71.70-52.08
Correlation (S&P 500)13.8%-2.3%
BFAM Betas & Captures as of 10/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.980.820.67-0.61-0.100.54
Up Beta-0.73-2.28-0.82-1.67-0.410.65
Down Beta4.994.313.280.210.350.57
Up Capture-21%-75%-31%-69%-25%10%
Bmk +ve Days12182862130427
Stock +ve Days12192761129374
Down Capture191%153%140%-9%22%80%
Bmk -ve Days10253664121325
Stock -ve Days10243765122377

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BFAM
BFAM-41.3%49.7%-0.90-
Sector ETF (XLY)1.7%19.3%-0.058.7%
Equity (SPY)11.6%12.8%0.57-2.4%
Gold (GLD)-2.3%28.6%-0.09-14.8%
Commodities (DBC)43.1%20.9%1.601.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)11.0%13.7%0.508.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-28.8%43.6%-0.66-4.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BFAM
BFAM-19.3%39.2%-0.45-
Sector ETF (XLY)4.5%24.1%0.1432.9%
Equity (SPY)12.0%17.1%0.5233.7%
Gold (GLD)16.5%19.0%0.69-0.3%
Commodities (DBC)8.4%19.6%0.315.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.1%18.9%-0.0538.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.1%51.6%0.2615.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BFAM
BFAM-1.7%36.8%0.06-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.6%22.2%0.5240.7%
Equity (SPY)15.2%17.9%0.7242.5%
Gold (GLD)11.6%16.5%0.570.7%
Commodities (DBC)7.8%18.1%0.3413.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.4%20.7%0.2245.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)61.7%66.3%1.0110.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2.4 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302026-1.7%
Average Daily Volume0.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.8 days
Basic Shares Quantity48.4 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares5.1%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 11/3/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2026-17.9%  
7/30/2026-4.4%-5.1%-4.0%
5/5/2026-18.6%-15.3%-24.6%
2/12/2026-18.2%-11.6%-6.6%
10/30/202518.4%6.0%12.7%
7/31/202510.6%6.3%4.4%
5/5/2025-4.3%-3.0%1.0%
2/13/20258.4%6.2%8.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111215
# Negative14129
Median Positive10.4%7.2%8.3%
Median Negative-7.9%-10.5%-10.7%
Max Positive18.4%26.1%20.7%
Max Negative-18.6%-26.4%-28.3%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2026-17.9%  
7/30/2026-4.4%-5.1%-4.0%
5/5/2026-18.6%-15.3%-24.6%
2/12/2026-18.2%-11.6%-6.6%
10/30/202518.4%6.0%12.7%
7/31/202510.6%6.3%4.4%
5/5/2025-4.3%-3.0%1.0%
2/13/20258.4%6.2%8.5%
11/4/2024-12.8%-14.3%-10.7%
8/1/202414.1%11.5%18.8%
5/2/20246.7%8.5%4.4%
2/13/202410.4%10.5%19.6%
11/1/20239.1%12.3%20.7%
8/1/2023-0.5%-1.8%0.6%
5/2/202310.5%26.1%14.1%
2/16/202310.7%8.1%8.3%
11/1/20221.0%5.6%14.5%
8/2/2022-12.8%-19.1%-27.8%
5/3/2022-7.7%-26.4%-17.1%
2/16/2022-2.4%-3.0%4.1%
11/2/2021-12.2%-15.3%-28.3%
8/4/20212.5%1.6%2.1%
5/5/2021-7.2%-9.4%-2.8%
2/17/2021-8.2%-5.0%-5.8%
11/5/2020-5.4%0.2%1.9%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111215
# Negative14129
Median Positive10.4%7.2%8.3%
Median Negative-7.9%-10.5%-10.7%
Max Positive18.4%26.1%20.7%
Max Negative-18.6%-26.4%-28.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202610/30/202610-Q
06/30/202608/06/202610-Q
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/26/202610-K
09/30/202511/05/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/07/202510-Q
12/31/202402/27/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/06/202410-Q
03/31/202405/06/202410-Q
12/31/202302/27/202410-K
09/30/202311/06/202310-Q
06/30/202308/08/202310-Q
03/31/202305/08/202310-Q
12/31/202202/28/202310-K
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202610/30/202610-Q
06/30/202608/06/202610-Q
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/26/202610-K
09/30/202511/05/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/07/202510-Q
12/31/202402/27/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/06/202410-Q
03/31/202405/06/202410-Q
12/31/202302/27/202410-K
09/30/202311/06/202310-Q
06/30/202308/08/202310-Q
03/31/202305/08/202310-Q
12/31/202202/28/202310-K
09/30/202211/08/202210-Q
06/30/202208/05/202210-Q
03/31/202205/06/202210-Q
12/31/202102/25/202210-K
09/30/202111/05/202110-Q
06/30/202108/06/202110-Q
03/31/202105/10/202110-Q
12/31/202003/01/202110-K
09/30/202011/09/202010-Q
06/30/202008/10/202010-Q
03/31/202005/11/202010-Q
12/31/201902/27/202010-K

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 11/2/2026

Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 10/29/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Diluted Adjusted Earnings Per Common ShareReported4.985.015.03-1.9% LoweredGuidance: 5.1 for 2026
2026 RevenueReported 3.07 Bil -1.0% LoweredGuidance: 3.10 Bil for 2026


Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 7/30/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 RevenueReported3.08 Bil3.10 Bil3.12 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 3.10 Bil for 2026
2026 Diluted Adjusted EPSReported5.055.15.152.0% RaisedGuidance: 5 for 2026

Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Diluted adjusted earnings per common shareReported4.955.10 AffirmedGuidance: 5 for 2026
2026 RevenueReported3.08 Bil3.10 Bil3.12 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 3.10 Bil for 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/12/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Diluted Adjusted Earnings Per Common ShareReported4.955.111.0% Higher NewActual: 4.51 for 2025
2026 RevenueReported3.08 Bil3.10 Bil3.12 Bil6.0% Higher NewActual: 2.92 Bil for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 9/2/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Tocio, Mary AnnDirectSell902202672.656,000435,8801,040,953Form
2Burke, Mary LouCOO North America Center OpsDirectSell902202675.001,20090,0002,320,875Form
3Burke, Mary LouCOO North America Center OpsDirectSell804202675.571,20090,6842,429,198Form
4Burke, Mary LouCOO North America Center OpsDirectSell728202680.0050040,0002,667,600Form
5Burke, Mary LouCOO North America Center OpsDirectSell10022025108.521,000108,5202,870,245Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Tocio, Mary AnnDirectSell902202672.656,000435,8801,040,953Form
2Burke, Mary LouCOO North America Center OpsDirectSell902202675.001,20090,0002,320,875Form
3Burke, Mary LouCOO North America Center OpsDirectSell804202675.571,20090,6842,429,198Form
4Burke, Mary LouCOO North America Center OpsDirectSell728202680.0050040,0002,667,600Form
5Burke, Mary LouCOO North America Center OpsDirectSell10022025108.521,000108,5202,870,245Form
6Burke, Mary LouCOO North America Center OpsDirectSell9032025116.491,000116,4903,197,534Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Nov 3, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Abrams Bison Investments, LLC$116.0 Mil5.0%11New13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Abrams Bison Investments, LLC$116.0 Mil5.0%11New13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Abrams Bison Investments, LLC$116.0 Mil5.0%11New13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 11/2/2026