Tearsheet

KinderCare Learning Companies (KLC)


Market Price (12/27/2025): $4.28 | Market Cap: $506.6 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Education Services

KinderCare Learning Companies (KLC)


Market Price (12/27/2025): $4.28
Market Cap: $506.6 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Education Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -58%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -130%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -165%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 462%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 12%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -18%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Work & Workforce Support. Themes include Childcare Services, and Early Childhood Education.
  Key risks
KLC key risks include [1] a securities class action lawsuit alleging IPO misrepresentation regarding child safety failures and [2] significant financial vulnerability due to its heavy reliance on government subsidies.
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -58%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 12%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Work & Workforce Support. Themes include Childcare Services, and Early Childhood Education.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -130%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -165%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 462%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -18%
6 Key risks
KLC key risks include [1] a securities class action lawsuit alleging IPO misrepresentation regarding child safety failures and [2] significant financial vulnerability due to its heavy reliance on government subsidies.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KLC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the stock movement for KinderCare Learning Companies (KLC) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 27, 2025:

<b>1. KinderCare Learning Companies' stock experienced a significant drop following its Q2 2025 earnings report, which missed analyst expectations for revenue.</b> This led to a 20% plunge in shares and contributed to a 45% decline in stock value year-to-date as of August 14, 2025. Barclays subsequently downgraded the company, citing unclear revenue visibility and investor concerns about the company's fiscal health.

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<b>2. The company faced persistent challenges with enrollment and occupancy rates, which continued to decline throughout the period.</b> Q2 same-center occupancy dropped by 130 basis points year-over-year to 71%, and Q3 same-center occupancy further declined to 67%. These issues were attributed to local market factors, operational missteps, and a cautious consumer backdrop.

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<b>3. KinderCare's Q3 2025 financial results showed mixed performance, with revenue falling short of expectations and full-year guidance being lowered.</b> On November 12, 2025, the company reported Q3 revenue of $676.8 million, missing the consensus estimate, and subsequently updated its full-year 2025 revenue guidance downwards from an initial range of $2.75–$2.85 billion to $2.72–$2.74 billion. This announcement caused the stock to tumble by 18.1% on November 13, 2025.

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<b>4. Goldman Sachs downgraded KLC's stock in mid-October 2025, cutting its price target and changing its rating from Buy to Neutral.</b> This downgrade was primarily driven by projected declines in childcare center occupancy rates, challenges in local markets such as high teacher turnover, labor competition, and a shift towards lower net revenue per full-time equivalent due to government-subsidized enrollments.

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<b>5. Operating profits and net income saw significant decreases in Q3 2025, indicating pressure on profitability despite efforts to manage costs.</b> Income from operations decreased by 51.6% to $26.3 million, and net income fell by 67.4% to $4.6 million for the third quarter of 2025 compared to the previous year. This was largely due to higher service costs from increased wages and the conclusion of COVID-19 stimulus funding.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -38.3% change in KLC stock from 9/26/2025 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a -38.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
926202512262025Change
Stock Price ($)6.944.28-38.33%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2686.792692.140.20%
P/S Multiple0.310.19-38.43%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)118.31118.35-0.04%
Cumulative Contribution-38.33%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/26/2025 to 12/26/2025
ReturnCorrelation
KLC-38.3% 
Market (SPY)4.3%27.9%
Sector (XLY)1.8%39.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -58.6% change in KLC stock from 6/27/2025 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a -60.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
627202512262025Change
Stock Price ($)10.354.28-58.65%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2472.352692.148.89%
P/S Multiple0.480.19-60.70%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)114.37118.35-3.49%
Cumulative Contribution-58.70%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/27/2025 to 12/26/2025
ReturnCorrelation
KLC-58.6% 
Market (SPY)12.6%26.6%
Sector (XLY)11.9%32.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -76.1% change in KLC stock from 12/26/2024 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a -74.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1226202412262025Change
Stock Price ($)17.884.28-76.06%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2172.732692.1423.91%
P/S Multiple0.740.19-74.70%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)90.37118.35-30.97%
Cumulative Contribution-78.36%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/26/2024 to 12/26/2025
ReturnCorrelation
KLC-76.1% 
Market (SPY)15.8%36.4%
Sector (XLY)5.2%40.0%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

12/27/2023 to 12/26/2025
ReturnCorrelation
KLC  
Market (SPY)48.0%34.1%
Sector (XLY)37.0%34.9%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KLC Return-----32%-76%-84%
Peers Return16%38%-12%21%26%16%150%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KLC Win Rate----33%33% 
Peers Win Rate52%65%42%68%57%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KLC Max Drawdown-----33%-79% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-5%-26%-7%-9%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

KLC has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Discretionary sector ETF (XLY) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-40.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven680 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven82 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven28.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-60.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven150.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven779 days1,480 days

Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL

In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -40.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -40.3% loss requires a 67.4% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About KinderCare Learning Companies (KLC)

We are the largest private provider of high-quality early childhood education and care services (“ECE”) in the United States by center capacity. We are a mission driven organization, rooted in a commitment to providing all children with the very best start in life. We serve children ranging from 6 weeks to 12 years of age across our market leading footprint of 1,490 early childhood education centers with capacity of more than 195,000 children and contracts for more than 650 before- and after-school sites located in 40 states and the District of Columbia as of October 2, 2021. We believe families choose us because of our differentiated, inclusive approach and our commitment to delivering every child a high-quality educational experience in a nurturing and engaging environment. We operate all of our centers under the KinderCare brand and utilize a consistent curriculum and operational approach across our network. We offer a differentiated value proposition to the children, families, schools and employers we serve, driven by our market-leading scale and commitment to quality, access and inclusion. We leverage our extensive network of community-based centers, employer-sponsored programs, and before- and after-school sites, to meet parents where they are; an important factor in the context of evolving work styles as a result of the novel coronavirus (“COVID-19”) pandemic. We utilize our proprietary curriculum with the goal of generating superior outcomes for children of all abilities and backgrounds. We use third-party assessment tools that consistently show children in our centers outperform their peers in other programs in readiness for kindergarten. We voluntarily seek accreditation at all of our centers and onsite programs, demonstrating our commitment to best practices for our sector. Our commitment to transparent, third-party validation of the quality and impact of our offerings is a critical factor for parents when selecting a center for their children. Our culture promotes high levels of employee engagement, which leads to better financial performance of our centers. Our expertise helping families access public subsidies for childcare is a core competency and drives greater levels of diversity and access in our centers. We have built a reputation as a leader in early childhood education and care across our three go-to-market channels: KinderCare Learning Centers, KinderCare Education at Work and Champions. • KinderCare Learning Centers (“KCLC”) is the largest private provider of community-based early childhood education centers in the United States by center capacity. As of October 2, 2021, KCLC operates approximately 1,400 KCLC centers. Most KCLC centers are accredited by accrediting bodies such as the National Association for the Education of Young Children (“NAEYC”). The accreditation process evaluates curriculum, evidence of learning, operating practices and health and safety protocols. The majority of the unaccredited centers are newer to our fleet of centers – either as newly built centers or as acquisitions and are currently in various stages of the two-year accreditation process. Families typically become aware of KCLC through our strong brand recognition, public relations campaigns, digital and direct marketing efforts and word of mouth references before enrolling directly in a center. KCLC serves families with children between six weeks and 12 years of age. KCLC represented 79.2% and 77.2% of our 2020 and 2019 revenue, respectively. • KinderCare Education at Work (“KCE at Work”) is a leading provider of employer-sponsored childcare programs. As of October 2, 2021, KCLC operates 72 onsite employer-sponsored centers. The KCLC centers and onsite employer-sponsored centers together comprise our early childhood education centers. We work closely with employers to design programs that effectively address the childcare needs of their employees. Our ability to offer both onsite centers, as well as access to our own leading KinderCare center network, provides flexibility and accessibility to a broad range of employees. We currently serve more than 600 employers through onsite programs and tuition discount benefit programs for employees. KCE at Work represented 17.8% and 18.1% of our 2020 and 2019 revenue, respectively. • Champions is a leading private provider of before- and after-school programs in the United States. Our outsourced model provides an attractive value proposition to schools and districts. We provide staff, teachers and curriculum to deliver high-quality supplemental education and care to families and children onsite at schools we serve, and have contracts for more than 650 sites as of October 2, 2021. Champions represented 3.0% and 4.7% of our 2020 and 2019 revenue, respectively. Our operating strategy is designed to deliver a high-quality experience for every child and family we serve across all of our centers and sites. This self-reinforcing strategy is anchored in four pillars: • Educational Excellence. We leverage our proprietary curriculum combined with third-party assessment tools and voluntary accreditation to deliver a high-quality educational experience and provide objective validation of the quality and impact of our programs. • People & Engagement. We utilize a proprietary, data-driven approach to attract, hire and develop exceptional talent. We instill a culture that builds emotional connections between our employees and our mission and values, driving high engagement across our organization. Our internal surveys consistently demonstrate that a more engaged workforce leads to better financial performance of our centers. • Health & Safety. We consistently adhere to strict procedures across all of our centers to provide a healthy, safe environment for our children and our workforce and to deliver confidence and peace of mind to families. Our procedures address both the physical and mental health of children and are informed by input from the Center for Disease Control and Prevention (the “CDC”) and other third-party experts. • Operations & Growth. Our operational excellence enables us to deliver profitable growth and to fund consistent reinvestment into our service offerings. We utilize a robust technology platform and proprietary operating procedures to deliver a high-quality, consistent experience across our centers and sites. Our technology platform closely monitors activity across all centers and sites and allows us to stay connected with families on a daily basis through digital channels. We utilize this proprietary data to continuously refine our operations and adapt to changing market conditions and consumer preferences. We were originally formed as KC Holdco, LLC, a Delaware limited liability company. In connection with this offering and the Reorganization, we will convert into a Delaware corporation pursuant to a statutory conversion and will be renamed KinderCare Learning Companies, Inc. Our principal executive office is located at 650 NE Holladay, Suite 1400, Portland, OR.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are a few analogies for KinderCare Learning Companies (KLC):

  • Starbucks for childcare and early education.
  • A national chain of preschools and daycare centers, similar to how Marriott operates hotels.
  • Planet Fitness for early learning.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Early Childhood Education and Care: Provides full-day and part-day educational programs for infants, toddlers, and preschool-aged children.
  • Before- and After-School Programs: Offers extended care and enrichment activities for elementary school-aged children.
  • Employer-Sponsored Childcare Solutions: Partners with companies to provide on-site, near-site, or subsidized childcare benefits for their employees.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Major Customers of KinderCare Learning Companies (KLC)

KinderCare Learning Companies (KLC) primarily sells its services directly to individuals, specifically parents and guardians seeking childcare and early education for their children. Therefore, it does not have major corporate customers in the traditional business-to-business (B2B) sense.

The company serves the following categories of individual customers:

  • Parents/Guardians of Infants and Toddlers: This category includes families seeking full-time care and early development programs for their youngest children (typically ages 6 weeks to 2 years).
  • Parents/Guardians of Preschool and Pre-Kindergarten Children: This is a core customer group, as KinderCare provides structured educational programs designed for children aged 2-5 years, preparing them for kindergarten.
  • Parents/Guardians of School-Age Children: KinderCare also caters to families needing before- and after-school programs, as well as summer camps and other holiday break programs for elementary school-aged children (typically 5-12 years old).

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Paul Thompson, Chief Executive Officer
Background: Paul Thompson is the Chief Executive Officer of KinderCare Learning Companies, responsible for all aspects of the company's strategy, leadership, governance, and financial performance. He joined KLC in 2015 and held many roles including Chief Operating Officer, Chief Administrative Officer, Chief Financial Officer, and President before becoming CEO in June 2024. Before joining KinderCare, Paul was with Safeway from 2005-2015, starting as VP of Finance and advancing to SVP, Finance, Pricing and Enterprise Systems. Prior to Safeway, he worked in consumer packaged goods for 13 years with Diageo and Nestle (also Pillsbury). KinderCare Learning Companies has been acquired by private equity firms; Partners Group in 2015 and is currently owned by RBP Capital, indicating his experience in managing a company backed by private equity firms.

Tony Amandi, Chief Financial Officer
Background: Tony Amandi leads the accounting, treasury, control, internal audit, tax and risk, external reporting, finance, financial planning and analysis (FP&A), information systems and procurement functions for KinderCare Learning Companies. He joined KinderCare in 2009. Prior to his promotion to CFO in June 2019, Tony served as Senior Vice President of KinderCare's FP&A organization and was previously Corporate Controller. Before joining KinderCare, Tony worked at PricewaterhouseCoopers for nearly 10 years in their Audit and Assurance practice.

Dr. Marquita Davis, Chief Academic Officer
Background: Dr. Marquita Davis oversees the development of KinderCare's educational programs, educator professional development, quality and accreditation initiatives, research and evaluation, student support services, and public policy. She has over 20 years of experience in early childhood education, non-profit leadership, government, and philanthropy, including nearly six years as Deputy Director of Early Learning at the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Dan Figurski, President, KLC for Employers and Champions
Background: Dan Figurski brings 20 years of experience in sales, marketing, and business management to his role. His leadership has accelerated the growth of Champions before- and after-school programs, and his role has extended to include KinderCare for Employers.

Michael Canavin, President, KCLC and Crème de la Crème Schools
Background: Michael Canavin joined KinderCare Learning Company in 2015. He has held several roles including Regional Vice President and Senior Vice President for KinderCare Learning Centers before moving into his current role in 2022. Before KinderCare, Michael was with Family Dollar Corporation for 10 years, where he advanced to Divisional Vice President.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to KinderCare Learning Companies (KLC) primarily revolve around ongoing legal challenges and their potential impact, significant reliance on government funding, and fundamental operational pressures.

  1. Securities Class Action Lawsuit, Reputational Damage, and Regulatory Scrutiny: KinderCare is currently facing a securities class action lawsuit alleging that the company misrepresented itself during its Initial Public Offering (IPO) by not disclosing a history of child safety failures, neglect, and harm at its facilities. These allegations have contributed to a significant drop in KLC's stock price and expose the company to considerable financial liabilities, adverse regulatory actions, and severe reputational damage. The lawsuit also emphasizes that over 30% of KinderCare's revenue is derived from federal subsidies, making the company particularly vulnerable to regulatory penalties or the loss of this funding if safety standards are found to be inadequate.

  2. Reliance on Government Subsidies and Political Risk: A substantial portion of KinderCare's revenue, estimated between 30% and 40%, comes from federal and government subsidies. This reliance presents a significant financial risk, as potential cuts to childcare subsidies due to shifts in the political climate or tightening government budgets could materially and adversely affect the company's financial condition and results of operations.

  3. Declining Occupancy, Weak Core Business Performance, and Labor Challenges: KinderCare is contending with declining child care center occupancy rates and an outlook for tepid growth. Factors contributing to this include high teacher turnover, intense labor competition, low conversion rates from inquiries to enrollments, and leadership gaps. Furthermore, the company's profitability is strained by rising wage costs that are outpacing tuition increases. Shifts in workforce demographics and office environments could also lead to decreased demand for center-based child care.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Expanding government-funded Universal Pre-Kindergarten (UPK) programs

AI Analysis | Feedback

KinderCare Learning Companies (KLC) operates in the U.S. early childhood education and child care markets. The company's main products and services include early childhood education and care for children aged six weeks to 12 years through KinderCare Learning Centers and Crème de la Crème Schools, as well as before- and after-school programs under the Champions brand. Additionally, KinderCare Learning Companies for Employers provides customized family care benefits, such as on-site or near-site care, tuition benefits, and backup care.

The addressable markets for KinderCare's main products and services in the U.S. are as follows:

  • U.S. Child Care Market: The U.S. child care market size was estimated at USD 65.15 billion in 2024. This market is projected to reach USD 109.88 billion by 2033, demonstrating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.02% from 2025 to 2033. Other estimates suggest the U.S. child care market size will grow from USD 65.13 billion in 2025 to USD 95.13 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 4.3% during that period. The early education and early daycare segment constituted the largest revenue share of 45.73% in the child care market in 2024.
  • U.S. Early Childhood Education Market: The U.S. early childhood education market is projected to grow from USD 11.73 billion in 2025 to USD 33.12 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 12.22% from 2025 to 2034. Other forecasts indicate the early childhood education market in the U.S. is expected to grow by USD 4-6 billion at a CAGR of 4%-6% between 2025 and 2029. Another report forecasts a growth of USD 5.36 billion during 2024-2029, with a CAGR of 4.1%.

AI Analysis | Feedback

KinderCare Learning Companies (KLC) anticipates several key drivers of future revenue growth over the next two to three years:

  1. Strategic Tuition Rate Adjustments: The company has historically experienced, and plans for continued, revenue growth through increases in tuition rates across its early childhood education centers.
  2. Expansion of Network through New Centers and Acquisitions: KinderCare is actively pursuing growth by opening new early childhood education centers and before- and after-school sites, as well as engaging in tuck-in acquisitions to expand its operational footprint and increase market share.
  3. Growth in Employer-Sponsored Childcare and Champions Programs (B2B Segment): A significant driver is the expansion of KinderCare's business-to-business (B2B) segment, which includes strengthening employer partnerships and growing its Champions after-school programs. This segment offers recurring revenue and is seen as a key growth pillar.
  4. Occupancy Rate Recovery driven by Targeted Initiatives: Despite some recent occupancy challenges, KinderCare is implementing strategic initiatives to stabilize and improve enrollment trends. These efforts include leveraging digital tools, targeted marketing, and enhanced leadership support for underperforming centers, aiming to restore occupancy momentum.
  5. Benefiting from Favorable Federal Childcare Policies: KinderCare expects to benefit from durable demand tailwinds stemming from federal policies. Full funding of the Child Care and Development Block Grant (CCDBG) and tax changes, such as increased employer-provided childcare credits and expanded dependent care tax benefits, are anticipated to boost families' buying power and accelerate the adoption of employer-sponsored childcare, thereby driving customer growth.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • KinderCare Learning Companies has not reported significant share repurchase programs or dollar amounts within the last 3-5 years.

Share Issuance

  • KinderCare Learning Companies completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) on October 9, 2024, offering 24,000,000 shares of common stock at an initial public offering price of $24.00 per share.
  • The net proceeds from this offering were primarily utilized to repay $527.2 million of outstanding loans under the First Lien Term Loan Facility.
  • As of March 19, 2025, the number of common shares outstanding was 118,006,276.

Inbound Investments

  • Investment funds affiliated with Partners Group Holding AG maintained a controlling interest of 71.2% in KinderCare's common stock following the IPO, indicating a significant, pre-existing strategic investment that continued to be substantial.

Capital Expenditures

  • KinderCare Learning Companies reported capital expenditures of $139.43 million in 2021, $129.05 million in 2022, and $132.32 million in 2023.
  • These capital expenditures contribute to supporting the company's extensive market presence, which includes operating a broad network of early childhood education centers and before- and after-school programs across the United States.

Better Bets than KinderCare Learning Companies (KLC)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to KLC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.7%13.7%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.0%6.0%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.8%3.8%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.7%19.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for KinderCare Learning Companies

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KLCHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameKinderCa.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Price4.2823.2624.49305.0978.16273.4051.32
Mkt Cap0.521.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
Rev LTM2,69255,29534,29665,40257,696408,62556,496
Op Inc LTM653,6241,64411,54412,991130,2147,584
FCF LTM602,80062711,85412,73396,1847,327
FCF 3Y Avg712,9781,40011,75313,879100,5037,366
CFO LTM1933,6972,91913,48313,744108,5658,590
CFO 3Y Avg2073,6723,89613,49814,736111,5598,697

Growth & Margins

KLCHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameKinderCa.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Rev Chg LTM2.2%3.2%13.8%4.5%8.9%6.0%5.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg16.7%-3.9%6.5%2.6%3.7%1.8%3.2%
Rev Chg Q0.8%4.2%14.4%9.1%7.5%9.6%8.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.2%1.1%3.7%2.1%1.8%2.1%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM2.4%6.6%4.8%17.7%22.5%31.9%12.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.0%7.4%7.2%16.4%24.2%30.8%12.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%-0.2%-1.4%0.6%0.4%0.1%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM7.2%6.7%8.5%20.6%23.8%26.6%14.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.6%6.8%12.7%21.4%26.1%28.4%17.1%
FCF/Rev LTM2.2%5.1%1.8%18.1%22.1%23.5%11.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.1%5.5%4.6%18.6%24.6%25.6%12.1%

Valuation

KLCHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameKinderCa.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Cap0.521.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
P/S0.20.41.04.45.410.02.7
P/EBIT7.76.819.925.122.531.321.2
P/E-7.38.6572.736.029.941.033.0
P/CFO2.65.911.221.122.537.516.2
Total Yield-13.7%14.1%2.3%5.0%5.4%2.8%3.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.5%2.1%2.2%2.1%0.4%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-10.6%5.5%6.4%6.0%3.1%6.0%
D/E5.00.50.70.20.10.00.4
Net D/E4.60.30.60.20.00.00.3

Returns

KLCHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameKinderCa.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
1M Rtn10.3%-1.8%14.4%0.6%2.7%-1.5%1.7%
3M Rtn-38.3%-11.9%2.7%7.9%17.0%7.1%4.9%
6M Rtn-58.6%-4.0%34.5%6.6%15.2%36.3%10.9%
12M Rtn-76.1%-27.3%14.2%39.2%33.7%6.0%10.1%
3Y Rtn-83.6%-3.8%67.7%139.0%79.5%113.4%73.6%
1M Excs Rtn6.2%-5.6%12.9%-2.2%-0.0%-3.7%-1.1%
3M Excs Rtn-42.6%-16.2%-1.7%3.6%12.7%2.8%0.6%
6M Excs Rtn-70.9%-16.3%22.3%-5.7%3.0%24.0%-1.3%
12M Excs Rtn-93.0%-42.9%-0.7%25.0%19.9%-8.4%-4.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-165.0%-83.5%-11.2%59.6%-1.2%28.4%-6.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil202420232022
Single Segment2,5102,1661,808
Total2,5102,1661,808


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$4.28 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.5 
First Trading Date10/09/2024 
Distance from 52W High-79.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$4.81$21.28
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-11.1%-79.9%
 3M1YR
Volatility66.9%61.8%
Downside Capture246.44180.50
Upside Capture-34.8112.11
Correlation (SPY)27.9%36.1%
KLC Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.931.881.972.031.20-0.03
Up Beta-2.84-0.490.432.540.99-0.37
Down Beta4.713.983.733.151.41-0.66
Up Capture-13%-41%-26%-37%8%0%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days8172648104123
Down Capture407%290%281%260%146%95%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days12253775142159

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
null
Based On 5-Year Data
null
Based On 10-Year Data
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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,912,486
Short Interest: % Change Since 11302025-3.4%
Average Daily Volume911,573
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.20
Basic Shares Quantity118,353,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.5%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/12/2025-19.2%-26.4%-6.2%
8/12/2025-22.3%-26.9%-21.9%
3/20/2025-22.2%-28.1%-37.6%
11/20/2024-15.0%2.1%-22.9%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive010
# Negative434
Median Positive 2.1% 
Median Negative-20.7%-26.9%-22.4%
Max Positive 2.1% 
Max Negative-22.3%-28.1%-37.6%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251112202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025812202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024321202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241121202410-Q 9/30/2024
1231202310092024424B4 12/30/2023
930202211102022S-1/A 10/1/2022
33120225092022S-1/A 4/2/2022
123120213092022S-1/A 1/1/2022
630202110182021S-1 7/3/2021
1231202011082021S-1/A 1/2/2021