Tearsheet

Grand Canyon Education (LOPE)


Market Price (12/24/2025): $168.15 | Market Cap: $4.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Education Services

Grand Canyon Education (LOPE)


Market Price (12/24/2025): $168.15
Market Cap: $4.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Education Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 27%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -19%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 4.3x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
  Key risks
LOPE key risks include [1] intense legal and regulatory scrutiny from federal agencies over its advertising practices and nonprofit status claims, Show more.
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.2%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Education. Themes include Online Education Platforms, Educational Technology Integration, and Workforce-Oriented Education.
  
0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 27%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.2%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Education. Themes include Online Education Platforms, Educational Technology Integration, and Workforce-Oriented Education.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -19%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 4.3x
7 Key risks
LOPE key risks include [1] intense legal and regulatory scrutiny from federal agencies over its advertising practices and nonprofit status claims, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LOPE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

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Here are the key points for why Grand Canyon Education (LOPE) stock moved by approximately -16.6% during the period from August 31, 2025, to December 24, 2025: 1. Disappointing Q3 2025 Earnings and Missed Analyst Estimates. Grand Canyon Education's Q3 2025 results, reported around November 5, 2025, revealed a significant decline in profit. The company's GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $0.58 significantly missed analysts' estimates by over 66%, overshadowing revenue growth and contributing to a stock downturn.

2. Substantial Litigation Settlement Reserve. A notable portion of the profit decrease in Q3 2025 was attributed to a $35 million reserve set aside by the company for a litigation settlement.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -20.9% change in LOPE stock from 9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a -12.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
923202512232025Change
Stock Price ($)212.63168.17-20.91%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1067.671090.522.14%
Net Income Margin (%)22.15%19.38%-12.52%
P/E Multiple25.1722.08-12.29%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)28.0027.740.91%
Cumulative Contribution-20.92%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
LOPE-20.9% 
Market (SPY)3.7%3.8%
Sector (XLY)2.7%-0.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -11.1% change in LOPE stock from 6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a -11.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
624202512232025Change
Stock Price ($)189.08168.17-11.06%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1047.641090.524.09%
Net Income Margin (%)21.94%19.38%-11.68%
P/E Multiple23.2622.08-5.10%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)28.2827.741.90%
Cumulative Contribution-11.09%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
LOPE-11.1% 
Market (SPY)13.7%3.5%
Sector (XLY)13.5%4.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 4.5% change in LOPE stock from 12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 7.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
1223202412232025Change
Stock Price ($)160.97168.174.47%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1018.711090.527.05%
Net Income Margin (%)22.09%19.38%-12.29%
P/E Multiple20.7422.086.42%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)29.0027.744.35%
Cumulative Contribution4.27%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
LOPE4.5% 
Market (SPY)16.7%38.2%
Sector (XLY)7.3%36.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 58.5% change in LOPE stock from 12/24/2022 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 32.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1224202212232025Change
Stock Price ($)106.10168.1758.50%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)903.981090.5220.64%
Net Income Margin (%)21.99%19.38%-11.87%
P/E Multiple16.7122.0832.12%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)31.3027.7411.38%
Cumulative Contribution56.45%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/24/2023 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
LOPE17.9% 
Market (SPY)48.4%38.3%
Sector (XLY)38.2%36.0%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LOPE Return-3%-8%23%25%24%3%75%
Peers Return-14%-2%19%46%42%-4%101%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LOPE Win Rate50%42%58%58%42%58% 
Peers Win Rate42%45%52%62%52%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LOPE Max Drawdown-38%-25%-9%-5%-8%-8% 
Peers Max Drawdown-40%-22%-18%-8%-9%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LOPE, STRA, ATGE, PRDO, LRN. See LOPE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/23/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLOPES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-39.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven405 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-39.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven75 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-35.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven55.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,443 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-35.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven55.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven333 days1,480 days

Compare to GHC, ATGE, FCHL, GV, MKTR

In The Past

Grand Canyon Education's stock fell -39.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/16/2021. A -39.1% loss requires a 64.3% gain to breakeven.

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About Grand Canyon Education (LOPE)

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. provides education services to colleges and universities in the United States. The company's technology services include learning management system, internal administration, infrastructure, and support services; academic services comprises program and curriculum, faculty and related training and development, class scheduling, and skills and simulation lab sites; and counseling services and support include admission, financial aid, and field experience and other counseling services. It also offers marketing and communication services, such as lead acquisition, digital communications strategy, brand identity, market research, media planning and strategy, video, and business intelligence and data science; and back-office services comprising finance and accounting, human resources, audit, and procurement services. The company, through its subsidiary, Orbis Education Services, LLC, supports healthcare education programs for 27 universities. Grand Canyon Education, Inc. was founded in 1949 and is based in Phoenix, Arizona.

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Accenture for universities.

Sodexo for university operations.

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  • Online Degree Programs: Grand Canyon Education provides a wide array of undergraduate, graduate, and doctoral degree programs delivered entirely through its online learning platform.
  • Campus-Based Degree Programs: The company offers traditional undergraduate and graduate degree programs on its physical university campus, including residential experiences and campus life activities.
  • Educational Support Services: It provides various ancillary services such as academic advising, tutoring, career development, and library resources to enhance student learning and success.
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Grand Canyon Education (symbol: LOPE) primarily sells its services to other companies/organizations, specifically educational institutions.

Major Customer:

  • Grand Canyon University (GCU) - GCU is a private, non-profit university. Following a conversion in 2018, Grand Canyon Education (LOPE) became a third-party service provider to GCU, offering a comprehensive suite of academic, marketing, enrollment, technology, and other support services. Substantially all of LOPE's revenue is derived from its services to Grand Canyon University. As a private entity, GCU does not have a public stock symbol.
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Brian E. Mueller, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board

Brian E. Mueller has served as Chief Executive Officer of Grand Canyon Education since July 1, 2008, and as Chairman of the Board since January 2017. Prior to his tenure at Grand Canyon Education, Mr. Mueller was President and a Director of Apollo Education Group, Inc., the parent company of the University of Phoenix, from 2006 to 2008. He also held various executive positions with the University of Phoenix Online, including CEO from 2002 to 2005, and Chief Operating Officer and Senior Vice President from 1997 to 2002. His career in higher education began as a professor at Concordia University from 1983 to 1987.

Daniel E. Bachus, Chief Financial Officer

Daniel E. Bachus has been the Chief Financial Officer of Grand Canyon Education since July 2008. Before joining Grand Canyon Education, Mr. Bachus served as Chief Financial Officer for Loreto Bay Company, a real estate developer, from January 2007 to June 2008. From 2000 to 2006, he was the Chief Accounting Officer and Controller of Apollo Education Group, Inc., the parent company of the University of Phoenix. He also gained experience at Deloitte & Touche LLP, where he was an Audit Senior Manager from 1992 to 2000. Mr. Bachus is a Certified Public Accountant.

W. Stan Meyer, Chief Operating Officer

W. Stan Meyer has served as Chief Operating Officer of Grand Canyon Education since July 2012. Prior to this role, he was the Executive Vice President from June 2008 to July 2012. From 2002 to 2008, Mr. Meyer was employed by Apollo Education Group, Inc., the parent company of the University of Phoenix, where his roles included Executive Vice President of Marketing and Enrollment from 2006 to 2008. He also served as Regional Vice President of the University of Phoenix Online and Division Director at Axia College and the School of Advanced Studies, all units of the University of Phoenix.

Dilek Marsh, Chief Technology Officer

Dilek Marsh has been the Chief Technology Officer of Grand Canyon Education since July 2021. Her previous roles at the company include Chief Data Officer from July 2018, Executive Vice President since July 2012, and Senior Vice President since August 2008. Ms. Marsh has accumulated over 20 years of experience in higher education, with a focus on information technology roles such as software development project management, business process design, and business analytics since 1999.

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Key Risks to Grand Canyon Education (LOPE)

  1. Regulatory and Legal Scrutiny: Grand Canyon Education (LOPE) faces significant risks due to extensive government legal action and tightening regulatory rules within the higher education sector. The Biden administration's revival of the Gainful Employment (GE) rule could jeopardize the company's eligibility for federal student loans if programs are deemed to leave graduates with excessive debt or insufficient income. Historically, Grand Canyon University (GCU), LOPE's primary partner, has been subject to legal battles and investigations, including a substantial fine from the Department of Education and a lawsuit from the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) concerning deceptive advertising practices and its nonprofit status. Although the Department of Education recently recognized GCU's nonprofit status in December 2025, reversing earlier decisions, the persistent regulatory and legal challenges represent an ongoing material risk to LOPE's operations and financial stability.
  2. High Concentration Risk on Grand Canyon University (GCU): LOPE's business model is heavily dependent on Grand Canyon University (GCU), its flagship institution and largest customer. Grand Canyon Education derives a substantial majority of its service revenue from GCU, with 90.4% of service revenue for the three months ended March 31, 2025, attributed to this partnership. Any adverse changes to GCU's operations, policies, or student enrollment, or any regulatory actions taken against GCU, could significantly impact LOPE's revenue and financial performance.
  3. Enrollment Challenges and Competitive Pressures: The company has experienced enrollment challenges, particularly with online students, which have been attributed to factors such as high enrollment during the initial stages of the pandemic and subsequent recruiting difficulties. The broader postsecondary education market has seen declining enrollment, with for-profit colleges being notably affected. Furthermore, LOPE faces demographic headwinds, including a shrinking pool of traditional high school graduates and an increasing trend toward shorter, non-degree educational pathways. The highly competitive education services market necessitates continuous innovation and value-added services to maintain market share and attract new students.

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The U.S. Department of Education's rescission of guidance related to "bundled services" offered by Online Program Managers (OPMs) under the incentive compensation ban represents a clear emerging threat. This change, which previously allowed OPMs like LOPE to engage in revenue-sharing agreements with universities, could force a shift to less profitable fee-for-service models, leading to contract renegotiations, reduced margins, and a potential decrease in demand for OPM services from partner institutions.

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Online Program Management (OPM) Services

The addressable market for Online Program Management (OPM) services in the U.S. is estimated to be $3.37 billion in 2025. This market was previously projected to reach $8.25 billion but has been revised downward due to a reduction in new OPM partnership activity. Globally, the online program management market was valued at USD 11.56 billion in 2023 and is projected to expand at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 19.87% from 2024 to 2032. Another projection indicates the global OPM market size will cross USD 7.5 billion by 2025.

Higher Education Services (U.S.)

The addressable market for higher education services in the United States, which includes both traditional on-campus and online programs, generated a revenue of USD 192,918.6 million (approximately $192.9 billion) in 2023. This market is expected to reach USD 370,409.0 million (approximately $370.4 billion) by 2030, exhibiting a CAGR of 9.8% from 2024 to 2030. Another estimate valued the U.S. higher education market size at USD 211.36 billion in 2024 and anticipates it will reach approximately USD 669.24 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 12.22% from 2025 to 2034.

Healthcare Education Services

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Grand Canyon Education (LOPE) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:

  1. Growth in Online Enrollments: The company consistently emphasizes strong performance and future expectations for its online programs. Management anticipates mid-to-high single-digit growth in new student starts and overall online enrollment. In Q2 2025, Grand Canyon University's online enrollments increased by 10.1%.
  2. Expansion of Hybrid Educational Offerings and Off-Campus Sites: GCE is actively expanding its hybrid programs and off-campus classroom and laboratory sites. Hybrid enrollments demonstrated significant year-over-year growth, increasing by 14% in Q2 2025 and 19.3% in Q3 2025 (excluding closed sites and those in teach-out). The company projects new enrollment growth rates for hybrid programs to remain in the low to mid-teens during the second half of 2025.
  3. Introduction of New Programs in High-Demand Fields: Grand Canyon Education continues to develop and roll out new academic programs, with an annual target of over 20 new offerings. The strategic focus is on expanding online and hybrid programs, particularly in fields such as healthcare and technology, and developing workforce development initiatives to address specific industry shortages.
  4. Strategic University Partnerships: As an education services provider, GCE currently partners with 22 universities. The company leverages its extensive expertise and technological infrastructure to support these partners, including services like marketing, enrollment management, curriculum development, and faculty training. Continuing to grow and deepen these partnerships, which also includes collaborations with over 5,500 employers, is a key driver for sustained revenue expansion.

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Share Repurchases

  • Grand Canyon Education has an active share repurchase program, with $136.4 million remaining available under its authorization as of November 5, 2025.
  • The company's board and management intend to continue using a significant portion of cash flows from operations for share repurchases.
  • The company repurchased approximately $47.4 million of common stock in the second quarter of 2025 and $39.5 million in the third quarter of 2025.

Inbound Investments

  • Institutional investors hold a significant portion of Grand Canyon Education's stock, with 94.17% owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.
  • Driehaus Capital Management LLC purchased a new position in shares worth approximately $15.8 million in the first quarter of 2025.
  • Foresight Group Ltd Liability Partnership also acquired a new stake worth approximately $14.4 million in the first quarter of 2025.

Capital Expenditures

  • Grand Canyon Education's capital expenditures (CapEx) for the third quarter of 2025 were approximately $9.7 million, or 3.7% of service revenue.
  • The company anticipates full-year CapEx for 2025 to be between $30 million and $35 million, comparable to prior years.
  • These capital expenditures are primarily focused on leasehold improvements and equipment for new off-campus classroom and laboratory sites, as well as technology and furniture to support employee growth.

Better Bets than Grand Canyon Education (LOPE)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to LOPE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
10.6%10.6%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.6%2.6%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.5%19.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.9%3.9%-1.6%
LOPE_10312021_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312021LOPEGrand Canyon EducationDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
20.4%26.3%-11.9%
LOPE_9302020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302020LOPEGrand Canyon EducationDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
34.0%10.0%-3.1%
LOPE_1312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01312020LOPEGrand Canyon EducationDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.4%8.5%-24.2%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Grand Canyon Education

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LOPESTRAATGEPRDOLRNMedian
NameGrand Ca.Strategi.Adtalem .Perdoceo.Stride  
Mkt Price168.1780.16103.6229.7365.4580.16
Mkt Cap4.71.83.71.92.82.8
Rev LTM1,0911,2561,8338112,4751,256
Op Inc LTM297182358227441297
FCF LTM242132323195312242
FCF 3Y Avg223109243159223223
CFO LTM279175379203379279
CFO 3Y Avg262149288166287262

Growth & Margins

LOPESTRAATGEPRDOLRNMedian
NameGrand Ca.Strategi.Adtalem .Perdoceo.Stride  
Rev Chg LTM7.0%3.7%12.2%24.2%17.3%12.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.5%5.6%8.2%7.1%13.1%7.1%
Rev Chg Q9.6%4.6%10.8%24.8%12.7%10.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.1%1.1%2.5%5.5%2.9%2.5%
Op Mgn LTM27.2%14.5%19.5%27.9%17.8%19.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg26.6%12.0%17.1%28.2%14.1%17.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%1.0%0.3%-0.8%0.4%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM25.6%13.9%20.7%25.0%15.3%20.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg25.8%12.4%17.3%22.7%13.1%17.3%
FCF/Rev LTM22.2%10.5%17.6%24.0%12.6%17.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg21.8%9.0%14.5%21.7%10.1%14.5%

Valuation

LOPESTRAATGEPRDOLRNMedian
NameGrand Ca.Strategi.Adtalem .Perdoceo.Stride  
Mkt Cap4.71.83.71.92.82.8
P/S4.31.42.02.41.12.0
P/EBIT14.79.910.48.96.79.9
P/E22.115.914.812.39.014.8
P/CFO16.710.49.99.57.59.9
Total Yield4.5%9.5%6.8%10.0%11.1%9.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.2%0.0%1.9%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.1%5.4%7.9%10.0%6.1%6.1%
D/E0.00.10.20.10.20.1
Net D/E-0.0-0.00.1-0.3-0.0-0.0

Returns

LOPESTRAATGEPRDOLRNMedian
NameGrand Ca.Strategi.Adtalem .Perdoceo.Stride  
1M Rtn5.0%3.5%11.0%3.8%-0.2%3.8%
3M Rtn-20.9%-3.4%-28.1%-16.2%-54.0%-20.9%
6M Rtn-11.1%-6.0%-17.9%-7.9%-54.7%-11.1%
12M Rtn4.5%-10.9%16.2%16.0%-37.5%4.5%
3Y Rtn58.5%6.8%186.5%122.8%102.9%102.9%
1M Excs Rtn0.3%-1.2%6.3%-0.8%-4.8%-0.8%
3M Excs Rtn-24.5%-7.4%-32.8%-20.8%-58.8%-24.5%
6M Excs Rtn-22.7%-17.8%-29.3%-19.8%-67.2%-22.7%
12M Excs Rtn-14.7%-31.0%-0.6%-4.3%-56.1%-14.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-18.9%-70.7%108.4%53.4%21.1%21.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Service revenue961911897844779
Total961911897844779


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$168.17 
Market Cap ($ Bil)4.7 
First Trading Date11/20/2008 
Distance from 52W High-23.7% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$176.50$185.34
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-4.7%-9.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility33.6%30.3%
Downside Capture27.7021.05
Upside Capture-88.3622.05
Correlation (SPY)2.9%38.2%
LOPE Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.220.130.190.180.610.61
Up Beta-0.080.650.510.980.730.78
Down Beta0.350.260.450.730.890.72
Up Capture-178%-114%-60%-41%17%17%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days7183362131394
Down Capture155%89%59%-3%44%69%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days13243062116355

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of LOPE With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 LOPESector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return4.8%7.8%18.8%72.9%9.0%3.7%-11.4%
Annualized Volatility30.2%24.3%19.5%19.2%15.3%17.2%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio0.160.250.762.720.360.05-0.14
Correlation With Other Assets 35.8%37.7%5.1%10.5%41.9%14.4%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of LOPE With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 LOPESector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return12.4%9.9%14.8%18.9%11.8%4.7%35.5%
Annualized Volatility29.9%23.8%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.9%
Sharpe Ratio0.430.380.700.980.510.160.62
Correlation With Other Assets 31.3%33.4%6.5%6.9%29.0%12.5%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of LOPE With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 LOPESector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return15.8%13.2%14.8%15.1%6.8%5.4%69.1%
Annualized Volatility31.0%22.0%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.540.550.710.850.310.230.90
Correlation With Other Assets 35.8%38.8%3.5%12.8%32.6%8.9%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity645,563
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202519.1%
Average Daily Volume355,196
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.82
Basic Shares Quantity27,740,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.3%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-6.3%-4.7%-15.4%
8/6/202513.2%15.1%18.7%
5/6/20254.6%5.2%2.7%
2/19/20251.8%-2.5%-7.6%
11/6/20242.1%5.1%4.8%
8/6/2024-3.5%-3.0%-3.6%
5/7/20245.2%3.4%3.1%
2/13/20241.8%-1.1%1.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151214
# Negative91210
Median Positive4.6%6.1%5.6%
Median Negative-5.4%-5.4%-12.9%
Max Positive14.9%16.1%26.5%
Max Negative-16.0%-12.3%-29.8%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023213202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021216202210-K 12/31/2021