Bright Horizons Family Solutions (BFAM)
Market Price (4/18/2026): $84.76 | Market Cap: $4.8 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Specialized Consumer Services
Bright Horizons Family Solutions (BFAM)
Market Price (4/18/2026): $84.76Market Cap: $4.8 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Specialized Consumer Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.4% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, Future of Work & Talent Management, and Demographics & Social Change. Themes include Geriatric Care, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -61%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -62% | Key risksBFAM key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on employer-sponsored contracts vulnerable to economic downturns and [2] sustained enrollment challenges leading to center closures. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.4% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, Future of Work & Talent Management, and Demographics & Social Change. Themes include Geriatric Care, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -61%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -62% |
| Key risksBFAM key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on employer-sponsored contracts vulnerable to economic downturns and [2] sustained enrollment challenges leading to center closures. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Bright Horizons Family Solutions (BFAM) experienced a significant stock decline, with shares losing approximately 19% since December 31, 2025, largely due to weak fiscal year 2026 financial guidance. The company's projections for full-year 2026 revenue, in the range of $3.075 billion to $3.125 billion, and diluted adjusted earnings per share (EPS) between $4.90 and $5.10, fell short of Wall Street's expectations. This guidance disappointed investors, contributing to a notable stock price drop of 19.3% on February 13, 2026, following the Q4 2025 earnings release.
2. The company's fourth-quarter 2025 GAAP net income declined substantially, exacerbated by increased plans for underperforming center closures. Bright Horizons reported a 25% decrease in GAAP net income for Q4 2025, reaching $21.7 million, and a 24% decrease in diluted EPS to $0.38, primarily due to $14.8 million in impairment and net lease termination costs. Additionally, the company announced plans to close 45 to 50 underperforming centers in 2026, nearly double its previous estimate, which is anticipated to create a 200-basis-point headwind to full-service revenue growth.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -16.4% change in BFAM stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/17/2026 was primarily driven by a -14.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 101.40 | 84.76 | -16.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,874 | 2,934 | 2.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.0% | 6.6% | -5.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 28.8 | 24.7 | -14.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 57 | 56 | 1.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -16.4% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BFAM | -16.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 2.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | 0.8% | 19.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -21.9% change in BFAM stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/17/2026 was primarily driven by a -29.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 108.57 | 84.76 | -21.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,790 | 2,934 | 5.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 35.1 | 24.7 | -29.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 57 | 56 | 1.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -21.9% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BFAM | -21.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 4.1% |
| Sector (XLY) | 0.7% | 26.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -33.3% change in BFAM stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/17/2026 was primarily driven by a -52.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 127.04 | 84.76 | -33.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,686 | 2,934 | 9.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.2% | 6.6% | 26.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 52.4 | 24.7 | -52.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 58 | 56 | 2.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -33.3% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BFAM | -33.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 28.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | 22.7% | 35.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 10.1% change in BFAM stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/17/2026 was primarily driven by a 64.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 76.99 | 84.76 | 10.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,020 | 2,934 | 45.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.0% | 6.6% | 64.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 54.9 | 24.7 | -55.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 58 | 56 | 2.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 10.1% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BFAM | 10.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 31.1% |
| Sector (XLY) | 64.7% | 30.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BFAM Return | -27% | -50% | 49% | 18% | -9% | -16% | -51% |
| Peers Return | -0% | 19% | 51% | 25% | -22% | 4% | 81% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 3% | 87% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BFAM Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 58% | 50% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 46% | 54% | 63% | 48% | 50% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BFAM Max Drawdown | -34% | -56% | 0% | -2% | -17% | -34% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -22% | -19% | -7% | -15% | -30% | -17% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: KLC, ATGE, LOPE, LRN, STRA. See BFAM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/17/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BFAM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -69.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 225.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -60.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 149.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 330 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -14.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 17.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 66 days | 120 days |
Compare to KLC, ATGE, LOPE, LRN, STRA
In The Past
Bright Horizons Family Solutions's stock fell -69.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2021. A -69.3% loss requires a 225.9% gain to breakeven.
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About Bright Horizons Family Solutions (BFAM)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Bright Horizons Family Solutions (BFAM):
- Bright Horizons Family Solutions is like **Sodexo or Aramark for corporate employee family support services**, managing and providing everything from childcare centers to educational advising programs for employers.
- Think of them as a **premium, employer-sponsored KinderCare or Goddard School**, with added services for backup care and educational benefits for employees.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Bright Horizons Family Solutions (BFAM) provides the following major services:
- Full Service Child Care & Early Education: Offers traditional center-based child care, early education, preschool, and elementary education programs.
- Back-Up Care Services: Provides flexible short-term care solutions including center-based, in-home child and elder care, school-age camps, and virtual tutoring.
- Educational Advisory Services: Delivers college admissions advice and related educational consulting services for families.
- Workforce Education & Tuition Programs: Manages employer-sponsored tuition assistance, student loan repayment, and workforce education programs.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Bright Horizons Family Solutions (BFAM) primarily sells its services to other companies, specifically employers.
Bright Horizons provides a range of workplace solutions, including early education and child care, back-up care, and educational advisory services. These services are typically offered by employers to their employees as benefits. Therefore, the direct customers for a significant portion of Bright Horizons' business are other companies (employers) who contract with Bright Horizons to provide these solutions.
The background information provided does not list the names of specific customer companies that Bright Horizons serves.
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Stephen Kramer, Chief Executive Officer, President and Director
Stephen Kramer joined Bright Horizons in 2006 through the acquisition of College Coach®, a company he co-founded and led in 1998. He was named CEO in January 2018 and President in 2016, having previously served in various leadership positions within Bright Horizons, including Chief Development Officer and Managing Director, Europe. Earlier in his career, he led the Education Practice at Fidelity Ventures and was a Healthcare Consultant with Arthur D. Little. He also serves on the board and Audit Committee of Domino's Pizza, Inc.
Elizabeth J. Boland, Chief Financial Officer
Elizabeth J. Boland has served as the Chief Financial Officer of Bright Horizons Family Solutions since June 1999, having joined the company in 1997. With over 25 years as the company's CFO, her prior experience includes roles at PricewaterhouseCoopers, as Vice President-Finance for Olsten Corporation, and as Chief Financial Officer for The Visionaries, Inc. She also serves on the board of The Children's Place, Inc.
Mary Lou Burke-Afonso, Chief Operating Officer, North America Center Operations
Mary Lou Burke-Afonso is the Chief Operating Officer of North America Center Operations for Bright Horizons Family Solutions.
Mandy Berman, Chief Operating Officer, Back-Up Care and Emerging Care Services
Mandy Berman serves as the Chief Operating Officer of Back-Up Care and Emerging Care Services, and Executive Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer at Bright Horizons Family Solutions.
Rosamund Marshall, Managing Director, International
Rosamund Marshall holds the position of Managing Director, International at Bright Horizons Family Solutions.
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Key Business Risks for Bright Horizons Family Solutions (BFAM)
Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. (BFAM) faces several key risks, primarily centered around evolving workforce needs, operational challenges related to staffing, and a highly competitive market landscape.
- Shifting Workforce Dynamics and Demand for Childcare Services: A significant risk for Bright Horizons stems from changes in workforce dynamics, such as the adoption of hybrid work models or a reversal in the trend of employees returning to physical offices. The COVID-19 pandemic demonstrated how such shifts can drastically impact the occupancy rates of their childcare centers and, consequently, their operating profit. Economic downturns can also reduce the overall demand for childcare services as families seek alternative arrangements. Given that full-service center-based child care constitutes the largest portion of Bright Horizons' revenue (71-74%), fundamental changes in how and where parents work pose a substantial threat to their core business model.
- Labor Availability, Staffing Challenges, and Wage Pressure: As a service-based business, Bright Horizons is highly dependent on its ability to attract and retain qualified staff for its childcare and educational centers. Difficulty in securing sufficient labor, coupled with increasing wage pressure, can significantly impact the company's operational capacity, service quality, and overall profitability. This is explicitly identified as a key risk in their financial filings.
- Intense Competition and Market Fragmentation: Bright Horizons operates within a highly fragmented and competitive market. The company faces competition from a diverse range of providers, including large national childcare chains such as KinderCare Education and Learning Care Group, as well as corporate-sponsored centers and various in-home care services. This intense competition can lead to pricing pressures and necessitates continuous investment in marketing and brand differentiation to maintain market share and attract new clients.
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The widespread shift to remote and hybrid work models, reducing the demand for employer-sponsored, on-site, full-service center-based child care solutions.
The emergence of increasingly sophisticated direct-to-consumer and direct-to-employer digital platforms for comprehensive care services, offering alternative models for sourcing and managing child and elder care.
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Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. (BFAM) operates in several addressable markets related to child care and educational advisory services. The market sizes for their main products and services, by region, are detailed below.Full Service Center-Based Child Care and Back-Up Care
- Global: The global child care market is estimated at US$ 245.1 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to US$ 427.48 billion by 2035, rising at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.72% from 2026 to 2035.
- United States: The U.S. child care market size was estimated at USD 65.15 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 109.88 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 6.02% from 2025 to 2033.
- United Kingdom: The UK child care services market generated a revenue of USD 14,379.4 million (approximately USD 14.38 billion) in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 16,122.6 million by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 1.9% from 2025 to 2030.
- Canada: The Canada child care services market generated a revenue of USD 13,762.0 million (approximately USD 13.76 billion) in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 17,877.1 million by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 4.5% from 2025 to 2030.
- India: The India child care services market generated a revenue of USD 19,320.1 million (approximately USD 19.32 billion) in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 25,892.3 million by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 5% from 2025 to 2030.
- Netherlands: A specific market size in USD for the Netherlands childcare services was not explicitly available in the provided search results. However, the Netherlands day care market is characterized by high demand for quality childcare services.
Educational Advisory and Other Services
- College Admissions Advisory Services: The global college admissions consulting market size was valued at $2.3 billion in 2024 and is forecasted to hit $6.8 billion by 2033, growing at a robust CAGR of 12.8%.
- Workforce Education (including tuition assistance and student loan repayment program administration): The global technical and vocational education market size, which encompasses workforce education, was estimated at USD 812.3 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 1,432.9 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 10.0% from 2025 to 2030.
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Bright Horizons Family Solutions (BFAM) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:- Increased Utilization and Penetration of Back-Up Care Services: The Back-Up Care segment has consistently been a strong growth driver for Bright Horizons, with significant revenue increases reported and forecasted. The company's focus remains on scaling this business by expanding unique users within existing clients and leveraging employer partnerships to deepen its impact.
- Enrollment Gains and Tuition Price Increases in Full Service Center-Based Child Care: Revenue growth in the Full Service Center-Based Child Care segment is expected to continue through steady enrollment gains and strategic tuition price increases. While there are some headwinds from net center closures, these increases and enrollment improvements contribute to the segment's performance.
- Expansion and Deepening of Employer Relationships: Bright Horizons aims to grow its client base and strengthen existing employer relationships across all its services. This includes acquiring new clients and increasing the adoption of multiple services (cross-service adoption) within current employer partnerships, particularly for back-up care and educational advisory services which have a broader addressable market.
- Growth in Educational Advisory and Other Services: The Educational Advisory segment is anticipated to contribute to long-term growth. The company is making targeted investments in technology and product development, and new client acquisitions, particularly in sectors like education and healthcare, are fueling this segment's expansion.
- Optimization of the Center Portfolio: Bright Horizons is strategically closing 45 to 50 underperforming centers in the coming years to improve operational efficiency and overall profitability. This rationalization of the portfolio, by focusing on more viable locations and enhancing utilization rates, is expected to support sustainable revenue quality and margin expansion across the full-service segment.
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Capital Allocation Decisions for Bright Horizons Family Solutions (BFAM) Over the Last 3-5 Years
Share Repurchases
- Bright Horizons Family Solutions authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $600 million on March 9, 2026.
- This new authorization replaces a previous $500 million program from June 2025, which had approximately $127.6 million remaining.
- The company repurchased $225 million of common stock in 2025, with about $120 million of those repurchases occurring in the fourth quarter of 2025.
Share Issuance
- On March 4, 2026, the Chief Operating Officer of North America Center Operations was awarded 7,260 restricted stock units (RSUs) that vest on the third anniversary of the grant date.
- Also on March 4, 2026, the Managing Director of International Operations was granted 4,950 restricted stock units, vesting entirely on the third anniversary of the grant date.
Outbound Investments
- In May 2022, Bright Horizons acquired Only About Children (OAC), a provider of child care and early education in Australia, for AUD$450 million (approximately USD$320 million).
Capital Expenditures
- Capital investments by Bright Horizons totaled $91 million in 2025, slightly down from $95 million in 2024.
- These capital expenditures in 2025, amounting to $91.3 million, were primarily focused on fixed asset purchases for maintenance, refurbishments in existing centers, technological advancements, and the establishment of new child care centers.
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| 02292020 | BFAM | Bright Horizons Family Solutions | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -13.5% | 1.6% | -55.5% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 84.76 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.2 |
| Rev LTM | 2,519 |
| Op Inc LTM | 303 |
| FCF LTM | 179 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 199 |
| CFO LTM | 248 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 263 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 12.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.5% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 27.6% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 26.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 15.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.2 |
| P/S | 1.6 |
| P/Op Inc | 9.4 |
| P/EBIT | 9.9 |
| P/E | 14.6 |
| P/CFO | 13.6 |
| Total Yield | 4.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 10.7% |
| 3M Rtn | -1.9% |
| 6M Rtn | -17.3% |
| 12M Rtn | -27.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 6.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -5.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -24.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -60.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -62.1% |
FDA Approved Drugs Data
Expand for More| Post-Approval Fwd Returns | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDA App # | Brand Name | Generic Name | Dosage Form | FDA Approval | 3M Rtn | 6M Rtn | 1Y Rtn | 2Y Rtn | Total Rtn |
| ANDA215343 | FLUTICASONE PROPIONATE | fluticasone propionate | ointment | 9012023 | -7.2% | 20.1% | 45.6% | 22.1% | -12.4% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full-service center-based child care | 1,781 | 1,494 | 1,297 | 1,032 | 1,684 |
| Back-up care | 526 | 410 | 351 | 388 | 296 |
| Educational advisory services | 112 | 117 | 107 | 95 | 82 |
| Total | 2,418 | 2,020 | 1,755 | 1,515 | 2,062 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Back-up care | 136 | 119 | 115 | 183 | 80 |
| Educational advisory services | 26 | 26 | 22 | 26 | 21 |
| Full-service center-based child care | 9 | 13 | -8 | -155 | 166 |
| Total | 171 | 158 | 129 | 53 | 268 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $84.76 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 4.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/25/2013 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -35.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $78.57 | $99.41 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | 7.9% | -14.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 47.3% | 39.0% |
| Downside Capture | -0.11 | 0.22 |
| Upside Capture | -129.94 | -7.88 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 0.3% | 9.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.04 | -0.18 | 0.09 | 0.15 | 0.61 | 0.73 |
| Up Beta | 0.27 | 2.08 | 1.71 | 0.79 | 0.82 | 0.88 |
| Down Beta | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.60 | 0.61 |
| Up Capture | 76% | -124% | -88% | -34% | 5% | 34% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 16 | 27 | 33 | 61 | 117 | 376 |
| Down Capture | -52% | -18% | 34% | 38% | 75% | 91% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 6 | 15 | 30 | 65 | 134 | 374 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BFAM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFAM | -26.1% | 38.8% | -0.70 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 28.4% | 19.5% | 1.16 | 22.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 21.1% | 12.9% | 1.32 | 9.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 50.9% | 27.5% | 1.49 | -18.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 25.2% | 16.2% | 1.40 | -14.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 17.5% | 13.7% | 0.93 | 19.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -10.5% | 42.6% | -0.14 | -3.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BFAM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFAM | -12.1% | 36.6% | -0.26 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 7.2% | 23.8% | 0.26 | 37.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 10.8% | 17.1% | 0.49 | 38.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.6% | 17.8% | 1.04 | 1.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.8% | 0.51 | 6.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.4% | 18.8% | 0.14 | 41.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.6% | 56.5% | 0.30 | 14.8% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BFAM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFAM | 3.1% | 35.1% | 0.19 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 13.1% | 22.0% | 0.55 | 44.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 46.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.3% | 15.9% | 0.75 | 1.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.5% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 14.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 47.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.0% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 10.8% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/12/2026 | -18.2% | -11.6% | -6.6% |
| 10/30/2025 | 18.4% | 6.0% | 12.7% |
| 7/31/2025 | 10.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% |
| 5/5/2025 | -4.3% | -3.0% | 1.0% |
| 2/13/2025 | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% |
| 11/4/2024 | -12.8% | -14.3% | -10.7% |
| 8/1/2024 | 14.1% | 11.5% | 18.8% |
| 5/2/2024 | 6.7% | 8.5% | 4.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 13 | 17 |
| # Negative | 12 | 11 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% |
| Median Negative | -7.4% | -11.6% | -10.7% |
| Max Positive | 18.4% | 26.1% | 21.4% |
| Max Negative | -18.2% | -26.4% | -28.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/06/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 3.08 Bil | 3.10 Bil | 3.12 Bil | 6.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 2.92 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Diluted Adjusted Earnings Per Common Share | 4.9 | 5 | 5.1 | 11.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 4.5 for 2025 | |
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/30/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Revenue | 2.92 Bil | 0.5% | Raised | Guidance: 2.91 Bil for 2025 | |||
| 2025 Diluted Adjusted EPS | 4.48 | 4.5 | 4.53 | 7.3% | Raised | Guidance: 4.2 for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burke, Mary Lou | COO North America Center Ops | Direct | Sell | 10022025 | 108.52 | 1,000 | 108,520 | 2,870,245 | Form |
| 2 | Burke, Mary Lou | COO North America Center Ops | Direct | Sell | 9032025 | 116.49 | 1,000 | 116,490 | 3,197,534 | Form |
| 3 | Tocio, Mary Ann | Direct | Sell | 8062025 | 120.10 | 3,000 | 360,286 | 2,189,701 | Form | |
| 4 | Burke, Mary Lou | COO North America Center Ops | Direct | Sell | 8042025 | 128.99 | 1,000 | 128,990 | 3,669,637 | Form |
| 5 | Burke, Mary Lou | COO North America Center Ops | Direct | Sell | 7022025 | 122.56 | 1,000 | 122,560 | 3,609,269 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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