Airbnb (ABNB)
Market Price (8/9/2026): $178.05 | Market Cap: $105.4 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Airbnb (ABNB)
Market Price (8/9/2026): $178.05Market Cap: $105.4 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, CFO LTM is 4.9 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.9 Bil Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 11 Bil Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -6.2%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 8.0x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 36x Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% Key risksABNB key risks include [1] escalating global regulatory pressure on short-term rentals that directly threatens its host supply and profitability and [2] intensifying competition from traditional hotels and rival online platforms. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, CFO LTM is 4.9 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.9 Bil |
| Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 11 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -6.2%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 8.0x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 36x |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Key risksABNB key risks include [1] escalating global regulatory pressure on short-term rentals that directly threatens its host supply and profitability and [2] intensifying competition from traditional hotels and rival online platforms. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Airbnb (ABNB) stock has gained about 25% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Airbnb exceeded fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026) expectations and provided a strong outlook.
The company reported diluted earnings per share of $1.37, surpassing analyst estimates of $1.26 by 14.17%. Revenue also climbed 16.5% year-over-year to $3.61 billion, beating the consensus estimate of $3.58 billion. This robust performance was further amplified by a 10% year-over-year increase in Nights and Seats Booked, reaching 148.3 million, and a 16% rise in Gross Booking Value (GBV) to $27.2 billion. Moreover, Airbnb raised its full-year 2026 revenue growth outlook to "at least mid-teens" and increased its adjusted EBITDA margin forecast to "at least 35.5%," signaling sustained confidence in future profitability.
2. Accelerated global travel demand significantly boosted bookings and average daily rates.
Airbnb experienced a broad-based acceleration in travel demand, with notable strength in core markets such as the United States, France, the United Kingdom, and Australia, and robust growth in expansion markets like India, Brazil, and Japan. North America, in particular, saw its strongest growth in Nights and Seats Booked in almost three years during fiscal Q2 2026. A contributing factor was the FIFA World Cup 2026™, which drove record guest numbers and host earnings across North American host cities, generating significant travel activity on the platform. The average daily rate (ADR) also increased by 5% in fiscal Q2 2026, reaching $184.
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Airbnb (ABNB) stock has gained about 25% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Airbnb exceeded fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026) expectations and provided a strong outlook.
The company reported diluted earnings per share of $1.37, surpassing analyst estimates of $1.26 by 14.17%. Revenue also climbed 16.5% year-over-year to $3.61 billion, beating the consensus estimate of $3.58 billion. This robust performance was further amplified by a 10% year-over-year increase in Nights and Seats Booked, reaching 148.3 million, and a 16% rise in Gross Booking Value (GBV) to $27.2 billion. Moreover, Airbnb raised its full-year 2026 revenue growth outlook to "at least mid-teens" and increased its adjusted EBITDA margin forecast to "at least 35.5%," signaling sustained confidence in future profitability.
2. Accelerated global travel demand significantly boosted bookings and average daily rates.
Airbnb experienced a broad-based acceleration in travel demand, with notable strength in core markets such as the United States, France, the United Kingdom, and Australia, and robust growth in expansion markets like India, Brazil, and Japan. North America, in particular, saw its strongest growth in Nights and Seats Booked in almost three years during fiscal Q2 2026. A contributing factor was the FIFA World Cup 2026™, which drove record guest numbers and host earnings across North American host cities, generating significant travel activity on the platform. The average daily rate (ADR) also increased by 5% in fiscal Q2 2026, reaching $184.
3. Strategic product innovations, including AI integration and expansion into new offerings, enhanced platform appeal and competitiveness.
Airbnb's "2026 Summer Release," launched on May 20, 2026, introduced a suite of new services and experiences, such as car rentals, grocery delivery, and airport pickups, aiming to make trips more comprehensive and convenient for guests. The company emphasized its transformation into an "AI-native company," leveraging AI-driven product improvements to accelerate innovation and enhance user engagement. Furthermore, Airbnb's strategic push into boutique and independent hotels demonstrated strong results, with hotel nights growing approximately three times faster than traditional home bookings, diversifying its offerings and appealing to a broader customer base.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 26.9% change in ABNB stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 16.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302026 | 8092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 140.36 | 178.05 | 26.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 12,241 | 13,159 | 7.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 20.5% | 20.4% | -0.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 33.8 | 39.2 | 16.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 604 | 592 | 2.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 26.9% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2026 to 8/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ABNB | 26.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.6% | 22.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | 1.3% | 42.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 37.6% change in ABNB stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 30.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 8092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 129.37 | 178.05 | 37.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 11,943 | 13,159 | 10.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 22.0% | 20.4% | -7.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 30.0 | 39.2 | 30.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 611 | 592 | 3.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 37.6% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 8/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ABNB | 37.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.1% | 41.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | -0.9% | 52.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 34.5% change in ABNB stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 20.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 8092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 132.41 | 178.05 | 34.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 11,232 | 13,159 | 17.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 22.6% | 20.4% | -9.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 32.4 | 39.2 | 20.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 621 | 592 | 4.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 34.5% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 8/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ABNB | 34.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 23.4% | 41.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | 8.9% | 50.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 17.0% change in ABNB stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 51.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 7312023 | 8092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 152.19 | 178.05 | 17.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 8,708 | 13,159 | 51.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 23.3% | 20.4% | -12.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 47.6 | 39.2 | -17.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 634 | 592 | 7.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 17.0% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2023 to 8/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ABNB | 17.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.9% | 54.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | 41.1% | 57.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ABNB Return | 13% | -49% | 59% | -3% | 3% | 12% | 3% |
| Peers Return | 28% | -20% | 58% | 29% | 19% | 9% | 170% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 105% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ABNB Win Rate | 58% | 33% | 67% | 58% | 58% | 62% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 45% | 62% | 63% | 60% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ABNB Max Drawdown | -39% | -56% | -26% | -33% | -35% | -17% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -21% | -39% | -18% | -20% | -30% | -22% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: BKNG, EXPE, MAR, HLT, H. See ABNB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/7/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ABNB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -33.1% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 486 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -25.6% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.4% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 191 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -23.2% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.3% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 91 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -10.3% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 11.5% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 8 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -48.4% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 93.8% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1499 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Airbnb's stock fell -33.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 49.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | ABNB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -33.1% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 486 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -25.6% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.4% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 191 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -23.2% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.3% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 91 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -48.4% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 93.8% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1499 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Airbnb's stock fell -33.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 49.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Airbnb (ABNB)
Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) operates as a leading global online marketplace connecting individuals who want to rent out their properties or offer unique activities (hosts) with travelers seeking accommodation or experiences (guests). The company's innovative platform leverages web and mobile technologies to facilitate these transactions, essentially acting as an intermediary that streamlines the booking process for both parties worldwide.
The core of Airbnb's offerings centers on short-term rentals, encompassing a wide variety of lodging options such as private rooms, entire primary residences, and vacation homes. Beyond just accommodation, the platform also enables hosts to list and manage "experiences," which are curated activities like cooking classes, walking tours, or local adventures, providing guests with a more immersive travel experience.
Airbnb serves a diverse global customer base, primarily comprising property owners or individuals with spare rooms looking to earn income as hosts, and travelers seeking alternatives to conventional hotels. These guests typically look for unique stays, a sense of local immersion, or more spacious and personalized lodging options, catering to both leisure and business travel markets across the globe.
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1. eBay for private accommodations
2. Expedia for unique stays and experiences
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Major Products and Services of Airbnb (ABNB)
- Stays: A global marketplace connecting guests with hosts offering a diverse range of accommodations, including private rooms, entire homes, and vacation rentals.
- Experiences: A platform for hosts to offer unique activities and tours, allowing guests to discover and book immersive local experiences.
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Airbnb (ABNB) sells primarily to individuals. Its major customer categories include:
- Leisure Travelers: Individuals, couples, families, and groups seeking short-term accommodations for vacations, holidays, and recreational trips.
- Business Travelers: Professionals and teams utilizing the platform for work-related travel, including individual business trips, team off-sites, and project-based stays.
- Long-Term Stay Guests: Individuals and families requiring extended accommodations for purposes such as relocation, temporary assignments, or extended personal travel.
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- Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
- Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)
- PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL)
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Brian Chesky, Chief Executive Officer
Brian Chesky is the co-founder and Chief Executive Officer of Airbnb. He sets the vision and strategy for the company. In 2007, he and Joe Gebbia became Airbnb's first hosts. A graduate of the Rhode Island School of Design, Chesky has embedded his creative roots in Airbnb's culture, product, and community. Prior to co-founding Airbnb, he worked as an industrial designer.
Ellie Mertz, Chief Financial Officer
Ellie Mertz has served as Chief Financial Officer of Airbnb since March 2024. She oversees Airbnb's global finance team, including financial planning and analysis, accounting, tax, treasury, and investor relations. Mertz joined Airbnb in 2013 as Head of Global Financial Planning & Analysis and became Vice President of Finance in 2019. Before joining Airbnb, she held various finance roles, including Vice President of Finance, at Netflix from 2006 to 2013. She also serves on the boards of directors for DoorDash, Faire Wholesale, and Netflix.
Dave Stephenson, Chief Business Officer and Head of Employee Experience
Dave Stephenson is currently the Chief Business Officer and Head of Employee Experience at Airbnb. In this role, he focuses on growing global businesses, recruiting and developing supply, and executing global in-market strategy, while also overseeing talent, leadership development, and diversity initiatives. He previously served as Airbnb's Chief Financial Officer for five years. Prior to joining Airbnb in January 2019, Stephenson spent 17 years at Amazon, where he was Vice President and CFO of their Worldwide Consumer Organization and CFO of Amazon's International Consumer business. He also led the finance function across areas like Amazon Web Services. Earlier in his career, he was President and CFO of Big Fish Games and started as a manufacturing engineer and finance manager at Procter and Gamble. Stephenson serves on the boards of Lyft and SiriusXM.
Nathan Blecharczyk, Co-founder and Chief Strategy Officer
Nathan (Nate) Blecharczyk is a co-founder of Airbnb and serves as its Chief Strategy Officer. He also holds the position of Chairman of Airbnb China. Blecharczyk received a Bachelor of Arts degree in Computer Science from Harvard University. He is a signatory to the Giving Pledge.
Aristotle Balogh, Chief Technology Officer
Aristotle Balogh serves as the Chief Technology Officer at Airbnb. Further background details were not readily available in the provided search results.
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The key risks to Airbnb (ABNB) are primarily centered around evolving regulatory environments, intense competition, and the critical need to maintain a strong base of hosts and guests.
- Regulatory and Compliance Risks: Airbnb faces significant and ever-changing regulatory challenges globally. Numerous cities and governments have implemented or are considering strict laws, zoning restrictions, permit requirements, and taxes specifically targeting short-term rentals. These regulations aim to address concerns such as housing affordability, neighborhood impact, and safety. Non-compliance can lead to substantial fines, operational disruptions, and in some cases, outright prohibitions on short-term rentals, directly impacting Airbnb's ability to operate in key markets and potentially reducing its host supply.
- Competition: The travel and hospitality industry is highly competitive, posing a significant risk to Airbnb's market share and pricing power. The company faces formidable competition from traditional hotel chains, many of which are expanding their own vacation rental offerings, as well as from other established online travel agencies (OTAs) like Booking.com and Expedia Group. These competitors often possess substantial financial resources, established brand recognition, and extensive customer loyalty programs. This intense competitive landscape can lead to pressure on Average Daily Rates (ADR) and a constant need for innovation to differentiate its platform.
- Host and Guest Retention and Supply/Demand Dynamics: Airbnb's marketplace model is highly dependent on its ability to attract and retain a diverse base of high-quality hosts and a consistent flow of guests. Risks include potential host dissatisfaction due to evolving platform policies, increasing fees, or stringent guest-first rules, which could lead some hosts to seek alternative platforms or exit the short-term rental market altogether. On the guest side, maintaining the platform's appeal and ensuring consistent quality experiences are crucial. The business is also sensitive to broader macroeconomic conditions, changes in discretionary travel spending, and general fluctuations in supply and demand within the travel and hospitality industries.
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The increasing global trend of stringent regulations and restrictions on short-term rentals in major cities and tourist destinations represents a clear emerging threat to Airbnb. Governments and local authorities worldwide are implementing new laws, higher taxes, registration requirements, and even outright bans or strict caps on rental days (e.g., New York, Paris, Barcelona, London), directly impacting the supply of listings, operational costs for hosts, and Airbnb's ability to operate and expand in key markets. This regulatory environment is becoming more widespread and aggressive, posing a significant challenge to Airbnb's core business model and growth.
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For the public company Airbnb (symbol: ABNB), the addressable markets for its main products and services are as follows:
Stays (Accommodation Market)
Airbnb's total addressable market (TAM) for stays is estimated to be approximately $2.01 trillion globally. This figure is based on their IPO documents, which identified a market of $1.8 trillion for short-term stays and $210 billion for long-term stays.
Other estimates for the global accommodation market include:
- The global travel accommodation market was valued at $961.6 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach $2,187.5 billion by 2034.
- The global alternative accommodation market was estimated at $127.28 billion in 2021 and is projected to reach $504.95 billion by 2030.
- The global travel accommodation market was valued at $797.7 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $3,144.7 billion by 2035.
Experiences Market
Airbnb's IPO documents claimed a total addressable market (TAM) for Experiences of a striking $1.4 trillion globally. This figure includes $239 billion in recreational leisure spend by tourists and another $1.1 trillion in non-travel-related recreational spend.
Other analyses of the global experiences market indicate:
- The global market for tours, activities, and attractions is projected to reach $271 billion in 2025 and $342 billion by 2029.
- The global market for travel experiences (destination visitors) could be more than $1 trillion.
- The global experience travel services market size was valued at USD 138.00 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 372.93 billion by 2034.
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Airbnb (ABNB) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:
- Expansion of Offerings and Services: Airbnb plans to significantly broaden its platform beyond traditional short-term stays to include a wider range of services and experiences. This includes an expansion into boutique and independent hotel offerings, as well as the ambition to launch two new business lines annually, such as a "Host Services Marketplace" for cleaners and chefs. The company is also focusing on local experiences, positioning itself as a "weekend lifestyle app" rather than solely a travel tool, and testing new services like grocery delivery and airport pickup.
- Product Innovations and Enhanced User Experience: Airbnb is focused on continuous product improvements and pricing initiatives to simplify booking and improve overall satisfaction for both guests and hosts. Initiatives such as "Reserve Now, Pay Later," simplified fee structures, and updated cancellation policies have already driven positive shifts in booking dynamics and contributed to Gross Booking Value (GBV) growth. "Project Hawaii," aimed at making it easier to find and book homes, is also expected to generate significant revenue in 2026, building on its 2025 success.
- Global Market Expansion and Penetration: The company is actively expanding its presence in new and existing international markets. This strategy is evident in the strong performance and increased first-time bookers in regions like Brazil, which has entered Airbnb's top five markets, as well as significant growth in India and Japan. Strategic market penetration is also being leveraged through global events such as the Olympics and FIFA World Cup, presenting opportunities to increase both demand and supply diversity.
- Leveraging Artificial Intelligence (AI): Airbnb considers AI a central pillar of its strategy to enhance user experience and operational efficiency. AI is being utilized to drive discovery and personalize recommendations. Furthermore, an in-house AI agent is already resolving a substantial portion of customer support tickets, which streamlines operations and improves service delivery.
- Growth in Nights and Seats Booked & Gross Booking Value (GBV): As a culmination of the aforementioned strategies, Airbnb anticipates continued growth in its core metrics: the number of nights and seats booked, and Gross Booking Value. The company's Q4 2025 results showed a 10% increase in nights and seats booked and a 16% increase in GBV, with management projecting continued high-single-digit growth in nights and seats booked for Q1 2026. The disciplined investment in technology, product, and marketing is aimed at sustaining this momentum.
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Share Repurchases
- Airbnb announced a new share repurchase program with authorization to purchase up to an additional $6 billion of its Class A common stock in August 2025, with no expiration date.
- As of December 31, 2025, $5.6 billion remained available under the share repurchase program.
- The company repurchased 29.7 million shares of Class A common stock for $3.8 billion in 2025, following $3.4 billion in 2024 and $2.252 billion in 2023.
Share Issuance
- Share repurchases since the program's inception in August 2022 have helped to offset dilution from employee stock programs.
- Stock-based compensation, a form of share issuance, was approximately $1.59 billion recently, contributing to increased compensation expenses.
- Insider sales, such as those by Elinor Mertz in late 2025 and early 2026 and Joseph Gebbia's associated Sycamore Trust in late 2025 and March 2026, reflect the disposition of Class A common shares.
Outbound Investments
- Airbnb's most recent acquisition was GamePlanner.AI in November 2023 for $200 million, a provider of artificial intelligence development services.
- In April 2023, Airbnb acquired Letting Cloud for an undisclosed amount.
- The average number of acquisitions per year over the last five years (2020–2025) is 0.4.
Capital Expenditures
- Airbnb's capital expenditures have been consistently very low, with a capital expenditures margin of 0.0% for fiscal years ending December 2021 through 2025.
- The capital expenditure for the three months ended December 2025 was $0.00 million.
- This reflects Airbnb's asset-light, platform-based business model.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 262.32 |
| Mkt Cap | 82.8 |
| Rev LTM | 14,430 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,826 |
| FCF LTM | 3,796 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,661 |
| CFO LTM | 4,294 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,360 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.8% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 17.5% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 12.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 25.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 22.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 82.8 |
| P/S | 4.6 |
| P/Op Inc | 23.4 |
| P/EBIT | 23.2 |
| P/E | 37.7 |
| P/CFO | 23.4 |
| Total Yield | 3.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 16.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 14.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 34.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 72.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 8.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 2.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 11.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 12.4% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | 12,241 | 11,102 | 9,917 | 8,399 | 5,992 |
| Total | 12,241 | 11,102 | 9,917 | 8,399 | 5,992 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | 2,544 | 2,553 | 1,518 |
| Total | 2,544 | 2,553 | 1,518 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | 2,511 | 2,648 | 4,792 |
| Total | 2,511 | 2,648 | 4,792 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $178.07 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 106.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/10/2020 | |
| Distance from 52W High | 0.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $142.64 | $133.12 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 24.8% | 33.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 46.7% | 34.0% |
| Downside Capture | 53.32 | 99.76 |
| Upside Capture | 141.60 | 121.01 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 24.8% | 45.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.64 | 0.65 | 0.66 | 1.19 | 1.11 | 1.30 |
| Up Beta | -2.69 | 0.18 | 0.67 | 1.02 | 1.13 | 1.37 |
| Down Beta | 0.50 | 0.36 | 0.32 | 1.18 | 1.04 | 1.35 |
| Up Capture | 217% | 141% | 88% | 140% | 113% | 137% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 35 | 67 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 21 | 31 | 64 | 134 | 385 |
| Down Capture | 121% | 49% | 69% | 115% | 112% | 107% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 28 | 59 | 114 | 326 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 22 | 32 | 62 | 118 | 366 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ABNB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABNB | 36.6% | 34.9% | 0.94 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 7.9% | 19.4% | 0.27 | 50.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 23.3% | 12.8% | 1.36 | 40.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 28.5% | 28.4% | 0.87 | 6.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 32.9% | 19.8% | 1.32 | -23.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.2% | 13.8% | 0.72 | 25.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -43.7% | 43.0% | -1.21 | 18.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ABNB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABNB | 4.1% | 44.5% | 0.23 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.7% | 24.0% | 0.24 | 64.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.2% | 0.61 | 59.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.6% | 18.6% | 0.81 | 4.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 19.6% | 0.31 | 9.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.3% | 18.9% | 0.02 | 40.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 9.0% | 53.0% | 0.36 | 27.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ABNB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABNB | 2.0% | 46.3% | 0.23 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.5% | 22.2% | 0.52 | 58.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 53.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.1% | 16.2% | 0.61 | 3.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.4% | 18.0% | 0.33 | 10.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 20.7% | 0.20 | 35.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.4% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 22.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/9/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | 0.7% | -4.8% | -4.3% |
| 2/12/2026 | 4.6% | 10.3% | 10.7% |
| 11/6/2025 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 4.0% |
| 8/6/2025 | -8.0% | -4.6% | -5.1% |
| 5/1/2025 | 1.0% | 1.9% | 4.5% |
| 2/13/2025 | 14.4% | 3.6% | -10.0% |
| 11/7/2024 | -8.7% | -8.7% | -6.9% |
| 8/6/2024 | -13.4% | -10.4% | -11.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 7 | 8 |
| # Negative | 10 | 15 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 4.3% | 3.6% | 8.0% |
| Median Negative | -7.4% | -5.6% | -7.0% |
| Max Positive | 14.4% | 10.3% | 13.0% |
| Max Negative | -13.4% | -19.9% | -16.4% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | 0.7% | -4.8% | -4.3% |
| 2/12/2026 | 4.6% | 10.3% | 10.7% |
| 11/6/2025 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 4.0% |
| 8/6/2025 | -8.0% | -4.6% | -5.1% |
| 5/1/2025 | 1.0% | 1.9% | 4.5% |
| 2/13/2025 | 14.4% | 3.6% | -10.0% |
| 11/7/2024 | -8.7% | -8.7% | -6.9% |
| 8/6/2024 | -13.4% | -10.4% | -11.0% |
| 5/8/2024 | -6.9% | -7.7% | -7.1% |
| 2/13/2024 | -1.7% | -1.0% | 10.4% |
| 11/1/2023 | -3.3% | -1.5% | 13.0% |
| 8/3/2023 | -0.5% | -3.5% | -5.8% |
| 5/9/2023 | -10.9% | -17.0% | -9.1% |
| 2/14/2023 | 13.4% | 5.2% | -0.7% |
| 11/1/2022 | -13.4% | -9.3% | -7.1% |
| 8/2/2022 | -1.1% | -1.6% | -2.8% |
| 5/3/2022 | 7.7% | -19.9% | -16.4% |
| 2/15/2022 | 3.6% | -16.7% | -12.5% |
| 11/4/2021 | 13.0% | 7.4% | 1.3% |
| 8/12/2021 | 1.1% | -5.6% | 6.1% |
| 5/13/2021 | 4.0% | 0.3% | 9.9% |
| 2/25/2021 | 13.3% | -1.0% | -4.2% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 7 | 8 |
| # Negative | 10 | 15 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 4.3% | 3.6% | 8.0% |
| Median Negative | -7.4% | -5.6% | -7.0% |
| Max Positive | 14.4% | 10.3% | 13.0% |
| Max Negative | -13.4% | -19.9% | -16.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 08/06/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/12/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/13/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/16/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/17/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 08/06/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/12/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/13/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/16/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/17/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/25/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/05/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/13/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/14/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/26/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 12/11/2020 | 424B4 |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 7/8/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Revenue | 3.54 Bil | 3.57 Bil | 3.60 Bil | ||||
| Q2 2026 Revenue Growth | 14.0% | 15.0% | 16.0% | ||||
| 2026 Revenue Growth | 12.0% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 3.5% | Raised | Guidance: 10.0% for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin | 35.0% | 35.0% | Raised | Guidance: 0.0% for 2026 | |||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Revenue | 2.59 Bil | 2.61 Bil | 2.63 Bil | ||||
| Q1 2026 Revenue Growth | 14.0% | 15.0% | 16.0% | ||||
| Q1 2026 GBV Growth | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.0% | ||||
| Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin | 0.0% | ||||||
| 2026 Revenue Growth | 10.0% | ||||||
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin | 0.0% | ||||||
Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Revenue | 2.66 Bil | 2.69 Bil | 2.72 Bil | -33.7% | Lower New | Guidance: 4.06 Bil for Q3 2025 | |
| Q4 2025 Revenue Growth | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | -0.5% | Lower New | Guidance: 9.0% for Q3 2025 | |
| Q4 2025 GBV Growth | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.0% | ||||
| Q4 2025 Nights and Seats Booked Growth | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | ||||
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA Margin | 35.0% | 0.5% | Raised | Guidance: 34.5% for 2025 | |||
Insider Activity
Updated 8/5/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mertz, Elinor | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 8052026 | 153.34 | 3,748 | 574,718 | 67,706,123 | Form |
| 2 | Blecharczyk, Nathan | Chief Strategy Officer | Trust | Sell | 8052026 | 151.80 | 13,615 | 2,066,803 | 1,877,807 | Form |
| 3 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 7292026 | 151.67 | 1,828,303 | 277,302,027 | 32,609 | Form | |
| 4 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 7292026 | 145.70 | 265,000 | 38,609,761 | 266,409,976 | Form | |
| 5 | Blecharczyk, Nathan | Chief Strategy Officer | Trust | Sell | 7222026 | 145.43 | 13,615 | 1,980,075 | 1,799,010 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mertz, Elinor | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 8052026 | 153.34 | 3,748 | 574,718 | 67,706,123 | Form |
| 2 | Blecharczyk, Nathan | Chief Strategy Officer | Trust | Sell | 8052026 | 151.80 | 13,615 | 2,066,803 | 1,877,807 | Form |
| 3 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 7292026 | 151.67 | 1,828,303 | 277,302,027 | 32,609 | Form | |
| 4 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 7292026 | 145.70 | 265,000 | 38,609,761 | 266,409,976 | Form | |
| 5 | Blecharczyk, Nathan | Chief Strategy Officer | Trust | Sell | 7222026 | 145.43 | 13,615 | 1,980,075 | 1,799,010 | Form |
| 6 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 7172026 | 150.23 | 49,577 | 7,447,769 | 314,501,463 | Form | |
| 7 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 7172026 | 150.15 | 187,024 | 28,082,084 | 321,790,643 | Form | |
| 8 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 7152026 | 145.50 | 265,000 | 38,557,367 | 339,031,146 | Form | |
| 9 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 7092026 | 150.00 | 2,460 | 369,000 | 389,267,850 | Form | |
| 10 | Blecharczyk, Nathan | Chief Strategy Officer | Trust | Sell | 7082026 | 148.37 | 13,615 | 2,020,094 | 12,118,636 | Form |
| 11 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 7072026 | 150.01 | 27,733 | 4,160,341 | 389,673,476 | Form | |
| 12 | Mertz, Elinor | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 7072026 | 148.01 | 3,750 | 555,038 | 65,907,444 | Form |
| 13 | Chenault, Kenneth I | Direct | Sell | 7012026 | 150.00 | 8,346 | 1,251,900 | 6,131,850 | Form | |
| 14 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 7012026 | 148.43 | 294,903 | 43,771,373 | 389,240,951 | Form | |
| 15 | Blecharczyk, Nathan | Chief Strategy Officer | Trust | Sell | 6302026 | 146.43 | 31,033 | 4,544,132 | 11,362,893 | Form |
| 16 | Blecharczyk, Nathan | Chief Strategy Officer | Trust | Sell | 6262026 | 145.09 | 2,113 | 306,570 | 1,794,731 | Form |
| 17 | Blecharczyk, Nathan | Chief Strategy Officer | Trust | Sell | 6262026 | 145.81 | 88,366 | 12,884,219 | 1,803,610 | Form |
| 18 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 6172026 | 138.51 | 265,000 | 36,704,161 | 404,071,957 | Form | |
| 19 | Chesky, Brian | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 6172026 | 138.40 | 30,743 | 4,254,779 | 1,481,095,012 | Form |
| 20 | Chesky, Brian | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 6102026 | 135.71 | 4,195 | 569,289 | 1,456,461,751 | Form |
| 21 | Chesky, Brian | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 6102026 | 135.34 | 37,704 | 5,102,837 | 1,453,088,272 | Form |
| 22 | Chesky, Brian | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 6082026 | 135.17 | 16,515 | 2,232,258 | 1,456,317,296 | Form |
| 23 | Chesky, Brian | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 6082026 | 136.14 | 64,333 | 8,758,076 | 1,469,028,505 | Form |
| 24 | Chesky, Brian | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 6042026 | 134.00 | 62,764 | 8,410,584 | 1,454,629,431 | Form |
| 25 | Mertz, Elinor | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 6042026 | 136.24 | 7,433 | 1,012,672 | 61,177,275 | Form |
| 26 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 6032026 | 135.45 | 265,000 | 35,893,438 | 431,040,230 | Form | |
| 27 | Chesky, Brian | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 6022026 | 135.80 | 184,513 | 25,057,198 | 1,482,675,807 | Form |
| 28 | Chesky, Brian | CEO and Chairman | 2016 Legacy Trust B | Sell | 6022026 | 136.62 | 15,226 | 2,080,252 | 799,803 | Form |
| 29 | Chesky, Brian | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 6022026 | 134.39 | 103,937 | 13,968,432 | 1,492,094,652 | Form |
| 30 | Chesky, Brian | CEO and Chairman | 2016 Legacy Trust B | Sell | 6022026 | 135.16 | 4,774 | 645,259 | 2,849,196 | Form |
| 31 | Chesky, Brian | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 5292026 | 132.22 | 265,746 | 35,137,599 | 1,481,736,688 | Form |
| 32 | Chesky, Brian | CEO and Chairman | Direct | Sell | 5292026 | 133.15 | 229,550 | 30,564,953 | 1,527,533,302 | Form |
| 33 | Chesky, Brian | CEO and Chairman | 2016 Legacy Trust B | Sell | 5292026 | 133.17 | 20,000 | 2,663,417 | 3,442,999 | Form |
| 34 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 5272026 | 133.44 | 2,860 | 381,638 | 460,014,476 | Form | |
| 35 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 5202026 | 134.86 | 54,000 | 7,282,706 | 2,023 | Form | |
| 36 | Blecharczyk, Nathan | Chief Strategy Officer | Trust | Sell | 5122026 | 145.67 | 627 | 91,336 | 1,736,398 | Form |
| 37 | Blecharczyk, Nathan | Chief Strategy Officer | Trust | Sell | 5122026 | 145.70 | 60,136 | 8,762,039 | 1,736,788 | Form |
| 38 | Mertz, Elinor | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 5062026 | 143.00 | 3,750 | 536,250 | 66,268,299 | Form |
| 39 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 5062026 | 140.37 | 58,000 | 8,141,301 | 7,581,938 | Form | |
| 40 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 4222026 | 142.59 | 58,000 | 8,270,238 | 15,972,254 | Form | |
| 41 | Mertz, Elinor | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 4102026 | 130.99 | 3,750 | 491,213 | 51,657,044 | Form |
| 42 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 4082026 | 126.16 | 58,000 | 7,317,456 | 21,449,608 | Form | |
| 43 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 3252026 | 132.51 | 58,000 | 7,685,663 | 30,214,593 | Form | |
| 44 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 3112026 | 131.27 | 58,000 | 7,613,827 | 37,546,011 | Form | |
| 45 | Mertz, Elinor | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 3092026 | 135.73 | 4,308 | 584,725 | 54,035,291 | Form |
| 46 | Mertz, Elinor | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 3042026 | 130.00 | 3,750 | 487,500 | 52,314,169 | Form |
| 47 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 2252026 | 121.97 | 58,000 | 7,074,274 | 41,959,591 | Form | |
| 48 | Blecharczyk, Nathan | Chief Strategy Officer | Direct | Sell | 2242026 | 125.29 | 4,260 | 533,735 | 6,170,562 | Form |
| 49 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 2112026 | 121.15 | 58,000 | 7,026,717 | 48,704,234 | Form | |
| 50 | Mertz, Elinor | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 2042026 | 130.00 | 3,750 | 487,500 | 53,368,887 | Form |
| 51 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 1282026 | 133.28 | 58,000 | 7,730,261 | 61,310,963 | Form | |
| 52 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 1142026 | 138.45 | 58,000 | 8,030,004 | 71,718,319 | Form | |
| 53 | Mertz, Elinor | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 1062026 | 135.94 | 3,750 | 509,775 | 56,317,210 | Form |
| 54 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 12312025 | 136.70 | 58,000 | 7,928,858 | 78,743,809 | Form | |
| 55 | Balogh, Aristotle N | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 12232025 | 134.79 | 2,565 | 345,745 | 22,252,562 | Form |
| 56 | Balogh, Aristotle N | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 12192025 | 135.00 | 15,263 | 2,060,505 | 22,374,393 | Form |
| 57 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 12172025 | 130.56 | 58,000 | 7,572,587 | 82,778,171 | Form | |
| 58 | Chesky, Brian | CEO and Chairman | 2016 Legacy Trust B | Sell | 12162025 | 131.16 | 51,230 | 6,719,536 | 6,014,398 | Form |
| 59 | Balogh, Aristotle N | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 12162025 | 128.93 | 650 | 83,804 | 21,855,085 | Form |
| 60 | Chesky, Brian | CEO and Chairman | 2016 Legacy Trust B | Sell | 12162025 | 130.17 | 8,770 | 1,141,588 | 12,637,395 | Form |
| 61 | Mertz, Elinor | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 12162025 | 130.00 | 7,500 | 975,000 | 54,343,887 | Form |
| 62 | Mertz, Elinor | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 12112025 | 125.00 | 4,630 | 578,750 | 53,191,238 | Form |
| 63 | Balogh, Aristotle N | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 12112025 | 125.19 | 16,875 | 2,112,627 | 21,302,945 | Form |
| 64 | Blecharczyk, Nathan | Chief Strategy Officer | Trust | Sell | 12102025 | 123.24 | 36,370 | 4,482,076 | 1,419,673 | Form |
| 65 | Blecharczyk, Nathan | Chief Strategy Officer | Trust | Sell | 12102025 | 121.96 | 141,063 | 17,203,650 | 1,404,947 | Form |
| 66 | Blecharczyk, Nathan | Chief Strategy Officer | Trust | Sell | 12092025 | 123.70 | 30,311 | 3,749,439 | 1,425,012 | Form |
| 67 | Blecharczyk, Nathan | Chief Strategy Officer | Direct | Sell | 12092025 | 122.70 | 23,761 | 2,915,578 | 6,867,545 | Form |
| 68 | Balogh, Aristotle N | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 12092025 | 120.92 | 650 | 78,598 | 22,616,423 | Form |
| 69 | Blecharczyk, Nathan | Chief Strategy Officer | Direct | Sell | 12052025 | 120.52 | 77,527 | 9,343,182 | 6,423,246 | Form |
| 70 | Blecharczyk, Nathan | Chief Strategy Officer | Direct | Sell | 12052025 | 120.22 | 39,806 | 4,785,430 | 15,727,651 | Form |
| 71 | Blecharczyk, Nathan | Chief Strategy Officer | Direct | Sell | 12042025 | 120.03 | 5,162 | 619,572 | 20,480,115 | Form |
| 72 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 12032025 | 118.47 | 58,000 | 6,871,275 | 81,983,195 | Form | |
| 73 | Balogh, Aristotle N | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 12022025 | 116.04 | 549 | 63,706 | 21,779,112 | Form |
| 74 | Blecharczyk, Nathan | Chief Strategy Officer | Direct | Sell | 12022025 | 116.71 | 3,307 | 385,960 | 20,516,827 | Form |
| 75 | Balogh, Aristotle N | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 12022025 | 116.71 | 600 | 70,026 | 21,968,935 | Form |
| 76 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 11262025 | 114.22 | 232,000 | 26,500,188 | 1,713 | Form | |
| 77 | Balogh, Aristotle N | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 11242025 | 114.51 | 600 | 68,706 | 21,623,524 | Form |
| 78 | Balogh, Aristotle N | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 11172025 | 121.38 | 600 | 72,828 | 23,645,549 | Form |
| 79 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 11132025 | 120.66 | 236,000 | 28,474,625 | 27,993,814 | Form | |
| 80 | Balogh, Aristotle N | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 11102025 | 122.38 | 600 | 73,428 | 23,913,783 | Form |
| 81 | Balogh, Aristotle N | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 11032025 | 125.47 | 600 | 75,282 | 24,592,869 | Form |
| 82 | Mertz, Elinor | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 10302025 | 130.00 | 7,500 | 975,000 | 56,754,113 | Form |
| 83 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 10292025 | 128.47 | 236,000 | 30,318,561 | 60,125,176 | Form | |
| 84 | Mertz, Elinor | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 10282025 | 127.65 | 12,184 | 1,555,288 | 56,685,549 | Form |
| 85 | Balogh, Aristotle N | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 10272025 | 127.53 | 600 | 76,518 | 25,073,160 | Form |
| 86 | Balogh, Aristotle N | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 10202025 | 124.26 | 600 | 74,556 | 24,504,814 | Form |
| 87 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 10152025 | 119.22 | 236,000 | 28,137,090 | 83,936,158 | Form | |
| 88 | Balogh, Aristotle N | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 10142025 | 120.46 | 600 | 72,276 | 23,827,708 | Form |
| 89 | Balogh, Aristotle N | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 10062025 | 122.47 | 600 | 73,482 | 24,298,780 | Form |
| 90 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 10012025 | 123.57 | 236,000 | 29,162,764 | 116,158,626 | Form | |
| 91 | Balogh, Aristotle N | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 9292025 | 122.91 | 600 | 73,746 | 24,459,824 | Form |
| 92 | Balogh, Aristotle N | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 9222025 | 123.74 | 600 | 74,244 | 24,699,243 | Form |
| 93 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 9172025 | 120.76 | 236,000 | 28,499,875 | 142,018,140 | Form | |
| 94 | Balogh, Aristotle N | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 9152025 | 123.68 | 600 | 74,208 | 24,761,475 | Form |
| 95 | Balogh, Aristotle N | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 9082025 | 124.65 | 600 | 74,790 | 25,030,465 | Form |
| 96 | Mertz, Elinor | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 9042025 | 128.42 | 4,630 | 594,585 | 57,027,482 | Form |
| 97 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 9042025 | 127.53 | 236,000 | 30,096,394 | 180,070,170 | Form | |
| 98 | Balogh, Aristotle N | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 9022025 | 130.19 | 600 | 78,114 | 26,221,044 | Form |
| 99 | Balogh, Aristotle N | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 8252025 | 124.96 | 600 | 74,976 | 25,242,666 | Form |
| 100 | Blecharczyk, Nathan | Chief Strategy Officer | Direct | Sell | 8212025 | 125.20 | 2,246 | 281,199 | 22,850,710 | Form |
| 101 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 8202025 | 125.36 | 236,000 | 29,586,130 | 1,880 | Form | |
| 102 | Balogh, Aristotle N | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 8182025 | 123.62 | 600 | 74,172 | 25,710,134 | Form |
| 103 | Balogh, Aristotle N | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 8112025 | 120.50 | 600 | 72,300 | 25,133,545 | Form |
| 104 | Gebbia, Joseph | Sycamore Trust | Sell | 8062025 | 129.71 | 236,000 | 30,611,498 | 30,613,444 | Form | |
| 105 | Mertz, Elinor | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 8062025 | 129.10 | 6,250 | 806,875 | 58,754,868 | Form |
| 106 | Balogh, Aristotle N | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 8042025 | 134.75 | 600 | 80,850 | 28,186,620 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Aug 9, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consulta Ltd | $227.3 Mil | 11.3% | 13 | ADD +20.0% | 13F |
| GCQ FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY Ltd | $59.4 Mil | 7.9% | 11 | TRIM -15.0% | 13F |
| Long Walk Management LP | $20.5 Mil | 6.0% | 11 | New | 13F |
| Shannon River Fund Management LLC | $31.2 Mil | 6.0% | 28 | New | 13F |
| Two Creeks Capital Management, LP | $45.0 Mil | 4.8% | 21 | Hold | 13F |
| Independent Franchise Partners LLP | $666.2 Mil | 4.7% | 26 | Hold | 13F |
| Akre Capital Management LLC | $256.9 Mil | 4.2% | 19 | TRIM -41.4% | 13F |
| Par Capital Management Inc | $94.4 Mil | 2.7% | 45 | Hold | 13F |
| HS Management Partners, LLC | $6.9 Mil | 2.4% | 24 | TRIM -43.8% | 13F |
| California First Leasing Corp | $7.4 Mil | 2.4% | 39 | ADD +16.1% | 13F |
| SRS Investment Management, LLC | $224.3 Mil | 2.4% | 29 | TRIM -29.5% | 13F |
| Atmos Capital Gestao de Recursos Ltda. | $12.7 Mil | 2.2% | 15 | ADD +7.3% | 13F |
| Ask Capital Management, LLC | $7.6 Mil | 1.4% | 3 | Hold | 13F |
| SC US (TTGP), LTD. | $64.5 Mil | 0.7% | 36 | Hold | 13F |
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon River Fund Management LLC | $31.2 Mil | 6.0% | 28 | New | 13F |
| Long Walk Management LP | $20.5 Mil | 6.0% | 11 | New | 13F |
| Consulta Ltd | $227.3 Mil | 11.3% | 13 | ADD +20.0% | 13F |
| California First Leasing Corp | $7.4 Mil | 2.4% | 39 | ADD +16.1% | 13F |
| Atmos Capital Gestao de Recursos Ltda. | $12.7 Mil | 2.2% | 15 | ADD +7.3% | 13F |
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | As Of | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Archon Partners LLC | $9.0 Mil | 0.9% | 42 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| HS Management Partners, LLC | $6.9 Mil | 2.4% | 24 | TRIM -43.8% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| Akre Capital Management LLC | $256.9 Mil | 4.2% | 19 | TRIM -41.4% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| SRS Investment Management, LLC | $224.3 Mil | 2.4% | 29 | TRIM -29.5% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| GCQ FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY Ltd | $59.4 Mil | 7.9% | 11 | TRIM -15.0% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independent Franchise Partners LLP | $666.2 Mil | 4.7% | 26 | Hold | 13F |
| Akre Capital Management LLC | $256.9 Mil | 4.2% | 19 | TRIM -41.4% | 13F |
| Consulta Ltd | $227.3 Mil | 11.3% | 13 | ADD +20.0% | 13F |
| SRS Investment Management, LLC | $224.3 Mil | 2.4% | 29 | TRIM -29.5% | 13F |
| Par Capital Management Inc | $94.4 Mil | 2.7% | 45 | Hold | 13F |
| SC US (TTGP), LTD. | $64.5 Mil | 0.7% | 36 | Hold | 13F |
| GCQ FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY Ltd | $59.4 Mil | 7.9% | 11 | TRIM -15.0% | 13F |
| Two Creeks Capital Management, LP | $45.0 Mil | 4.8% | 21 | Hold | 13F |
| Shannon River Fund Management LLC | $31.2 Mil | 6.0% | 28 | New | 13F |
| Long Walk Management LP | $20.5 Mil | 6.0% | 11 | New | 13F |
| Atmos Capital Gestao de Recursos Ltda. | $12.7 Mil | 2.2% | 15 | ADD +7.3% | 13F |
| Ask Capital Management, LLC | $7.6 Mil | 1.4% | 3 | Hold | 13F |
| California First Leasing Corp | $7.4 Mil | 2.4% | 39 | ADD +16.1% | 13F |
| HS Management Partners, LLC | $6.9 Mil | 2.4% | 24 | TRIM -43.8% | 13F |
ABNB Trade Sentinel
High Conviction
CONVICTION RATIONALE
Conviction is high, as growth is re-accelerating across key metrics including a four-year high in first-time bookers. The company is successfully expanding its platform with new offerings, supported by a strong record of raising its own financial outlook. The primary structural risk from regulation, while significant, is a known factor and is being managed through diversification.
STOCK ARCHETYPE
Marketplace Platform(Nights & Seats Booked) x (Average Daily Rate) x (Take Rate) Operating leverage from scaling the platform's transaction volume over a largely fixed cost base, and technology-driven efficiencies, particularly from AI in areas like customer support.
INVESTMENT THESIS
Evidence suggests yes. The strategy is attracting new users at the fastest rate in four years and layering on faster-growing revenue streams like hotels.
- First-time booker growth accelerated to 11%, the highest rate reported in four years.
- Hotel nights are growing approximately three times faster than the core homes business.
- Full-year 2026 revenue growth guidance was raised to 'at least mid-teens'.
- Full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA margin guidance was raised to 'at least 35.5%'.
- Nights and seats booked growth accelerated to 10% year-over-year in Q2 2026.
PRIMARY RISK
A patchwork of evolving local laws can materially constrain supply. New York City's 2023 regulations created a 'de facto ban' on short-term rentals, providing a clear precedent for how quickly a key market can be impaired.
- New York City regulations in 2023 resulted in a 'de facto ban'.
- The company is subject to a wide variety of complex and evolving laws.
- The EU Short-Term Rental Regulation entered into force in May 2026.
- An unresolved IRS dispute claims the company owes $1.3 billion in back taxes.
| KPI | Status | Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| Nights and Seats Booked | 10% year-over-year growth in Q2 2026 - Accelerating | Management highlighted that the sequential acceleration in volume growth was driven by an 11% increase in first-time bookers, which it noted was the highest growth rate for that cohort in four years. |
| Gross Booking Value (GBV) | 16% year-over-year growth to $27.2 billion in Q2 2026 - Decelerating | The deceleration in gross booking value growth from Q1's peak occurred even as the underlying volume metric, Nights and Seats Booked, accelerated sequentially. |
| First-time booker growth | 11% growth (Q2 2026) | Indicates the platform's ability to attract new users, which is crucial for long-term growth. Management noted this is the highest growth rate seen in four years. |
AI Efficiency vs. Competitive Spend
BULL VIEW
AI is a structural advantage, driving efficiencies like the 16% drop in support costs per booking. This funds growth investments while allowing for margin expansion, as reflected in the raised full-year outlook.
CORE TENSION
Can AI-driven cost savings offset the investment needed to build a multi-product travel platform?
PREVAILING SENTIMENT
The bull view is favored. Management raised its full-year margin guidance to at least 35.5%, a direct signal of confidence in its profitability.
BEAR VIEW
The cost to compete with Booking and Expedia in new verticals will overwhelm any AI savings. Trailing opex growth of 16.2% outpaced revenue growth of 13.6%, signaling a costly arms race.
| Timeline | Event & Metric To Watch |
|---|---|
10/20/2026 | Peer Read-Through on Lodging Demand Watch: Hilton's commentary on booking trends, ADR, and forward guidance for the hotel sector. |
11/2/2026 | Marriott Earnings Report Watch: Peer Marriott International (MAR) is scheduled to report earnings. |
11/4/2026 | Guidance Disappointment at Q3 Earnings Watch: Q4 revenue and bookings guidance, commentary on deceleration, and impact of tougher comparisons. |
No set date | Geopolitical or Macro Shock Watch: Changes in booking or cancellation trends, particularly in EMEA and Asia Pacific, or management commentary on macro softness. |
| Date | Event | Stock Impact |
|---|---|---|
2026-08-06 | Strong Q2 Results and Guidance Raise Details: The company reported Q2 revenue growth of 17% and raised its full-year 2026 revenue growth forecast to at least a mid-teens rate. | -0.6% $152.49 -> $151.64 |
2026-08-06 | Expanded into Ancillary Services Details: The company expanded its platform to include new services such as grocery delivery, car rental, airport pickup, and luggage storage. | -0.6% $152.49 -> $151.64 |
2026-08-06 | Debt Refinancing and Repayment Details: The company issued $2.5 billion in new senior notes and used approximately $2.0 billion of the proceeds to repay its 0% convertible senior notes due in 2026. | -0.6% $152.49 -> $151.64 |
2026-05-07 | Raised Full-Year 2026 Guidance Details: Following first quarter results, the company raised its guidance for 2026 revenue growth and adjusted EBITDA margin. | +1.2% $139.88 -> $141.49 |
2026-02-12 | Positive Q4 2025 Earnings Reaction Details: The stock had a positive two-day reaction of 2.0% around the earnings call for the fourth quarter of 2025. | +1.5% $119.55 -> $121.35 |
Position Sizing
4% - 6%
NORMAL POSITION
Sizing is volatility-based: ABNB trades at roughly 36% annualized options-implied volatility versus about 13% for the S&P 500 (2.7x the market), around the 71st percentile of its own trailing year. A 4% - 6% position keeps a single-name swing of that size within a diversified portfolio's risk budget.
Diversification Alternatives
BKNG - Booking Holdings
Scale & ProfitabilityBooking offers greater scale with revenue 2.1 times that of Airbnb and superior operating margins of 34.5%. It has a more established multi-product offering across flights, hotels, and car rentals.
EXPE - Expedia Group
B & Loyalty FocusExpedia has a significant B segment and is pursuing a partnership-driven strategy, recently becoming the exclusive hotel partner for Uber. This provides a different growth vector than Airbnb's direct-to-consumer focus.
Airbnb is an AI-native travel ecosystem expanding beyond its core homes business to become a one-stop shop for travel.
Airbnb is leveraging AI to accelerate product innovation, improve user conversion, and drive operational efficiency. This has enabled a strategic expansion from its core home-sharing marketplace into adjacent travel categories like hotels, car rentals, and other services. The company aims to capture a larger share of the entire trip by creating an integrated ecosystem where new offerings like hotels not only generate revenue but also onboard new customers who then cross-book into the core homes business.
Sustained acceleration in 'Nights and Seats Booked' growth, successful scaling of the hotels and services categories, and evidence of AI-driven margin expansion or conversion rate improvements.
Increased regulatory restrictions in key markets similar to New York City's de facto ban, failure of new verticals like hotels to gain traction or prove accretive, or a significant slowdown in first-time booker growth.
Short-term stock price reactions to earnings reports or seasonal fluctuations in quarterly performance.
Repricing Catalyst
The company's raised full-year guidance for revenue and profitability, driven by accelerating growth and faster-than-expected innovation velocity enabled by AI.
Single Segment
$12.6B TTM (100% of Total) · 20% MarginWhat It Is
The company operates a global marketplace connecting guests with stays, experiences, and services offered by hosts. This includes unique homes, boutique hotels, and activities. Recent expansions include car rentals, grocery delivery, and airport pickups.
Who Pays & How
Guests pay for bookings on the platform. They choose Airbnb for its unique inventory, the value of its offerings, brand trust, and an easy-to-use platform for finding and booking accommodations and activities worldwide.
Competition
Airbnb — Investor Video Playlist







Industry Resources
| Consumer Discretionary Resources |
| Retail Dive |
| Business of Fashion (BoF) |
| WWD (Women's Wear Daily) |
| National Retail Federation (NRF) |
| McKinsey & Company - Consumer |
| Mintel Consumer Trends |
| Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines Resources |
| Skift |
| Hotel News Now |
| Cruise Industry News |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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