Hyatt Hotels (H)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $160.27 | Market Cap: $15.3 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Hyatt Hotels (H)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $160.27Market Cap: $15.3 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.1%, Dist 3Y High is -3.1% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 44x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 45x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -7.6% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.4% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.1%, Dist 3Y High is -3.1% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -7.6% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 44x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 45x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.4% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
H Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why Hyatt Hotels (H) stock moved by 11.9% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Report with Positive Operational Highlights. Hyatt Hotels reported its third-quarter 2025 results on November 6, 2025, which, despite a net loss, showcased robust operational performance including a 0.3% increase in comparable system-wide hotels RevPAR and 12.1% net rooms growth (7.0% excluding acquisitions). The company also highlighted significant RevPAR growth in luxury brands (approximately 6%) and its all-inclusive portfolio (7.6%), alongside a 20% increase in World of Hyatt membership, surpassing 61 million members.
2. Favorable Analyst Upgrades and Initiations with Increased Price Targets. Throughout November 2025, several prominent analyst firms issued positive ratings and increased price targets for Hyatt Hotels. Notably, JPMorgan initiated coverage with an "Overweight" rating and a $178 price target on November 24, 2025, implying significant upside potential. Other firms like Baird, Wells Fargo, Stifel, and Barclays also maintained or upgraded their ratings and raised price targets, contributing to a "Moderate Buy" consensus.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| H Return | -17% | 29% | -6% | 45% | 21% | 3% | 83% |
| Peers Return | -0% | 24% | -14% | 35% | 26% | -2% | 78% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| H Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 42% | 58% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 48% | 35% | 48% | 53% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| H Max Drawdown | -59% | -12% | -26% | -2% | -3% | -34% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -40% | -9% | -23% | -1% | -3% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MAR, HLT, CHH, AHMA, BKNG. See H Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | H | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -33.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 211 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -60.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 154.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 645 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 357 days | 120 days |
Compare to MAR, HLT, CHH, AHMA, BKNG
In The Past
Hyatt Hotels's stock fell -33.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2022. A -33.2% loss requires a 49.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Hyatt Hotels Earnings Notes | |||
| Why BKNG, ABNB May Be Better Than Hyatt Hotels Stock | Actionable | ||
| With Hyatt Hotels Stock Surging, Have You Considered The Downside? | Return | ||
| Hyatt Hotels vs Microsoft: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Hyatt Hotels vs Booking: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Does Hyatt Hotels Stock Lead the Pack? | Peer Comparison | ||
| H Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Hyatt Hotels Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 21.3% in 2024 and 18.4% 3-yr compounded annual returns (above peer average) | |||
| Hyatt Hotels (H) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Hyatt Hotels (H) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Pay Less, Gain More: ABNB, BKNG Top Hyatt Hotels Stock | November 20th, 2025 | ||
| ABNB, BKNG Look Smarter Buy Than Hyatt Hotels Stock | November 8th, 2025 | ||
| Better Bet Than Hyatt Hotels Stock: Pay Less To Get More From CCL | September 4th, 2025 | ||
| What’s Happening With Hyatt’s Stock? | July 16th, 2025 | ||
| What’s Next For Hyatt Stock? | January 15th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to H. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Hyatt Hotels
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 220.76 |
| Mkt Cap | 65.6 |
| Rev LTM | 11,735 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,580 |
| FCF LTM | 1,927 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,916 |
| CFO LTM | 2,508 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,122 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 22.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 22.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 16.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 65.6 |
| P/S | 3.1 |
| P/EBIT | 20.8 |
| P/E | 27.1 |
| P/CFO | 24.2 |
| Total Yield | 3.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.5% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 12.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 12.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 2.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 90.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 12.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -2.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -11.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 26.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Management and franchising | 4,154 | ||||
| Owned and leased | 1,368 | 1,242 | 855 | 525 | 1,883 |
| Distribution | 1,236 | ||||
| Eliminations | -91 | -76 | -47 | -27 | -110 |
| ASPAC management and franchising | 254 | 164 | 134 | 247 | |
| Americas management and franchising | 2,845 | 1,752 | 1,328 | 2,781 | |
| Apple Leisure Group | 1,403 | 166 | |||
| Corporate and other | 65 | 41 | 38 | 67 | |
| EAME management and franchising | 158 | 97 | 68 | 152 | |
| Total | 6,667 | 5,891 | 3,028 | 2,066 | 5,020 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2132025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2172022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
