Tearsheet

Expedia (EXPE)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $263.61 | Market Cap: $32.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Expedia (EXPE)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $263.61
Market Cap: $32.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, and Travel & Leisure Tech.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, and Travel & Leisure Tech.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

EXPE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results.

Expedia Group (EXPE) reported robust third-quarter 2025 earnings, with revenue increasing 9% year-over-year to $4.4 billion and gross bookings growing 12% to $30.7 billion. Net income attributable to Expedia Group, Inc. surged 40%, and diluted earnings per share climbed 45% to $7.33. Adjusted EPS grew 23%, and adjusted EBITDA increased 16% with significant margin expansion. These strong results significantly exceeded expectations.

2. Raised Full-Year 2025 Guidance.

Following its impressive Q3 performance, Expedia Group increased its full-year 2025 guidance. The company now expects revenue to grow between 6% and 7%, up from an earlier projection of 3% to 5%. Additionally, it anticipates adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of approximately 200 basis points for the full year.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
EXPE Return23%36%-52%73%23%43%147%
Peers Return13%20%-36%55%40%9%106%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
EXPE Win Rate67%58%33%50%67%60% 
Peers Win Rate50%55%37%60%55%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
EXPE Max Drawdown-58%-7%-54%0%-28%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-43%-8%-42%-6%-16%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GOOGL, BKNG, EBAY, TRIP, TZOO. See EXPE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventEXPES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-60.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven155.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven968 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-62.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven169.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven236 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-40.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven460 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-82.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven479.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1874 days1480 days

Compare to GOOGL, BKNG, EBAY, TRIP, TZOO


In The Past

Expedia's stock fell -60.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2022. A -60.9% loss requires a 155.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Expedia (EXPE)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to EXPE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
EXPE_6302022_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG06302022EXPEExpediaDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-8.1%15.4%-11.7%
EXPE_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312020EXPEExpediaDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
63.1%205.9%-14.9%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
EXPE_6302022_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG06302022EXPEExpediaDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-8.1%15.4%-11.7%
EXPE_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312020EXPEExpediaDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
63.1%205.9%-14.9%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Expedia

Peers to compare with:

Financials

EXPEGOOGLBKNGEBAYTRIPTZOOMedian
NameExpedia Alphabet Booking eBay Tripadvi.Travelzoo 
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Growth & Margins

EXPEGOOGLBKNGEBAYTRIPTZOOMedian
NameExpedia Alphabet Booking eBay Tripadvi.Travelzoo 
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Valuation

EXPEGOOGLBKNGEBAYTRIPTZOOMedian
NameExpedia Alphabet Booking eBay Tripadvi.Travelzoo 
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Returns

EXPEGOOGLBKNGEBAYTRIPTZOOMedian
NameExpedia Alphabet Booking eBay Tripadvi.Travelzoo 
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Business-to-customer (B2C)9,1138,7416,8213,9938,808
Business-to-business (B2B)3,3882,5461,4609422,579
trivago525561423280938
Corporate & Eliminations-187-181-106-16-258
Total12,83911,6678,5985,19912,067


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Business-to-customer (B2C)1,8101,6171,277-2851,601
Business-to-business (B2B)6815188-321323
trivago5110529-2674
Corporate & Eliminations-1,509-1,155-1,128-2,087-1,095
Total1,0331,085186-2,719903


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,632,816
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-1.1%
Average Daily Volume2,980,109
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.23
Basic Shares Quantity123,699,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024207202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023209202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022210202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021211202210-K 12/31/2021