Airbnb (ABNB)


Market Price (8/9/2026): $178.05 | Market Cap: $105.4 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Airbnb (ABNB)


Market Price (8/9/2026): $178.05
Market Cap: $105.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%

Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, CFO LTM is 4.9 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.9 Bil

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 11 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -6.2%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 8.0x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 36x

Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%

Key risks
ABNB key risks include [1] escalating global regulatory pressure on short-term rentals that directly threatens its host supply and profitability and [2] intensifying competition from traditional hotels and rival online platforms.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, CFO LTM is 4.9 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.9 Bil
3 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 11 Bil
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.
6 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
7 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -6.2%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49%
8 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 8.0x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 36x
9 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
10 Key risks
ABNB key risks include [1] escalating global regulatory pressure on short-term rentals that directly threatens its host supply and profitability and [2] intensifying competition from traditional hotels and rival online platforms.

ABNB in ETFs

Weight = ABNB's share of each fund

SPY0.10%
VOO0.09%
IVV0.10%
VTI0.08%
ITOT0.09%
QQQ0.28%
QQQM0.32%
IWB0.09%
+35 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/7/2026

Airbnb (ABNB) stock has gained about 25% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Airbnb exceeded fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026) expectations and provided a strong outlook.

The company reported diluted earnings per share of $1.37, surpassing analyst estimates of $1.26 by 14.17%. Revenue also climbed 16.5% year-over-year to $3.61 billion, beating the consensus estimate of $3.58 billion. This robust performance was further amplified by a 10% year-over-year increase in Nights and Seats Booked, reaching 148.3 million, and a 16% rise in Gross Booking Value (GBV) to $27.2 billion. Moreover, Airbnb raised its full-year 2026 revenue growth outlook to "at least mid-teens" and increased its adjusted EBITDA margin forecast to "at least 35.5%," signaling sustained confidence in future profitability.

2. Accelerated global travel demand significantly boosted bookings and average daily rates.

Airbnb experienced a broad-based acceleration in travel demand, with notable strength in core markets such as the United States, France, the United Kingdom, and Australia, and robust growth in expansion markets like India, Brazil, and Japan. North America, in particular, saw its strongest growth in Nights and Seats Booked in almost three years during fiscal Q2 2026. A contributing factor was the FIFA World Cup 2026™, which drove record guest numbers and host earnings across North American host cities, generating significant travel activity on the platform. The average daily rate (ADR) also increased by 5% in fiscal Q2 2026, reaching $184.

Show more
Updated on 8/7/2026

Airbnb (ABNB) stock has gained about 25% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Airbnb exceeded fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026) expectations and provided a strong outlook.

The company reported diluted earnings per share of $1.37, surpassing analyst estimates of $1.26 by 14.17%. Revenue also climbed 16.5% year-over-year to $3.61 billion, beating the consensus estimate of $3.58 billion. This robust performance was further amplified by a 10% year-over-year increase in Nights and Seats Booked, reaching 148.3 million, and a 16% rise in Gross Booking Value (GBV) to $27.2 billion. Moreover, Airbnb raised its full-year 2026 revenue growth outlook to "at least mid-teens" and increased its adjusted EBITDA margin forecast to "at least 35.5%," signaling sustained confidence in future profitability.

2. Accelerated global travel demand significantly boosted bookings and average daily rates.

Airbnb experienced a broad-based acceleration in travel demand, with notable strength in core markets such as the United States, France, the United Kingdom, and Australia, and robust growth in expansion markets like India, Brazil, and Japan. North America, in particular, saw its strongest growth in Nights and Seats Booked in almost three years during fiscal Q2 2026. A contributing factor was the FIFA World Cup 2026™, which drove record guest numbers and host earnings across North American host cities, generating significant travel activity on the platform. The average daily rate (ADR) also increased by 5% in fiscal Q2 2026, reaching $184.

3. Strategic product innovations, including AI integration and expansion into new offerings, enhanced platform appeal and competitiveness.

Airbnb's "2026 Summer Release," launched on May 20, 2026, introduced a suite of new services and experiences, such as car rentals, grocery delivery, and airport pickups, aiming to make trips more comprehensive and convenient for guests. The company emphasized its transformation into an "AI-native company," leveraging AI-driven product improvements to accelerate innovation and enhance user engagement. Furthermore, Airbnb's strategic push into boutique and independent hotels demonstrated strong results, with hotel nights growing approximately three times faster than traditional home bookings, diversifying its offerings and appealing to a broader customer base.

Show less
Holding a concentrated position? Know your true downside before the momentum shifts.
Protect Your Wealth →

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 26.9% change in ABNB stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 16.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020268092026Change
Stock Price ($)140.36178.0526.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)12,24113,1597.5%
Net Income Margin (%)20.5%20.4%-0.3%
P/E Multiple33.839.216.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)6045922.0%
Cumulative Contribution26.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ABNB26.9% 
Market (SPY)7.6%22.0%
Sector (XLY)1.3%42.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 37.6% change in ABNB stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 30.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120268092026Change
Stock Price ($)129.37178.0537.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11,94313,15910.2%
Net Income Margin (%)22.0%20.4%-7.2%
P/E Multiple30.039.230.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)6115923.2%
Cumulative Contribution37.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ABNB37.6% 
Market (SPY)12.1%41.2%
Sector (XLY)-0.9%52.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 34.5% change in ABNB stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 20.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120258092026Change
Stock Price ($)132.41178.0534.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11,23213,15917.2%
Net Income Margin (%)22.6%20.4%-9.5%
P/E Multiple32.439.220.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)6215924.9%
Cumulative Contribution34.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ABNB34.5% 
Market (SPY)23.4%41.4%
Sector (XLY)8.9%50.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 17.0% change in ABNB stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 51.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)73120238092026Change
Stock Price ($)152.19178.0517.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8,70813,15951.1%
Net Income Margin (%)23.3%20.4%-12.2%
P/E Multiple47.639.2-17.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)6345927.1%
Cumulative Contribution17.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ABNB17.0% 
Market (SPY)74.9%54.9%
Sector (XLY)41.1%57.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
ABNB Return13%-49%59%-3%3%12%3%
Peers Return28%-20%58%29%19%9%170%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%105%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ABNB Win Rate58%33%67%58%58%62% 
Peers Win Rate53%45%62%63%60%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ABNB Max Drawdown-39%-56%-26%-33%-35%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-39%-18%-20%-30%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: BKNG, EXPE, MAR, HLT, H. See ABNB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/7/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventABNBS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-33.1%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven49.5%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven486 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-25.6%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.4%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven191 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-23.2%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.3%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven91 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-10.3%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven11.5%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven8 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-48.4%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven93.8%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven1499 days427 days

Compare to BKNG, EXPE, MAR, HLT, H

In The Past

Airbnb's stock fell -33.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 49.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventABNBS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-33.1%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven49.5%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven486 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-25.6%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.4%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven191 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-23.2%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.3%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven91 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-48.4%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven93.8%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven1499 days427 days

Compare to BKNG, EXPE, MAR, HLT, H

In The Past

Airbnb's stock fell -33.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 49.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Airbnb (ABNB)

```html

Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) operates as a leading global online marketplace connecting individuals who want to rent out their properties or offer unique activities (hosts) with travelers seeking accommodation or experiences (guests). The company's innovative platform leverages web and mobile technologies to facilitate these transactions, essentially acting as an intermediary that streamlines the booking process for both parties worldwide.

The core of Airbnb's offerings centers on short-term rentals, encompassing a wide variety of lodging options such as private rooms, entire primary residences, and vacation homes. Beyond just accommodation, the platform also enables hosts to list and manage "experiences," which are curated activities like cooking classes, walking tours, or local adventures, providing guests with a more immersive travel experience.

Airbnb serves a diverse global customer base, primarily comprising property owners or individuals with spare rooms looking to earn income as hosts, and travelers seeking alternatives to conventional hotels. These guests typically look for unique stays, a sense of local immersion, or more spacious and personalized lodging options, catering to both leisure and business travel markets across the globe.

```

AI Analysis | Feedback

1. eBay for private accommodations

2. Expedia for unique stays and experiences

AI Analysis | Feedback

Airbnb Products and Services

Major Products and Services of Airbnb (ABNB)

  • Stays: A global marketplace connecting guests with hosts offering a diverse range of accommodations, including private rooms, entire homes, and vacation rentals.
  • Experiences: A platform for hosts to offer unique activities and tours, allowing guests to discover and book immersive local experiences.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Airbnb (ABNB) sells primarily to individuals. Its major customer categories include:

  1. Leisure Travelers: Individuals, couples, families, and groups seeking short-term accommodations for vacations, holidays, and recreational trips.
  2. Business Travelers: Professionals and teams utilizing the platform for work-related travel, including individual business trips, team off-sites, and project-based stays.
  3. Long-Term Stay Guests: Individuals and families requiring extended accommodations for purposes such as relocation, temporary assignments, or extended personal travel.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
  • Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)
  • PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Brian Chesky, Chief Executive Officer

Brian Chesky is the co-founder and Chief Executive Officer of Airbnb. He sets the vision and strategy for the company. In 2007, he and Joe Gebbia became Airbnb's first hosts. A graduate of the Rhode Island School of Design, Chesky has embedded his creative roots in Airbnb's culture, product, and community. Prior to co-founding Airbnb, he worked as an industrial designer.

Ellie Mertz, Chief Financial Officer

Ellie Mertz has served as Chief Financial Officer of Airbnb since March 2024. She oversees Airbnb's global finance team, including financial planning and analysis, accounting, tax, treasury, and investor relations. Mertz joined Airbnb in 2013 as Head of Global Financial Planning & Analysis and became Vice President of Finance in 2019. Before joining Airbnb, she held various finance roles, including Vice President of Finance, at Netflix from 2006 to 2013. She also serves on the boards of directors for DoorDash, Faire Wholesale, and Netflix.

Dave Stephenson, Chief Business Officer and Head of Employee Experience

Dave Stephenson is currently the Chief Business Officer and Head of Employee Experience at Airbnb. In this role, he focuses on growing global businesses, recruiting and developing supply, and executing global in-market strategy, while also overseeing talent, leadership development, and diversity initiatives. He previously served as Airbnb's Chief Financial Officer for five years. Prior to joining Airbnb in January 2019, Stephenson spent 17 years at Amazon, where he was Vice President and CFO of their Worldwide Consumer Organization and CFO of Amazon's International Consumer business. He also led the finance function across areas like Amazon Web Services. Earlier in his career, he was President and CFO of Big Fish Games and started as a manufacturing engineer and finance manager at Procter and Gamble. Stephenson serves on the boards of Lyft and SiriusXM.

Nathan Blecharczyk, Co-founder and Chief Strategy Officer

Nathan (Nate) Blecharczyk is a co-founder of Airbnb and serves as its Chief Strategy Officer. He also holds the position of Chairman of Airbnb China. Blecharczyk received a Bachelor of Arts degree in Computer Science from Harvard University. He is a signatory to the Giving Pledge.

Aristotle Balogh, Chief Technology Officer

Aristotle Balogh serves as the Chief Technology Officer at Airbnb. Further background details were not readily available in the provided search results.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Airbnb (ABNB) are primarily centered around evolving regulatory environments, intense competition, and the critical need to maintain a strong base of hosts and guests.

  1. Regulatory and Compliance Risks: Airbnb faces significant and ever-changing regulatory challenges globally. Numerous cities and governments have implemented or are considering strict laws, zoning restrictions, permit requirements, and taxes specifically targeting short-term rentals. These regulations aim to address concerns such as housing affordability, neighborhood impact, and safety. Non-compliance can lead to substantial fines, operational disruptions, and in some cases, outright prohibitions on short-term rentals, directly impacting Airbnb's ability to operate in key markets and potentially reducing its host supply.
  2. Competition: The travel and hospitality industry is highly competitive, posing a significant risk to Airbnb's market share and pricing power. The company faces formidable competition from traditional hotel chains, many of which are expanding their own vacation rental offerings, as well as from other established online travel agencies (OTAs) like Booking.com and Expedia Group. These competitors often possess substantial financial resources, established brand recognition, and extensive customer loyalty programs. This intense competitive landscape can lead to pressure on Average Daily Rates (ADR) and a constant need for innovation to differentiate its platform.
  3. Host and Guest Retention and Supply/Demand Dynamics: Airbnb's marketplace model is highly dependent on its ability to attract and retain a diverse base of high-quality hosts and a consistent flow of guests. Risks include potential host dissatisfaction due to evolving platform policies, increasing fees, or stringent guest-first rules, which could lead some hosts to seek alternative platforms or exit the short-term rental market altogether. On the guest side, maintaining the platform's appeal and ensuring consistent quality experiences are crucial. The business is also sensitive to broader macroeconomic conditions, changes in discretionary travel spending, and general fluctuations in supply and demand within the travel and hospitality industries.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The increasing global trend of stringent regulations and restrictions on short-term rentals in major cities and tourist destinations represents a clear emerging threat to Airbnb. Governments and local authorities worldwide are implementing new laws, higher taxes, registration requirements, and even outright bans or strict caps on rental days (e.g., New York, Paris, Barcelona, London), directly impacting the supply of listings, operational costs for hosts, and Airbnb's ability to operate and expand in key markets. This regulatory environment is becoming more widespread and aggressive, posing a significant challenge to Airbnb's core business model and growth.

AI Analysis | Feedback

For the public company Airbnb (symbol: ABNB), the addressable markets for its main products and services are as follows:

Stays (Accommodation Market)

Airbnb's total addressable market (TAM) for stays is estimated to be approximately $2.01 trillion globally. This figure is based on their IPO documents, which identified a market of $1.8 trillion for short-term stays and $210 billion for long-term stays.

Other estimates for the global accommodation market include:

  • The global travel accommodation market was valued at $961.6 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach $2,187.5 billion by 2034.
  • The global alternative accommodation market was estimated at $127.28 billion in 2021 and is projected to reach $504.95 billion by 2030.
  • The global travel accommodation market was valued at $797.7 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $3,144.7 billion by 2035.

Experiences Market

Airbnb's IPO documents claimed a total addressable market (TAM) for Experiences of a striking $1.4 trillion globally. This figure includes $239 billion in recreational leisure spend by tourists and another $1.1 trillion in non-travel-related recreational spend.

Other analyses of the global experiences market indicate:

  • The global market for tours, activities, and attractions is projected to reach $271 billion in 2025 and $342 billion by 2029.
  • The global market for travel experiences (destination visitors) could be more than $1 trillion.
  • The global experience travel services market size was valued at USD 138.00 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 372.93 billion by 2034.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Airbnb (ABNB) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:

  1. Expansion of Offerings and Services: Airbnb plans to significantly broaden its platform beyond traditional short-term stays to include a wider range of services and experiences. This includes an expansion into boutique and independent hotel offerings, as well as the ambition to launch two new business lines annually, such as a "Host Services Marketplace" for cleaners and chefs. The company is also focusing on local experiences, positioning itself as a "weekend lifestyle app" rather than solely a travel tool, and testing new services like grocery delivery and airport pickup.
  2. Product Innovations and Enhanced User Experience: Airbnb is focused on continuous product improvements and pricing initiatives to simplify booking and improve overall satisfaction for both guests and hosts. Initiatives such as "Reserve Now, Pay Later," simplified fee structures, and updated cancellation policies have already driven positive shifts in booking dynamics and contributed to Gross Booking Value (GBV) growth. "Project Hawaii," aimed at making it easier to find and book homes, is also expected to generate significant revenue in 2026, building on its 2025 success.
  3. Global Market Expansion and Penetration: The company is actively expanding its presence in new and existing international markets. This strategy is evident in the strong performance and increased first-time bookers in regions like Brazil, which has entered Airbnb's top five markets, as well as significant growth in India and Japan. Strategic market penetration is also being leveraged through global events such as the Olympics and FIFA World Cup, presenting opportunities to increase both demand and supply diversity.
  4. Leveraging Artificial Intelligence (AI): Airbnb considers AI a central pillar of its strategy to enhance user experience and operational efficiency. AI is being utilized to drive discovery and personalize recommendations. Furthermore, an in-house AI agent is already resolving a substantial portion of customer support tickets, which streamlines operations and improves service delivery.
  5. Growth in Nights and Seats Booked & Gross Booking Value (GBV): As a culmination of the aforementioned strategies, Airbnb anticipates continued growth in its core metrics: the number of nights and seats booked, and Gross Booking Value. The company's Q4 2025 results showed a 10% increase in nights and seats booked and a 16% increase in GBV, with management projecting continued high-single-digit growth in nights and seats booked for Q1 2026. The disciplined investment in technology, product, and marketing is aimed at sustaining this momentum.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Airbnb announced a new share repurchase program with authorization to purchase up to an additional $6 billion of its Class A common stock in August 2025, with no expiration date.
  • As of December 31, 2025, $5.6 billion remained available under the share repurchase program.
  • The company repurchased 29.7 million shares of Class A common stock for $3.8 billion in 2025, following $3.4 billion in 2024 and $2.252 billion in 2023.

Share Issuance

  • Share repurchases since the program's inception in August 2022 have helped to offset dilution from employee stock programs.
  • Stock-based compensation, a form of share issuance, was approximately $1.59 billion recently, contributing to increased compensation expenses.
  • Insider sales, such as those by Elinor Mertz in late 2025 and early 2026 and Joseph Gebbia's associated Sycamore Trust in late 2025 and March 2026, reflect the disposition of Class A common shares.

Outbound Investments

  • Airbnb's most recent acquisition was GamePlanner.AI in November 2023 for $200 million, a provider of artificial intelligence development services.
  • In April 2023, Airbnb acquired Letting Cloud for an undisclosed amount.
  • The average number of acquisitions per year over the last five years (2020–2025) is 0.4.

Capital Expenditures

  • Airbnb's capital expenditures have been consistently very low, with a capital expenditures margin of 0.0% for fiscal years ending December 2021 through 2025.
  • The capital expenditure for the three months ended December 2025 was $0.00 million.
  • This reflects Airbnb's asset-light, platform-based business model.

Better Bets vs. Airbnb (ABNB)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ABNBBKNGEXPEMARHLTHMedian
NameAirbnb Booking Expedia Marriott.Hilton W.Hyatt Ho. 
Mkt Price178.05213.97310.68354.50317.80177.71262.32
Mkt Cap105.4164.337.493.672.116.882.8
Rev LTM13,15928,24115,70026,90412,4857,15214,430
Op Inc LTM2,7389,7412,7384,2332,9155102,826
FCF LTM4,8609,5394,4593,1321,9392523,796
FCF 3Y Avg4,5058,7622,8212,5021,9343462,661
CFO LTM4,8609,8595,2163,7282,1094434,294
CFO 3Y Avg4,5109,1283,5873,1332,1285303,360

Growth & Margins

ABNBBKNGEXPEMARHLTHMedian
NameAirbnb Booking Expedia Marriott.Hilton W.Hyatt Ho. 
Rev Chg LTM13.6%12.9%12.0%4.7%8.7%5.8%10.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg13.2%13.5%8.6%5.5%8.6%3.2%8.6%
Rev Chg Q16.5%8.1%14.0%4.8%6.5%1.2%7.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.0%2.0%3.5%1.2%1.7%0.3%1.8%
Op Inc Chg LTM5.1%18.5%60.2%7.2%20.1%16.4%17.5%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg16.6%17.9%29.3%1.6%8.5%7.6%12.6%
Op Mgn LTM20.8%34.5%17.4%15.7%23.3%7.1%19.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.5%31.9%13.9%15.7%22.1%6.3%17.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%0.2%1.3%-0.3%0.3%0.4%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM36.9%34.9%33.2%13.9%16.9%6.2%25.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg38.6%36.2%24.6%12.2%18.4%7.8%21.5%
FCF/Rev LTM36.9%33.8%28.4%11.6%15.5%3.5%22.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg38.5%34.7%19.3%9.7%16.7%5.1%18.0%

Valuation

ABNBBKNGEXPEMARHLTHMedian
NameAirbnb Booking Expedia Marriott.Hilton W.Hyatt Ho. 
Mkt Cap105.4164.337.493.672.116.882.8
P/S8.05.82.43.55.82.34.6
P/Op Inc38.516.913.622.124.732.923.4
P/EBIT36.215.813.421.624.931.323.2
P/E39.222.818.336.245.5212.137.7
P/CFO21.716.77.225.134.237.823.4
Total Yield2.6%5.2%6.0%3.6%2.4%0.8%3.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.8%0.6%0.8%0.2%0.3%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.2%5.8%12.0%3.1%3.0%2.2%4.1%
D/E0.00.10.20.20.20.30.2
Net D/E-0.10.0-0.00.20.20.20.1

Returns

ABNBBKNGEXPEMARHLTHMedian
NameAirbnb Booking Expedia Marriott.Hilton W.Hyatt Ho. 
1M Rtn19.8%19.9%14.7%-5.7%-5.3%-7.0%4.7%
3M Rtn25.8%29.3%35.4%0.6%0.4%6.1%16.0%
6M Rtn45.7%20.6%31.7%6.8%1.2%9.3%14.9%
12M Rtn47.1%-0.2%60.4%37.6%21.4%31.3%34.4%
3Y Rtn30.9%69.5%181.7%75.0%106.2%53.3%72.3%
1M Excs Rtn18.4%19.1%13.2%-7.7%-8.7%-9.3%2.8%
3M Excs Rtn21.0%19.5%17.4%-4.8%-6.5%-1.4%8.0%
6M Excs Rtn32.7%6.9%20.8%-5.1%-11.1%-2.7%2.1%
12M Excs Rtn14.2%-24.8%46.9%13.8%-0.2%8.8%11.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-48.7%17.6%94.7%7.2%37.1%-24.8%12.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment12,24111,1029,9178,3995,992
Total12,24111,1029,9178,3995,992


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil202520242023
Single Segment2,5442,5531,518
Total2,5442,5531,518


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil202520242023
Single Segment2,5112,6484,792
Total2,5112,6484,792


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$178.07 
Market Cap ($ Bil)106.5 
First Trading Date12/10/2020 
Distance from 52W High0.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$142.64$133.12
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA24.8%33.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility46.7%34.0%
Downside Capture53.3299.76
Upside Capture141.60121.01
Correlation (SPY)24.8%45.4%
ABNB Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.640.650.661.191.111.30
Up Beta-2.690.180.671.021.131.37
Down Beta0.500.360.321.181.041.35
Up Capture217%141%88%140%113%137%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days10213164134385
Down Capture121%49%69%115%112%107%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days12223262118366

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ABNB
ABNB36.6%34.9%0.94-
Sector ETF (XLY)7.9%19.4%0.2750.4%
Equity (SPY)23.3%12.8%1.3640.2%
Gold (GLD)28.5%28.4%0.876.8%
Commodities (DBC)32.9%19.8%1.32-23.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)14.2%13.8%0.7225.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-43.7%43.0%-1.2118.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ABNB
ABNB4.1%44.5%0.23-
Sector ETF (XLY)6.7%24.0%0.2464.0%
Equity (SPY)13.5%17.2%0.6159.0%
Gold (GLD)18.6%18.6%0.814.7%
Commodities (DBC)8.2%19.6%0.319.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.3%18.9%0.0240.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)9.0%53.0%0.3627.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ABNB
ABNB2.0%46.3%0.23-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.5%22.2%0.5258.5%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7353.2%
Gold (GLD)12.1%16.2%0.613.7%
Commodities (DBC)7.4%18.0%0.3310.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%20.7%0.2035.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.4%66.2%0.9822.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14.0 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 6302026-6.0%
Average Daily Volume3.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.4 days
Basic Shares Quantity592.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.4%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/9/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/7/20260.7%-4.8%-4.3%
2/12/20264.6%10.3%10.7%
11/6/20250.3%0.5%4.0%
8/6/2025-8.0%-4.6%-5.1%
5/1/20251.0%1.9%4.5%
2/13/202514.4%3.6%-10.0%
11/7/2024-8.7%-8.7%-6.9%
8/6/2024-13.4%-10.4%-11.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1278
# Negative101514
Median Positive4.3%3.6%8.0%
Median Negative-7.4%-5.6%-7.0%
Max Positive14.4%10.3%13.0%
Max Negative-13.4%-19.9%-16.4%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/7/20260.7%-4.8%-4.3%
2/12/20264.6%10.3%10.7%
11/6/20250.3%0.5%4.0%
8/6/2025-8.0%-4.6%-5.1%
5/1/20251.0%1.9%4.5%
2/13/202514.4%3.6%-10.0%
11/7/2024-8.7%-8.7%-6.9%
8/6/2024-13.4%-10.4%-11.0%
5/8/2024-6.9%-7.7%-7.1%
2/13/2024-1.7%-1.0%10.4%
11/1/2023-3.3%-1.5%13.0%
8/3/2023-0.5%-3.5%-5.8%
5/9/2023-10.9%-17.0%-9.1%
2/14/202313.4%5.2%-0.7%
11/1/2022-13.4%-9.3%-7.1%
8/2/2022-1.1%-1.6%-2.8%
5/3/20227.7%-19.9%-16.4%
2/15/20223.6%-16.7%-12.5%
11/4/202113.0%7.4%1.3%
8/12/20211.1%-5.6%6.1%
5/13/20214.0%0.3%9.9%
2/25/202113.3%-1.0%-4.2%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1278
# Negative101514
Median Positive4.3%3.6%8.0%
Median Negative-7.4%-5.6%-7.0%
Max Positive14.4%10.3%13.0%
Max Negative-13.4%-19.9%-16.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/06/202610-Q
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/12/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202402/13/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/06/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/16/202410-K
09/30/202311/01/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/09/202310-Q
12/31/202202/17/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/06/202610-Q
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/12/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202402/13/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/06/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/16/202410-K
09/30/202311/01/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/09/202310-Q
12/31/202202/17/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/03/202210-Q
03/31/202205/09/202210-Q
12/31/202102/25/202210-K
09/30/202111/05/202110-Q
06/30/202108/13/202110-Q
03/31/202105/14/202110-Q
12/31/202002/26/202110-K
09/30/202012/11/2020424B4

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/8/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Revenue3.54 Bil3.57 Bil3.60 Bil   
Q2 2026 Revenue Growth14.0%15.0%16.0%   
2026 Revenue Growth12.0%13.5%15.0% 3.5%RaisedGuidance: 10.0% for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin 35.0%  35.0%RaisedGuidance: 0.0% for 2026

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/12/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Revenue2.59 Bil2.61 Bil2.63 Bil   
Q1 2026 Revenue Growth14.0%15.0%16.0%   
Q1 2026 GBV Growth10.0%11.5%13.0%   
Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin 0.0%    
2026 Revenue Growth 10.0%    
2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin 0.0%    

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 Revenue2.66 Bil2.69 Bil2.72 Bil-33.7% Lower NewGuidance: 4.06 Bil for Q3 2025
Q4 2025 Revenue Growth7.0%8.5%10.0% -0.5%Lower NewGuidance: 9.0% for Q3 2025
Q4 2025 GBV Growth10.0%11.5%13.0%   
Q4 2025 Nights and Seats Booked Growth4.0%5.0%6.0%   
2025 Adjusted EBITDA Margin 35.0%  0.5%RaisedGuidance: 34.5% for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 8/5/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Mertz, ElinorChief Financial OfficerDirectSell8052026153.343,748574,71867,706,123Form
2Blecharczyk, NathanChief Strategy OfficerTrustSell8052026151.8013,6152,066,8031,877,807Form
3Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell7292026151.671,828,303277,302,02732,609Form
4Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell7292026145.70265,00038,609,761266,409,976Form
5Blecharczyk, NathanChief Strategy OfficerTrustSell7222026145.4313,6151,980,0751,799,010Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Mertz, ElinorChief Financial OfficerDirectSell8052026153.343,748574,71867,706,123Form
2Blecharczyk, NathanChief Strategy OfficerTrustSell8052026151.8013,6152,066,8031,877,807Form
3Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell7292026151.671,828,303277,302,02732,609Form
4Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell7292026145.70265,00038,609,761266,409,976Form
5Blecharczyk, NathanChief Strategy OfficerTrustSell7222026145.4313,6151,980,0751,799,010Form
6Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell7172026150.2349,5777,447,769314,501,463Form
7Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell7172026150.15187,02428,082,084321,790,643Form
8Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell7152026145.50265,00038,557,367339,031,146Form
9Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell7092026150.002,460369,000389,267,850Form
10Blecharczyk, NathanChief Strategy OfficerTrustSell7082026148.3713,6152,020,09412,118,636Form
11Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell7072026150.0127,7334,160,341389,673,476Form
12Mertz, ElinorChief Financial OfficerDirectSell7072026148.013,750555,03865,907,444Form
13Chenault, Kenneth I DirectSell7012026150.008,3461,251,9006,131,850Form
14Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell7012026148.43294,90343,771,373389,240,951Form
15Blecharczyk, NathanChief Strategy OfficerTrustSell6302026146.4331,0334,544,13211,362,893Form
16Blecharczyk, NathanChief Strategy OfficerTrustSell6262026145.092,113306,5701,794,731Form
17Blecharczyk, NathanChief Strategy OfficerTrustSell6262026145.8188,36612,884,2191,803,610Form
18Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell6172026138.51265,00036,704,161404,071,957Form
19Chesky, BrianCEO and ChairmanDirectSell6172026138.4030,7434,254,7791,481,095,012Form
20Chesky, BrianCEO and ChairmanDirectSell6102026135.714,195569,2891,456,461,751Form
21Chesky, BrianCEO and ChairmanDirectSell6102026135.3437,7045,102,8371,453,088,272Form
22Chesky, BrianCEO and ChairmanDirectSell6082026135.1716,5152,232,2581,456,317,296Form
23Chesky, BrianCEO and ChairmanDirectSell6082026136.1464,3338,758,0761,469,028,505Form
24Chesky, BrianCEO and ChairmanDirectSell6042026134.0062,7648,410,5841,454,629,431Form
25Mertz, ElinorChief Financial OfficerDirectSell6042026136.247,4331,012,67261,177,275Form
26Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell6032026135.45265,00035,893,438431,040,230Form
27Chesky, BrianCEO and ChairmanDirectSell6022026135.80184,51325,057,1981,482,675,807Form
28Chesky, BrianCEO and Chairman2016 Legacy Trust BSell6022026136.6215,2262,080,252799,803Form
29Chesky, BrianCEO and ChairmanDirectSell6022026134.39103,93713,968,4321,492,094,652Form
30Chesky, BrianCEO and Chairman2016 Legacy Trust BSell6022026135.164,774645,2592,849,196Form
31Chesky, BrianCEO and ChairmanDirectSell5292026132.22265,74635,137,5991,481,736,688Form
32Chesky, BrianCEO and ChairmanDirectSell5292026133.15229,55030,564,9531,527,533,302Form
33Chesky, BrianCEO and Chairman2016 Legacy Trust BSell5292026133.1720,0002,663,4173,442,999Form
34Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell5272026133.442,860381,638460,014,476Form
35Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell5202026134.8654,0007,282,7062,023Form
36Blecharczyk, NathanChief Strategy OfficerTrustSell5122026145.6762791,3361,736,398Form
37Blecharczyk, NathanChief Strategy OfficerTrustSell5122026145.7060,1368,762,0391,736,788Form
38Mertz, ElinorChief Financial OfficerDirectSell5062026143.003,750536,25066,268,299Form
39Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell5062026140.3758,0008,141,3017,581,938Form
40Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell4222026142.5958,0008,270,23815,972,254Form
41Mertz, ElinorChief Financial OfficerDirectSell4102026130.993,750491,21351,657,044Form
42Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell4082026126.1658,0007,317,45621,449,608Form
43Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell3252026132.5158,0007,685,66330,214,593Form
44Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell3112026131.2758,0007,613,82737,546,011Form
45Mertz, ElinorChief Financial OfficerDirectSell3092026135.734,308584,72554,035,291Form
46Mertz, ElinorChief Financial OfficerDirectSell3042026130.003,750487,50052,314,169Form
47Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell2252026121.9758,0007,074,27441,959,591Form
48Blecharczyk, NathanChief Strategy OfficerDirectSell2242026125.294,260533,7356,170,562Form
49Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell2112026121.1558,0007,026,71748,704,234Form
50Mertz, ElinorChief Financial OfficerDirectSell2042026130.003,750487,50053,368,887Form
51Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell1282026133.2858,0007,730,26161,310,963Form
52Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell1142026138.4558,0008,030,00471,718,319Form
53Mertz, ElinorChief Financial OfficerDirectSell1062026135.943,750509,77556,317,210Form
54Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell12312025136.7058,0007,928,85878,743,809Form
55Balogh, Aristotle NChief Technology OfficerDirectSell12232025134.792,565345,74522,252,562Form
56Balogh, Aristotle NChief Technology OfficerDirectSell12192025135.0015,2632,060,50522,374,393Form
57Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell12172025130.5658,0007,572,58782,778,171Form
58Chesky, BrianCEO and Chairman2016 Legacy Trust BSell12162025131.1651,2306,719,5366,014,398Form
59Balogh, Aristotle NChief Technology OfficerDirectSell12162025128.9365083,80421,855,085Form
60Chesky, BrianCEO and Chairman2016 Legacy Trust BSell12162025130.178,7701,141,58812,637,395Form
61Mertz, ElinorChief Financial OfficerDirectSell12162025130.007,500975,00054,343,887Form
62Mertz, ElinorChief Financial OfficerDirectSell12112025125.004,630578,75053,191,238Form
63Balogh, Aristotle NChief Technology OfficerDirectSell12112025125.1916,8752,112,62721,302,945Form
64Blecharczyk, NathanChief Strategy OfficerTrustSell12102025123.2436,3704,482,0761,419,673Form
65Blecharczyk, NathanChief Strategy OfficerTrustSell12102025121.96141,06317,203,6501,404,947Form
66Blecharczyk, NathanChief Strategy OfficerTrustSell12092025123.7030,3113,749,4391,425,012Form
67Blecharczyk, NathanChief Strategy OfficerDirectSell12092025122.7023,7612,915,5786,867,545Form
68Balogh, Aristotle NChief Technology OfficerDirectSell12092025120.9265078,59822,616,423Form
69Blecharczyk, NathanChief Strategy OfficerDirectSell12052025120.5277,5279,343,1826,423,246Form
70Blecharczyk, NathanChief Strategy OfficerDirectSell12052025120.2239,8064,785,43015,727,651Form
71Blecharczyk, NathanChief Strategy OfficerDirectSell12042025120.035,162619,57220,480,115Form
72Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell12032025118.4758,0006,871,27581,983,195Form
73Balogh, Aristotle NChief Technology OfficerDirectSell12022025116.0454963,70621,779,112Form
74Blecharczyk, NathanChief Strategy OfficerDirectSell12022025116.713,307385,96020,516,827Form
75Balogh, Aristotle NChief Technology OfficerDirectSell12022025116.7160070,02621,968,935Form
76Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell11262025114.22232,00026,500,1881,713Form
77Balogh, Aristotle NChief Technology OfficerDirectSell11242025114.5160068,70621,623,524Form
78Balogh, Aristotle NChief Technology OfficerDirectSell11172025121.3860072,82823,645,549Form
79Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell11132025120.66236,00028,474,62527,993,814Form
80Balogh, Aristotle NChief Technology OfficerDirectSell11102025122.3860073,42823,913,783Form
81Balogh, Aristotle NChief Technology OfficerDirectSell11032025125.4760075,28224,592,869Form
82Mertz, ElinorChief Financial OfficerDirectSell10302025130.007,500975,00056,754,113Form
83Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell10292025128.47236,00030,318,56160,125,176Form
84Mertz, ElinorChief Financial OfficerDirectSell10282025127.6512,1841,555,28856,685,549Form
85Balogh, Aristotle NChief Technology OfficerDirectSell10272025127.5360076,51825,073,160Form
86Balogh, Aristotle NChief Technology OfficerDirectSell10202025124.2660074,55624,504,814Form
87Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell10152025119.22236,00028,137,09083,936,158Form
88Balogh, Aristotle NChief Technology OfficerDirectSell10142025120.4660072,27623,827,708Form
89Balogh, Aristotle NChief Technology OfficerDirectSell10062025122.4760073,48224,298,780Form
90Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell10012025123.57236,00029,162,764116,158,626Form
91Balogh, Aristotle NChief Technology OfficerDirectSell9292025122.9160073,74624,459,824Form
92Balogh, Aristotle NChief Technology OfficerDirectSell9222025123.7460074,24424,699,243Form
93Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell9172025120.76236,00028,499,875142,018,140Form
94Balogh, Aristotle NChief Technology OfficerDirectSell9152025123.6860074,20824,761,475Form
95Balogh, Aristotle NChief Technology OfficerDirectSell9082025124.6560074,79025,030,465Form
96Mertz, ElinorChief Financial OfficerDirectSell9042025128.424,630594,58557,027,482Form
97Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell9042025127.53236,00030,096,394180,070,170Form
98Balogh, Aristotle NChief Technology OfficerDirectSell9022025130.1960078,11426,221,044Form
99Balogh, Aristotle NChief Technology OfficerDirectSell8252025124.9660074,97625,242,666Form
100Blecharczyk, NathanChief Strategy OfficerDirectSell8212025125.202,246281,19922,850,710Form
101Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell8202025125.36236,00029,586,1301,880Form
102Balogh, Aristotle NChief Technology OfficerDirectSell8182025123.6260074,17225,710,134Form
103Balogh, Aristotle NChief Technology OfficerDirectSell8112025120.5060072,30025,133,545Form
104Gebbia, Joseph Sycamore TrustSell8062025129.71236,00030,611,49830,613,444Form
105Mertz, ElinorChief Financial OfficerDirectSell8062025129.106,250806,87558,754,868Form
106Balogh, Aristotle NChief Technology OfficerDirectSell8042025134.7560080,85028,186,620Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 9, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Consulta Ltd$227.3 Mil11.3%13ADD +20.0%13F
GCQ FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY Ltd$59.4 Mil7.9%11TRIM -15.0%13F
Long Walk Management LP$20.5 Mil6.0%11New13F
Shannon River Fund Management LLC$31.2 Mil6.0%28New13F
Two Creeks Capital Management, LP$45.0 Mil4.8%21Hold13F
Independent Franchise Partners LLP$666.2 Mil4.7%26Hold13F
Akre Capital Management LLC$256.9 Mil4.2%19TRIM -41.4%13F
Par Capital Management Inc$94.4 Mil2.7%45Hold13F
HS Management Partners, LLC$6.9 Mil2.4%24TRIM -43.8%13F
California First Leasing Corp$7.4 Mil2.4%39ADD +16.1%13F
SRS Investment Management, LLC$224.3 Mil2.4%29TRIM -29.5%13F
Atmos Capital Gestao de Recursos Ltda.$12.7 Mil2.2%15ADD +7.3%13F
Ask Capital Management, LLC$7.6 Mil1.4%3Hold13F
SC US (TTGP), LTD.$64.5 Mil0.7%36Hold13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Shannon River Fund Management LLC$31.2 Mil6.0%28New13F
Long Walk Management LP$20.5 Mil6.0%11New13F
Consulta Ltd$227.3 Mil11.3%13ADD +20.0%13F
California First Leasing Corp$7.4 Mil2.4%39ADD +16.1%13F
Atmos Capital Gestao de Recursos Ltda.$12.7 Mil2.2%15ADD +7.3%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Archon Partners LLC$9.0 Mil0.9%42ExitedDec 31, 202513F
HS Management Partners, LLC$6.9 Mil2.4%24TRIM -43.8%Mar 31, 202613F
Akre Capital Management LLC$256.9 Mil4.2%19TRIM -41.4%Mar 31, 202613F
SRS Investment Management, LLC$224.3 Mil2.4%29TRIM -29.5%Mar 31, 202613F
GCQ FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY Ltd$59.4 Mil7.9%11TRIM -15.0%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Independent Franchise Partners LLP$666.2 Mil4.7%26Hold13F
Akre Capital Management LLC$256.9 Mil4.2%19TRIM -41.4%13F
Consulta Ltd$227.3 Mil11.3%13ADD +20.0%13F
SRS Investment Management, LLC$224.3 Mil2.4%29TRIM -29.5%13F
Par Capital Management Inc$94.4 Mil2.7%45Hold13F
SC US (TTGP), LTD.$64.5 Mil0.7%36Hold13F
GCQ FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY Ltd$59.4 Mil7.9%11TRIM -15.0%13F
Two Creeks Capital Management, LP$45.0 Mil4.8%21Hold13F
Shannon River Fund Management LLC$31.2 Mil6.0%28New13F
Long Walk Management LP$20.5 Mil6.0%11New13F
Atmos Capital Gestao de Recursos Ltda.$12.7 Mil2.2%15ADD +7.3%13F
Ask Capital Management, LLC$7.6 Mil1.4%3Hold13F
California First Leasing Corp$7.4 Mil2.4%39ADD +16.1%13F
HS Management Partners, LLC$6.9 Mil2.4%24TRIM -43.8%13F

ABNB Trade Sentinel


Stock Conviction

High Conviction

CONVICTION RATIONALE

Conviction is high, as growth is re-accelerating across key metrics including a four-year high in first-time bookers. The company is successfully expanding its platform with new offerings, supported by a strong record of raising its own financial outlook. The primary structural risk from regulation, while significant, is a known factor and is being managed through diversification.

STOCK ARCHETYPE
Marketplace Platform

(Nights & Seats Booked) x (Average Daily Rate) x (Take Rate) Operating leverage from scaling the platform's transaction volume over a largely fixed cost base, and technology-driven efficiencies, particularly from AI in areas like customer support.

Looking for high-conviction positions with a better risk/reward profile? See what's currently in the Trefis High Quality Portfolio.
INVESTMENT THESIS
Can the travel ecosystem expansion drive a new growth S-curve?

Evidence suggests yes. The strategy is attracting new users at the fastest rate in four years and layering on faster-growing revenue streams like hotels.

Mechanism: New verticals like hotels, growing 3x faster than homes, attract new users. Roughly 35% of first-time hotel guests return to book a home, creating a flywheel that expands the total addressable market and accelerates overall growth.
Supporting Evidence:
  • First-time booker growth accelerated to 11%, the highest rate reported in four years.
  • Hotel nights are growing approximately three times faster than the core homes business.
  • Full-year 2026 revenue growth guidance was raised to 'at least mid-teens'.
  • Full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA margin guidance was raised to 'at least 35.5%'.
  • Nights and seats booked growth accelerated to 10% year-over-year in Q2 2026.
PRIMARY RISK
Regulatory Overhang

A patchwork of evolving local laws can materially constrain supply. New York City's 2023 regulations created a 'de facto ban' on short-term rentals, providing a clear precedent for how quickly a key market can be impaired.

Mechanism: Proliferation of similar restrictive laws in other major global cities.
Supporting Evidence:
  • New York City regulations in 2023 resulted in a 'de facto ban'.
  • The company is subject to a wide variety of complex and evolving laws.
  • The EU Short-Term Rental Regulation entered into force in May 2026.
  • An unresolved IRS dispute claims the company owes $1.3 billion in back taxes.
Key KPI Watchlist
KPI Status Rationale
Nights and Seats Booked10% year-over-year growth in Q2 2026 - AcceleratingManagement highlighted that the sequential acceleration in volume growth was driven by an 11% increase in first-time bookers, which it noted was the highest growth rate for that cohort in four years.
Gross Booking Value (GBV)16% year-over-year growth to $27.2 billion in Q2 2026 - DeceleratingThe deceleration in gross booking value growth from Q1's peak occurred even as the underlying volume metric, Nights and Seats Booked, accelerated sequentially.
First-time booker growth11% growth (Q2 2026)Indicates the platform's ability to attract new users, which is crucial for long-term growth. Management noted this is the highest growth rate seen in four years.
Core Investment Debate

AI Efficiency vs. Competitive Spend

BULL VIEW

AI is a structural advantage, driving efficiencies like the 16% drop in support costs per booking. This funds growth investments while allowing for margin expansion, as reflected in the raised full-year outlook.

CORE TENSION

Can AI-driven cost savings offset the investment needed to build a multi-product travel platform?


PREVAILING SENTIMENT
BULLISH

The bull view is favored. Management raised its full-year margin guidance to at least 35.5%, a direct signal of confidence in its profitability.

BEAR VIEW

The cost to compete with Booking and Expedia in new verticals will overwhelm any AI savings. Trailing opex growth of 16.2% outpaced revenue growth of 13.6%, signaling a costly arms race.

Next 6 months: Risks and Catalysts
Timeline Event & Metric To Watch
10/20/2026
Peer Read-Through on Lodging Demand
Watch: Hilton's commentary on booking trends, ADR, and forward guidance for the hotel sector.
11/2/2026
Marriott Earnings Report
Watch: Peer Marriott International (MAR) is scheduled to report earnings.
11/4/2026
Guidance Disappointment at Q3 Earnings
Watch: Q4 revenue and bookings guidance, commentary on deceleration, and impact of tougher comparisons.
No set date
Geopolitical or Macro Shock
Watch: Changes in booking or cancellation trends, particularly in EMEA and Asia Pacific, or management commentary on macro softness.
Key Events in Last 6 Months
Date Event Stock Impact
2026-08-06
Strong Q2 Results and Guidance Raise
Details: The company reported Q2 revenue growth of 17% and raised its full-year 2026 revenue growth forecast to at least a mid-teens rate.
-0.6%
$152.49 -> $151.64
2026-08-06
Expanded into Ancillary Services
Details: The company expanded its platform to include new services such as grocery delivery, car rental, airport pickup, and luggage storage.
-0.6%
$152.49 -> $151.64
2026-08-06
Debt Refinancing and Repayment
Details: The company issued $2.5 billion in new senior notes and used approximately $2.0 billion of the proceeds to repay its 0% convertible senior notes due in 2026.
-0.6%
$152.49 -> $151.64
2026-05-07
Raised Full-Year 2026 Guidance
Details: Following first quarter results, the company raised its guidance for 2026 revenue growth and adjusted EBITDA margin.
+1.2%
$139.88 -> $141.49
2026-02-12
Positive Q4 2025 Earnings Reaction
Details: The stock had a positive two-day reaction of 2.0% around the earnings call for the fourth quarter of 2025.
+1.5%
$119.55 -> $121.35
Risk Management
Position Sizing

4% - 6%

NORMAL POSITION

Sizing is volatility-based: ABNB trades at roughly 36% annualized options-implied volatility versus about 13% for the S&P 500 (2.7x the market), around the 71st percentile of its own trailing year. A 4% - 6% position keeps a single-name swing of that size within a diversified portfolio's risk budget.

Diversification Alternatives
BKNG - Booking Holdings
Scale & Profitability

Booking offers greater scale with revenue 2.1 times that of Airbnb and superior operating margins of 34.5%. It has a more established multi-product offering across flights, hotels, and car rentals.

Core Thesis: A play on the dominant, most profitable online travel agency executing its own 'Connected Trip' vision.
EXPE - Expedia Group
B & Loyalty Focus

Expedia has a significant B segment and is pursuing a partnership-driven strategy, recently becoming the exclusive hotel partner for Uber. This provides a different growth vector than Airbnb's direct-to-consumer focus.

Core Thesis: A bet on a travel platform leveraging B partnerships and loyalty programs to drive growth.
How Is The Market Pricing ABNB?

Airbnb is an AI-native travel ecosystem expanding beyond its core homes business to become a one-stop shop for travel.

Airbnb is leveraging AI to accelerate product innovation, improve user conversion, and drive operational efficiency. This has enabled a strategic expansion from its core home-sharing marketplace into adjacent travel categories like hotels, car rentals, and other services. The company aims to capture a larger share of the entire trip by creating an integrated ecosystem where new offerings like hotels not only generate revenue but also onboard new customers who then cross-book into the core homes business.

What will confirm the thesis

Sustained acceleration in 'Nights and Seats Booked' growth, successful scaling of the hotels and services categories, and evidence of AI-driven margin expansion or conversion rate improvements.

What will damage the thesis

Increased regulatory restrictions in key markets similar to New York City's de facto ban, failure of new verticals like hotels to gain traction or prove accretive, or a significant slowdown in first-time booker growth.

Noise: Real but irrelevant to thesis

Short-term stock price reactions to earnings reports or seasonal fluctuations in quarterly performance.

Repricing Catalyst

The company's raised full-year guidance for revenue and profitability, driven by accelerating growth and faster-than-expected innovation velocity enabled by AI.

What ABNB Makes & Who Pays
TTM figures based on the twelve months through fiscal Q1 2026
Single Segment
$12.6B TTM (100% of Total) · 20% Margin
What It Is

The company operates a global marketplace connecting guests with stays, experiences, and services offered by hosts. This includes unique homes, boutique hotels, and activities. Recent expansions include car rentals, grocery delivery, and airport pickups.

Who Pays & How

Guests pay for bookings on the platform. They choose Airbnb for its unique inventory, the value of its offerings, brand trust, and an easy-to-use platform for finding and booking accommodations and activities worldwide.

The company charges service fees to both hosts and guests on transactions processed through its platform. It is migrating hosts to a single service fee structure to improve price transparency and competitiveness.
Competition
Online travel agencies (OTAs) like Booking Holdings and Expedia Group, hotel chains such as Marriott and Hilton, and internet search engines like Google.
Competitors may have greater brand recognition, larger marketing budgets, and more resources. Hotel chains offer a different, more standardized accommodation experience.
The company's moat is built on its global network of over 5 million hosts, a strong brand that has become a noun and a verb for the category, unique inventory, and a system of trust built on reviews and host/guest protections like AirCover.
ABNB Evolution: Price Return by Era
Founded in 2007 · Founding and Core Growth
The company was founded when two hosts welcomed three guests to their San Francisco home. It grew into a global marketplace focused on connecting guests with unique stays in hosts' homes, establishing a new category in travel.
2025-2026 · Ecosystem Expansion
+15%
The company began a strategic expansion beyond its core homes business. In May 2025, it launched redesigned experiences and new services. This was followed by a significant push into the hotel market, aiming to become a comprehensive travel platform.
2026 · AI-Native Transformation
+14%
Management describes a fundamental shift to becoming an 'AI-native company,' using artificial intelligence to dramatically accelerate product development, improve personalization and search, and drive efficiencies in areas like customer support. The CEO stated in August 2026 that 'AI is the best thing to ever happen to Airbnb'.
Market Appears To Be Cautiously Supportive
Price structure is strongly bullish. The regime, trend, and proximity to highs all point towards intact institutional trend. Relative to SPY: Decisively outperforming and improving. Potential evidence of active institutional rotation. Volume and momentum show mild positive lean. The accumulation signals present but not yet dominant. Earnings history is clearly negative. The market punished the print and the drift confirms distribution. Thesis is under pressure. NOTE: Structure and earnings history are contradicting each other. The price trend says one thing, and the market reaction to catalysts says another. Treat this with caution and weigh the most recent earnings event heavily.
① Structure
+4
Structural pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by trend regime, SMA cross events, proximity to 52W high, and relative strength vs SPY.
② Volume / Momentum
+1
Volume/Momentum pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by institutional footprint score, OBV divergence, and momentum character.
③ Catalyst
-2
Catalyst pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by earnings day reaction, 20D post-earnings drift, and post-earnings volume character.
Combined Score
3 / 12
1 Price Structure & Trend Trending Up · Golden Cross
2 Momentum Accelerating
3 Relative Strength vs. SPY Strong Outperformance
4 Institutional Footprint & Volume Strong Accumulation
5 Volatility Expanded
6 Key Price Levels Range · Vol Rising
7 Earnings Reaction History Diminishing Reward
8 How the Verdict Is Derived Three Pillars
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/9/2026