BETA Technologies (BETA)
Market Price (9/9/2026): $21.21 | Market Cap: $4.9 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense
BETA Technologies (BETA)
Market Price (9/9/2026): $21.21Market Cap: $4.9 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Aerospace & Defense
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -26% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 94% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Future of Freight. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -80%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -112% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -506 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1129% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 110x Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 137% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -721%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -940% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -22% Key risksBETA key risks include [1] potential financial distress from substantial operating losses and high cash burn, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -26% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 94% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Future of Freight. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -80%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -112% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -506 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1129% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 110x |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 137% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -721%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -940% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -22% |
| Key risksBETA key risks include [1] potential financial distress from substantial operating losses and high cash burn, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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BETA Technologies (BETA) stock has gained about 15% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Revenue Growth and Raised Full-Year Guidance.
BETA Technologies reported a significant increase in revenue for fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 30, 2026, with revenue reaching $14.7 million, a 146% increase year-over-year from $6.0 million in fiscal Q2 2025. This growth was largely driven by $11.4 million in service revenue. Furthermore, management raised its full-year 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $42 million to $50 million, up from the previous projection of $39 million to $43 million, signaling robust sales execution and favorable program timing.
2. Achievement of Key Operational and Certification Milestones.
The company demonstrated substantial progress in its operational and certification efforts during the period. BETA unveiled its MV250 aircraft, a hybrid-electric autonomous vertical takeoff and landing (VTOL) cargo aircraft, at the Farnborough International Airshow. Additionally, BETA advanced its certification programs, reaching an agreement with the FAA on the H500A's continued-rotation compliance approach and completing durability and lightning-strike teardowns with positive results. The company also substantially completed software requirements-based testing for the H500A, with formal FAA testing underway. Progress was also made on the CX300, with the completion of its Requirements Definition phase and FAA acceptance of its compliance requirements.
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BETA Technologies (BETA) stock has gained about 15% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Revenue Growth and Raised Full-Year Guidance.
BETA Technologies reported a significant increase in revenue for fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 30, 2026, with revenue reaching $14.7 million, a 146% increase year-over-year from $6.0 million in fiscal Q2 2025. This growth was largely driven by $11.4 million in service revenue. Furthermore, management raised its full-year 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $42 million to $50 million, up from the previous projection of $39 million to $43 million, signaling robust sales execution and favorable program timing.
2. Achievement of Key Operational and Certification Milestones.
The company demonstrated substantial progress in its operational and certification efforts during the period. BETA unveiled its MV250 aircraft, a hybrid-electric autonomous vertical takeoff and landing (VTOL) cargo aircraft, at the Farnborough International Airshow. Additionally, BETA advanced its certification programs, reaching an agreement with the FAA on the H500A's continued-rotation compliance approach and completing durability and lightning-strike teardowns with positive results. The company also substantially completed software requirements-based testing for the H500A, with formal FAA testing underway. Progress was also made on the CX300, with the completion of its Requirements Definition phase and FAA acceptance of its compliance requirements.
3. Expanding Commercial Traction and Strategic Partnerships.
BETA expanded its commercial footprint and strengthened key partnerships. Following successful cargo flight demonstrations, Loganair signed a term sheet for five CX300 aircraft, with options for five additional aircraft, converting real-world operational success into commercial demand. The Electric Powertrain Flight Demonstrator program with GE Aerospace also significantly contributed to Q2 2026 revenue. The company's charging infrastructure network expanded to 138 sites, with plans to deploy up to 250 sites under America's Consortium for Electric Skyways (ACES), which contributes to infrastructure revenue.
4. Sustained Positive Analyst Sentiment.
Analysts maintained a highly favorable outlook on BETA Technologies' stock during this period. The company received a consensus rating of "Strong Buy" or "Moderate Buy" from multiple Wall Street analysts. Analysts from firms such as Needham, BTIG, and Cantor Fitzgerald reiterated their Buy/Overweight ratings and issued price targets ranging from $31 to $34 following the fiscal Q2 2026 earnings report. The average analyst price target for BETA stock stands at approximately $31.11 to $32.00, suggesting a significant upside from current price levels.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 15.3% change in BETA stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 5312026 | 9082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 18.34 | 21.14 | 15.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 45 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | � | 109.6 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 186 | 232 | -20.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2026 to 9/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BETA | 15.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.3% | 44.1% |
| Sector (XLI) | 0.7% | 35.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 12.4% change in BETA stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 9082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 18.80 | 21.14 | 12.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 45 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | � | 109.6 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 224 | 232 | -3.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 9/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BETA | 12.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.0% | 53.0% |
| Sector (XLI) | -1.3% | 43.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 9/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BETA | ||
| Market (SPY) | 19.8% | 49.1% |
| Sector (XLI) | 15.9% | 39.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
8/31/2023 to 9/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BETA | ||
| Market (SPY) | 76.1% | 49.1% |
| Sector (XLI) | 67.9% | 39.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BETA Return | - | - | - | - | -22% | -21% | -38% |
| Peers Return | -4% | -29% | 68% | 12% | 4% | -24% | 2% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 105% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BETA Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 50% | 56% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 40% | 50% | 40% | 47% | 31% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 56% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BETA Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | -54% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -38% | -45% | -33% | -38% | -39% | -40% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: JOBY, ACHR, EVEX, TXT, HON.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/8/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
BETA has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.
| Event | XLI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -15.8% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.8% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 34 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -11.7% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.2% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 45 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -20.1% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.1% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 125 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -41.6% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 71.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 231 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -23.7% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.1% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 120 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -11.1% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.5% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 51 days | 62 days |
In The Past
State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
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BETA has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.
| Event | XLI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -20.1% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.1% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 125 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -41.6% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 71.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 231 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -23.7% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.1% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 120 days | 105 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -22.5% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.0% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 114 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -60.5% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 153.2% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 700 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About BETA Technologies (BETA)
BETA Technologies is an aerospace company at the forefront of electric aviation, developing and manufacturing advanced electric aircraft platforms, propulsion systems, and critical supporting infrastructure. The company designs and sells high-performance electric aircraft, such as its ALIA CTOL model, which has a proven flight record with the U.S. Military, FAA, UPS, and United Therapeutics. BETA's vertical integration strategy focuses on core "Enabling Technologies" like batteries, motors, and flight control systems. Its aircraft offer significant cost efficiencies, with estimated operating costs 42% lower than traditional aircraft and 74% lower than helicopters, mainly due to reduced fuel and maintenance requirements. The company operates a scalable production facility in Vermont, designed to produce over 300 aircraft annually.
BETA's business model encompasses four primary revenue streams. It sells electric aircraft to military and commercial customers, initially prioritizing cargo and logistics, military, and medical operations before expanding into passenger services. A substantial portion of its lifetime revenue is expected from the recurring, high-margin sales of replacement batteries, leveraging the company's proprietary battery pack technology. BETA also acts as a merchant supplier, providing its advanced propulsion systems to other eVTOL manufacturers. Lastly, the company sells ground support equipment (GSE), predominantly charging infrastructure compatible with the CCS-1 protocol, to a diverse customer base including state governments, operators, and other electric aviation companies, while also building out a nationwide charging network.
Beyond hardware, BETA is developing "BETA Operate," a digital platform with modules for maintenance, control, network management, and data analysis. This platform provides customers with real-time data, AI-powered predictive maintenance, and operational optimization for their electric aircraft fleets, further enhancing customer value and offering additional revenue opportunities. This comprehensive approach, integrating advanced aircraft, core component sales, digital solutions, and robust charging infrastructure, positions BETA to capture significant market share in the evolving electric aviation industry.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for BETA Technologies:
- Tesla for electric aircraft
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- Electric Aircraft: High-performance electric aircraft, including the ALIA CTOL variant, designed for various missions such as cargo, logistics, defense, passenger, and medical operations.
- Electric Propulsion Systems: Advanced electric propulsion systems sold as core components to other eVTOL manufacturers and entities in the aerospace and marine industries.
- Charging Systems and Infrastructure: Ground support equipment (GSE), including charge cubes and thermal management systems, along with a nationwide charging network, designed for electric aircraft and ground vehicles.
- Replacement Batteries: Proprietary battery packs provided as replacements for BETA aircraft operators in the aftermarket.
- BETA Operate Digital Platform: A fully-integrated digital platform offering real-time flight monitoring, charging infrastructure management, predictive maintenance, and operational optimization for electric aircraft fleets.
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- UPS (NYSE: UPS)
- United Therapeutics Corporation (NASDAQ: UTHR)
- Air New Zealand (NZX: AIR)
- U.S. Military
- Textron eAviation (part of Textron Inc., NYSE: TXT)
- Bristow (NYSE: VTOL)
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Kyle Clark, Chief Executive Officer & Board Member
Kyle Clark is the President and Chief Executive Officer of BETA Technologies, leading all technical and strategic components of the business including design, test and certification strategy, and commercialization of the ALIA aircraft platform. He has served as CEO since the company's inception in June 2018. Mr. Clark is one of the test pilots for all of BETA's experimental aircraft and has founded companies in electrification, energy storage, and collaboration software. He co-founded iTherm Technologies and was previously the Director of Engineering at Dynapower Company (now Sensata Technologies Holding PLC), where he established and managed an engineering team that designed, manufactured, certified, and deployed power systems. Prior to his entrepreneurial career, he played professional hockey for the Washington Capitals organization. Mr. Clark holds patents in the areas of production of electrical aircraft and associated batteries or related technologies and received an A.B. in Materials Sciences and Engineering from Harvard University.
Herman V. Cueto, Chief Financial Officer
Herman V. Cueto has served as BETA Technologies' Chief Financial Officer since April 1, 2025. He brings over 30 years of global finance leadership experience across the medical technology and life sciences sectors. Prior to joining BETA, Mr. Cueto held senior executive roles including Interim CFO at Dentsply Sirona (Nasdaq: XRAY) from December 2024 to March 2025, and EVP & CFO at Azenta Life Sciences (Nasdaq: AZTA) from October 2023 to December 2024. He also held various roles during his tenure at Becton Dickinson (NYSE: BDX) from June 2004 to October 2023, including Deputy CFO starting in October 2022.
Sean Donovan, Chief Operating Officer
Sean Donovan serves as the Chief Operating Officer of BETA Technologies, a position he has held since October 2024. Mr. Donovan has been with BETA since March 2019, serving in various roles including Team Member and Battery Lead. With over 15 years of experience, his engineering career has focused on advancing innovative, high-impact technologies in aerospace, electric vehicles, and sustainable energy systems. Before joining BETA, Mr. Donovan held key engineering and leadership roles at several prominent technology companies.
David Churchill, Chief Technical Officer & Board Member
Dr. David Churchill is the Chief Technology Officer of BETA Technologies, leading the engineering team, a role he has held since June 2018. Prior to BETA, he was the VP of Engineering for the Sensing Systems business unit of LORD-Microstrain Corp since 2012, where he led research and development efforts for new product lines, including energy harvesting systems and inertial sensors for aerospace applications. He began his career performing R&D for the V-22 Osprey program at Boeing Helicopter Co. (NYSE: BA) and holds a Ph.D.
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Key Risks to BETA Technologies
- Regulatory Certification Delays or Failure: BETA Technologies' entire business model and market entry strategy are contingent upon obtaining necessary certifications for its electric aircraft from aviation authorities. The company explicitly states a target for "aircraft certification, currently targeted for late 2026." Any significant delays in the certification process, or an inability to meet the stringent regulatory requirements, would prevent the company from commercially operating or selling its aircraft, thereby critically undermining its projected revenue streams and market penetration.
- Limited or Slower-Than-Expected Market Adoption and Intense Competition: BETA Technologies is operating in a nascent "significant, untapped market opportunity in sustainable, reliable and efficient electric aviation." Despite initial traction with partners like UPS and United Therapeutics, the widespread adoption of electric aircraft in their target markets (cargo and logistics, military, medical, and eventually passenger operations) is not guaranteed and may occur at a slower pace than anticipated. The company also faces the risk of intense competition from other emerging electric aviation companies or established aerospace manufacturers who may develop competing technologies, achieve faster certification, or capture market share, potentially impacting BETA's pricing power and growth prospects.
- Challenges in Scaling Manufacturing and Advancing Core Technologies: The company's future growth relies on its ability to scale production at its "Vermont production facility," which is "designed to support production of more than 300 aircraft annually at maturity." Scaling the manufacturing of complex electric aircraft to such volumes is a substantial operational and capital-intensive challenge. Furthermore, BETA's strategy emphasizes "ownership of the battery pack technology" and other "Enabling Technologies essential to electric aviation." Any unforeseen difficulties in advancing these core proprietary technologies, or in reliably and cost-effectively producing them at scale, could negatively impact aircraft performance, maintenance costs, and the attractive margins projected for recurring revenue streams like replacement batteries.
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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for BETA Technologies (BETA) Over the Next 2-3 Years:
- Increased Sales and Deliveries of Electric Aircraft: BETA Technologies' market-entry strategy prioritizes selling its ALIA CTOL electric aircraft to operators in cargo and logistics, military, and medical sectors, with plans to expand into passenger operations. The company's Vermont production facility is designed to support significant annual aircraft production, indicating an anticipated increase in deliveries to customers like UPS, United Therapeutics, and military partners, driving primary aircraft sales.
- Growth in Aftermarket Battery Sales: As the installed base of BETA aircraft expands, the demand for replacement batteries is expected to generate substantial recurring revenue. The company projects that a typical electric aircraft will require multiple sets of replacement batteries over its lifetime, contributing a majority of the lifetime revenue at attractive margins.
- Expansion of Propulsion System Sales to Other eVTOL Manufacturers: BETA plans to leverage its proprietary propulsion systems by supplying them as a merchant to other eVTOL manufacturers, exemplified by its relationship with Textron eAviation. This strategy provides an additional revenue stream independent of its own aircraft sales.
- Sales of Electric Charging Infrastructure and Ground Support Equipment (GSE): Recognizing the fundamental need for electric charging, BETA has developed and deployed a range of charging infrastructure, including charge cubes and mini cubes. The company intends to sell these charging products and related GSE to state governments, operators, Fixed Base Operators, and other electric aviation companies, creating a revenue stream as the broader electric aviation ecosystem grows.
- Commercialization and Adoption of the BETA Operate Digital Platform: BETA is rolling out its integrated digital platform, "BETA Operate," designed to optimize customer operational capabilities. The Maintenance module launched in July 2025, and an initial commercially viable version of the Control Center module is targeted for the first half of 2026, with Network and Data modules expected prior to aircraft certification in late 2026. This platform is poised to generate recurring, high-margin revenue through services like real-time flight monitoring, predictive maintenance, and battery health optimization.
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Inbound Investments
- BETA Technologies has received customer and government investments to establish a nationwide charging infrastructure for electric aircraft.
Capital Expenditures
- BETA Technologies has invested in an approximately 188,000 square foot production facility in Vermont, designed to support the annual production of over 300 aircraft.
- The company holds site control and permits for expanding its production facility to over 355,000 square feet to accommodate future growth.
- Significant capital has been allocated to the development and deployment of a nationwide electric charging infrastructure, including large charge cubes, mini cubes, and thermal management systems.
- Ongoing investment is dedicated to the development of the "BETA Operate" digital platform, with modules for Maintenance (launched July 2025), Control Center (initial commercially viable version targeted H1 2026), Network, and Data.
Peer Outperformance in Aerospace & Defense
null| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Construction & Engineering | 31 | 20.0% | 107.9% | 197.4% | CDNL 2840% · FIX 2213% · STRL 2157% |
| Marine Transportation | 5 | 63.4% | 63.9% | 165.0% | HOS 47689% · MATX 180% · KEX 165% |
| Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment | 13 | 12.3% | 61.8% | 116.9% | CAT 336% · ALSN 291% · WAB 228% |
| Aerospace & Defense ← | 55 | -1.5% | 61.3% | 75.2% | ATI 1081% · FTAI 956% · HWM 642% |
| Passenger Ground Transportation | 3 | -15.6% | 50.1% | 54.2% | UBER 81% · CAR 54% · LYFT -68% |
| Rail Transportation | 7 | 32.0% | 70.6% | 47.1% | FSTR 143% · CSX 67% · UNP 54% |
| Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components | 71 | 9.4% | 50.6% | 42.0% | CRS 1417% · PSIX 1021% · EROC 690% |
| Cargo Ground Transportation | 16 | 38.0% | 6.6% | 39.2% | XPO 268% · R 260% · CVLG 228% |
| Trading Companies & Distributors | 19 | 3.5% | 36.0% | 34.2% | DXPE 565% · AIT 293% · WCC 230% |
| Diversified Support Services | 33 | 9.3% | 30.0% | 28.2% | LIME 4271% · TH 410% · WLFC 380% |
| Electrical Components & Equipment | 41 | 21.5% | 56.7% | 26.0% | POWL 2280% · BE 1267% · VRT 1066% |
| Building Products | 33 | -12.6% | 3.5% | 17.1% | LMB 603% · GFF 407% · PPIH 293% |
| Agricultural & Farm Machinery | 17 | 16.6% | 5.8% | -4.7% | BLBD 230% · DE 99% · GENC 62% |
| Industrial Conglomerates | 17 | 8.7% | 14.4% | -5.5% | RCMT 606% · CSW 136% · CSL 79% |
| Research & Consulting Services | 13 | -11.2% | -23.2% | -11.4% | HURN 200% · GRNQ 151% · CRAI 96% |
| Environmental & Facilities Services | 29 | -9.1% | 28.8% | -11.8% | CECO 1002% · ADUR 410% · NVRI 376% |
| Data Processing & Outsourced Services | 6 | -33.3% | -14.8% | -26.6% | EXLS 45% · BR 9% · G -26% |
| Office Services & Supplies | 9 | 12.1% | 27.7% | -27.6% | PBI 188% · TILE 152% · HNI 58% |
| Passenger Airlines | 11 | 0.1% | -1.0% | -30.0% | LTM 3212% · UAL 132% · SKYW 110% |
| Air Freight & Logistics | 12 | -10.6% | -23.2% | -37.8% | CHRW 94% · FDX 67% · EXPD 60% |
| Human Resource & Employment Services | 22 | 4.8% | -20.7% | -38.2% | BBSI 78% · ADP 47% · PAYX 23% |
| Security & Alarm Services | 10 | -36.0% | 8.4% | -39.2% | CIX 154% · MG 105% · NL 57% |
| Airport Services | 3 | -67.9% | -77.9% | -57.1% | JOBY -27% · ASLE -57% · UP -100% |
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 13.99 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.8 |
| Rev LTM | 81 |
| Op Inc LTM | -364 |
| FCF LTM | -316 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -160 |
| CFO LTM | -259 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -153 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 51.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 75.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 24.0% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -28.6% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -29.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -759.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 53.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -524.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -639.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.8% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $21.14 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 4.9 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/04/2025 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -42.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $28.57 | $28.57 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | -26.0% | -26.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 74.9% | 77.4% |
| Downside Capture | 160.33 | 362.28 |
| Upside Capture | 248.79 | 226.96 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 41.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.83 | 3.34 | 2.41 | 2.94 | -0.03 | 0.25 |
| Up Beta | 8.31 | 5.39 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 0.06 | 0.36 |
| Down Beta | -1.81 | 2.86 | 1.83 | 1.95 | -0.19 | 0.13 |
| Up Capture | 197% | 332% | 281% | 494% | 286% | 27% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 10 | 21 | 32 | 68 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 23 | 34 | 66 | 101 | 101 |
| Down Capture | 163% | 215% | 190% | 239% | 180% | 100% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 32 | 59 | 113 | 324 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 19 | 30 | 61 | 104 | 104 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BETA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BETA | -41.4% | 77.4% | -0.49 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 16.8% | 17.1% | 0.74 | 39.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 19.4% | 12.8% | 1.11 | 49.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.8% | 29.2% | 0.65 | 24.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 45.0% | 20.4% | 1.72 | -12.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 7.8% | 13.6% | 0.30 | 10.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -28.1% | 43.9% | -0.63 | 27.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BETA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BETA | -10.1% | 77.4% | -0.49 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 12.4% | 17.6% | 0.54 | 39.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.6% | 17.2% | 0.56 | 49.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.8% | 18.8% | 0.81 | 24.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.6% | 19.5% | 0.42 | -12.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.5% | 18.9% | -0.03 | 10.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.1% | 52.6% | 0.39 | 27.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BETA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BETA | -5.2% | 77.4% | -0.49 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.4% | 20.1% | 0.59 | 39.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.2% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 49.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.2% | 16.3% | 0.61 | 24.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.9% | 18.1% | 0.36 | -12.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.9% | 20.7% | 0.20 | 10.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 63.6% | 66.2% | 1.03 | 27.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 8/21/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/12/2026 | -3.3% | 8.8% | |
| 5/12/2026 | -2.6% | -20.1% | -15.4% |
| 3/9/2026 | 11.9% | -13.6% | -19.3% |
| 12/4/2025 | 1.2% | 6.6% | 0.1% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| # Negative | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Median Positive | 6.5% | 7.7% | 0.1% |
| Median Negative | -2.9% | -16.9% | -17.3% |
| Max Positive | 11.9% | 8.8% | 0.1% |
| Max Negative | -3.3% | -20.1% | -19.3% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/12/2026 | -3.3% | 8.8% | |
| 5/12/2026 | -2.6% | -20.1% | -15.4% |
| 3/9/2026 | 11.9% | -13.6% | -19.3% |
| 12/4/2025 | 1.2% | 6.6% | 0.1% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| # Negative | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Median Positive | 6.5% | 7.7% | 0.1% |
| Median Negative | -2.9% | -16.9% | -17.3% |
| Max Positive | 11.9% | 8.8% | 0.1% |
| Max Negative | -3.3% | -20.1% | -19.3% |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 8/14/2026Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | Reported | 42.00 Mil | 46.00 Mil | 50.00 Mil | 12.2% | Raised | Guidance: 41.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | Reported | -445.00 Mil | -422.50 Mil | -400.00 Mil | 5.6% | Lowered | Guidance: -400.00 Mil for 2026 | |
Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | Reported | 39.00 Mil | 41.00 Mil | 43.00 Mil | Affirmed | Guidance: 41.00 Mil for 2026 | ||
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | Reported | -445.00 Mil | -400.00 Mil | -355.00 Mil | 14.3% | Lowered | Guidance: -350.00 Mil for 2026 | |
Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/9/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | Reported | 39.00 Mil | 41.00 Mil | 43.00 Mil | 32.3% | Higher New | Actual: 31.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | Reported | -395.00 Mil | -350.00 Mil | -305.00 Mil | 12.9% | Lower New | Actual: -310.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 9/3/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stone, Michael Robert | Ptolemy Capital, LLC | Buy | 9032026 | 19.19 | 13,125 | 251,810 | 34,399,487 | Form | |
| 2 | Stone, Michael Robert | Ptolemy Capital, LLC | Buy | 9032026 | 19.58 | 12,820 | 250,989 | 34,846,098 | Form | |
| 3 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 8212026 | 25.22 | 23,205 | 585,293 | 132,064,443 | Form |
| 4 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 8212026 | 25.26 | 30,000 | 757,899 | 132,863,257 | Form |
| 5 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 8212026 | 26.74 | 30,000 | 802,272 | 141,444,324 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stone, Michael Robert | Ptolemy Capital, LLC | Buy | 9032026 | 19.19 | 13,125 | 251,810 | 34,399,487 | Form | |
| 2 | Stone, Michael Robert | Ptolemy Capital, LLC | Buy | 9032026 | 19.58 | 12,820 | 250,989 | 34,846,098 | Form | |
| 3 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 8212026 | 25.22 | 23,205 | 585,293 | 132,064,443 | Form |
| 4 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 8212026 | 25.26 | 30,000 | 757,899 | 132,863,257 | Form |
| 5 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 8212026 | 26.74 | 30,000 | 802,272 | 141,444,324 | Form |
| 6 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 8182026 | 26.06 | 30,000 | 781,689 | 138,597,134 | Form |
| 7 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 8182026 | 25.08 | 30,000 | 752,343 | 134,146,293 | Form |
| 8 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 8182026 | 24.66 | 17,800 | 439,021 | 132,671,672 | Form |
| 9 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 8142026 | 25.42 | 30,000 | 762,525 | 137,176,748 | Form |
| 10 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 8142026 | 23.47 | 15,000 | 352,000 | 127,352,396 | Form |
| 11 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 8112026 | 24.46 | 17,005 | 415,937 | 133,108,244 | Form |
| 12 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 8112026 | 24.24 | 15,891 | 385,252 | 132,343,411 | Form |
| 13 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 8112026 | 23.25 | 15,000 | 348,808 | 127,311,312 | Form |
| 14 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 7202026 | 17.52 | 5,000 | 87,592 | 96,172,612 | Form |
| 15 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 7152026 | 18.42 | 15,000 | 276,250 | 101,196,765 | Form |
| 16 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 7152026 | 18.13 | 15,000 | 271,898 | 99,874,060 | Form |
| 17 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 7152026 | 17.48 | 15,000 | 262,190 | 96,570,283 | Form |
| 18 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 7062026 | 17.93 | 15,000 | 268,938 | 99,324,846 | Form |
| 19 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 7062026 | 17.41 | 15,000 | 261,128 | 96,701,380 | Form |
| 20 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 7012026 | 16.60 | 15,000 | 248,937 | 92,435,901 | Form |
| 21 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 7012026 | 16.38 | 15,000 | 245,754 | 91,499,735 | Form |
| 22 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 6262026 | 16.51 | 15,000 | 247,576 | 92,425,870 | Form |
| 23 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 6262026 | 15.79 | 15,000 | 236,820 | 88,647,047 | Form |
| 24 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 6262026 | 15.83 | 15,000 | 237,405 | 89,103,430 | Form |
| 25 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 6232026 | 16.01 | 15,000 | 240,128 | 90,365,373 | Form |
| 26 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 6232026 | 16.01 | 15,000 | 240,128 | 90,365,373 | Form |
| 27 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 6232026 | 15.74 | 15,000 | 236,068 | 89,073,949 | Form |
| 28 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 6232026 | 15.74 | 15,000 | 236,068 | 89,073,949 | Form |
| 29 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 6232026 | 15.78 | 15,000 | 236,739 | 89,563,682 | Form |
| 30 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 6232026 | 15.78 | 15,000 | 236,739 | 89,563,682 | Form |
| 31 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 6182026 | 16.05 | 15,000 | 240,801 | 91,341,229 | Form |
| 32 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | The Godric's Hollow Trust | Sell | 6182026 | 15.89 | 15,000 | 238,340 | 90,645,867 | Form |
| 33 | Stone, Michael Robert | Ptolemy Capital, LLC | Buy | 5212026 | 14.59 | 17,135 | 250,000 | 25,781,245 | Form | |
| 34 | Hunter, Mark William | CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 5112026 | 18.12 | 370 | 6,705 | 260,136 | Form |
| 35 | Dunkiel, Brian | SEE REMARKS | Direct | Sell | 5112026 | 18.12 | 9,684 | 175,490 | 2,396,419 | Form |
| 36 | Churchill, David Lawrence | CHIEF TECHNOLOGY OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 5112026 | 18.12 | 18,981 | 343,966 | 10,014,848 | Form |
| 37 | Churchill, David Lawrence | CHIEF TECHNOLOGY OFFICER | Domestic Partner | Sell | 5112026 | 18.12 | 38 | 689 | 65,274 | Form |
| 38 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | Direct | Sell | 5112026 | 18.12 | 67,296 | 1,219,511 | 13,571,538 | Form |
| 39 | Clark, Kyle | SEE REMARKS | Spouse | Sell | 5112026 | 18.12 | 4,965 | 89,974 | 901,477 | Form |
| 40 | Cueto, Herman | CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 5112026 | 18.12 | 18,586 | 336,808 | 1,639,371 | Form |
| 41 | Donovan, Sean | CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 5112026 | 18.12 | 19,008 | 344,455 | 3,192,935 | Form |
| 42 | Davis, Charles A | Ellipse Holdings LLC | Buy | 11072025 | 32.98 | 2,941,177 | 97,000,017 | 581,979,756 | Form | |
| 43 | Churchill, David Lawrence | CHIEF TECHNOLOGY OFFICER | Domestic Partner | Buy | 11072025 | 34.00 | 1,500 | 51,000 | 51,000 | Form |
| 44 | Dunkiel, Brian | SEE REMARKS | Direct | Buy | 11072025 | 34.00 | 1,500 | 51,000 | 1,741,344 | Form |
| 45 | McConville, James | Direct | Buy | 11072025 | 34.00 | 1,000 | 34,000 | 34,000 | Form | |
| 46 | Hunter, Mark William | CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER | Direct | Buy | 11072025 | 34.00 | 588 | 19,992 | 339,796 | Form |
| 47 | Cueto, Herman | CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER | Direct | Buy | 11072025 | 34.00 | 4,167 | 141,678 | 675,172 | Form |
| 48 | Kamen, Dean | Direct | Buy | 11072025 | 34.00 | 50,000 | 1,700,000 | 1,700,000 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Sep 9, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
| Active Manager |
|---|
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