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Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.1%, Dist 3Y High is -2.1%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Renewable Energy Equipment, Smart Grid Technologies, Show more.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.2%
2   Key risks
MG key risks include [1] revenue declines and a reported net loss due to its significant dependence on the volatile Oil & Gas sector, Show more.
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Renewable Energy Equipment, Smart Grid Technologies, Show more.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.1%, Dist 3Y High is -2.1%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.2%
5 Key risks
MG key risks include [1] revenue declines and a reported net loss due to its significant dependence on the volatile Oil & Gas sector, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Based on the available information for MISTRAS (MG) from August 31, 2025, to December 21, 2025, here are key points that could explain a significant stock movement: **1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results:** MISTRAS announced robust third-quarter 2025 results on November 4, 2025, with revenue increasing by 7.0% to $195.5 million. Gross profit significantly improved by 19.0% to $58.2 million, expanding the gross profit margin to 29.8% from 26.8% in the prior year. The company also reported net income of $13.1 million, or $0.41 per diluted share, and a record Adjusted EBITDA of $30.2 million, marking a 29.6% increase. These positive financial outcomes, which exceeded expectations, would likely contribute to a strong upward movement in the stock. **2. Raised Full-Year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA Guidance:** Following the strong Q3 2025 performance, MISTRAS raised its full-year Adjusted EBITDA guidance to between $86.0 million and $88.0 million, exceeding its prior qualitative guidance of surpassing the 2024 Adjusted EBITDA level of $82.5 million. This upward revision in guidance signals confidence in future profitability and operational efficiency, positively impacting investor sentiment. **3. Strategic Diversification and Growth Initiatives:** MISTRAS continued to emphasize its strategic diversification efforts, expanding into higher-margin sectors like aerospace and defense, power and utilities, and civil infrastructure, moving away from its more cyclical legacy oil and gas business. The company highlighted strong growth in its Data Solutions segment, including a nearly 25% increase in its PCMS offering in Q3 2025. These initiatives aim to drive sustainable, profitable growth and improve valuation multiples. **4. Significant Contract Wins:** MISTRAS secured important contracts during this period, including an NDT services contract from Bechtel for the $17.5 billion Woodside Louisiana LNG Megaproject, announced on December 16, 2025. This significant award underscores the company's expertise in large-scale energy projects and would likely be viewed as a positive indicator for future revenue and market position. Additionally, the company secured partnerships for advanced inspection solutions for data centers and wireless crack-detection sensors. **5. Positive Analyst Coverage and Price Target:** On November 20, 2025, Texas Capital Securities initiated coverage of MISTRAS with a "Buy" rating and a $16.00 price target. The firm noted MISTRAS' new leadership, profitable growth initiatives, and attractive valuation. This positive analyst endorsement, coupled with the potential for a significant upside from its then-current price, could have fueled investor interest and contributed to stock appreciation.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MG Return-46%-4%-34%48%24%40%-11%
Peers Return8%28%-15%15%49%7%115%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MG Win Rate33%33%42%83%50%58% 
Peers Win Rate58%60%43%60%47%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MG Max Drawdown-80%-11%-48%-1%-1%-20% 
Peers Max Drawdown-43%-8%-31%-19%-12%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BCO, CIX, NL, SNT, ADT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-68.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven214.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven638 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-79.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven391.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-52.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven108.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to BCO, CIX, NL, SNT, ADT


In The Past

MISTRAS's stock fell -68.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/3/2021. A -68.2% loss requires a 214.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About MISTRAS (MG)

Better Bets than MISTRAS (MG)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for MISTRAS

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MGBCOCIXNLSNTADTMedian
NameMISTRAS Brink's Compx In.NL Indus.Senstar .ADT  
Mkt Price12.80118.9522.515.613.888.1310.46
Mkt Cap0.45.00.30.30.16.70.3
Rev LTM7155,146159159385,113437
Op Inc LTM47506224051,30644
FCF LTM-041815-27-1,38715
FCF 3Y Avg73472113-1,16321
CFO LTM2763618-23-1,97027
CFO 3Y Avg315582315-1,87331

Growth & Margins

MGBCOCIXNLSNTADTMedian
NameMISTRAS Brink's Compx In.NL Indus.Senstar .ADT  
Rev Chg LTM-3.2%3.1%5.5%5.5%9.8%6.3%5.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.3%5.1%-0.3%-0.3%3.1%3.4%2.2%
Rev Chg Q7.0%6.1%18.7%18.7%-2.1%4.4%6.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.8%1.5%4.1%4.1%-0.5%1.1%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM6.6%9.8%13.7%25.1%12.2%25.5%13.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.1%9.9%13.9%12.1%6.1%26.1%11.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.2%0.5%0.4%-0.4%-1.7%-0.5%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM3.7%12.4%11.4%-14.6%-38.5%11.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg4.3%11.2%14.7%9.8%-40.1%11.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-0.0%8.1%9.3%-16.8%-27.1%8.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.0%7.0%13.3%8.4%-24.7%8.4%

Valuation

MGBCOCIXNLSNTADTMedian
NameMISTRAS Brink's Compx In.NL Indus.Senstar .ADT  
Mkt Cap0.45.00.30.30.16.70.3
P/S0.61.01.71.72.41.31.5
P/EBIT10.69.312.717.916.65.211.6
P/E22.329.314.428.318.610.420.5
P/CFO15.27.815.3-11.8-3.47.8
Total Yield4.5%3.4%8.3%13.5%5.4%12.5%6.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%1.3%10.0%0.0%2.9%0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.7%8.2%7.1%4.5%-18.2%7.1%
D/E0.60.90.00.00.01.20.3
Net D/E0.50.6-0.2-0.4-0.21.20.2

Returns

MGBCOCIXNLSNTADTMedian
NameMISTRAS Brink's Compx In.NL Indus.Senstar .ADT  
1M Rtn14.6%9.0%0.0%5.1%-9.8%4.9%5.0%
3M Rtn34.3%4.6%-8.6%-2.8%-13.6%-4.5%-3.6%
6M Rtn69.5%38.9%-0.5%-8.8%-17.8%1.1%0.3%
12M Rtn44.1%33.1%-21.3%-22.9%8.3%22.3%15.3%
3Y Rtn154.0%125.3%51.3%11.5%219.3%-3.8%88.3%
1M Excs Rtn6.6%5.3%-1.8%1.4%-14.9%1.2%1.3%
3M Excs Rtn28.8%0.4%-8.8%-7.2%-11.7%-8.4%-7.8%
6M Excs Rtn53.2%25.9%-16.1%-15.4%-32.6%-14.1%-14.7%
12M Excs Rtn28.0%14.1%-30.4%-39.7%3.2%4.9%4.0%
3Y Excs Rtn81.4%39.0%-22.6%-70.0%138.1%-81.7%8.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
North America403408424428538
International99105112129153
Corporate and eliminations1910161513
Products and Systems1312111116
Total535535562583720


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity701,665
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520252.0%
Average Daily Volume150,704
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.66
Basic Shares Quantity31,543,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.2%

Returns Analyses

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/202523.2%35.8%20.5%
8/6/202510.4%14.9%22.1%
3/5/202512.2%11.5%8.8%
10/30/2024-23.9%-17.7%-16.1%
7/31/20241.3%-5.1%16.3%
3/6/20247.1%6.5%14.5%
11/2/202311.7%10.7%23.7%
8/2/2023-20.9%-30.6%-31.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive12812
# Negative6106
Median Positive6.4%11.1%15.4%
Median Negative-13.5%-6.3%-20.1%
Max Positive23.2%35.8%53.3%
Max Negative-23.9%-30.6%-31.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024311202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023311202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022315202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021314202210-K 12/31/2021